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Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections

December 22, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. When countries’ national elections are closely fought, it means that the median voters critically determine the parliamentary or congressional outcome. But, though depending to a considerable extent on the prevailing political culture, the centre-of-gravity of the resulting government may be far from that median usually ‘centrist’ position of the voters. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/22/keith-rankin-analysis-political-culture-and-close-elections/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections">Read more</a>

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LIVE TODAY: Buchanan and Manning Assess 2023 Global Trends and Conflicts

December 21, 2023

The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin at midday Thurs December 21, 2023 (NZST) and Wednesday December 20, 8pm (USEDST). Today, In this the twelfth episode of A View from Afar for 2023 political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will note and discuss some of the big world events ... <a title="LIVE TODAY: Buchanan and Manning Assess 2023 Global Trends and Conflicts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/21/live-today-buchanan-and-manning-assess-2023-global-trends-and-conflicts/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE TODAY: Buchanan and Manning Assess 2023 Global Trends and Conflicts">Read more</a>

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Geoffrey Miller’s Analysis – New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine

December 4, 2023

Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) New Zealand’s international relations are under new management. And Winston Peters, the new foreign minister, is already setting a change agenda. As expected, this includes a more pro-US positioning when it comes to the Pacific – where Peters will be picking up where he left off. Peters sought ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller’s Analysis – New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/04/geoffrey-millers-analysis-new-zealands-foreign-policy-resets-on-aukus-gaza-and-ukraine/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller’s Analysis – New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine">Read more</a>

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Graeme Edgeler Analysis – As Long as It Takes, or There are No Hard Deadlines

November 21, 2023

Analysis by Graeme Edgeler, courtesy of the Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Government-formation negotiations are ongoing between National, Act and New Zealand First. We do not know how long these will take. Neither it seems, do they. Importantly, there are fundamentally no hard deadlines on government formation negotiations in New Zealand. It will take as long as ... <a title="Graeme Edgeler Analysis – As Long as It Takes, or There are No Hard Deadlines" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/21/graeme-edgeler-analysis-as-long-as-it-takes-or-there-are-no-hard-deadlines/" aria-label="Read more about Graeme Edgeler Analysis – As Long as It Takes, or There are No Hard Deadlines">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Analysis – Luxon’s embarrassing coalition negotiations

November 17, 2023

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Democracy Project . Incoming Prime Minister Christopher Luxon is now being openly mocked and ridiculed by political commentators for his failure to achieve a coalition government. There are certainly signs that Luxon hasn’t managed the process well, and raising questions about competency at this early stage is a poor ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Analysis – Luxon’s embarrassing coalition negotiations" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/17/bryce-edwards-political-analysis-luxons-embarrassing-coalition-negotiations/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Analysis – Luxon’s embarrassing coalition negotiations">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax

November 14, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Christopher Luxon and Nicola Willis have a bottom-line policy of delivering “tax relief” to New Zealand’s “squeezed middle”. Their modest policy is to increase the first three income tax thresholds by 11.5%, representing compensation for about two years of inflation-driven tax increases. (Labour’s policy, by contrast, was to take advantage of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/14/keith-rankin-analysis-christopher-luxon-is-tone-deaf-and-slightly-innumerate-on-tax/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election

November 3, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. There may be some surprises when the final election count comes out today. One particular point to note refers back to the United States presidential election of 2020, when the late votes in most states – those votes not counted on election night – very heavily favoured Biden over Trump. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/03/keith-rankin-on-predicting-the-final-outcome-of-the-election/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup – New Zealand needs a more working-class Parliament

October 30, 2023

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards (https://democracyproject.nz) In recent decades the New Zealand Parliament has become more representative of some of the historically neglected demographics in our society. As I told TVNZ’s Q+A programme in the weekend, it’s become browner, younger, more female and more gay, and this is good progress – see: New MP intake heavy ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup – New Zealand needs a more working-class Parliament" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/30/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-new-zealand-needs-a-more-working-class-parliament/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup – New Zealand needs a more working-class Parliament">Read more</a>

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PODCAST – When All the World’s Failings End in Gaza

October 19, 2023

Gaza Israel Conflict - In this episode, Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning examine this most grave situation from a geopolitical vantage point. It may appear as dispassionate, and as so even disturbing, but we will take this approach in an attempt to aide an understanding of why this is happening in Gaza and why it is happening now.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies

September 26, 2023

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. As the National Party gets closer to government, lobbyists and business interests will be lining up for influence and to get policies adopted. It’s therefore in the public interest to have much more scrutiny and transparency about potential conflicts of interests that might arise. One of the key individuals of ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/26/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-vested-interests-shaping-national-party-policies/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Very hollow election

September 19, 2023

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The 2023 general election campaign must be the most hollow in living memory. There really isn’t much that is positive or attractive about the electoral options on offer. This is an election without inspiration. An angry mood for change There is a definite gloominess amongst the public right now – ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Very hollow election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/19/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-a-very-hollow-election/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Very hollow election">Read more</a>

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Geoffrey Miller Analysis – Who will be New Zealand’s next foreign minister?

September 18, 2023

  Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. A shakeup of the ministers responsible for New Zealand’s international relations seems almost guaranteed, irrespective of the country’s election result on October 14. Coalition politics are likely to play a key role in appointments related to foreign affairs. On current opinion polling, a government led by the centre-right National Party would ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller Analysis – Who will be New Zealand’s next foreign minister?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/18/geoffrey-miller-analysis-who-will-be-new-zealands-next-foreign-minister/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller Analysis – Who will be New Zealand’s next foreign minister?">Read more</a>