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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Big Europe and Anglosphere
Analysis by Keith Rankin.
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covid19
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Keith Rankin on taking 39,000 Steps
Essay by Keith Rankin. Last Thursday I walked the Tongariro (Alpine) Crossing with my partner. Actually, it was my third time, having also enjoyed that beautiful volcanic walk in 1979 and 1990. This was my first time with a mobile phone in my pocket. My phone assured me that the 19½ kilometre walk took me ... <a title="Keith Rankin on taking 39,000 Steps" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/02/15/keith-rankin-on-taking-39000-steps/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on taking 39,000 Steps">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Czechia may be the key to Europe’s most lethal wave
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Before noting the role of Czechia – the Czech Republic – in the most lethal wave of the Covid19 pandemic in Europe, we should note the tragic recent circumstance of Portugal. In the first chart above, we see that Portugal, a country that in April performed very well compared to its neighbours, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Czechia may be the key to Europe’s most lethal wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/02/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-czechia-may-be-the-key-to-europes-most-lethal-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Czechia may be the key to Europe’s most lethal wave">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Deaths in Six Covid-Hot Countries
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Here I include three European countries and three others well known for their Covid19 issues. Of the European countries, Switzerland was first to be hit, and did substantially suppress the epidemic. Sweden was hit for a prolonged period, but eventually got the problem down to ‘acceptable’ levels. Slovakia – the only one ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Deaths in Six Covid-Hot Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-deaths-in-six-covid-hot-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Deaths in Six Covid-Hot Countries">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Italy and Brazil – Three Perspectives
Analysis by Keith Rankin. With Covid19, Italy shows the classic European pattern, with its early outbreak, substantial recovery thanks to lockdowns and other public health measures, and resurgence thanks to complacency and summer mingling. Brazil, on the other hand, shows a pattern, even more extreme than the USA, of an outbreak that did not go away. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Italy and Brazil – Three Perspectives" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-italy-and-brazil-three-perspectives/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Italy and Brazil – Three Perspectives">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries in the New Year
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The countries with the most recent large outbreaks of Covid19 are those with large numbers of recent recorded cases, but yet to record the deaths that most likely will result. In this camp, this time, are Ireland, Israel (its third major outbreak), and Lebanon. Of these, only Israel features in my ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries in the New Year" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worst-countries-in-the-new-year/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries in the New Year">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium and Ireland – Three Perspectives
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In my latest charts, I include a robust set of estimates of actual proportion of people who have – or have had – Covid19. The principal basis for these estimates is the number of deaths being recorded. Using the appropriate log scale for such charts, we can see that Belgium’s ‘second ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium and Ireland – Three Perspectives" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-belgium-and-ireland-three-perspectives/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium and Ireland – Three Perspectives">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The parts of the USA with the highest Covid19 death rates – New Jersey and New York City – have lost two in every thousand persons in their populations. That’s consistent with 40 percent of the populations of these places having been infected with the disease, based on a 0.5% case ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-united-states-in-december-compared-to-march/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We in New Zealand hear so little about the tragedy unfolding in Eastern Europe, including the Baltic and Caucasian States. These countries have very cold winters, increased inequality, poverty, and popular nationalism (aka ‘populism’). But they are low on the queue for media coverage (and we don’t tend to regard anti ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/21/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worst-countries-pre-christmas/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient
Analysis by Keith Rankin. 2020 has been the year of the scientist, or at least the public health scientist. Science is a method, not a discipline; it includes social science, because social science does at least notionally apply the scientific method. While being about the discovery of truth, the scientific method implies that truth (with ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/18/keith-rankin-analysis-science-the-good-the-ugly-the-false-and-the-expedient/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark
Analysis by Keith Rankin – estimates, magnitudes, and new countries to be concerned about. In mid-November, I published Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude. I used Turkey as my example of a Covid19 magnitude 3 country, and South Korea as my magnitude 2 example. Today, less than a month later, Turkey is now looking like a magnitude ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worsening-incidence-in-asia-usa-and-denmark/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark">Read more</a>
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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Transmission and Convergence
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week, Covid19 cases in most large European countries are passing their peak following four months of exponential growth, thanks to belated new ‘lockdown’ restrictions. The exception – or laggard – is Germany, which has generally been praised as the European exemplar of how Covid19 should be managed. Germany has converged with ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Transmission and Convergence" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-transmission-and-convergence/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Transmission and Convergence">Read more</a>