CoveragePost
October 9, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I read this article quoting Christopher Luxon as follows: “We’ve been to many places where marginal seats are and we’re getting good movement.” (Luxon talks to media amid election result limbo fears, NZ Herald, 7 Oct 2023). He has this misplaced narrative around marginal seats. I have also heard talk in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/09/keith-rankin-analysis-does-christopher-luxon-understand-mmp/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 9, 2023
Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – The Democracy Project. The weekend’s surprise and brutal attack on Israel by Hamas fighters has the potential to reshape the Middle East – and will only further increase global geopolitical instability. As of Sunday night NZT, the initial 24 hours of the assault by Hamas on Israel had already taken ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller – How will New Zealand handle the new war in the Middle East?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/09/geoffrey-miller-how-will-new-zealand-handle-the-new-war-in-the-middle-east/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller – How will New Zealand handle the new war in the Middle East?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 6, 2023
RNZ Report: The Algerian democracy activist Ahmed Zaoui, a New Zealand citizen, has been arrested by Algerian security forces after commenting on human rights violations at a political meeting at his home.
CoveragePost
October 5, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart looks rather noisy, and so it should. Life and death are messy, and subject to random variations. But this chart, for females, and those that follow, are important charts. It’s worth looking through the ‘random noise’. These charts suggest that the cliché ‘we are all living longer’ is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Mortality Increases in New Zealand, by Generation and Sex" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-mortality-increases-in-new-zealand-by-generation-and-sex/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Mortality Increases in New Zealand, by Generation and Sex">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 3, 2023
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The Labour Government was elected with 50 per cent of the vote three years ago, but current opinion polls show their vote could halve in this year’s election, which would be one of the biggest plunges in political history. Most polls have Labour on about 26 per cent. And ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Ten reasons Labour’s support has halved" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/03/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-ten-reasons-labours-support-has-halved/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Ten reasons Labour’s support has halved">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 26, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The principal measure of economic success in the mainstream narrative is economic growth. The pointy heads associated with that narrative will correctly point out that its economic growth per capita that matters, and which serves as a crude proxy for ‘living standards’. This conventional wisdom says that annual economic growth of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth per Capita: New Zealand in Context" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-economic-growth-per-capita-new-zealand-in-context/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth per Capita: New Zealand in Context">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 26, 2023
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. As the National Party gets closer to government, lobbyists and business interests will be lining up for influence and to get policies adopted. It’s therefore in the public interest to have much more scrutiny and transparency about potential conflicts of interests that might arise. One of the key individuals of ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/26/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-vested-interests-shaping-national-party-policies/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Vested interests shaping National Party policies">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 19, 2023
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The 2023 general election campaign must be the most hollow in living memory. There really isn’t much that is positive or attractive about the electoral options on offer. This is an election without inspiration. An angry mood for change There is a definite gloominess amongst the public right now – ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Very hollow election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/19/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-a-very-hollow-election/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A Very hollow election">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 18, 2023
Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. A shakeup of the ministers responsible for New Zealand’s international relations seems almost guaranteed, irrespective of the country’s election result on October 14. Coalition politics are likely to play a key role in appointments related to foreign affairs. On current opinion polling, a government led by the centre-right National Party would ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller Analysis – Who will be New Zealand’s next foreign minister?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/18/geoffrey-miller-analysis-who-will-be-new-zealands-next-foreign-minister/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller Analysis – Who will be New Zealand’s next foreign minister?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 15, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above looks at the changing numbers of deaths for New Zealand’s seven adult generations. The numbers are ‘triennial’ – three-year percentage increases. For example, in 2020, twenty percent (20%) more Generation-Y people died than three years earlier; with ‘three years earlier defined as the average for years 2015 to 2019, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Triennial increases in Deaths in New Zealand by Generation" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-triennial-increases-in-deaths-in-new-zealand-by-generation/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Triennial increases in Deaths in New Zealand by Generation">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 14, 2023
By David Robie, editor of Asia Pacific Report Prime Minister James Marape has made two foreign policy gaffes in the space of a week that may come back to bite him as Papua New Guinea prepares for its 48th anniversary of independence this Saturday. Critics have been stunned by the opening of a PNG embassy ... <a title="PNG’s Marape makes foreign policy gaffes over Israel, West Papua" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/14/pngs-marape-makes-foreign-policy-gaffes-over-israel-west-papua/" aria-label="Read more about PNG’s Marape makes foreign policy gaffes over Israel, West Papua">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 7, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows total deaths in a number of comparable countries with high or highish life expectancies. The countries with most deaths have older populations. New Zealand should perhaps be compared most with Ireland, Scotland, Denmark and Finland; all countries with just over five million people. And with Australia. Australian ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-deaths-as-an-indicator-of-population-age-structure-and-the-increasing-demand-for-health-care/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care">Read more</a>
