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Paul Buchanan: Unanswered Questions About the Jon Stephenson V NZ Defence Force Case

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Opinion by Dr Paul G. Buchanan. This article was originally published on Kiwipolitico.com.
See Also:
[caption id="attachment_4185" align="alignright" width="150"]Dr Paul G. Buchanan, principal of 36th Parallel Assessments. Dr Paul G. Buchanan, principal of 36th Parallel Assessments.[/caption]

Although it has been shamefully underreported by major media outlets in NZ, war correspondent Jon Stephenson has won his defamation case against the New Zealand Defence Force by forcing a settlement that involves significant compensation and an admission by the military that its defamatory statements about Mr. Stephenson were indeed untrue.

It remains to be seen if the Prime Minister John Key will do the same, since he opined at the time the controversy erupted over Mr. Stephenson’s internationally recognised article “Eyes Wide Shut” in Metro Magazine (May 2011) that Mr. Stephenson was, to paraphrase closely, “unstable” as well as “unreliable.”

That has been proven to be false. Let us be clear: Mr. Stephenson may be driven, but unlike his main accusers when it comes to reporting on the NZDF he is by no means unreliable or a liar.

I wrote the following as a comment over at The Standard but feel that it is worth sharing here:

“I suspect that we have only seen the tip of the iceberg when it comes to the unethical behaviour of the NZDF and political leadership in this affair. Remember that there is a MoD involved and the respective ministers then and now (Coleman and Brownlee). There are more officers involved than retired generals Rhys Jones and Jerry Mateparae, some who currently hold senior positions within the NZDF. There is the behaviour of Crown Law to consider. There is the slander on Jon’s character uttered by the PM.

I can only hope that the terms of the settlement do not prevent Jon from publishing more details of his case, including the way in which the legal process unfolded, the obstacles to discovery encountered, and the extra-curriculars surrounding them.

[caption id="attachment_7549" align="alignright" width="300"]Jon Stephenson - Image courtesy of Metro magazine. Jon-Stephenson – Image courtesy of Metro magazine.[/caption]

Whatever happens, for once in a long time one of the genuine good guys won. Were it that other members of the press corps (Nicky Hager excepted) had the integrity and courage exhibited by Jon both in the field as well as on the home front.

Kia kaha Jon!”

Beyond what I have written above, there are some other questions that arise from this saga.

For example, in 2013 Nicky Hager revealed that the NZDF electronically spied on Mr. Stephenson in 2012 using NSA, GCSB and SIS assets while he was in Afghanistan.

At the same time an internal Defence manual was leaked to the media that identified “certain investigative journalists” as hostile subversion threats requiring counteraction because they might obtain politically sensitive information (one does not have to have much imagination in order to figure out who they are referring to). In parallel, reports emerged that NZDF officials were sharing their views of Mr. Stephenson with Afghan counterparts, referring to him in the same derogatory terms and implying that his work was traitorous or treasonous.

Taken together, both the spying on Mr. Stephenson and the characterisation of him passed on to NZDF Afghan allies can be seen as a means of counteracting his reporting.

But if so, what national security threat did he really pose?

Is politically sensitive information necessarily a threat to national security or is merely a threat to the political actors being reported on?

Is intimidation part of what the NZDF considers to be proper counteraction when it comes to journalists plying their trade in a war zone?

And since any counteraction or counter-intelligence operations had to be cleared and authorised by the NZDF and political leadership, were both of the types used against Mr. Stephenson authorised by then NZDF Chief Lieutenant General Richard Rhys Jones and/or Mr. Key?

They deny doing so but if that is true, who did and how was it passed down the chain of command to the field commanders in Afghanistan (because, at a minimum, the order to “counter” Mr. Stephenson could be construed as illegal and therefore challengeable–but it never was)?

Leaving aside the legitimate role of independent journalism in a democracy in holding policy makers–including military leaders–to account, what does it say about the NZDF that it sees such work as subversive?

More alarmingly, if the reports are true, what exactly did the NZDF leadership hope to accomplish by telling Afghans, while Mr. Stephenson was in Afghanistan, that he was a threat to them?

[caption id="attachment_7550" align="alignright" width="300"]Lieutenant General Rhys Jones (left) and Sir Jerry Mateparae (centre). Image: NZ Navy. Lieutenant General Rhys Jones (left) and Sir Jerry Mateparae (centre). Image: NZ Navy.[/caption]

Then there is the issue of the lie. General Rhys Jones claimed that, contrary to what was written in his story, Mr. Stephenson never visited the base in which the Crisis Response Unit (to which NZ SAS were attached) was located and did not talk to its commander. That was a direct challenge to Mr. Stephenson’s journalistic integrity. Mr. Stephenson sued for defamation and during the first trial (which bizarrely ended in a hung jury) the NZDF and Rhys Jones himself admitted that Mr. Stephenson’s version was true.

So why didn’t the trial stop right there?

The moment the truth of Mr. Stephenson’s story was admitted by Rhys Jones, it was supposed to be game, set and match to the journalist.

But instead the Crown spent hundreds of thousands of taxpayer dollars continuing to litigate in that trial and then the follow-up court process that was ended by the recently announced settlement. Why so?

The answer to the last questions seems to be that, like in the Zaoui and Urewera 18 case, the Crown prefers to bleed its adversaries emotionally and financially even when it knows that it can not win. This death by a thousand cuts approach, courtesy of the taxpayers largesse, is as unethical as it is cynical and undermines the belief that justice in New Zealand is blind and universal.

There are many other questions that need to be answered about the treatment of Mr. Stephenson.

  • Is it true that media outlets were pressured to not accept his work on penalty of getting the cold shoulder from the government?
  • Did NZDF officials physically threaten Mr. Stephenson in New Zealand?
  • Did the intelligence services spy on Mr. Stephenson above and beyond what was reported by Mr. Hager, both at home and abroad, and are they doing so now, and on what grounds if so?
  • Did NZDF and/or MoD and/or PMDC and/or Crown Law officials conspire, either solely or together,  to cover up, obstruct, alter, destroy or otherwise impede the release of evidence to Mr. Stephenson’s lawyers at any point in the legal proceedings?

My sincere hope is that the settlement agreed to by Mr. Stephenson and NZDF does not preclude the former from writing about his experiences with the NZDF, both in Afghanistan and during the trials. Hopefully he will be able to answer some of the questions I have posed above. I say this because something stinks about the way this affair has been handled at the highest levels of government, which is not only a stain on the individuals involved but a direct affront to basic tenets of liberal democracy.

[caption id="attachment_7548" align="aligncenter" width="963"]Metro - Eyes Wide Shut, May 2011. Metro – Eyes Wide Shut, May 2011.[/caption]

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for October 05, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 13 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Monday 5th October.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the Government launching the first ever National Science Strategy which aims to increase funding for science, the Council of Trade Unions saying WorkSafe has stepped up but is still not fully doing its job as a safety regulator and further delays on an announcement on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) until tomorrow morning.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Ranga-Bidois Whānau Papakāinga ‘an outstanding example of a whānau-led housing initiative’; Māori Housing Network to build on Māori housing success; Fijians urged to treasure their language; Supporting people with mental health issues;First National Science Strategy launched; Changes to strengthen international science fund; Waitangi Tribunal decision;Six banks awarded All-of-Government contracts; English to IMF and World Bank this week

Labour: Sexual assault at Wiri prison another Serco failure; Seven year science wait wasn’t worth it; English should send himself to Australia

New Zealand First: Clark urges TPPA signing but we’ve had other poor deals; Speech: Circus or Soap Opera and Foreseen Circumstances; New Zealand First Congratulates Dr Joe Williams

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

ENVIRONMENT REPORT: Caritas Aotearoa New Zealand’s State of the Environment Report for Oceania 2015 – Caring for our Common Home was presented today in Wellington. Read more:http://www.caritas.org.nz/sites/default/files/PER_2015_web.pdf

FIJI LANGUAGE WEEK: Fiji Language Week begins today, with the theme “Noqu vosa, noqu iyau talei – My language, my treasure”. A list of events marking Fiji Language Week may be found at http://www.mpia.govt.nz

FIREWORKS RULES: The Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) is reminding importers and retailers of their obligations around the importation, sale and safe storage of fireworks. Read Your Guide to Selling Retail Fireworkshttp://www.epa.govt.nz/Publications/Your-Guide-to-Selling-Retail-Fireworks.pdf and about importing fireworks:http://www.epa.govt.nz/hazardous-substances/importing-manufacturing/explosives/Pages/Retail%20Fireworks.aspx

FMA REPORT: The Financial Markets Authority’s (FMA) latest report into KiwiSaver activity shows funds flowing into KiwiSaver at an all-time high during the 12 months to 31 March 2015. View the Report here:http://fma.govt.nz/assets/Reports/151005-FMA-KiwiSaver-Report-2015.pdf

GENDER PAY GAP: The Human Rights Commission’s Tracking Equality at Work (TEW) reveals that women and young people are more likely to be paid less than any other New Zealand workers. Pacific women were at the bottom of the pay ladder.Find out more about Tracking Equality at Work https://www.hrc.co.nz/your-rights/employment-opportunities/our-work/tracking-equality-work/

MĀORI HOUSING NETWORK: The Māori Housing Network has been set up under Te Puni Kōkiri to support Māori-led housing initiatives and develop greater Māori capability in the sector. For more information go tohttp://www.tpk.govt.nz/en/whakamahia/maori-housing-network

MENTAL HEALTH: The theme of this year’s mental health awareness week (5-11 October) is ‘Give – Give your time, your words and your presence’. For more information on this year’s theme ‘Give’, one of the five ways to wellbeing, and what people can do to support others, visit the Mental Health Foundation’s awareness week website:http://www.mhaw.nz

MPI FOOD WARNING: The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) is extending its food safety warning on imported coconut milk products and coconut milk powder to include new products. Find out more: Food Smart website –http://www.foodsmart.govt.nz/elibrary/consumer/recall-imported-coconut-milk-drinks.htm

NATIONAL SCIENCE STRATEGY: Science and Innovation Minister Steven Joyce has today launched the inaugural National Statement of Science Investment (NSSI), which sets the long-term strategic direction for the Government’s investment in science. Read more: http://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/first-national-science-strategy-launched andhttp://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/science-innovation/national-statement-science-investment

RENEWABLE ENERGY: The International Energy Agency is forecasting a rise in the use of renewable electricity in the next 5 years. It says 26 percent of all electricity worldwide will be from wind, solar, hydro and geothermal sources by 2020. More details at: https://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2015/october/renewables-to-lead-world-power-market-growth-to-2020.html

TE REO MĀORI SCHOLARSHIPS: Known as the Te Taura Whiri i te Reo Māori and Ngā Pae o te Māramatanga – ‘Kia Ita’ Scholarship, five awards will be available to post graduate Masters students to help support research capacity and capability for te reo Māori. Read more:http://www. maramatanga.ac.nz/npm-grants

TOURISM INDUSTRY AWARDS: The Air New Zealand Supreme Tourism Industry Awards,managed by the Tourism Industry Association New Zealand (TIA) with Award Partners Air New Zealand and the Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment, the awards were announced over the weekend. For more information go tohttp://www.tourismawards.co.nz

WORLD BANK: The World Bank says extreme poverty will fall this year to less than 10 percent of the global population for the first time. According to the bank’s projections, about 702 million people, or 9.6 percent of the world population, will live below the poverty line this year, mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa and Asia. Read more:http://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/policy-research-note-03-ending-extreme-poverty-and-sharing-prosperity-progress-and-policies

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Monday 5th October.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

Jane Kelsey: TPPA ministerial extended another day, still stuck on meds and dairy

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Professor Jane Kelsey. Professor Jane Kelsey.[/caption]

Trade ministers desperate to conclude a  Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) at their meeting in Atlanta have extended the conclusion of their talks for another day, according to Professor Jane Kelsey who is in monitoring the negotiations.

Time is running out. They have one more day before the major players from the US, Japan, Canada, Mexico and Australia leave for the G-20 ministerial meeting in Istanbul that starts on Monday.

According to Professor Kelsey, the sticking points are still the pharmaceutical industry’s monopoly over biologics medicines and market access for dairy. The autos issue seems to have subsided.

On biologics, the US and Australia have worked overnight to find words that would allow countries to provide 5 rather than 8 years monopoly protection. The US was originally demanding 12 years. Even the compromise being sought would have major impacts on five countries that currently do not cover biologics in their domestic laws.

NOTE: US and Australian negotiators have been seeking a compromise over the wording on biologics but have not formally agreed on such wording. Nor has any wording been put to the other 10 parties to the TPP negotiations.

But Professor Kelsey warns that a ‘final’ TPPA that assumes any compromise wording would survive the US political process could be built on sand, as the US could still demand a longer term as a quid pro quo for making concessions on other areas.

