Across the Ditch: Australian radio FiveAA.com.au’s Peter Godfrey and EveningReport.nz’s Selwyn Manning deliver their weekly bulltin Across the Ditch. This week they discuss how the Kiwi dollar continues to climb against all its major trading partners + A southerly icy blast has hit most of New Zealand bringing snow flurries over much of the South Island and also the North Island’s Central Plateau region, closing roads and uprooting trees. Also, a Colin McCahon painting sold this week for a record price in New Zealand. First up: Weather comparison Headlines roundup ITEM ONE: Kiwi Dollar Continues Its Climb NZ Dollar continues to climb against major trading partners, including against the soaring Aussie dollar. If South Australians are planning a skiing holiday this month in Queenstown, the snow will be good but the Kiwi dollar will not give you much of a cash injection. ITEM TWO: Freezing Winter Blast Hits All NZ Islands The last big icy breath of winter is sweeping over both main islands bringing snow to most of the South Island and down to 500 meters above sea level in the North Island. The wind-chill factor is causing concerns for farmers as the polar blast threatens livestock including thousands of new-born lambs. And this coming season’s horticulture and viticulture sectors could be hit if this weather system is backed by blistering frosts. ITEM THREE: Colin McCahon Painting Sells For Record $1,350,000.00 A painting by Kiwi artist, the late Colin McCahon, sold Wednesday night for $1,350,000. That’s a record for the most expensive painting ever sold at auction in New Zealand. The painting is known as The Canoe Tainui and was being auctioned on behalf of the estate of Tim and Sherrah Francis. The late Tim Francis, who was a former NZ permanent representative to the United Nations and ambassador to the USA. According to the NZ Herald, Tim Francis once wrote about the moment he first spotted the painting: “It was stunning, lyrical, subtle, glowing … You know, up to that point, I had been – apprehensive I think is the word – about Pakeha taking Maori objects, symbols, even history, and making it into something of their own. But this was not like that. The words, the names, were handled reverently. The whole feel of the painting was one of honouring Maori, acclaiming Maori culture … here is a profoundly expressive celebration of Maori identity, Maori nationality.” See also: NZHerald.co.nz. By the way, the painting was bought in 1969 for $550.00. Across the Ditch broadcasts live each week on FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz, LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.]]>
Across the Ditch: New Zealand Crime Rates Worsen + AllBlacks Wallabies Rivalry Turns Septic
Across the Ditch: Australian radio FiveAA.com.au’s Peter Godfrey and EveningReport.nz’s Selwyn Manning deliver their weekly bulletin Across the Ditch. This week, New Zealand’s crime statistics are out and show a marked deterioration, increases in burglaries and robberies. Also, the Trans-Tasman rivalry between the All Blacks and the Wallabies has turned septic. First up: Weather comparison and the Headlines Roundup. ITEM ONE: New Zealand Crime Rate Worsens: After a winter of record homelessness and hiking house prices, New Zealand’s burglary rate has also increased. Across the nation, Statistics New Zealand reported yesterday burglaries increased by 11.9% in the twelve months to July. And the negative trend has been deteriorating for some time. The latest statistics show burglaries up 29% over a two year period with robberies are up 44% and assaults have increased by 10%. The New Zealand Police Association puts this down to fewer police officers. Its president, Greg O’Connor, said yesterday “While many offence types can fluctuate, burglary figures tend to be a very good litmus test of how much criminal activity is taking place in the community.” He added: “What is clear is that the public are now becoming concerned that the crime situation is deteriorating, an inevitability after many years of under-investment. “We are now seeing political parties, including the government, accepting there is a need to increase police numbers. But it cannot wait for an election – this government must find the money now to increase police numbers across the board so that community concerns about crime can be addressed.” Labour leader Andrew Little said: ““John Key has broken his own 2008 election promise to have one police officer for every 500 people. There is now one police officer to every 526 people. “Police are desperately under-resourced and have been told there will be no staffing increases until 2020. “It’s unsurprising the regions are experiencing massive crime hikes with Rotorua burglaries up 66%, and up 100% in the Hutt Valley.” The National-led Government’s Minister of Police Judith ‘Crusher’ Collins said the Government would have more police recruits soon so that the Police could attend all burglary complaints. ITEM TWO – All Blacks Wallabies Rivalry Turns Septic: The All Blacks and Wallabies Trans-Tasman rivalry has become rather