CoveragePost
September 21, 2025
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Yesterday the provisional Quarterly Economic Growth data was released. It showed that, seasonally adjusted, remunerated output (ie GDP, gross domestic product) fell 0.9% in April-to-June compared to January-to-March. While the resulting media hoo-ha overstated the significance of this result, there was still very little coverage of the underlying problem; New Zealand ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Structural Recession" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/09/21/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-structural-recession/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Structural Recession">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 19, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the European Union at least, mortality data is now available until close to the end of 2023. In northern Europe, mortality has been markedly higher than it should have been in the ‘Fall’ – autumn – of 2023. The main exception is Poland. Respiratory illness is most likely the culprit. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-mortality-to-fall-2023-mainly-northeast-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe">Read more</a>
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September 7, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows total deaths in a number of comparable countries with high or highish life expectancies. The countries with most deaths have older populations. New Zealand should perhaps be compared most with Ireland, Scotland, Denmark and Finland; all countries with just over five million people. And with Australia. Australian ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-deaths-as-an-indicator-of-population-age-structure-and-the-increasing-demand-for-health-care/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care">Read more</a>
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August 7, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. These three countries are very useful comparators because they have broadly similar demographics – especially population age structures – to each other. Further they have comparable living standards. The Republic of Ireland has a population the same size as New Zealand (and a similar climate); Australia has close to five ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Seasonal Profile of Deaths in Ireland, New Zealand, and Australia: 2015-2023" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/08/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-seasonal-profile-of-deaths-in-ireland-new-zealand-and-australia-2015-2023/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Seasonal Profile of Deaths in Ireland, New Zealand, and Australia: 2015-2023">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 21, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The Pandemic can be assessed a bit like games of football, with deaths being the score. (Or, given that there are many ‘teams’ competing together, a better analogy may be a Marathon race. Nevertheless, I will use the language of the football metaphor.) The winning country would be that with the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Mortality Assessment – the Pandemic ‘World Cup’" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/06/21/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-mortality-assessment-the-pandemic-world-cup/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Mortality Assessment – the Pandemic ‘World Cup’">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 13, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart draws on the historical ‘births, deaths, and marriages’ dataset published by the Ministry of Internal Affairs. It’s a major resource for genealogical research. The database for 13 June 2023 showed the deaths of all people whose deaths were registered in New Zealand on or before 13 June 1973. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Granny Smith" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/06/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-granny-smith/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Granny Smith">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
April 13, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Over Easter I relistened to Jim Mora’s RNZ interview (17 May 2020) of Johan Giesecke, “world leading epidemiologist” and Professor Emeritus at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden. In the period April to June 2020, Sweden gained notoriety for its divergent public health policies with respect to the management of the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Sweden and Covid19: Three Years after the World’s Attention" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/04/13/keith-rankin-analysis-sweden-and-covid19-three-years-after-the-worlds-attention/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Sweden and Covid19: Three Years after the World’s Attention">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
April 3, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. A pandemic can end in three ways. Either the death rates attributed to the pandemic disease cease, or at least drop back to pre-pandemic levels. Or normality is re-established, with the pandemic disease still present, but displacing other causes of death. Or a ‘new normal’ is established, with higher ongoing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Post-Pandemic: Back to Normal?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/04/03/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-post-pandemic-back-to-normal/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Post-Pandemic: Back to Normal?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
March 27, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The ‘Young Elderly’ are in essence the post-war baby-boomers. An average young elderly person in these charts was born around 1950 to 1952. The charts look at ‘quarterly excess deaths’, so do not show week-by-week fluctuations in deaths. For example, data for the very end of 2022 covers the whole ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Pandemic: Young Elderly Deaths in Europe, USA and New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/03/27/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-pandemic-young-elderly-deaths-in-europe-usa-and-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Pandemic: Young Elderly Deaths in Europe, USA and New Zealand">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
March 14, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Germany’s Deadliest Weeks since World War Two? – Spiralling Deaths in Germany The four weeks ending 8 January 2023 have seen easily the most deaths in Germany of any four‑week period since 2015. The worst week was the week ending Christmas Day, with 28,481 deaths. While it’s hard to compare with pre-1990 ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Germany’s Deadliest Weeks since World War Two?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/03/14/keith-rankin-analysis-germanys-deadliest-weeks-since-world-war-two/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Germany’s Deadliest Weeks since World War Two?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
March 12, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above is quite alarming, and not only because of Germany’s high death toll. It’s the difference between reported Covid19 deaths and excess deaths, in the context where four waves of excess deaths in Germany in 2022 are clearly ‘epidemic’ in nature. And we see the same death waves in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Spikes and Covid Dissonance? Examples of Germany and Denmark" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/03/12/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-death-spikes-and-covid-dissonance-examples-of-germany-and-denmark/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Spikes and Covid Dissonance? Examples of Germany and Denmark">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
March 8, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 7 March 2023 I published a summary table of death tallies in a wide range of countries, comparing 2019‑2022 with 2015‑2018. (Covid19 Pandemic-era Facts: Irrefutable, Inconvenient, Important, Evening Report.) I let the data stand on its own, largely without interpretation. The most important findings to explain are the reasons why Sweden ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Pandemic-era Deaths: Interpretation of the Facts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/03/08/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-pandemic-era-deaths-interpretation-of-the-facts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19 Pandemic-era Deaths: Interpretation of the Facts">Read more</a>
