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October 15, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart poses one clear question. Why is the experience of the three relatively prosperous East European EU countries (Poland, Czechia, Hungary) different to that of the three West European EU countries (Spain, France, Sweden). The ‘research hypothesis’ posed here is that, while all these countries were naïve to the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Immunity Hypothesis: The European Union before the Variants and the Vaccines" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-immunity-hypothesis-the-european-union-before-the-variants-and-the-vaccines/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Immunity Hypothesis: The European Union before the Variants and the Vaccines">Read more</a>
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October 14, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Now is as good a time as any to evaluate and reflect on the public health policy choices made in the period from February to April 2020, re the Covid19 pandemic. Here I have postulated a ‘league’ of 12 economically advanced countries which have made different choices which loosely fit onto ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Premier League: Spectrum of Public Health Choices" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/14/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-premier-league-spectrum-of-public-health-choices/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Premier League: Spectrum of Public Health Choices">Read more</a>
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October 12, 2021
Analysis Keith Rankin, 12 Oct 2021 Egypt is the world’s 14th largest country by population. It’s the one of the only two African countries on the ourworldindata database. It’s also a major travel destination. The excess deaths data reveals that Egypt has suffered far worse from the Covid19 pandemic than the official reported data indicates, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Impact: Four Middle-East Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/12/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-impact-four-middle-east-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Impact: Four Middle-East Countries">Read more</a>
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October 8, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Russia is a former superpower with a long tradition of scientific achievement. It remains the world’s second largest nuclear power. Yet pre-covid life expectancy in Russia was just 72.6, and Russia has a higher median population than New Zealand, despite having comparatively few people aged over 80. The Russian people have ... <a title="Covid19 Impact: Four Countries of Interest Russia, Serbia, Ireland, Japan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/08/covid19-impact-four-countries-of-interest-russia-serbia-ireland-japan/" aria-label="Read more about Covid19 Impact: Four Countries of Interest Russia, Serbia, Ireland, Japan">Read more</a>
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October 6, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first thing to note – some good news – is that the sixth wave of Covid19 is on the wane. For the first wave, see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/. In particular, look at ‘Active Cases’ in China. For the following five waves of Covid19, see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/. In particular, look at World ‘Daily Deaths’. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Global Clusters at the end of September 2021" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/06/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-global-clusters-at-the-end-of-september-2021/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Global Clusters at the end of September 2021">Read more</a>
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September 30, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Quiz Questions: Which foreign country or territory is closest to New Zealand by jetplane? Which foreign country or territory had the world’s highest per capita incidence of Covid19 last week? Before giving the answers, I would note that the worst-affected region of the world in September 2021 is the Caribbean, from ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid Immunity Calculus" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/30/keith-rankin-analysis-covid-immunity-calculus/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid Immunity Calculus">Read more</a>
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September 28, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We are learning that, in the absence of high levels of natural immunity to Covid19, New Zealand will need extremely high vaccination rates before it can repudiate its growing ‘hermit kingdom’ status. (It is important to note that the expression ‘hermit kingdom’ dates to a book title from 1882 – ‘The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Vaccination Rates and the Population Denominator" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/28/keith-rankin-analysis-vaccination-rates-and-the-population-denominator/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Vaccination Rates and the Population Denominator">Read more</a>
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September 24, 2021
Data and Analysis by Keith Rankin. The table below uses raw-death data published downloaded from https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-death-count to predict what death numbers would have occurred in 2020 and 2021 had there been no Covid19 pandemic. The actual death numbers are compared with the predicted (counterfactual) numbers to calculated excess deaths. These countries are sorted from the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Data Analysis – Table of Excess Deaths from Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/24/keith-rankin-data-analysis-table-of-excess-deaths-from-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Data Analysis – Table of Excess Deaths from Covid19">Read more</a>
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September 21, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Radio New Zealand (Checkpoint) ran stories last week about New Zealanders aged over 65 stranded in Australia who are at risk of having their pensions (‘New Zealand Superannuation’)stopped, and then having to repay the funds they received while in Australia. There is a simple solution to the problem – to just ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand Superannuation: The Rules versus Common Sense" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/21/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealand-superannuation-the-rules-versus-common-sense/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand Superannuation: The Rules versus Common Sense">Read more</a>
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September 13, 2021
Essay by Keith Rankin. New Zealand is under siege from Covid19. We can learn some things from medieval city sieges. A traditional siege takes place in a fortress, and the besieging agent waits outside the wall or the moat. The defenders also waited, in a battle of attrition; they won if the besieging attackers went ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Breaking NZ’s Covid Siege: What Needs to be Done, and When" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/13/keith-rankin-essay-breaking-nzs-covid-siege-what-needs-to-be-done-and-when/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Breaking NZ’s Covid Siege: What Needs to be Done, and When">Read more</a>
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September 7, 2021
Analysis by Bryce Edwards. The tragic terrorist attack at an Auckland shopping mall on Friday has led to a lot of debate about how it could have been prevented. It turns out authorities were well aware of Ahamed Aathill Mohamed Samsudeen’s severe mental health problems and his capacity for violent extremism if not dealt with ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Could government agencies have averted the development of a terrorist?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/07/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-could-government-agencies-have-averted-the-development-of-a-terrorist/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Could government agencies have averted the development of a terrorist?">Read more</a>
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September 3, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Dynamic living processes get into feedback loops. The most common is a negative feedback loop, whereby processes self-regulate; when something happens then something else happens, in response, to offset the initial event. If it gets cold, we put on another layer of clothing. If a consumer good becomes scarce, its price ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Pandemic Feedback" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/03/keith-rankin-essay-pandemic-feedback/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Pandemic Feedback">Read more</a>
