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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: An Erosion of integrity in 2015

Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

Some soul searching about the state of democracy and transparency in New Zealand public life is warranted at the end of the year. In this column I look back at the struggle for integrity in politics in 2015. 

The integrity of governance of any society is dependent on numerous pillars that hold up democracy. Akin to an old roman temple, important institutions such as the Official Information Act, public servants and watchdogs act as the foundations of a corruption-free society.

But in 2015 it became apparent that some of the pillars of New Zealand’s governing arrangements have eroded, making democracy less stable. There have been apparent failings in the OIA regime, transparency of Government ministers and departments, murky deals struck and clampdowns on attempts to get accountability.

Tightening elite control over information

Currently a stark erosion of integrity is occurring in an area unlikely to arouse much public protest: the Official Information Act regime. But the decline of this comparatively mundane, yet vital, part of democracy is causing a lot of angst and protest from the media, especially after a long-awaited review of the OIA came out recently and appeared to be somewhat of a whitewash.

The strongest reaction came in an Otago Daily Times editorial, which pointed to an overall trend of increased opaqueness in public life: “There is a slow, steady and insidious eroding of transparency in too many areas, however.  Smokescreens, part-truths, secrets, semantics, brain fades, fudgings, refusals to comment, commercial sensitivities, redacted documents, and the shutting down of discussion about issues of interest and concern have become too frequent in officialdom” – see: Safety, trust and transparency.

The ODT’s strongly-worded protest against the decline of the OIA and of the Ombudsman Office is also a vigorous defence of the need to hold those in power to account: “The actions of those in central and local government, police and the judiciary should be highly scrutinised, as they are our elected or appointed representatives, charged with working for the community good, and for making and upholding the laws that govern us.” It warns of the possibilities of corruption, if transparency and accountability are not maintained in the system. A similar point is made rather elegantly by columnist Narelle Henson in Watching the watchdogs.

Commentators on both the political left and right have pointed out that the Official Information Act regime is no longer fit for purpose. For instance, Nicky Hager has been reported as saying he’s used “the Act more than 1000 times” and that it’s fine for obtaining basic information, but is “basically useless” for getting hold of important material: “In practice I’m sick of it. If someone in power wants to evade it, it’s frustratingly easy” – see Colin Peacock’s Getting it out in the open: reviewing the OIA.

Rodney Hide has also complained recently about his inability to acquire fairly straightforward data from the largest government department, MBIE, about how much it spends on a particular accounting contracting firm – see his paywalled column, Worst minister hides department’s costs.

Hide says the relevant minister, Paul Goldsmith, has continued to stonewall and provide differing justifications for why the figures can’t be provided. Hide draws some tough conclusions about the minister and department’s lack of aptitude, accountability and transparency.

The OIA “Game of Hide and Seek”

Many journalists, political activists and politicians regard the Official Information Act regime as requiring urgent reform and modernisation, alleging that the system is abused by authorities. Many had high hopes for the major review of the Act carried out this year by Chief Ombudsman Dame Beverley Wakem. The report, titled “Not a Game of Hide and Seek” has just been released, and many regard it as something of a whitewash. For the best coverage of this, see RNZ’s The watchdog and the rottweilers, or listen to Sunday’s Mediawatch programme: Information watchdog’s probe into political meddling.

The report is being criticised for the finding that there is no political interference occurring with OIA requests. For the Opposition’s point of view see Kate Gudsell’s OIA report shows interference, opposition parties. And for anecdotal examples of officials and ministers attempting to thwart the OIA regime, see Jane Patterson’s Ombudsman takes aim at ‘fishing trip’ OIA requests.

Blogger, No Right Turn, also declares the report a “whitewash” – see: Wasting our time – and says “we should all be glad that she’s retiring in a week – because she’s just shown herself to be an embarrassment to her office and fundamentally useless at doing her job” – see: The blind watchdog.

Similar notions were put forward in last week’s incredibly strong Dominion Post editorial, which reacted to the Chief Ombudsman lashing out at journalists – see: Chief Ombudsman shows how not to be an information watchdog.

The editorial says that Wakem’s anti-media statements were “truly extraordinary”, and “what you would expect from a bad-tempered bureaucrat, not an ombudsman”. The newspaper also declares that Wakem’s “retirement is welcome”, and that “If Wakem had made these statements when first appointed, they would be good grounds for seeking her resignation. They show a fundamental misunderstanding of her role and an establishment mentality.”

The Herald has also admonished the Ombudsman’s Office, calling into question its integrity and abilities – this time, following on from the publication of the Office’s annual report to Parliament – see the editorial, Ombudsman badly needs health check.

The editorial complains “There is no room for the sorry lack of self-awareness displayed this year” by the Office, and considers it problematic that there is no robust “review system for the office itself” saying  “it is time this once energetic public watchdog received a thorough check-up on its own health.”

Part of the Herald’s complaint about the Ombudsman’s Office was its recent role in siding incorrectly with Tim Groser in his illegal refusal to release TPP information. To make matters worse, when the High Court ruled against Groser and the Ombudsman, the Office stubbornly refused to admit it was wrong. For more on this high court verdict and what it means for the OIA regime, see Andrew Geddis’ lengthy blog post, Comes the rule with no exception.

See also the Otago Daily Times editorial, which points out that the Ombudsman’s Office has been around “for more than 30 years” and hence it is concerning that it has little training and policy about the OIA – see: No room for complacency.

Another government watchdog is being accused of becoming a lapdog of power. On Friday the NBR’s political editor Rob Hosking sarcastically declared State Services Commissioner Iain Rennie his “politician of the year”, because he has allegedly allowed the public service to become politicised and closed off to public scrutiny – see: Politician of the year – and a warning (paywalled). Hosking says “The lack of openness by the State Services Commission is now a byword in Wellington”, and New Zealand is losing its open and accessible culture.

Similarly, Vernon Small has warned of the problem: “the threats to public service neutrality (or at least the appearance of neutrality) have not gone away.  Earth to Rennie. Come in please” – see: Public watchdogs need to bare their teeth over misuse of OIA, taxpayer events.

And for an example of the questionable role of spin doctors in government departments, see Kirsty Johnston’s article from last month, Ministry tried to mitigate risk posed by report. The article points out that such manipulation, has “raised queries about potential political interference in an independent body, plus a lack of transparency at the agencies.”

For more detail on many of these problems, including criticisms of the State Service Commission’s woeful Open Government Partnership initiative, see my earlier column, New Zealand’s closed government.

Taxpayer-funded politicisation

Much of the disquiet about the public service losing its integrity relates to the increasingly powerful role of taxpayer-funded political advisers working for parties in power. Spin doctors from Heather Simpson (under Helen Clark) to Jason Ede (starring in Dirty Politics) have played an effective personal role in shaping political and bureaucratic life from behind the scenes.

For more on this, see Brent Edwards’ Public Service Neutrality under Threat?  He reports the views of the PSA and Victoria University School of Government’s Chris Eichbaum, who both see the need for reform due to the politicising influence of these political advisers on the public service. Listen also to RNZ’s 28-minutes Insight programme, Politics and Public Service.

Similarly, on reviewing the Ombudsman’s Office report on the OIA, Richard Harman says “Perhaps the most revealing part of her report deals with the activities of Ministerial advisers, generally young people, often members of the National Party, who have varying degrees of influence within both their offices and over the departments their Ministers preside over” – see: How ministerial advisers thwart the Official Information Act.

The latest example of alleged attempts to use state resources for party campaigning, was highlighted by Labour’s Kris Faafoi, who uncovered an attempt by Government MPs to use the Housing ministry to increase the electoral chances of its candidates – see Isaac Davison’s National MP busted ‘trying to use taxpayer money for political campaigning’.

This was condemned by Vernon Small who believes the documents “show a disturbing willingness to use a taxpayer-funded event to promote a purely political agenda”, and that the close liaison of officials “with National Party headquarters takes the whole thing well outside the bounds of acceptability” – see: Public watchdogs need to bare their teeth over misuse of OIA, taxpayer events. He concluded “It will be interesting to hear whether the Auditor-General thinks taxpayers money has been mis-spent, or if State Service Commissioner Iain Rennie thinks a boundary has been crossed … and if he or the Ombudsman think the OIA has been rightly used or abused.”

Yet parliamentarians are seemingly always clamouring for more taxpayer funds to run their parties and campaigns. Claire Trevett reports that the latest parliamentary review of MP funding has recommended the parties get “an extra $5.2 million a year” – see: More funding ought to equal more transparency.

Trevett points out that existing funding is already used in a very opaque fashion for an array of activities including campaigning and partisan advertising, and she concludes “If MPs and parties want a big boost in funding, that should come hand in hand with similar transparency”.

David Farrar also says that some of this funding – the “leader’s budgets” (currently $3.7 million for National, $2.9 million for Labour, $1.3 million for the Greens) – are “really just a euphemism for slush fund. Millions of dollars in taxpayer funding disappear into these slush funds every year with little public accountability” – see: Greens wrong on Ministerial funding.

Cronyism in government

This year has seen an increased focus on ministerial appointments of people with close ties to the National Party. The best coverage of this issue came in August via Torben Akel’s ten-minute TV3 report on Jobs for the boys and the girls? Looking at partisan appointments, Akel found that the last Labour Government had made 30, while the current National Government has so far made 36.

More recently Duncan Garner has listed the latest selection of National appointments, including: John Carter, Tim Groser, Eric Roy, Wayne Mapp, Georgina Te Heuheu, Kate Wilkinson, Katherine Rich, Tau Henare, and Phil Heatley – see: Jobs for the boys… and girls. Garner says “Parliament is a cosy club where those in power rub the backs of their mates and those they like or owe favours to.  Sometimes it’s about giving them a job, to get them out of the way or to make way for someone else”.

Blogger No Right Turn has taken a close interest in ministerial appointments, blogging, for example, in July about a former National Party MP and party president being appointed to the Environmental Protection Authority – see: Another crony appointment, and then in November about the appointments of Tau Henare and Phil Heatley – see: More crony appointments.

He’s been using the OIA to get background information on such appointments, and relays the results in Another appointment from nowhere and The usual crony process. The latter is an extraordinary insight into the process, with the conclusion: “it’s clear from this that unless you are a National crony, there is simply no point in applying for a position under this government, as the outcomes of these recruitment processes have already been pre-determined.”

Risks of corruption in New Zealand

New Zealand enjoys its reputation for low corruption, but a number of reports this year suggest that complacency could be a problem. In March Deloitte released its Bribery and Corruption Survey 2015 for Australia and New Zealand. For the best news report on this see Richard Meadows’ Rising bribery and corruption tarnishing NZ image: Deloitte. See also Daniel King’s Bribery and corruption report should be ‘wake-up call’.

In June the World Justice Project published it’s 2015 Rule of Law Index, which ranked us 6th of the 102 countries surveyed – see Beith Atkinson’s blog post, New Zealand holds 6th place on Rule of Law Index. He points out that “The elements making up the New Zealand rank show a deterioration in four of the elements, an improvement in one and no change in the other three.” Perhaps of most concern, in this index New Zealand dropped from 3 to 6 in terms of “Absence of Corruption”.

In September the Chartered Accountants Australia and New Zealand published a paper titled Are Australia and New Zealand Corrupt? written by Victoria University’s Lisa Marriott. For the best news report on this, see Ellen Read’s CAANZ: Rising corruption a serious threat to New Zealand.

Chartered Accountants CEO, Lee White explained the research and reported “We also called for corruption to be one of the top risks discussed by the board. But, worryingly, the reality is that boards simply don’t see this as a priority” – see: Corruption – the next business battleground.

But the ultimate verdict will come when Transparency International publishes its annual Corruption Perception Index in late January. Last year New Zealand lost its top spot in the rankings, and numerous corruption-type scandals over the last 18-months could see us take a further tumble.

Government efforts against corruption

The Government’s major anti-corruption achievement of the year was ratifying the United Nations Convention Against Corruption – see: NZ signs UN convention against corruption. Unfortunately it took 12 years to go from signing the convention to getting it ratified. The final step was passing “new laws that tackle organised crime, money laundering and bribery” – see: Parliament passes anti-corruption Bill.

There is still some concern about the new rules making up New Zealand’s anti-corruption regime. The Government’s decision to continue to allow New Zealanders to make “facilitation payments” was widely criticised. For example, Michael Macaulay of the Institute for Governance and Policy Studies asked: Why is bribery still legal in New Zealand?

Macaulay explained that the new legislation “doesn’t necessarily go far enough.  Why? Because under certain circumstances, the Bill allows bribery to remain perfectly legal under New Zealand law.  For example, it is currently OK for New Zealanders to bribe foreign officials as long as the value of the benefit is small, and that it is paid to expedite an action the official would already do.  In other words, you can pay a bribe to get the job done quicker or more smoothly.”

Justice Minister Amy Adams justified the allowance of “facilitation payments” like this: “if you are operating overseas and you are offered a situation to perhaps pay $50 or $100 and go through a fast lane or get something processed as a priority application and the payment is small, it is in the usual course of activity” – see Jane Patterson’s thorough discussion of the issue in: ‘Facilitation payment’ does not condone bribes – Govt.

Despite criticisms of “facilitation payments”, the Government has still made a considerable achievement in introducing new measures to combat any corrupt practices of New Zealand companies operating overseas. The KPMG firm published a useful overview of these changes – see: Strengthening of Anti-Bribery and Corruption (ABC) laws.

Saudi Sheep scandal rolls on

Earlier in the year Murray McCully’s unorthodox deals involving sheep farming in Saudi Arabia became publically known and debated, which I covered first in my column The Bizarre “bribery” and flying sheep scandal, and then in Guilty or not? The Saudi sheep scandal.

The latest chapter in the scandal involves the Government agreeing to pay a further $2.5 million to build an abattoir – see RNZ’s Govt to build Saudi businessman abattoir. Apparently, “The abattoir will be gifted to the Saudi government then installed on the businessman’s farm in the Saudi desert, which the Government said doubles as a New Zealand agri-hub.”

The Government’s dealings over the issue are still opaque, with further refusals to supply information – see: Govt agency refuse to release Saudi sheep report.

Nonetheless, the Auditor-General’s report on her investigation into the controversy is due early next year. According to Matthew Hooton, this is part of the reason that John Key felt he had to bring Judith Collins back into Cabinet: “As we head toward 2016, senior ministers suspect the Auditor-General will soon throw the book at Foreign Minister Murray McCully over the Saudi sheep scandal but Mr Key may be unable for internal political reasons to sack him.  Mr Key could hardly deny Ms Collins her return to government having been cleared but then decline to act against Mr McCully when he has not.  The gender optics of such differential treatment would be awful” – see: Collins’ return a good signal to the right (paywalled).

But the return of Judith Collins – as covered in my column last week, The Political comeback of the year – is also being taken as a sign of the return of Dirty Politics. See, for example, today’s column by Bryan Gould: Kiwis scoffing at US politics on shaky ground.

Of course many other Government scandals of 2015 have also involved questionable transparency and integrity. These included the handling of the Mike Sabin Police investigation, and the Northland by-election bridge bribes – as examined this earlier column, The bizarre by-election – and the continued controversy about the unorthodox Government-commissioned convention centre in Auckland, as explained in my February column, Left and right unite against SkyCity ‘crony capitalism’. And other agencies of the state – such as the Police – were implicated in various clampdowns on journalists and researchers – see my columns, Libertarians against dirty politics and Police vs democracy.