Allowing countries to keep their current 5 years would have to pass the scrutiny of the US Congress and, more significantly, the process whereby the US certifies the other country has complied with the US understanding of its obligations under agreement. Professor Kelsey observed that ‘any flexibility given to New Zealand on biologics to allow us to keep our current 5 years of data exclusivity could prove an illusion at that final hurdle.’ 

As for dairy, the chess game remains much the same: what Canada and Japan have given the US is not enough to satisfy the US industry that it can compensate for increased market access to New Zealand.

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Keith Rankin on Australia’s Ireland

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. This article was also published on TheDailyBlog.co.nz.

Australians who happened to be born in New Zealand are being rounded up, locked up in hard-core detention facilities, and marooned. What’s this about? What exactly is New Zealand’s relationship with Australia?

In short, New Zealand is Australia’s Ireland. Further, in British eyes, it always was.

Some history. New Zealand was called ‘New Zealand’ because of its discovery by Europeans in 1642 by employees of the Dutch East India Company (VOC); their captain was Abel Tasman. Australia had likewise been ‘discovered’ 36 years earlier, and had been named New Holland. There was a nice symmetry about this; most directors of the VOC were from Holland, with the remainder being from Zeeland. These were the early years of the Dutch United Provinces, one of Europe’s first ever republics.

In 1770 James Cook ‘discovered’ New Holland’s eastern coast. Initially named ‘New Wales’ by Cook, for reasons unknown this was revised to New South Wales. Before 1836, British-settled eastern Australia was generally known as New South Wales, and the remainder of Australia as New Holland. Then the colony of South Australia (never part of NSW) was proclaimed. New South Wales reached its greatest extent in the year 1840, when it incorporated New Zealand. In the 1850s, Victoria and Queensland broke away from New South Wales.

From Britain’s perspective, New Zealand as part of New South Wales was only a temporary expedient. Rather, the British thought of New Zealand as New Ireland, with Ireland being beyond Wales rather than of Wales; over a saline ‘ditch’. Unfortunately for the British there was already a New Ireland (in what is now known as the ‘Bismarck Archipelago’, and named in 1767 by a British sea-captain, Philip Carteret). Never mind, the British simply called our triple crown ‘New Ulster’, ‘New Munster’ and ‘New Leinster’; the ‘New Ireland’ was implicit. In the 1846 constitution some token realism took place. Stewart Island did not really compare with Greater Dublin. And Wellington was more connected with Nelson and Christchurch than with Auckland. So New Zealand was re-divided by the British into two New Irish provinces; New Ulster north of the Patea River mouth, New Munster south of that line.

The United Kingdom was formed as a union of England/Wales, Scotland and Ireland in 1801. The Union Jack is a blend of the crosses of St George (England), St Andrew (Scotland) and St Patrick (Ireland). Ireland was very much the subservient part of the Union, and was treated with much contempt by the English in particular, who saw the civilised world as being across the Channel to its southeast, not across its ditch to the northwest. Although much of industrial Britain was constructed with Irish labour, the Irish were always second-class citizens – really denizens – to English eyes.

Unlike the Irish, New Zealanders fortuitously averted their neighbour’s yoke after only 14 months of attachment, in 1841. The ‘troubles’ that occurred persistently between the Irish ‘home rulers’ and the English-dominated Westminster government were legendary, and will enter their penultimate phase soon if Britain votes to leave the European Union. (The final phase will be the resolution of the Northern Irish question in a post EU United Kingdom; or a post-EU England. Maybe Northern Ireland will be separated by a Hungarian-style fence erected by the Irish to close Ireland’s EU back door to England’s millions of resident denizens?)

New Zealand averted a second opportunity for Irish-style ‘troubles’ by not joining the Commonwealth of Australia in 1901. For 100 years, while Australia looked the other way (to its far northwest in the main, but also, from the 1950s, to its far northeast across the Pacific), we pretended to be a rivalrous sibling; equal though smaller. Australia, not able to govern us, simply ignored us. To Britain, New Zealand was literally eclipsed by Australia. To Britons, New Zealand exists ‘as if’ it was an Australian state. We reinforce this particularly English perception, by appearing through our symbols to be something like New Anglesey. To the British, Auckland since the 1950s has become the Holyhead rather than the Dublin of the south.

To Australia New Zealand became its Ireland in the late 1980s. (Or was it March 1946 when Australia played New Zealand at test cricket and contemptuously refused to play New Zealand again until 1974?) That was when gross national income (GNI, formerly GNP) per person in New Zealand fell by about 20% against that in Australia. Prior to that the two countries’ per capita incomes were close enough to the same. The legacy of Rogernomics, however, was to make the Tasman Sea crossing close to one-way traffic in labour; with a small offsetting flow of junior managers in Australia doing time in New Zealand to build their careers.

By 2001, New Zealand’s stereotyped role as Bondi crims and dole bludgers was well established. Air New Zealand bought the dying Ansett Airlines (because the Australian government had reneged on CER provisions to allow Air NZ to fly within Australia), and imported Australian managers. It was not clear who took over whom. When Ansett and its New Zealand parent became insolvent in September 2001, many Australians thought it was all New Zealand’s fault. The New Zealand Airforce had to rescue Helen Clark from Australia when her flight was picketed. “The Kiwi bashing generally has become very vicious,” Clark said. Earlier that year, Australia unilaterally disqualified New Zealand-born residents from rights to tertiary education support, and disqualified New Zealand-born participants in the ‘reserve army of labour’ from rights to unemployment benefits.

New Zealanders came to live and work in Australia as denizens, not as Anzacs; and were looked upon generically as the English looked upon the Irish. While I like Australia, and I like the Australians who know me, I also understand that Australia has become as much ‘another country’ as any other ‘other country’.

We are now seeing the full playing-out of this new ‘guest worker’ relationship. New Zealand-born Australians have become substantial victims of a process within Australia in which a clear divide is growing between denizen workers and citizens. The Saudi-isation of Australia.

New Zealand has to accept that it is not a much-loved bastard sibling of the former Australian colonies. Rather New Zealand is just another foreign nation dealing with an essentially xenophobic neighbour. We need to get used to this. It’s part of our journey towards actual independence within a world of Wilsonian nation states. (This ‘sovereign nation’ system may not be the best system of geopolitical organisation, but it’s nevertheless the system that became firmly entrenched last century, and is therefore what we accept as reality.)

New Zealand has to separate from its past attachments. Ireland has largely separated from its British attachments; generally for the better, despite the Eurozone crisis. While Britain may not be as ruthless today in deporting unwanted Irish-born Britons as Australia is at deporting unwanted New Zealand-born Australians, we accept that Australia sets its rules, and New Zealand should continue making other friends while learning to live with its neighbourhood bully. Australia is that bully, not Australians.

Ireland is a cool and welcoming place, even to the English; ‘New Ireland’ is cool and welcoming too, even to Australians.

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Jane Kelsey: Groser’s ‘ugly compromise’ in TPPA could cost New Zealanders’ lives

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Professor Jane Kelsey. Professor Jane Kelsey.[/caption]‘We are told they may be close to reaching a final deal on the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) in Atlanta, and longer monopolies for Big Pharma over biologic medicines is the final sticking point’, according to Professor Jane Kelsey, who is in touch with people on the ground in Atlanta. The US is insisting on eight years total monopoly protection. Several countries are holding firm. But there are real fears New Zealand could cave. [caption id="attachment_7208" align="alignright" width="150"]Trade Minister Tim Groser. Trade Minister Tim Groser.[/caption]Trade Minister Groser is quoted in this morning’s Herald as saying every country will have to swallow multiple dead rats to finalise the deal in an ‘ugly compromise’. ‘In New Zealand’s case, the dead rat seems to be a dairy for medicines deal’, said Professor Kelsey. ‘If this happens, we can expect the Minister to hail the “net benefits” of the TPPA to New Zealand, playing up supposed gains to dairy exports that remain to be seen, and playing down New Zealand’s agreement to longer monopoly protection for biologics.’ ‘But the stark reality is that any such deal to close the TPPA would cost New Zealander’s lives.’ Health economists calculate that every added year of protection for biologics would cost New Zealand many tens of millions of dollars in current spending, and much more in the future as more biologics come on stream. ‘Future New Zealand governments would have to stump up hundreds of millions of dollars more to Pharmac. Yet this year the National government refused to fund even the modest budget increase Pharmac sought to meet rising costs.’ ‘Cancer sufferers in Atlanta described the biologics provision as a “death sentence clause”. Do Prime Minister Key and Minister Groser want that recorded as their legacy?’ –]]>

The effect of public funding on research output: the New Zealand Marsden Fund

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by Motu New Zealand spends less money on research, relative to its size, than three-quarters of the countries in the OECD. The government is considering expanding public funding to narrow this gap, but very little is known about the efficacy of existing funding mechanisms. Motu recently released a statistical analysis of the effect of public funding given to business firms for R&D. In this paper, we examine the effectiveness of public funding of basic scientific research. The Marsden Fund is the premiere funding mechanism for blue skies research in New Zealand. In 2014, $56 million was awarded to 101 research projects chosen from among 1222 applications from researchers at universities, Crown Research Institutes and independent research organizations. This funding mechanism is similar to those in other countries, such as the European Research Council. This research measures the effect of funding receipt from the New Zealand Marsden Fund using a unique dataset of funded and unfunded proposals that includes the evaluation scores assigned to all proposals. This allows us to control statistically for potential bias driven by the Fund’s efforts to fund projects that are expected to be successful, and also to measure the efficacy of the selection process itself. We find that Marsden Funding does increase the scientific output of the funded researchers, but that there is no evidence that the final selection process is able to meaningfully predict the likely success of different proposals. Background to the Marsden Fund The Marsden Fund is funded by the Government, with selection and administration delegated to the Royal Society of New Zealand. Proposal review is carried out by assessment panels of between five and ten members that cover broad areas such as ‘Physical Sciences and Engineering’ and ‘Biomedical Sciences’. There are two types of Marsden Fund grant: • Standard – runs for up to three years with a maximum budget of $300,000 per year. • Fast Start – Applicants within 7 years of their PhD award can apply, limited to $100,000 per year. The application process has two stages. Each initial one-page proposal is reviewed by a subset of the appropriate panel and given a preliminary score. At this point, panels reject 71-84% of the proposals. In the second stage, longer proposals are submitted and sent to external (typically international) anonymous referees for review. Applicants are given the chance to respond to referee comments before the panel scores and ranks the proposals. METHODOLOGY – TEAM SUCCESS This analysis is based on 1,263 Marsden proposals from the second round reviews between 2003 and 2008. Overall 41% of the second-round proposals were funded. Around 25% of the proposals were FS and slightly more than half of these were funded. The average researcher on these teams made six proposals and received 1.2 grants between 2000 and 2012. Figure 1: Researcher interaction with the Marsden Fund, 2000-2012, New Zealand-based researchers who submitted at least one full proposal, 2003-2008 0We identified all the publications and all citations received by those publications from 1995 to 2012, for all of the named researchers on both the successful and unsuccessful proposals. We did not attempt to identify specific publications tied to the research funded, so our results should be interpreted as the overall effect of the Fund on researchers’ scientific output. Results – Team Success Our analysis looks at the effect of receiving funding on subsequent scientific output, after controlling for what would be predicted by the researchers’ previous record. In other words, we compare the output trajectory of funded researchers to that of unfunded researchers, and look for an acceleration upon receipt of funding. The statistical model also includes the quality ranking assigned to the proposal by the Marsden Panel. This controls for “selection bias” that might otherwise make us think that the funding is effective simply because the funded proposals were inherently likely to result in more output whether they received funding or not. Depending on the exact statistical model employed, we find that Marsden funding is associated with an increase of 6-15% in publications and 22-26% in citations, relative to what would have been predicted based on the researchers’ previous performance. The larger effect for citations implies that funding increases both the number of papers published and the average impact or significance of those publications. FS teams are associated with around 16% greater research output, consistent with these younger investigators being on a steeper upward output trajectory than other researchers. Since overall winning Fast-Start proposals are given about one-third as much money as winning standard proposals, the results suggest that they get a bigger boost per budget dollar. A researcher’s participation in a Marsden proposal can range between zero FTE and full-time. However, we cannot distinguish differential impact of funding based on the different funding levels of the team members. (Zero FTE researchers are often overseas researchers whose true role in the research is unclear; excluding these researchers does not materially affect the results.) We attempted to look at each disciplinary pool seperately, but unfortunately at that point the sample sizes are too small to yield statistically meaningful results. While we included the panel evaluation rank to control for selection bias, we found that a good ranking is not associated with better subsequent performance. In fact, after controlling for previous performance, the ranking is negatively associated with success. It is as if the panel rankings place so much weight on “track record” that they actually over-estimate the likely future performance of those researchers with strong past performance. Methodology – Individual Success As an alternative window on this process, we identified the approximately 1500 New Zealand based researchers named on these proposals and examined their annual publication and citation record between 1996-2012. Not surprisingly, many of these researchers participated in multiple proposals over that period and some of them received multiple grants: • 90% of these researchers submitted two or more preliminary proposals, • 60% submitted two or more full proposals, and • 30% received two or more contracts from 2000-2012. In our regression analysis of these data, we examine the extent to which the publications (and citations to those publications) produced in a given year are affected by the number of Marsden grants received in the previous five years. We restrict observations to those individuals who submitted at least one second round proposal in the preceding five years. The analysis is for the period 2004-2012. Results – Individual success The impact of receiving a funded contract is estimated as an approximate 3-5% increase in publications and a 5-8% increase in annual citations for each of the subsequent five years, relative to what otherwise would have occurred. Not publishing in the previous five years greatly increases the probability of not publishing in a given year and the stronger a researcher’s average performance over the past five years, the less likely they will be unpublished in a given year. As above, we find that a second stage ‘Fast-Start’ applicant, irrespective of funding, is on a steeper publication growth trajectory than ‘Standard’ applicants but the incremental effect of receiving ‘Fast-Start’ funding over ‘Standard’ funding is statistically zero. 0Conclusion Overall, we find that funding is associated with a significant increase in researchers’ scientific output and the apparent impact of that output as measured by subsequent citation. Because the true connection of any single researcher to a Marsden proposal on which they are listed is uncertain, we believe that the project team results of a 6-12% increase in publications and a 13-30% increase in citation-weighted papers is likely the best summary measure of the programme effect. It is important to emphasize that what is captured here is a general impact on the publication/citation success of the researchers. It seems likely that Marsden funding shifts researchers’ focus to some extent towards the subject of the grant, so that the funding impact on research outputs directly related to the proposal would likely be greater than those estimated here, but our empirical framework does not allow us to measure that. We also cannot determine the extent to which the increase comes from direct use of the Marsden money versus indirect impact of Marsden success on researcher opportunities and resources. While our initial intention was to include panel rank in the analysis to control for selectivity bias, we find no robust evidence of selection based on likely research success in the Marsden second round. We have tested many different versions of how that selection might operate, including trying both panel scores and raw referee scores, testing for an effect with or without conditioning on prior performance, and testing for a variety of non-linearities in the selection effect. There really seems to be nothing there. Given the significant researcher and RSNZ time and resources that are devoted to second-round selection, this suggests a potentially large misallocation of resources. Publications and citations are, of course, only proxies for research output. However, we find it hard to describe a plausible conception of the programme’s goals that, if successful, would not produce research that would be expected to be highly cited. While the study should be interpreted with these caveats, it results are suggestive of three important policy implications: • The public expenditure on the Marsden Fund is effective in increasing scientific outputs. • The fact that panel rankings are not predictive of subsequent success implies that if the unfunded projects could have been funded, the benefit of that funding would have been as great as it was for the projects actually funded. This means there is no reason to expect diminishing returns if Marsden funding were increased. • The significant resources devoted to the second round evaluation could be reduced without degrading the quality of selection decisionmaking. More generally, our analysis demonstrates the benefit of retaining and utilizing information on both successful and unsuccessful grant proposals. This basic strategy for identifying the treatment effect in the presence of potential selection bias is powerful in concept but very rarely applied in practice. –]]>

