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April 17, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s first chart looks at death rates for six major countries. We see that Spain has overtaken Italy, and that France and United Kingdom are likely to catch up with these in a week. We also note that United Kingdom death rates, as reported have been understated; these are basically hospital ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Weekly Summary Charts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/17/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-covid19-weekly-summary-charts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Weekly Summary Charts">Read more</a>
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April 15, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s first chart looks at three Nordic countries: Iceland, Norway and Sweden. These give us a basis for analysis of underreporting of Covid19, in the main due to limited testing. Yesterday, Norway was shown as a high incidence ‘recovering country’, even though it was less recovering than South Korea. Iceland, however, ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Nordic Comparisons" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/15/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-covid19-nordic-comparisons/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Nordic Comparisons">Read more</a>
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April 14, 2020
Today’s chart looks at four countries recovering from Covid19: South Korea, Norway, Australia and New Zealand. Except for us (NZ), the other countries started early and are on the ‘finishing straight’ or thereabouts. Note that this chart uses a smoothing technique; seven-day rolling averages. Thus, for each day shown, the data value represents the average ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Recovering from Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/14/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-recovering-from-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Recovering from Covid19">Read more</a>
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April 9, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s chart shows the per capita level of testing performed in a number of countries. While the highest testing rate shown is Norway, we should note that Iceland has tested over eight percent of its population; too high to show on this chart. A high level of testing minimises a country’s ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Testing for Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-testing-for-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Testing for Covid19">Read more</a>
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April 7, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. New Zealand now has sufficient case data to get a sense of its regional distribution of Covid19. Surprisingly, Auckland is not dominant, unlike the main business cities in other countries such as London, New York, Milan and Sydney. Certainly, internationally, Covid19 is very much a city disease. The New Zealand regional ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: New Zealand Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-new-zealand-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: New Zealand Cases">Read more</a>
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April 6, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Looking at known cases of Covid19, as for Friday 3 April, we still see the dominance of the jetsetter enclaves – including the tax shelters of Europe. We also see the Norse ‘viking’ cluster of Norway, Iceland and the Faeroe Islands. And west‑central Europe in general. New Zealand’s incidence, shown for ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Known, Serious and Fatal Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/06/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-known-serious-and-fatal-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Known, Serious and Fatal Cases">Read more</a>
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April 3, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Of the larger European countries, Italy is now in third place for known cases per person in the population. Spain has overtaken Switzerland for the dubious honour of top spot. Netherlands and France look like they will eventually converge with the top three; there is no obvious reason why they should ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Five European Countries Compared" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/03/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-five-european-countries-compared/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Five European Countries Compared">Read more</a>
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April 1, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin I was concerned to read last night that Greta Thunberg and her father almost certainly have Covid19; however, because of very restrictive testing criteria used in Sweden, they have not been tested. And I heard yesterday, on a Radio New Zealand news bulletin, a story about how there are virtually no ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Exponential Growth in Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/01/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-exponential-growth-in-italy-sweden-and-the-united-kingdom/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Exponential Growth in Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom">Read more</a>
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March 31, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin While, United States’ local data on Covid19 is more readily available than for other countries, the American ‘county’ system of local governance is way out of date and often does not well represent urban conglomerations. Doing my best from the available data, I constructed the following chart yesterday evening, and will ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States’ Deaths as at 29 March 2020" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/03/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-united-states-deaths-as-at-29-march-2020/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States’ Deaths as at 29 March 2020">Read more</a>
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March 30, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin To get a correct picture, we need regional data – indeed sub-regional statistics – because the virus does not respect political boundaries. Unfortunately, it is very hard to get regional data from European countries. The Johns Hopkins data – most widely used by the media (and used in this chart) – ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Deaths as at 29 March 2020" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/03/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-deaths-as-at-29-march-2020/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Deaths as at 29 March 2020">Read more</a>
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March 27, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Australian cases have been on an exponent growth path since late February, with no remission yet in sight. The good news is that infection rates remain well below western European levels. The bad news is that death rates – hitherto very low – are accelerating. Indeed Victoria, running with a similar ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 Virus: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the World" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/03/27/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-virus-australia-canada-new-zealand-the-world/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 Virus: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the World">Read more</a>
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March 26, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin In today’s first chart, which excludes countries with a single death, only Iran features as a country outside of Western Europe. In Europe, worst hit is the ‘Latin’ group in the southwest. I include Switzerland here, which has large Italian‑speaking and French‑speaking components. Next are the Benelux countries – Netherlands, Belgium ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 Virus: Countries with Highest Death Rates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/03/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-virus-countries-with-highest-death-rates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 Virus: Countries with Highest Death Rates">Read more</a>