septic since last Saturday’s Bledisloe Cup test in Wellington. The All Blacks beat the Wallabies 29-9, following a first test win of 42-9. During the second test in Wellington, the Wallabies played a hard up-front and physical game, receiving a number of controversial penalties and a yellow card. It led to accusations that the referee was biased in favour of the All Blacks. There was also an alleged eye gauging by an All Black player on a Wallaby. At one point, a Wallaby pulled the boot off an All Black and through it off the field. The tension spilled over into the aftergame period with the Wallaby coach accusing the All Black couch of having met with the referee before the game and without his Wallaby counterpart present. The allegation was denied. Former Wallaby great Peter FitzSimons said on Radio New Zealand this week, that the allegations of referee bias were ridiculous and the debate should be focused on improving basic skills that in his day were drummed into players at club level. It seems fortunate that the third test between Australia and New Zealand is scheduled to be played in over a month’s time. Across the Ditch broadcasts live each week on FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz, LiveNews.co.nz, and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.]]>
Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Month: Immigration
Headline: Chart for this Month: Immigration
Analysis: by Keith Rankin
[caption id="attachment_11162" align="aligncenter" width="979"]
Net Migration chart: Not what we hear.[/caption]
We hear constantly about record levels of immigration into New Zealand, and claims that this immigration drives the increasingly overpriced Auckland housing market.
There are many statistics about people arriving in and departing from New Zealand; interestingly filed under tourism rather than in the economic categories. Yet one important statistic appears not to be collected: arrivals and departures for New Zealand passport holders. And, by subtraction, arrivals and departures for non-New Zealand passport holders.
I have taken the latest quarterly A-Z Information Release for ‘International Travel and Migration’. That source indicates, for the year to June 2016, that New Zealand has a substantial net immigration of “New Zealand resident travellers”. This category is defined, for arrivals, as “New Zealand residents arriving in New Zealand after an absence of less than 12 months”. And, for departures, as “New Zealand residents departing New Zealand for an absence of less than 12 months”.
Net inflows of ‘all others combined’ was about 4,000 for the year, and has been negative from 2011 to 2015.
While this is all very baffling, we must remember that a substantial proportion of New Zealand residents are not New Zealand passport holders. Further, how long people stay for – and go away for – often differs from their stated intention. What seems likely is that the key dynamic is that of more New Zealanders returning after being away for less time than they expected to be away for, combined with more foreign‑resident New Zealand ‘permanent residents’ (only some of which will be using New Zealand passports) coming to New Zealand expecting not to be in New Zealand for more than a year, but actually staying longer. There is a large floating population of global citizens with residential rights in New Zealand. This decade, relatively more of those floaters have spent more of their time in New Zealand.
New Zealand has no reliable intercensal data on domestic immigration.
So what of Auckland’s allegedly high net rate of immigration? First, one of the biggest drivers of net migration is a reduction of people migrating to (mainly) Australia from provincial New Zealand. That suggests that provincial New Zealand – not Auckland – is a major ‘beneficiary’ of net immigration. This would likely be true also for returning New Zealanders; largely provincial New Zealanders disillusioned with the places they had been living in, and not largely drawn to the supposed Auckland magnet and therefore not driving Auckland house prices up inexorably.
We also hear plenty of anecdotal stories about Aucklanders selling up and moving ‘down country’, and people (such as teachers) from provincial New Zealand resisting coming to Auckland, largely on account of housing costs and commuting inconveniences.
This morning there was a Radio New Zealand report about overcrowding in Auckland schools, written as if it was a reflection of Auckland’s burgeoning population. But the schools mentioned were both in Manurewa. Within the Auckland ‘Super-City’ there is net migration from the increasingly underoccupied leafy isthmus suburbs, towards in the likes of overcrowded Manurewa where rents are still a little lower.
We have no evidence that hordes of foreigners and returning cashed-up New Zealanders are descending on Auckland as their future place of permanent residence. Rather the anecdotal evidence suggests that net migration gains are disproportionately affecting non-Auckland New Zealand; a significant contrast with previous decades.