Dr Roslyn Kemp recognised for mentoring females in science with Miriam Dell Award

NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by AWIS Dr Roslyn Kemp from the University of Otago has been named this year’s winner of the Association for Women in the Sciences (AWIS) Miriam Dell Award, for her work inspiring female immunologists across Australasia. Roslyn, a senior lecturer in the University’s Department of Microbiology and Immunology, was recognised with the Award for her work with students and for instigating the Women’s Initiative of the Australasian Society for Immunology. A major component of the Initiative is to provide mentorship opportunities for female immunologists at all stages of their career, coordinated and managed by Roslyn. Since its introduction in December 2013, more than 85 mentors have been added to the programme, and more than 25 mentoring relationships established. RosKemp creditSharronBennett“Roslyn has an outstanding ability to inspire female students at graduate and postgraduate level,” says Dr Joanna Kirman, who nominated her for the Award. “As an undergraduate teacher she is exceptional, and this has contributed to a dramatic increase in the number of female students in Immunology in recent years. She has an inclusive and unselfish approach to mentoring, with a special emphasis on supporting young female Maori students into postgraduate study. Roslyn is a consistently strong and enthusiastic mentor for women in science, and I believe she has made a significant, tangible difference to many careers.” Dr Alec Mackay, a scientist at AgResearch in Palmerston North, has also been Highly Commended by the Judges of the Award, for his mentoring of female scientists at all stages of their careers. The Judges were particularly impressed with his work mentoring of female post-graduate students as well as students at Palmerston North Girls’ High School, where he has worked with teams of students undertaking the Royal Society’s CREST programme. “Alec is generous with his time in providing guidance to his mentees on developing leadership and communication skills, both of which contribute greatly to their development as engaged, relevant and influential scientists,” says Fleur Maseyk, a PhD student at the University of Queensland supervised by Alec. “Alec’s mentorship inspires those who work with him to realise their full potential as scientists, to be the drivers of science that makes a difference, to explore creative avenues for communicating their science, and to become influential and innovative in their field.” The Judging Panel received fourteen nominations for the Award including scientists at universities and Crown Research Institutes from across New Zealand. “The Judging Panel were very impressed with the calibre of nominations and it is wonderful to see so many scientists inspiring young females into the field,” says Emma Timewell, National Convenor of AWIS. “Roslyn and Alec demonstrated mentorship that went beyond that expected in their roles as managers and supervisors of students, finding additional ways to support females with an interest in science. We’re very pleased to be able to recognise both of them for their inspiration and support of women in science.” The Miriam Dell Award for Excellence in Science Mentoring was introduced in 2013 and is awarded on a biennial basis to someone who demonstrates outstanding mentoring efforts to retain females in science, mathematics or technology. Nominees can be from any part of the science system – including teachers at primary or secondary schools, lecturers or supervisors in tertiary education, or from commercial science-based organisations. They may have mentored, formally or informally, females at any stage in their career – from school age to the science workforce. The Award is named for Dame Miriam Dell, Patron of AWIS, botanist, secondary school teacher and advocate for women’s advancement. The first recipient of the Award, in 2013, was Dr Judith O’Brien of the University of Auckland. –]]>

New Zealand Report: Justin Bieber Gives Endorsement For Current Flag

New Zealand Report: Selwyn Manning delivers his New Zealand Report to Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au breakfast team. This week: Justin Bieber Gives Endorsement For Current Flag – Recorded live on 2/10/15.

U.S. performer Justin Bieber is in Auckland and during a radio interview urged Kiwis not to change our flag. In November New Zealanders get to vote in a referendum on whether the old southern cross and Union Jack flag should be ditched and replaced with one of five new designs. After checking out the options, Bieber said: “Are you guys not confident in your flag? It looks fine to me.” And in a gesture perhaps to reinforce his sincerity, and before heading off to go bungy jumping and skydiving, a fairly friendly Justin Bieber handed over a signed pair of underpants. Apparently the Calvin Klein briefs will be given away via the radio station’s Facebook page today. Goodness has been restored to the world.

New Zealand Report broadcasts live weekly on Australia’s FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for October 1, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 12 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Thursday 1st October.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include New Zealand facing its lowest level of housing availability in nearly a decade as demand continues to outstrip supply,the Department of Internal Affairs looking into the case of a preschooler facing deportation from Australia because his mother has been unable to pass on her New Zealand citizenship to him and the release of an inquiry findings on how the convicted murderer and sex offender Phillip John Smith fled to Brazil while on temporary release from prison.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Labour claims over iwi consultation on Kermadec sanctuary weak; Minister welcomes more ethnic diversity; Another 940 in Trades Academies from 2016;Proposed $450m levy reductions signal ACC in great shape; Smith / Traynor Inquiry report released; Govt response to Smith/Traynor review; Appointment to New Zealand Film Commission Board; Gains on property sales targeted from today; Fran Wilde appointed to Te Papa board

Greens: NZ must look to balance rights for Kiwis in Australia; Government’s hunt for oil is a dying dream

Labour: Labour claims over iwi consultation on Kermadec sanctuary weak; Bright line test already set to flat line; Serco’s other detention centre of shame; Despite the spin our universities slide; hain of failures leads to paedophile’s escape

New Zealand First: ‘Fonterra’s Five Million Dollar Man’ not delivering; Memory Fade Hinders Minister Of Senior Citizens

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

16TH MOST COMPETITIVE NATION: New Zealand is the 16th most competitive country in the world, according to this year’s Global Competitiveness Index.Full survey results for 2015 can be seen athttp://www.weforum.org/issues/global-competitiveness

DAIRYNZ AGM: Results of the DairyNZ director elections will be announced at the AGM and the board and senior management will report to farmers on the organisation’s financial results and investment priorities.Read more:http://www.dairynz.co.nz/elections

DELOITTE WINNERS: The regional category winners of the 2015 Deloitte Fast 50 were announced at events held around the country.For more on the 2015 regional category winners, go to http://www.fast50.co.nz.

FOOD SAFETY RULES: The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) is calling for input from food businesses and providers into new food safety rules. Go here : http://www.mpi.govt.nz

GLOBAL DIGITAL IQ SURVEY: PwC’s 2015 Digital IQTM Survey links 10 key company actions directly to stronger financial performance.Go here for the PwC survey: http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/advisory/2015-global-digital-iq-survey/downloads.html

HAYS GLOBAL SKILLS INDEX: New Zealand has been given the highest score possible – 10.0 – for wage pressure in our high-skill industries in a global assessment of the efficiency of skilled labour markets in 31 countries. Go here for the Hays Global Skills Index 2015: http://www.hays-index.com/

HOME VALUES RISE: The latest monthly QV House Price Index shows that nationwide residential property values for September have increased 12.6% over the past year which is the fastest rate since October 2007. The full set of QV House Price Index statistics for all New Zealand for September can be downloaded by clicking this link:https://www.qv.co.nz/resources/news/article?blogId=205

LEVY REDUCTIONS: The ACC Board is proposing levy reductions worth $450 million in 2016/17, spread across work, earners’ and motor vehicle levies. See ACC’s levy consultation at: http:www.shapeyouracc.co.nz

MOVEMBER 2015 REGISTRATIONS OPEN: Each November, the Movember Foundation gives men a ‘free pass’ to grow a Mo, and with the month of moustachery just weeks away, Kiwi blokes are being called upon to prep their upper lips. To register to participate in Movember, visit: https://www.nz.movember.com/?home

NZ RANKED 4TH IN THE WORLD: The high quality of New Zealand’s universities has been confirmed in the annual Times Higher Education (THE) World University Rankings released today. The full list of the top 200 is available athttp://www.thewur.com

SAFE CHALLENGE: Save Animals from Exploitation is urging the public to take the 30-day Go Veg challenge athttp://www.goveg.org.nz. SAFE is offering help and support with delicious recipes, helpful tips and lots of information on how to live a healthy and compassionate life.

WARNING ON COCONUT MILK PRODUCTS: The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) is extending its food safety warning on imported coconut milk products to include an instant coconut milk powder product and a coconut juice product. MPI’s Chief Executive statement issued under the Food Act 2014 can be accessed at:http://mpigovtnz.cwp.govt.nz/news-and-resources/media-releases/food-safety-warning-extended-to-include-two-further-coconut-milk-products/

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Thursday 1st October.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

Jane Kelsey Says Helen Clark needs to heed her own UN advisers on TPPA

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‘In standing beside National Prime Minister John Key and appearing to endorse the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) Helen Clark has forgotten the most vulnerable New Zealanders who will bear the brunt of the government’s concessions to US demands, especially on medicines, and the rights of New Zealanders to decide our own future’, says University of Auckland law professor and TPPA critic Jane Kelsey.

‘It also puts her at odds with her own Labour Party’s position that it won’t support a TPPA that undermines New Zealand’s sovereignty, which the Prime Minister has already admitted it will’.

‘Clark’s statement suggests she has become too far removed from the realities and opinions of ordinary New Zealanders’.

‘Helen Clark also needs to remember her responsibilities as the head of the United Nations Development Programme’, Kelsey observed.