Erosion of public information

There’s plenty to say about the erosion of the media’s ability to scrutinise power in New Zealand. But in relation to the role of the politicians themselves in escaping media scrutiny, Gordon Campbell made the observation last month about the increasing non-appearance of ministers and officials whenever questions arise about their policy areas – see: On being accountable, and holding the powerful to account.

Campbell says: “it seems as though the balance is tilting increasingly towards politicians (a) picking the interviewers/outlets to which they deign to make themselves available, while (b) dodging those they don’t like and (c) choosing to go AWOL when they land themselves in hot water. Whatever is driving this trend, it is eroding democratic accountability”.

New Zealand political and public debate will be worse off due to the forced closure of the Victoria University’s iPredict service – see Hamish Rutherford’s iPredict to close after Govt refuses anti-money laundering law exemption. And for more on the background and future situation, see Henry Oliver’s Cashing out: Prediction market iPredict closing its virtual doors but (maybe) opens a window.

Reaction has been strong from bloggers and commentators. For example, National Party blogger David Farrar says “The Government must be joking. Or high” and he calls it a “nuts decision”, complaining “So much for being a Government that believes in small Government and proportionate regulation!” – see: Government thinks iPredict is a money laundering risk! Similarly, see Eric Crampton’s iPredict ‘a thing of beauty’ and no sensible place to launder money.

Finally, although it’s surely entirely unconnected, it’s worth noting that Simon Bridges – who made the decision about iPredict – may have ambitions of being the next National Party leader, but iPredict’s trading currently only gives him a 3% chance.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 15 Edition, 2015

Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 15 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Tuesday 15th December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include Commerce Commission approval for Chorus to raise the price it can charge for access to its network, responses to a proposal to open up a road between Westport and Nelson across Kahurangi National Park and the release of the Children’s Commissioner’s latest Child Poverty Report,

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: New report on safety from violence highlights key factors for Samoan women; Rheumatic fever campaign evaluation positive; Minister opens Cambridge section of $2.1 billion Waikato Expressway; Auckland’s social housing growth continues; Gaining better understanding of treatment injury; Public has its say on future of education;Christmas cheer for Settling In fund recipients; New Zealand’s dairy food safety capability in good shape; Disability Action Plan and Disability Strategy being updated; Support for Pacific language education

Greens: Govt inaction on poverty killing kids; Surplus gone, time to concentrate on serious economic issues; Consumers pay the price of broadband decision

Labour: Lotu Iiga must come clean on rumoured u-turn; Poverty grim reality for many Kiwi kids; Govt gets its way – phone line prices going up; Surplus sideshow over, time for action

New Zealand First: CAA Risks Losing Public Trust Over Armstrong Prosecution; Let’s Go With New West Coast Tourism Road; Kiwirail Must Come Clean On New Problems With Floating Scrap Heap

LINKS OF THE DAY

$2.1 BILLION EXPRESSWAY: The Cambridge section of the $2.1 billion Waikato Expressway was opened today. For more information go to: http://www.nzta.govt.nz/waikatoexpressway

BANKS SUPPORT FARMERS: The latest Federated Farmers Banking Survey shows a virtually unchanged level of farmer support for banks over the past three months of low dairy prices, with 80.5% satisfied with banks regarding mortgages compared to 80.7% in August.Survey results can be found here:http://www.wiredmail.co.nz/clients/74/img/files/Banking%20survey%20results%20-%20December%202015.pdf

BROADBAND PRICES: The Commerce Commission has today released its final decision setting the prices that Chorus can charge for use of its local copper lines and broadband service over the next five years. Read more:http://bit.ly/1ofpQNm

CHILD POVERTY MONITOR: The Office of the Children’s Commission released the Child Poverty Monitor 2015. The report can be viewed at: http://www.childpoverty.co.nz/

CLOSED COURT: In a report on the use and protection of national security information in legal proceedings, the Law Commission says a court should be able to order a closed session to consider rare cases involving classified and security sensitive information. Read more; http://www.lawcom.govt.nz/media-release/law-commission-review-use-national-security-information-legal-proceedings

DAIRY SECTOR VULNERABILITIES: The Reserve Bank today published a Bulletin article, ‘An updated assessment of dairy sector vulnerabilities’. The article investigates the severity of cash flow pressures currently facing dairy farmers, and assesses the potential financial stability implications if the payout remains low for an extended period. Read more:http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research_and_publications/reserve_bank_bulletin/2015/

DISABILITY ACTION PLAN: The updated Disability Action Plan 2014 – 2018 and the first steps in the revision of the New Zealand Disability Strategy was announced today. The Updated Disability Action Plan 2014 – 2018 is available at: http://www.odi.govt.nz/what-we-do/ministerial-committee-on-disability-issues/disability-action-plan/index.html Nominations for the New Zealand Disability Strategy Reference Group is available at:http://www.odi.govt.nz/nzds/2016-revision/reference-group/index.html

FUTURE OF EDUCATION: Submissions on the proposed update of the Education Act closed last night 1814 submissions had been received. A report summarising submission themes will be made available on the Ministry’s website in early 2016 here: http://www.education.govt.nz/education-act-udpate.

GOVT FINANCES: The Treasury released its latest forecast for 2016. The Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update and Budget Policy Statement are available at:www.treasury.govt.nz/budget/2016/bps andwww.treasury.govt.nz/budget/forecasts/hyefu2015

MILK PRICE: The Commerce Commission today released its final report on its statutory review of Fonterra’s Milk Price Manual for the 2015/16 dairy season. Read more: http://bit.ly/1O12jbE

NITROGEN REPORTS: Dairy farmers around the country can access free support to help them come to grips with their farm nitrogen reports and how to use them to support N-loss improvements, thanks to a partnership between Ballance Agri-Nutrients, Fonterra, Tatua and Dairy Women’s Network, and DairyNZ. The link to the resources, including videos and workbooks, is: http://www.ballance.co.nz/Our-CoOp/Sustainability/Farm-Nitrogen-Reports

RHEUMATIC FEVER EVALUATION: The independent evaluation by Allen + Clarke Policy and Regulatory Specialists Ltd describes the rheumatic fever campaign as efficient, effective and relevant. The evalution is available at:http://www.health.govt.nz/publication/evaluation-2015-rheumatic-fever-awareness-campaign

SETTLING IN FUND: A total of $315,820 in funding has been approved for 48 applicants from not-for-profit organisations working with refugees and migrants. The money comes from the Office of Ethnic Communities’ Settling In fund. Read more: http://ethniccommunities.govt.nz/story/2015-2016-settling-funding-round

SEXUAL VIOLENCE COURT: The Law Commission has completed a review of trial processes in sexual violence cases and makes recommendations for change. More details at: http://www.lawcom.govt.nz/our-projects/alternative-models-prosecuting-and-trying-criminal-cases?id=1270

VIOLENCE FREE SAMOAN WOMEN: The report, A malu i ‘āiga, e malu fo’i i fafo: Protection for the family, protection for all, exploring protective factors in keeping Samoan women and girls safe from violence, was developed by the Ministry for Women in partnership with the Ministries for Pacific Island Affairs and Social Development. The report is available http://women.govt.nz/news/keeping-samoan-women-free-violence

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Tuesday 15th December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Another year older, and deeper in debt

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NewsroomPlus.com Did you know the total student debt mountain has mushroomed to nigh on $15 billion? That’s not the kind of Christmas present anyone wants lurking under their tree for years to come…  In anticipation of the New Year holding more of the same and the millstone/ milestone of $15 billion due to be hit in February, student leaders attending the NZ Union of Students’ Associations Congress gathered on the lawn below Victoria University’s historic Hunter Building on Sunday 13 December. Wearing symbolic balls and chains around their wrists and ankles – annotated with individual debt – their message was simple. First and foremost student leaders are fed up with the Government putting its head in the sand over the mounting student debt. They say if the Government can front up on climate change, it can finally face up to the growing debt, noting that since John Key’s National Party rein began student debt has mushroomed from $10 billion to $15 billion. More information is available from NZUSA – the voice of New Zealand’s 400,000 students

FOUR VOICES FROM FOUR HUNDRED THOUSAND … 

DEBT_lineup2
I haven’t felt at all well informed about the rate that my debt has accumulated. I can’t see how I’d now be able to get a home, and with that, I can’t see how I could afford to start a family. 
Sara is a student nurse studying at Waiariki Institute of Technology* This is the second qualification pathway for Sara, after first embarking on a tourism diploma. Sara feels she was penalised by the system after becoming ineligible for an allowance due to withdrawing from a course early – she had no resort then but to take on more debt via the loan scheme. She now expects to graduate as a nurse in 2017, with a debt in the region of $65,000. * as announced by Tertiary Education Minister Steven Joyce last week, Waiariki will be merged with Bay of Plenty Polytechnic next year.
I’m at the point now where this was an unseen debt, and now it’s about to have a lifelong impact. I think this debt and its effect on my circumstances will be stuck with me for decades.
Will is carrying a debt level that is equivalent to Sara’s. He has already been a student at the University of Auckland for four years, and to give himself the optimal chance of options for a lifelong career path at a skill level that matches his academic achievements signed up for postgraduate study, with a major in politics. Will is no slouch, and has had financial assistance from scholarships.
Staff at our institution have been as helpful as they could be, but they’re stuck in the middle when it comes to the hoops to jump through and a system that pushes you into more debt.
Virgil has one more full year of study at Waiariki to go and hopes a current debt of around $40,000 isn’t going to balloon out. He’s already resigned to moving out of his home town when he starts his search for a job in the business field of communications and IT. He counts himself lucky that he should be able to earn a living that will help him climb out of debt – slowly but perhaps faster than most, but with the drag effect of a ‘life slowing’ ball and chain.
I’m like most of my peers, I try to focus beyond the debt that is being attached to achieving my qualification and not to dwell on the ‘necessary evil’ description of it and how many years my life will continue to revolve around the money of it. It’s definitely painful and the total student debt amounts are so uncontrollably high you have to wonder how feasible the system is.
Nina has a Bachelor of Arts from Otago University under her belt and one last push on a postgraduate year before her student debt tops out, perhaps as high as $55,000. A contributor to his has, she says, been the year-on-year fee increases. As soon as she can Nina has aspirations to find a job that isn’t about opting for the ‘best paid’ over the ‘best fit’, or settling for work that may not even take her qualification into account. Having faced years of having no other choice but enforced indebtedness, and having IRD letters relentlessly hammer that home (in official mail she resists opening), Nina’s view on the rest of her life is that she’ll be actively seeking to avoid any other form of borrowing. DEBT_lineup1 These are just four voices of 400,000; a tiny percentage of bare-boned vignettes of four student experiences that all echoed the same sentiment of being on a road that ‘sets you back’ rather than ‘setting you forward’. A ‘she’ll be right’ attitude prevails. It assumes well-paying jobs for all, and full-time uninterrupted professions will follow years of borrowing to live. It assumes a level of gender equity that doesn’t exist, and smooth transitions through either any one qualifications pathway or career choice, where that is by no means a given – as anyone with life experience below the ‘rich line’ knows. All of this is a bleak enough proposition for people with parental or intergenerational support, let alone for those who face tougher roads to get to be enrolled for tertiary education in the first place. There is nothing progressive in an economy or society that indentures students to a muted future. –]]>

#COP21: Global climate deal shows end of fossil fuels is near – but injustice is still ingrained

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Report by David Robie. This article was first published on Café Pacific By Kumi Naidoo in Paris THE WHEEL of climate action turns slowly, but in Paris it has turned. There’s much in this deal – the so-called Paris Agreement –  that frustrates and disappoints me, but it still puts the fossil fuel industry squarely on the wrong side of history. Parts of this deal have been diluted and polluted by the people who despoil our planet, but it contains a new temperature limit of less than 2C degrees. That single number, and the new goal of net zero emissions by the second half of this century, will cause consternation in the boardrooms of coal companies and the palaces of oil-exporting states and that is a very good thing. The transition away from fossil fuels is inevitable. Now comes our great task of this century. How do we meet this new goal? The measures outlined simply do not get us there. When it comes to forcing real, meaningful action, Paris fails to meet the moment. We have a 1.5 degree wall to climb, but the ladder isn’t long enough. The emissions targets outlined in this agreement are simply not big enough to get us to where we need to be. There is also not enough in this deal for the nations and people on the frontlines of climate change. It contains an inherent, ingrained injustice. The nations which caused this problem have promised too little to help the people on the frontlines of this crisis who are already losing their lives and livelihoods for problems they did not create. This deal won’t dig us out the hole we’re in, but it makes the sides less steep. To pull us free of fossil fuels we are going to need to mobilise in ever greater numbers. This year the climate movement beat the Keystone XL tar sands pipeline, we kicked Shell out of the Arctic and put coal into terminal decline. A future we will win We stand for a future powered by renewable energy, and it is a future we will win. This is why our efforts have never been confined to these conference halls. Just as we’ve carried our messages of justice, equity, and environmental protection into the venues of the climate negotiations, and echoed the collective demand to speed the end of fossil fuels to the faces of our leaders, we will continue to raise our voices long after these talks are over. We came to the COP with hope. Not a hope based on the commitments we wished our leaders would make, but a hope built on a movements that we have built together with many others. Together we are challenging the fossil fuel oligarchy, we are ushering in the era of solutions, and we are moving the political benchmark of what is possible. While our political leaders walk, our movements run, and we must keep running. From the High Arctic to Brazil, from the Alberta tar sands to Indonesia’s peatlands, from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mediterranean we will stand against those faceless corporations and regressive governments that would risk our childrens future. We will push our beautifully simple solution to climate change – 10 per cent renewable energy for all – and make sure it is heard and embraced. Renewable solutions From schoolyards in Greece, to the streetlights of India, to small Arctic communities like Clyde River in Canada, we will showcase the clean, renewable solutions that are already here, and pressure our governments to make them available for everyone, fast. Finally, we will stand with those communities on the front lines of this struggle. They are the leaders of this movement. They are the ones facing the rising seas, the superstorms, and the direct effects of our governments’ collective inaction. We will amplify their voices so the world is forced to hear our call for change. In 2016 we – the entire climate movement – will escalate the fight. Together we will show the world that if our governments won’t act to stop the carbon bullies, then we will. History is waiting in the wings, and we’re standing on the right side of it. Kumi Naidoo is the international executive director of Greenpeace. This is republished from his Greenpeace International blog. –]]>