We should discuss immigration issues with the aid of more facts and fewer assumptions.]]>
The ‘nuclear free’ Vanuatu girl with the enchanting smile
Report by David Robie. This article was first published on Café Pacific
Riding out from Aneityum Island to the grass airstrip for the return flight back to Tanna.
By DAVID ROBIE
She had the most enchanting smile, even though she had lost her baby teeth. Her toothless grin turned out to be perfect for the role.
The five-year-old girl had her face painted with a black anti-nuclear symbol – different motifs on both her cheeks.
Beside her was a neatly drawn poster: “No nukes: Please don’t spoil my beautiful face”.
This was the scene in Port Vila’s Independence Park in 1983 during the region’s second Nuclear-Free and Independent Pacific Movement conference.
It was during the heady days of nuclear-free activism with
Vanuatu, the world’s newest nation only three years old and founding Prime
Minister Walter Hadye Lini leading the way.
I was there that day as an independent journalist taking
many photographs for my series of articles for Pacific and international media.
One person who really stood out was the little girl with the beautiful smile. But I never knew her name back then.
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| June Warigini and her copy of Don’t Spoil My Beautiful Face with her and her mother, Annie Keitadi, featured in the cover photograph. Image: Del Abcede |
33 years on
Thirty-three years have passed since then and my wife, Del Abcede, and I have just visited Aneityum (“Atomic”) Island in Vanuatu this week to meet that girl – June Keitadi and her family.
She is now June Warigini, mother of three, grandmother and a Salvation Army volunteer living on her home island. And she still has that stunning smile.
I wanted to present her with a copy of my 2014 book, Don’t Spoil My beautiful Face, that was inspired by her and she is featured on the cover.
Not only June, her mother Annie Keitadi is featured there too. Her father, Jack Keitadi, was deputy curator of the Vanuatu Kaljoral Senta at the time and he later became curator.
It was a delight and a privilege for Del and me to be able to visit the family on Aneityum and to be treated to a “royal” welcome by the extended family and tribe.
June remembers that day in 1983 really well. It left a deep impression on her in later life.
“They wanted someone young who could go on their behalf to the French Embassy and present a petition calling on France to halt its nuclear tests in the Pacific – so they chose me,” she recalls.
Symbolic of N-ravages
She remembers her toothless smile was regarded as symbolic
of the ravages of nuclear testing in the Pacific, not only by France, but also
the United States and Britain.
“But the ambassador left in a hurry out the back. I don’t know why he was afraid of a little girl.”
Faced with persistent protests in the Pacific, France eventually ended all nuclear testing in 1996, thirteen years after that rally. But the campaign for full compensation for the victims of nuclear testing continues.
June feels that her experience at that young age helped give her an inner strength for the challenges of life today and inspiring her in her desire to help others in her church work.
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| Del and David Robie in ceremonial headdress on Aneityum. |
While visiting Aneityum for a day, we shared in a “olden days” traditional food and customs exposure in a model 18th century village on the island.
When we eventually discovered her identity – after my appeals on my blog Café Pacific and an NFIP network had failed and Vanuatu Daily Digest came to the rescue earlier this year – and we saw photographs of her, my wife exclaimed:
“That’s her, the June we have met.”
We realised that the guide “June” we had met that day on the island was indeed June Keitadi now Warigini.
Idyllic island
Aneityum, the southernmost island in Vanuatu, currently has
a population of 1740. It is not part of Vanuatu’s electricity grid and
islanders rely on solar power. The island has no cars, or even a road.
The air connection is only two return flights a week from the Tafea provincial capital on Tanna. There is also no doctor, although a dispensary is now operating with two nurses and a midwife.
On the other hand, for visitors like ourselves, island life
seems idyllic, a byword for “paradise”.
Aneityum has a wonderful healthy lifestyle for youngsters,
remote from the world’s conflicts and problems.
There are three primary schools and a boarding secondary school – one that attracts students from other outer islands whose parents want an education where the traditional way of life is important and free from the urban ills of Port Vila.
June is assistant bursar at Teruja secondary school.
She tells a delightful story about a recent excursion for students from Aneityum who went on a “field trip” adventure by island cargo ship to Tanna to visit the famous Mt Yasur volcano.