‘There a mass of evidence that the poor and most vulnerable will lose from the TPPA, especially those who rely on affordable medicines – a view expressed by other UN agencies, such as the World Health Organisation, and UNAIDS.’[1]

Last month ten of the UN’s special rapporteurs wrote a public letter expressing wide-ranging concerns about the impacts of agreements like the TPPA on human rights, including rights to health, health, culture, food, indigenous people, and democracy, and calling for a human rights impact assessment before any negotiations are concluded.[2] 

Professor Kelsey urged Helen Clark to heed the advice of the UN experts appointed to advise her.

[1]

http://www.unaids.org/en/resources/presscentre/pressreleaseandstatementarchive/2015/july/20150728_trips_plus

[2] http://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=16031

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Across The Ditch: Chris Brown + NZ PM’s Staunch Message to Australia + Rugby World Cup Update

Broadcast: Selwyn Manning and Peter Godfrey deliver their weekly bulletin Across The Ditch. This week they discuss: Should US performer Chris Brown be allowed a visa + NZ PM’s Staunch Message to Australia over Kiwi deportations + Rugby World Cup Update… Go Australia!

ITEM ONE: Should gangster rapper Chris Brown be permitted a visa? ITEM TWO New Zealand Prime Minister John Key will raise Australia’s deportation policy with Malcolm Turnbull when the two meet for their first Trans-Tasman leaders’ meeting. Both New Zealand’s foreign affairs minister and John Key spoke this week to Australia’s foreign minister Julie Bishop about the issue on the sidelines of the United Nations general assembly in New York. Late last week, it was revealed up to 80 New Zealanders had in recent months been deported by Australia to detention camps, including around 28 Kiwis last week alone who were flown to the detention facility on Christmas Island. Early this week news reports revealed how 200 New Zealanders had been detained or deported since new policies were established over one year ago. While New Zealanders and Australians have the right to travel or live in either country, the new rules in Australia mean any foreign national who has served more than one year in jail can be deported. The view here in New Zealand is that if Australia is going to deport a New Zealander, then they should be deported to New Zealand, not detained on the Australian continent, on Christmas Island, or anywhere else. This week, it was revealed that a New Zealander had allegedly killed himself while being detained in solitary confinement in an Australian detention centre – 23-year-old Junior Togatuki died in Goulburn Jail earlier this month awaiting deportation. From New York, John Key told Radio New Zealand that his message to Julie Bishop was blunt. Key message to Bishop suggested there is a “special relationship between New Zealand and Australia and you challenge that relationship to a degree when you see New Zealanders being treated … in this way.” He added: “There is an Anzac bond and an Anzac spirit … that surely means we might get some treatment that’s different from other countries.” After the meeting Julie Bishop told ABC news: “I discussed more generally with Prime Minister Key and with foreign minister Murray McCully whether there are other arrangements that Australia and New Zealanders could reach in relation to the deportation of New Zealanders,” she said. “There is no closer relationship than Australia and New Zealand, and so I think it’s appropriate that we consider this matter as Prime Minister Key has asked us to do.” ITEM THREE Rugby World Cup update, the form, the injuries, the big games looming…

Across The Ditch broadcasts live each Thursday on FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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‘Criminal gene’ raises legal and moral issues

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by University of Canterbury A University of Canterbury (UC) academic says the development of research around a ‘criminal gene’ and its increasing use in legal cases internationally raises scary issues for societies around the globe. Dr Debra Wilson’s new book Genetics, Crime and Justice examines the legal and ethical issues raised by the scientific research and explores how the criminal justice system currently reacts, and ought to react, to the new challenges presented by genetic evidence. Research Report, Debra Wilson Law, family surrogacy, 18.2.15“Genetics and neuroscience are going to change the criminal justice system,” says Wilson. “The genetics defence has already been used in more than 200 cases in America and in Europe, which raises questions around verdicts, jury decisions and sentencing. “If a defendant is arguably ‘not responsible’ due to a genetic predisposition to crime or violence, legally they cannot be found guilty of murder for example, but is this how society wants its laws applied? “And what are the implications for sentencing – should those with the gene be punished with a shorter sentence or locked up longer because of their genetic tendency towards aggression and violence?” Wilson says her book does not provide the answers, but raises important questions that societies, governments and the legal fraternity around the world need to consider. “We need to talk about these issues and figure out how to respond to these scientific discoveries. With the growing use of DNA databases, there are issues around privacy and individual rights that need to be considered – should everyone be tested and how should we respond when the gene is identified?” Wilson says research shows the gene can help explain why an offender did what they did, but it is not the only factor. The risk comes from a combination of genetics and environment – in this case, maltreatment as a child. These findings also strengthen the demand to reduce child abuse. The book covers a subject similar to one explored in the movie ‘Minority Report’, where a special police unit in a future fictional society is able to arrest murderers before they commit their crimes, and also ‘Gattaca’ where a similarly future fictitious society genetically tests all children at birth, and classifies those with undesirable genes as ‘invalid’, limiting their role in society. The textbook, published by Edward Elgar Publishing in the United Kingdom, includes a layperson description of the science related to the ‘criminal gene’ because Wilson says “we need to know what the science is telling us in order to consider the legal issues”. The content is relevant across a range of international jurisdictions and not focused on one particular legal system. Wilson hopes the book will be used by criminal and medical law students along with academics, practitioners and policymakers interested in exploring various criminal law issues in relation to genetics. A UC alumna, Wilson joined UC’s Law School in 2010 after gaining her PhD from Monash University in Australia. Her PhD thesis, arguing in favour of human cloning from a legal standpoint, won the Mollie Holman Doctoral Medal for the best thesis submitted that year. –]]>

Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Can Little and Ardern save Labour?

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

The Labour Party is in a rebuilding phrase, and there are signs of progress. But a year on from Labour’s worst electoral defeat, are the behind-the-scenes changes amounting to enough to turn things around?

The Labour Party is hardly revolutionary. In fact there are doubts that it is even much of a reforming party any more given its rather cautious and moderate approach, especially under new leader Andrew Little. But there are some signs of change occurring beneath the surface, suggesting that it is slowly but steadily moving forward in preparation for the 2017 election. Despite an upcoming caucus review and reshuffle, and with Jacinda Ardern poised to become deputy leader, there are lingering doubts about whether such changes are enough to lift the party from its doldrums. 

Matt McCarten and the other Labour spin-doctors seem to be earning their salaries at the moment, with an increasing number of good news stories coming out about Labour. Various commentators are praising the party’s rebuild and, in particular, there have recently been some must-read stories about Labour’s recovery under Andrew Little. The most important is Audrey Young’s No bubbly but Little is lifting Labour’s game

Describing Little and Labour, Young uses words like: successful, competent, confident, authentic and stable. She points to a lack of factional fighting, a new parliamentary approach being taken by the caucus, and observes “Labour MPs doing their jobs properly”. 

Tracy Watkins puts forward a similar positive picture in her column, As Britain’s Labour Party implodes, Andrew Little’s Labour rebuilds. Contrasting Labour’s recent history of failure she says: “Something is slowly changing, however. The polls don’t show it. The headlines don’t give much indication of it.  And the Government may not even realise it yet. But Labour leader Andrew Little and his MPs are starting to get traction on the issues that will decide the next election.” And individual MPs are singled out for strong work: David Cunliffe, Grant Robertson, Annette King and Kelvin Davis. 

There’s further praise for the job that Little is doing. Duncan Garner says that “Little is definitely more credible than David Cunliffe – he’s growing into the job pretty well.  And he appears to be his own man.  Under Little, Labour looks more hungry and more organised and Little has time” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Writing in the NBR, Rob Hosking is also positive about Little’s achievements since the last election: “Up, a bit. Not so much in the polls but the party’s performance has improved notably…. But leader Andrew Little actually looks like a leader and, unlike all his predecessors since Helen Clark departed, he seems to know what he is there to do” – see: The 2014 Parliament, a year on (paywalled).

Even when it comes to Labour bloggers, their analysis seems to be broadly in line with mainstream commentary about their party. For instance, Greg Presland says: “Well things are going rather smoothly right now. The Caucus is now united and far more disciplined. Andrew Little is growing in the role of leader and Annette King is performing an important role as deputy. Activist enthusiasm is now rising after an understandable hiatus caused by the election loss and the leadership campaign.  Labour relationship with Greens is quite good and it appears they are moving to a position where there will be a public common agreement” – see: Twelve long months

Jacinda Ardern’s rise to deputy leadership

It seems likely that Jacinda Ardern will become Labour’s new deputy leader when Little announces his decision in November. Annette King may want to stay in what was supposed to be just a temporary one-year position, but the calls for freshness are likely to trump her achievements. 

Plenty of commentators are singing Ardern’s praises for the deputy position. For example, TV3’s Patrick Gower says he thinks “Jacinda would be an awesome deputy” and that it “seems like such a no-brainer. She is young, popular and represents Labour’s future” – see: Little to reject Jacinda as Labour deputy? He argues Labour needs her: “The reality is Ardern is very authentic and people connect with that.  Little could embrace the “Ardern factor” and use it to turbo-charge his own popularity, particularly in Auckland where he is incredibly weak and Ardern is incredibly strong.”

Duncan Garner has also endorsed Ardern for the position: “They need to now promote Jacinda Arden who last week appeared in the unprompted preferred PM rankings.  She should replace current deputy, Annette King.  King is strong, popular and performs, and my sources tell me there are some who want her to stay as number 2.  But Labour needs to excite the public and signal change and that’s where Ardern comes in” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Labour’s on-going image of being a Wellington “beltway party” will also factor into Ardern’s likely success. As David Farrar says, Labour can’t afford to keep King: “It will be a vote of no confidence in the rest of caucus if she carries on.  The other issue with Annette carrying on is that the top three Labour MPs are all from Wellington City, in a classic beltway capture. It’s hard to appeal to the country, if your senior leadership is all from the capital city” – see: Will King stay on?

According to Vernon Small, Ardern is the “logical choice” because she’s “a woman from a younger generation and, crucially, from Auckland.  She has made an impact on television and with Auckland business” – see: Nanaia Mahuta: Queen or casualty as Labour revamps its lineup? Small also mentions other contenders for the deputy position as being Phil Twyford and Carmel Sepuloni, and promotions being likely for Kelvin Davis, Peeni Henare, Megan Woods and Kris Faafoi.

Yet the removal of King is far from certain. Gower also reports that “Little may be leaning towards keeping Annette King on in the deputy’s role when it comes free in November’s reshuffle.  That’s because King is doing such a damn good job.  As Little’s lieutenant, I’m told she has played a crucial role in bringing stability to Labour’s Caucus which looks more stable than it ever has in my time here in Parliament”. And there are plenty of others who agree about King’s strong performance. 

There’s also the possibility that pushing King out of the leadership might create other problems. For example, Rob Hosking says: “her departure would open up a potentially major conflict not just about the deputy but also about her Rongotai electorate. Mrs King is understood to be keen on seeing Wellington city councillor Paul Eagle take over from her – and not, notably, her most prominent Labour constituent, one Andrew James Little.”

But ultimately Ardern’s public popularity will count for a lot in a party looking to rise in the polls. The growing endorsement of her as a contender for prime minister and deputy leader makes her rejection by Little unlikely. For the latest poll evidence, see Aimee Gulliver’s Jacinda Ardern favourite for Labour deputy – poll.

And there are plenty of other voices – especially in the blogosphere – calling for Ardern to be deputy. For example, Saeran Maniparathy says Ardern is in line with Labour’s need for a fresh new look – see: Labour and the ‘New Vision’.

But is Jacinda Ardern really any good?

Questions continue about whether Jacinda Ardern really has earnt her high profile and popularity in New Zealand politics. Matthew Hooton has written about her in the latest issue of Metro magazine, reflecting on how Ardern dealt with the recent “pretty little thing” comment and endorsement from rugby league’s Graham Lowe. He’s titled his column “Pretty bloody stupid”. 

For Hooton the episode showed that Ardern has no leadership qualities: “Ardern has demonstrated she has no political acumen at all. As a politician, she judged expressing offence in the instant to be more important than the 100-year connection with Labour’s league-playing voters. As a feminist, she lost an opportunity to engage positively with Lowe on his language about women. Whether the 35-year-old is a pretty little thing is in the eye of the beholder. She’s definitely turned out to be pretty bloody stupid.”

It’s worth noting that Ardern has promised to reply to Hooton’s critique, which Metro will probably publish on it’s website. 

In contrast, some Ardern supporters apparently see her as New Zealand’s answer to Jeremy Corbyn. For instance blogger Martyn Bradbury says “If Jacinda articulates a strong left wing position, she could easily step into the role of our version of Corbyn, but Labour’s current middle ground stance leaves her with very little rhetoric to hammer out an authentic voice and this has been her problem since she entered politics. 2020 election if Labour lose 2017” – see: Top 9 Left wing potential ‘Corbyn/Sanders’ candidates in NZ politics

Bradbury’s other candidates to be the “Kiwi Corbyn” are: Robert Reid, Morgan Godfery, Erin Polaczuk, Efeso Collins, Andrew Dean, Michael Wood, John Campbell, and Marama Davidson. Others have suggested that John Minto and Keith Locke are better Corbyn-style equivalents. 