COP21: ‘1.5 to stay alive’, but 3 key oil producers block Pacific goal

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Report by David Robie. This article was first published on Café Pacific   A creative Fijian response to COP21 … “no more Facebook. No more rugby … and we’re no more!’ From Pacific Media Watch: By Makereta Komai, editor of Pacnews, in Paris THE three major oil and gas economies – Russia, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela – have emerged as the main stumbling block to the push by Pacific and Small Island Developing States to limit global temperature to 1.5 degrees Celsius at the climate negotiations in Paris. Climate Action Network, an association of more than 100 powerful civil society groups around the world that follow the negotiations, said the three countries refused to shift their positions, citing their own vulnerabilities. “As you can understand the economies of Russia, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia are dependent on fossils. Clearly what the small islands are asking for – to phase out oil and gas will affect their economies big time,” said Martin Kaiser of Greenpeace. Saudi Arabia argued that, like the small islands, it is also faced with extreme weather events like flooding, heat waves and drought. “The small and vulnerable nations have stood their ground of 1.5 degrees in the negotiations despite the attacks by Russia, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela,” said Kaiser. The 1.5 degree Celsius global temperature limit has been a key demand of the small island developing states through the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) since 2009. Small Island Developing States from the Pacific, Caribbean and Indian Ocean have consistently pushed this position for six years at every global climate talks. ‘Not negotiable’ For two weeks in Paris, Pacific leaders expressed with utmost urgency that 1.5 degrees was “not negotiable” and a matter of survival for the small low lying nations of Kiribati, Marshall Islands and Tuvalu. Their rally call was supported by a global campaign of “1.5 to stay alive” by climate activists. At the Paris talks, 106 of the 195 Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCCC) endorsed limiting global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees. Support has also come from the Coalition of High Ambition Nations, led by Marshall Islands. Tony de Brum said the group’s 100 nations maintain its goal of high ambitions from all parties. “We heard calls for deletion of long term goals, concrete language of revisiting the five year review targets and the refusal to recognise the science. We make this clarion call to the world that we will not accept these revisions and deletions and we are not here to accept a minimalist Paris Agreement. This is our red line. “We have fought many battles in our lives relating to the survival of our people and for justice but this one is special. Both developed and developing nations will not go home with an agreement that doesn’t have the ambition that we have all come to fight for,” said de Brum. Progressive countries Climate Action Network’s Liz Gallanger said what had also emerged from the closed negotiations was the large number of progressive developing countries that were coming forward with compromises compared to Copenhagen in 2009. “We saw Mexico, Brazil, Nigeria, Colombia, Gambia, Palau, Marshall Islands, Grenada and South Africa come out and defend core elements of the agreement that will get us to a strong outcome here in Paris. “These countries are showing leadership and we need to see this kind of diplomacy,” said Gallanger. However, the same cannot be said for the European Union and the Umbrella Group which includes Australia Canada, Japan, New Zealand and the United States for “playing it tough” on finance. “Japan, US, EU, NZ have opposed the legal rigour of the finance language. For India it is about weakening the legal rigour around the ambition mechanism, this five year cycle and ratchet up. These countries are not echoing the spirit of their leaders,” said Gallanger. ‪#‎4PacIslands –]]>

NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 10 Edition, 2015

Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 10 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Thursday 10th December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include the Reserve Bank cutting the Official Cash Rate to a record low of 2.5 percent. and Treasury findings from an analysis of integrated administrative data aiming to identify the risk factors for young people aged 15 to 24 who are most at risk of poor long-term outcomes.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: A Year in the House to celebrate; Minister welcomes NZ-Korea FTA Entry-Into-Force; Appointment of Judge of the High Court; Research to improve student outcomes; People focussed research priorities released; Skilled interns hired for local communities; B4 School Checks on track to reach target

Greens: OCR cut good for families, bad for Auckland housing

Labour: Customs cost blowout skyrocketing; National needs to support rate cut with fresh ideas; Don’t rush into military commitment

New Zealand First: Second Chance To Consider Keytruda Rejected; Minister Fails To Stand Up For Māori Broadcasting; No Time For Wishful Thinking; Bay Of Plenty–Waiariki Merger Overrides Community Voice

United Future Party: Dunne Speaks – Jihad Brides?

LINKS OF THE DAY

AUCKLAND GROWTH SPURT EASES: Auckland’s massive growth spurt is continuing however there are signs of easing, according to TradeMe Properties. Go here for more: http://www.trademe.co.nz/property/price-index/for-sale/

ELECTRICITY DEMAND INCREASES: The Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment’s latest Energy Quarterly shows that residential demand for electricity increased by 5.3 per cent in the September quarter 2015. Go here for the New Zealand Energy Quarterly: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/sectors-industries/energy/energy-data-modelling/publications/new-zealand-energy-quarterly

GUEST NIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE: National guest nights for October 2015 were 2.9 percent higher than in October 2014, according to Statistics New Zealand. Read more: http://bit.ly/1Y3KL4g

LOCAL COUNCIL FINANCES IN GOOD SHAPE: A high level financial analysis, commissioned by Local Government New Zealand (LGNZ) has found that local councils across New Zealand are managing ratepayers’ money prudently. For more information visit: http://www.lgnz.co.nz/assets/LGNZ-Financial-Sector-Report.pdf

LEARNING RESEARCH: Six new research projects granted funding for the Teaching and Learning Research Initiative will benefit teachers and students for years to come.More information about the fund and the projects it has funded is available on the TLRI website: http://www.tlri.org.nz

NZ’S VIETNAM WAR VETERANS: New Zealand’s Vietnam War veterans are more likely to suffer chronic renal failure (CRF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) than their non-serving peers, according to new University of Otago research. Click here for more: http://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/5/12/e008409.full

PROJECTS TO BENEFIT STUDENTS: Teaching and Learning Research Initiative received funds for six projects that will benefit teachers and students for years to come. More information about the fund and the projects it has funded is available on the TLRI website: http://www.tlri.org.nz

RESEARCH PRIORITIES: A Geospatial Research and Development Priorities and Opportunities document was released today by Land Information New Zealand (LINZ) – identifying opportunities for more focussed research and development, based on feedback from geospatial information users. More details at: http://www.linz.govt.nz/about-linz/our-location-strategy/new-zealand-geospatial-research-and-development-priorities-and-opportunities

RETAIL CARD SPENDING UP: Retail spending using electronic cards was $4.9 billion in November 2015, up $176 million (3.7 percent) from November 2014, according to Statistics New Zealand. Click here for more:http://bit.ly/1OjizoZ

SYRIAN CHILDREN AT RISK: The psychological recovery and long-term development of children fleeing the Syrian crisis is in jeopardy due to a chronic funding, spiralling numbers of refugees, and severely stretched resources in host countries. Click here for the report:https://www.savethechildren.org.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0018/124119/Childhood-in-the-shadow-of-war-WEB.PDF

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Thursday 10th December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 09 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 5 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 9th December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include a warning from Transpower that the electricity supply could be disrupted if Genesis Energy shuts its coal-burning power stations at Huntly in 2018 and the private prison operator Serco losing its contract to run Mt Eden prison. POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Guardians appointed to NZ Superannuation Board; Southern DHB Bill passes first reading 95-26, Warmer, safer homes bill unanimously supported; PM’s Pacific Youth Award winners announced; Tax bill tackles offshore property speculators and online GST; Education Legislation Bill passes first reading; Celebrating remarkable young people in care; Bus Interchange arrangements praised; Discussion opens on vehicle size and weight; Nursing graduates finding jobs sooner; UFB delivers early Christmas present to businesses; Data allows Govt to identify and protect at-risk youth; New Polytechnic for Bay of Plenty region; Minister supports Corrections’ decision; New Chatham Islands fish factory a major boost; ACC Board reappointment

Greens: New report shows National going backwards on climate change; Serco contract should be cancelled rather than not renewed; Cuts to Native Affairs show deeply disappointing

Labour: OIA report could have serious ramifications; Countdown on to support Pacific Nations in Paris; Overcharging of thousands of car owners continues; Dame Whina’s birthday time for reflection; Programme cut-back latest blow for Māori Television; National’s U-turn over Serco shows privatisation failure; Complacent National letting the economy drift; Millions in extra costs for ChCh as Govt walks away

New Zealand First: Southerners Lose Right To Vote For DHB Board;Education Minister Announces Decade-Old Policy; Assaults, Escape Attempts Rock Youth Justice Facility

NZ National Party: Bishop banishes book bans with new Member’s Bill

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

BANKING OPTIMISM: New Zealand’s banking industry is more optimistic than any other country, registering the lowest levels of overall anxiety and the highest levels of preparedness of all countries surveyed, according to Banking Banana Skins 2015: Recovery under threat – New Zealand edition by PwC. The report is available at:www.pwc.co.nz/bankingbananaskins

CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER: New Zealand’s efforts to fight climate change have been condemned by Climate Action Tracker as ‘inadequate’ in a final update of their report for the COP21 Paris Climate Talks. Read more:http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/briefing_papers/CAT_Temp_Update_COP21.pdf

GLOBAL CLIMATE ACTION RANKING: New Zealand has also slipped further towards the bottom of a new international league table on climate action released by European research organisation Germanwatch. Climate Change Performance Index 2016 can be viewed at: https://germanwatch.org/en/ccpi.

IMPROVING URBAN PLANNING: The Productivity Commission has released an issues paper calling for input on the future of urban planning. The paper is available from www.productivity.govt.nz/inquiry-content/urban-planning

TERMS OF TRADE: The Treasury published two new Working Papers today, covering impacts from chronic and acute health conditions and an analysis of terms of trade. These Working Papers can be viewed on the Treasury website athttp://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/wp

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 9th December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The political comeback of the year

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

The Political comeback of the year

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

Outspoken backbench National MP Judith Collins has made the year in politics much more interesting. It is fitting, therefore, that she should end the year with a high-profile and contentious promotion.

Most commentators are endorsing Judith Collins’ political comeback, albeit for very different reasons. For the best explanation for why John Key was very smart to bring the disgraced politician back into the fold, see Tracy Watkins’ column, Why John Key opened the door again to Judith Collins.

Watkins paints a picture of a highly pragmatic decision by the PM: “John Key fixes two problems with his spring reshuffle.  He removes a potential thorn in his side by reinstating Judith Collins to Cabinet where she will be effectively gagged by Cabinet collective responsibility. And he puts a firm hand back on the Corrections tiller which is important and not just because Key needs the private prison fiasco fixed.  National’s plan to put the private sector front and centre in the delivery of other social services has been put at risk by the unfolding disaster in the Serco-run Mt Eden private prison.”

Today’s Dominion Post editorial also praises Key’s smarts: “Judith Collins was starting to become a nuisance. So she has been promoted to Cabinet, where collective responsibility and a mountain or hard work will help keep her quiet. John Key’s first rule of leadership – put out every fire before it grows too large – is once again at work” – see: Key puts Collins back in Cabinet to keep her busy and quiet.

The editorial goes on to say, “The beauty of bringing Collins back to do this is that if it ends in tears, which it may well do, the blame falls first on Collins… This is a gamble of Key’s, but it could be a win whichever way it turns out. If Collins can fix Serco, it will be a victory for a flagship party policy. If she can’t, it will be primarily a blot on her record.”

Although most political journalists and commentators have generally seen the reinstatement as a smart move, Audrey Young goes a step further and argues in her column that “it would have been grossly unfair of the Prime Minister not to reinstate her” – see: Judith Collins’ return to Cabinet: John Key had no choice but to reinstate ‘the Crusher’. Young points to some of the arguments against Collins’ return, but dismisses them all and makes the point: “Collins was a senior and competent minister. Not reinstating her would have sent a very poor signal about Key’s ability to cope with strong, competent women.”

Unsurprisingly, Cameron Slater has endorsed Key’s decision, suggesting that, left where she was, Collins would have only grown in strength compared to her supposed rivals for the post-Key leadership: “He knew the longer he left Collins on the back bench the stronger she got. She would have been helping out all the back benchers, going to all the functions, assisting them in electorates” – see: Tracy Watkins: Other Ministers will resent the return of Judith Collins.

Exonerated and reputation restored?

Earlier in the year Collins declared she was rebuilding her reputation, with a return to Cabinet being the most important part of restoring it. Certainly the many media reports covering her return to Cabinet are stating that Collins was “cleared” of the allegations against her last year. But is this really the case? Martyn Bradbury puts forward The 3 reasons why Collins report was a whitewash and why she shouldn’t be back in Cabinet. See also, Anthony Robins’ Hey Tracy Watkins – Judith Collins was not “cleared” of dirty politics.

Public service integrity commentator Beith Atkinson discusses Collins’ exoneration and return in his blog post, Tora, tora, tora. He explains that although Collins was found to have leaked material to Cameron Slater, and that might be “unethical and unacceptable” for public servants, “The Cabinet Manual is less explicit about equivalent limitations on the activities of Ministers”. He also discusses the irony of where the leaks about yesterday’s Cabinet announcement must have come from.

Is Collins still part of the so-called Dirty Politics gang? Jo Moir reports that “When asked by Radio NZ if she was still in contact with Slater, Collins dodged the question.  ‘I really don’t want to go down that track. Frankly, I talk to a lot of people and my view is focussed on doing the best job I can for the people of New Zealand’.” – see: Judith Collins says she never thought about giving up because she wasn’t guilty. According to this article, Collins believes that the hatred directed at her is simply “the price of getting things done in some portfolios.”

Another old friend, Rachel Glucina, declared yesterday that “the news of the day is Crusher’s back, people!” – see her Scout publication, 8 best tweets on Judith ‘The Crushinator’ Collins’ return.

Will Collins work out in Cabinet?

Duncan Garner has published his advice for Collins, explaining that she needs to change as previously “She looked evil, sounded evil and had become unlikable” – see: Key needs attack dog Collins back in Cabinet.

Here’s Garners advice: “She must show some humility, she must not get nasty towards the wrong people and she must show she has learned from her mistakes.  She must work hard again at making friends in the National Party and the caucus.  My advice, stay clear of invites from Oravida and Whaleoil and focus on your day job and get some runs back on the board.  Don’t openly bag press gallery journalists as tempting as it is and deal to Serco and Corrections, in the public interest.”

According to Rob Hosking, Collins has a powerful quality: “She makes the opposition lose their rag.  It is always a useful talent in politics, to drive your opponents so batty with rage they make mistake after mistake… Every government needs a few senior ministers who set their opponents’ baying mindlessly” – see: Collins back as Minister for Trolling (paywalled).

Hosking warns that although Collins feeds off such opposition, if her reaction is uncontrolled it will end badly for her: “But so long as Mrs Collins draws that sort of fire from her opponents, and does so in a controlled way, she will be fine.  But if she overdoes things – and restraint has not exactly been part of her modus operandi over the years – or, worse, she starts making her own colleagues lose their rag, it will be a very different story.”

There are some signs that a more humble Collins is unlikely to eventuate. She spoke yesterday about how her time in exile has actually only increased her confidence – see Audrey Young’s Judith Collins on her return to Cabinet: I’ll be bringing a firm hand.

But Collins does say she’s learnt some lessons. She told Morning Report that “I think one of the things is that I just got too caught up in a lot of things, particularly my work, and I think it’s sometimes good to keep things in perspective” – see RNZ’s Collins got too ‘caught up in’ her work.

There are other signs that Collins is not about to moderate her behaviour. For instance, in the weekend she spoke at an Act regional conference, making some typically outspoken points, including calling for the abolition of Auckland’s Independent Maori Statutory Board – see Audrey Young’s Judith Collins on the Auckland mayoralty.

Rob Hosking commented on the speech, saying it “did not sound like someone who expected to be back in cabinet any time soon.  Rather, it sounded like a speech of someone preparing to rock the boat, in one way or other” – see: Cabinet reshuffle: how do you solve a problem like Judith? (paywalled).

Will Collins conquer the Serco issue? Certainly John Key has made it clear that he’s expecting that of her. But John Palethorpe argues we should be wary: “It’s an easy narrative, the tough, no-nonsense and slightly morally dubious politician brought in from the cold to fix a problem created by a generally less hard-edged, more conciliatory politician in Lotu-Iiga.  Except that’s bollocks, isn’t it? Sam Lotu-iiga was thrown a grenade by his predecessor, Anne Tolley, but the pin on that grenade was pulled by The Honourable Judith Collins MP back in 2009. It was Collins who put the Mt Eden contract out to tender and of the three bids for it, chose Serco. it was Collins who exuberantly praised the UK company” – see: Judith Collins and the hand-grenade handover.

