CoveragePost
September 25, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The most recent TVNZ Colmar Brunton poll felt about right: Labour/Green on 54% and National/Act on 38% of decided voters. But I sense that Labour is losing momentum. What needs to happen to make Judith Collins the Prime Minister in October? National/Act need just five percentage points more, and Green to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The 2020 New Zealand Election is Not a Foregone Conclusion" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/25/keith-rankin-analysis-the-2020-new-zealand-election-is-not-a-foregone-conclusion/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The 2020 New Zealand Election is Not a Foregone Conclusion">Read more</a>
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September 18, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Definition ‘Balance sheet recession’ is an innocuous name for a very big economic event. It represents a particular kind of contraction of a country’s economy – or of the global economy – in which one of the most important laws of ‘financial economics’ is practically disabled; that is the economic law ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Balance Sheet Recessions, and the Government Debt Fix" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/18/keith-rankin-analysis-balance-sheet-recessions-and-the-government-debt-fix/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Balance Sheet Recessions, and the Government Debt Fix">Read more</a>
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September 10, 2020
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. Will the rich get richer under Labour’s latest tax policy? Based on the analysis in reaction to yesterday’s announcement, the answer would seem to be yes. The consensus from commentators is that inequality and severe economic problems will remain unchanged or even be made worse by Labour’s new policy. Although ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour gives up on tax transformation" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/10/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-labour-gives-up-on-tax-transformation/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour gives up on tax transformation">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 10, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Before the 1950s My MA thesis was about labour supply in New Zealand and Australia during the 1920s and 1930s, with particular reference to the 1930s’ ‘Great Depression’. The central finding related to the workings of whanau as an economic unit, and how the loss of income to the ‘family breadwinner’ – ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Added-Worker Effect, in Economic Hard Times" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/10/keith-rankin-analysis-the-added-worker-effect-in-economic-hard-times/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Added-Worker Effect, in Economic Hard Times">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 2, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In practice, democratic political reforms are usually incremental, though typically seen as part of a process leading to wider and more embedded improvement. Reforms are ‘evolutionary’ – indeed, in a technical sense – in that they improve the ‘fitness’ of democratic society. Unlike biological evolution, which is a fully blind process, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Extending Democracy; a Path-Dependent Process" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/09/02/keith-rankin-analysis-extending-democracy-a-path-dependent-process/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Extending Democracy; a Path-Dependent Process">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
August 27, 2020
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards Inequality and poverty look to be the forgotten issues of the election campaign, with not much more than lip-service being paid to them on the campaign trail. Yet decisions are currently being made that appear to be fuelling a greater gap between rich and poor. Newsroom’s Bernard Hickey has tweeted ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Politicians making inequality worse" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/08/27/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-politicians-making-inequality-worse/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Politicians making inequality worse">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
August 27, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Macroeconomic Policy Macroeconomic policy is largely the art or science of the governance of economic imbalance. Some of the words that indicate imbalance are ‘recession’, ‘inflation’, ‘deflation’ and ‘contraction’. Another word, ‘stagflation’, represents a mix of recession and inflation. (Note that ‘inflation’ here indicates an unsustainable and ongoing process of price ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Two Policy Silos: Reserve Bank and Treasury" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/08/27/keith-rankin-analysis-the-two-policy-silos-reserve-bank-and-treasury/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Two Policy Silos: Reserve Bank and Treasury">Read more</a>
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July 16, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Representative Democracy On 26 June, I attended a zoom webinar called ‘Modern politics – 20thC to MMP’, run by Auckland Libraries and Ancestry.com. The speakers were politics’ academics Grant Duncan and Toby Boraman, from Massey University. Duncan is a well-known political scientist, and Boraman is a specialist in Labour History. (An ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Universal Basic Income: Left, Right, and Centre" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/16/keith-rankin-analysis-universal-basic-income-left-right-and-centre/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Universal Basic Income: Left, Right, and Centre">Read more</a>
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July 7, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin, 6 July 2020 Three Citizenships The concept of ‘citizenship’ has both general and specific meanings. The most specific and familiar I call passport citizenship. A passport citizen of a country is a person holding a passport for that country, or with unambiguous entitlement to hold such a passport. More than anything a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Duty of Care and Economic Citizenship" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/07/keith-rankin-analysis-duty-of-care-and-economic-citizenship/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Duty of Care and Economic Citizenship">Read more</a>
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July 2, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin, 2 July 2020 Socialism versus Progressive Capitalism I was disappointed that the Green Party continues to reject a distributive Universal Basic Income (UBI) in favour of a redistributive and polarising Guaranteed Minimum Income (GMI) model. GMI is the antithesis of UBI. The essence of UBI, through flattening income tax, is the creation ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Green Party Tax-Benefit Policy is not Helpful" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/07/02/keith-rankin-analysis-green-party-tax-benefit-policy-is-not-helpful/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Green Party Tax-Benefit Policy is not Helpful">Read more</a>
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June 30, 2020
These charts tell a simple story about how the coronavirus pandemic could be a catalyst for the transition to a more sustainable economic future. Looking at Chart 1, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the economy is shown as the combination of yellow and orange. (We note that these charts represent another aspect of pie ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Pandemic as a Catalyst for a New Economic Normal" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-pandemic-as-a-catalyst-for-a-new-economic-normal/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Pandemic as a Catalyst for a New Economic Normal">Read more</a>
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June 26, 2020
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Fundamental Magic The fundamentals of existence are difficult to explain, which is why we need to fall back on abstract ‘creators’; ie beings sufficiently abstract that they themselves do not need to be explained. Here is my big three list of origin magics that underpin our existence. One. The origin of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Imagination, Science, and Day-to-Day Magic" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/06/26/keith-rankin-analysis-imagination-science-and-day-to-day-magic/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Imagination, Science, and Day-to-Day Magic">Read more</a>
