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December 23, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The parts of the USA with the highest Covid19 death rates – New Jersey and New York City – have lost two in every thousand persons in their populations. That’s consistent with 40 percent of the populations of these places having been infected with the disease, based on a 0.5% case ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-united-states-in-december-compared-to-march/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: United States in December compared to March">Read more</a>
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December 21, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We in New Zealand hear so little about the tragedy unfolding in Eastern Europe, including the Baltic and Caucasian States. These countries have very cold winters, increased inequality, poverty, and popular nationalism (aka ‘populism’). But they are low on the queue for media coverage (and we don’t tend to regard anti ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/21/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worst-countries-pre-christmas/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worst Countries, pre-Christmas">Read more</a>
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December 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. 2020 has been the year of the scientist, or at least the public health scientist. Science is a method, not a discipline; it includes social science, because social science does at least notionally apply the scientific method. While being about the discovery of truth, the scientific method implies that truth (with ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/18/keith-rankin-analysis-science-the-good-the-ugly-the-false-and-the-expedient/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Science: the Good, the Ugly, the False, and the Expedient">Read more</a>
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December 17, 2020
Essay by Keith Rankin. I recently watched Season Four of ‘The Crown’. Yes, it’s a drama, not a documentary. The two dominant characters – outside of the Windsor bloodline – were Princess Diana and Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Both characters were probably overplayed, but only slightly. Diana was a social but shallow ‘girl’ (“younger than ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Queen of Hearts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/17/keith-rankin-essay-queen-of-hearts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Queen of Hearts">Read more</a>
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December 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. With respect to the Covid19 pandemic, our news media is biased towards the United States and Western Europe. Little do we know that the worst affected region of the world over the last month or two has been Eastern Europe and the Caucasus. This region was relatively unaffected in March and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Eastern Europe and Canada" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-eastern-europe-and-canada/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Eastern Europe and Canada">Read more</a>
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December 11, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin – estimates, magnitudes, and new countries to be concerned about. In mid-November, I published Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude. I used Turkey as my example of a Covid19 magnitude 3 country, and South Korea as my magnitude 2 example. Today, less than a month later, Turkey is now looking like a magnitude ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-worsening-incidence-in-asia-usa-and-denmark/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Worsening Incidence in Asia, USA, and Denmark">Read more</a>
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December 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I was in Victoria, Canada over Easter weekend in 2019. On Easter Sunday I returned to my hotel, to the shocking news of a set of coordinated suicide bombings in Colombo, Sri Lanka. 267 people died that day, and at least 500 others were injured. The target groups were Christian churchgoers, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Easter Sunday 2019" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/10/keith-rankin-essay-easter-sunday-2019/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Easter Sunday 2019">Read more</a>
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December 8, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. To understand the world we live in, it is important to read books written in different time periods. Older literature does not have access to the latest research and currently fashionable tropes, and they may include some expressions that would be censured today as sexist or racist or similar. All periods ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Microbes and Macrobes; lessons from biology and history" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/08/keith-rankin-analysis-microbes-and-macrobes-lessons-from-biology-and-history/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Microbes and Macrobes; lessons from biology and history">Read more</a>
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December 4, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week, Covid19 cases in most large European countries are passing their peak following four months of exponential growth, thanks to belated new ‘lockdown’ restrictions. The exception – or laggard – is Germany, which has generally been praised as the European exemplar of how Covid19 should be managed. Germany has converged with ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Transmission and Convergence" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/12/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-transmission-and-convergence/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Transmission and Convergence">Read more</a>
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November 27, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s charts extend the period covered to January 2020, when almost all recorded cases were in China. Cases came into other countries in late January, including the United States in dribs and drabs, and were largely contained. All this changed with the European outbreak in mid-February. Thus, the First Wave ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude – USA vs. China, World" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/27/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-orders-of-magnitude-usa-vs-china-world/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude – USA vs. China, World">Read more</a>
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November 23, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. To the surprise of most pundits, substantial real estate price inflation has resumed, after a hiatus from 2017 to 2019. As to be expected, most of the usual tropes have been employed: a lack of supply, immigration (in this latest case returning New Zealanders), and low interest rates. The only missing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Fixing the 2020 New Zealand House Price Bubble" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/23/keith-rankin-analysis-fixing-the-2020-new-zealand-house-price-bubble/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Fixing the 2020 New Zealand House Price Bubble">Read more</a>
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November 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today I have chosen six countries, each with Covid19 case experiences over the last three weeks (days 250 to 270) that are orders of magnitude apart. A country with 1,000 daily cases per 100 million people is classed as magnitude three; that’s three zeros after the ‘one’. A country with 1 ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/18/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-orders-of-magnitude/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19: Orders of Magnitude">Read more</a>
