Independent Analysis and Reportage
Regional Conflicts - Political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take as much territory, while a 'Lame-Duck Window' exists in the United States.
Analysis by Keith Rankin. An important (and widely commented on) book published last year is End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, by Perer Turchin. Before reading this book I read his 2007 book War and Peace and War (see my 30 Jan 2024 article Asabiyya), Ages of Discord (2016, an application ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/25/keith-rankin-essay-peter-turchins-end-times-some-comments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments">Read more</a>
Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning note and discuss some of the big world events that have occurred and are occurring in 2023. And in particular, they discuss the rise of the Global South; evaluate the the wars that continue to rage in Ukraine and Gaza; and tensions in the South China Sea. Plus Paul and Selwyn note, with particular reference, the trends that will become prominent in 2024, including the decline of Western democracies and a rightward turn in many places (including in Argentina and New Zealand in their respective 2023 elections).
Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) New Zealand’s international relations are under new management. And Winston Peters, the new foreign minister, is already setting a change agenda. As expected, this includes a more pro-US positioning when it comes to the Pacific – where Peters will be picking up where he left off. Peters sought ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller’s Analysis – New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/04/geoffrey-millers-analysis-new-zealands-foreign-policy-resets-on-aukus-gaza-and-ukraine/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller’s Analysis – New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine">Read more</a>
In this the eighth episode of A View from Afar for 2023, political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning examine the risks of a 21st century nuclear war. The movie Oppenheimer has renewed interest in the dawn of the nuclear era. Almost 80 years later, are we safer from nuclear war than we were in the years immediately after 1945?
Political scientist Dr Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning present a two-part episode to analyse what to make of the New Zealand-People's Republic of China bilateral leadership meetings. And also, Paul and Selwyn analyse the shifts inside Russia in the weeks after the destabilisation caused by Wagner Commander Yevgeny Prigozhin's pronouncements and challenge to Russia's military heads.
PODCAST: In this the second episode of A View from Afar podcast for 2023, political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will analyse the question: How stable is Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin’s regime?
INTERACTIVE WEBCAST: Join the LIVE recording of Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning’s podcast A View from Afar at midday Thursday (New Zealand time) and Wednesday 8pm (US EDT). In this the second episode of A View from Afar podcast for 2023, political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will analyse the question: How ... <a title="LIVE PODCAST@Midday Thurs: How Stable is Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Hold on Power?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/05/24/live-podcastmidday-thurs-how-stable-is-russian-president-vladimir-putins-hold-on-power/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE PODCAST@Midday Thurs: How Stable is Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Hold on Power?">Read more</a>
In this, the 25th episode of A View from Afar for 2022 political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning will examine how hostage taking, prisoner exchanges, and establishing diplomatic back-channels work and how they are used by states during times of conflict.
LIVE@MIDDAY NZ Time – 6pm USEST – In this, the 25th episode of A View from Afar for 2022 political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning will examine how hostage taking, prisoner exchanges, and establishing diplomatic back-channels work and how they are used by states during times of conflict. Specifically, Paul and Selwyn will ... <a title="LIVE @ Midday – Hostage Taking, Prisoner Exchanges and Back-Channels – Buchanan and Manning" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/12/15/live-midday-hostage-taking-prisoner-exchanges-and-back-channels-buchanan-and-manning/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE @ Midday – Hostage Taking, Prisoner Exchanges and Back-Channels – Buchanan and Manning">Read more</a>
Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. Political Roundup: What to expect from Volodymyr Zelensky’s address to the New Zealand Parliament By Geoffrey Miller As New Zealand’s foreign policy year draws to a close, it seems fitting that Volodymyr Zelensky will have the final word. Ukraine’s President is scheduled to address the New Zealand Parliament in Wellington by video ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller’s Political Roundup: What to expect from Volodymyr Zelensky’s address to the New Zealand Parliament" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/12/12/geoffrey-millers-political-roundup-what-to-expect-from-volodymyr-zelenskys-address-to-the-new-zealand-parliament/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller’s Political Roundup: What to expect from Volodymyr Zelensky’s address to the New Zealand Parliament">Read more</a>
Political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning deep dive into the consequences of the United States midterm elections and why Trumpism and Trump are doomed political forces.