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September 1, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first two charts show official case numbers and deaths, for all countries, including the little countries that tend to dominate in the peak of the northern summer holiday season. Chart 1 shows the countries with the highest case numbers per person – from French Polynesia (Tahiti) to Greece, plus four ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: State of the World at the end of August 2021" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/01/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-state-of-the-world-at-the-end-of-august-2021/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: State of the World at the end of August 2021">Read more</a>
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August 29, 2021
Asia Pacific Report newsdesk The panel of judges hearing the case against a West Papuan activist accused of treason have ordered the prosecution to prioritise the defendant’s health, reports Suara Papua. At the second hearing on Thursday when the charges were supposed to be read out against West Papua National Committee (KNPB) international spokesperson Victor ... <a title="Indonesian court orders hospital treatment for accused Papuan activist Victor Yeimo" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/08/29/indonesian-court-orders-hospital-treatment-for-accused-papuan-activist-victor-yeimo/" aria-label="Read more about Indonesian court orders hospital treatment for accused Papuan activist Victor Yeimo">Read more</a>
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August 26, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart shows the three largest western countries: United States, United Kingdom, and Germany. The solid line plots represent quarterly average rates of excess death. It is clear that the United Kingdom copped Covid19 very early and very hard. The mid-June peak represents the period from mid-March to mid-June. It is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Excess Deaths in New Zealand and Comparator Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/08/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-excess-deaths-in-new-zealand-and-comparator-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Excess Deaths in New Zealand and Comparator Countries">Read more</a>
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August 6, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The issues to watch out for now are the extent to which countries with high vaccination rates are (1) getting positive cases, and (2) getting Covid19 deaths. And one particular point to watch out for is the extent to which early vaccinator countries show signs of relapse, as immunity levels wane ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Latest Covid19 Statistics, in the Northern Hemisphere Summer" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/08/06/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-latest-covid19-statistics-in-the-northern-hemisphere-summer/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Latest Covid19 Statistics, in the Northern Hemisphere Summer">Read more</a>
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July 26, 2021
Analysis by Bryce Edwards. A consensus is emerging that the Government has generally managed the Covid crisis very well over the last 18 months, but they have dropped the ball when it comes to the crucial vaccine rollout. This was nicely encapsulated in opinion polling last week showing that while 69 per cent of the ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: “Year of the vaccine” at risk" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/26/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-year-of-the-vaccine-at-risk/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: “Year of the vaccine” at risk">Read more</a>
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July 23, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Finland and Greece are in the East of Europe, but generally thought of as western countries, having not been behind the ‘Iron Curtain’ during the Cold War. They can be seen as a benchmark to help understand the other Eastern European countries. And, like other eastern countries, they had low levels ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: East Europe in the European Union, Excess Deaths in Context" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-east-europe-in-the-european-union-excess-deaths-in-context/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: East Europe in the European Union, Excess Deaths in Context">Read more</a>
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July 13, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We now have excess death data for most of western Europe, until the end of June 2021. The peaks are all due to Covid19. We can see clearly that the pandemic in Europe began simultaneously in Italy and Spain, and almost certainly in January 2020. While we are yet to even ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: West Europe at the onset of a New Wave of Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-west-europe-at-the-onset-of-a-new-wave-of-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: West Europe at the onset of a New Wave of Cases">Read more</a>
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July 9, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The latest excess mortality data shows all the countries of the British Isles, and the United States, have fewer excess deaths than New Zealand in the three months to the end of May 2021. England/Wales was looking particularly good in the three months to June. (Excess mortality data for the United ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United Kingdom and Herd Immunity" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-united-kingdom-and-herd-immunity/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United Kingdom and Herd Immunity">Read more</a>
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July 7, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Chile is our neighbour over the ditch; the ‘big ditch’, that is, the Pacific Ocean. And it’s a country with much in common with Aotearoa New Zealand. Until Covid19, Latam flew daily flights between Auckland and Santiago. Chile is regarded as the richest country in Latin America, and it certainly keeps ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Chile – Revolution?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-chile-revolution/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Chile – Revolution?">Read more</a>
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July 2, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 21 June 2021 I published this chart, showing high levels of excess deaths in Aotearoa, for all age groups. However, the source data provide a somewhat crude measure of excess deaths. The measure may be distorted by demographic changes; the rate of population growth, and changes to the age distribution ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort, Adjusted" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/02/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-deaths-by-age-cohort-adjusted/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort, Adjusted">Read more</a>
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June 23, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The international source for these data calculates the percentage increase (decrease if negative) of deaths compared to ‘expected deaths’. There is a weakness in the data, in that ‘expected deaths’ is simply the average for 2015 to 2019. Thus, it does not account for rising populations in the various age cohorts. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort: New Zealand and comparator countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-deaths-by-age-cohort-new-zealand-and-comparator-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort: New Zealand and comparator countries">Read more</a>
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June 19, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While India’s well-publicised Covid19 outbreak came quickly and is well on its way out, South America continues to show the greatest difficulty in throwing off this disease. Some of the most prominent South American countries this year were not prominent in 2020. Of particular note are the ‘Guianas’: Dutch (Suriname), British ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in June 2021" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-in-june-2021/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in June 2021">Read more</a>