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Economic research

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Keith Rankin Analysis – NZ Economic Growth over the Medium Term

July 3, 2026

Keith Rankin - The experience of the early 1990s gives context to the early 2010s; under a National-led government, as is the present non-growth experience. In the early 2010s, the recovery in New Zealand from the Global Financial Crisis was surprisingly slow; was significantly slower than it should have been.

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Jeffrey Sachs, an Inconvenient Intellectual Critic

June 24, 2026

The world becomes a rather confusing place when we see a self-ordained 'Good' doing many evil things, and 'Evil' doing some good things. The greater evil may be to label oneself – or at least one's own side – as Good, thereby (through presumption) casting the other side(s) as Evil.

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Economic Growth Update

June 18, 2026

Analysis by Keith Rankin.Role: Economic historian. Keith Rankin, 18 June 2026 – The latest quarterly economic growth data were released by Statistics today. The following chart summarises eight-quarter (ie two yearly) economic growth rates from 1990. I have colour coded the data to match the political party leading the government for each period. (Shades are lighter ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Economic Growth Update" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/06/18/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealand-economic-growth-update/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Economic Growth Update">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Truth, Accountability, and the Burden of Proof

June 11, 2026

In the movie, Mary Mapes – under inquisition – was accused of conducting her research under a 'liberal' presumption that George Bush was guilty; whereas, under formal law, accused persons should enjoy the presumption of innocence until proven otherwise. Dan Rather was accused, implicitly, of lacking judgement by going along with this...

Keith Rankin
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Keith Rankin Analysis – Retrenchment or Conjuring Trick?

May 22, 2026

Keynesian economics tells us that the most reliable circuit-breakers are exports and government spending. New Zealand's exports are booming, and have been for a while. But for New Zealand that's still far from enough; New Zealand needs a government spending circuit breaker as well.

Keith Rankin
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Keith Rankin Analysis – Fantasy Finance

May 22, 2026

I cannot imagine the age for KiwiSaver entitlement staying at 65 – what today is loosely called the 'retirement age' – while the age of pension entitlement is raised to 67 or higher. Requiring people to wait until they are 67 before they can access their retirement savings may prove to be even more unpopular than raising the pension-entitlement age.