Independent Analysis and Reportage
In this week's podcast, Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning discuss: three areas that have been relied on to protect New Zealanders from terror-styled attacks; legal measures designed to protect communities from danger and even protect individuals from themselves and why they failed.
Analysis by Bryce Edwards. What exactly is plaguing the National Party? And would another leadership change help? These are the big and enduring questions that have surrounded the opposition party since they lost power in 2017. For the best answers to these questions, it’s well worth reading the latest piece by Matthew Hooton in the ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What’s going on in the National Party?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/08/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-whats-going-on-in-the-national-party/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What’s going on in the National Party?">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Public Health measures are restrictive ‘health’ imposts by an authority over some or all of the people subject to that authority. In most cases they are both ‘merit goods’ (having benefits which people ought to be willing to pay for), and ‘public goods’ (goods whose benefits are shared). Quarantine may be ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Quarantine, an effective temporary Public Health measure" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/08/keith-rankin-essay-quarantine-an-effective-temporary-public-health-measure/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Quarantine, an effective temporary Public Health measure">Read more</a>
Analysis by Bryce Edwards. The tragic terrorist attack at an Auckland shopping mall on Friday has led to a lot of debate about how it could have been prevented. It turns out authorities were well aware of Ahamed Aathill Mohamed Samsudeen’s severe mental health problems and his capacity for violent extremism if not dealt with ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Could government agencies have averted the development of a terrorist?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/07/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-could-government-agencies-have-averted-the-development-of-a-terrorist/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Could government agencies have averted the development of a terrorist?">Read more</a>
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Amalie Dyda, Senior Lecturer, The University of Queensland Many Australians are looking forward to the time when 70% of over-16s are fully vaccinated, and the freedoms this will bring. This number is being touted by the government based on modelling from the now famous Doherty Institute report. ... <a title="What is life going to look like once we hit 70% vaccination?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/07/what-is-life-going-to-look-like-once-we-hit-70-vaccination-167049/" aria-label="Read more about What is life going to look like once we hit 70% vaccination?">Read more</a>
By Sarah Robson, RNZ News Reporter Name suppression for the man responsible for yesterday’s New Zealand terror attack at a west Auckland supermarket has been revoked, but his name cannot be published yet. The High Court has given his family who live overseas at least 24 hours to seek further suppression orders. The Sri Lankan ... <a title="Auckland terrorist’s name suppression revoked, but remains secret for now" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/04/auckland-terrorists-name-suppression-revoked-but-remains-secret-for-now/" aria-label="Read more about Auckland terrorist’s name suppression revoked, but remains secret for now">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Dynamic living processes get into feedback loops. The most common is a negative feedback loop, whereby processes self-regulate; when something happens then something else happens, in response, to offset the initial event. If it gets cold, we put on another layer of clothing. If a consumer good becomes scarce, its price ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Pandemic Feedback" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/03/keith-rankin-essay-pandemic-feedback/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Pandemic Feedback">Read more</a>
With the United States being viewed as responsible for a monumental botch-up in Afghanistan, how should its traditional security partners, including NATO and Australia, regard US-leadership in conflict? And, how should US allies position their own national interest in the future?
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first two charts show official case numbers and deaths, for all countries, including the little countries that tend to dominate in the peak of the northern summer holiday season. Chart 1 shows the countries with the highest case numbers per person – from French Polynesia (Tahiti) to Greece, plus four ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: State of the World at the end of August 2021" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/09/01/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-state-of-the-world-at-the-end-of-august-2021/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: State of the World at the end of August 2021">Read more</a>
RNZ News Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern says if New Zealand had not moved into lockdown, daily case numbers could have been around 550. Cabinet has confirmed that all of New Zealand south of Auckland will move to level 3 from 11.59pm on Tuesday night. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said today this would be for at ... <a title="Ardern confirms NZ lockdown moves – drop to 53 new covid community cases" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/08/31/ardern-confirms-nz-lockdown-moves-drop-to-53-new-covid-community-cases/" aria-label="Read more about Ardern confirms NZ lockdown moves – drop to 53 new covid community cases">Read more</a>
In the first half of this week's podcast Selwyn Manning and Paul Buchanan are joined by Dr David Robie to examine instability in the Pacific's Polynesian region - specifically to identify what’s going on in: New Caledonia, Fiji, Samoa. In the second half, Buchanan and Manning analyse the latest on Afghanistan and consider whether the USA's humiliating withdrawal suggests an end to liberal internationalism.
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rachelle Binny, Research scientist in mathematical modelling, Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research Fiona Goodall/Getty Images As New Zealanders wait to hear if a nationwide level 4 lockdown continues beyond midnight on Friday, our latest modelling shows that the current Delta variant has spread much faster than last ... <a title="Auckland is likely to remain in strict lockdown for several more weeks to stamp out NZ’s Delta outbreak" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/08/26/auckland-is-likely-to-remain-in-strict-lockdown-for-several-more-weeks-to-stamp-out-nzs-delta-outbreak-166651/" aria-label="Read more about Auckland is likely to remain in strict lockdown for several more weeks to stamp out NZ’s Delta outbreak">Read more</a>