CoveragePost
October 18, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Recently I have published charts showing how people born around 1960 are already placing huge burdens on New Zealand’s healthcare system (Death Frequencies in Aotearoa New Zealand, by Birth Year, 26 Sep 2024) and how big falls in age-specific death rates have plateaued since 2010, and may now be reversing upwards ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Decennial Increases in Deaths by Birth Cohort, in Aotearoa New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/18/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-decennial-increases-in-deaths-by-birth-cohort-in-aotearoa-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Decennial Increases in Deaths by Birth Cohort, in Aotearoa New Zealand">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 17, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows how death rates have fallen since the 1970s, emphasising the higher male death experience. The principal finding is that dramatically falling death rates have plateaued since around 2010, especially for men aged 50 to 64. Yet the starkest fact portrayed is the much higher death rates of males ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Rates of Older Working Males in Aotearoa New Zealand, from the late 1970s" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-death-rates-of-older-working-males-in-aotearoa-new-zealand-from-the-late-1970s/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Rates of Older Working Males in Aotearoa New Zealand, from the late 1970s">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 26, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart essentially shows the stresses that New Zealand’s public health system can expect to face. I have analysed the death data by age, covering all deaths from July 1998 to June 2024. For those years (using June years) I have looked at every age of death from 16 to 99 ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Frequencies in Aotearoa New Zealand, by Birth Year" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-death-frequencies-in-aotearoa-new-zealand-by-birth-year/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Death Frequencies in Aotearoa New Zealand, by Birth Year">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
August 4, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the votes for the principal ‘leftish’ political parties in England from 1992 to 2024. The important thing to note is that vote tallies should be rising over time in any country which has a rising population. England had had a rising population trend, yet the numbers of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-political-left-in-england-an-analysis-of-election-vote-counts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 31, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows CPI inflation in New Zealand in historical context. The chart shows (in orange) the present policy target band of one to three percent annual inflation. And it shows the ‘home-ownership’ component of the CPI. The chart looks different to most charts of CPI inflation, because it uses ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-consumers-price-index-cpi-inflation-past-and-present/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 22, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Interest Rates and Increasing Prices: The Facts The first chart above challenges the received view that inflation in New Zealand remains stubbornly high, and that it is therefore appropriate for the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate (OCR) to be held for at least a few more months at its damagingly high ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-truth-in-new-zealand-about-price-inflation-and-interest-rates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
February 13, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin Generally, more people die in winter. Not surprising, though some years have significantly more deaths than others, and the timing of ‘peak death’ each year varies between the wintery months. These charts show the deaths, determined from weekly data, of people named Smith, New Zealand’s most common surname last century. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealand-post-war-mortality-seasonal-patterns/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 19, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the European Union at least, mortality data is now available until close to the end of 2023. In northern Europe, mortality has been markedly higher than it should have been in the ‘Fall’ – autumn – of 2023. The main exception is Poland. Respiratory illness is most likely the culprit. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-mortality-to-fall-2023-mainly-northeast-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 10, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the absence of more detailed recent data on deaths in New Zealand, the Smithometer acts as a good proxy for older New Zealanders’ mortality. The Smithometer includes all New Zealand deaths where the persons’ surnames are Smith, including women with birth surnames of Smith. So, the Smithometer most reflects the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/10/keith-rankin-analysis-mortality-of-older-new-zealanders-the-latest-smithometer/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 15, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above shows Aotearoa New Zealand’s exports and imports of coal. First, note that the emphasis is on timing, not absolute amounts; Imports have a different scale to Exports. Essentially, imports have been around 10% of exports. It’s also important to note that most Aotearoan coal is exported, while coal ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-coal-trade/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 30, 2023
Analysis. by Keith Rankin. On 26 October I wrote about New Zealand’s exceptional financial model, showing it to take a similar (though non-fraudulent) form to a Ponzi Scheme (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy). And I showed how this kind of financial behaviour by a nation-state could help to stabilise a world ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-interesting-financial-fingerprints-malaysia-switzerland-united-kingdom-israel/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 17, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows that the world’s governments, taken collectively, run financial deficits every year. This is not a weakness of the global financial system; it’s a strength, perhaps the strength of the world system. Government deficits offset private sector financial choices. We note that when the world government deficit becomes ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-governments-run-financial-deficits-its-their-role-to-do-so/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so">Read more</a>
