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‘Criminal gene’ raises legal and moral issues

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by University of Canterbury A University of Canterbury (UC) academic says the development of research around a ‘criminal gene’ and its increasing use in legal cases internationally raises scary issues for societies around the globe. Dr Debra Wilson’s new book Genetics, Crime and Justice examines the legal and ethical issues raised by the scientific research and explores how the criminal justice system currently reacts, and ought to react, to the new challenges presented by genetic evidence. Research Report, Debra Wilson Law, family surrogacy, 18.2.15“Genetics and neuroscience are going to change the criminal justice system,” says Wilson. “The genetics defence has already been used in more than 200 cases in America and in Europe, which raises questions around verdicts, jury decisions and sentencing. “If a defendant is arguably ‘not responsible’ due to a genetic predisposition to crime or violence, legally they cannot be found guilty of murder for example, but is this how society wants its laws applied? “And what are the implications for sentencing – should those with the gene be punished with a shorter sentence or locked up longer because of their genetic tendency towards aggression and violence?” Wilson says her book does not provide the answers, but raises important questions that societies, governments and the legal fraternity around the world need to consider. “We need to talk about these issues and figure out how to respond to these scientific discoveries. With the growing use of DNA databases, there are issues around privacy and individual rights that need to be considered – should everyone be tested and how should we respond when the gene is identified?” Wilson says research shows the gene can help explain why an offender did what they did, but it is not the only factor. The risk comes from a combination of genetics and environment – in this case, maltreatment as a child. These findings also strengthen the demand to reduce child abuse. The book covers a subject similar to one explored in the movie ‘Minority Report’, where a special police unit in a future fictional society is able to arrest murderers before they commit their crimes, and also ‘Gattaca’ where a similarly future fictitious society genetically tests all children at birth, and classifies those with undesirable genes as ‘invalid’, limiting their role in society. The textbook, published by Edward Elgar Publishing in the United Kingdom, includes a layperson description of the science related to the ‘criminal gene’ because Wilson says “we need to know what the science is telling us in order to consider the legal issues”. The content is relevant across a range of international jurisdictions and not focused on one particular legal system. Wilson hopes the book will be used by criminal and medical law students along with academics, practitioners and policymakers interested in exploring various criminal law issues in relation to genetics. A UC alumna, Wilson joined UC’s Law School in 2010 after gaining her PhD from Monash University in Australia. Her PhD thesis, arguing in favour of human cloning from a legal standpoint, won the Mollie Holman Doctoral Medal for the best thesis submitted that year. –]]>

Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Can Little and Ardern save Labour?

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

The Labour Party is in a rebuilding phrase, and there are signs of progress. But a year on from Labour’s worst electoral defeat, are the behind-the-scenes changes amounting to enough to turn things around?

The Labour Party is hardly revolutionary. In fact there are doubts that it is even much of a reforming party any more given its rather cautious and moderate approach, especially under new leader Andrew Little. But there are some signs of change occurring beneath the surface, suggesting that it is slowly but steadily moving forward in preparation for the 2017 election. Despite an upcoming caucus review and reshuffle, and with Jacinda Ardern poised to become deputy leader, there are lingering doubts about whether such changes are enough to lift the party from its doldrums. 

Matt McCarten and the other Labour spin-doctors seem to be earning their salaries at the moment, with an increasing number of good news stories coming out about Labour. Various commentators are praising the party’s rebuild and, in particular, there have recently been some must-read stories about Labour’s recovery under Andrew Little. The most important is Audrey Young’s No bubbly but Little is lifting Labour’s game

Describing Little and Labour, Young uses words like: successful, competent, confident, authentic and stable. She points to a lack of factional fighting, a new parliamentary approach being taken by the caucus, and observes “Labour MPs doing their jobs properly”. 

Tracy Watkins puts forward a similar positive picture in her column, As Britain’s Labour Party implodes, Andrew Little’s Labour rebuilds. Contrasting Labour’s recent history of failure she says: “Something is slowly changing, however. The polls don’t show it. The headlines don’t give much indication of it.  And the Government may not even realise it yet. But Labour leader Andrew Little and his MPs are starting to get traction on the issues that will decide the next election.” And individual MPs are singled out for strong work: David Cunliffe, Grant Robertson, Annette King and Kelvin Davis. 

There’s further praise for the job that Little is doing. Duncan Garner says that “Little is definitely more credible than David Cunliffe – he’s growing into the job pretty well.  And he appears to be his own man.  Under Little, Labour looks more hungry and more organised and Little has time” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Writing in the NBR, Rob Hosking is also positive about Little’s achievements since the last election: “Up, a bit. Not so much in the polls but the party’s performance has improved notably…. But leader Andrew Little actually looks like a leader and, unlike all his predecessors since Helen Clark departed, he seems to know what he is there to do” – see: The 2014 Parliament, a year on (paywalled).

Even when it comes to Labour bloggers, their analysis seems to be broadly in line with mainstream commentary about their party. For instance, Greg Presland says: “Well things are going rather smoothly right now. The Caucus is now united and far more disciplined. Andrew Little is growing in the role of leader and Annette King is performing an important role as deputy. Activist enthusiasm is now rising after an understandable hiatus caused by the election loss and the leadership campaign.  Labour relationship with Greens is quite good and it appears they are moving to a position where there will be a public common agreement” – see: Twelve long months

Jacinda Ardern’s rise to deputy leadership

It seems likely that Jacinda Ardern will become Labour’s new deputy leader when Little announces his decision in November. Annette King may want to stay in what was supposed to be just a temporary one-year position, but the calls for freshness are likely to trump her achievements. 

Plenty of commentators are singing Ardern’s praises for the deputy position. For example, TV3’s Patrick Gower says he thinks “Jacinda would be an awesome deputy” and that it “seems like such a no-brainer. She is young, popular and represents Labour’s future” – see: Little to reject Jacinda as Labour deputy? He argues Labour needs her: “The reality is Ardern is very authentic and people connect with that.  Little could embrace the “Ardern factor” and use it to turbo-charge his own popularity, particularly in Auckland where he is incredibly weak and Ardern is incredibly strong.”

Duncan Garner has also endorsed Ardern for the position: “They need to now promote Jacinda Arden who last week appeared in the unprompted preferred PM rankings.  She should replace current deputy, Annette King.  King is strong, popular and performs, and my sources tell me there are some who want her to stay as number 2.  But Labour needs to excite the public and signal change and that’s where Ardern comes in” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Labour’s on-going image of being a Wellington “beltway party” will also factor into Ardern’s likely success. As David Farrar says, Labour can’t afford to keep King: “It will be a vote of no confidence in the rest of caucus if she carries on.  The other issue with Annette carrying on is that the top three Labour MPs are all from Wellington City, in a classic beltway capture. It’s hard to appeal to the country, if your senior leadership is all from the capital city” – see: Will King stay on?

According to Vernon Small, Ardern is the “logical choice” because she’s “a woman from a younger generation and, crucially, from Auckland.  She has made an impact on television and with Auckland business” – see: Nanaia Mahuta: Queen or casualty as Labour revamps its lineup? Small also mentions other contenders for the deputy position as being Phil Twyford and Carmel Sepuloni, and promotions being likely for Kelvin Davis, Peeni Henare, Megan Woods and Kris Faafoi.

Yet the removal of King is far from certain. Gower also reports that “Little may be leaning towards keeping Annette King on in the deputy’s role when it comes free in November’s reshuffle.  That’s because King is doing such a damn good job.  As Little’s lieutenant, I’m told she has played a crucial role in bringing stability to Labour’s Caucus which looks more stable than it ever has in my time here in Parliament”. And there are plenty of others who agree about King’s strong performance. 

There’s also the possibility that pushing King out of the leadership might create other problems. For example, Rob Hosking says: “her departure would open up a potentially major conflict not just about the deputy but also about her Rongotai electorate. Mrs King is understood to be keen on seeing Wellington city councillor Paul Eagle take over from her – and not, notably, her most prominent Labour constituent, one Andrew James Little.”

But ultimately Ardern’s public popularity will count for a lot in a party looking to rise in the polls. The growing endorsement of her as a contender for prime minister and deputy leader makes her rejection by Little unlikely. For the latest poll evidence, see Aimee Gulliver’s Jacinda Ardern favourite for Labour deputy – poll.

And there are plenty of other voices – especially in the blogosphere – calling for Ardern to be deputy. For example, Saeran Maniparathy says Ardern is in line with Labour’s need for a fresh new look – see: Labour and the ‘New Vision’.

But is Jacinda Ardern really any good?

Questions continue about whether Jacinda Ardern really has earnt her high profile and popularity in New Zealand politics. Matthew Hooton has written about her in the latest issue of Metro magazine, reflecting on how Ardern dealt with the recent “pretty little thing” comment and endorsement from rugby league’s Graham Lowe. He’s titled his column “Pretty bloody stupid”. 

For Hooton the episode showed that Ardern has no leadership qualities: “Ardern has demonstrated she has no political acumen at all. As a politician, she judged expressing offence in the instant to be more important than the 100-year connection with Labour’s league-playing voters. As a feminist, she lost an opportunity to engage positively with Lowe on his language about women. Whether the 35-year-old is a pretty little thing is in the eye of the beholder. She’s definitely turned out to be pretty bloody stupid.”

It’s worth noting that Ardern has promised to reply to Hooton’s critique, which Metro will probably publish on it’s website. 

In contrast, some Ardern supporters apparently see her as New Zealand’s answer to Jeremy Corbyn. For instance blogger Martyn Bradbury says “If Jacinda articulates a strong left wing position, she could easily step into the role of our version of Corbyn, but Labour’s current middle ground stance leaves her with very little rhetoric to hammer out an authentic voice and this has been her problem since she entered politics. 2020 election if Labour lose 2017” – see: Top 9 Left wing potential ‘Corbyn/Sanders’ candidates in NZ politics

Bradbury’s other candidates to be the “Kiwi Corbyn” are: Robert Reid, Morgan Godfery, Erin Polaczuk, Efeso Collins, Andrew Dean, Michael Wood, John Campbell, and Marama Davidson. Others have suggested that John Minto and Keith Locke are better Corbyn-style equivalents. 

Ardern recently performed very well on TVNZ’s Q+A in an interview with Katie Bradford – you can watch the nine-minute video here: Jacinda Ardern on sexism, leadership and political ambition. See also the coverage of this in Claire Trevett’s Ardern responds to ‘pretty little thing’ remark.

Questions about Labour’s performance

Not everyone is convinced that Labour is on the right path to recovery. Auckland city councillor and leftwing stalwart, Mike Lee is particularly critical of Labour’s failure to make it clear what the party stands for, and questions whether it’s still aligned with its traditional constituency. He argues that its lost the traditional Labour vote due to its obsession with identity politics at the expense of concerns about inequality, as well as Labour’s continued adherence to some key policies that are to the right of National – see: Labour’s trouncing by John Key raises searching questions

Lee says, “What is really needed is a fundamental reappraisal of just what ‘Labour’ means and what the party stands for.” Labour’s various social liberal policies – although “radical” – shouldn’t be mistaken, Lee says, as being leftwing. He also points out that Labour’s 2015 result is actually worse than that of 1922, because at least in that earlier election the party was on the rise, rather than going backwards. 

Similarly, blogger Saeran Maniparathy says that Labour lacks any boldness in terms of policy, and its strategy of putting out “just a slightly tweaked version of National’s policy” isn’t working – see: Labour and the ‘New Vision’.

Labour and Little’s grim and negative reputation is criticised by other commentators. Former Labour supporter Phil Quin has written about Labour’s pessimism ploy. He complains that the party is simply channelling negativity, fear, and despondency amongst voters, which might yield some initial results but ultimately makes the party one of the status quo and failure: “Merchants of doom and gloom might fill the airwaves, but they rarely win elections.”

The problem, according to Heather du Plessis-Allan, is that Labour is simply focused on petty point scoring rather than projecting any sort of alternative to the status quo, and she draws attention to some recent bouts of negativity from Little and his party: “Labour was more interested in embarrassing the Prime Minister than making sure we hand the right flag on to our grandkids.  Left-wing voters have every reason to feel frustrated with this party. There are no real policies, which is fair enough given it doesn’t want to show its hand two years out from the next election. But in the absence of policies, there’s no hope. There’s just negativity” – see: Patriotic glow lost to sad point scoring.

And when it comes to Little’s public speeches, according to Chris Trotter there’s something missing – see: Lacking The Power Of Decision: Andrew Little Misses The Rhetorical Mark In Whanganui.

The lack of an apparent plan is emphasised by Vernon Small: “At the moment it is hard to know what it is, beyond an almost total aversion to risk (and in some cases an absence of definitive positions – think the 90-day workplace trial and the actual import of the “bottom lines” on the TPP).  Yes, it is the first year after a defeat and a leadership change. True, it may be too soon to roll out much policy.  But Little’s latest two speeches, on the environment and infrastructure, have sunk without trace, not only because they haven’t been promoted but also because they contained little new” – see: Nanaia Mahuta: Queen or casualty as Labour revamps its lineup?

For Rob Hosking, Labour’s problems are one of personnel: “There is still a massive talent problem – the appointment of Grant Robertson as finance spokesman is the most glaring, and problematic, result of this. Mr Robertson is a highly able Labour machine politician but he has never previously shown any aptitude –or even interest – in economic issues. It shows” – see: The 2014 Parliament, a year on (paywalled).

And it’s on the question of the economy that Labour’s success will ultimately be determined, as pointed out by Duncan Garner: “Little and his party have not yet tapped into the mood for change like Key did in 2007 against Helen Clark.  Doing this is crucial – and Labour really needs the economy to turn sour.  It needs job losses, but it can’t be seen to be talking the country into recession either. It must stay positive at the same time” – see: Government has stumbled, but do voters really care?

