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May 1, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. At the end of this week, I have represented the latest summary charts with a log 10 scale, rather than the previous log 2 scale. This means that, as well as accurately showing the exponential growth pattern, the charts now emphasise ten-fold increases of Covid19 fatalities. At the top of the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: April Summary Charts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/05/01/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-april-summary-charts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: April Summary Charts">Read more</a>
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April 29, 2020
By Chris Tyler of UCL and Peter Gluckman of Koi Tū Most people think or at least hope their government is doing a good job in the face of covid-19, according to the polls. But there can be no doubt that governments around the world were ill-prepared for this pandemic. Country after country has been ... <a title="Governments knew a pandemic was a threat – why were they unprepared?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/29/governments-knew-a-pandemic-was-a-threat-why-were-they-unprepared/" aria-label="Read more about Governments knew a pandemic was a threat – why were they unprepared?">Read more</a>
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April 28, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Predictions It is dangerous to predict how pandemics will pan out. In Covid19 by the Numbers, Anatole Kaletsky (writing for Project Syndicate on 10 March 2020) used what looked like advanced analysis to conclude that at most 750,000 outside of China would contract Covid19. (He admitted he was wide of the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Will Covid-19 remain a First-World Disease?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/28/keith-rankin-analysis-will-covid-19-remain-a-first-world-disease/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Will Covid-19 remain a First-World Disease?">Read more</a>
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April 17, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s first chart looks at death rates for six major countries. We see that Spain has overtaken Italy, and that France and United Kingdom are likely to catch up with these in a week. We also note that United Kingdom death rates, as reported have been understated; these are basically hospital ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Weekly Summary Charts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/17/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-covid19-weekly-summary-charts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Weekly Summary Charts">Read more</a>
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April 15, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s first chart looks at three Nordic countries: Iceland, Norway and Sweden. These give us a basis for analysis of underreporting of Covid19, in the main due to limited testing. Yesterday, Norway was shown as a high incidence ‘recovering country’, even though it was less recovering than South Korea. Iceland, however, ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Nordic Comparisons" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/15/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-covid19-nordic-comparisons/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Covid19: Nordic Comparisons">Read more</a>
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April 14, 2020
Today’s chart looks at four countries recovering from Covid19: South Korea, Norway, Australia and New Zealand. Except for us (NZ), the other countries started early and are on the ‘finishing straight’ or thereabouts. Note that this chart uses a smoothing technique; seven-day rolling averages. Thus, for each day shown, the data value represents the average ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Recovering from Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/14/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-recovering-from-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Recovering from Covid19">Read more</a>
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April 9, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Today’s chart shows the per capita level of testing performed in a number of countries. While the highest testing rate shown is Norway, we should note that Iceland has tested over eight percent of its population; too high to show on this chart. A high level of testing minimises a country’s ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Testing for Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-testing-for-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Testing for Covid19">Read more</a>
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April 8, 2020
Op-Ed by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana The unprecedented public health emergency triggered by the COVID -19 pandemic and its multi-faceted impact on people’s lives around the world is taking a heavy toll on Asia and the Pacific. Countries in our region are striving to mitigate the massive socioeconomic impact of the pandemic, which is also expected ... <a title="OP-ED: Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/08/op-ed-asia-pacific-response-to-covid-19-and-climate-emergency-must-build-a-resilient-and-sustainable-future/" aria-label="Read more about OP-ED: Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future">Read more</a>
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April 7, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. New Zealand now has sufficient case data to get a sense of its regional distribution of Covid19. Surprisingly, Auckland is not dominant, unlike the main business cities in other countries such as London, New York, Milan and Sydney. Certainly, internationally, Covid19 is very much a city disease. The New Zealand regional ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: New Zealand Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-new-zealand-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: New Zealand Cases">Read more</a>
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April 3, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin Of the larger European countries, Italy is now in third place for known cases per person in the population. Spain has overtaken Switzerland for the dubious honour of top spot. Netherlands and France look like they will eventually converge with the top three; there is no obvious reason why they should ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Five European Countries Compared" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/03/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-five-european-countries-compared/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Five European Countries Compared">Read more</a>
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April 1, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin I was concerned to read last night that Greta Thunberg and her father almost certainly have Covid19; however, because of very restrictive testing criteria used in Sweden, they have not been tested. And I heard yesterday, on a Radio New Zealand news bulletin, a story about how there are virtually no ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Exponential Growth in Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/01/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-exponential-growth-in-italy-sweden-and-the-united-kingdom/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Exponential Growth in Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom">Read more</a>
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March 31, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin While, United States’ local data on Covid19 is more readily available than for other countries, the American ‘county’ system of local governance is way out of date and often does not well represent urban conglomerations. Doing my best from the available data, I constructed the following chart yesterday evening, and will ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States’ Deaths as at 29 March 2020" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/03/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-united-states-deaths-as-at-29-march-2020/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States’ Deaths as at 29 March 2020">Read more</a>