The island’s micro economy is self-sustaining and is augmented by occasional cruise ship visits and tourism days on Mystery Island. It appears that Aneityum is remote from government services or assistance and the support of cruise shipping companies, such as P&O, is crucial for the islanders.
![]() |
| Annie Keitadi, Jack Keitadi and their daughter June with author David Robie. Image: Del Abcede |
And we enjoyed meeting your parents, Annie and Jack Keitadi, along with the extended family, your cousins, uncles and aunts, on our all too short visit.
Tank yu Tumas
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| June and Ruyben Warigini and their youngest son Ray. Image: Del Abcede |
Across the Ditch: NZ Exporters Facing Tough Times + The Olympic Heroes’ Return
Across the Ditch: Australian radio FiveAA.com.au’s Peter Godfrey and EveningReport.nz’s Selwyn Manning deliver their weekly bulletin Across the Ditch. This week they discuss how the latest statistics show how exporters are finding it tough to get a decent return – it’s all due to the NZ dollar being too high against the US greenback. And the NZ Reserve Bank and the Government seem to be powerless to do anything about it. ALSO, NZ’s Olympic heroes have returned to New Zealand to huge excitement. First up: Weather comparison, Headlines Roundup. INDEPTH – ITEM ONE: NZ Exporters Facing Tough Times With the NZD sustaining its climb against the USD, Kiwi exporters are finding it touch going. It seems the current policy-set used by the Reserve Bank to keep inflation between 1 and 3% is failing. Reductions to the Official Cash Rate are failing to bring the dollar down, and failing to see a further marked reduction in mortgage interest rates. That width between the OCR which is 2% and the rates offered by banks upwards around 4% is an attractive return, keeping the demand for the NZ Dollar high – all this at a time when exporters need a lower dollar to maximise the returns for their goods and services. As wisdom suggests, the higher the NZ dollar goes against the Greenback, the less money exporters get back for their work. It’s the same story for Australian exporters. Here in New Zealand it’s becoming a big problem, not just for farmers and share milkers, but also for rural New Zealand and the broader New Zealand economy. Take Wednesday’s release from Statistics NZ: * Overall, meat and edible offal exports in July were down 19 percent on July 2015, to $408 million. The largest fall was in lamb exports, which fell 29 percent in value and 25 percent in quantity. * Dairy exports also fell in July down $88 million. Milk powder fell $118 million but was partly offset by rises in butter and natural milk constituents. The fall in value of milk powder was ‘price-driven’, as the quantity rose 0.9 percent. * The balance between overall exports and imports meant a goods trade deficit of $433 million in July. (ref. ForeignAffairs.co.nz ) Wednesday’s NZ dollar sat around 0.728 US cents for every NZ$1, after pushing up to 73.3 cents yesterday. In May, former Governor of the Reserve Bank Don Brash said to me, the closer to 80 US cents our dollar goes, the higher the risk that rural NZ will become an economic desert. The current Government is remarkably silent about what to do about this situation. And Labour’s finance spokesperson is far too quiet about what tool-sets he would present to the Reserve Bank should it become government next year. Meanwhile, exporters are struggling to make a decent buck, while politicians wait until election year before rolling out their parcels of policy. ITEM TWO: The Heroes’ Return New Zealand won more Olympic medals than ever before. At Rio Kiwis won 18 medals, including 4 Gold medals, 9 Silver medals, and 5 Bronze medals. And most of our Olympic athletes returned home yesterday to huge crowds and applause. The country is very pleased indeed and in particular with the manner in which the athletes competed. National pride is good and strong. ALSO: The All Blacks beat the Wallabies 42-8 at Sydney last Saturday night. If you can stand it, www.AllBlacks.com has all the detail, including an evaluation of the Wallabies as they head to Wellington NZ for the second of three tests for the Bledisloe Cup. I hate to say it Peter but the All Blacks have held the Bledisloe Cup since 2003. Sorry about that. The stats are against Australia on this one: The Wallabies haven’t beaten the All Blacks on Kiwi soil since August 11 2001. But Australian Rugby great, Peter FitzSimons said on Radio New Zealand last week the Wallabies have what it takes to remove the All Blacks’ grip of the Bledisloe Cup. Perhaps this Saturday, at Wellington’s Cake Tin, they will do it. Across the Ditch broadcasts live each week on Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz, LiveNews.co.nz and Foreignaffairs.co.nz.]]>
Tony Alexander’s New Zealand Economic Overview 18 August 2016
Analysis by BNZ Economist Tony Alexander.