Ardern recently performed very well on TVNZ’s Q+A in an interview with Katie Bradford – you can watch the nine-minute video here: Jacinda Ardern on sexism, leadership and political ambition. See also the coverage of this in Claire Trevett’s Ardern responds to ‘pretty little thing’ remark.

Questions about Labour’s performance

Not everyone is convinced that Labour is on the right path to recovery. Auckland city councillor and leftwing stalwart, Mike Lee is particularly critical of Labour’s failure to make it clear what the party stands for, and questions whether it’s still aligned with its traditional constituency. He argues that its lost the traditional Labour vote due to its obsession with identity politics at the expense of concerns about inequality, as well as Labour’s continued adherence to some key policies that are to the right of National – see: Labour’s trouncing by John Key raises searching questions

Lee says, “What is really needed is a fundamental reappraisal of just what ‘Labour’ means and what the party stands for.” Labour’s various social liberal policies – although “radical” – shouldn’t be mistaken, Lee says, as being leftwing. He also points out that Labour’s 2015 result is actually worse than that of 1922, because at least in that earlier election the party was on the rise, rather than going backwards. 

Similarly, blogger Saeran Maniparathy says that Labour lacks any boldness in terms of policy, and its strategy of putting out “just a slightly tweaked version of National’s policy” isn’t working – see: Labour and the ‘New Vision’.

Labour and Little’s grim and negative reputation is criticised by other commentators. Former Labour supporter Phil Quin has written about Labour’s pessimism ploy. He complains that the party is simply channelling negativity, fear, and despondency amongst voters, which might yield some initial results but ultimately makes the party one of the status quo and failure: “Merchants of doom and gloom might fill the airwaves, but they rarely win elections.”

The problem, according to Heather du Plessis-Allan, is that Labour is simply focused on petty point scoring rather than projecting any sort of alternative to the status quo, and she draws attention to some recent bouts of negativity from Little and his party: “Labour was more interested in embarrassing the Prime Minister than making sure we hand the right flag on to our grandkids.  Left-wing voters have every reason to feel frustrated with this party. There are no real policies, which is fair enough given it doesn’t want to show its hand two years out from the next election. But in the absence of policies, there’s no hope. There’s just negativity” – see: Patriotic glow lost to sad point scoring.

And when it comes to Little’s public speeches, according to Chris Trotter there’s something missing – see: Lacking The Power Of Decision: Andrew Little Misses The Rhetorical Mark In Whanganui.

The lack of an apparent plan is emphasised by Vernon Small: “At the moment it is hard to know what it is, beyond an almost total aversion to risk (and in some cases an absence of definitive positions – think the 90-day workplace trial and the actual import of the “bottom lines” on the TPP).  Yes, it is the first year after a defeat and a leadership change. True, it may be too soon to roll out much policy.  But Little’s latest two speeches, on the environment and infrastructure, have sunk without trace, not only because they haven’t been promoted but also because they contained little new” – see: Nanaia Mahuta: Queen or casualty as Labour revamps its lineup?

For Rob Hosking, Labour’s problems are one of personnel: “There is still a massive talent problem – the appointment of Grant Robertson as finance spokesman is the most glaring, and problematic, result of this. Mr Robertson is a highly able Labour machine politician but he has never previously shown any aptitude –or even interest – in economic issues. It shows” – see: The 2014 Parliament, a year on (paywalled).

And it’s on the question of the economy that Labour’s success will ultimately be determined, as pointed out by Duncan Garner: “Little and his party have not yet tapped into the mood for change like Key did in 2007 against Helen Clark.  Doing this is crucial – and Labour really needs the economy to turn sour.  It needs job losses, but it can’t be seen to be talking the country into recession either. It must stay positive at the same time” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Finally for an interesting assessment of what, if anything, Jeremy Corbyn’s recent leadership victory in Britain means for Labour here, Toby Manhire sought the views of a range of commentators including Jacinda Ardern – see: Corbyn Blimey – Jim Anderton, Judith Collins, Bryan Gould and More on Jeremy Corbyn’s Big Win.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 30, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 12 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 30th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the trade Minister Tim Groser confirming that he will be attending a ministerial meeting in Atlanta to discuss the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal and news of an elaborate black market operating in the Philippines providing fake documents for farm workers seeking employment in New Zealand.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: More evidence of lowest crime levels in decades; New Zealand ratifies World Trade Organisation Trade Facilitation Agreement; New prostate cancer referral guidance released; International Day of Older Persons a chance to celebrate; NZDF “job cuts” claim incorrect; Auckland home build rate hits another high; Appointment of Judge of the High Court; Funding announced for community projects; Restoration plan for Victoria Square released; Criminal information sharing arrangement reached with Australia

Greens: Five year test a better bright line test; Wasted opportunity to change lanes to electric cars

Labour: Defence Force numbers slashed; Climate change ambassador’s criticism has to be taken seriously; Defence minister, not panda pimp; Widespread caution on tertiary league tables justified; Lack of consultation over Kermadec ocean sanctuary

Māori Party: Marama Fox to receive Northland petition lobbying for smokefree cars 

New Zealand First: Kiwirail’s Last Reliable Rail Ferry Off To India – End Of Iron Bridge; Minister of defence prioritises pandas over patriotism

United Future Party: Dunne Speaks- Time to Stand Up for New Zealanders and their Rights

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

CLIMATE CHANGE RISK: The Governor of the Bank of England. Mark Carney, has given a stark warning that climate change is a huge risk to global stability, citing the rise in the number of weather-related catastrophes. See:http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/speeches/2015/844.aspx

CRIME LEVELS: The Ministry of Justice today released two sets of Conviction and Sentencing statistics covering both adult and youth offenders for the year ending June 2015. Read more about Trends in convictions and sentencing:http://www.justice.govt.nz/justice-sector/statistics/conviction-and-sentencing-statistics or see Trends in child and youth prosecutions: http://www.justice.govt.nz/justice-sector/statistics/documents/trends-in-child-and-youth-prosecutions-2015

ERADICATING MALARIA: A new report released by the United Nations and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation presents a vision to eradicate malaria by 2040 that involves new strategies, tools and financing and urges world leaders to expand their commitments to fight a disease that still kills about one child every minute. Read more:http://www.endmalaria2040.org/

INCREASING ETHNIC DIVERSITY: All New Zealand’s 16 regions and nearly all the 67 territorial authority areas (TAs) are projected to have increasing ethnic diversity over the next two decades, Statistics New Zealand said today. Go here for Subnational ethnic population projections:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/population/estimates_and_projections/SubnationalEthnicPopulationProjections_HOTP2013base.aspx

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY: The Housing supply, choice and affordability report commissioned by Auckland Mayor Len Brown and Deputy Mayor Penny Hulse identifies a range of levers on both the supply and demand side that could be considered, and shows that both Auckland Council and the Government have applied many levers. Click here for the report: 

http://www.aucklandcouncil.govt.nz/EN/AboutCouncil/businessandeconomy/Documents/housingsupplychoiceandaffordability.pdf

INTERNATIONAL DAY OF OLDER PERSONS: The 25th International Day of Older Persons is on October 1st, an opportunity to celebrate the significant contribution seniors make to New Zealand society. Read more:http://www.superseniors.msd.govt.nz/

PROSTATE CANCER REFERRAL GUIDANCE: A new guidance will help primary care practitioners provide men and their families with consistent and culturally appropriate information on prostate cancer testing and treatment. The Prostate Cancer Management and Referral Guidance can be found at: http://www.health.govt.nz/

PPTA CONFERENCE: The Post Primary Teachers Association’s annual conference runs from 29 September to 1 October and is an opportunity for members to debate, discuss and vote on papers that will shape PPTA policy. Decisions are made by secondary teachers for secondary teachers. The full conference papers can be found at:http://www.ppta.org.nz/events/annual-conference

NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSENTS INCREASE: The value of building consents reached an all-time high in August 2015, boosted by planned nonresidential work in Christchurch, Statistics New Zealand said today. Go here for building consents issued:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/industry_sectors/Construction/BuildingConsentsIssued_HOTPAug15.aspx

NUCLEAR ABOLITION: Leaders of the major religious faiths and interfaith networks, have joined forces with parliamentarians and mayors from around the world to call on world leaders to “commit to nuclear abolition and to replace nuclear deterrence with shared security approaches to conflicts.” Go here for more:http://www.pnnd.org/article/nuclear-weapon-free-world-our-common-good-legislators-and-religious-leaders-join-forces

RESEARCH ON VITAMIN C & BREAST CANCER: A new research study will analyse the level of vitamin C in breast tumours, and compare health outcomes for patients with different levels of the vitamin. See: http://www.cmrf.org.nz/

VICTORIA SQUARE RESTORATION: Associate Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Minister Nicky Wagner has today released the approved restoration plan for Christchurch’s beloved Victoria Square. The Victoria Square Restoration Plan is available to view at http://www.ccdu.govt.nz/victoria-square.

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 30th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

The True Story Behind the Arrest of Wanted Couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong

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The owner of the Jeep that was allegedly stolen by wanted couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong writes that it was ordinary Kiwis, and not the Police, that led to the two being apprehended.

He retells a remarkable story of how his partner’s seven year-old daughter tipped them off to a break-in and theft, how Facebook helped the North Island community to get behind their hunt for their Jeep, and how a motorcycle gang helped apprehend and hold the wanted couple until Police arrived.

This is his true account.

The True Story Behind the Arrest of Wanted Couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong

I was awake late watching tv until about 2-3am Monday morning then turned the tv off and fell asleep.

My partner’s daughter woke us about 4am wanting to play on her tablet and was sent back to bed. Then about 5am she come back asking again. My partner told her where it was in the lounge on charge. When she came back saying it was not there we new there was something up.

We got up to have a look and found the tablet gone and our wallets and keys for both cars where also missing. We then rang the police to report the break in.

I then immediately started to work out where the Jeep could  be heading as we had a pretty good idea of when the break in happened.  

My partner was uploading photos of the vehicle to Facebook with a $1000 reward for it to be stopped and returned undamaged. While she was doing this, I had worked out how much fuel it had, and, to where they needed to get fuel.

We ruled it out going through Opotiki with the service stations CCTV footage of the believed times it was taken. I then moved onto the Whakatane service stations CCTV footage.

By about 9:45am we had the screen shots of the female’s face driving it and getting fuel. Those mug shots went straight up [on Facebook] with the reward posts.

My mate then started another post with the mug shots and jeep we were chasing. We were getting tip offs about who the driver was by a number of different sources (A couple were wrong).

By midday my mates post had a Photo of the Jeep asking to confirm it was the correct vehicle. By the time he had sent me the photos to confirm the identification, the guys, which were members of a patched motor bike gang (Great job guys), we were on the phone to my mate saying they have just car-jammed the plates on the Jeep and that they were the wrong plates for that vehicle.

Then they asked what do we wanted to do. Did we want them to take possession of the Jeep in McDonald’s car park in Paeroa?

We confirmed. If you can get them out without getting injured do it. By this time I was in the Whakatane police station getting them to contact the Paeroa police station as there was about to be a confrontation in the McD’s carpark.

The Guys got the keys to the jeep and held the two occupants until police arrived. The rest is history. These three guys did an awesome job. The Jeep was not damaged and I paid them their $1000 reward.

That’s the real story.

The Police’s Stement: Tuesday, 29 September 2015 – 7:50am.

Wanted couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong have been arrested in Paeroa.

At around 1pm yesterday afternoon, a member of the public called Police about suspicious behaviour in a carpark. On arrival Police found the couple in a silver Jeep Cherokee that had allegedly been stolen from an Ohope address the night before.

The couple are alleged to have given attending officers false names, but officers quickly established that it was Bush and Wong and they were arrested without incident.

Officers from Waitemata Police have travelled down to Hamilton this morning to interview the pair.

At this stage it is anticipated that they will appear in the Hamilton District Court this afternoon on a series of charges. A media release detailing those charges is expected to be done around lunchtime. 

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Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Week: Spread of Financial Balances by Country, 1995-2014

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. [caption id="attachment_7479" align="aligncenter" width="640"]Financial Personality by Country. Financial Personality by Country.[/caption]

This week’s chart looks at private-sector and public-sector balances for selected countries, averaged over the last 20 years.

