Archive

Election 2020

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?

October 9, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. I read this article quoting Christopher Luxon as follows: “We’ve been to many places where marginal seats are and we’re getting good movement.” (Luxon talks to media amid election result limbo fears, NZ Herald, 7 Oct 2023). He has this misplaced narrative around marginal seats. I have also heard talk in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/09/keith-rankin-analysis-does-christopher-luxon-understand-mmp/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Left’s challenge to Labour’s inaction on poverty and inequality

November 13, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. How determined are Labour to take the necessary steps to fix inequality and poverty? Will electoral calculations triumph over their principles and stated ambitions? These are some of the questions being asked on the political left, as the Government looks determined to stand by while social problems continue to get ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Left’s challenge to Labour’s inaction on poverty and inequality" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/13/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-lefts-challenge-to-labours-inaction-on-poverty-and-inequality/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Left’s challenge to Labour’s inaction on poverty and inequality">Read more</a>

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LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning on US Elections

November 5, 2020

Hi I’m Selwyn Manning and you are watching A View from Afar. As always, we are joined by political scientist and former Pentagon analyst… Paul Buchanan… and this week we will discuss: How voting counting continues in the United States with it being so very close but nudging favourably for Democrat candidate, Joe Biden. But incumbent, ... <a title="LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning on US Elections" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/05/live-paul-buchanan-selwyn-manning-on-us-elections/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning on US Elections">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A diverse yet narrower Parliament

October 30, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards Our House of Representatives has just become more diverse, and yet narrower at the same time. A record 40 new MPs have flooded into Parliament – with especially big intakes from the Labour and Act parties. You can see some short profiles of the new MPs in Simon Collins’ article, Forty ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A diverse yet narrower Parliament" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/30/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-a-diverse-yet-narrower-parliament/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: A diverse yet narrower Parliament">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Green Party’s fraught decision

October 29, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The Greens are at a crossroads. The direction they take in the next few days may have significant consequences, not just for the country and the shape of the Government, but also for the future of the Greens themselves. Currently, the Labour and Green negotiating teams are behind closed doors ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Green Party’s fraught decision" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/29/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-green-partys-fraught-decision/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Green Party’s fraught decision">Read more</a>

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Election 2020: Green Party Negotiation Team Sets Its Terms of Reference

October 23, 2020

By Selwyn Manning – Editor, EveningReport.nz The Green Party has settled on its negotiation team, agreeing to who will represent the party’s members when considering the shape and outcome of talks with the incoming Labour-led Government. The negotiating team has a similar make up to the group that considered the merits of negotiations with Labour ... <a title="Election 2020: Green Party Negotiation Team Sets Its Terms of Reference" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/23/election-202o-green-party-negotiation-team-sets-its-terms-of-reference/" aria-label="Read more about Election 2020: Green Party Negotiation Team Sets Its Terms of Reference">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: National’s catastrophic collapse and fraught rebuild

October 22, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The National Party’s defeat has been so comprehensive that few in the party seem optimistic they will recover anytime soon. Falling from 47% in 2017 to just 27% (which might drop as low as 25% once special votes are counted), is one of the most severe collapses in New Zealand’s ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: National’s catastrophic collapse and fraught rebuild" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/22/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-nationals-catastrophic-collapse-and-fraught-rebuild/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: National’s catastrophic collapse and fraught rebuild">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics

October 22, 2020

Analysis by Keith Rankin. This week’s first chart shows the average numbers of votes cast – on and before election day – in New Zealand’s different regions. In principle, all electorates have the same population, with electorate boundaries drawn with reference to population quotas based on census returns. However, each electorate may be up to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-election-day-demographics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Election Day Demographics">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Leftwing euphoria meets reality

October 19, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. The political left has been euphoric since Saturday’s night historic landslide victory for Labour. But political commentators from across the spectrum are united in warning that the new Government isn’t about to be transformative. Instead, we will see more of a status quo administration grappling with a crisis, with very ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Leftwing euphoria meets reality" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/19/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-leftwing-euphoria-meets-reality/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Leftwing euphoria meets reality">Read more</a>

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Selwyn Manning Analysis – Of Negotiations, Opportunities and an Obligation to Voters to Govern

October 18, 2020

Analysis by Selwyn Manning. There’s a mood circulating among some circles that it would end badly for the Green Party in 2023 should it negotiate a part within a now-powerful Labour-led government. The argument goes; that should the Greens negotiate roles within the new Government, that their voice and policies would be watered down, rendered ... <a title="Selwyn Manning Analysis – Of Negotiations, Opportunities and an Obligation to Voters to Govern" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/18/selwyn-manning-analysis-of-negotiations-opportunities-and-an-obligation-to-voters-to-govern/" aria-label="Read more about Selwyn Manning Analysis – Of Negotiations, Opportunities and an Obligation to Voters to Govern">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour’s tectonic election result

October 18, 2020

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. Political commentators and journalists are searching around for the right term to describe Saturday’s election result. “Seismic” or “tectonic” might be the winner – the shift really was of that magnitude. Labour increased their vote from 37% to 49%, which is likely to rise closer to 50% after special votes ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour’s tectonic election result" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/18/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-labours-tectonic-election-result/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour’s tectonic election result">Read more</a>

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LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning Discuss – What would a Biden Administration Foreign Policy Look Like

October 15, 2020

Welcome to Evening Report’s A View from Afar As always, we are joined by political scientist Paul Buchanan and this week we will discuss: How the ‘probabilities’ of Presidential incumbent Donald Trump being re-elected, look increasingly unlikely. It’s still possible, but more improbable. If Democrat candidate Joe Biden wins the presidency, what would this mean ... <a title="LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning Discuss – What would a Biden Administration Foreign Policy Look Like" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/15/live-paul-buchanan-selwyn-manning-discuss-what-would-a-biden-administration-foreign-policy-look-like/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE: Paul Buchanan + Selwyn Manning Discuss – What would a Biden Administration Foreign Policy Look Like">Read more</a>