Finally for an interesting assessment of what, if anything, Jeremy Corbyn’s recent leadership victory in Britain means for Labour here, Toby Manhire sought the views of a range of commentators including Jacinda Ardern – see: Corbyn Blimey – Jim Anderton, Judith Collins, Bryan Gould and More on Jeremy Corbyn’s Big Win.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 30, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 12 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 30th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the trade Minister Tim Groser confirming that he will be attending a ministerial meeting in Atlanta to discuss the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal and news of an elaborate black market operating in the Philippines providing fake documents for farm workers seeking employment in New Zealand.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: More evidence of lowest crime levels in decades; New Zealand ratifies World Trade Organisation Trade Facilitation Agreement; New prostate cancer referral guidance released; International Day of Older Persons a chance to celebrate; NZDF “job cuts” claim incorrect; Auckland home build rate hits another high; Appointment of Judge of the High Court; Funding announced for community projects; Restoration plan for Victoria Square released; Criminal information sharing arrangement reached with Australia

Greens: Five year test a better bright line test; Wasted opportunity to change lanes to electric cars

Labour: Defence Force numbers slashed; Climate change ambassador’s criticism has to be taken seriously; Defence minister, not panda pimp; Widespread caution on tertiary league tables justified; Lack of consultation over Kermadec ocean sanctuary

Māori Party: Marama Fox to receive Northland petition lobbying for smokefree cars 

New Zealand First: Kiwirail’s Last Reliable Rail Ferry Off To India – End Of Iron Bridge; Minister of defence prioritises pandas over patriotism

United Future Party: Dunne Speaks- Time to Stand Up for New Zealanders and their Rights

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

CLIMATE CHANGE RISK: The Governor of the Bank of England. Mark Carney, has given a stark warning that climate change is a huge risk to global stability, citing the rise in the number of weather-related catastrophes. See:http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/speeches/2015/844.aspx

CRIME LEVELS: The Ministry of Justice today released two sets of Conviction and Sentencing statistics covering both adult and youth offenders for the year ending June 2015. Read more about Trends in convictions and sentencing:http://www.justice.govt.nz/justice-sector/statistics/conviction-and-sentencing-statistics or see Trends in child and youth prosecutions: http://www.justice.govt.nz/justice-sector/statistics/documents/trends-in-child-and-youth-prosecutions-2015

ERADICATING MALARIA: A new report released by the United Nations and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation presents a vision to eradicate malaria by 2040 that involves new strategies, tools and financing and urges world leaders to expand their commitments to fight a disease that still kills about one child every minute. Read more:http://www.endmalaria2040.org/

INCREASING ETHNIC DIVERSITY: All New Zealand’s 16 regions and nearly all the 67 territorial authority areas (TAs) are projected to have increasing ethnic diversity over the next two decades, Statistics New Zealand said today. Go here for Subnational ethnic population projections:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/population/estimates_and_projections/SubnationalEthnicPopulationProjections_HOTP2013base.aspx

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY: The Housing supply, choice and affordability report commissioned by Auckland Mayor Len Brown and Deputy Mayor Penny Hulse identifies a range of levers on both the supply and demand side that could be considered, and shows that both Auckland Council and the Government have applied many levers. Click here for the report: 

http://www.aucklandcouncil.govt.nz/EN/AboutCouncil/businessandeconomy/Documents/housingsupplychoiceandaffordability.pdf

INTERNATIONAL DAY OF OLDER PERSONS: The 25th International Day of Older Persons is on October 1st, an opportunity to celebrate the significant contribution seniors make to New Zealand society. Read more:http://www.superseniors.msd.govt.nz/

PROSTATE CANCER REFERRAL GUIDANCE: A new guidance will help primary care practitioners provide men and their families with consistent and culturally appropriate information on prostate cancer testing and treatment. The Prostate Cancer Management and Referral Guidance can be found at: http://www.health.govt.nz/

PPTA CONFERENCE: The Post Primary Teachers Association’s annual conference runs from 29 September to 1 October and is an opportunity for members to debate, discuss and vote on papers that will shape PPTA policy. Decisions are made by secondary teachers for secondary teachers. The full conference papers can be found at:http://www.ppta.org.nz/events/annual-conference

NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSENTS INCREASE: The value of building consents reached an all-time high in August 2015, boosted by planned nonresidential work in Christchurch, Statistics New Zealand said today. Go here for building consents issued:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/industry_sectors/Construction/BuildingConsentsIssued_HOTPAug15.aspx

NUCLEAR ABOLITION: Leaders of the major religious faiths and interfaith networks, have joined forces with parliamentarians and mayors from around the world to call on world leaders to “commit to nuclear abolition and to replace nuclear deterrence with shared security approaches to conflicts.” Go here for more:http://www.pnnd.org/article/nuclear-weapon-free-world-our-common-good-legislators-and-religious-leaders-join-forces

RESEARCH ON VITAMIN C & BREAST CANCER: A new research study will analyse the level of vitamin C in breast tumours, and compare health outcomes for patients with different levels of the vitamin. See: http://www.cmrf.org.nz/

VICTORIA SQUARE RESTORATION: Associate Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Minister Nicky Wagner has today released the approved restoration plan for Christchurch’s beloved Victoria Square. The Victoria Square Restoration Plan is available to view at http://www.ccdu.govt.nz/victoria-square.

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 30th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

The True Story Behind the Arrest of Wanted Couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong

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The owner of the Jeep that was allegedly stolen by wanted couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong writes that it was ordinary Kiwis, and not the Police, that led to the two being apprehended.

He retells a remarkable story of how his partner’s seven year-old daughter tipped them off to a break-in and theft, how Facebook helped the North Island community to get behind their hunt for their Jeep, and how a motorcycle gang helped apprehend and hold the wanted couple until Police arrived.

This is his true account.

The True Story Behind the Arrest of Wanted Couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong

I was awake late watching tv until about 2-3am Monday morning then turned the tv off and fell asleep.

My partner’s daughter woke us about 4am wanting to play on her tablet and was sent back to bed. Then about 5am she come back asking again. My partner told her where it was in the lounge on charge. When she came back saying it was not there we new there was something up.

We got up to have a look and found the tablet gone and our wallets and keys for both cars where also missing. We then rang the police to report the break in.

I then immediately started to work out where the Jeep could  be heading as we had a pretty good idea of when the break in happened.  

My partner was uploading photos of the vehicle to Facebook with a $1000 reward for it to be stopped and returned undamaged. While she was doing this, I had worked out how much fuel it had, and, to where they needed to get fuel.

We ruled it out going through Opotiki with the service stations CCTV footage of the believed times it was taken. I then moved onto the Whakatane service stations CCTV footage.

By about 9:45am we had the screen shots of the female’s face driving it and getting fuel. Those mug shots went straight up [on Facebook] with the reward posts.

My mate then started another post with the mug shots and jeep we were chasing. We were getting tip offs about who the driver was by a number of different sources (A couple were wrong).

By midday my mates post had a Photo of the Jeep asking to confirm it was the correct vehicle. By the time he had sent me the photos to confirm the identification, the guys, which were members of a patched motor bike gang (Great job guys), we were on the phone to my mate saying they have just car-jammed the plates on the Jeep and that they were the wrong plates for that vehicle.

Then they asked what do we wanted to do. Did we want them to take possession of the Jeep in McDonald’s car park in Paeroa?

We confirmed. If you can get them out without getting injured do it. By this time I was in the Whakatane police station getting them to contact the Paeroa police station as there was about to be a confrontation in the McD’s carpark.

The Guys got the keys to the jeep and held the two occupants until police arrived. The rest is history. These three guys did an awesome job. The Jeep was not damaged and I paid them their $1000 reward.

That’s the real story.

The Police’s Stement: Tuesday, 29 September 2015 – 7:50am.

Wanted couple Tamzen Bush and Brandon Wong have been arrested in Paeroa.

At around 1pm yesterday afternoon, a member of the public called Police about suspicious behaviour in a carpark. On arrival Police found the couple in a silver Jeep Cherokee that had allegedly been stolen from an Ohope address the night before.

The couple are alleged to have given attending officers false names, but officers quickly established that it was Bush and Wong and they were arrested without incident.

Officers from Waitemata Police have travelled down to Hamilton this morning to interview the pair.

At this stage it is anticipated that they will appear in the Hamilton District Court this afternoon on a series of charges. A media release detailing those charges is expected to be done around lunchtime. 

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Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Week: Spread of Financial Balances by Country, 1995-2014

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. [caption id="attachment_7479" align="aligncenter" width="640"]Financial Personality by Country. Financial Personality by Country.[/caption]

This week’s chart looks at private-sector and public-sector balances for selected countries, averaged over the last 20 years.

The chart is divided into four quadrants, numbered with blue numerals; and into two halves separated by the line of current account balance. Countries to the right of the current account balance line are ‘surplus countries’ that have earned more income than they have spent. Countries to the left of the current account balance line are ‘deficit countries’ that have spent more than they have earned. There must be about as many deficit countries as surplus countries, because the world economy is a closed financial system. (No trade with or investment in Mars, despite the news yesterday about Mars having flowing water.)

Quadrant 1 can be said to be the ‘gold mountain’ quadrant. Countries in this quadrant have run surplus balances on average for the last 20 years in both their private and government sectors. Not surprisingly we see oil-exporting counties predominant in this quadrant. Yesterday I wrote about Germany as a successful mercantilist country (Germany, the Eurozone and Mercantilism). In recent years, Germany too has inhabited this gold mountain quadrant, now that its government is in surplus. Many strive for Quadrant 1, but due to systemic constraints few achieve it. It has helped to have oil.

The most populated quadrant is Quadrant 2. These countries have had decades of private surpluses and government deficits, reflecting world norms as shown last week in Global Hoards and Government Deficits. The chart’s ‘centre of gravity’ lies in this quadrant, with an average government deficit of just under 2% of GDP, and an average private sector surplus of just under 2%. Most of the familiar ‘saver economies’ are in this quadrant, to the right of the current account line. They are mostly aiming for the gold mountain; government budget surpluses to match their private surpluses.

Quadrant 3 is regarded as the problem debtor (red mountain) quadrant; deficits all around (private, government, current account). The closed system systemic logic requires that there be as many countries in Quadrant 3 as in Quadrant 1. So when some countries move into Quadrant 1, others are forced into Quadrant 3. Quadrant 3 is not so bad though; governments and citizens get to spend more than they earn, whereas in Quadrant 1 both get to spend less than they earn.

Surprisingly, Quadrant 4 is the least populated. Yet it is New Zealand’s natural homeland. New Zealand is a financially exceptional country. With ‘fiscal responsibility’ entrenched in its statutes and with relatively high interest rates, New Zealand’s private sector consistently gets to spend more than it earns; it enjoys much more than its share of the world’s credit. This spending has helped to ensure that the government sector has, in most of the last twenty years, been in receipt of sufficient taxation revenue to register fiscal surpluses.

If everything in the financial world worked perfectly, every country every year would have both private and government balances of zero. The fact that balances are so diverse over a period of decades tells us that the global monetary system does not work as it’s intended to do. In particular, the exchange rate mechanism does not lead to the automatic rebalancing of trade, as it should. New Zealand is lucky, in that in periods of global financial panic, the New Zealand dollar tends to depreciate, leading to a position closer to the line of current account balance that eases the impact of such crises.

I have highlighted a number of countries of interest to us in New Zealand. The BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) plus Turkey have diverse financial personalities. All have moved left since the global financial crisis, saving the global capitalist system as European countries in particular moved right. All (India least obviously) have significant economic problems now. Saving the world economy was not easy, but someone had to do it.

The highlighted Eurozone countries show significant government deficits, except for Finland. Greece with its combination of persistently high government and current account deficits was always going to be the Eurozone country in the most trouble.

Japan’s financial personality is the diametric opposite of New Zealand’s. Indeed Japanese savers have been significant owners of New Zealand debt. So have creditors from many other Asian countries, and from northern European countries.

Small countries that we once thought were much like us are no longer. Denmark and Finland show similar Government surpluses, but substantially different private sector balances. Finland’s economy has just emerged from a three-year recession, and Denmark has interest rates close to minus one percent. They remain blighted by too little consumer/investment spending.

Korea is the economic dynamo of recent times, in the gold mountain zone, but not ridiculously so; unlike Singapore which is in the extremes.

The Anglophone countries, with the exception of Ireland which is in the Eurozone, are now all firmly entrenched as current account deficit countries. Canada has become more so this decade.

If the world economy is to rebalance, all countries will need to get closer to the current account line, and preferably many on both sides of the line will cross it. It seems unlikely however that many countries will cross over the current account line. Most have well-entrenched financial personalities – as shown. Global rebalancing will more likely come, eventually, through crisis and conflict, as indeed it did in the years from 1914 to the 1945.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 29, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Tuesday 29th September.

[caption id="attachment_7476" align="alignleft" width="200"]Australia's Foreign Minister Julie Bishop greets New Zealand's Foreign Minister Murray McCully in Auckland. Australia’s Foreign Minister Julie Bishop greets New Zealand’s Foreign Minister Murray McCully in Auckland in 2015.[/caption]

Top stories in the current news cycle include the Foreign Minister Murray McCully receiving assurance from his Australian counterpart Julie Bishop in New York that a full inquiry will be held into the death of a New Zealand born 23-year-old man who died while in prison facing deportation, train ticket inspectors are being given greater powers to crack down on fare evaders using public transport and creating a vast marine reserve, the Kermadec Ocean Sanctuary, around the Kermadec Islands means the end of mining and prospecting there, says the government.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Minister to visit Europe ahead of WW100 commemorations; SPEECH: Gerry Brownlee – New Zealand and Security in the Asia-Pacific Century; PM announces Kermadec Ocean Sanctuary; Kermadec sanctuary a global contribution to ocean protection; Consultation on changing cervical screening test; Funding boost for emergency housing sector; End of the line for public transport fare evaders; Coastal hazard issue to be uncoupled from fast-track earthquake recovery plan process; Chinese mega-star on-board with safer driving messages; New Zealand’s tax system second in the OECD; Speech – Housing Affordability; New Zealand’s tax system second in the OECD; Speech: Bill English – Housing Affordability

ACT Party: New ocean sanctuary welcome, but compensation principle important

Greens: NZ should use leaders’ summit to further Syrian crisis ICC referral; Australian and New Zealand Green parties call on deportation halt

Labour: Government has to be careful of Kermadec fish hooks; Common sense wins in coastal hazard decision; Silver Fern Farms must consider all options; Silver Fern Farms must consider all options

New Zealand First: Recall high-risk offenders

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

BLOOD PRESSURE CHECK: The 2015 Big New Zealand Blood Pressure check is set to break records for the number of people to have their blood pressure tested in one day, in over 200 communities throughout the country on Saturday 3 October. For a list of the venues throughout New Zealand where testing will take place, seehttp://www.strokewise.org.nz.

