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July 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. These charts look at Covid19 incidence in China (the most important first-wave country, with a limited second wave), Italy (the lead second-wave country), and USA and Australia (second-wave countries – drawing their caseload from Europe – with limited first-wave exposure from Asia in January and February). Chart 1 shows the first-wave in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Comparing China, Italy, USA and Australia" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/10/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-comparing-china-italy-usa-and-australia/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Comparing China, Italy, USA and Australia">Read more</a>
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July 9, 2020
Editorial by Selwyn Manning. New National Party leader Todd Muller has presented his party’s vision for New Zealand as it grapples with the economic cost of the Covid-19 pandemic. But Muller’s vision was unsurprisingly National while surprisingly short on economic detail. And, after a week where sordid privacy breaches plagued the party – leaving Muller ... <a title="UPDATED: Leadership, Vision, and Combating a Machiavellian Culture – Is Todd Muller National’s Solution?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/09/leadership-vision-and-combating-a-machiavellian-culture-is-todd-muller-nationals-solution/" aria-label="Read more about UPDATED: Leadership, Vision, and Combating a Machiavellian Culture – Is Todd Muller National’s Solution?">Read more</a>
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July 7, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin, 6 July 2020 Three Citizenships The concept of ‘citizenship’ has both general and specific meanings. The most specific and familiar I call passport citizenship. A passport citizen of a country is a person holding a passport for that country, or with unambiguous entitlement to hold such a passport. More than anything a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Duty of Care and Economic Citizenship" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/07/keith-rankin-analysis-duty-of-care-and-economic-citizenship/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Duty of Care and Economic Citizenship">Read more</a>
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July 2, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin, 2 July 2020 Socialism versus Progressive Capitalism I was disappointed that the Green Party continues to reject a distributive Universal Basic Income (UBI) in favour of a redistributive and polarising Guaranteed Minimum Income (GMI) model. GMI is the antithesis of UBI. The essence of UBI, through flattening income tax, is the creation ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Green Party Tax-Benefit Policy is not Helpful" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/02/keith-rankin-analysis-green-party-tax-benefit-policy-is-not-helpful/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Green Party Tax-Benefit Policy is not Helpful">Read more</a>
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July 1, 2020
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards The Greens have shaken up the election campaign with the announcement of their radical poverty and action plan to reform welfare provision and introduce a new wealth tax for millionaires. It’s a big-thinking, controversial policy and has generated a lot of disagreement over how radical it is, whether it could ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Greens’ Zeitgeist poverty and tax action plan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/01/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-greens-zeitgeist-poverty-and-tax-action-plan/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Greens’ Zeitgeist poverty and tax action plan">Read more</a>
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June 30, 2020
These charts tell a simple story about how the coronavirus pandemic could be a catalyst for the transition to a more sustainable economic future. Looking at Chart 1, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the economy is shown as the combination of yellow and orange. (We note that these charts represent another aspect of pie ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Pandemic as a Catalyst for a New Economic Normal" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-pandemic-as-a-catalyst-for-a-new-economic-normal/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Pandemic as a Catalyst for a New Economic Normal">Read more</a>
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June 25, 2020
Editorial by Selwyn Manning. With the New Zealand General Election campaign looming, parties in the Labour-led coalition government are openly parading their differences (rather than common-ground) before the voting public. It’s a situation that can be interpreted as being typical of MMP politics. But it also causes voters to rethink its record-level support for its ... <a title="Election Campaign Looms: Is It Time For Labour To Abandon NZF?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/25/election-campaign-looms-is-it-time-for-labour-to-abandon-new-zealand-first/" aria-label="Read more about Election Campaign Looms: Is It Time For Labour To Abandon NZF?">Read more</a>
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June 18, 2020
Editorial by Selwyn Manning. It all boils down to this: The timeline of latest revelations suggests National Party MPs placed their want to GET their opponents – the Ardern Government – ahead of concerns that Covid-19 was potentially un-contained and again infecting New Zealanders. Is this a step too far for the Todd Muller-led party? ... <a title="Editorial: Snakes and Mirrors – National Sat On Covid-19 Infection Information For Hours Before Dropping Political Bombshell In Parliament" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/18/editorial-snakes-and-mirrors-national-sat-on-covid-19-infection-information-for-hours-before-dropping-political-bombshell-in-parliament/" aria-label="Read more about Editorial: Snakes and Mirrors – National Sat On Covid-19 Infection Information For Hours Before Dropping Political Bombshell In Parliament">Read more</a>
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June 17, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows my estimates for the actual infection rates of Covid19 for all countries with an (estimated) infection rate of above four percent of their population. Plus, Australia and New Zealand. The principal method of estimation is to use the testing ‘positivity rate’. If the average positivity rate over the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Estimates of Covid19 Incidence as of mid-June 2020" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-estimates-of-covid19-incidence-as-of-mid-june-2020/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Estimates of Covid19 Incidence as of mid-June 2020">Read more</a>
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June 11, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Imagery: Metaphors, Symbols, Analogies As a species, people use symbols to facilitate understandings of the complexities of the world. In the last millennium in Europe, the highest subjects of learning were ‘classical studies’ and ‘theology’. It was because almost all of the principal explanatory stories of human life – as the priestly ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Goldmining as our Metaphor for Economic Activity" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/11/keith-rankin-analysis-goldmining-as-our-metaphor-for-economic-activity/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Goldmining as our Metaphor for Economic Activity">Read more</a>
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June 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. These charts plot seven-day rolling averages. It means that the most recent death and case incidences of Covid19 is the average of new cases for the seven days ended 9 June 2020. The New Zealand data looks incomplete, but that’s because it is now zero; New Zealand is recovered, not recovering. Contrast ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Cases and Deaths over Time for Recovering and High-Incidence Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/10/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-cases-and-deaths-over-time-for-recovering-and-high-incidence-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Cases and Deaths over Time for Recovering and High-Incidence Countries">Read more</a>
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June 5, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The conversation around the 2020 covid19 pandemic has been widely framed as ‘health versus the economy’. It has been quite political, with people leaning to the left emphasising ‘health’, and people leaning to the right emphasising ‘the economy’. A couple of weeks ago (27 May), on RNZ I heard outspoken British ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Impacts of Pandemics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/05/keith-rankin-analysis-economic-impacts-of-pandemics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Impacts of Pandemics">Read more</a>