The return of Collins to Cabinet gives some idea about the future of the National Government and Party. It will certainly revive discussion about her potential as a replacement for John Key, should he depart the leadership in the next few years. This might be why some National ministers are said to have opposed her return. According to Tracy Watkins, “It is no secret that some ministers made it known to Key that they didn’t want her back. It is said they included two of Key’s most influential women ministers, Paula Bennett and Amy Adams” – see: Why John Key opened the door again to Judith Collins.

Rachel Smalley says that the Dirty Politics scandal “has tarnished her — I can’t see how she can ever lead the National Party now, nor hope to become Prime Minister one day.  It’s unfortunate. She’s a very competent minister but as the saying goes, if you lie down with dogs, you get up with fleas” – see: Tarnished Collins shows she’s a survivor.

To get an idea of where Collins thinks National should be going, note the report on her by Richard Harman: “she believes the party in the future needs to look at more public private partnerships, particularly in transport, as a way of getting capital into the country.  And she wants to see the Government get tough with the public sector and make individual public servants more accountable” – see: Judith Collins says it’s time for politicians to stand for something.

The Conviction politician of the year

I named Judith Collins as one of the political champions of the year in The Spinoff’s 2015 in Review – 24 Politics Watchers Pick their Star Performers.

Collins deserves her place amongst this group because she’s been one of the most interesting and high-profile politicians of the year. Even back in June she was creating waves, which is very well captured in Claire Trevett’s feature on her: The return of Judith Collins. According to Trevett, “She’s been getting more personal coverage than any minister, let alone a Government backbencher.”

And to get a further sense of her chutzpah and ability to gain media coverage, see last night’s four-minute video by Kim Vinnell on TV3’s Story: Collins back from the cold.

But perhaps the main reason Collins should be seen as one of the “politicians of the year” is her strong display of convictions. Regardless of whether you agree with her ideology or not, it’s good to have politicians who are going off script and leaving the spin-doctors behind.

Back in June, I was quoted as saying “You do need polarising politicians in politics and Judith Collins’ boldness makes her an attractive politician for those on the right of the spectrum, especially when compared to some of the other bland National party MPs. And she is a very good politician” – see Nick Grant’s No clear path back to cabinet for divisive Collins.

Then in September, Collins published her best newspaper column of the year: Centre voters just the core, the action is on the fringes. In this must-read piece, the MP complained about “hearing from pundits, commentators and ‘political strategists’ these days… that elections are won and lost in the centre.” In contrast, Collins saluted the British Labour Party’s Jeremy Corbyn for revitalising politics there with his idealistic and authentic campaign for the leadership: “For them, Jeremy Corbyn is a breath of fresh air offering an alternative viewpoint, even if he is deluded. And that’s what politics should be about – a contest of ideas, policies and views – even crazy ones.”

She spoke out about the demise of principles and ideology in New Zealand politics: “I remember when people used to passionately discuss politics over their BBQs and around work watercoolers.  People had differing ideas and opinions, people cared. These days it is rare anyone really has an opinion on anything except MasterChef. Certainly politicians are too afraid to have opinions lest they ‘upset the centre voter’.”

Likewise, in an interview with Richard Harman, Collins stated: “People actually want to hear what politicians stand for and that they will say what they think not what they think you want them to say to get you to vote for them” – see: Judith Collins says it’s time for politicians to stand for something.

Finally, for some recent cartoons about Judith Collins, especially about her reinstatement to Cabinet, see my blogpost, Cartoons about the comeback of Judith Collins.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 08 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 11 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Tuesday 8th December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle includes concerns that a form given to New Zealand detainees to sign when they choose to return home waives their right to an appeal, and the Chief Ombudsman putting government agencies on notice for their compliance with the Official Information Act (OIA).

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: NZ leads diplomatic protest over Japanese whaling; New Zealand formally joins Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank; New Zealand joins Global Geothermal Alliance; $4m boost for colonoscopy services; Minister welcomes transparency for future of census; Customer focus supports China tourism growth; New rifles for Defence Force; Microsoft deal opens up new world of learning in our schools; Australian Competition and Consumer Commission Cross-appointment to the NZ Commerce Commission; NCEA credits for driver licences; $8.4 million for wool research partnership; 2015 PM’s Scholarships for Asia announced; Amendments to Cartels Bill; Bill to Replace Alcoholism and Drug Addiction Act Introduced; Horizontal repairs come in under budget; $450m in ACC levy reductions confirmed for 2016/17

Greens: Groser’s departure a chance to hit ‘refresh’ on climate agenda; State care compensation cases need prompt resolution; Recycling could be improved for just 10 cents a pop; John Key cannot ask deportees to rely on ‘assurances’

Labour: Cash for cans and bottles scheme a great initiative; Land wars a vital part of who we are; Govt underfunds Pharmac by $115m

Māori Party: NZ Wars petition adds weight to the call for a national day of remembrance

New Zealand First: Funding Review Needed For Ambulance Services; Government Rejects Keytruda Funding Despite Opportunity

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

CHINA TOURISM GROWTH: The China Visitor Insight report released today presents key findings into the needs of Chinese travellers to New Zealand and will to help local businesses develop a deeper insight into the expectations of independent Chinese travellers. More information is available here: http://www.nzcntourism.co.nz/home2.html

DRIVERS OF URBAN RESEARCH: A new report about the drivers of urban change in New Zealand by the MBIE-funded Resilient Urban Futures Programme has been launched today. For more information and a copy of the report, go to http://sustainablecities.org.nz/resilient-urban-futures/drivers-of-urban-change/

GOVT FINANCIALS: The Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the four months ended 31 October 2015 were released by the Treasury today. Click here for the Financial statements:http://www.treasury.govt.nz/government/financialstatements/monthend

KEEP IT CLEAN: Youth climate change organisation Generation Zero will tomorrow deliver its Keep It Clean petition calling on Greater Wellington Regional Council to find a better option than replacing our clean electric trolley buses with diesel buses.The petition can be found here – http://www.generationzero.org/keepitclean

MANUFACTURING SALES: Food and beverage related industries drove a large increase in manufacturing sales in the September 2015 quarter, according to Statistics New Zealand. Read more: http://bit.ly/1IQKwTb

MICROSOFT AND EDUCATION: A new agreement between the Ministry of Education and Microsoft NZ will reduce IT complexity for schools and enhance access to the online world for students, enabling them to learn anywhere, any time and on any device. View Microsoft School Software Agreement at:http://www.education.govt.nz/assets/Documents/School/Running-a-school/Technology-in-schools/Microsoft-School-Software-Agreement-Fact-Sheet.pdf

OIA COMPLIANCE: The Office of the Ombudsman has carried out a comprehensive review of the operation of the OIA by investigating the practices of 12 selected government agencies under it. The report is available at:http://bit.ly/1QsqwN9

RECYCLE REPORT: The new Incentive to Recycle Report from Envision NZ recommends a return to offering cash for empty drink containers. Read more: http://www.envision-nz.com/news/2015/11/16/incentive-to-recycle-the-case-for-a-container-deposit-system-in-nz

SCHOLARSHIPS FOR ASIA: The 2015 Prime Minister’s Scholarships for Asia have been awarded to 152 students from across New Zealand. More information, including a full list of current recipients of the Prime Minister’s Scholarships for Asia can be found here: http://www.enz.govt.nz/how-we-work/scholarships/pmsa

WELLINGTON AIRPORT SUSTAINABILITY: A review by Tailrisk Economics of the Wellington airport extension cost benefit analysis shows that the net economic benefits of $2090 million have been substantially overstated. The full document can be accessed at http://www.tailrisk.co.nz/documentlist

WOOL RESEARCH: The Wool Industry Research Ltd (WIRL) partnership “New Uses for Wool” is co-funded by the Wool Research Organisation of New Zealand and Government and worth $21 million overall. More information can be found on the MBIE website: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/science-innovation/research-partnerships

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Tuesday 8th December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Review: Wealth and New Zealand

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NewsroomPlus.com Book review by Adam J. Ring What is the role of wealth in New Zealand society? A recent contribution to this urgent and wide-reaching dialogue has come in the form of writer and researcher Max Rashbrooke’s newest book, Wealth and New Zealand. Released by Bridget Williams Books as part of the ‘short books on big subjects’ BWB Texts series, it continues along the same line as Rashbrooke’s previous works on inequality, though with a drastically different focus – that of wealth. That a book on this topic hasn’t been done like this before in New Zealand, partly reflects a lack of easily available data, as well as a deficit of understanding regards ways to interpret this data in a meaningful way. WandNZ2 Using data sourced from a variety of surveys, including the 2004 round of the Survey of Family, Income and Employment, known as SoFIE, the 2001 Household Savings Survey, and the National Business Review’s annual Rich List survey, Rashbrooke uses the recent insights and statistical predictions on wealth inequality, from writers such as Thomas Pikkety, to draw a picture of what wealth is, how it effects our society and what part it plays in inequality. Wealth and New Zealand has a simple and urgent message, that “we can only really understand poverty by understanding affluence”. As he points out, the distinction between wealth and income is not currently well understood or sufficiently analysed. To highlight best what he is mapping and making sense of, let us make use of an analogy from the introduction to the book. “Imagine a river that, running faster or slower as the season dictates, flows into and fills up a reservoir. While the river is a metaphor of income – a flow that changes from week to week and year to year – the reservoir is wealth: the stock, the store, the accumulation of all those years of flowing water”. It’s a powerful image and one which vividly illustrates what Rashbrooke is trying to illuminate and amplify. While poverty has largely been the focus when discussing and investigating inequality, as Rashbrooke points out, poverty is only one side of the coin. Very much its equivalent is the flipside – the largely untapped issue of ‘wealth accumulation’. Who has it, where it comes from and how it effects our society are important factors in the overall inequality debate. In the last few years there have been a handful of arresting and socially redefining books on inequality, wealth and the surrounding issues. The Spirit Level by social epidemiologists Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett, used a range of data to show how destructive inequality is to the whole society that contains it, not just those most directly affected. Using a variety of wide-ranging and decade-spanning evidence and data, they definitively and logically showed the destructive and socially differentiating effects that inequality has upon public health and wellbeing. And as mentioned, and heavily utilised, by Rashbrooke in Wealth and New Zealand, Thomas Piketty’s comprehensive book from 2014, Capital in the Twenty-First Century has furthered the dialogue around inequality perhaps more than any other book in the last 30 years. While Rashbrooke’s book certainly owes a fair amount to Piketty’s, more importantly, Wealth and New Zealand helps to translate the core ideas of Piketty’s findings on wealth into a New Zealand context. Defining what wealth is – what it looks like when viewed through the relevant data – is not without some difficulties of definition. As an initial benchmark guide, Rashbrooke navigates this by using the easily understood concept of ‘net wealth’. If someone owns a house worth $500,000 and a mortgage of $300,000 – with no other assets or debts – then they have a ‘net wealth’ of $200,000. Seen through this definition, wealth starts to make more sense on a practical and measurable level. As Piketty’s research showed, private wealth – as opposed to public wealth (government assets) – makes up most of the wealth everywhere. This is an important distinction for it helps us put into proportion what we talk about when we say ‘wealth’ and, subsequently, ‘inequality’. One of the most important factors at play, and of special interest to those providing care and support to the vulnerable, is how the act of owning wealth greatly affects the wellbeing and social mobility of the individuals who have it. Rashbrooke draws from recent studies that show how owning even modest wealth has ‘a range of positive welfare outcomes’ not achieved by those without wealth. While the idea that owning wealth not only creates more income but increases an individual’s participation in the wider community is perhaps not a new thought for those on the front lines, it is, all the same, an important observation. There will no doubt be some – especially among community help and support agencies – who already know of the degree to which owned wealth – and inherited wealth – can effect an individual’s opportunities. Up till this point, the public dialogue around inequality has largely centred on the direct effects of poverty, low income and financial hardship. What Rashbrooke so well illustrates, with legitimate data, is how much excess wealth accumulation entrenches and increases inequality, thus perpetuating poverty for those at the bottom of the equation. That we still fail to see how holistically and symbiotically connected we all are is perhaps the biggest problem of all. In order for the few of our society to have so much, the majority must have less. It is the logical realisation. In essence, this is the problem we now must face and deal with head on if we are to make meaningful advances in our communities. In his book, Rashbrooke ties in a variety of important issues and gives them meaningful context. That those with more wealth will generally live in the same areas, and send their children to the same schools, is one of the surface symptoms of how wealth entrenches inequality. Opportunities are magnified or minimized accordingly, with an obvious advantage to those who have been raised among affluence. More widely covered previously is how tax rates, and their legal avoidance, are disproportionately weighted in the favour of those with not only higher incomes but more accumulated wealth. There is a parallel too with the growing gap between the income of those at the top and bottom. Factors like how the eroding and deregulation of the labour market helped to lower wages but increase stockholder profits, have greatly contributed to deepening the entrenchment of opportunity or its opposite lack. Rashbrooke also covers some of the shortcuts and tax loopholes enjoyed by those with wealth and the means to access the services of proportionally expensive accountants and lawyers. The use of family trusts are a common form of tax avoidance, something which Rashbrooke and Piketty suggest should be revisited and adjusted. An idea that can’t be overstated, and is well covered by Rashbrokke is that ‘inequality is not the problem of the poor’ but the problem for all of us. One of the most common arguments in defense of excessive wealth accumulation is an idea that is at the very heart of our capitalist economies – that those with vast wealth deserve to be wealthy, because they have used innovation or hard work to attain it. As a continuation on the pioneering work from previous studies (like ‘Capital’ and ‘Spirit Level’), Rashbrooke shows that the data just doesn’t support this idea. Where we need to get to as a society in order to defeat or minimize inequality, is towards a more holistic and collective idea of what wealth is and how it should be distributed. Rashbrooke, taking Piketty’s lead, has given some logical and simple suggestions that could indeed reverse the current trend of inequality – that is, if we, as a country and a community, choose to listen. It is well documented that in New Zealand we have a much deregulated economic environment. Wealth tax in the form of inheritance tax, gift tax and capital gains tax were abolished years ago and beginning with the Rogernomics policies of the ‘80’s, tariffs and taxes have been decreased to low or non-existent levels to help attract buyers for our national imports. Using the core ideas of Piketty’s economic predictions – of a return to Victorian era inequality – Rashbrooke carefully points out that indeed, New Zealand is heading this way along with the rest of the Western world – a statement which has earned him both praise and outrage. The choices around inequality that we as a society have in front of us, can be boiled down to a simple idea. That the collective reservoir of wealth is not only finite but intimately connected, from top to bottom. As Rashbrooke has so well said, “Wealth is always created in some sort of partnership between the individual and society,” In other words, we are in this together and can no longer turn a blind eye to the problem. To use the old saying to maximum effect, “Nobody wins unless everybody wins”. Truly. –]]>

Keith Rankin Feature: Through the Cracks

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Feature article by Keith Rankin. This article was also published on TheDailyBlog.co.nz.

While the Greek debt crisis was dominating the world news in late June and early July, another equally significant crisis began to unfold, and is now at its second major stage. Puerto Rico’s government owes US$72 billion dollars “next Tuesday”; money that it cannot pay. (See The Guardian Puerto Rico’s governor tells US Senate the island cannot repay debts, 1 Dec 2015.) Puerto Rico, with 3.5 million people, is of comparable population size to New Zealand, and one-third of the size of Greece. Yet Puerto Rican have fallen through the cracks of world attention and sympathy.

