Independent Analysis and Reportage
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A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning consider and analyse the most significant global issues that define 2021. The topics include: - Leadership: Trump, Putin, Xi, Biden; - Pandemic: Impact of Covid-19 & variants on global security; - Security: Afghanistan, AUKUS, Autonomous Weapons, Cyber-Hackers/Attackers.
A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will consider and analyse the most significant global issues that define 2021. The topics will include: - Leadership: Trump, Putin, Xi, Biden; - Pandemic: Impact of Covid-19 & variants on global security; - Security: Afghanistan, AUKUS, Autonomous Weapons, Cyber-Hackers/Attackers.
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Spain copped Covid early; as early as Italy, presumably, like Italy, directly from Wuhan, China. While the main spread of Covid19 in Europe was via the Italian and Austrian alps, the early spread of covid to the United Kingdom may have been largely from Spain. The first chart shows that for ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-spain-as-a-country-of-interest/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Yesterday morning I awoke to this story about a bus crash in Bulgaria: Dozens killed in Bulgaria bus fire, including children. I thought immediately about how unusual it is in New Zealand to hear a story about Bulgaria. In the context that Bulgaria is the country in the world worst hit ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/25/keith-rankin-analysis-bulgaria-the-balkans-and-distrust/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart starts with three small countries, two of which are affluent British territories. Other British territories also are on the chart: Channel Islands, Isle of Man, and the United Kingdom itself. And Ireland. The Cayman Islands, premier super yacht and tax haven, reminds us that Covid19 started in Europe ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/24/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-latest-cases-and-deaths-plus-slovenia-and-bulgaria/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria">Read more</a>
Analysis by Bryce Edwards. This Government has a problem with urgency. Critics from both left and right have long complained about their lack of urgency on issues such as climate change, housing, and inequality. Likewise, in terms of the Covid response, there’s been a chorus of criticism that Labour has been complacent and sluggish on ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Today’s constitutional disgrace in Parliament" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/24/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-todays-constitutional-disgrace-in-parliament/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Today’s constitutional disgrace in Parliament">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This pandemic keeps surprising many people. If scientists had spent more time studying coronaviruses circulating as common cold pathogens, they would not have been surprised that immunity is short-lived. SARS 2003 was a red flag that should have led to much more research on other (endemic) human coronaviruses. Western Europe is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-austria-and-the-pandemic-of-the-undervaccinated/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Tuesday (16 Nov) I was concerned to hear this story on RNZ’s Checkpoint (National distances itself from ex-MP after video with discredited academic). My concern here is not particularly with the “discredited academic”, although no academic should suffer this kind of casual public slur. (Should we go further and call ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/18/keith-rankin-analysis-influenza-pandemics-in-new-zealands-past/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart plots estimates of vaccine-induced immunity to Covid19, for five countries, including three in Europe currently in the news for their most recent wave of covid infections and deaths. Essentially, I give a score of 0.5 for each vaccine shot; and I assume that immunity wanes by 0.4% per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-peak-vaccination-immunity-and-the-latest-european-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave">Read more</a>
OP-ED by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana and Gillian Triggs Most countries in the Asia-Pacific region are on track to reach universal birth registration by 2030: an incredible achievement and a significant milestone in realizing human rights and equality. However, as the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed, many weaknesses remain in official recording systems, creating gaps in knowledge ... <a title="OP-ED: Push for civil registration set to hit key milestone in Asian and Pacific countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/15/op-ed-push-for-civil-registration-set-to-hit-key-milestone-in-asian-and-pacific-countries/" aria-label="Read more about OP-ED: Push for civil registration set to hit key milestone in Asian and Pacific countries">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While governments are now mandating many people to take Covid19 vaccines, government hesitancy towards vaccines and vaccination – much of it seemingly due to overprioritisation of perceived ‘cost’ issues – remains a problem of significant consequence. The most obvious ongoing problem relates to revaccination – regular boosters – for which governments ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/12/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-vaccine-hesitancy-and-distrust-by-governments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today’s five charts are all set to the same scale, allowing for total weekly deaths being four times (300%) above normal. South Africa and Chile are both countries with substantial connections to New Zealand. Most of New Zealand’s pioneering immigrants sailed to New Zealand via Cape Town. And the relationship has ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-2015-2021-deaths-in-south-africa-and-south-america/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America">Read more</a>