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November 23, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. To the surprise of most pundits, substantial real estate price inflation has resumed, after a hiatus from 2017 to 2019. As to be expected, most of the usual tropes have been employed: a lack of supply, immigration (in this latest case returning New Zealanders), and low interest rates. The only missing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Fixing the 2020 New Zealand House Price Bubble" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/23/keith-rankin-analysis-fixing-the-2020-new-zealand-house-price-bubble/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Fixing the 2020 New Zealand House Price Bubble">Read more</a>
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November 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today I have chosen six countries, each with Covid19 case experiences over the last three weeks (days 250 to 270) that are orders of magnitude apart. A country with 1,000 daily cases per 100 million people is classed as magnitude three; that’s three zeros after the ‘one’. A country with 1 ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/18/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-orders-of-magnitude/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude">Read more</a>
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November 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the world’s most economically developed countries, including three of the most developed in Eastern Europe (Slovenia, Hungary and Czechia), and one of the most developed in South America (Uruguay). In early November, the countries with the most positive results are all clustered around Austria, in central Europe. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Test Positivity Rates are a Measure of a Country’s Covid-19 Outbreak" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-test-positivity-rates-are-a-measure-of-a-countrys-covid-19-outbreak/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Test Positivity Rates are a Measure of a Country’s Covid-19 Outbreak">Read more</a>
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November 12, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The Linear Political Spectrum In both New Zealand and United States, we have just seen the political success of the one-dimensional political centre; perhaps a nudge to the left of centre. By one-dimensional (or ‘linear’), we mean the traditional left-right political spectrum, whereby the ‘right’ means private capitalism aligned with institutional ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The New ‘Centre-Left’ Establishment" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/12/keith-rankin-analysis-the-new-centre-left-establishment/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The New ‘Centre-Left’ Establishment">Read more</a>
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November 6, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart shows the resurgence of Covid19 in Europe, with Eastern Europe now much more prominent than before. The only countries in the Americas to appear in this chart are the Martinique (French Caribbean), United States and Argentina. There are no countries showing from Asia (excl. the Middle East and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Cases in the Week to 4 November" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/06/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-cases-in-the-week-to-4-november/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Cases in the Week to 4 November">Read more</a>
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November 2, 2020
Article by Keith Rankin. New Zealand’s most egregious placename Over an extended Labour Weekend, I undertook a four-day road trip from Auckland to Cromwell. It was great to reconnect on the way with places like Taihape, Blenheim, Kaikoura, Ashburton, and Fairlie; and to appreciate that this was possible in an environment where almost nobody felt ... <a title="Keith Rankin – Cromwell and all that" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/02/keith-rankin-cromwell-and-all-that/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin – Cromwell and all that">Read more</a>
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October 30, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s charts show three small economically prosperous European countries with similar populations; Belgium has 11.6 million people, Switzerland 8.6 million, and Sweden has 10.1 million. Belgium has the third highest per capita death toll in the world from Covid-19; only Peru and little San Marino have had more deaths. Belgium got ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium, Switzerland and Sweden" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-belgium-switzerland-and-sweden/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium, Switzerland and Sweden">Read more</a>
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October 22, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart shows the average numbers of votes cast – on and before election day – in New Zealand’s different regions. In principle, all electorates have the same population, with electorate boundaries drawn with reference to population quotas based on census returns. However, each electorate may be up to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-election-day-demographics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics">Read more</a>
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October 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart looks at a familiar island country with the same population as New Zealand. The chart shows daily cases at the top, and daily deaths at the bottom; and it includes world averages for comparison. The most striking recent feature on the Ireland chart is the straight-line (exponential) growth ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: New European Outbreak" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-new-european-outbreak/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: New European Outbreak">Read more</a>
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October 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I recently encountered the concept “pay it forward”, with reference to a debt. While it was in a personal context that I came across this concept, on reflection I am wondering why – as a follower of news media – I have never heard the concept in any current affairs discussion. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Public Debt: Pay it Back or Pay it Forward?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/16/keith-rankin-analysis-public-debt-pay-it-back-or-pay-it-forward/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Public Debt: Pay it Back or Pay it Forward?">Read more</a>
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October 14, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This 21st century epoch is coming to be one of ‘existential crises’, meaning that various large-scale dangers are increasingly coming to be seen to threaten ‘our’ existence, where ‘our’ most commonly relates to people, but may also relate to multicellular life on Earth. An existential catastrophe might fall short of human ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Existential Concerns" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/14/keith-rankin-analysis-existential-concerns/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Existential Concerns">Read more</a>
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October 9, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Over the last month, I enjoyed watching Origins on TV1. Very ambitiously, it looked at the origins of Tangata Whenua, going all the way back to the origins of humanity in Africa. Nevertheless, the final episode in particular bothered me. It presented a somewhat uncritical view of the ‘Express Train from ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Aotearoan Origins" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/09/keith-rankin-analysis-aotearoan-origins/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Aotearoan Origins">Read more</a>