Recent articles in The Economist say things like Quasi-sovereign debt: Puerto Rico doesn’t have the money, Hurricane warning, No way out, The Puerto Rico problem mainland politicians find the territory too hard a place to talk about, A Caribbean fuse, Neither a state nor independent, Another fine debt crisis; Startling parallels between Greece and an American outpost in the Caribbean.

In November the BBC Windows on the World documentary Puerto Rico: The Have Nots and the Have Yachts played on Radio New Zealand (or ‘rnz’ as we are now supposed to call it). Puerto Rico is neither a sovereign nation nor an equal part of a larger sovereign entity. Its people have become denizens (the ‘have nots’) in their own land, much as New Zealanders across the ditch are denizens who have no effective civic rights. Puerto Rico is being bought up lock stock and barrel by rich Americans, the ‘have yachts’.

The specific problem is that the world is organised into a nation state system (the Wilsonian system) that is too rigid, though which has a fuzziness that we find difficult to deal with because we assume too easily that everyone is a citizen of one or other mutually exclusive nation state. In the case of the United States, the main overseas territories in which the people are quasi-Americans rather than actual Americans are Puerto Rico, American Samoa, Guam, Northern Marianas, and the US Virgin Islands.

The European Union itself is a form of fuzziness, with variations of fuzziness linked to the Eurozone and the Schengen agreement for open borders. The United Kingdom is extremely fuzzy. Indeed, some of us may have just discovered that parts of Cyprus – Akrotiri and Dhekelia are a UK overseas territory; an aircraft carrier in the Middle East.

New Zealand retains much fuzziness. We have our own overseas territories: Cook Islands, Tokelau and Niue. (Together these, with the lands Australia covets as its 7th and 8th states, formally formed the Realm of New Zealand in 1983.) New Zealand embraced its own nationhood in many small steps: 1769, 1835, 1840 (2 steps, the second being independence from New South Wales), 1846, 1852, 1857, 1865, 1867, 1876, 1894, 1900, 1907, 1926, 1931, 1934, 1947, 1950, 1972, 1982, 1983, 1986, 1990, 1996, 2001, 2003. 2016 could be another step.

The global solution is not to further entrench the Wilsonian system by removing the fuzziness. The Wilsonian system has already facilitated a form of very lazy thinking on the part of westerners who like to talk about places like Iraq and Syria as if they are nice neat and ordered sovereign entities: country IQ and country SY in the same list as countries US, UK, NZ and SA. (Of course state-Americans, while they impose this structure on the rest of the world, reject it for themselves, on the grounds of entrenched American “exceptionalism”. And why Puerto Ricans – as territory-Americans – do not have the same status as Hawaiians remains a mystery.)

The solution is to embrace the fuzzinesses of identity and ethnicity and nationality. New Zealand residents should be treated as equals in Australia. And Catholics – with their caliph in Rome – should be treated the same as people of other faiths. (Anti-Catholic discrimination has been widespread in the English-speaking world.) Sectarian differences will always create a fuzz-factor that could be seen as a positive rather than as a negative.

Puerto Ricans should be treated as equals to other Americans, in Puerto Rico and elsewhere. They should have the same rights to default on debt as anyone else, and their government likewise should be treated like any other defaulting government (with general reform needed with respect to sovereign debt default).

We introduced limited liability for businesses in the nineteenth century. Most westerners are able to default by becoming bankrupt; rotting in debtors’ prisons is now too Dickensian for most of us to contemplate. Indeed, without these institutions that accept debt-default as a regular and necessary part of life, the economic development of the twentieth century could never have taken place.

Identity is a great thing. We all have multiple identities, including our financial statuses (debtor/creditor, tenant/mortgagor/freeholder) and our various political and cultural affiliations. But under God – whatever or whoever It may be – we are shareholders in our planet, whether we are from Valparaiso, Pago Pago, San Francisco, San Juan, Saipan, Guam, Gundagai, Tubuai, Tangiwai, Chennai, Chengdu, Cebu, Cairo, Christchurch, Wexford, Westport, West Bromwich, Cape Town, Townsville or Palmerston North. We have private identities and public equity. With public equity properly ensconced, we cannot fall through the cracks.

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Bryce Edwards: The political problems of wealth and inequality

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Political Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

Inequality of income and wealth continue to be major post-GFC themes in New Zealand politics. Summing up an important part of the year in politics, Bryce Edwards points to debates and research about these economic problems.

The top political issues for New Zealanders in 2015 continue to revolve around economics, especially those relating to the unequal distribution of wealth and income. The latest Colmar-Brunton poll shows this – see Corin Dann’s two-minute news report this week, Wages fail to keep up with rising cost of Kiwi living, poll suggests. This was also discussed on TVNZ’s Q+A – watch the seven-minute item, Poll results – panel.

Wealth in NZ

In recent years much of the debate has been over income inequality, but in 2015 the focus started shifting towards wealth inequality. As researcher and author Max Rashbrooke explained, wealth can be quite different to income, and in some ways is much more important to deal with. He published a new book which showed that the bottom half of New Zealanders own practically nothing, while the top half have over 90 per cent of all wealth.

You can find out more about Rashbrooke’s new book here: Wealth and New Zealand. And you can read the Introduction from the book here: Income Gets Plenty of Attention – Time to Zoom in on Wealth.

Writing in the Guardian, Max Rashbrooke explained what has happened: “Wages are so low because in the last 30 years the workplace balance of power has shifted away from salary earners and towards the owners of capital, such as shareholders, investors and banks, allowing them to take a growing share of company income. The average New Zealand working person earns $10,000 less than they would if they had kept their early 1990s share of income” – see: New Zealanders need to share our common wealth. Let’s start by discussing inequality.

Rashbrooke also explained his book in a nine-minute interview with Lisa Owen on The Nation – watch: Interview: Max Rashbrooke. Or you can read the transcript. But probably the best summary of Rashbrooke’s findings is his own research report, Wealth Inequality: Who Owns How Much?

See also, Rob Stock’s Max Rashbrooke fears ‘Victorian-style’ levels of wealth inequality. This includes the quote from Rashbrooke that since the 1980s, “Salaried workers have lost around $19 billion a year, or $10,000 per wage earner per year, to the owners of capital.”

For an intelligent discussion of the book – in fact, probably the most interesting response – see economist Geoff Simmons from the Morgan Foundation’s blog post: Who’s New Zealand’s real rich? The results may surprise you.

Simmons praises Rashbrooke’s book for the “rare insight” it brings, and discusses why the issue is important and what some of the possible implications are for public policy. He also give his own summary of wealth statistics: “In 2010 the wealthiest 1% of Kiwis owned 18% of the wealth, the wealthiest 10% had 54%, and the wealthiest 50% had 96% of the wealth. In other words the least wealthy half of the population had 4% of the wealth. Around 8% of the population – 271,000 people had negative net wealth.”

Gareth Morgan has also evaluated Rashbrooke’s solutions, and promotes his own solution – a Comprehensive Capital Income Tax, together with an Unconditional Basic Income – see: Who should pay to reduce poverty? Should it be you?

In contrast, David Farrar considers Rashbrooke’s ideas “the usual hard left policy prescription. Never mind it has failed in every socialist and communist state in the world” – see: The tax and spend solution to inequality.

And if you’re interested in the lifestyles of the young rich kids, Jess McAllen has covered that aspect, with obligatory Max Key photos, in her feature, The haves and the have mores. This follows on from an earlier feature, Super-rich kids: How the other half lives, in which McAllen reports on the partying lifestyles of elite social clubs.

This focus on the kids of the wealthy had some complaining – see David Farrar’s Herald targets Max Key and Nathan Smith’s The inequality debate or why the modern left is failing. On her blog, Jess McAllen justifies her focus on the socialites: Open letter to Nathan Smith.

How wealthy is New Zealand?

A second reason for a new focus on wealth came through the publication in October by Credit Suisse of its Global Wealth Report 2015. According to this, after inequality is taken into account, the average New Zealander is the wealthiest for any country in the world – see David Chaston’s New Zealand scores second on global wealth per capita, and first when adjusted for inequality.

But Rashbrooke has responded to this with a blog post, New Zealand not world’s wealthiest country after, after all. In this he confirmed that the data, taken from the Reserve Bank, had been incorrectly used. The correct data shows that the average New Zealander has “wealth of around US$252,000, as opposed to the US$401,000 originally quoted. That puts us roughly in the middle of the pack with other Western countries, as one would expect.”

So, where do you fit in? To find out where your own asset wealth puts you relative to other New Zealanders, see Rob Stock’s Finding your rung on the wealth ladder.

The increased focus on the wealthy and powerful has been partly reflected in “political roundup” columns I’ve written this year. In June, my column, Is there an establishment in NZ?, pointed to articles dealing with the wealthy. The NBR’s latest annual Rich List was the focus of my July column, Celebrating or condemning the “selfish” super rich?. And the political views of the wealthy in business were explained in my August column, The Business elite view of politics.

Also in August, David Fisher reported on new research by MBIE which shows the motivations and experiences of investor migrants – see: Super-rich love NZ (mostly). And the super-rich are also on the radar of the IRD – see Hamish Fletcher’s NZ’s super rich in taxman’s sights.

The lifestyles of the rich are subsidised in some ways by the broader taxpayers and ratepayers. One example of this was explained by Bernard Hickey last month in his column, In hole for millions.

Here’s Hickey’s key point: “Auckland and the taxpayers of New Zealand were giving billions of dollars to the wealthiest property owners in the land. “Did you know that 1400 members of the Remuera Golf Club receive the exclusive benefit of a piece of Auckland Council-owned land valued at up to $517 million?  The club pays rates of $130,000 a year. If up to 70 per cent of that land was broken up and sold for housing and the rest left in parks, it would produce revenues of $16.5 million a year.  That’s an annual subsidy of $16.37 million, or $11,700 a member. That includes Prime Minister John Key, who is an honorary member.  Even if each member played 50 rounds a year, that would be a subsidy of $233 per round or $13 a hole.”

Left and right united in response. Blogger No Right Turn said “Cities need public spaces. But golf courses aren’t public spaces. Instead, they’re exclusive preserves of the well-to-do, the New Zealand equivalent of a medieval English forest”. He recommended: “Auckland should either redevelop its golf courses, or sell them” – see: Let the rich pay for their own golf courses. Similarly, see David Farrar’s The Remuera Golf Club subsidy.

The Business and CEO world

This month, the annual “Roger Awards” will locate which transnational company has been the worst for New Zealand – see the Daily Blog’s 2015 Roger Award finalists named.

One finalist is Apple. They were also the focus of John Campbell’s new RNZ podcast series – you can listen to his 24-minute investigation into Apple’s high ideals and low tax bill. And for a three-minute update on Apple’s response to Campbell, as well as some photos of Apple’s Auckland office, watch Campbell three-minute video, Apple Update.

A focus on rich bosses has continued in the media – especially public sector CEOs. Last month we learnt about the high pay of public sector bosses, including one who received a $220,000 payment when he stepped down – see Claire Trevett’s The big taxpayer-funded pay rises: $50,000-plus boost for top public CEOs. And for more detail of the pay rates of various jobs across the public sector, at all levels, see: Hottest jobs in the public service. University bosses get paid in excess of $500,000 – see Kirsty Johnston’s Tertiary heads farewelled with ‘golden handshakes’.

In this focus on CEO pay, the private sector has been represented by the big banks, with recent revelations that some banking bosses are earning “up to 120 times more than the average bank teller” – see Tim Fookes’ Gap Between Rich and Poor.

The poor and exploited

The plight of those who actually create the wealth in society – workers – got increased attention in 2015. This was due to more media focus, partly due to some union victories, but also due to the National Government shifting to the left on some industrial issues – see my round up about this from April: Victory for the workers.

Various other elements of the “precariat” received investigation from the media, with one of the best being Michael Morrah’s 12-minute TV3 investigation last month into migrants working in restaurants – watch: NZ’s most vulnerable workers. See also, Michael Morrah’s opinion piece, The exploited.

Such issues have led Duncan Garner to ask a lot of questions about inequality – see his most recent: Are we an equal society?

Related social problems

All year, issues of unaffordable housing – especially for the poor – have been huge. In June, I wrote about Solving the housing crisis, which was a problem due to the “vested interests of politicians”. This was followed by a focus on the poor state of rental housing – see: Anger over ‘slum landlord’ Government. And then, I pointed to arguments that the housing affordability crisis was a “class” one – see: The Housing apartheid problem.

Housing problems continue to be prominent – the latest following last months report by the Salvation Army, showing the impact of the problem on those at the margins – see Shabnam Dastgheib’s Auckland housing crisis makes more children and families homeless – report. See also the Herald’s editorial, Housing hikoi sign of rising social unrest.

A new book also examines the problems – see Rob Stock’s Philippa Howden-Chapman highlights NZ’s increasingly embarrassing housing crisis

The focus on poverty in 2015 reached a high point in May when the Government actually responded to the upsurge in concern for those at the bottom and increased benefits for the first time in decades – see my Political roundup from the time: The government’s Campbell Live budget.

Max Rashbrooke also explained what was happening for his British audience, via the Guardian newspaper – see: What child poverty campaigners in the UK could learn from New Zealand.

And the problems of wealth inequality continue to impact on other social areas – see Tom Haig’s Who has power in the education system? and Alistair Woodward & Tony Blakely’s Unequal Health In New Zealand: Always Like This?

The politics of wealth, economics, and inequality

At the start of this year I made a forecast: “2015 is almost certain to be characterised by more traditional concerns. Primarily these will include the economy and other resource-based issues: unemployment and job growth, inequality, housing, the cost of living, and perhaps the Government’s promised return to budget surplus” – see my January column, What to expect from politics in 2015.

The ongoing strength of the National Government appears to be partly due to their continued concentration on such issues, and the perception they’ve created that they are managing such problems relatively well. And by the end of the year, the Labour Party had become more focused than ever on “bread and butter” economic issues – see my recent column, Where is Andrew Little taking the Labour Party? And how well is he doing it?

Could the political left benefit from more focus on economics and inequality? Absolutely, according to Labour Party dissident Josie Pagani – see her blog post, We need to talk about the one per cent. She makes the case that “Global inequality is the number one issue for the progressive left.” She also argues for: 1) “switching taxes from income to wealth”, 2) “managed markets”, and 3) international treaties and agreements to harmonise economic issues such as tax and trade.

But if the public is already so concerned with inequality, why aren’t the parties of the left doing better? That’s a question discussed by AUT’s Peter Skilling in Perceptions Of Inequality. His answer – with reference to “system justification theory” – is that social psychology means that the framing of the problem can lead to resistance to change. See also Kirk Serpes’ Why we need to stop talking about inequality.

