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Economic research

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Financial Signatures: Portugal and New Zealand compared

June 8, 2020

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Good or Bad? Are there good or bad signature patterns for countries. The most obvious answer is that every country should ideally look like Portugal in 2019. Government sector and foreign sector balances would be close to zero. Private sector balances would also be close to zero, with household surpluses (net household ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Financial Signatures: Portugal and New Zealand compared" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/08/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-financial-signatures-portugal-and-new-zealand-compared/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Financial Signatures: Portugal and New Zealand compared">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – National Income, Spending and Debt

May 21, 2020

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above shows how a spending pie-chart may differ for a closed economy, compared to its income chart. For this example, the government sector has a financial deficit (ie a budget deficit) while the household sector has a financial surplus. In this case the government sector slice is 30% of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – National Income, Spending and Debt" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/05/21/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-national-income-spending-and-debt/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – National Income, Spending and Debt">Read more</a>

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OP-ED: Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future

April 8, 2020

Op-Ed by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana The unprecedented public health emergency triggered by the COVID -19 pandemic and its multi-faceted impact on people’s lives around the world is taking a heavy toll on Asia and the Pacific. Countries in our region are striving to mitigate the massive socioeconomic impact of the pandemic, which is also expected ... <a title="OP-ED: Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/04/08/op-ed-asia-pacific-response-to-covid-19-and-climate-emergency-must-build-a-resilient-and-sustainable-future/" aria-label="Read more about OP-ED: Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis: Division of New Zealand’s $300 billion GDP

November 27, 2019

When the annual national accounts were released by Statistics New Zealand, the $300 billion milestone was released. New Zealand now produces, for sale, goods and services valued at more than $300 billion in one year. Ownership of the gross domestic product (GDP) is called ‘income’. Deciding who, at first cut, owns those goods and services ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis: Division of New Zealand’s $300 billion GDP" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/11/27/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-division-of-new-zealands-300-billion-gdp/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis: Division of New Zealand’s $300 billion GDP">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month – Auckland and New Zealand’s Population Dynamics

August 22, 2019

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The 2018 census has had such a low compliance rate, that it really acted as a large convenience sample (therefore a biased sample) of the New Zealand population. (See my Census Survey from March 2018.) Despite the assurances we are getting, many researchers will have little confidence in its population tallies ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month – Auckland and New Zealand’s Population Dynamics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/08/22/keith-rankins-chat-of-the-month-auckland-and-new-zealands-population-dynamics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month – Auckland and New Zealand’s Population Dynamics">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month: Fiscal Balances Compared – Public Deficits offset Private Surpluses

April 15, 2019

Analysis by Keith Rankin New Zealand has a ‘fiscal responsibility’ clause in its Public Finance Act; a clause that began its life in 1994 as the Fiscal Responsibility Act. As a result, New Zealand has an effective ‘Balanced Budget policy’. A similar policy has been adopted this decade by the European Union (EU). Balanced Budget ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month: Fiscal Balances Compared – Public Deficits offset Private Surpluses" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/04/15/keith-rankins-chart-of-the-month-fiscal-balances-compared-public-deficits-offset-private-surpluses/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart of the Month: Fiscal Balances Compared – Public Deficits offset Private Surpluses">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart for the Month – Productivity Contradictions

March 27, 2019

Analysis by Keith Rankin As the public (and many economists) see it, economic growth (growth of Real GDP; marketed economic output) is the principal economic goal of a nation state. Some economists hold a (slightly) more nuanced view – for them it is productivity growth that matters – but when pressed they cannot conceive of ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart for the Month – Productivity Contradictions" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/03/27/keith-rankins-chart-for-the-month-productivity-contradictions/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart for the Month – Productivity Contradictions">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Improving New Zealand’s Immigration Statistics

February 26, 2019

Keith Rankin, 26 February 2019 Until late 2018, New Zealand’s immigration statistics have been woefully inadequate. While it has always been possible to keep taps on the total number of people in the country – through births, deaths, and net international passenger movements – ‘official’ net immigration numbers have long been calculated by stated intentions ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Improving New Zealand’s Immigration Statistics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/02/26/keith-rankins-chart-analysis-improving-new-zealands-immigration-statistics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart Analysis – Improving New Zealand’s Immigration Statistics">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Month: Crisis Postponed

December 10, 2018

By Keith Rankin There will almost certainly be another major financial crisis, just like there will be another big earthquake (or, as the Australians would instead say, another big bushfire). We can do much to improve our monitoring of systemic stresses, our awareness of critical-state dynamics, and our before-and-after mitigation processes. Wilful blindness is not ... <a title="Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Month: Crisis Postponed" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2018/12/10/keith-rankins-chart-for-this-month-crisis-postponed/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Month: Crisis Postponed">Read more</a>