The chart is divided into four quadrants, numbered with blue numerals; and into two halves separated by the line of current account balance. Countries to the right of the current account balance line are ‘surplus countries’ that have earned more income than they have spent. Countries to the left of the current account balance line are ‘deficit countries’ that have spent more than they have earned. There must be about as many deficit countries as surplus countries, because the world economy is a closed financial system. (No trade with or investment in Mars, despite the news yesterday about Mars having flowing water.)

Quadrant 1 can be said to be the ‘gold mountain’ quadrant. Countries in this quadrant have run surplus balances on average for the last 20 years in both their private and government sectors. Not surprisingly we see oil-exporting counties predominant in this quadrant. Yesterday I wrote about Germany as a successful mercantilist country (Germany, the Eurozone and Mercantilism). In recent years, Germany too has inhabited this gold mountain quadrant, now that its government is in surplus. Many strive for Quadrant 1, but due to systemic constraints few achieve it. It has helped to have oil.

The most populated quadrant is Quadrant 2. These countries have had decades of private surpluses and government deficits, reflecting world norms as shown last week in Global Hoards and Government Deficits. The chart’s ‘centre of gravity’ lies in this quadrant, with an average government deficit of just under 2% of GDP, and an average private sector surplus of just under 2%. Most of the familiar ‘saver economies’ are in this quadrant, to the right of the current account line. They are mostly aiming for the gold mountain; government budget surpluses to match their private surpluses.

Quadrant 3 is regarded as the problem debtor (red mountain) quadrant; deficits all around (private, government, current account). The closed system systemic logic requires that there be as many countries in Quadrant 3 as in Quadrant 1. So when some countries move into Quadrant 1, others are forced into Quadrant 3. Quadrant 3 is not so bad though; governments and citizens get to spend more than they earn, whereas in Quadrant 1 both get to spend less than they earn.

Surprisingly, Quadrant 4 is the least populated. Yet it is New Zealand’s natural homeland. New Zealand is a financially exceptional country. With ‘fiscal responsibility’ entrenched in its statutes and with relatively high interest rates, New Zealand’s private sector consistently gets to spend more than it earns; it enjoys much more than its share of the world’s credit. This spending has helped to ensure that the government sector has, in most of the last twenty years, been in receipt of sufficient taxation revenue to register fiscal surpluses.

If everything in the financial world worked perfectly, every country every year would have both private and government balances of zero. The fact that balances are so diverse over a period of decades tells us that the global monetary system does not work as it’s intended to do. In particular, the exchange rate mechanism does not lead to the automatic rebalancing of trade, as it should. New Zealand is lucky, in that in periods of global financial panic, the New Zealand dollar tends to depreciate, leading to a position closer to the line of current account balance that eases the impact of such crises.

I have highlighted a number of countries of interest to us in New Zealand. The BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) plus Turkey have diverse financial personalities. All have moved left since the global financial crisis, saving the global capitalist system as European countries in particular moved right. All (India least obviously) have significant economic problems now. Saving the world economy was not easy, but someone had to do it.

The highlighted Eurozone countries show significant government deficits, except for Finland. Greece with its combination of persistently high government and current account deficits was always going to be the Eurozone country in the most trouble.

Japan’s financial personality is the diametric opposite of New Zealand’s. Indeed Japanese savers have been significant owners of New Zealand debt. So have creditors from many other Asian countries, and from northern European countries.

Small countries that we once thought were much like us are no longer. Denmark and Finland show similar Government surpluses, but substantially different private sector balances. Finland’s economy has just emerged from a three-year recession, and Denmark has interest rates close to minus one percent. They remain blighted by too little consumer/investment spending.

Korea is the economic dynamo of recent times, in the gold mountain zone, but not ridiculously so; unlike Singapore which is in the extremes.

The Anglophone countries, with the exception of Ireland which is in the Eurozone, are now all firmly entrenched as current account deficit countries. Canada has become more so this decade.

If the world economy is to rebalance, all countries will need to get closer to the current account line, and preferably many on both sides of the line will cross it. It seems unlikely however that many countries will cross over the current account line. Most have well-entrenched financial personalities – as shown. Global rebalancing will more likely come, eventually, through crisis and conflict, as indeed it did in the years from 1914 to the 1945.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 29, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Tuesday 29th September.

[caption id="attachment_7476" align="alignleft" width="200"]Australia's Foreign Minister Julie Bishop greets New Zealand's Foreign Minister Murray McCully in Auckland. Australia’s Foreign Minister Julie Bishop greets New Zealand’s Foreign Minister Murray McCully in Auckland in 2015.[/caption]

Top stories in the current news cycle include the Foreign Minister Murray McCully receiving assurance from his Australian counterpart Julie Bishop in New York that a full inquiry will be held into the death of a New Zealand born 23-year-old man who died while in prison facing deportation, train ticket inspectors are being given greater powers to crack down on fare evaders using public transport and creating a vast marine reserve, the Kermadec Ocean Sanctuary, around the Kermadec Islands means the end of mining and prospecting there, says the government.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Minister to visit Europe ahead of WW100 commemorations; SPEECH: Gerry Brownlee – New Zealand and Security in the Asia-Pacific Century; PM announces Kermadec Ocean Sanctuary; Kermadec sanctuary a global contribution to ocean protection; Consultation on changing cervical screening test; Funding boost for emergency housing sector; End of the line for public transport fare evaders; Coastal hazard issue to be uncoupled from fast-track earthquake recovery plan process; Chinese mega-star on-board with safer driving messages; New Zealand’s tax system second in the OECD; Speech – Housing Affordability; New Zealand’s tax system second in the OECD; Speech: Bill English – Housing Affordability

ACT Party: New ocean sanctuary welcome, but compensation principle important

Greens: NZ should use leaders’ summit to further Syrian crisis ICC referral; Australian and New Zealand Green parties call on deportation halt

Labour: Government has to be careful of Kermadec fish hooks; Common sense wins in coastal hazard decision; Silver Fern Farms must consider all options; Silver Fern Farms must consider all options

New Zealand First: Recall high-risk offenders

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

BLOOD PRESSURE CHECK: The 2015 Big New Zealand Blood Pressure check is set to break records for the number of people to have their blood pressure tested in one day, in over 200 communities throughout the country on Saturday 3 October. For a list of the venues throughout New Zealand where testing will take place, seehttp://www.strokewise.org.nz.

ECONOMIC GROWTH: Economic growth has taken a hit but is still likely to remain at around 2 percent per year, according to the BusinessNZ Planning Forecast for the September 2015 quarter. Read the BusinessNZ Planning Forecast for the September 2015 quarter here: http://www.businessnz.org.nz/

EXPORTERS: ExportNZ says the annual survey shows exporters are feeling confident, expecting increasing profitability and rising orders in the next twelve months, but nearly half the respondents are facing tariff and non-tariff trade barriers. The report is available at:http://www.exportnz.org.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/109450/2015-Exporters-Survey-Report.pdf

GUIDE TO BUYING A HOME: The number of property listings increases as the weather warms up. Homes look more appealing in warm sunshine but EECA ENERGYWISE advises putting some thought into how houses will perform in the cold depths of winter. If you want more details about what to look for when house buying check outhttps://www.energywise.govt.nz/at-home/buying-and-renting

HOME AFFORDABILITY REPORT: The latest Massey University Home Affordability Report shows some improvement in affordability figures over the past three months, due mainly to falling mortgage rates and broadly static house prices.Download the full Massey University Home Affordability Report, with regional breakdowns, here:http://bit.ly/home-affordability-sept2015

KERMADEC SANCTUARY : Prime Minister John Key has announced the creation of a 620,000 km2 Ocean Sanctuary in the Kermadec region, one of the most pristine and unique environments on Earth. Read more here:http://www.mfe.govt.nz/

PUTTING KIWI ON THE MAP: Kiwis for kiwi is calling on all New Zealanders to help put kiwi on the map with a new citizen science project launched for Save Kiwi Month. Read more at: https://www.kiwisforkiwi.org/

SAFE DRIVING IN NZ: Chinese celebrity Huang Lei is lending his voice and influence to spread the word about safer driving in New Zealand to his millions of fans in China. The video, produced in Mandarin with subtitles, can be viewed here: http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XMTMyNDc3MTA2MA==.html

WW1 COMMEMORATIONS: Arts, Culture and Heritage Minister Maggie Barry will leave for Europe today to take part in a series of memorial events, visit the new Ngā Tapuwae New Zealand First World War trails and build ties for the next three years of centenary commemorations. More information on Ngā Tapuwae can be found athttp://www.ngatapuwae.govt.nz/ 

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Tuesday 29th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

University student graduates with four degrees

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by University of Auckland Edward ElderContrary to the usual stereotypes, university students are very busy. And in the case of Edward Elder, too busy to even organise his graduation. The 29 year-old from the Henderson Valley graduated with four degrees at yesterday’s graduation ceremony. He was capped with a Bachelor of Arts, a Bachelor of Arts (Honours), a Master of Arts, and a PhD. While some people in the crowd may have taken him for a genius, Edward has a simple explanation. “I never really got caught up in the University lifestyle, I would go to classes, and then I would go home to study, or I would study at the public library.” So after his Bachelor of Arts, double majoring in Politics and International Relations as well as Film, Television and Media Studies, he went straight to his honours. When the opportunity came up to attend the graduation ceremony Edward decided it wasn’t for him. “In 2008 I was doing my honours year and it was really, really busy, by far the most intense with deadlines twice a week. I was constantly working, it’s never ending.” “Everyone else was stressing out about how much of a hassle it is.” The same thing happened when he did his Masters. He was content finishing his MA until one day his supervisor, Associate Professor Jennifer Lees-Marshment asked him a simple question. “We were watching the 2010 British election, there would have been about a month left on my thesis and she just turned to me and said ‘have you thought about doing a PhD?’” “So I said, ‘sure.’” Now he’s graduating with all the degrees at the university’s Spring Graduation next Tuesday. “I thought I would just do it all at once.” However he says he will just wear the regalia for his PhD, rather than every hood he has earned. His PhD, “A New Model of Communication for Market-Oriented Governing Leaders: portraying the qualities of being in touch, leadership, and credibility in office” is around political marketing communication, particularly around the communication strategies of contemporary market-oriented governing leaders. Edward is well versed in politics, his dad, Jack Elder, was a Labour Party and then New Zealand First MP. But he has no plans to enter politics. Instead, he hopes to work in political marketing. He also written a chapter in the recently released book “Political Marketing in the United States” titled “Communicating Contemporary Leadership in Government”. He is also the editor of the Political Marketing Group Newsletter. –]]>

Keith Rankin on Germany, the Eurozone and Mercantilism

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. This article was also published at Scoop.co.nz.

Of all the naughty isms in the world, mercantilism is so high in the economist’s bad books that this m-word is barely mentioned today.

One reason for this is that mercantilism is so widely practised, that any serious discussion of the topic would expose a somewhat hypercritical profession.

Mercantilism is actually short for ‘merchant capitalism’ which itself is short for ‘the commercial or mercantile system’. “Of the Principle of the Commercial or Mercantile System” is the title of the first chapter of Book 4 of Adam Smith’s 1776 economic classic ‘The Wealth of Nations‘. Book 4 represents the central polemic of Smith’s magnum opus, and it’s a critique of what might be called (oxymoronically) ‘classical mercantilism’.

(For Adam Smith, Dutchmen were the archetypal mercantilists. And when we look at the workings of the Eurozone today, anything one observes about Germany applies equally – if not more than equally [!] – to the Netherlands. Indeed the European discovery – and subsequent naming – of New Zealand represented a mercantilist project of the Dutch East India Company.)

Mercantilism is a variant of capitalist political economy – perhaps better known as business political economy – with most emphasis on the word ‘political’ and least emphasis on the word ‘economy’. It represents a predominant theme of political thought in Britain and Europe in the sixteenth to eighteenth centuries, and today is most commonly associated with China’s business-political nexus.

A name that I have coined for mercantilism is ‘gold mountain economics‘, because the central theme of mercantilism is the accumulation of ‘treasure’, on the assumption that treasure equates to wealth. (We may also note that many people use the word ‘money’ today in the way that classical mercantilists might have used the word ‘treasure’; we also note that ‘investment housing’ today falls within the rubric of ‘treasure’.)

It was due to the dictates of mercantilism that Europeans plundered the Americas in those centuries (1500 to 1800). And it was in these years that economic growth, an emphasis on manufacturing over agriculture, and high levels of employment (indeed exploitatively high levels) came to be understood as the principal means to the nationalistic end of accumulating more treasure than other nations. It is the doctrine that unbalanced international trade is better than balanced trade; that trade surpluses are good and trade deficits are bad. And the idea permeated into government; a successful government was a government that had a Treasury full of treasure.