Finally, for a graphic representation of the wealth problem, have a look at New Zealand’s Inequality Tower by RNZ cartoonist Toby Morris.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 03 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 11 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Thursday 3rd December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include Indonesia calling on the New Zealand government to do more to crack down on the abuse of Indonesian fisherman on foreign boats and the Corrections Department hitting back at a critical Ombudsman report on teenage incarceration at Mt Eden prison, saying changes have been made since the report was carried out.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Gallantry awards mark courage and service; Minister opens world class urban cycleway; Special Education Update findings released;Science Challenge invests $7m in advanced food research; Enabling disabled people to live normal lives; Masterton to reap benefits of better broadband; Celebration of milestones in digital learning; Southern DHB Commissioner’s term extended – deficit progress made; Canterbury latest Children’s Team to go live; Minister launches Healthy Families Lower Hutt;Greater transparency in Govt fiscal data; Minister commends top NZ courts; New law and regulations on smoke alarms and insulation; Improving CYF’s response to allegations; Growth in international student enrolments for Wellington

ACT Party: ACT Will Not Support National-Maori RMA Tinkering

Greens: Australia And NZ Greens Call For Human Rights Inquiry; Minister must address teen prison lockdown “akin to torture”; Mojo Mathers launches disability-assist dog Bill; Green Party Bill To Stop Māori Land Confiscations Under The Public Works Act; Review of CYFS investigation into Roastbusters raises further questions of trust; Corrections Minister failing to grasp basics of his portfolio; More SmartGates installed at Auckland Airport

Labour: Prison performance report fail;Nick Smith’s fingerprints over cover-up;Courage of Defence personnel not forgotten;Special education review lost on Ministry; More MoBIE money for sheep – this time $2.6m;Housing failure wider than Weymouth; Last chance for public submissions on Regenerate Christchurch; Customs project continue to escalate; Customs review raises questions about border protection

Māori Party: Māori Party Looks Forward To Ongoing Negotiations On RMA Reform

New Zealand First: National Guilty Of Double Speak In Voting Against Healthcare Bill; ‘Cruelty To Kiwis’ Restricts Pharmac Drug Buying; Better To Go For ‘Tourist Drivers WOF’

NZ National Party: Bishop welcomes Wellington international student growth; Healthy Families for a Healthy Hutt Valley

United Future Party: A total of 452 entries have been received in the 2016 New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards, a pleasing result given the economic climate in the industry. LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

BUILDING ACTIVITY: Building work worth $4.2 billion was put in place in the September 2015 quarter, up 4.6 percent on the September 2014 quarter, according to Statistics New Zealand. More details at: http://bit.ly/1RoeFQY

CYF’S IMPROVEMENTS: Child, Youth and Family is improving its operations and partnerships with other agencies following a review by the Chief Social Worker into CYF’s involvement in the “Roastbusters” case. The Chief Social Worker’s review is available at http://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/newsroom/2015/review-practice-auckland.html

DAIRY AWARDS: A total of 452 entries have been received in the 2016 New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards, a pleasing result given the economic climate in the industry. More information on the awards can be found atwww.dairyindustryawards.co.nz.

HEALTH RESEARCH: High-Value Nutrition National Science Challenge has today announced a $7million research investment funding projects that build the science required to develop innovative new foods, including those that will help babies sleep through the night and better protect children against allergies. Read more:http://www.highvaluenutrition.co.nz/en/news-and-events/october-2015/national-science-challenge-high-value-nutrition-invests–10-9m-i.html

INTERNATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENTS: The International Education Snapshot report shows growth across New Zealand in the first eight months of this year of 13 per cent, or 11,760 international students. The International Education Snapshot: January to August 2015 report is available here:http://www.enz.govt.nz/markets-research/latest-research

LOCAL AUTHORITY PLANS: The Office of the Auditor General has today released a report into the audits of local authorities’ 2015-2025 long term plans. Click here for report: http://www.oag.govt.nz/2015/ltps?utm_source=subs&utm_medium=subs&utm_campaign=LTPs

PEMBROLIZUMAB (KEYTRUDA): PHARMAC has today published the clinical advice it has received on the melanoma treatment pembrolizumab (Keytruda). A summary of the process and clinical advice, and a link to the clinical committee recommendations, is available at http://www.pharmac.health.nz/tools-resources/research/pembrolizumab

PERSONS WITH DISABILITY: This year the Human Rights Commission is leading a nationwide campaign to generate engagement across New Zealand with the United Nations Day of Persons with Disabilities – 3 December 2015. This is a day of celebration and focus for people with disabilities. Read more: https://www.hrc.co.nz/idpd/

SPECIAL EDUCATION UPDATE: Findings of 156 Special Education Update engagement forums held by the Ministry of Education with over 3,650 people across New Zealand, including parents, families and educators was released today. The findings, action plan and further information can be found here: http://www.education.govt.nz/ministry-of-education/specific-initiatives/special-education-update/

TRANSPARENCY IN GOVT DATA: Data released today by Treasury and Figure.NZ makes is even easier for the public to dig into the Crown’s books for details on its spending and revenue.The full release can be found athttp://figure.nz/sources/S25YoIwXRaP4CS1Q

WORLD CLASS URBAN CYCLEWAY: Auckland’s most ambitious cycleway, the $15 million Nelson Street Cycleway has opened. The path runs from Upper Queen Street to Victoria Street and links to existing cycle ways.For more information on the Nelson Street Cycleway: https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/nelson-street-cycleway/

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Thursday 3rd December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Tony Alexander’s Weekly New Zealand Economic Overview December 4 2015

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Economic Analysis by Tony Alexander.

[caption id="attachment_3709" align="alignleft" width="300"]Tony Alexander, BNZ economist. Tony Alexander, BNZ economist.[/caption]

In this week’s Overview I take a look at the implications for someone approaching or even in retirement of sustained low returns on conservative assets like term deposits, rising life expectancy, the coming slowing in labour force growth once the current migration boom eventually eases off, and the social connectivity which continued employment can bring.

On the interest rates front there is little worth writing about this week beyond seeing if the Reserve Bank cuts the cash rate one last time back to 2.5% next Thursday. Regarding the NZ dollar the week has been one of strength and it pays to remember that compared with the rest of the world we stick out as having great economic fundamentals and some good growth drivers for the next few years.

For the full analysis, click here Download document pdf 304kb, or continue reading below.

Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night I mention this theme of raging against the dying light (Dylan Thomas, 1947) because after giving a talk in Rotorua last week a 65 year old man came up to me and asked whether I thought it was a good idea for him to be buying his first home now. I wholeheartedly said yes if that is what he wants. Getting into one’s first home is an exciting time so unless someone presents me with some fairly dire financials my answer will usually be in the affirmative. The main reason I said yes however was that who would not want to undertake such a wonderful thing at a time when for decades we have been told that come 65 we are supposed to fade out of sight and confine ourselves to walking a small dog along the beach, riding buses for free outside peak times, and doing our best to not be a burden on the state. The message for at least 25 years has been that old people will be a problem for the rest of us and they will cause our taxes to rise. One ancillary message has been that people need to save more for their retirement. But that makes near no difference to the fiscal impact unless you tie superannuation payments to the amount people have saved up, the value of assets they own generally, the income they earn. All of these things are present in Australia but few votes go to any politicians in New Zealand who propose not even abating national superannuation but simply raising the retirement age. Saving for retirement is simply a very good idea regardless of your view of the sustainability of our superannuation scheme because accruing a diversified asset portfolio over time by sacrificing small amounts of consumption (saving) over a period of decades allows that capital to work for a person through compounding effects. The accrued assets give options in one’s later years which will not exist for those who receive only national superannuation. But it is not the saving issue which I wish to address here and I certainly feel no compunction to try and scare the bejeebers out of people so they do cut spending and boost saving. Instead I wish to focus on the interaction between four things.

Sustained low interest rates

Increasing life expectancy

The tightening up of the labour market facing employers

The joy gained from working

A key theme which I have been increasingly dropping into commentary since early this year is that the factors driving inflation globally have altered, low inflation is getting locked in, and that means low interest rates for a very long period of time. Probably decades. If you are planning on your term deposit rates sometime in the next five years jumping up to 5% – 6% then I think you will spend a lot of time being disappointed. Low returns from the most conservative of portfolios means there is a very strong incentive for people to not switch away from equities and property as much as they approach retirement as might have been the case if we were still in the 1980s, 1990s, or 2000s before 2008. The case for young savers having a higher risk growth-oriented portfolio is even more compelling. Low returns say to older people that there is value in holding onto investment property for the yield it will give and the long-term capital gain potential. Same for shares, local and offshore. In fact, in the words of a respondent to our BNZ Confidence Survey sent out last Friday morning…” I am retired, saved hard all my working life, (80 before I retired) hoping to live on my savings etc. plus a little extra in the form of interest. Low interest rates to folks like us are a disaster. All day to day costs insurances, rates and the likes keep increasing. Regards BNZ client” Which brings me to the second very important point. We are living longer and longer as medicines and medical procedures improve, and as those who take notice of the evidence and the warnings curb their calorie intake, smoking and drinking. Rather than retire at 65 and die by 75-80 people will increasingly anticipate living into their 90s when perhaps come 95 they will go skydiving. People will need retirement era income over a far longer period of time than previously anticipated. That adds to the argument driven by sustained low interest rates to bias one’s portfolio away from low yielding cash, term deposits and government bonds toward equities, corporate bonds, and property in its various forms. This means not just holding onto one’s investment properties but perhaps buying more – which is one factor I believe is helping to underpin our housing markets currently. It also argues, as I have long contended, against the idea that one should sell one’s three or four bedroom house and shift as soon as possible into a low maintenance unit. It can pay to keep the spare bedrooms for the grandkids to use (both their parents are working and they need to offload the kids during school holidays). Also the spare rooms can be rented out on Airbnb to Swedish backpackers named Helga for $100+ a night. Third, why stop working when there are plenty of employers having it slowly dawn on them that they need to employ more older people. Once this current migration boom passes the labour force growth rate will plummet. Employers will struggle to get staff and opportunities facing older people to remain in gainful employment will multiply. That is fortunate because in an environment of low returns on most portfolios many people may need to work to supplement their retirement income. My advice to employers is to think about how older employees could be usefully employed. Which brings me to my final point. Why stop working, even if you no longer need the money? The chances are you have not spent your life herding sheep or lugging coal so you will be in better physical shape than past retiring generations and able to keep working beyond 65. While plenty of people have great social networks and engage in many social activities, in my experience most people do not. They pretend to be loving life and actively engaged in things – but they aren’t really. In that regard these older people are exactly like most young people – pretending to be part of some crowd because society demands that we not look too weird, and being alone is considered exactly that – weird. So we make up friends and outings, or perhaps more accurately allow the implication to lie in the air that we are more engaged than we really are. Don’t ask, don’t tell. Work delivers social engagement even if it may not extend into the weekends or evenings. Actually, the nature of working these days is less and less nine to five Monday to Friday so all hours can be encompassed by work. At this point some people will be thinking “but what type of work will these older people do? Maybe they will end up flipping burgers.” Fantastic. Who would not want to be a 73 year old tossing buns surrounded by pizza-faced kids shaking and overcome by FOMO because they cannot access their ‘phone in the work environment, worried about who they saw with who last weekend, pretending they know more than they do, fretting about so many really simple things. It would be hilarious. Just be careful not to get too up yourself as you shake your head at the impulsiveness and the earnest nature of youth. There is a risk that if at some point you say you wish you knew back then what you know now how different it would be, that someone asks “What exactly is it you know?” (Yes, that was a reference to one of my favourite BNZ ads of some years ago, along with the one with a clever bloke advising his jogging friend not to run home behind a bus to save $2, but to run home behind a taxi and save twenty!) The upshot of this article then is this. Don’t let the buggers talk you into retiring like you’ll be doing the world a favour. Stick in it, perhaps build a “portfolio” of part-time jobs, and embrace the social interaction it will bring along with the extra money coming in. We’ll all eventually have more than enough time to be in that good night. Why hurry the process by missing an opportunity for life-lengthening social engagement? And discuss with your financial advisor options for boosting long-term returns from growth assets by not switching as much of one’s portfolio to conservative, low yielding assets as one approaches 65 as was the recommendation before 2008. Driverless Cars I received an email after last week’s lead article on driverless cars which included this section. “Your most current Overview coincides with my taking delivery of a new Tesla Model S last night here in Washington DC, so your driverless car topic was quite timely. It seems like a great car so far (traded a Ford Focus Electric (all electric)) for the greater range and size of the Tesla S. The S now has autopilot, so literally from the time I put it on the highway to home last night, the car drove itself, paced its distance to the car in front of me, varied its speed in traffic accordingly keeping its distance, took the curves and bends in the road, all without input from me (other than my foot hovering over the brake pedal cautiously). I do think that if it encountered the kiwi possum, it might do contortions to miss it. I will email Mr. Elon Musk to see if version 7.1 can’t screen this troublesome glitch out of the system.” Housing The upward trend in the number of consents being issued for dwellings to be built in New Zealand continues. In seasonally adjusted terms consent numbers rose by 5.1% in October after falling 5.8% in September taking the three month gain to 2.8% from 7.2% three months ago – meaning a slowing trend for the moment in issuance growth. However full-year consents were up 8.5% and 17.4% above the 20 year average number. Growth is occurring though not at an especially rapid rate. In Auckland consents have grown by 20.1% over the year and at 8,935 sit 18% above the 20 year average. Things are moving in the right direction but the level of activity is still very low and certainly, as pointed out last week, well below the level needed to start eating away at the backlog. The shortage of houses in Auckland continues to worsen. In Canterbury consents over the past year have fallen 2.5% which is the first annual decline since the start of 2012. At 6,810 the 12 month consent total is 91% above the 20 year average and falling. Outside of our two biggest cities consents totalled 10,637 and this was a rise of 7.6% from the year to October 2014. The underlying annual growth rate is sitting close to 20% and may accelerate as rising regional house prices lead people to build new rather than buy used. NZ Dollar The NZD has firmed against all bar the AUD this past week, assisted by a small rise in dairy prices and perhaps simply the absence of any new weak data allowing any view to develop that our economy’s growth rate is slowing. If anything, after the mid-year lull, it is accelerating again. Our gain against the Euro was assisted by expectations of increased money printing soon, against the Yen, by the fresh Japanese recession, and the GBP by weak economic data. We look quite good compared with most of the rest of the world hence exporters should not have an expectation that the NZD falls much in the coming year. Chances are we go up instead. If I Were A Borrower What Would I Do? Fix one or two years. I struggle to make any case for fixed rates rising much in the near future. But keep an eye on US monetary policy tightening which is likely to start soon. Higher US rates will tend to lift medium to long-term NZ fixed rates but there is no certainty at all about how much US rates rise, how rapidly etc. The biggest monetary policy experiment in decades is about to start. For Noting You can write the story of NZ’s economy during 2015 using as your central character the monthly business confidence measure gathered in the ANZ Business Outlook Survey. We started the year with the first survey in February showing a net 34% of businesses expecting the economy to improve over the coming year. A net 23% planned hiring more people and a net 22% planned boosting capital spending. Come August however a net 29% were feeling pessimistic, only a net 3% planned hiring more people, and a net 0% planned extra investment. The slumping of these measures was driven by the 50% fall in international dairy prices between March and August, the Kiwi dollar almost hitting parity against the Aussie dollar, worries about Greece, worries about China, and slowing house construction in Christchurch. But the latest readings of the sentiment measures for economic growth, employment, and investment are now respectively 15%, 14%, and 15%. Average readings are in turn 15%, 7%, and 11%. So things are average to slightly better than average and this backs up our expectation of near 2.5% growth in the economy over the coming year. –]]>

NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 04 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 6 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Friday 4th December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include new statistics by the Health Quality & Safety Commission showing 277 patients suffered serious harm, including broken bones from falls, in hospitals in a year and the first study by the University of Auckland comparing the sky-rocketing price of cancer drugs shows that costs vary wildly from country to country.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Benefits to rise after Child Hardship Bill passes; Resource Management changes pass first reading; Give a hand to your community this holiday; Attitude Award winners an inspiration; Healthier Lives Challenge tackles major diseases; Alignment of NZ and Australian qualifications frameworks; West Coast community congratulated for achieving Lake Brunner water quality target; Cambridge hosts track cycling world cup event

Greens: National Government wins another fossil; Waihi community shouldn’t be undermined by goldmining; Super Fund and ACC should Divest for Paris

Labour: Nick Smith misleads Parliament over pool laws; Committee rejects families’ plea for hearing; Top heritage building not safe yet

Māori Party: Māori Party Welcomes Debate On Public Works Bill; Māori Party supports Safe Sleep Day

New Zealand First: Another Flip Flop By A National Minister – Smith Bows To ‘Brownmail’; New Health And Safety Laws Could Cost Workers Their Homes

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

CANCER DRUG PRICES: The first study comparing the sky-rocketing price of cancer drugs shows that costs vary wildly from country to country.The study was published published recently in The Lancet Oncology and is available at:http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanonc/issue/current

INTERNATIONAL VOLUNTEER DAY: Volunteering New Zealand (VNZ) celebrates New Zealand’s volunteers and volunteering in general on International Volunteer Day (IVD) on 5th December. Read more:http://www.volunteeringnz.org.nz/international-volunteer-day/

HEALTH REPORT: Each year, health care adverse events are reported to the Health Quality & Safety Commission by district health boards (DHBs) and other health care providers. Click here for the report:http://www.hqsc.govt.nz/assets/Reportable-Events/Publications/learning-from-adverse-events-Dec-2015.pdf

HEALTHIER LIVES CHALLENGE: The Healthier Lives National Science Challenge, which aims to reduce the financial burden of major health problems, with funding of up to $31.3 million over 10 years was launched today. For more information about the National Science Challenges, visit http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/science-innovation/national-science-challenges/

HUTT CITY YOUTH AWARDS: Athletes, leaders and entrepreneurs were among the winners celebrated at the inaugural Hutt City Youth Awards ceremony held in Lower Hutt last night. For a full list of nominees, winners and prizes go to: www.huttcityyouthawards.co.nz/2015/12/03/hutt-city-youth-awards-winners/

QUALIFICATION FRAMEWORK: Enhancing mobility – Referencing of the Australian and New Zealand Qualifications Framework was released today by the Governments of New Zealand and Australia. A report which aligns the levels of the qualifications frameworks of New Zealand and Australia. A copy of the report is available here:http://www.nzqa.govt.nz/about-us/our-role/our-role-in-international-education/country-specific-recognition-arrangements/australia/

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Friday 4th December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Special Report: Asia Pacific: Response to Climate Change

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This Special Report is by Dr. Shamshad Akhtar.

EDITOR’S NOTE: The author is an Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations and Executive Secretary of the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). She is also the UN’s Sherpa for the G20 and previously served as Governor of the Central Bank of Pakistan and Vice President of the MENA Region of the World Bank. This is Dr. Shamshad Akhtar first article with EveningReport.nz.

[caption id="attachment_8376" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Shamshad Akhtar. Dr Shamshad Akhtar.[/caption]

Global leaders are gathered in Paris for the COP21 climate summit. Given Asia-Pacific’s size and its contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions, its voice and commitment are critical to achieving a comprehensive agreement on climate change. Many Asia Pacific countries are developing and must focus on achieving sustained economic growth and  development.

Of the 49 regional members of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 43 have a light climate footprint, contributing only 10 per cent to global emissions. For these countries, notably the least developed countries, Pacific islands and low-lying states, vulnerability to climate-related natural disasters will grow with climate change.  At the other extreme, the region is home to six of the top 10 emitters in the world – China, India, Russia, Japan, Indonesia and Iran – which account for about 43 per cent of global emissions. Of these top six Asian emitters, fossil fuel-based energy is responsible for about 80 per cent of their collective emissions, with emissions from industrial processes, agriculture and waste playing a lesser role. Mitigating the emissions of these countries requires multiple actions, key among which is a switch from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources.

Of the 183 countries that have submitted Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 43 are from the Asia-Pacific region. Countries across the region have indicated both conditional and unconditional reductions of greenhouse gas emissions. These include economy-wide emissions targets or deviation from a business as usual (BAU) scenario to an intensity targets of emissions per unit of GDP. Many INDCs, particularly those from the developing countries, include an overall rise in emissions by 2030.

While this is remarkable in its own right, they still leave a significant gap between the INDCs pledged and the cuts required to keep the temperature increase to below two degrees Celsius warming limit.  This gap is close to 16 billion tonnes of CO2 reductions per annum by 2030, roughly equal to the current emissions of China, India, and Russia combined. The only way we can bridge this gap is if we collectively treat the INDCs announced as the floor to be raised by enabling countries to adopt and implement additional measures needed with technical, financial and capacity support.

Despite the present gap between the INDCs and the necessary emission reductions, progress is underway in our region. This not only sets specific economies on course for a low carbon future, but will also alter the global dynamics. China’s INDC, for instance, targets emissions to peak by 2030 at the latest, and for emissions intensity of GDP to decline by 60 to 65 per cent. Progress in energy efficiency, switching to gas and the development of hydro, wind and solar energy has now begun to show results, with China’s coal consumption having peaked in 2013. India proposes to reduce emissions per unit of GDP by 33 to 35 per cent, and to ensure that 40 per cent of its power generation capacity is from non-fossil sources by 2030. In support of this objective, India plans to install 60 gigawatts of wind power and 100 gigawatts of solar power capacity by 2022, a six-fold increase over the current capacity.

Changes in the energy generation mix, efficiency and conservation of energy use and developing carbon sinks through reforestation and soil carbon will be important strategies to stabilize emissions in the Asia-Pacific region.  There has been some progress on all these fronts in our region, but more needs to be done. With advanced energy efficiency, the region could save 35 per cent of its energy consumption against business as usual by 2035.  (Asian Development Bank, Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific 2013, http://adb.org/sites/default/files/pub/2013/energy-outlook.pdf)  As the region’s urban population is expected to reach 3.2 billion by 2050, there is an opportunity to pioneer low carbon cities with energy efficient buildings, innovative urban planning and efficient transportation systems. There is also a need to switch from coal to renewables and to promote cleaner coal technologies, as coal still accounts for 55 per cent of electricity generation in the Asia-Pacific. In adopting clean energy alternatives countries are also addressing the scourge of air pollution, which has emerged as a grim reality for many city dwellers across the region. While non-hydro renewables such as wind and solar currently contribute less than 2 per cent of regional electricity generation, growth has been rapid from a small base. The expected shift to renewables will be a net benefit for Asian economies. It will reduce dependence on imported fuels as the region is a net energy importer, enhance energy security and improve the balance of payments.  To harness a low carbon future, the region needs to further tap its tax potential, which could be raised by 5 per cent of GDP. This would potentially mobilize $1.5 trillion while private sector savings in the region are close to $6 trillion.

The success of the COP21 climate summit is critical for all of us as climate change does not respect boundaries and no one can escape its effects. Country submissions for emission reduction are good starting point but remain nonbinding targets. The steep growth in energy demand in the Asia-Pacific means more will need to be done to increase the overall penetration of renewable energy in the coming decades, with collective and concerted actions critical to addressing the problem at its source.  The future of our region and indeed of our planet hinges on the Asia-Pacific region mobilizing its skills and resources to find enduring solutions.

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Expert analyses of TPPA on process and investment chapters released

University of Auckland investment law expert Amokura Kawharu has written a paper on TPPA investment issues + Professor Jane Kelsey writes on the steps to be taken in New Zealand and the United States toward ratification of the TPPA.

 

The first two in a series of expert peer-reviewed papers analysing the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement from a New Zealand perspective were released today.

The series has been supported by a grant from the New Zealand Law Foundation and the research papers will be posted on the website https://tpplegal.wordpress.com/nzlf-expert-paper-series/ as they are completed.

University of Auckland investment law expert Amokura Kawharu, co-author of Williams and Kawharu on Arbitration, has written the paper on chapter 9: Investment.

She concludes that the chapter provides an overall greater level of protection for foreign investors and their investments as compared with New Zealand’s existing trade and investment treaties.

While there are some exceptions, for example on the screening mechanism for foreign investment, they are generally narrowly drawn.

Investors can also take claims to arbitration on the basis of alleged breaches of certain types of government contracts, something that New Zealand has never agreed to before.

‘While the text includes novel safeguards which are aimed at clarifying the purpose of the rules and preserving policy space, some issues are not addressed, and the scope of the rules and the exceptions (and therefore the government’s right to regulate in the public interest) remains uncertain,’ said Ms Kawharu.

The second paper by University of Auckland law professor Jane Kelsey outlines various process aspects of the TPPA, including the steps to be taken in New Zealand and the United States for ratification of the agreement, the pre-requisites to the agreement coming into force, and the internal machinery for operation and enforcement of the agreement.

Professor Kelsey observes that the 30-chapter agreement constrains domestic law and policy at central government level, and in places by local government and SOEs, in diverse areas beyond traditional aspects of international trade.

Analysis of the US process suggests there is a significant chance there will be no vote in the US Congress before a new administration takes office in 2017, which may seek to renegotiate the agreement, add new side-letters or withhold certification of compliance by other countries until further changes are made.

The TPP Commission’s powers, chapter-specific committees and inbuilt renegotiations will supervise compliance and could extend the initial TPPA obligations. Professor Kelsey warned that the cumulative opportunities for foreign states and corporations to influence domestic decisions may be burdensome and intrusive.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 02 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 6 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 2nd December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle includes a report by The New Zealand Initiative highlighting the need to find ways to incentivise local authorities to be more open to economic growth if local government is to meet the looming infrastructure and aging population challenges, farmers in South Canterbury are hoping farms in the North Island will help restock and provide feed as the region faces one of the driest periods in decades and International dairy prices rebounding slightly at the GlobalDairyTrade auction overnight.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: NZ-German joint project wins recognition; PM meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel; VorTech drone wins C-Prize competition; Cancer nurse coordinators play key role; Foss welcomes $25 million boost for visiting driver safety; 3K to Work launched across New Zealand; Extra $12m for two Auckland schools to address roll growth; NZ ratifies UN Convention Against Corruption; Expanded powers for DOC rangers under new bill

Greens: Government to be asked to come clean on fossil fuel subsidies; Green Party To Vote Against National’s RMA Changes; Parliament to debate supermarket referee to give suppliers a fair go; Govt keeping consumers in the dark about hepatitis scare

Labour:Unfinished Canterbury claims used for surplus; Maori trust million dollar legal blow out; CoOL approach needed for frozen imported berries; Government needs to act on Japanese whaling; Cancer patients forced to keep begging; South Island unemployment rises 32% in 2015

New Zealand First: Minister a no-hoper on housing; Stewart Islanders’ Shark Dive Fears Neglected By Arrogant Minister; New Zealand First Bill Proposes Major Health System Benefits

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

CANCER NURSE EVALUATION: The independent evaluation by research consultancy Litmus comes two years into the $4 million a year initiative to fund cancer nurse coordinators across the 20 DHBs. The evaluation report can be viewed at : http://www.health.govt.nz/publication/evaluation-cancer-nurse-coordinator-initiative-second-annual-report

EXPORTS LEAD TRADE SURPLUS: New Zealand earned $2.8 billion more from exports than spent on imports during the year ended September 2015, according to Statistics New Zealand. Read more: http://bit.ly/1HFlyeF

LOCAL GOVERNMENT NEEDS: New Zealand urgently needs to find ways to incentivise local authorities to be more open to economic growth if local government is to meet the looming infrastructure and aging population challenges according to a report by The New Zealand Initiative. The report : The Local Formula: Myths, Facts & Challenges is available at: http://nzinitiative.org.nz/site/nzinitiative/files/The%20Local%20Formula.pdf

NEW SUICIDE PREVENTION RESOURCE: The Mental Health Foundation (MHF) has released its newest resource – Are you worried someone is thinking of suicide? Advice for families, whānau and friends. Click here for more:http://shop.mentalhealth.org.nz/product/762-worried-someone-is-thinking-of-suicide-

PHILANTHROPY NZ REPORT: Philanthropy New Zealand today released the 2014 Giving New Zealand report, sponsored by Perpetual Guardian.Giving New Zealand – Philanthropic Funding 2014 can be accessed at the following web link: http://www.philanthropy.org.nz/sites/all/files/Giving%20New%20Zealand%202014.pdf

TRAVEL CARD RESEARCH: Travel cards can provide a safe and convenient way to pay for things when you are overseas, but if you use one that’s not suited to your requirements, there could be problems and unexpected costs, says Banking Ombudsman Nicola Sladden. Go here for more: https://bankomb.org.nz/news-and-publications/quick-guides/item/looking-after-your-credit-and-debit-cards-and-pins

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 2nd December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Week: Asian Finance 1995-2014

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Economic analysis by Keith Rankin.

Asian-financial-balances_1995-2014

On 30 September I published a chart showing twenty-year averages of the private-sector and public-sector financial balances in a wide range of countries (Spread of Financial Balances by Country, 1995-2014).

This week’s chart focuses on the Asian region, and shows structural differences between these countries and New Zealand in particular and much of the rest of the world in general. (Note that the New Zealand figure in particular has moved slightly due to an upgrade of the IMF data, published in October.)

We see that all the Asian countries appear in the right-half – in Quadrants 1 and 2 – which means that they have private sectors which spend (including spending on new investment goods such as factories and equipment) less than they earn. Offsetting that, most have persistent government deficits; this means that the main intersectoral financial flow in these countries is from the private sector to the government sector. However, with the weight of Asia to the right of the dashed line, it also means there is a substantial net flow from Asia’s private sector to Asia’s foreign sector, meaning to countries like New Zealand operating well to the left of the dashed line. This is strongly consistent with a pattern of Asian money flowing to – and seeking returns in – western countries, and non-Asian emerging economies in Africa, Latin America and Eastern Europe.

On 14 November The Economist published a feature article Pulled Back In about private debt in emerging economies. The article identifies Singapore, Malaysia, China, Korea and Thailand as all having significant and growing private sector debt. Not included in the article, but almost certainly up there, will be Taiwan and Hong Kong.

This finding seems completely inconsistent with the financial balances data plotted in the chart. These countries are all substantial creditor countries, in that they save and lend to or otherwise purchase financial assets in the ‘debtor’ countries to the left of the dashed line. Yet they are identified as having among the highest rates of private debt in the world. The Economist says: “The classic sort of emerging market has a current-account deficit and is prone to inflation…. The other kind, too new to feature in textbooks [my emphasis] on emerging market crises, has a hearty current-account surplus, huge foreign-exchange reserves and decent public finances – but lots of private debt and an excess of goods-producing capacity, leaving it prone to deflation”.

What it means is that financial institutions (especially banks) in these Asian countries are lending massive amounts to their own people, who are in turn buying financial assets in other parts of the world. Of particular significance as global ‘investors’ is Singapore and Malaysia, both countries with many people with “Chinese-sounding names” (see my What’s in a Name?). In London, one famous Malaysian project is the redevelopment of Battersea Power Station (Battersea – the pride of Britain and Malaysia, The Star Online, 25 July 2015).