ECONOMIC GROWTH: Economic growth has taken a hit but is still likely to remain at around 2 percent per year, according to the BusinessNZ Planning Forecast for the September 2015 quarter. Read the BusinessNZ Planning Forecast for the September 2015 quarter here: http://www.businessnz.org.nz/

EXPORTERS: ExportNZ says the annual survey shows exporters are feeling confident, expecting increasing profitability and rising orders in the next twelve months, but nearly half the respondents are facing tariff and non-tariff trade barriers. The report is available at:http://www.exportnz.org.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/109450/2015-Exporters-Survey-Report.pdf

GUIDE TO BUYING A HOME: The number of property listings increases as the weather warms up. Homes look more appealing in warm sunshine but EECA ENERGYWISE advises putting some thought into how houses will perform in the cold depths of winter. If you want more details about what to look for when house buying check outhttps://www.energywise.govt.nz/at-home/buying-and-renting

HOME AFFORDABILITY REPORT: The latest Massey University Home Affordability Report shows some improvement in affordability figures over the past three months, due mainly to falling mortgage rates and broadly static house prices.Download the full Massey University Home Affordability Report, with regional breakdowns, here:http://bit.ly/home-affordability-sept2015

KERMADEC SANCTUARY : Prime Minister John Key has announced the creation of a 620,000 km2 Ocean Sanctuary in the Kermadec region, one of the most pristine and unique environments on Earth. Read more here:http://www.mfe.govt.nz/

PUTTING KIWI ON THE MAP: Kiwis for kiwi is calling on all New Zealanders to help put kiwi on the map with a new citizen science project launched for Save Kiwi Month. Read more at: https://www.kiwisforkiwi.org/

SAFE DRIVING IN NZ: Chinese celebrity Huang Lei is lending his voice and influence to spread the word about safer driving in New Zealand to his millions of fans in China. The video, produced in Mandarin with subtitles, can be viewed here: http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XMTMyNDc3MTA2MA==.html

WW1 COMMEMORATIONS: Arts, Culture and Heritage Minister Maggie Barry will leave for Europe today to take part in a series of memorial events, visit the new Ngā Tapuwae New Zealand First World War trails and build ties for the next three years of centenary commemorations. More information on Ngā Tapuwae can be found athttp://www.ngatapuwae.govt.nz/ 

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Tuesday 29th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

University student graduates with four degrees

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by University of Auckland Edward ElderContrary to the usual stereotypes, university students are very busy. And in the case of Edward Elder, too busy to even organise his graduation. The 29 year-old from the Henderson Valley graduated with four degrees at yesterday’s graduation ceremony. He was capped with a Bachelor of Arts, a Bachelor of Arts (Honours), a Master of Arts, and a PhD. While some people in the crowd may have taken him for a genius, Edward has a simple explanation. “I never really got caught up in the University lifestyle, I would go to classes, and then I would go home to study, or I would study at the public library.” So after his Bachelor of Arts, double majoring in Politics and International Relations as well as Film, Television and Media Studies, he went straight to his honours. When the opportunity came up to attend the graduation ceremony Edward decided it wasn’t for him. “In 2008 I was doing my honours year and it was really, really busy, by far the most intense with deadlines twice a week. I was constantly working, it’s never ending.” “Everyone else was stressing out about how much of a hassle it is.” The same thing happened when he did his Masters. He was content finishing his MA until one day his supervisor, Associate Professor Jennifer Lees-Marshment asked him a simple question. “We were watching the 2010 British election, there would have been about a month left on my thesis and she just turned to me and said ‘have you thought about doing a PhD?’” “So I said, ‘sure.’” Now he’s graduating with all the degrees at the university’s Spring Graduation next Tuesday. “I thought I would just do it all at once.” However he says he will just wear the regalia for his PhD, rather than every hood he has earned. His PhD, “A New Model of Communication for Market-Oriented Governing Leaders: portraying the qualities of being in touch, leadership, and credibility in office” is around political marketing communication, particularly around the communication strategies of contemporary market-oriented governing leaders. Edward is well versed in politics, his dad, Jack Elder, was a Labour Party and then New Zealand First MP. But he has no plans to enter politics. Instead, he hopes to work in political marketing. He also written a chapter in the recently released book “Political Marketing in the United States” titled “Communicating Contemporary Leadership in Government”. He is also the editor of the Political Marketing Group Newsletter. –]]>

Keith Rankin on Germany, the Eurozone and Mercantilism

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. This article was also published at Scoop.co.nz.

Of all the naughty isms in the world, mercantilism is so high in the economist’s bad books that this m-word is barely mentioned today.

One reason for this is that mercantilism is so widely practised, that any serious discussion of the topic would expose a somewhat hypercritical profession.

Mercantilism is actually short for ‘merchant capitalism’ which itself is short for ‘the commercial or mercantile system’. “Of the Principle of the Commercial or Mercantile System” is the title of the first chapter of Book 4 of Adam Smith’s 1776 economic classic ‘The Wealth of Nations‘. Book 4 represents the central polemic of Smith’s magnum opus, and it’s a critique of what might be called (oxymoronically) ‘classical mercantilism’.

(For Adam Smith, Dutchmen were the archetypal mercantilists. And when we look at the workings of the Eurozone today, anything one observes about Germany applies equally – if not more than equally [!] – to the Netherlands. Indeed the European discovery – and subsequent naming – of New Zealand represented a mercantilist project of the Dutch East India Company.)

Mercantilism is a variant of capitalist political economy – perhaps better known as business political economy – with most emphasis on the word ‘political’ and least emphasis on the word ‘economy’. It represents a predominant theme of political thought in Britain and Europe in the sixteenth to eighteenth centuries, and today is most commonly associated with China’s business-political nexus.

A name that I have coined for mercantilism is ‘gold mountain economics‘, because the central theme of mercantilism is the accumulation of ‘treasure’, on the assumption that treasure equates to wealth. (We may also note that many people use the word ‘money’ today in the way that classical mercantilists might have used the word ‘treasure’; we also note that ‘investment housing’ today falls within the rubric of ‘treasure’.)

It was due to the dictates of mercantilism that Europeans plundered the Americas in those centuries (1500 to 1800). And it was in these years that economic growth, an emphasis on manufacturing over agriculture, and high levels of employment (indeed exploitatively high levels) came to be understood as the principal means to the nationalistic end of accumulating more treasure than other nations. It is the doctrine that unbalanced international trade is better than balanced trade; that trade surpluses are good and trade deficits are bad. And the idea permeated into government; a successful government was a government that had a Treasury full of treasure.

Protestant German (and Dutch) princes always had the reputation for being strongly committed to mercantilist principles. And, following the unification of Germany around 150 years ago, Germany became an economic polity strongly committed to rivalrous mercantilist development; to the exploitation of its resources for the purpose of gaining economic power through the making of money, and through spending as little of it as possible.

Mercantilism is also commonly called ‘economic nationalism’ (even ‘economic imperialism’), although this depiction leads modern economists to dismiss mercantilism as protectionism; in the process they have lost track of just how much modern economic thought is infused with mercantilism.

The central concepts of both classical and modern mercantilism are that making money is the end purpose of economic activity, and that consumption spending is censured as ‘unproductive’. A corollary is that inequality is praised, because the poverty of the employed helps to minimise ‘unproductive spending’, and consumer debt is ‘bad’ because it facilitates such spending. (The irony is that consumer debt, when spent, enables the gold mountains of businesses like Volkswagen and countries like Germany to be constructed. Mercantilism is not a coherent prescription; when applied universally it represents a ‘race to the bottom’.)

One of the classic methods of modern mercantilism is to run an undervalued exchange rate. While this is the easiest way to skew world trade, for every country that has an undervalued exchange rate, another must have an overvalued exchange rate. So it’s a strategy that works for some – China for example has used this strategy – it’s a strategy that can never work for all. In a world in which most countries’ policymakers advocate variants of gold-mountain economics, it’s only the most committed mercantilists who achieve these undervalued exchange rates.

The Eurozone has been the perfect vehicle for German mercantilism. By having a single currency through most of Europe, that currency represents an undervalued currency in some Eurozone countries and an overvalued currency in others. The Euro is worth less against the $US than the German Mark world be today, had the Eurozone not formed. Likewise, the Euro is worth more today (against the $US) than the Greek Drachma or the Spanish Peseta or the Irish Punt would have been worth today had these currencies still existed.

The result is that the German economy acts like a giant vacuum cleaner within Europe and near-Europe; sucking both money and labour to its bosom, while leaving its neighbours financially impoverished and being forced to adopt deflationary policies to counter this. Germany’s growing golden mountain of pseudo-riches is matched by (indeed built upon) the rising red peak of debt and poverty in Germany’s growing regional hinterland. The red peak that supports a gold mountain may indeed be interpreted as the magma that will eventually destroy that mountain.

It is in this context that we should understand the present scandal at Volkswagen. For too many German businesses, having an undervalued exchange rate is not enough. (It’s not only German businesses, of course, who are committed to the accumulation of thalers. Apple may be the most notorious gold mountaineer.) Volkswagen’s commitment to making money extended to cheating. Indeed VW’s antics may represent just the tip of the geldberg.

The solution to this problem lies in two parts. The first part is a change in attitude to money that must be led by public debates: one a more general debate about the end-purpose of economic activity; and one a debate within the economics profession about the mercantilisation of a discipline that was founded upon a rejection of mercantilism.

The second part of the solution – the narrower European part – is the conversion of the Eurozone into a ‘United States of Europe’. Even the majority of Greeks – representing one country very much in the red part rather than the gold part of the Eurozone – do not want to retreat from the process that the Eurozone is a part of. (Greek voters favoured austerity over departure from the Eurozone.) Thus the process must advance.

In this regard, an interesting article on Project SyndicateWe the People of Europe, by Laszlo Bruszt and David Stark, 11 August 2015 – notes the similarities of the Eurozone today with the situation in the United States in the last two decades of the eighteenth century, and how it was resolved over time through the creation of a fiscal and overarching political union. By no means does the USA represent equality between its member states – much fiscal power remains with the individual states (eg compare USA to Australia). Yet a Eurozone-like monetary suffocation of the south by the north could not happen within the United States today.

Mercantilism infuses our economic thinking today. And labourism is at least as mercantilist as capitalism. Economics as an intellectual and scholarly discipline was founded on the rejection of mercantilism. While economists should take a lead by re-examining the intellectual foundations of their discipline, we need to broaden this discussion. Economics – whether capitalist or labourist or something else – lies at the core of the intellectual foundations of market societies.

In the meantime, as we foster such debates, we should stop looking to countries like Germany as successful economies that all can and should emulate. To Olympic athletes, the attempt to accumulate gold makes good sense. The majority of athletes of course fail. We should stop thinking of economic success through sporting metaphors such as ‘competitiveness’. In the Olympic Games most participants are losers and some winners are cheats. The contrast with economics’ vision of a prosperous and sustainable global market economy without losers could not be greater.

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Calf collection paves way for fertility project

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by DairyNZ A huge logistical exercise that involved collecting hundreds of calves from farms all over the North Island has set the scene for a ground-breaking research programme aimed at lifting fertility rates in the dairy industry.  Heifer #86 In recent weeks, heifer calves from 619 farms across Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Taranaki, Manawatu and Hawke’s Bay have been collected so that they can be reared and milked together as one herd. The “Animal Model” research herd will comprise equal numbers of Holstein Friesian calves with very high and very low fertility genetics, carefully selected from contract matings in spring last year and purchased from farmers by DairyNZ. To ensure the calves are raised in controlled, identical conditions, calves needed to be collected within one to two weeks of birth.  The calves are being reared together at a property in Te Awamutu to around 13 weeks of age before being moved to a large grazing property further north. The aim is to have at least 200 high fertility and 220 low fertility heifers calving in 2017.Each animal will be monitored and tests performed throughout growth, puberty, and first and second lactation as researchers look to understand more clearly what drives fertility. DairyNZ senior scientist Susanne Meier says one of the key objectives of the Achieving Reproductive Targets programme is to discover any new traits that could be measured in heifers and would be good predictors of their eventual fertility. “If we have a better understanding of the genetic drivers of fertility in our cows, then we can be more targeted in our breeding selections, and achieve faster gain,” she says. This could contribute to increasing the heritability of the fertility breeding value (BV), one of seven traits that make up the Breeding Worth, a selection index that ranks animals for their genetic ability to breed profitable replacements for a dairy herd. “There’s potentially a huge financial gain if we can improve reliability and breed more effectively for fertility. “A good example may be if we found that the high fertility heifers displayed stronger heats. This is a trait that farmers can measure, and if it were a key driver for fertility, we could use that information to improve the fertility BV.” In addition to improving genetic selection for fertility, DairyNZ senior scientist and project leader Chris Burke says this purpose-bred herd will enable a thorough understanding of why some cows are easy to get back in-calf and why others are a real struggle. “We have a group of world experts in fertility champing at the bit to use this herd to find answers,” he says. The project is part of a wider research programme funded across the dairy sector, known as Pillars of a Sustainable Dairy System. This includes the Lifetime Productivity programme, led by DairyNZ senior scientist Claire Phyn, which focuses on premature death, involuntary culling and health-related productivity losses in dairy cows. Between them, inefficiencies in fertility and lifetime productivity are estimated to cost the industry well over a billion dollars a year. The Pillars of a Sustainable Dairy System programme is funded by DairyNZ with matched co-funding from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) and funding and resources from AgResearch, Fonterra, LIC and CRV.   The research team led by DairyNZ involves AgResearch, AbacusBio, Victoria University Wellington, Cognosco (a division of Anexa Animal Health), University of Queensland, Massey University, Monash University, University of Auckland, VetSouth and New Zealand Animal Evaluation. –]]>

Fear & the ‘fool’: “The Great American Scream”

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Fear & the 'fool': "The Great American Scream"
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A local play critiquing US-influenced media – Analysis by Carolyn Skelton. The Great American Scream, recently at Te Pou Theatre (the new Auckland home for Māori theatre in New Lynn) was thoroughly engaging.  I had a lingering impact with some scenes etched in my memory.  The play exposes fault lines in US-influenced media that began early in the 20th century, gradually evolving into the current local and international crisis in mainstream news media. This play is a period piece with a contemporary resonance. Written by Albert Belz (Ngāti Porou, Ngāpuhi, Ngāti Pōkai), it is set on the night that a US radio station broadcast “War of the Worlds”, directed and narrated by Orson Welles. The broadcast was on Halloween night, October 30, in 1938. At the time there were (over-exaggerated) claims that there had been mass panic by large numbers of people. Some people had apparently missed the announcements during Welles’ broadcast, stating that the murderous alien invasion was part of a fictional drama. [Full broadcast on youtube] Belz’s play uses this media event as the centre-piece of his play.  It is set in the household of a family, living not far from the site of the (fictional) Martian invasion. The family hear parts of the broadcast, and believe the invasion to be real. As we entered the auditorium, we see the stage is set up as a 1930s living room. It is described well by Tamati Patuwai in his review:

It feels very much like the audience is inside the room and at times claustrophobically so. Reminiscent of the lush Broadway style stage typical of American theatrical standards, …
The radio is always on the set, and is the centre-piece of the performance, along with periodic playing of radio broadcasts. Reading the programme while I waited, with the swing and big band music popular in the 1930s filling the auditorium, the scene is also set for me with this whakaaro from the play’s author:

The Great American Scream is this writer’s reaction to modern ‘journalism’ and global pack-mentality’; as a witness daily in modern broadcasting and print on issues such as immigration, ISIS and the Ebola Virus.