Protestant German (and Dutch) princes always had the reputation for being strongly committed to mercantilist principles. And, following the unification of Germany around 150 years ago, Germany became an economic polity strongly committed to rivalrous mercantilist development; to the exploitation of its resources for the purpose of gaining economic power through the making of money, and through spending as little of it as possible.

Mercantilism is also commonly called ‘economic nationalism’ (even ‘economic imperialism’), although this depiction leads modern economists to dismiss mercantilism as protectionism; in the process they have lost track of just how much modern economic thought is infused with mercantilism.

The central concepts of both classical and modern mercantilism are that making money is the end purpose of economic activity, and that consumption spending is censured as ‘unproductive’. A corollary is that inequality is praised, because the poverty of the employed helps to minimise ‘unproductive spending’, and consumer debt is ‘bad’ because it facilitates such spending. (The irony is that consumer debt, when spent, enables the gold mountains of businesses like Volkswagen and countries like Germany to be constructed. Mercantilism is not a coherent prescription; when applied universally it represents a ‘race to the bottom’.)

One of the classic methods of modern mercantilism is to run an undervalued exchange rate. While this is the easiest way to skew world trade, for every country that has an undervalued exchange rate, another must have an overvalued exchange rate. So it’s a strategy that works for some – China for example has used this strategy – it’s a strategy that can never work for all. In a world in which most countries’ policymakers advocate variants of gold-mountain economics, it’s only the most committed mercantilists who achieve these undervalued exchange rates.

The Eurozone has been the perfect vehicle for German mercantilism. By having a single currency through most of Europe, that currency represents an undervalued currency in some Eurozone countries and an overvalued currency in others. The Euro is worth less against the $US than the German Mark world be today, had the Eurozone not formed. Likewise, the Euro is worth more today (against the $US) than the Greek Drachma or the Spanish Peseta or the Irish Punt would have been worth today had these currencies still existed.

The result is that the German economy acts like a giant vacuum cleaner within Europe and near-Europe; sucking both money and labour to its bosom, while leaving its neighbours financially impoverished and being forced to adopt deflationary policies to counter this. Germany’s growing golden mountain of pseudo-riches is matched by (indeed built upon) the rising red peak of debt and poverty in Germany’s growing regional hinterland. The red peak that supports a gold mountain may indeed be interpreted as the magma that will eventually destroy that mountain.

It is in this context that we should understand the present scandal at Volkswagen. For too many German businesses, having an undervalued exchange rate is not enough. (It’s not only German businesses, of course, who are committed to the accumulation of thalers. Apple may be the most notorious gold mountaineer.) Volkswagen’s commitment to making money extended to cheating. Indeed VW’s antics may represent just the tip of the geldberg.

The solution to this problem lies in two parts. The first part is a change in attitude to money that must be led by public debates: one a more general debate about the end-purpose of economic activity; and one a debate within the economics profession about the mercantilisation of a discipline that was founded upon a rejection of mercantilism.

The second part of the solution – the narrower European part – is the conversion of the Eurozone into a ‘United States of Europe’. Even the majority of Greeks – representing one country very much in the red part rather than the gold part of the Eurozone – do not want to retreat from the process that the Eurozone is a part of. (Greek voters favoured austerity over departure from the Eurozone.) Thus the process must advance.

In this regard, an interesting article on Project SyndicateWe the People of Europe, by Laszlo Bruszt and David Stark, 11 August 2015 – notes the similarities of the Eurozone today with the situation in the United States in the last two decades of the eighteenth century, and how it was resolved over time through the creation of a fiscal and overarching political union. By no means does the USA represent equality between its member states – much fiscal power remains with the individual states (eg compare USA to Australia). Yet a Eurozone-like monetary suffocation of the south by the north could not happen within the United States today.

Mercantilism infuses our economic thinking today. And labourism is at least as mercantilist as capitalism. Economics as an intellectual and scholarly discipline was founded on the rejection of mercantilism. While economists should take a lead by re-examining the intellectual foundations of their discipline, we need to broaden this discussion. Economics – whether capitalist or labourist or something else – lies at the core of the intellectual foundations of market societies.

In the meantime, as we foster such debates, we should stop looking to countries like Germany as successful economies that all can and should emulate. To Olympic athletes, the attempt to accumulate gold makes good sense. The majority of athletes of course fail. We should stop thinking of economic success through sporting metaphors such as ‘competitiveness’. In the Olympic Games most participants are losers and some winners are cheats. The contrast with economics’ vision of a prosperous and sustainable global market economy without losers could not be greater.

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Calf collection paves way for fertility project

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by DairyNZ A huge logistical exercise that involved collecting hundreds of calves from farms all over the North Island has set the scene for a ground-breaking research programme aimed at lifting fertility rates in the dairy industry.  Heifer #86 In recent weeks, heifer calves from 619 farms across Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Taranaki, Manawatu and Hawke’s Bay have been collected so that they can be reared and milked together as one herd. The “Animal Model” research herd will comprise equal numbers of Holstein Friesian calves with very high and very low fertility genetics, carefully selected from contract matings in spring last year and purchased from farmers by DairyNZ. To ensure the calves are raised in controlled, identical conditions, calves needed to be collected within one to two weeks of birth.  The calves are being reared together at a property in Te Awamutu to around 13 weeks of age before being moved to a large grazing property further north. The aim is to have at least 200 high fertility and 220 low fertility heifers calving in 2017.Each animal will be monitored and tests performed throughout growth, puberty, and first and second lactation as researchers look to understand more clearly what drives fertility. DairyNZ senior scientist Susanne Meier says one of the key objectives of the Achieving Reproductive Targets programme is to discover any new traits that could be measured in heifers and would be good predictors of their eventual fertility. “If we have a better understanding of the genetic drivers of fertility in our cows, then we can be more targeted in our breeding selections, and achieve faster gain,” she says. This could contribute to increasing the heritability of the fertility breeding value (BV), one of seven traits that make up the Breeding Worth, a selection index that ranks animals for their genetic ability to breed profitable replacements for a dairy herd. “There’s potentially a huge financial gain if we can improve reliability and breed more effectively for fertility. “A good example may be if we found that the high fertility heifers displayed stronger heats. This is a trait that farmers can measure, and if it were a key driver for fertility, we could use that information to improve the fertility BV.” In addition to improving genetic selection for fertility, DairyNZ senior scientist and project leader Chris Burke says this purpose-bred herd will enable a thorough understanding of why some cows are easy to get back in-calf and why others are a real struggle. “We have a group of world experts in fertility champing at the bit to use this herd to find answers,” he says. The project is part of a wider research programme funded across the dairy sector, known as Pillars of a Sustainable Dairy System. This includes the Lifetime Productivity programme, led by DairyNZ senior scientist Claire Phyn, which focuses on premature death, involuntary culling and health-related productivity losses in dairy cows. Between them, inefficiencies in fertility and lifetime productivity are estimated to cost the industry well over a billion dollars a year. The Pillars of a Sustainable Dairy System programme is funded by DairyNZ with matched co-funding from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) and funding and resources from AgResearch, Fonterra, LIC and CRV.   The research team led by DairyNZ involves AgResearch, AbacusBio, Victoria University Wellington, Cognosco (a division of Anexa Animal Health), University of Queensland, Massey University, Monash University, University of Auckland, VetSouth and New Zealand Animal Evaluation. –]]>

Fear & the ‘fool’: “The Great American Scream”

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Fear & the 'fool': "The Great American Scream"
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A local play critiquing US-influenced media – Analysis by Carolyn Skelton. The Great American Scream, recently at Te Pou Theatre (the new Auckland home for Māori theatre in New Lynn) was thoroughly engaging.  I had a lingering impact with some scenes etched in my memory.  The play exposes fault lines in US-influenced media that began early in the 20th century, gradually evolving into the current local and international crisis in mainstream news media. This play is a period piece with a contemporary resonance. Written by Albert Belz (Ngāti Porou, Ngāpuhi, Ngāti Pōkai), it is set on the night that a US radio station broadcast “War of the Worlds”, directed and narrated by Orson Welles. The broadcast was on Halloween night, October 30, in 1938. At the time there were (over-exaggerated) claims that there had been mass panic by large numbers of people. Some people had apparently missed the announcements during Welles’ broadcast, stating that the murderous alien invasion was part of a fictional drama. [Full broadcast on youtube] Belz’s play uses this media event as the centre-piece of his play.  It is set in the household of a family, living not far from the site of the (fictional) Martian invasion. The family hear parts of the broadcast, and believe the invasion to be real. As we entered the auditorium, we see the stage is set up as a 1930s living room. It is described well by Tamati Patuwai in his review:

It feels very much like the audience is inside the room and at times claustrophobically so. Reminiscent of the lush Broadway style stage typical of American theatrical standards, …
The radio is always on the set, and is the centre-piece of the performance, along with periodic playing of radio broadcasts. Reading the programme while I waited, with the swing and big band music popular in the 1930s filling the auditorium, the scene is also set for me with this whakaaro from the play’s author:

The Great American Scream is this writer’s reaction to modern ‘journalism’ and global pack-mentality’; as a witness daily in modern broadcasting and print on issues such as immigration, ISIS and the Ebola Virus.

It is my reaction to fear-mongering in a capitalist society where journalism is driven purely for profit, where the only narrative in global reportage is one of fear designed to increase sales and advertising margins; where ultimately the world is made a little bit ‘stupider’ every day.

The play begins with expectations that the eldest daughter in the family will receive a marriage proposal at the evening’s Halloween dance.  The family becomes transfixed by the snippets they hear of Orson Welles’ reports of the Martian invasion. In their responses to the anticipated end of life as they know it at the hands of the frightening aliens, the family spill some of their secrets: thwarted desires as they attempt to live up to the dominant values of their times. In the process, they make some small steps forwards on gender and racial issues. The play’s critique is delivered with a light touch. The characters remain likeable and sympathetic, even as they are fooled by the radio drama. The families’ panic includes a hilarious nod to the US’s love of guns and to private militias, as the characters scrambles to protect their home territory. The Martians are not the only outsiders that play on the families’ fears. First there’s the intrusion into their domestic space of the sounds from the black man (Ezra) hammering on their roof.  In the course of the play Ezra’s demeanour changes from cowed submission, to walking tall, with confidence. 2 vagabonds, Slim and Lennie, are another disruptive intrusion into the domestic scene.  When they knock on the door, asking for work, the mother politely directs them to the neighbouring farm.  When they ask for food, she unhelpfully invites them to church.  They, especially Lennie, perform a role similar to that of one kind of Shakespearean fool: commoners or poor people, often comic, socially disruptive characters who provide a critique of society and those with power. Later Slim and Lennie walk into the empty living room. They ask, what will happen if we have nothing left to lose?  And Lennie asks, what will happen if they no longer have anything to fear? They note that they never go to the kinds of dances that the family attends.  Dancing together to the radio music, they create a shared fantasy of dancing with a beautiful woman, until a quizzical Ezra interrupts them. In the chaos of the night, the vagabonds gain control: a feared and disturbing presence as they speak of carrying out a misogynistic form of revenge.  The social order is restored after Slim and Lennie are scared into submission by a simple Halloween trick. The tramps remain potential figures of disruption and fear – like the homeless, beneficiaries, and unemployed today, so often unfairly  demonised by our media. The last word of the play comes from the voice of Orson Welles, at the end of the “War of the Worlds’” broadcast:

“… and remember, please, for the next day or so, the terribly lesson you learned tonight: That grinning glowing globular invader, of your living room, is an inhabitant of the pumpkin patch, and if your doorbell rings and nobody’s there – that was no Martian.  It’s Halloween.”

https://youtu.be/JzvCpBFXHnU The NZ news media today Last week on Radio New Zealand National’s Panel, Dita di Boni spoke about the recent axing of journalists from mainstream NZ media.  She said that it’s partly political.  In keeping with Belz’s views above, di Boni was critical of marketing people interfering in the news room and exerting too much power. http://podcast.radionz.co.nz/panel/panel-20150921-1653-top_journalists_for_the_chopping_block-048.mp3   In the 21st century, in a reversal of the fictional War of the Worlds’ simulated news story, news media borrow from fictional, fear-inspiring dramas in their pursuit of profit and audiences. The “grinning glowing globular invader” in today’s living spaces, is the corporate-dominated news media, focused more on infotainment than informing the public of important Featured image from sott.net
The Great American Scream credits: Albert Belz – writer/Kaituhi Tainui Tukiwhaho – Director/Kaitohu Ascia Maybury – set designer Cast : Johnny Givins – GrandPapa Mike Drew – Slim Ayse Tezel – Mother Jatinder Singh – Ezra Briar Collard – Rosie (daughter) Ben Van Lier – Mr Crompton Josh Harriman – Lennie Francis Mountjoy – Father Abigail O’Flynn – Kate (younger daughter) Reon Gell – George (young son).
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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 28, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Monday 28th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include a West Auckland teenager being held in police station cells for four days because Child, Youth and Family could not find a bed for her in a youth justice facility, a survey showing labour market confidence has turned sour and is at its lowest level in three years because of slow wage growth and the High Court being told the Government’s refusal to release information about the Trans-Pacific Partnership is unlawful and constitutionally dangerous.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Deed of Settlement signed with Heretaunga Tamatea; RPAS incident being fully investigated; Defence Minister to visit China; Kiwi projects receive $226,000; Minister welcomes Tuvalu Language Week; Communities doing their bit for clean rivers;Government Doubles Down On Underfunding Social Services; Applications open for Settling In funding

