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October 30, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s charts show three small economically prosperous European countries with similar populations; Belgium has 11.6 million people, Switzerland 8.6 million, and Sweden has 10.1 million. Belgium has the third highest per capita death toll in the world from Covid-19; only Peru and little San Marino have had more deaths. Belgium got ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium, Switzerland and Sweden" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-belgium-switzerland-and-sweden/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium, Switzerland and Sweden">Read more</a>
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October 22, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart shows the average numbers of votes cast – on and before election day – in New Zealand’s different regions. In principle, all electorates have the same population, with electorate boundaries drawn with reference to population quotas based on census returns. However, each electorate may be up to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-election-day-demographics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics">Read more</a>
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October 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart looks at a familiar island country with the same population as New Zealand. The chart shows daily cases at the top, and daily deaths at the bottom; and it includes world averages for comparison. The most striking recent feature on the Ireland chart is the straight-line (exponential) growth ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: New European Outbreak" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-new-european-outbreak/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: New European Outbreak">Read more</a>
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October 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I recently encountered the concept “pay it forward”, with reference to a debt. While it was in a personal context that I came across this concept, on reflection I am wondering why – as a follower of news media – I have never heard the concept in any current affairs discussion. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Public Debt: Pay it Back or Pay it Forward?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/16/keith-rankin-analysis-public-debt-pay-it-back-or-pay-it-forward/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Public Debt: Pay it Back or Pay it Forward?">Read more</a>
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October 14, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This 21st century epoch is coming to be one of ‘existential crises’, meaning that various large-scale dangers are increasingly coming to be seen to threaten ‘our’ existence, where ‘our’ most commonly relates to people, but may also relate to multicellular life on Earth. An existential catastrophe might fall short of human ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Existential Concerns" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/14/keith-rankin-analysis-existential-concerns/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Existential Concerns">Read more</a>
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October 9, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Over the last month, I enjoyed watching Origins on TV1. Very ambitiously, it looked at the origins of Tangata Whenua, going all the way back to the origins of humanity in Africa. Nevertheless, the final episode in particular bothered me. It presented a somewhat uncritical view of the ‘Express Train from ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Aotearoan Origins" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/09/keith-rankin-analysis-aotearoan-origins/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Aotearoan Origins">Read more</a>
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October 8, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week the World Health Organisation (WHO) suggested that ten percent of the world’s population may have been infected with Covid19. While my estimates fall well short of this number for the world as a whole, they certainly show many countries with higher infection rates to date than ten percent. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid-19 Case Estimates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/08/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-case-estimates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid-19 Case Estimates">Read more</a>
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September 25, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The most recent TVNZ Colmar Brunton poll felt about right: Labour/Green on 54% and National/Act on 38% of decided voters. But I sense that Labour is losing momentum. What needs to happen to make Judith Collins the Prime Minister in October? National/Act need just five percentage points more, and Green to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The 2020 New Zealand Election is Not a Foregone Conclusion" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/25/keith-rankin-analysis-the-2020-new-zealand-election-is-not-a-foregone-conclusion/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The 2020 New Zealand Election is Not a Foregone Conclusion">Read more</a>
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September 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In mid-September, new cases of Covid19 are higher than they have ever been. (See here for previous weekly charts, which included the ‘little’ countries.) While this still-rising incidence is partly due to more testing, it is also due to significant new outbreaks in the Levant (Israel, Palestine, Lebanon) and in Europe. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in mid-September: New Cases, Worst Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/18/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-in-mid-september-new-cases-worst-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in mid-September: New Cases, Worst Cases">Read more</a>
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September 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Definition ‘Balance sheet recession’ is an innocuous name for a very big economic event. It represents a particular kind of contraction of a country’s economy – or of the global economy – in which one of the most important laws of ‘financial economics’ is practically disabled; that is the economic law ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Balance Sheet Recessions, and the Government Debt Fix" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/18/keith-rankin-analysis-balance-sheet-recessions-and-the-government-debt-fix/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Balance Sheet Recessions, and the Government Debt Fix">Read more</a>
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September 11, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart shows the growth of Covid19 in Australia using an arithmetic scale. This means the axis labels on the left increase by a given number of cases; in this chart it is increments of 5,000 cases per 10 million people. Australia is currently sitting on just over 10,000 cases ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Australia to Scale" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-australia-to-scale/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Australia to Scale">Read more</a>
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September 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Before the 1950s My MA thesis was about labour supply in New Zealand and Australia during the 1920s and 1930s, with particular reference to the 1930s’ ‘Great Depression’. The central finding related to the workings of whanau as an economic unit, and how the loss of income to the ‘family breadwinner’ – ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Added-Worker Effect, in Economic Hard Times" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/10/keith-rankin-analysis-the-added-worker-effect-in-economic-hard-times/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Added-Worker Effect, in Economic Hard Times">Read more</a>
