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February 5, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Before noting the role of Czechia – the Czech Republic – in the most lethal wave of the Covid19 pandemic in Europe, we should note the tragic recent circumstance of Portugal. In the first chart above, we see that Portugal, a country that in April performed very well compared to its neighbours, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Czechia may be the key to Europe’s most lethal wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/02/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-czechia-may-be-the-key-to-europes-most-lethal-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Czechia may be the key to Europe’s most lethal wave">Read more</a>
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January 30, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Here I include three European countries and three others well known for their Covid19 issues. Of the European countries, Switzerland was first to be hit, and did substantially suppress the epidemic. Sweden was hit for a prolonged period, but eventually got the problem down to ‘acceptable’ levels. Slovakia – the only one ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Deaths in Six Covid-Hot Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-deaths-in-six-covid-hot-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Deaths in Six Covid-Hot Countries">Read more</a>
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January 22, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. With Covid19, Italy shows the classic European pattern, with its early outbreak, substantial recovery thanks to lockdowns and other public health measures, and resurgence thanks to complacency and summer mingling. Brazil, on the other hand, shows a pattern, even more extreme than the USA, of an outbreak that did not go away. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Italy and Brazil – Three Perspectives" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-italy-and-brazil-three-perspectives/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Italy and Brazil – Three Perspectives">Read more</a>
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January 15, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The countries with the most recent large outbreaks of Covid19 are those with large numbers of recent recorded cases, but yet to record the deaths that most likely will result. In this camp, this time, are Ireland, Israel (its third major outbreak), and Lebanon. Of these, only Israel features in my ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries in the New Year" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worst-countries-in-the-new-year/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries in the New Year">Read more</a>
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January 9, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In my latest charts, I include a robust set of estimates of actual proportion of people who have – or have had – Covid19. The principal basis for these estimates is the number of deaths being recorded. Using the appropriate log scale for such charts, we can see that Belgium’s ‘second ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium and Ireland – Three Perspectives" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/01/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-belgium-and-ireland-three-perspectives/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Belgium and Ireland – Three Perspectives">Read more</a>
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December 23, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The parts of the USA with the highest Covid19 death rates – New Jersey and New York City – have lost two in every thousand persons in their populations. That’s consistent with 40 percent of the populations of these places having been infected with the disease, based on a 0.5% case ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-united-states-in-december-compared-to-march/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March">Read more</a>
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December 21, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We in New Zealand hear so little about the tragedy unfolding in Eastern Europe, including the Baltic and Caucasian States. These countries have very cold winters, increased inequality, poverty, and popular nationalism (aka ‘populism’). But they are low on the queue for media coverage (and we don’t tend to regard anti ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/21/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worst-countries-pre-christmas/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas">Read more</a>
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December 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. 2020 has been the year of the scientist, or at least the public health scientist. Science is a method, not a discipline; it includes social science, because social science does at least notionally apply the scientific method. While being about the discovery of truth, the scientific method implies that truth (with ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/18/keith-rankin-analysis-science-the-good-the-ugly-the-false-and-the-expedient/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient">Read more</a>
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December 17, 2020
Essay by Keith Rankin. I recently watched Season Four of ‘The Crown’. Yes, it’s a drama, not a documentary. The two dominant characters – outside of the Windsor bloodline – were Princess Diana and Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Both characters were probably overplayed, but only slightly. Diana was a social but shallow ‘girl’ (“younger than ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Queen of Hearts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/17/keith-rankin-essay-queen-of-hearts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Queen of Hearts">Read more</a>
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December 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. With respect to the Covid19 pandemic, our news media is biased towards the United States and Western Europe. Little do we know that the worst affected region of the world over the last month or two has been Eastern Europe and the Caucasus. This region was relatively unaffected in March and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Eastern Europe and Canada" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-eastern-europe-and-canada/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Eastern Europe and Canada">Read more</a>
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December 11, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin – estimates, magnitudes, and new countries to be concerned about. In mid-November, I published Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude. I used Turkey as my example of a Covid19 magnitude 3 country, and South Korea as my magnitude 2 example. Today, less than a month later, Turkey is now looking like a magnitude ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worsening-incidence-in-asia-usa-and-denmark/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark">Read more</a>
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December 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I was in Victoria, Canada over Easter weekend in 2019. On Easter Sunday I returned to my hotel, to the shocking news of a set of coordinated suicide bombings in Colombo, Sri Lanka. 267 people died that day, and at least 500 others were injured. The target groups were Christian churchgoers, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Easter Sunday 2019" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/10/keith-rankin-essay-easter-sunday-2019/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Easter Sunday 2019">Read more</a>