Greens: CYFS Minister needs to support our kids; John Key must back signing of SDGs with action or risk hypocrisy; Even TPPA supporters want more transparency

Labour: Govt must seek urgent explanation after death in custody; No excuse for teen’s lengthy cell lock-up

Māori Party: Poroporoaki: Waireti Violet Charlotte Walters JP, QSO; Māori communities must be part of the solution to tamariki in State care

New Zealand First: PSA-V poses new threat to northland; Dairy farmers sacrificed for TPPA

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

DEED OF SETTLEMENT: The Crown has signed a Deed of Settlement with Heretaunga Tamatea settling the iwi’s historical Treaty of Waitangi claims. A copy of the Deed of Settlement is available athttp://www.govt.nz/organisations/office-of-treaty-settlements/

LABOUR CONFIDENCE LOW: New Zealanders’ confidence in the labour market has continued to slide, with the Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Index dropping to 99.3 in the September quarter. That’s the lowest level since 2012. See:https://wibiq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/New_Zealand/2015/September_2015/Q3_Employment_Confidence_September_2015.pdf

NZ WINEGROWERS SCHOLARSHIP: New Zealand Winegrowers has announced the names of nine successful sommeliers who will participate in the inaugural Sommit Scholarship, held in New Zealand from 30 January to 6 February 2016. Read more: http://www.nzwine.com/sommelierscholarship

PACIFIC YOUTH AWARDS: The search is underway to find some of the country’s highest achieving Pacific young people.The 2015 Prime Minister’s Pacific Youth Awards offer the chance to highlight the success of young Pacific people in New Zealand. Applications are now open and close on 2 November, 2015. More details are available herehttp://www.pacificyouthawards.org.nz

SETTLING IN FUNDING: Not-for-profit organisations working directly with refugees and recent migrants can apply for Settling In funding from today. More information can be found here: http://www.ethniccommunities.govt.nz

TOBACCO MARKET SLOWS DOWN: Returns supplied to the Ministry of Health by New Zealand tobacco manufacturers show a drop of 3.8 percent in the quantity of tobacco and cigarettes released per adult in 2014 versus 2013. Returns to the year ending 31 December 2014 are available at http://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/preventative-health-wellness/tobacco-control/tobacco-returns/tobacco-returns-2014.

TUVALU LANGUAGE WEEK: The theme of Tuvalu Language Week, which began yesterday, is Tau gana ko tou Iloga – Language is your Identity. A list of events marking Tuvalu Language Week can be found at http://www.mpia.govt.nz

WORLD RIVERS DAY: To mark World Rivers Day last Sunday, regional councils are released their latest water quality data on the Land, Air, Water, Aotearoa website, which this year includes lake quality monitoring. LAWA can be accessed on nttp://www.lawa.org.nz

YEAST IN WINE: A new study has found yeast plays more of a role in the taste of wine from different regions than previously thought. A team of scientists from the University of Auckland and the UK reported in the journal ‘Scientific Reports’. Read more: http://www.nature.com/articles/srep14233

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Monday 28th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

TPP: Precedent-setting case on TPPA secrecy in Court today

Source: Professor Jane Kelsey

Today, the High Court in Wellington will hear an application for judicial review of Trade Minister Tim Groser’s blanket refusal to release information relating to the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) sought under the Official Information Act.

[caption id="attachment_6181" align="alignleft" width="150"]Professor Jane Kelsey. Professor Jane Kelsey.[/caption]

Professor Jane Kelsey, who made the initial request back in January, says the case will remain important even if ministers from the twelve countries reach an accord in Atlanta this week.

‘The government insists that no substantive changes can be made to agreement once negotiations are concluded. But New Zealanders, including MPs, need access to background information to assess the implications of the Agreement, hold the government to account, and pressure it not to exercise its executive power of ratification’.

The  case is precedent setting in several ways. It will be the first time the courts have given a definitive interpretation of certain provisions of the Official Information Act. The ruling will be relevant to future requests involving similar kinds of trade and investment negotiations and to the application of the Act more generally.

The other applicants supporting the case are Consumer NZ, Ngati Kahungunu, Greenpeace, Oxfam, Association of Salaried Medical Specialists (ASMS), New Zealand Nurses Organisation (NZNO), and the Tertiary Education Union (TEU).

Executive Director of ASMS, Ian Powell, observes that “without transparency and a proper level of disclosure, there is a highly likelihood that New Zealand’s high quality public health service will be seriously eroded to the detriment of patients, their families and taxpaying citizens.  We support this application for judicial review because the public interest requires this level of disclosure.”

In similar vein, Kaiwhakahaere Keri Nuku says NZNO sees the challenge posed by the TPPA as “not about trade, but the potential public health impacts of an agreement that has been negotiated under a blanket of secrecy. The NZ public have a right know the costs, risks and purported benefits that such an agreement could bring to a health system that is currently failing some of our most vulnerable populations.”

Greenpeace, believes “this agreement will have potentially far reaching consequences for the future of New Zealand and how we safeguard our oceans, rivers and the air we breathe. That’s why it’s critical that the details of what’s being traded away in our name are made available, before it’s too late”, according to executive director Bunny McDiarmid.

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Keith Rankin on Green Politics in Future New Zealand

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. This article was also published on TheDailyBlog.co.nz.

I sense a renewed commitment by the Green Party to contribute to the governance of New Zealand, and not simply snipe from the sidelines. Getting the ‘Red Peak’ flag on the menu for this year’s flag referendum was a masterstroke of political pragmatism that allows for a process in which people can more easily make reflective rather than reactive decisions about an alternative flag; a flag that might replace the defaced blue ensign that tells the world we are both a state of Australia and a British overseas territory. (In the end it was New Zealand First – alias Winston’s Imperial Army – that showed its true colours during Wednesday evening’s debate. Who else really wants the United Kingdom flag to be part of our flag?)

But I’m not really writing about the flag here. I’m sensing that James Shaw is acting to position the Green Party as a genuine power broker, and in part by emphasising Green’s primary purpose, to advocate (and legislate) for the natural environment.

The issue is particularly pertinent at present because the signs are that, given past precedents, Winston Peters will be in a position in 2017 to insist on becoming Prime Minister as a condition of his party’s support in forming either a Labour-led or National-led Government.

The message the Greens need to give is that their first preference is to participate meaningfully in a Labour-Green or Labour-Green-Māori government. Of equal importance, they must give the clear message that their second preference is meaningful participation in a National-Green or National-Green-Māori government. Both of these options render New Zealand First superfluous.

While it is possible that there will be enough votes for the first (with Labour) preference, it’s much more likely that there will be enough votes for a National-Green-Māori supply-confidence combo. Further, I am sure that Mr Key would much prefer a National-Green-Māori line-up to a National-Winston administration.

(While making predictions may be brash, I did get this year’s British election right; United Kingdom General Election on 7 May, Scoop, 23 April 2015. I think that the effective vote percentages in New Zealand in 2017 could be Green 12%, Labour 30%, NZ First 10%, Māori 3%, National 40%, Act 5%.)

While Winston would probably negotiate principally on the basis of leadership, the Greens would negotiate on the basis of environmental policy. Further, once in the governing tent, the Greens would be in a position to advocate for a more publically-oriented form of capitalism in economic policy.

My position is that I want good policies, and if Mr Key presiding over good policies makes his legacy look better than most people on the left would rate it, then so be it. I look forward to a National-Green-Māori government closing out this decade. I would also be more than happy to have a Labour-Green-Māori government. Indeed, I can see no reason why both Green and Māori should not be a part of all future MMP governments.

One final note, on progressing the matter of climate change that is dear to James Shaw’s heart. From my point of view, the science (while important) is incidental to how we should behave. We should reduce our pollutant carbon (and other harmful) emissions because such emissions represent a fouling of our home. We don’t need proof of anthropogenic global warming to reach this ethical conclusion about how we should behave towards our planet.

And for those climate-change deniers, who for the most part think that large-scale pollution is OK; they should be asked what they would do (and what policies they would recommend) if ever there was incontrovertible proof (ie proof that even they would have to accept) that human-induced pollution was creating long-term adverse consequences for the global environment.

An ideologue is a person whose opinions are influenced by neither facts nor ethics. Opposition and minority-party politicians (and journalists) need to probe our key decision-makers, to ensure that their opinions are influenced by both facts (including newly discovered facts) and ethics. The Greens, if they choose, can ‘punch’ above their weight in the governance of Aotearoa New Zealand. In democratic politics, ethics and facts trump ideology. People, for the most part, are principled pragmatists.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 25, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 7 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Friday 25th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the United States calling for a ministerial meeting on the TPP deal next week however the Trade Minister Tim Groser has not yet decided if he is going, overseeing the next phase of Canterbury rebuild is a new agency- Regenerate Christchurch and the Defence Force saying it needs to dramatically lift when it comes to managing the changes required for better response to future events.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Labour hypocritical over bright-line criticism; Climate Change Minister to visit Australia and the United States; Step up for Stoptober, minister urges smokers;Five new projects to receive tourism funding; Regenerate Christchurch agency confirmed; Speech – Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce and Boulcott Hospital; Lake water quality goes online; Government Seeks Community Input On Social Housing; Lake water quality goes online; New scallop limits for Challenger season

Greens:Will Groser sign the TPPA dud deal?; Capital Gains Tax still the best option for Auckland

Labour: Another day, another horror health story; Democracy for Canterbury after CERA; Auckland remains a speculator’s paradise; Spierings should lead by example and take a pay cut;So where is John Key’s magic bullet now?; A spoonful of sugar…would be better than two

Māori Party: The State is a poor defacto parent; Maori Party Commends The Medical Council’s Call To Tackle Health Inequities

New Zealand First: Intervention Called For At Youth Facility; Yet Another Report While Our Vulnerable Children Wait

NZ National Party: School’s $5.3m redevelopment underway

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

FLOODS COST THE PRIMARY SECTOR: The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) has today released a report on the economic impacts to the primary sector of the heavy rain and flooding that affected the western North Island in June. The full report is available at: http://www.mpigovtnz.cwp.govt.nz/news-and-resources/media-releases/june-floods-cost-the-primary-sector-70-million-says-mpi/

GREAT KERERŪ COUNT OFF TO A FLYING START: The Great Kererū Count is off to a flying start, with nearly double the number of observations made during the first five days compared to last year. Go here for more:http://www.greatkererucount.nz/

HOME LOAN AFFORDABILITY: Lower quartile house prices have plateaued throughout the country and have declined in Auckland for the last three months in a row, suggesting the property market has peaked in its latest cycle, according to the interest.co.nz Home Loan Affordability Report. More details are available at:http://www.interest.co.nz/property/77782/house-prices-have-started-falling-lower-end-market-aucklands-lower-quartile-selling

REGIONAL TOURISM INDICATORS: The Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment released the Regional Tourism Indicators (RTI) for August 2015. Read more: http://www.tourism.cmail19.com/t/r-l-fuhlhyd-iuiyjibdu-m/

‘SUGARY DRINK FREE AOTEAROA BY 2025’ : A conference on ‘Sugary Drink Free Aotearoa by 2025’ will be held by FIZZ on Wednesday 7 October 2015 at MIT in Manukau with keynote speakers Professor Barry Popkin (via video) from the University of North Carolina, Dr Gerhard Sundborn (aka Dr FIZZ) and Che Fu. The speaking programme includes panel discussions and speakers from around New Zealand. Full details available fromhttp://www.fizz.org.nz/content/symposium-2015

SOCIAL HOUSING: Treasury and the Ministry of Social Development are looking to identify further opportunities for the supply or transfer of social housing. “Under the Social Housing Reform Programme the Government has committed to subsidise an additional 3,000 social housing tenancies nationally, by the end of 2018,” Social Housing Minister Paula Bennett says. The Request for Information is available at:http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/socialhousing/rfi

TOURISM FUNDING: Government is investing in five new projects to help grow the tourism sector in New Zealand. Round Four of the Tourism Growth Partnership Fund is now open. Read more here: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/sectors-industries/tourism/tourism-growth-partnership.

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Friday 25th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

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