It is my reaction to fear-mongering in a capitalist society where journalism is driven purely for profit, where the only narrative in global reportage is one of fear designed to increase sales and advertising margins; where ultimately the world is made a little bit ‘stupider’ every day.

The play begins with expectations that the eldest daughter in the family will receive a marriage proposal at the evening’s Halloween dance.  The family becomes transfixed by the snippets they hear of Orson Welles’ reports of the Martian invasion. In their responses to the anticipated end of life as they know it at the hands of the frightening aliens, the family spill some of their secrets: thwarted desires as they attempt to live up to the dominant values of their times. In the process, they make some small steps forwards on gender and racial issues. The play’s critique is delivered with a light touch. The characters remain likeable and sympathetic, even as they are fooled by the radio drama. The families’ panic includes a hilarious nod to the US’s love of guns and to private militias, as the characters scrambles to protect their home territory. The Martians are not the only outsiders that play on the families’ fears. First there’s the intrusion into their domestic space of the sounds from the black man (Ezra) hammering on their roof.  In the course of the play Ezra’s demeanour changes from cowed submission, to walking tall, with confidence. 2 vagabonds, Slim and Lennie, are another disruptive intrusion into the domestic scene.  When they knock on the door, asking for work, the mother politely directs them to the neighbouring farm.  When they ask for food, she unhelpfully invites them to church.  They, especially Lennie, perform a role similar to that of one kind of Shakespearean fool: commoners or poor people, often comic, socially disruptive characters who provide a critique of society and those with power. Later Slim and Lennie walk into the empty living room. They ask, what will happen if we have nothing left to lose?  And Lennie asks, what will happen if they no longer have anything to fear? They note that they never go to the kinds of dances that the family attends.  Dancing together to the radio music, they create a shared fantasy of dancing with a beautiful woman, until a quizzical Ezra interrupts them. In the chaos of the night, the vagabonds gain control: a feared and disturbing presence as they speak of carrying out a misogynistic form of revenge.  The social order is restored after Slim and Lennie are scared into submission by a simple Halloween trick. The tramps remain potential figures of disruption and fear – like the homeless, beneficiaries, and unemployed today, so often unfairly  demonised by our media. The last word of the play comes from the voice of Orson Welles, at the end of the “War of the Worlds’” broadcast:

“… and remember, please, for the next day or so, the terribly lesson you learned tonight: That grinning glowing globular invader, of your living room, is an inhabitant of the pumpkin patch, and if your doorbell rings and nobody’s there – that was no Martian.  It’s Halloween.”

https://youtu.be/JzvCpBFXHnU The NZ news media today Last week on Radio New Zealand National’s Panel, Dita di Boni spoke about the recent axing of journalists from mainstream NZ media.  She said that it’s partly political.  In keeping with Belz’s views above, di Boni was critical of marketing people interfering in the news room and exerting too much power. http://podcast.radionz.co.nz/panel/panel-20150921-1653-top_journalists_for_the_chopping_block-048.mp3   In the 21st century, in a reversal of the fictional War of the Worlds’ simulated news story, news media borrow from fictional, fear-inspiring dramas in their pursuit of profit and audiences. The “grinning glowing globular invader” in today’s living spaces, is the corporate-dominated news media, focused more on infotainment than informing the public of important Featured image from sott.net
The Great American Scream credits: Albert Belz – writer/Kaituhi Tainui Tukiwhaho – Director/Kaitohu Ascia Maybury – set designer Cast : Johnny Givins – GrandPapa Mike Drew – Slim Ayse Tezel – Mother Jatinder Singh – Ezra Briar Collard – Rosie (daughter) Ben Van Lier – Mr Crompton Josh Harriman – Lennie Francis Mountjoy – Father Abigail O’Flynn – Kate (younger daughter) Reon Gell – George (young son).
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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 28, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Monday 28th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include a West Auckland teenager being held in police station cells for four days because Child, Youth and Family could not find a bed for her in a youth justice facility, a survey showing labour market confidence has turned sour and is at its lowest level in three years because of slow wage growth and the High Court being told the Government’s refusal to release information about the Trans-Pacific Partnership is unlawful and constitutionally dangerous.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Deed of Settlement signed with Heretaunga Tamatea; RPAS incident being fully investigated; Defence Minister to visit China; Kiwi projects receive $226,000; Minister welcomes Tuvalu Language Week; Communities doing their bit for clean rivers;Government Doubles Down On Underfunding Social Services; Applications open for Settling In funding

Greens: CYFS Minister needs to support our kids; John Key must back signing of SDGs with action or risk hypocrisy; Even TPPA supporters want more transparency

Labour: Govt must seek urgent explanation after death in custody; No excuse for teen’s lengthy cell lock-up

Māori Party: Poroporoaki: Waireti Violet Charlotte Walters JP, QSO; Māori communities must be part of the solution to tamariki in State care

New Zealand First: PSA-V poses new threat to northland; Dairy farmers sacrificed for TPPA

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

DEED OF SETTLEMENT: The Crown has signed a Deed of Settlement with Heretaunga Tamatea settling the iwi’s historical Treaty of Waitangi claims. A copy of the Deed of Settlement is available athttp://www.govt.nz/organisations/office-of-treaty-settlements/

LABOUR CONFIDENCE LOW: New Zealanders’ confidence in the labour market has continued to slide, with the Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Index dropping to 99.3 in the September quarter. That’s the lowest level since 2012. See:https://wibiq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/New_Zealand/2015/September_2015/Q3_Employment_Confidence_September_2015.pdf

NZ WINEGROWERS SCHOLARSHIP: New Zealand Winegrowers has announced the names of nine successful sommeliers who will participate in the inaugural Sommit Scholarship, held in New Zealand from 30 January to 6 February 2016. Read more: http://www.nzwine.com/sommelierscholarship

PACIFIC YOUTH AWARDS: The search is underway to find some of the country’s highest achieving Pacific young people.The 2015 Prime Minister’s Pacific Youth Awards offer the chance to highlight the success of young Pacific people in New Zealand. Applications are now open and close on 2 November, 2015. More details are available herehttp://www.pacificyouthawards.org.nz

SETTLING IN FUNDING: Not-for-profit organisations working directly with refugees and recent migrants can apply for Settling In funding from today. More information can be found here: http://www.ethniccommunities.govt.nz

TOBACCO MARKET SLOWS DOWN: Returns supplied to the Ministry of Health by New Zealand tobacco manufacturers show a drop of 3.8 percent in the quantity of tobacco and cigarettes released per adult in 2014 versus 2013. Returns to the year ending 31 December 2014 are available at http://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/preventative-health-wellness/tobacco-control/tobacco-returns/tobacco-returns-2014.

TUVALU LANGUAGE WEEK: The theme of Tuvalu Language Week, which began yesterday, is Tau gana ko tou Iloga – Language is your Identity. A list of events marking Tuvalu Language Week can be found at http://www.mpia.govt.nz

WORLD RIVERS DAY: To mark World Rivers Day last Sunday, regional councils are released their latest water quality data on the Land, Air, Water, Aotearoa website, which this year includes lake quality monitoring. LAWA can be accessed on nttp://www.lawa.org.nz

YEAST IN WINE: A new study has found yeast plays more of a role in the taste of wine from different regions than previously thought. A team of scientists from the University of Auckland and the UK reported in the journal ‘Scientific Reports’. Read more: http://www.nature.com/articles/srep14233

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Monday 28th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

TPP: Precedent-setting case on TPPA secrecy in Court today

Source: Professor Jane Kelsey

Today, the High Court in Wellington will hear an application for judicial review of Trade Minister Tim Groser’s blanket refusal to release information relating to the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) sought under the Official Information Act.

[caption id="attachment_6181" align="alignleft" width="150"]Professor Jane Kelsey. Professor Jane Kelsey.[/caption]

Professor Jane Kelsey, who made the initial request back in January, says the case will remain important even if ministers from the twelve countries reach an accord in Atlanta this week.

‘The government insists that no substantive changes can be made to agreement once negotiations are concluded. But New Zealanders, including MPs, need access to background information to assess the implications of the Agreement, hold the government to account, and pressure it not to exercise its executive power of ratification’.

The  case is precedent setting in several ways. It will be the first time the courts have given a definitive interpretation of certain provisions of the Official Information Act. The ruling will be relevant to future requests involving similar kinds of trade and investment negotiations and to the application of the Act more generally.

The other applicants supporting the case are Consumer NZ, Ngati Kahungunu, Greenpeace, Oxfam, Association of Salaried Medical Specialists (ASMS), New Zealand Nurses Organisation (NZNO), and the Tertiary Education Union (TEU).

Executive Director of ASMS, Ian Powell, observes that “without transparency and a proper level of disclosure, there is a highly likelihood that New Zealand’s high quality public health service will be seriously eroded to the detriment of patients, their families and taxpaying citizens.  We support this application for judicial review because the public interest requires this level of disclosure.”

In similar vein, Kaiwhakahaere Keri Nuku says NZNO sees the challenge posed by the TPPA as “not about trade, but the potential public health impacts of an agreement that has been negotiated under a blanket of secrecy. The NZ public have a right know the costs, risks and purported benefits that such an agreement could bring to a health system that is currently failing some of our most vulnerable populations.”

Greenpeace, believes “this agreement will have potentially far reaching consequences for the future of New Zealand and how we safeguard our oceans, rivers and the air we breathe. That’s why it’s critical that the details of what’s being traded away in our name are made available, before it’s too late”, according to executive director Bunny McDiarmid.

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Keith Rankin on Green Politics in Future New Zealand

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Analysis by Keith Rankin. This article was also published on TheDailyBlog.co.nz.

I sense a renewed commitment by the Green Party to contribute to the governance of New Zealand, and not simply snipe from the sidelines. Getting the ‘Red Peak’ flag on the menu for this year’s flag referendum was a masterstroke of political pragmatism that allows for a process in which people can more easily make reflective rather than reactive decisions about an alternative flag; a flag that might replace the defaced blue ensign that tells the world we are both a state of Australia and a British overseas territory. (In the end it was New Zealand First – alias Winston’s Imperial Army – that showed its true colours during Wednesday evening’s debate. Who else really wants the United Kingdom flag to be part of our flag?)

But I’m not really writing about the flag here. I’m sensing that James Shaw is acting to position the Green Party as a genuine power broker, and in part by emphasising Green’s primary purpose, to advocate (and legislate) for the natural environment.

The issue is particularly pertinent at present because the signs are that, given past precedents, Winston Peters will be in a position in 2017 to insist on becoming Prime Minister as a condition of his party’s support in forming either a Labour-led or National-led Government.

The message the Greens need to give is that their first preference is to participate meaningfully in a Labour-Green or Labour-Green-Māori government. Of equal importance, they must give the clear message that their second preference is meaningful participation in a National-Green or National-Green-Māori government. Both of these options render New Zealand First superfluous.

While it is possible that there will be enough votes for the first (with Labour) preference, it’s much more likely that there will be enough votes for a National-Green-Māori supply-confidence combo. Further, I am sure that Mr Key would much prefer a National-Green-Māori line-up to a National-Winston administration.

(While making predictions may be brash, I did get this year’s British election right; United Kingdom General Election on 7 May, Scoop, 23 April 2015. I think that the effective vote percentages in New Zealand in 2017 could be Green 12%, Labour 30%, NZ First 10%, Māori 3%, National 40%, Act 5%.)

While Winston would probably negotiate principally on the basis of leadership, the Greens would negotiate on the basis of environmental policy. Further, once in the governing tent, the Greens would be in a position to advocate for a more publically-oriented form of capitalism in economic policy.

My position is that I want good policies, and if Mr Key presiding over good policies makes his legacy look better than most people on the left would rate it, then so be it. I look forward to a National-Green-Māori government closing out this decade. I would also be more than happy to have a Labour-Green-Māori government. Indeed, I can see no reason why both Green and Māori should not be a part of all future MMP governments.

