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October 17, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows how death rates have fallen since the 1970s, emphasising the higher male death experience. The principal finding is that dramatically falling death rates have plateaued since around 2010, especially for men aged 50 to 64. Yet the starkest fact portrayed is the much higher death rates of males ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Rates of Older Working Males in Aotearoa New Zealand, from the late 1970s" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-death-rates-of-older-working-males-in-aotearoa-new-zealand-from-the-late-1970s/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Rates of Older Working Males in Aotearoa New Zealand, from the late 1970s">Read more</a>
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September 26, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart essentially shows the stresses that New Zealand’s public health system can expect to face. I have analysed the death data by age, covering all deaths from July 1998 to June 2024. For those years (using June years) I have looked at every age of death from 16 to 99 ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Frequencies in Aotearoa New Zealand, by Birth Year" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-death-frequencies-in-aotearoa-new-zealand-by-birth-year/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Frequencies in Aotearoa New Zealand, by Birth Year">Read more</a>
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September 25, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Esteemed Israeli intellectual Shlomo Sand published The Invention of the Jewish People in 2008 with a new edition in 2020. He sees the popular concept of peoples – popular in the late 19th century (when we were obsessed with ‘race’) and again in the last decade or so when we have ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Ancient Ancestry, Israel and Palestine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/25/keith-rankin-analysis-ancient-ancestry-israel-and-palestine/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Ancient Ancestry, Israel and Palestine">Read more</a>
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August 22, 2024
Essay by Keith Rankin. The occupation of the ‘Holy Lands’ by the Zionist state of Israel has an important precursor; Outremer. In particular the 1099 to 1187 version of the western outer kingdom, otherwise known as the Kingdom of Jerusalem. In the millennium year 1000 CE, the territory of Palestine was the home for various ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Outremer in Palestine: Lessons from the Twelfth Century" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/22/keith-rankin-essay-outremer-in-palestine-lessons-from-the-twelfth-century/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Outremer in Palestine: Lessons from the Twelfth Century">Read more</a>
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August 16, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin Wednesday I wrote Department of Mum and Dad (Scoop 14 Aug 2024, or here on Evening Report). I finished by saying that, today, “I will propose a simple affordable solution which better fits centre-right than centre-left philosophies”. Here goes. My proposal is to pay a personal tax credit of $150 per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – A Personal Tax Credit (PTC) of $150 for New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/16/keith-rankin-analysis-a-personal-tax-credit-ptc-of-150-for-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – A Personal Tax Credit (PTC) of $150 for New Zealand">Read more</a>
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August 14, 2024
Department of Mum and Dad Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 12 August, the national-led government announced a new policy program to impose more sanctions on New Zealand’s beneficiaries, meaning people of working age (18-64) whose primary income is a government benefit. (Refer RNZ Government further increases sanctions for beneficiaries, 12 August 2024.) This policy direction ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/14/keith-rankin-analysis-department-of-mum-and-dad-in-the-context-of-a-more-restrictive-welfare-state/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state">Read more</a>
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August 6, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This morning the biggest news story by far was the collapse of the government of Bangladesh, the world’s eighth-biggest country by population, and a source of labour and international students for New Zealand. Not that you would have known that this was such a big story if reliant on the New ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/06/keith-rankin-analysis-political-crisis-in-bangladesh-lessons-for-aotearoa-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand">Read more</a>
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August 4, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the votes for the principal ‘leftish’ political parties in England from 1992 to 2024. The important thing to note is that vote tallies should be rising over time in any country which has a rising population. England had had a rising population trend, yet the numbers of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-political-left-in-england-an-analysis-of-election-vote-counts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts">Read more</a>
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July 31, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today is ‘tax cut day’. The present round of income tax cuts has been controversial, despite the fact that they are not ‘real’ tax cuts, only bracket adjustments which partially compensate for CPI inflation this decade. (Here is an interview today with University of Auckland economist Susan St John, which suggests ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-analysis-tax-cuts-1982-and-2024/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024">Read more</a>
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July 31, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows CPI inflation in New Zealand in historical context. The chart shows (in orange) the present policy target band of one to three percent annual inflation. And it shows the ‘home-ownership’ component of the CPI. The chart looks different to most charts of CPI inflation, because it uses ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-consumers-price-index-cpi-inflation-past-and-present/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present">Read more</a>
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July 25, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. An important (and widely commented on) book published last year is End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, by Perer Turchin. Before reading this book I read his 2007 book War and Peace and War (see my 30 Jan 2024 article Asabiyya), Ages of Discord (2016, an application ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/25/keith-rankin-essay-peter-turchins-end-times-some-comments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments">Read more</a>
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July 22, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Interest Rates and Increasing Prices: The Facts The first chart above challenges the received view that inflation in New Zealand remains stubbornly high, and that it is therefore appropriate for the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate (OCR) to be held for at least a few more months at its damagingly high ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-truth-in-new-zealand-about-price-inflation-and-interest-rates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates">Read more</a>