This week we note that if booming retail spending and
[caption id="attachment_11124" align="alignleft" width="150"]
BNZ Economist, Tony Alexander.[/caption]
employment growth are not causing the rate of inflation to rise then trying to encourage people to borrow more and spend more via lower interest rates probably won’t help the RB reach its goal of inflation back near 2%. Yet two more interest rate cuts remain likely in November and February.
The Weekly Overview is written by Tony Alexander, Chief Economist at the Bank of New Zealand. The views expressed are my own and do not purport to represent the views of the BNZ. To receive the Weekly Overview each Thursday night please sign up at www.tonyalexander.co.nz To change your address or unsubscribe please click the link at the bottom of your email. Tony.alexander@bnz.co.nz
]]>Across the Ditch: NZ Govt Set To Increase Spy Powers + Olympics Roundup and Happy Kiwis
Across the Ditch: Australian radio FiveAA.com.au’s Peter Godfrey and EveningReport.nz’s Selwyn Manning deliver their weekly bulletin Across the Ditch – This week: NZ Government introduces to Parliament intelligence law reform that will make it legal for the spy agencies to spy on its own people. Plus: Olympic highlights from week two of the games. ITEM ONE: Spy Law Reform. The New Zealand National-led Government introduced legislation into Parliament that if passed will enable the country’s intelligence agencies to spy on New Zealand citizens. The legislation is called the New Zealand Intelligence and Security Bill and will make it lawful for the Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB) to turn its electronic surveillance on Kiwis. Until now, it has been unlawful for the GCSB to place New Zealand citizens and permanent residents under surveillance. The Security Intelligence Service has been permitted to investigate and surveil Kiwis but only with a warrant signed by the Prime Minister. The new legislation will bring the two major intelligence agencies under one piece of law. It will also lower the authorisation bar, requiring surveillance to only be signed off by the Attorney-General and a Commissioner of Warrants. The Government states that only Kiwis that are suspected of being a danger to the country’s national interest will risk being spied on. Also, the Bill will make it easier for the agencies to access private and confidential information relating to New Zealand citizens and held by other agencies such as Customs, Immigration, and Inland Revenue. The new laws will also make it illegal for whistleblowers to make revelations in the public interest. It will be an offence under the new Act for anyone to go to the media or make public classified information, reveal illegal practice, inappropriate or excessive use of the surveillance and interception powers that Parliament is asked to give the spy agencies. It is a warning to anyone who holds a government ‘security clearance’ that if they “wrongfully communicate, retain, or copy classified information” they will be charged. The Prime Minister John Key stated on Monday the legislation will be the most significant reform of the intelligence agencies in New Zealand’s history. Labour leader Andrew Little is considering whether his party will support the reform. Since coming into office in 2008, Key has introduced widespread reform of the spy agencies, including the invasive Telecommunications (Interception Capability and Security) Act and GCSB reform legislation of 2013. The reform began in earnest after the GCSB was found to have been operating illegally, spying on New Zealanders and permanent residents. ITEM TWO: Olympics Highlights and Update. Olympics Update – Summary of the medal winners and what to expect over the next few days. Gold Medals to date: Rowing M2 Skulls – Hamish Bond and Eric Murray Rowing Single Skulls – Mahe Drysdale K1 200 – Lisa Carrington TBA – Gold – Yachting in the 49ers, Blair Tuke and Peter Burling have won the gold with two races to spare. Once the races complete the medals will be confirmed. Big names yet to compete: Lydia Ko (ranked Golf’s number one in the world) begins her competition Thursday. Double gold medalist Lisa Carrington will compete in the K1 500 NZ women’s Hockey are going very well. And there might be some good results yet on the cycling track and on the water in with the sailors. Across the Ditch broadcasts live on Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.]]>
















































