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August 14, 2024
Department of Mum and Dad Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 12 August, the national-led government announced a new policy program to impose more sanctions on New Zealand’s beneficiaries, meaning people of working age (18-64) whose primary income is a government benefit. (Refer RNZ Government further increases sanctions for beneficiaries, 12 August 2024.) This policy direction ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/14/keith-rankin-analysis-department-of-mum-and-dad-in-the-context-of-a-more-restrictive-welfare-state/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state">Read more</a>
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August 6, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This morning the biggest news story by far was the collapse of the government of Bangladesh, the world’s eighth-biggest country by population, and a source of labour and international students for New Zealand. Not that you would have known that this was such a big story if reliant on the New ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/06/keith-rankin-analysis-political-crisis-in-bangladesh-lessons-for-aotearoa-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand">Read more</a>
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August 5, 2024
The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today at 12:45pm August 5, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 8:45pm (USEDT). In this episode of A View from Afar political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning will discuss, debate, and assess whether deterrence is still a ... <a title="POSTPONED UNTIL NEXT WEEK: Deterrence and De-Escalation Are They Still Valid Concepts In International Relations?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/05/live-recording-deterrence-and-de-escalation-are-they-still-valid-concepts-in-international-relations/" aria-label="Read more about POSTPONED UNTIL NEXT WEEK: Deterrence and De-Escalation Are They Still Valid Concepts In International Relations?">Read more</a>
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August 4, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the votes for the principal ‘leftish’ political parties in England from 1992 to 2024. The important thing to note is that vote tallies should be rising over time in any country which has a rising population. England had had a rising population trend, yet the numbers of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-political-left-in-england-an-analysis-of-election-vote-counts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts">Read more</a>
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July 31, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today is ‘tax cut day’. The present round of income tax cuts has been controversial, despite the fact that they are not ‘real’ tax cuts, only bracket adjustments which partially compensate for CPI inflation this decade. (Here is an interview today with University of Auckland economist Susan St John, which suggests ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-analysis-tax-cuts-1982-and-2024/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024">Read more</a>
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July 31, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows CPI inflation in New Zealand in historical context. The chart shows (in orange) the present policy target band of one to three percent annual inflation. And it shows the ‘home-ownership’ component of the CPI. The chart looks different to most charts of CPI inflation, because it uses ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-consumers-price-index-cpi-inflation-past-and-present/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present">Read more</a>
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July 25, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. An important (and widely commented on) book published last year is End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, by Perer Turchin. Before reading this book I read his 2007 book War and Peace and War (see my 30 Jan 2024 article Asabiyya), Ages of Discord (2016, an application ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/25/keith-rankin-essay-peter-turchins-end-times-some-comments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments">Read more</a>
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July 22, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Interest Rates and Increasing Prices: The Facts The first chart above challenges the received view that inflation in New Zealand remains stubbornly high, and that it is therefore appropriate for the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate (OCR) to be held for at least a few more months at its damagingly high ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-truth-in-new-zealand-about-price-inflation-and-interest-rates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates">Read more</a>
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July 17, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In November 1928, New Zealand had its own ‘Biden moment’ when the 72-year-old Sir Joseph Ward appeared to promise that, if his party won that year’s election, the New Zealand Government would borrow £70 million in 1 year, as a fiscal super-stimulus that would get New Zealand out of the economic ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/17/keith-rankin-essay-new-zealands-joe-biden-ward-moment/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment">Read more</a>
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July 15, 2024
The Trump Assassination Attempt, Security Failures, The Politics and What Happens Next? - Firstly, in this episode of A View from Afar, political scientist and former Pentagon analyst, Dr Paul Buchanan, provides us a preliminary assessment of the assassination attempt on former United States president Donald Trump. And then Paul and Selwyn assess what impact this crime will have on the US Presidential election campaign.
CoveragePost
July 15, 2024
The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today at 12:45pm July 15, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 8:45pm (USEDT). The Trump Assassination Attempt, Security Failures, The Politics and What Happens Next? – Firstly, in this episode of A View from Afar, political scientist and former Pentagon analyst, Dr Paul Buchanan, ... <a title="LIVE RECORDING: The Trump Assassination Attempt, Security, The Politics, What Happens Next" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/15/live-recording-the-trump-assassination-attempt-security-failures-the-politics-what-happens-next/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE RECORDING: The Trump Assassination Attempt, Security, The Politics, What Happens Next">Read more</a>
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July 13, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin, 12 July 2024. The recent French elections delivered an entirely predictable result; although few in the mainstream media actually predicted it. Instead, the pre-election narrative was that the dastardly ‘far right’ was heading for a win, and that a win for Rally France would presage some kind of disaster for democracy ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – France’s Two-ballot Voting System, and its New Zealand Antecedent" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/13/keith-rankin-analysis-frances-two-ballot-voting-system-and-its-new-zealand-antecedent/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – France’s Two-ballot Voting System, and its New Zealand Antecedent">Read more</a>