One final note, on progressing the matter of climate change that is dear to James Shaw’s heart. From my point of view, the science (while important) is incidental to how we should behave. We should reduce our pollutant carbon (and other harmful) emissions because such emissions represent a fouling of our home. We don’t need proof of anthropogenic global warming to reach this ethical conclusion about how we should behave towards our planet.

And for those climate-change deniers, who for the most part think that large-scale pollution is OK; they should be asked what they would do (and what policies they would recommend) if ever there was incontrovertible proof (ie proof that even they would have to accept) that human-induced pollution was creating long-term adverse consequences for the global environment.

An ideologue is a person whose opinions are influenced by neither facts nor ethics. Opposition and minority-party politicians (and journalists) need to probe our key decision-makers, to ensure that their opinions are influenced by both facts (including newly discovered facts) and ethics. The Greens, if they choose, can ‘punch’ above their weight in the governance of Aotearoa New Zealand. In democratic politics, ethics and facts trump ideology. People, for the most part, are principled pragmatists.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 25, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 7 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Friday 25th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the United States calling for a ministerial meeting on the TPP deal next week however the Trade Minister Tim Groser has not yet decided if he is going, overseeing the next phase of Canterbury rebuild is a new agency- Regenerate Christchurch and the Defence Force saying it needs to dramatically lift when it comes to managing the changes required for better response to future events.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Labour hypocritical over bright-line criticism; Climate Change Minister to visit Australia and the United States; Step up for Stoptober, minister urges smokers;Five new projects to receive tourism funding; Regenerate Christchurch agency confirmed; Speech – Hutt Valley Chamber of Commerce and Boulcott Hospital; Lake water quality goes online; Government Seeks Community Input On Social Housing; Lake water quality goes online; New scallop limits for Challenger season

Greens:Will Groser sign the TPPA dud deal?; Capital Gains Tax still the best option for Auckland

Labour: Another day, another horror health story; Democracy for Canterbury after CERA; Auckland remains a speculator’s paradise; Spierings should lead by example and take a pay cut;So where is John Key’s magic bullet now?; A spoonful of sugar…would be better than two

Māori Party: The State is a poor defacto parent; Maori Party Commends The Medical Council’s Call To Tackle Health Inequities

New Zealand First: Intervention Called For At Youth Facility; Yet Another Report While Our Vulnerable Children Wait

NZ National Party: School’s $5.3m redevelopment underway

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

FLOODS COST THE PRIMARY SECTOR: The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) has today released a report on the economic impacts to the primary sector of the heavy rain and flooding that affected the western North Island in June. The full report is available at: http://www.mpigovtnz.cwp.govt.nz/news-and-resources/media-releases/june-floods-cost-the-primary-sector-70-million-says-mpi/

GREAT KERERŪ COUNT OFF TO A FLYING START: The Great Kererū Count is off to a flying start, with nearly double the number of observations made during the first five days compared to last year. Go here for more:http://www.greatkererucount.nz/

HOME LOAN AFFORDABILITY: Lower quartile house prices have plateaued throughout the country and have declined in Auckland for the last three months in a row, suggesting the property market has peaked in its latest cycle, according to the interest.co.nz Home Loan Affordability Report. More details are available at:http://www.interest.co.nz/property/77782/house-prices-have-started-falling-lower-end-market-aucklands-lower-quartile-selling

REGIONAL TOURISM INDICATORS: The Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment released the Regional Tourism Indicators (RTI) for August 2015. Read more: http://www.tourism.cmail19.com/t/r-l-fuhlhyd-iuiyjibdu-m/

‘SUGARY DRINK FREE AOTEAROA BY 2025’ : A conference on ‘Sugary Drink Free Aotearoa by 2025’ will be held by FIZZ on Wednesday 7 October 2015 at MIT in Manukau with keynote speakers Professor Barry Popkin (via video) from the University of North Carolina, Dr Gerhard Sundborn (aka Dr FIZZ) and Che Fu. The speaking programme includes panel discussions and speakers from around New Zealand. Full details available fromhttp://www.fizz.org.nz/content/symposium-2015

SOCIAL HOUSING: Treasury and the Ministry of Social Development are looking to identify further opportunities for the supply or transfer of social housing. “Under the Social Housing Reform Programme the Government has committed to subsidise an additional 3,000 social housing tenancies nationally, by the end of 2018,” Social Housing Minister Paula Bennett says. The Request for Information is available at:http://www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/socialhousing/rfi

TOURISM FUNDING: Government is investing in five new projects to help grow the tourism sector in New Zealand. Round Four of the Tourism Growth Partnership Fund is now open. Read more here: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/sectors-industries/tourism/tourism-growth-partnership.

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Friday 25th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

Origin of beef informs shopper decisions

NewsroomPlus.com

Contributed by Beef + Lamb

Consumer research shows 89 per cent of supermarket shoppers in key international beef markets consider “country of origin”, when deciding which beef product to purchase.

Beef + Lamb New Zealand chief executive Scott Champion says this insight informs how the organisation works on the ground to boost sales of New Zealand origin beef.

“We use a three-pronged approach that gives consumers reasons to buy New Zealand beef ahead of other countries. We tell the New Zealand story – including environment and animal welfare aspects – and highlight our food safety systems, as well as the health and wellbeing attributes of New Zealand beef.”

Dr Champion says the approach is well illustrated in Japan’s southern-most province of Okinawa – a region known for the longevity of its population and healthy diet. “It is little surprise to find that Okinawans seek out lean red meat and that New Zealand grass-fed beef is their preference.”

For the past 12 years, Beef + Lamb New Zealand and meat processor ANZCO have worked with popular Japanese retail and food chain San-A Co.

San-A senior managing director Atsushi Nakanishi says Okinawans typically consume more meat than their compatriots in other parts of Japan. “They prefer lean meat to fattier items, such as grain-fed beef. Accordingly, good-quality New Zealand grass-fed beef – which can be supplied on a stable basis – suits Okinawans’ preferences.”

To meet that demand, San-A established an ongoing trade in chilled New Zealand grass-fed beef 12 years ago. Today, New Zealand beef sales account for about 85 per cent of San-A’s total beef sales, with supply constraints during the New Zealand winter being the only inhibitor to further growth. “Okinawan consumers rate New Zealand beef highly – particularly its consistently good quality, its tenderness and its overall taste.”

ANZCO Foods Japan president Makoto Kinjo says ANZCO had the technology to supply chilled beef to the Japanese market at that critical time. “It started with a very small volume, but sales have grown year-on-year and now ANZCO’s supply of grass-fed chilled beef to San-A accounts for a big part of New Zealand’s chilled exports to Japan.”

Mr Kinjo says New Zealand beef has very strong support and brand loyalty in Okinawa, because of its consistently high quality and its promotion as healthy beef. “Beef + Lamb New Zealand was involved all the way along, branding the product as healthy New Zealand grass-fed beef. Beef + Lamb New Zealand and ANZCO have invested a lot in building that brand – such as monthly promotions – and it has made the San-A business very formidable.”

Naha-2

He says consumers recognise the eating quality difference between New Zealand and Australian beef. “For example, every New Zealand winter, New Zealand production is down but demand is at a peak in Japan. From time to time, San-A has to fill the gap with Australian beef. Consumers immediately respond to that and recognise it is not the same beef. We have an obligation to deliver top product every week and ANZCO has been working with farmers to make sure they can secure cattle every week and month of the year.”

Beef + Lamb New Zealand market manager Japan John Hundleby says the organisation’s promotional activity in Okinawa focuses on supporting retailers of New Zealand grass-fed beef.

For the past six years, Beef + Lamb New Zealand has also hosted a tasting booth at the Naha Marathon. The marathon attracts 30,000 runners annually and last year 400 kilograms of chilled New Zealand grass-fed beef was sampled by runners and spectators.

Mr Hundleby says participation in the Naha Marathon is aimed at supporting San-A and other companies that handle New Zealand grass-fed beef in Okinawa.

Another Beef + Lamb New Zealand promotional activity involves hosting educational seminars. Three seminars have been held in Okinawa in recent years, each attracting 100 to 120 potential trade customers, chefs, food stylists and media. In many cases, it is the first opportunity attendees have had to sample New Zealand grass-fed beef, Mr Hundleby says.

About Beef + Lamb New Zealand:

Beef + Lamb New Zealand Ltd is the farmer-owned industry organisation working for a confident and profitable sheep and beef industry. We help farmers make informed business decisions and promote their collective interests. Priorities include investing in research and development that meets the needs of farmers and the sector, developing farmer capability, and delivering knowledge that drives farm performance. We also work to attract and retain talentfor the sector, support the sector’s market opportunities, advocate for farmers’ ability to operate, and build sector confidence and profile within communities.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Politics of NZ’s Red peak

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

If Red Peak continues its extraordinary rise, then we might end up looking back on the last few weeks in the flag change process as a remarkable chapter in New Zealand politics. 

Imagine if Red Peak wins the flag change referendums. It’s highly unlikely, but if the underdog continues its rise and succeeds in replacing the current flag, future generations will look back on the politics of the flag change process as an extraordinary story. 

A triumph of the outsider

One cartoon nicely encapsulates how we might look back on the strange process by which Red Peak rose to prominence: It’s NZ in the year 2115 and a father holds his child beside a flagpole flying Red Peak and says “Son, your grandfather tweeted for that flag”. You can see Brendan Boughen’s cartoon in my blog post of Cartoons about Red Peak

The rise of Red Peak has involved a fascinating grassroots campaign using various online platforms that eventually resulted in Parliament voting 109 to 12 to change the law under urgency to include the outsider flag in the referendum. History would record that Radio New Zealand’s Toby Morris sparked off some rethinking with his response to the official final four flags: Flagged flags – what could have been. Alongside this, designer Rowan Simpson published a strong plea to the Prime Minister that many others were persuaded by – see: Dear John

The campaign for Red Peak hit the mainstream with Toby Manhire’s clever column, Let’s run up the red flag. A groundswell of support seemed inevitable and Manhire is widely credited as the person responsible for Red Peak’s rise. As fellow Herald journalist Matt Nippert ‏(@MattNippert) tweeted, “If we end up with Red Peak as actual flag, could I please direct all malcontented haters to send mail to: @tobymanhire, Smugsville, Pt Chev.”

But it’s online that the campaign has been strongest. The Red Peak Facebook page now has 22,637 supporters. Other sites have become important for spreading the message – in particular the Tumblr site, A New Zealand Flag. There’s even a Red Peak Shop for buying various versions of the flag. And a colourful Red Peak of New Zealand website is publishing the numerous iterations of the image. 

Cyber beltway bubble politics?

If the flag wins the referendum, many will see this victory as the triumph of a beltway cyber bubble and a descent into farce. Certainly at the moment there are many who have dismissed the appeal of Red Peak as being a beltway concern with little wider traction. This is best seen in Liam Hehir’s column, which characterises the flag campaign as “Smug little memes” simply making “a splash in the closed loops of social networks” – see: Tiny minority has its say far too late in flag debate

Hehir points to survey evidence that shows Red Peak’s unpopularity: “Red Peak was the preferred candidate of less than half of 1 per cent of respondents and just 1.5 per cent of those surveyed included it in their top four designs. In fact, of all the long-listed designs, Red Peak ranked among the least designs for all demographic groups surveyed – together with the similar looking Wā kāinga/Home. Notably, it was also the least favored flag of Māori.”

Similarly, the NBR’s Rob Hosking mocks the rise of the dissident flag: “It is driven, apparently, by New Zealand’s long historic and cultural associations with red triangles.  OK, I’ll drop the sarcasm. The red triangle flag is of course a protest flag. It’s being run by opponents of the government and of Mr Key in particular. It has little to do with national identity and a great deal with trying – hilariously and belatedly – to manufacture a defeat for the prime minister. It is bitter, it is personal, and it is also more than a bit stupid” – see: Addled silliness on the flag debate (paywalled).

Then, when Parliament passed the legislative amendment to include Red Peak in the referendum, Tim Watkin blogged to say that it makes the whole process even more farcical than it already was: “But this only adds to the farce. Now, the process of a selected panel, months of public consultation and a long and short list has been completely undermined by an online protest campaign. It admits that all those empty town hall meetings counted for nothing, because all that really matters, it seems, is those who speak via social media” – see: Red Peak, red faces – flag turns into a farce.

He also doubts that the mania will catch on: “Red Peak feels like the Jeremy Corbyn or Donald Trump of flags; really popular amongst true believers, but really not as big a deal as is made out. It seems like these days if you can get a little group to make enough noise, amplified by social media, then you are given credit for capturing the national mood, even when you represent only one or two percent.”

Labelling the inclusion of the new flag in the referendum as “weak governance by twitter”, Watkin reflects wider views that political parties and governments yielding to online campaigns can be problematic.

Blogger Cameron Slater agrees: “Watch for other designers to now attempt to halt the process with a judicial review.  It is ridiculous.  A little bit of pressure on social media, some shameless politicking by Labour and Andrew Little followed up by Media Party advocacy and our PM turns into a complete blancmange.  We elect our politicians to show some leadership not cave at the slightest bit of pressure.  We actually don’t need an opposition now. All that needs to happen to get anything to happen is to get a few rowdies on Twitter to create a hashtag and the Media Party to push the bandwagon and voila… law changes… under urgency no less.  It is an abuse of process, an abuse of parliament and an abuse of leadership” – see: Gutless Key caves to Twitter mob and Media Party pressure.

Such criticism will be bolstered by the arguments about the cost of including the fifth flag – see RadioLive’s Red Peak inclusion to cost taxpayers $400k.

In response to “cyber beltway bubble” critiques, Toby Manhire suggests that, in fact, the online surge of support for Red Peak is much greater than for the other flag alternatives: “A social media bubble? Well, more than 35,000 have signed the online petition; 20,000 followers on the Red Peak Facebook page is not to be sniffed at – it’s more than three times the number following the official flag project page. When the flag panel roadshow attracted tiny audiences around the country, we were assured not to worry: the engagement would happen online. It certainly is now” – see: Red Peak design warrants place on flag ballot.

Red Peak’s rise helped National and John Key 

It’s a common assumption that John Key’s U-turn on Red Peak is yet another defeat or an embarrassing compromise. In fact, it has probably given the flag change process its biggest boost yet, partly revitalising a failing project. 

