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November 19, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This pandemic keeps surprising many people. If scientists had spent more time studying coronaviruses circulating as common cold pathogens, they would not have been surprised that immunity is short-lived. SARS 2003 was a red flag that should have led to much more research on other (endemic) human coronaviruses. Western Europe is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-austria-and-the-pandemic-of-the-undervaccinated/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated">Read more</a>
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November 18, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Tuesday (16 Nov) I was concerned to hear this story on RNZ’s Checkpoint (National distances itself from ex-MP after video with discredited academic). My concern here is not particularly with the “discredited academic”, although no academic should suffer this kind of casual public slur. (Should we go further and call ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/18/keith-rankin-analysis-influenza-pandemics-in-new-zealands-past/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past">Read more</a>
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November 16, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart plots estimates of vaccine-induced immunity to Covid19, for five countries, including three in Europe currently in the news for their most recent wave of covid infections and deaths. Essentially, I give a score of 0.5 for each vaccine shot; and I assume that immunity wanes by 0.4% per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-peak-vaccination-immunity-and-the-latest-european-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave">Read more</a>
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November 12, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While governments are now mandating many people to take Covid19 vaccines, government hesitancy towards vaccines and vaccination – much of it seemingly due to overprioritisation of perceived ‘cost’ issues – remains a problem of significant consequence. The most obvious ongoing problem relates to revaccination – regular boosters – for which governments ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/12/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-vaccine-hesitancy-and-distrust-by-governments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments">Read more</a>
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November 11, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today’s five charts are all set to the same scale, allowing for total weekly deaths being four times (300%) above normal. South Africa and Chile are both countries with substantial connections to New Zealand. Most of New Zealand’s pioneering immigrants sailed to New Zealand via Cape Town. And the relationship has ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-2015-2021-deaths-in-south-africa-and-south-america/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America">Read more</a>
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November 9, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. WITH versus OF versus FROM Last year the Government was careful to count anybody who died with a Covid19-positive status as a Covid19 death. Now we keep hearing about such deaths which the government is saying will need to be referred to the coroner before we can establish what they died ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Covid19 Death Semantics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/09/keith-rankin-essay-covid19-death-semantics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Covid19 Death Semantics">Read more</a>
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November 8, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. To be fair to Russia, it is one of the quickest in the world to release its total death data. It is less good about reporting deaths as attributable to Covid19. (See Russia: The nation with half a million secret Covid-19 deaths, NZ Herald, 8 Nov 2021.) Based on the data ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Russia is First Equal for Covid Deaths per capita" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/08/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-russia-is-first-equal-for-covid-deaths-per-capita/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Russia is First Equal for Covid Deaths per capita">Read more</a>
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November 4, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The global influenza epidemic of late 2016 to early 2018 was a pandemic in all but name. For the United States, see The Perfect Storm Behind This Year’s Nasty Flu Season, The Atlantic 14 Jan 2018; and Last year’s flu broke records for deaths and illnesses new CDC numbers show,Washington Post, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Influenza: Global Epidemic 2017 versus the Flu Season of 2019/20" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/04/keith-rankin-analysis-influenza-global-epidemic-2017-versus-the-flu-season-of-2019-20/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Influenza: Global Epidemic 2017 versus the Flu Season of 2019/20">Read more</a>
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November 2, 2021
Influenza et.al.; charting normal to see Covid19 in context Analysis by Keith Rankin. So much of our analysis of the public health impact of Covid19 has been taken out of context. The officially reported case data are incomplete, and take little account of how these health impacts deviate from normal, or even what ‘normal’ is. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Influenza context for covid deaths in selected countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/02/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-influenza-context-for-covid-deaths-in-selected-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Influenza context for covid deaths in selected countries">Read more</a>
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October 30, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart shows excess deaths in Germany for every year from 2015. (The chart is essentially the one that can be found here, on the Our World in Data website, though it uses three-period moving averages to smooth out some of the ‘random noise’ that inevitably accompanies such time-series data. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 deaths, the German case" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-deaths-the-german-case/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 deaths, the German case">Read more</a>
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October 28, 2021
Analysis Keith Rankin. In its pandemic response, the New Zealand government has consistently been tardy, and then found itself playing catch-up, having to ‘go hard’ (indeed a ‘world-leading’ hardest) on account of its lack of preparedness. Further, having gone hard, there has always been an ambivalence about when the emergency period is over; an unwillingness ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Revaccinate Now, and address Influenza too" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/28/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-revaccinate-now-and-address-influenza-too/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Revaccinate Now, and address Influenza too">Read more</a>
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October 27, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. These charts are of the type that I have published approximately monthly. Last time, three weeks ago, the key covid places were clearly the Caribbean and the Balkans. This time, while these two regions are important pandemic sites, there is clearly a new outbreak beginning in the European Union, starting from ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Latest Outbreaks" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/10/27/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-latest-outbreaks/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Latest Outbreaks">Read more</a>
