CoveragePost
July 16, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. It is true that New Zealand – and the rest of the world – now faces substantial inflation pressure. As the 2020s unfold, the biggest macroeconomic story – as in the 1920s after World War 1 – is likely to be about how we address these pressures in a context of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Inflation Fears, Bullshit Costs, and Inappropriate Policy" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/16/keith-rankin-analysis-inflation-fears-bullshit-costs-and-inappropriate-policy/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Inflation Fears, Bullshit Costs, and Inappropriate Policy">Read more</a>
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July 13, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. We now have excess death data for most of western Europe, until the end of June 2021. The peaks are all due to Covid19. We can see clearly that the pandemic in Europe began simultaneously in Italy and Spain, and almost certainly in January 2020. While we are yet to even ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: West Europe at the onset of a New Wave of Cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-west-europe-at-the-onset-of-a-new-wave-of-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: West Europe at the onset of a New Wave of Cases">Read more</a>
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July 9, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The latest excess mortality data shows all the countries of the British Isles, and the United States, have fewer excess deaths than New Zealand in the three months to the end of May 2021. England/Wales was looking particularly good in the three months to June. (Excess mortality data for the United ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United Kingdom and Herd Immunity" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-united-kingdom-and-herd-immunity/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United Kingdom and Herd Immunity">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 7, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Chile is our neighbour over the ditch; the ‘big ditch’, that is, the Pacific Ocean. And it’s a country with much in common with Aotearoa New Zealand. Until Covid19, Latam flew daily flights between Auckland and Santiago. Chile is regarded as the richest country in Latin America, and it certainly keeps ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Chile – Revolution?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-chile-revolution/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Chile – Revolution?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 5, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I was encouraged to hear Nicola Willis, National Party’s spokesperson on housing, make the key point that the central problem in New Zealand’s housing crisis is that of people being squeezed out of the private rental market. I made this point and more in detail earlier this year (Solving the Housing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Unrented Rentals and Property Hoarders" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/05/keith-rankin-essay-unrented-rentals-and-property-hoarders/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Unrented Rentals and Property Hoarders">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 2, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 21 June 2021 I published this chart, showing high levels of excess deaths in Aotearoa, for all age groups. However, the source data provide a somewhat crude measure of excess deaths. The measure may be distorted by demographic changes; the rate of population growth, and changes to the age distribution ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort, Adjusted" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/07/02/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-deaths-by-age-cohort-adjusted/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort, Adjusted">Read more</a>
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June 23, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The international source for these data calculates the percentage increase (decrease if negative) of deaths compared to ‘expected deaths’. There is a weakness in the data, in that ‘expected deaths’ is simply the average for 2015 to 2019. Thus, it does not account for rising populations in the various age cohorts. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort: New Zealand and comparator countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-deaths-by-age-cohort-new-zealand-and-comparator-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Deaths by Age Cohort: New Zealand and comparator countries">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 19, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While India’s well-publicised Covid19 outbreak came quickly and is well on its way out, South America continues to show the greatest difficulty in throwing off this disease. Some of the most prominent South American countries this year were not prominent in 2020. Of particular note are the ‘Guianas’: Dutch (Suriname), British ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in June 2021" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-19-in-june-2021/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid-19 in June 2021">Read more</a>
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June 18, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Environmental costs are a big deal, which need to be properly factored into our economic decision-making. Last week the Government announced a rebate scheme for electric and hybrid vehicles. These days we emphasise the very important greenhouse costs arising from the burning of fossil fuels: coal, petrol, gas. But they are ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Policies for Reducing the Environmental Costs of Urban Transport" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/18/keith-rankin-analysis-policies-for-reducing-the-environmental-costs-of-urban-transport/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Policies for Reducing the Environmental Costs of Urban Transport">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 9, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Covid-19: Excess Deaths, the picture in Europe and the Americas – Last Friday I posted this chart showing ‘excess deaths’ in 2020 and early 2021, as quarterly averages. The chart showed New Zealand and Australia alongside three Scandinavian countries and South Korea. These are all countries with low Covid19 death tolls, and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Charts on excess deaths in the era of Covid19" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/09/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-charts-on-excess-deaths-in-the-era-of-covid19/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Charts on excess deaths in the era of Covid19">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 4, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. New Zealand’s rosy Covid19 picture does not look so good, once we do an analysis of excess deaths. Calculating excess deaths is the new statistical procedure to evaluate the true toll of Covid19. (I did an excess deaths’ Smithometer analysis of the 1918 influenza pandemic in New Zealand.) For this chart, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid19 and excess deaths" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-and-excess-deaths/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis: Covid19 and excess deaths">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 2, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. There has been a lot of western angst shown towards China this year, only a miniscule amount of which can be attributed to geopolitical threats coming from China. Leading the charge of the anti-China brigade is Australia. I commented about a month ago on this matter, noting the tendency amongst many ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – China, the Coronavirus, Australia, and a yearning for World War 3" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/06/02/keith-rankin-analysis-china-the-coronavirus-australia-and-a-yearning-for-world-war-3/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – China, the Coronavirus, Australia, and a yearning for World War 3">Read more</a>