Audrey Young has written that the Backdown on Red Peak flag won’t harm John Key. She outlines how the deal happened and explains how National benefits, not just from adding “some much needed vitality to Key’s flagging referendum process”, but because it also upset Labour. 

Andrea Vance suggests the decision helped get National out of a hole: “But this is also a handy get-out for Key.  He painted himself into a corner over the Twitterati’s favourite ensign.  National could have added Red Peak off his own bat weeks ago, but allowed a churlish spat with Labour to get in the way” – see: Flag debate: Greens reap rewards of Red Peak move.

Even Toby Manhire says that the inclusion of Red Peak helps rescue National’s project, saying “I think it just returns a kind of vigour and legitimacy to the process,” – see Lauren Priestly’s ‘Unfurl the fifth flag’ says Herald columnist.

Labour lost out and lost its chance

Labour and Andrew Little may be seen as the real victim of how Red Peak eventually got included in the referendum. As Audrey Young says, “Labour has been the loser so far. It has opposed the flag referendum despite having policy to do the same, has been interminably outraged by a process that isn’t outrageous, and despite the leader liking Red Peak, refused to help it on to the ballot. The Greens did that.  And, on cue, Labour was very, very upset about the Greens dealing with National” – see: Backdown on Red Peak flag won’t harm John Key.

Claire Trevett has elaborated on Labour’s difficulties: “Labour’s Andrew Little was also in a pickle. He did not want to help get Key out of his pickle but, having called for Red Peak to be included himself, nor could he then turn around and oppose measures to allow that to happen. Added to that, Labour had criticised the flag process from day one and did not want to lose face by buying into it now” – see: Political plans turn to custard in battle of flags.

It didn’t have to be this way, says Chris Keall, who suggests that “Little is missing a chance to take control of the referendum – and maybe – just maybe – play a key role in ushering in Red Peak as New Zealand’s new flag. Now that would be an upset people would remember in 2017” – see: Little just walks into Key’s trap

Meanwhile Little and Labour have received a lot of bad press for their manoeuvring on the issue. The Herald has argued that Little should lighten up on flag options, and points out that Labour’s position has never been as clear as other parties. 

Rightly or wrongly, Labour are widely seen to be playing politics over the Red Peak issue. See, for example, Gareth Morgan’s analysis: “The latest demonstration of petty mindedness from a political quarter comes from Andrew Little who, when faced with the question of whether Labour would support the government in adding a fifth entry to the first referendum, couldn’t resist petty point scoring.  He stated he’d would support a fifth flag, but only if the PM moved the question about whether New Zealanders want a flag change to the first referendum. That’s the response of a political brat, rather than someone concerned with getting the outcome New Zealanders want” – see: Digging in – Stale Mates Worsen Flag Mess.

Red Peak lifts the Greens, but creates ill feeling

The Greens will be remembered as the party that championed Red Peak. Their pragmatic deal-making over the issue will be well regarded by some voters. According to Andrea Vance, “This is a shrewd move for his party, who are trying to position themselves as Parliament’s new pragmatists, ready to find compromise with any other party” – see: Flag debate: Greens reap rewards of Red Peak move.

Greens blogger Danyl Mclauchlan draws a parallel between the party’s compromise with that of John Key’s landmark decision to support the so-called anti-smacking bill when he was leader of the Opposition – see: On the Green’s Red Peak deal. Mclauchlan concludes: “People are saying that they’ve played into Key’s hands, and so on, just as some in National said of Key’s deal with Clark.… The Greens ‘did’ something, which is hard to do in opposition and some persuadable voters will give them points for it.”

But there are many – particularly on the left – who are angry with the role the Greens played over Red Peak. Nicholas Jones reported in the Herald that there was “simmering anger” in Labour towards the Greens because of the deal – see: It’s official: Red Peak to be included in flag referendum. Trevor Mallard was particularly condemning of what he saw as the Greens’ dishonesty and hypocrisy – see Nick Grant’s Red Peak to fly in first ballot.

The most stinging criticism of the Greens comes from normally Green-sympathetic Gordon Campbell, who outlines why the deal was an unprincipled mistake: “In one fell swoop the Greens’ Gareth Hughes has (a) rescued Prime Minister John Key from his personal flag fiasco (b) got the government out of a tight corner of its own making (c) agreed to vote with National to block Labour’s attempt to get a yes/no question added to the November referendum and (d) handed the Key government a club with which to beat the only other party – Labour – with which the Greens can hope to form a government in 2017” – see: On the Greens bad deal over the flags.

Campbell sees this as the Greens “playing the populist card” (but ineptly by backing an unpopular flag) in a way that will add legitimacy to perceptions of the Greens becoming closer to National.

In reply to such criticisms, the No Right Turn blogger has defended the Greens and suggested Labour’s orientation to it’s potential coalition partner is not healthy: “the Greens have consistently supported the flag process from the beginning (while trying to improve it, as is their way).  That’s obviously not Labour’s position. Big deal. They’re different parties, so they disagree. And if Labour were adults, they’d accept that and move on to talking about how they can work together on the huge areas of political ground where they do agree. The fact that they can’t, and that they’re still demanding absolute subservience from their potential partners, is exactly why they’re unfit to be in government” – see: Red Peak and poutiness

More from the beltway bubble about Red Peak

Since the Red Peak phenomenon is so closely associated with the “cyber beltway bubble”, it’s worth having a look at some other recent online advocates for the outsider flag. 

Oxford philosophy professor Josh Parsons – previously at the University of Otago – puts forward an interesting argument for Why I support the Red Peak Flag

Russell Brown says he’s happy with the inclusion of Red Peak, but still protests the whole flag change process – see: The positive option of Red Peak.

Lachlan Forsyth explains why he supports the dissident flag – see: Dude, where’s my democracy?

Henry Oliver gives a wider perspective, drawing on lessons from South Africa – see: Seeing Red (Peak): flawed processes

And Chuan-Zheng Lee asks: Where did Red Peak come from?

Finally, for more satirical commentary on the evolving flag change process – going back over a year, and dozens of cartoons, see my

long-running post of Cartoons about changing New Zealand’s flag

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Editorial: Compared To Our National-led Government Australia’s Turnbull Government is Energised Has Zest and Purpose

Australia's Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull ousts Tony Abbott from the top political job.

Editorial by Selwyn Manning.

Note: Selwyn Manning also discussed this issue on Radio New Zealand’s The Panel with Jim Mora and Nevil Gibson – click here to listen.

Selwyn Manning, editor – EveningReport.nz

After the ousting of Australia’s Tony Abbott as prime minister by Malcolm Turnbull, and the change giving the Liberals a lift in Australian polls, how does our third-term John Key-led Government compare?

Well simply put, Turnbull’s Cabinet is full of zest, ideas, and energy. The ditch between the Australia’s Government and ours on these points couldn’t be wider.

Take this week (Thursday September 24), Turnbull drove a wedge into Australian society spearheading a push to draw domestic violence (of all kinds) out from the shadows. He stood there, determined and committed, promising a high-powered Government campaign that starts immediately.

The Sydney Morning Herald reported Turnbull committing to reduce “high rates of violence against women” as his “first order of business”, declaring “real men don’t hit women” and that the scourge that has already accounted for 63 deaths in Australia this year has been “overlooked for too long”.

Turnbull referred to it as a “national disgrace”.

The Australian Government Package:

According to media reports, the package was signed off by the Turnbull Cabinet this week.

It includes:

  • Funding to trial GPS trackers for perpetrators
  • Safe phones for victims
  • CCTV cameras – to boost the security of women at home
  • A Government-backed media campaign to draw this scourge out from the shadows.

It’s the kind of energy that comes with new-found political power, but also requires political courage – AND that’s something that our own John Key-led Government has lost.

Comparatively, after one year into a third-term, the Key-led Government has, in my view, lost its zest. It appears unclear what its purpose is, what its legislative agenda is.

For example, on re-election in 2014, Key committed to doing something about systemic poverty. He’s failed to deliver even an enduring commitment to that issue. Now, his comments in recent weeks suggest he believes the problem has been over-egged, is hyped up.

It seems while New Zealand’s Australian counterpart is busy making Australia a better place, New Zealand’s Government is content to massage its popularity with petty flag-changes, talk of acquiring a couple of pet Pandas, and embracing any other political pulp it can serve up.

New Zealanders deserve better.

 

New Zealand Report: Goff For Mayor + Kiwis Deported to Christmas Is + Tuatapere is Sausage Town

New Zealand Report: Selwyn Manning joins Australia’s radio FiveAA breakfast team to deliver this week’s New Zealand Report. This week: Phil Goff For Mayor + Breaking News Kiwis Deported to Christmas Is + Tuatapere Is Sausage Town – Recorded live on 25/09/15.

ITEM ONE Candidates for the Auckland Mayoralty Begin Positioning – Former Foreign Affairs Minister Phil Goff has given the strongest indication yet that he will run for the Auckland super city mayoralty. Auckland is New Zealand’s largest city with over a third of the population living within its territorial boundaries. It’s population is similar to Adelaide’s with over 1.2 million people. Since 2012, overseas migration to Auckland has expanded by 56,000. High population growth has placed a burden on its infrastructure, its residential housing market, and the city’s debt burden has sky rocketed. Phil Goff said this week that Aucklanders can expect an announcement from him before the end of the year. He also reportedly told the New Zealand Herald “it is likely I will put my name forward”. As a young politician, Phil Goff was a minister in the David Lange Labour Government, and was a senior minister in the Helen Clark Labour Government, holding significant portfolios, including the Foreign Affairs portfolio at the time Alexander Downer was his Australian counterpart. Goff also held trade and Justice portfolios. He took over as Labour Party leader when Helen Clark resigned from the position in 2008. The Auckland City incumbent, Mayor Len Brown, was supported by Labour during his campaigns for the mayoralty in 2010 and 2013. But the party distanced itself from Brown, the disgraced mayor, after it was revealed in 2013 he had been having an affair with a young woman and had used the mayoral chambers, the Ngati Whatua room (a sacred civic room at the Auckland Town Hall), Auckland hotels, and other locations for sexual encounters. Since then, Brown has been relegated to lame duck status. He refused to resign over the revelations. Early polls suggest Phil Goff would be a front-runner. He has a reputation as a strong credible leader, and, as a more centrist positioned Labour minister, is believed he will be able to broker and deliver both economic and social progress in this city. Centre-right factions within the city have yet to put forward a candidate that would be able to foot it against Goff. 2016 should be an interesting super city election year. ITEM TWO Breaking News – Radio New Zealand is reporting how Australia has been deporting New Zealand citizens to Christmas Island. The issue has become a Government to Government issue after 20 NZ citizens living in Australia were deported to the notorious detention camp in the last few days. For more, see Radio New Zealand article: Detaining Kiwis in Australia ‘displays contempt’ ITEM THREE (ref. http://www.stuff.co.nz/oddstuff/72189867/Giant-sausage-gifted-to-Southland-town ) A town in the south of New Zealand’s South Island became relatively famous this week, after receiving a giant sausage. Apparently, it’s all about being associated with something. For example, Auckland is the city of sails, Paeroa is famous in Paeroa for mounting a giant a L&P lemonade bottle in the main street, and Tuatapere in Southland is now known as the sausage town. Tuatapere earned the honour after a radio competition asked its nationwide audience which small town should get a monument. Tuatapere won. Awhile back, its people had erected a big sign stating: Tuatapere, New Zealand’s Sausage Capital. To honour the town, radio ZM had a 3m-long sausage made in Auckland. The giant sausage was then transported from Auckland all the way south, across the Cook Strait by ferry, and down into the deep south. On receiving the big sausage, the town celebrated by cooking up 16 kilograms of sausages. Apparently, the chilli chocolate sausage was a favourite.

New Zealand Report broadcasts live on FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 24, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 12 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Thursday 24th September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Top stories in the current news cycle include the bill adding the Red Peak to the flag referendum options has passed its final reading in Parliament, Fonterra announcing an annual net profit of $506million compared to $179million last year, Government outlining plans for a major overhaul of Child, Youth and Family (CYF), which will involve much better tracking of children in state care and more contracting out to other organisations.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Minister to attend APEC Ministerial meeting; New ACC legislation means fairer, transparent and more stable levies; Next steps for CYF overhaul; Speech – Fostering Kids New Zealand Conference; Minister welcomes report on consumer issues ;New appointment to NZ Tourism Board; Electricity Authority Reappointments; $566,000 for environmental education; New Zealanders have final say on national flag; New Environmental Reporting Act passed

ACT Party: Red Peak inclusion may help rescue referendum

Greens: Govt misleads over Serco’s involvement at CYFS; Govt failing Auckland commuters; Parliament passes Green Party’s original Bill; CYFS’s radical overhaul should not include privatisation; Govt failing Auckland commuters

Labour: CYF review: Glaring problems, questions around solutions; Big fall in China dairy exports as Fonterra production drops; CYF review: Glaring problems, questions around solutions; Big fall in China dairy exports as Fonterra production drops; Bright line test: Chaos and collateral damage; Overcharged drivers must be refunded; Time to sack AgResearch board and start again

New Zealand First: Fonterra Result Shouldn’t See The Silver Top Opened Just Yet; Brownlee Picked A Loser By Selling Iroquois Overseas

United Future Party: Dunne Speaks – An Update on the Fire Service Review 

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

BALANCE OF PAYMENTS: Of New Zealand’s $202.8 billion total investment abroad, 60.7 percent was in Australia, the United States, and the United Kingdom according to data released by Statistics NZ. See:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/economic_indicators/balance_of_payments/BalanceOfPaymentsYearEnded_HOTPYe31Mar15.aspx

BEEF EXPORT HITS RECORD: The value of total goods exported was $3.7 billion in August 2015, up $197 million (5.6 percent) compared with August 2014, Statistics New Zealand said today. Meat and fruit exports led the rise. Read more:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/industry_sectors/imports_and_exports/OverseasMerchandiseTrade_HOTPAug15.aspx

