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October 20, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Chile is an important comparator country to New Zealand; in terms of physical geography, political economy, and demography (including conflict between indigenous peoples and ‘colonisers’). In terms of physical geography, it is mostly temperate; and, most importantly, it is in the southern hemisphere. The above chart shows excess deaths in Chile ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 in Chile (across the ‘big ditch’) and New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/10/20/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-in-chile-across-the-big-ditch-and-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 in Chile (across the ‘big ditch’) and New Zealand">Read more</a>
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October 17, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Here we see charts of the same ten western tourist countries of Europe (refer to my Travel Warning: Excess Summer Deaths in Europe, 5 Oct 2022). It is important to note from the outset that ‘reported death’ figures have become increasingly unreliable. And reported cases are now unreliable indicators of the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Tourist Europe again: Covid19 Waves compared" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-tourist-europe-again-covid19-waves-compared/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Tourist Europe again: Covid19 Waves compared">Read more</a>
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October 5, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In many ways the world has moved on from the Covid19 pandemic. And excess mortality from Covid19 mingles with excess mortality from other causes, from heatwaves to other diseases. The summer is useful because it is generally the low season for infectious respiratory illnesses. Covid19 is a disease that is spread ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Travel Warning: Excess Summer Deaths in Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/10/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-travel-warning-excess-summer-deaths-in-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Travel Warning: Excess Summer Deaths in Europe">Read more</a>
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September 15, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Demographic information is starting to filter through again, after a slowdown in the Northern Hemisphere. And New Zealand now has reliable mortality data up to the end of July 2022. Australia continues to lag. In the last week of July, New Zealand reached a record number of deaths in a single ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Seasonal and Epidemic Deaths: New Zealand in context" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/09/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-seasonal-and-epidemic-deaths-new-zealand-in-context/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Seasonal and Epidemic Deaths: New Zealand in context">Read more</a>
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August 23, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Covid Excess Deaths: East Asia in context – These charts show excess pandemic mortality so far for a wide range of countries, geographically themed. The charts are structured to emphasise deaths in 2022 and 2021, and to facilitate comparative analysis between regions. (General mortality data is lacking for Africa and South ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Comparative analysis of excess deaths between and within the world’s regions" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/08/23/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-comparative-analysis-of-excess-deaths-between-and-within-the-worlds-regions/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Comparative analysis of excess deaths between and within the world’s regions">Read more</a>
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August 19, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above shows New Zealand’s aggregate weekly deaths from 2015. The normal winter experience is obvious, with 2015 to 2019 influenza peaks mainly in July and August, though in late June in 2019. New Zealand is different from most European countries in that it has significantly faster population growth. (Although ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid Demography: New Zealand in context of North and West Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/08/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-demography-new-zealand-in-context-of-north-and-west-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid Demography: New Zealand in context of North and West Europe">Read more</a>
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August 5, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. A couple of weeks ago I received a number of articles mainly about Covid19 deaths in the United States. (See below.) As I have noted in the past, it is important to address the reported facts, rather than to ignore them. As they stand, these articles are being used to question ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Is there a Significant Covid19 Toll of Younger People?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/08/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-is-there-a-significant-covid19-toll-of-younger-people/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Is there a Significant Covid19 Toll of Younger People?">Read more</a>
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August 4, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. These three charts show pandemic and post-pandemic excess deaths by age group. I highlight South Korea in light of this RNZ piece of ‘journalism’. For Omicron-related deaths, look for the period from February to May 2022. I include Italy and New Zealand for comparison; Italy and South Korea were – in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Is South Korea the Country to Follow?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-is-south-korea-the-country-to-follow/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Is South Korea the Country to Follow?">Read more</a>
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July 29, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Respiratory Virus Hospitalisations in Counties-Manukau, as reported by Stuff The chart above splits the patients in Middlemore Hospital into the different categories of Severe Acute Respiratory Illness. The vast majority are what in the past we have called ‘common colds’. There is no indication that any of these ‘colds’ are due ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – One Sari Sari Night" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/07/29/keith-rankin-analysis-one-sari-sari-night/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – One Sari Sari Night">Read more</a>
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July 26, 2022
Analysis by Keith Rankin. West Europe The first three charts (above) show three of the larger Western European countries: Germany, France, Spain. (Italy shows a similar picture.) The most important data item is ‘excess deaths’. (In the case of France and Spain, the last few weeks of this data have been ‘topped up’ using estimates ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid Waves in Europe, Lesson for New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/07/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid-waves-in-europe-lesson-for-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid Waves in Europe, Lesson for New Zealand">Read more</a>
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July 12, 2022
New Zealanders, and many others, are at present immunity-compromised. Influenzas and 'common colds' are being experienced more severely than usual; and we are seriously short of data about cases of these illnesses, and deaths of people with these illnesses.
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June 23, 2022
The charts below are all to the same scale. Strictly speaking, they show seasonal mortality rather than excess mortality. The zero percent baseline represents low-season mortality rather than average mortality.