BETTER REGULATIONS: Central government has been presented with a list of regulations which pose an undue burden on the economy.Reducing Unnecessary Regulatory Costs was compiled by members of The New Zealand Initiative. Read more here:http://nzinitiative.org.nz/site/nzinitiative/files/Regulations%20PM%20Challenge%20final.pdf

COCONUT MILK DRINK WARNING: MPI is warning people with milk allergies or intolerances to avoid drinking some imported coconut milk drinks.Read more here: http://mpigovtnz.cwp.govt.nz/news-and-resources/media-releases/food-safety-warning-for-some-coconut-milk-drinks/

CONSUMER ISSUES REPORT: The Commerce Commission have today released a report which identifies current issues and emerging risks that have the potential to affect markets or consumers. The full report and complaints infographic can be found on the Commission website:http://www.comcom.govt.nz/the-commission/consumer-reports/consumer-issues-report/

CYF OVERHAUL: Social Development Ministry has released an interim report from an independent expert panel which shows that the Child, Youth and Family system is not delivering effectively for vulnerable children and young people, and that transformational change is required at the agency. See: http://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/work-programmes/cyf-modernisation/index.html

DEFENCE PIF: The Chief of Defence Force, Lieutenant General (LTGEN) Tim Keating, has welcomed a Performance Improvement Framework (PIF) review released today by the State Services Commission. The review can be found at:http://www.ssc.govt.nz/pif

EPA RESTRICTIONS: The Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) has restricted the commercial use of dichlorvos and revoked approval for two substances available for domestic use. Read more: http://www.epa.govt.nz/search-databases/Pages/applications-details.aspx?appID=APP202097

EXPERTS DISCUSS SUGARY DRINKS: University of Auckland public health experts will feature at a one-day conference on ‘Sugary Drink Free Aotearoa by 2025’ in Auckland next month. (7 October) For more information on the programme and registration go to this link: https://www.iticket.co.nz/events/2015/oct/sugary-drink-free-aotearoa-by-2025

IPCA REPORT: The Independent Police Conduct Authority released a report today into the actions of Police following the arrest of a Tauranga man on 4 September 2014. The report can be downloaded at:http://www.ipca.govt.nz/Site/media/2015/2015-Sep24-Police-failed-to-fulfil-duty-of-care.aspx

RABOBANK AGRIBUSINESS MONTHLY: Dairy – Global commodity prices have shown signs of recovery in recent weeks, as international buyers look for short-term cover, given that prices appear to have reached a floor. Click here for full report: http://www.rabobank.co.nz/Research/Documents/Agribusiness_monthly/2015/Agri_Monthly_Sep-2015_NZ.pdf

RMA STREAMLINE: Changes to modernise and streamline the National Environmental Standard (NES) for telecommunications facilities will speed up improvements and reduce costs for consumers says Government.This follows the release of a discussion document for public feedback in March this year. The discussion document and a summary of the submissions is available at: http://202.36.137.86/rma/rma-legislative-tools/national-environmental-standards/nes-telecommunication-facilities/proposed

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Thursday 24th September.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

Economic Values and Beliefs of Māori and non-Māori

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NewsroomPlus.com Contributed by Motu A large body of research shows that systems of beliefs and values can contribute to different economic and social outcomes. Cultures that believe luck and connections are more important to personal advancement than hard work, often end up achieving less material prosperity. Ones that emphasise tradition over technology can lead to less innovation and entrepreneurship. image005 Researchers at Motu Economic and Public Policy Research examined beliefs about the causes of wealth or poverty and the extent to which people are responsible for their own fate in New Zealand. They compared how these differ between Māori and non-Māori. Māori are 12 percent more likely to believe that the causes of wealth come from connections and luck, instead of individual effort, and are 18 percent more likely to believe that the poor have been unfairly treated, compared to non-Māori. Māori are also 30 percent more likely to believe that the Government is doing ‘too little’ for those in poverty. –]]>

Major power failure or earthquake biggest risks to NZ – survey shows

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Source: Make Lemonade Media.

[caption id="attachment_7353" align="alignleft" width="199"]Risk NZ chair Geraint Bermingham. Risk NZ chair Geraint Bermingham.[/caption]

Quake Risks: A major power failure or an earthquake on the Alpine fault or in Wellington are two of the biggest risks New Zealand risk managers worry about, according to a Risk NZ survey.

Risk NZ, the peak sector and professional body in New Zealand bringing together people and organisations managing risk, surveyed its members late last year.

They will be discussing the risks faced by New Zealand a year on at our risk forum in Wellington on October 13. The event, which is open to the public, will be concentrating on the thinking on the management of risk across a range of central government agencies.

Other than a big power cut or earthquakes, the survey found people also saw long term climate change and cyber security threats, disrupting overseas links as key risks. Looking globally, risk managers felt natural disaster events, climate change, the Middle East conflict, oil supply disruption are top of mind. A global pandemic and cyber security were the major issues.

Risk NZ chairman Geraint Bermingham says risk managers identified a lack of workforce skills, cyber threats, commercial failure, a Wellington earthquake and customer-client privacy as key risks for organisations. 

“In their personal lives family ill health, unemployment, redundancy and direct impact from a natural disaster were key concerns. A proper and disciplined approach to managing risk gives organisations a solid foundation on which to make decisions. We have just in the last few days seen the situation where an organisation (VW) clearly did not consider the risks when they decided to develop and install software in their diesel cars to defeat the United States environmental tests.

“It is easy to point out an organisation which clearly was not managing risk well.  Hindsight is a wonderful thing but it is difficult to go past this large corporate deciding to do such a thing.  Risk managers must ensure their organisations take a step back and think first says Bermingham, who was the safety officer for the Dutch salvors, Svitzer BV, during the Rena recovery.

As the leading national organisation for a profession that crosses all sectors, RiskNZ members are drawn from Government, local government, industries, utilities, insurance, finance, aviation as well as the traditional high-risk sectors such as oil and gas, and mining.  Some New Zealand organisations are very advanced in their understanding of risk and risk management.  However, others have a long way to go while some professions are many years behind current thinking in the field.

“There are clearly many lessons to be drawn from the 2010 and 2011 Canterbury earthquakes.  Some are simple, like the need for engineers to have integrity and follow the spirit as well as the letter of the rules, and that even simple relatively cheap mitigations can be valuable – for example ensuring building missionary is secure. Other lessons are complex, such as what is an appropriate time to bring old buildings up to new standards,” Bermingham says.

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Across The Ditch: NZ Flag Debate Heats Up + Earthquake Wakes Provinces + Rugby World Cup Up Date

Selwyn Manning and Peter Godfrey deliver their Across The Ditch bulletin. This week: New Zealand Flag Debate Heats Up + Earthquake Wakes Provinces + Rugby World Cup Update – Recorded live on 24/09/15.

ITEM ONE: The Prime Minister has again relented to public opinion and is now backing a move to include the Red Peak flag design as a referendum option. The Government is pushing ahead to replace the New Zealand flag with one of four preferential designs put before a referendum. The Red Peak design was excluded from the final four, and it requires a law change for it to be placed before the public as a contender. The first referendum (held from November 20 to December 11 this year) will ask New Zealanders to rank the alternative flags. The winner will then run-off against the current flag in a second referendum held between March 3 to March 24 2016.. A New Zealand Herald online poll shows little support for the final four replacement flag options. But the Red Peak design continues to be the favoured option for 50% of those who voted. The current flag was supported by 28%. (at the time of writing this 3050 people had voted in the unscientific online poll). On Wednesday John Key said he wanted the Red Peak option included in the referendum. He applauded the Green Party for presenting legislation supporting its inclusion, and criticised Labour and New Zealand First for blocking the Green Party’s move and for playing politics on the issue – something the Prime Minister has also been criticised for. Key confirmed that National will pick up the Green Party bill to ensure he public is able to vote for Red Peak should they chose to. On Wednesday afternoon Key said: “In the end, I’m not wanting to be the one that stands in the way of people having some choice.” He said Parliament will go into urgency to force the way forward for the Red Peak Flag design. It’s classic John Key politics. He manoeuvres with ease around tricky political issues. Once public opinion is clear on an issue, he commits to a U-turn without blinking, without a moment’s hesitation, to get in beside the public and present as the saviour, the solution to a problem. ITEM TWO: East coast North Island communities in New Zealand were awoken by a rolling 5.1 earthquake this morning. No reports of damage. ITEM THREE: Rugby World Cup. Australia showed a few first game jitters but pulled off a decisive win against Fiji over night. Australia is showing form. The All Blacks looked rattled by Argentina in New Zealand’s opening game on Monday morning, but came through strong in the end to win 26 to 16. On Friday the All Blacks play Namibia with a fresh B-side captained by 23 year-old open-side flanker Sam Cane. Cane is positioned to be the likely replacement for All Blacks captain Richie McCaw once he retires and many are reading into this move that the All Blacks coaching-squad see him as a future All Black captain as well. Other interesting games coming up include: South Africa V Samoa on Sunday, and England V Wales also on Sunday. This game will give us a good idea of the true form of both England and Wales and how they stack up against Australia (the Wallabies are currently rated at number two in World Rugby behind the All Blacks).

Across The Ditch is broadcast live weekly on FiveAA.com.au and webcast on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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Fonterra Increases 2015/16 Forecast Farmgate Milk Price by 75 Cents – Fonterra

Fonterra Co-operative Group is lifting its forecast total available for payout for the 2015/16 season to $5.00 − $5.10 kgMS due to an increase in the forecast Farmgate Milk Price of 75 cents.

The forecast total available for payout comprises:

·         Forecast Farmgate Milk Price $4.60 kgMS – up 75 cents

·         Forecast earnings per share of 40 – 50 cents.

Farmer shareholders have also been able to apply to receive a loan of an additional 50 cents per share-backed kilogram of milk solids for production through to December, through Fonterra Co-operative Support.  So far, over 7,000 applications have been received, around 70 per cent of farmer shareholders.

Mr Wilson said the improved forecast Farmgate Milk Price reflected the lift in global prices since July with Whole Milk Powder increasing 44 per cent and Skim Milk Powder increasing 21 per cent over the period.

“Current global prices are unsustainable. While there are signs that supply growth globally is easing, a lift in demand, which is needed for prices to continue to rise, is still to come,” said Mr Wilson. 

Fonterra has also lowered its forecast milk production for the season.

“We are 5 per cent behind last season to date and are currently tracking 8 per cent down on last season on a weekly basis. Farmers are responding to the tough economic conditions and with cow numbers down, less supplements being fed and challenging weather conditions for much of the country, we now expect production to be down by more than 5 per cent for the season,” said Mr Wilson.

Note: currency is New Zealand dollars unless otherwise stated.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Government that listens too much

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

On the anniversary of the election of John Key’s third-term government, commentators are asking whether National has fallen victim to third-termitis and whether the party still has any core principles at all. 

The rigours of government do not appear to have dampened John Key’s spirits, with the PM continuing to appear as light-hearted as he ever was. This is a topic of much discussion, not only in New Zealand but also globally – see Andrea Vance’s Joke or genius: is the PM a rock star or just off-Key? It’s a trend picked up on in an interesting editorial in Saturday’s Nelson Mail – see: John Key’s joke-writer deserves a payrise

The editorial discusses Key’s propensity to make jokes, pointing out that “bad jokes seem to have as much to do with brand Key as anything else”. Furthermore, “As he has evolved into a more comfortable political animal, his demeanour while telling these jokes has become more relaxed, more confident. They have become something of a signature of Key’s. If Key is not joking then you know something is wrong. Most of the time he is joking.”

The online editorial also contains two short videos of Key talking in Nelson displaying his sense of humour and candidly discussing his life and leadership. Much of this involves anecdotes about his family, and he mentions how, when he appeared on TV3 soon after becoming prime minister, his son Max gave his verdict: “you looked like a dick and sounded like a dick, and worst of all John Campbell thought you were a dick”.

Key also reflects on the media and social media: “There are certain commentators that I never read – because they’re just opposed to me…. I never read social media. And I’m not online. Other than I’m on Facebook and Twitter, but that gets handled by my staff… My son, bless him, he’s on social media and about 80% of what he gets is just ‘I hate your father, I hope he dies’… He says ‘Oh well I just ignore them… occasionally I agree with them’.”

The Prime Minister is obviously very aware of the dangers of his government becoming stale and arrogant – something he has talked about frequently. In the above video he comments on the need to be mindful of this tendency: “There is an inevitable shelf-life of prime ministers. I think it’s because their defence mechanisms get higher, and the ability to listen goes down. And I just try to remind myself that they have to be balanced actually.”

So has John Key’s government stopped listening? Or are they actually listening too much? This is explored in an article I wrote for the Herald on Sunday – see: A Tale of two governments. This presents both sides of the story about the state of Key’s government in its third term.

Both the political left and right allege Key’s government has become affected by third-termitis, complaining of an administration that is tired and lacklustre. For many on the left, it’s because Key and co have stopped listening to the public. But far more trenchant criticism is coming from the right who say the Government is listening too much. 

Matthew Hooton complains that the Government is now adrift without any serious reform agendas underpinning Key’s leadership: “his focus is now almost entirely on the flag referendum and his own international relationships. The continuing shift to the left, including the first increase in benefits since 1972, the $50 million U-turn on refugee numbers based on pressure from the twitterati and the silence on tax and RMA reform is not doing much for his reputation” – see: David Seymour fills political vacuum

He says that Key’s “high water mark is now well behind us. For the serious end of the business community, the tide went out on Mr Key long ago, when they realised he had no interest in a reform agenda and that his words, public or private, lacked the necessary relationship to government decisions to be reliable inputs for business ones. Those waiting for, say, a genuine infrastructure plan, the promised financial services hub in Auckland or RMA reform are still waiting.”

Ex-Act leader Rodney Hide has a very thoughtful and damning critique, complaining that “Policy is now made by public feel. Every decision is open to review and reversal especially if the pushback is from middle voters” – see: It’s polls, not policies, that count in politics

His must-read criticism of John Key’s Government is worth quoting at length: “We have never had a better demonstration of policy by public feel than with Mr Key.  There are no bottom lines. There are no decisions that can’t be overturned. There are no guiding policy principles or political philosophy.  It’s policy management, not policy reform.  It’s a recipe for the status quo and stagnation. There are no thrills and, more importantly, no spills. There is no achievement or lifting of the country’s sights of what could be. The political virtue is all in the ‘steady as she goes’ rather than the use of political power to improve the country’s lot”.

Democracy is worse off, according to Hide, for the extreme focus on the fickle opinions of swing voters in the middle of the political spectrum: “The polls matter. They are all that matters.  Middle voters by definition have no interest in political philosophy or principle. They have no interest in policy debate or argument. Their political support is fickle. Political power is decided by those who have the least interest and who are moved by the shallowest of reasons.”

Rodney Hide also elaborated on some of these arguments in his 39-minute Sunday morning panel with RadioLive’s Jessica Williams – listen to: Rodney Hide and Selwyn Manning. Similarly, Williams interviewed Grant Duncan, who explained how National has been swerving towards the left and right at times and Colin James who sees more aspects of rightwing reform.

On the left, there’s also an increasing awareness of just how poll-driven this government is. On The Standard, Greg Presland reflects on how the Government deals with problems: “When a crisis erupts National looks messy. It takes a few days for them to take soundings and work out what politically is the best line to take.  This also describes National’s second problem. They look like they are opinion poll driven fruit loops. Everything seems to be on the table as long as it may be popular as opposed to right” – see: Twelve long months

The idea of this Government being consumed by the need for popularity is also examined by Danyl Mclauchlan in a blog post in which he suggests “this is now a very odd-looking National government” because it doesn’t implement much reform, and where it does so, it’s mostly of a progressive nature, which means “In some ways the third-term Key National government has been one of the best left-wing governments we’ve ever had” – see: State of play

Mclauchlan says that policy is often botched by the Government, but it always excels at performing its core function of photo opportunities: “What’s happening here, I think, is that all the energy that normal governments put into developing new policies and implementing agendas is going into maintaining Key’s popularity, the perpetuation of which has become a goal in itself, not a means to an end…. because the core role of this government is to generate events like the Parliamentary announcement of the All-Black line-up or source adorable puppies for the leader to take selfies with. These propaganda pieces are never botched because they’re core business. And government policy is now a subset of this public relations machine. Rather than justifying policy it determines it.”

In the weekend TV3’s The Nation had a special looking at One year on from the election. This included the nine-minute interview: National’s Chief Strategist Steven Joyce. See Matthew Theunissen’s report on this: Key still ‘envy’ of most political parties says Joyce

It is telling that Joyce pointed to the “Government’s proudest achievements since last year’s election” with special emphasis on their more leftwing policies: “introducing free healthcare for under-13s and raising benefits to help children growing up in poverty”. The best analysis came in the eight-minute panel of Guyon Espiner, Tracy Watkins & Patrick Gower

The case for third-termitis has also been put recently by Tracy Watkins who points out that major gaps have been opening up between the Government and the public on issues such as the refugee crisis, Maurice Williamson’s speech debacle and the flag change debate – see: Flags, MPs, refugees – is the ground shifting under John Key?

Similarly, Duncan Garner points to the recent health and safety reform controversy, especially the strange categorisation of worm farming – see: National gets a case of the dreaded third-termitis

Possibly the most interesting discussion of the Government’s strong inclination to bend to the mood of the public is Tim Watkin’s blog post, Cure for third-termitis? A dose of the polls. He says “The big lesson from this past year of politics is that National under John Key (and Joyce) is willing to turn on a dime and do as many u-turns as polling tells them are needed, to stay popular. More than ever in its third term, National will bend like a Len Lye sculpture to match public opinion, even if it makes them hypocrites.  The trend has been building all year. National said no new taxes, then introduced a “brightline test” (a non-tax tax) and a tourism “levy” tax. The party that has long-mocked benefit increases, well, they increased benefits. Refugee numbers? They went from no way to 600 more in less than a week.  And now Lochinver. The crown jewel of all u-turns”.

Watkin points out that such extreme ideological flexibility may be criticised as hypocrisy, but in fact the public appreciate being listened to. Nonetheless, “This uber-flexibility raises all kinds of questions. One, how long is the party prepared to wear this lack of ideology before someone revolts? Is winning enough for National, when it’s brazenly stealing Labour policies and governing so far from its base? All the base is getting is the slow privatisation of social services. A huge change in itself, but thin gruel for red-blooded Nats.”

But not everyone is convinced that the Government is really that centrist – see Chris Trotter’s column, National loves the Right, not the Centre. He points out, for example, that “With affordable housing in unprecedented demand, would a “centrist” government advocate selling-off thousands of state houses?”

Finally, Audrey Young has catalogued not only the Government’s biggest moments over the last twelve months, but also its biggest challenges in the months to come  – see: A big year in the life of John Key.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for September 23, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 23rd September.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

[caption id="attachment_7208" align="alignleft" width="210"]Climate Change Minister Tim Groser. Climate Change Minister Tim Groser.[/caption]

Top stories in the current news cycle include an immigration lawyer saying the Government should create a new quota for Pacific Islanders displaced by natural disasters and climate, official documents showing the Climate Change Minister Tim Groser was considering a tougher emissions reduction target then what was eventually settled on and the Government is picking the Green Party legislation allowing Red Peak to be added to the four alternative flag designs.

Note: As well as providing a precis of leading broadcast bulletins each day, our NewsRoom_Monitor service does a daily paper round with succinct ‘news picks’ from the main metropolitan papers emailed by 9am each morning. If you’re interested in a free trial please email monitor@newsroom.co.nz

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Minister welcomes new water safety strategy; $2.13 million boost for community pest control; PLD changes will lift student achievement; Ministers attend NZ-China Partnership Forum; Auckland DHBs using more eReferrals; Official start of new PGP lamb programme; Students’ ANZAC Garden wins top prizes

Greens: Greens To Seek Red Peak Option In Flag Referendum; Green Party Welcomes Government Decision To Adopt Red Peak Bill

Labour: Sad day as Kiribati deportee gets marching orders; Schools hire debt collectors for ‘voluntary’ donations; Rules go from the ridiculous to the absurd; National’s panda politics cynical distraction; National’s $6b Super Fund shortfall

Māori Party: Ridiculous tax status for Māori housing provider

New Zealand First: Minister Tolley once again gives misleading answer in house; Questions hover over iroquois tender – why were kiwi bids rebuffed; ‘Wake Up’ Alliance Group To Silver Fern Farms Implications;New Zealand First Will Say No To ‘Red Peak’; Supporting councils against maritime disaster costs

United Future Party: No Progress On Resource Management Act Changes 

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014 at newsroom-nz.tumblr.com. We are currently building an archive of these at:http://newsroomplus.com/resources/resourceful-links/

ACCESSING WATER: Water New Zealand with Opus and the University of Canterbury QuakeCentre has produced guidelines which will help communities define what level of water access and service citizens can expect after an earthquake. See the full document: https://12240-console.memberconnex.com/Folder?Action=View%20File&Folder_id=438&File=3WaterLoS_Final.pdf

CHILD, YOUTH AND FAMILY (CYF): The Public Service Association (PSA), the union for social workers, is celebrating New Zealand Social Workers Day with the release of Let’s Get Real, a report on the future for Child, Youth and Family (CYF). The Let’s Get Real report is available on the PSA website:http://www.psa.org.nz/assets/PDFs/PSA-CYF-review-2015.pdf

DENTISTS RESEARCH $$: Dentists are asking Kiwis to put their money to a great cause by going to the dentist on Saturday October 17, with more than 20 dentists signed up to Dentists with a Cause, and will “open wide”, donating all their fees (less GST) for that day to the NZ Breast Cancer Foundation’s research programme. Read more:http://www.dentistsforacause.co.nz

INFLATION: After lingering at levels below the midpoint of the Reserve Bank’s target band for four years, inflation is set to rebound over the coming months. Read more:https://wibiq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/New_Zealand/2015/September_2015/Will_we_see_a_sustained_pick-up_in_inflation_September_2015.pdf

PLD CHANGES: Changes to the way professional learning and development (PLD) was announced today. Further information can be found here: http://www.education.govt.nz/professional-learning-and-development

PEST CONTROL: The fight against introduced predators across New Zealand will receive a significant boost through $2.13 million in Community Conservation Partnerships Fund money announced today by Conservation Minister Maggie Barry. Details of the groups receiving funding can be found at http://www.doc.govt.nz/ccpf

RED MEAT INDUSTRY RESTRUCTURING BILL: New Zealand First is calling on Alliance Group to support the Red Meat Industry Restructuring Bill.. The bill can be read at: http://www.parliament.nz/resource/en-nz/51HOH_MEMBILL188_1/4c32363d1c400ab1b611cd486f001d865f163276

TAXATION BILL: The New Zealand Law Society in its submission to the proposed Taxation (Bright-line Test for Residential Land) Bill is concerned that the proposed two-year “bright-line test” for sales of residential property will unfairly catch ordinary taxpayers who need to sell property within two years of purchase because of changes in their personal circumstances. A copy of the New Zealand Law Society submission is available athttps://www.lawsociety.org.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/95144/Taxation-Bright-line-Test-for-Residential-Land-Bill-17-9-15.pdf

WATER SAFETY: New Zealand Water Safety Sector Strategy 2020 launched yesterday. A copy of the strategy can be downloaded from the Water Safety New Zealand website: http://www.watersafety.org.nz/

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 23rdSeptember.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest. –]]>

DIY, learning & fun: computing with Ubuntu

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Tech Investigation by Carolyn Skelton. I have been enjoying my exploration of the Ubuntu version of the Linux Operating System (OS). It’s an active form of computing that requires a little more effort than using Microsoft’s Windows. Microsoft and the devices that use its systems, are very good at providing what looks like a wide range of choice, between the latest newest shiny things. But, in practice, the choices are limited. And increasingly, as with Windows 10, they aim for planned obsolescence, encouraging dependency on their OS. The result is we keep having to pay them more money to keep up-to-date, or to get add-ons. In my last post I argued for more teaching of computer coding in primary schools. Coding teaches a deeper understanding and transferable skills. Basically, a lot of current teaching is getting children excited about using the latest shiny things, without learning many new, or deep-seated skills: ones that could be easily transferred to new IT developments. Newer is not always better, as learned by young people who have ever had the pleasure of making their own toys and equipment (like trolleys) or who have learned to maintain and repair their old cars, motorbikes, or bicycles. There were new Ubuntu terms to use, such as “Dash” the name for the dashboard at the top of the launch bar on the left. I can search for folders, files and software from there. Further down the launch bar is the “Software Center” where I can search for some software to install from Ubuntu or its partners. All this can be done through mouse movements and clicks. A lot of the software available is free, but some cost money. A little bit of self-help is far more satisfying than being totally at the mercy of Microsoft. In the process I have learned things about the current state of computing software, and a few basic security rules. Now I want to learn more.

Setting up Ubuntu on a reconditioned laptop I got a start with using Ubuntu with an Intel Compute Stick, pre-loaded with Ubuntu. I enjoyed using it, but found it inadequate. I was (unnecessarily as it turned out) nervous about adding Ubuntu to a computer. I found a local computing business that advertised they would load Linux distros (versions of its OS) onto computers for $120.00. I was tempted, but chose to do it myself. I was told that many people buy a second-hand (off-lease), reconditioned computers, and load a Linux distro OS onto it . It is recommended that buyers of such computers go for A Grade ones with a limited warranty period, and from a reputable company. These are the ones most likely to have been well-looked after. I looked through some lists of laptop models that are known to work well with various Linux distros. I chose one with a reasonable amount of disc space on the hard drive, and that was available at an Auckland store. It cost just under $500.00 with a 3 month warranty. Loading Ubuntu as the second OS turned out to be pretty easy. I followed online instructions to load Ubuntu onto my reconditioned laptop. Things didn’t happen exactly as described. I did not attempt the suggestion to create a partition between Windows and the space to be used for Ubuntu. First I downloaded an an ISO file onto a DVD. The instructions said to then reboot the computer with the disc in the laptop. I tried rebooting several files but…. nothing. I had stupidly failed to tick the verify box, which would have resulted in a check to see if the iso file had downloaded properly. So I went to the DVD and clicked on the downloaded file … and THEN, suddenly things started to happen and I was away! Files began being extracted to my laptop, and then a pop up box invited me to reboot – I clicked on the “Boot” option. When the laptop restarted, a trial version of the Ubuntu desktop loaded. If I had stayed with that, it would have required to reboot in future from the disc. I was already committed to loading Ubuntu, so I clicked on the “Install” folder, sitting enticingly at the top of the desktop. Then I was taken through the set up process. As I did not have any files on my Windows OS that I wanted to keep, I followed a recommendation on Ask Ubuntu to use a slider. I slid the slider so that more of the hard disc space was for Ubuntu than Windows. The Ubuntu OS was then set up. Each time I log on, the rolling text stops with Ubuntu highlighted at the top. If I hit “Enter” or just wait, Ubuntu loads. If I arrow down to Windows OS _1 and click on that, Ubuntu boots up from Windows. If I arrow down to Windows_2, the Windows OS opens. All pretty easy. After my earlier post on difficulties with playing videos on, Ubuntu, Tim O’Brien tweeted me a very useful link to 10 things that can be done to tweak or improve Ubuntu 14.04. David H recommended using the html5 option for youtube videos. [caption id="attachment_7324" align="alignleft" width="300"]terminal_linuxpitstop Image from linuxpitstop.com[/caption] I was nervous about typing in commands – it looked pretty scary. My first attempt was in response to TV One and TV3 videos ondemand not playing. It was recommended to install hal – which sounded to me like entering an alternative 2001 Space Odyssey universe. To do this I need to open a terminal. This can be done through searching for it on the dash. I prefer typing cntrl+Alt+T. That brings up a little box. When it prints my logon ID and stops, it is waiting for me to type in a command. If I have typed it correctly, when I hit enter text/code starts printing down the box. If there are no more commands for me to add, I type “Exit” and the box closes. Featured image from Canonical
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