The juxtaposition of this week’s chart and The Economist chart (“Big and Bigger”, in the cited article) tells us that, on a large scale, people in Singapore, Malaysia and China (and almost certainly Taiwan) have been borrowing money from their own banks and buying existing and refurbished assets in countries like New Zealand. This is nothing new. It’s a pattern going back to the beginning of the century (noting that Malaysia at least changed its financial behaviour dramatically – from global debtor to global creditor – after the 1998 Asian crisis).

This is leveraged speculation; it’s not a simple case of finding outlets for savings. It means that many quite rich people are getting heavily into debt in order to buy foreign assets that they believe will substantially appreciate in value. It means that the next big financial crisis will most likely start as an East Asian banking crisis. Leveraged speculation can make spectacular financial gains. And spectacular losses.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The rise of gender politics and feminism

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="300"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

The rise of gender politics and feminism – Feminism is on the rise. This year has seen a greater focus on gender issues than perhaps ever before. This extended column looks back on one of the most important trends in New Zealand politics in 2015.

A variety of different gender issues have been part of the political conversation in New Zealand this year. Some have been focused at the elite level – such as how to get more women into the ranks of the political or financial establishment. Other debates have been about attitudes, ideas and behaviours – especially “casual sexism” – but also about domestic violence. And another focus has been on the women at the bottom of the heap – those struggling on low pay.

The variety of gender politics stories show how feminist politics has now moved from the margins into the mainstream. Now it seems almost everyone wants to call themselves a feminist – from Judith Collins through to Police Commissioner Mike Bush.

Who is a feminist?

Are you a feminist? It’s becoming increasing popular to identify as feminist, even if you’re a man, and especially if you’re a politician. This year has seen a surge of concern about gender inequality, discrimination and the degraded position of women in many aspects of New Zealand life. A number of high profile advocates for women’s rights have spoken out recently. And many of these are men: a campaign was launched on Friday to get men on board the feminist struggle – see Simon Collins’ Men sign up to feminist cause.

Much of the debate about feminism equates “being a feminist” with being “pro-women” or in favour of women’s equality and human rights. This categorisation is fraught, and makes nearly everyone a feminist at one level or another. Certainly amongst the men signing up to the “HeforShe” campaign there are a few surprises – some of the more high profile are: Police Commissioner Mike Bush, Governor-General Jerry Mateparae, Gareth Morgan, Wallace Chapman and Jack Tame. Of course David Cunliffe was at the forefront of this movement last year with his apology for being a man.

Not all male commentators are impressed with the “HeforShe” campaign – Chris Trotter gives his reasons in a blog post, Window Dressing A Dark Reality: Why I won’t be signing on to “HeForShe” anytime soon. But for a different view on why men should be standing up on gender issues, see Johnny Moore’s Here’s why I’m a feminist.

It’s obviously not just middle-aged men rallying to the feminist cause. The above articles simply point to the more mainstream and surprising new voices of gender politics. The feminist label is being adopted more readily now amongst teenagers, after a period of reluctance to use this term. Back in May, Jeremy Olds wrote a feature story about The rise of high school feminism. In this, students explain why they have been setting up feminist clubs.

Plenty of other prominent men and women have made pronouncements about feminism this year. Comedian Michele A’Court published a book – Stuff I Forgot to Tell My Daughter – largely about gender issues and “the fourth wave of feminism”, and she was the subject of an interesting interview with Philip Matthews – see: Michele A’Court is trying to make NZ feminism fun.

TV3 broadcaster Paul Henry got himself into trouble earlier in the year when he disagreed with Hillary Clinton and Helen Clark allegedly running for office on the basis of their gender – watch the six-minute video: Dr Jackie Blue: Paul Henry wrong on feminism. He also received an interesting response from Narelle Henson – see: Paul Henry, feminism and disagreeing with Dr Jackie Blue. See also Rodney Hide’s Blue misses point on feminism.

National’s progress with women

Feminism used to be associated with the political left, but today’s feminist agendas are often pushed from the political right, including within the National Party. Probably the most prominent MP speaking out this year on gender issues has been National’s Judith Collins. In May she talked about her feminism and what it means to her, stating “I’ve been a feminist a lot longer than most people. I’ve been a feminist all my life” – see the NBR’s Lifelong feminist Judith Collins wants cabinet job back.

This was in a 10-minute interview with Heather du Plessis-Allen on TVNZ’s Q+A – see: Judith Collins wants Cabinet job back – ‘It’s up to the PM’. And Nikki Kaye commented last month on her own gender politics – see Catherine Fu’s Nikki Kaye on following her conscience, feminism and what she’d tell her 20-year-old self.

Women ministers have been increasingly visible in John Key’s National Government this year, with Amy Adams, Paula Bennett, Maggie Barry and Anne Tolley all being foils to an at times “very blokey” administration, according to the NBR’s Rob Hosking – see his (paywalled) column, Government’s women ministers to the fore.

Hosking outlines the increasingly strong role of the Government’s female ministers and argues, “This highlighting of National’s women ministers could be dismissed as coincidence but that seems a stretch. It certainly isn’t tokenism, however: most of these initiatives are part of the business of the government this year, in some cases major parts of it.”

Justice Minister Amy Adams has been lauded for her progress on gender issues. Since taking on her justice job she has made domestic violence reform her top priority, which in August received backing from opposition parties – see Andrea Vance’s Killing the family pet could become a crime in law overhaul.

And Adams’ establishment of the new role of Chief Victims Advisor, and especially her appointment of longtime campaigner Kim Mcgregor to the role, has been very well received amongst women’s groups – see Shane Cowlishaw’s Rape prevention campaigner Kim Mcgregor appointed new Chief Victims Advisor.

There have been other gender initiatives for which the Government has received praise – for example last month trade unions and the Greens congratulated National on establishing a joint group to deal with establishing the principles for working out how to apply equal pay rules across industries – see Peter Wilson and Sarah Robson’s Government hailed for equal pay initiative.

National’s problem with women

John Key’s “rapist” allegations in the debate about the Australian detention centres has clearly made the Prime Minister vulnerable to counter-allegations that he’s insensitive to rape victims and gender issues. His refusal to apologise for any offence caused has been criticised by the Herald – see its editorial, Why John Key should say sorry.

And the Herald’s political editor Audrey Young says the episode “suggests he is willing to squander his reserves of political capital – in particular with women” – see:  Key attack leaves him offside with women. Fellow columnist Paul Little paints Key as an old-fashioned male chauvinist for how he has handled his opponents: “he is about old-fashioned values, like putting women in their place, teaching them to be seen and not heard, and never backing down or apologising, especially when you’re in the wrong” – see: John Key put those women in their place.

But National’s Michelle Boag has received even more heated criticism for her judgements on the women MPs who walked out of Parliament. She accused them of “parading their victimhood” – see Sam Sachdeva’s MPs who shared sexual assault stories ‘paraded their victimhood’ – Michelle Boag.

The strongest response came from Alison Mau – see her RadioLive article: Michelle Boag, when is it okay for victims to speak up? And the Southland Times also called her comments “arrant rubbish. Stunningly so” – see the editorial, Boag wrong to rain on “victimhood parade”.

Others on the left were quick to condemn – see Chris Trotter’s Victimisers On Parade: National Demonstrates Why It’s Unfit To Govern A Decent Country, Jessie Hume’s Michelle Boag Thinks Survivors Should Shut Up and Rachael Goldsmith’s Open Letter to Michelle Boag. But not all lefties were hostile to Boag’s position – see socialist activist Philip Ferguson’s Memo to NZ’s cosseted bourgeois politicians: No, Christmas Island actually isn’t about you

Sexism in parliamentary politics

Debate continues about whether the National Government will be harmed by John Key’s controversial “rapist” comments, with Patrick Gower reporting last week National still ahead in polls despite ‘rapist’ remarks.

But this is only the latest in a line of contentious debates this year about sexism in politics. A couple of months ago, it was all about Labour’s fast-rising new star, and whether she was being unfairly categorised – see my column at the time, Jacinda Ardern and the “pretty little thing” debate. See also, Ardern’s blog post, I am a feminist.

This episode led to further examination of gender issues in Parliament. TVNZ’s Q+A put together a 12-minute panel discussion on Sexism and politics, featuring Judith Collins, Annette King, Julie Anne Genter and Claire Robinson. And RNZ’s Amelia Langford asked: How sexist is New Zealand politics? For more on the topic you can also listen to her 18-minute Focus on Politics for 30 October 2015.

This has fuelled even more concern about the under-representation of women in politics – particularly Parliament and Cabinet. The Green Party has responded with an announcement from co-leader James Shaw that “half of its Cabinet will be women if it enters Government” – see Isaac Davison’s Green Party to have 50/50 split men and women.

This received praise from bloggers – see, for example, No Right Turn’s A commitment to equality. But not all agreed that it was the best way to deal with the problem – listen to Rachel Smalley’s one-minute talk, Gender quota misses the point. See also James Shaw’s interview with Ben Mack About gender equality, quotas, the pay gap and the future of New Zealand.

Women at the top

It’s a sign of how mainstream feminism has become, that today much of the gender politics agenda is about the women at the top – the broadcasters, CEOs, politicians and others in positions of power. There is currently a particular focus on women in business – see, for example, Fran O’Sullivan’s article from Saturday: Women’s arrival at top taking too long. In this, O’Sullivan celebrates “that women are finally taking their place at the top tables of New Zealand business”, but laments that the changes are happening too slowly.

O’Sullivan draws attention to Joan Withers winning the “Chairperson of the Year” title at the Deloitte Top 200 awards last week. Withers, who chairs Mighty River Power and TVNZ, earlier in the month also won the supreme prize in the Women of Influence awards. For more on her victory, and the other category winners, such as the Ministry for the Environment’s Vicky Robertson and the Defence Force’s Karyn Thompson – see Stuff’s Joan Withers supreme woman of influence.

Over time the position of women in business might be improving, but it’s recently gone backwards – see Tess McClure’s Women losing boardroom battle. She reports “The number of women in business management has dropped dramatically in the last two years, reaching a ten-year low in 2014.”

This week Rachel Smalley suggested that publicly-listed companies need a quota imposed on them to ensure 25 per cent of each company’s directors are female – see: Quotas needed to diversify NZX boards.

Smalley uses the example of businesswomen Diana Foreman not being on any company boards. Yet while Foreman herself is also campaigning for more women on boards and in business, she opposes quotas. According to Holly Ryan, “Ms Foreman disagreed with having a quota system, with companies needing to put the people with the best skills in the job rather than a woman for the sake of gender diversity” – see: Rich-lister: Women the secret to success.

Foreman has recently published a book, In the Arena, which is “about getting to the top and why she thinks businesses need to work harder to get more females into executive and board roles”. See also Fiona Rotherham’s article, Diane Foreman says women need help to be entrepreneurs, not a ministry of women’s affairs.

Some businesses are clearly doing better than others – for some positive stories see John Anthony’s Sovereign NZ CEO’s gender equality work gets UN nod and Tao Lin’s Gender pay gap still there: so what are we doing about it?

There are also problems in the public sector with a lack of diversity at the top, as detailed by Bernard Orsman in his mid-year feature, Auckland’s Super City club: Who’s running our city? White men from wealthy suburbs. See also Hayden Donnell’s White Men in Charge: It’s Not Just Auckland Council.

But the State Services Commission report released last week suggests there has been significant progress in terms of the employment of women in the public service, albeit with a significant pay gap – see Paul Purcell’s More female bosses, but still less pay. According to this report, “Female bosses in the public sector have increased by 23 percent between 2010 and 2015 with women now in charge of 39 percent of all public sector departments.”

In terms of the pay gap between public sector males and females, the Commission says, “When adjusted for occupation, seniority and experience, the average pay gap falls by two-thirds” – see Fiona Rotherham’s More women than ever in public service – but paid 14% less.

The legal profession is also biased at the top, according to last week’s top 50 most influential legal experts put together by Lawfuel – see: The Power List. Only 15 women make the list (including Mai Chen, Una Jagose, Deborah Chambers, and Jane Kelsey). See also Alex Mason’s Call for more female QCs.

More positively, the University of Canterbury law school will soon be led by two women, “for the first time in its 142-year history” – see Jody O’Callaghan’s University of Canterbury has first female law dean in Ursula Cheer. The Police also are making progress in the gender make up of staff – see Talia Shadwell’s Women a growing force in police ranks.

For an overview of the position of “Women In Power” and other gender progress, see Simon Collins’ report, Women face battle for equality. In addition to this, it’s worth noting that the recently-released World Economic Forum’s Global Gender Gap Report 2015 has New Zealand jumping up three places to the ranking of number ten – see the report for New Zealand.

Casual (and serious) sexism

Much of the renewed feminist focus in politics is about highlighting some of the behaviours, stereotypes and beliefs that are said to be rampant in a sexist New Zealand. The problem of so-called “casual sexism” was outlined well by Alison Mau back in March with her column, The curse of #casualsexism. This referred not just to the everyday gender discrimination experienced by many women, but also to TVNZ’s Facebook post of “Vote For Our Sexiest Female Presenter”. Similarly, see Aimie Cronin’s I’m not sexist but…. and Shelley Bridgeman’s Sexism is alive and well.

Lizzy Marvelly has also raised related issues in her blog post, When did New Zealand become so sexist? This is on Marvelly’s new website, Villainesse which she launched in May, as explained in the news report Lizzie Marvelly sings out to give women a voice.

Marvelly’s site contains plenty of gender politics content, such as I shave my legs and don’t have a cat. Can I still be a feminist?, and The Villainesse Guide to not being sexist, chauvinistic or misogynistic in 2015

Marvelly has also been behind the It’s My Body. My Terms. campaign, which hopes “to shift attitudes about consent and sexual violence” – see the Herald’s report, Stars support new campaign to shift views about consent.

Many other types of sexism in society have been closely examined this year. Academic Nicola Gaston has a new book out – Why Science is Sexist. For a summary of this, see her article, Sexism is still one of science’s biggest issues. See also, Kim Savage’s five-minute item on TVNZ’s Q+A: Sexism and science. You can also listen to feminist blogger Deborah Russell talk about the issues in her 17-minute interview about the topic on RNZ: The Pundits: Feminism.

Domestic and gender violence

Possibly the single most controversial item published on the topic of gender and domestic violence this year was Rachel Stewart’s New Zealand has reached the pinnacle of world number one in domestic violence. In this she laid the blame and the solution for domestic violence “firmly at the feet of men” and called for some tough physical responses to the offending men.

The scheduled upcoming tour of singer Chris Brown has been controversial due to his record of domestic violence, leading to an interesting debate about whether he should be allowed in the country. Various Maori women leaders came out on his side in September (including Dames Tariana Turia, June Jackson and June Mariu) – see David Fisher’s Chris Brown – Dame Tariana Turia says let him in. But many feminists wanted him barred – see Nicholas Jones’s Judith Collins: Chris Brown ‘just another wife-beater’. But, in this case Jan Logie took issue with the National MP’s “new persona” of feminism – see: Judith Collins can’t talk about Chris Brown without making her own apologies.

Then in October Tony Veitch once again became the topic of debate when he made controversial statements on Facebook – see Laura Mcquillan’s Tony Veitch’s latest rant shows an appalling lack of self-awareness.

Women at the bottom

Although much of the attention of gender politics is focused on helping women “at the top” of society, or dealing with sexist stereotypes and behaviour, some is focused more on economic structures and how they impact on women at the bottom.

For Deborah Hill Cone, much of the focus on “casual sexism” is banal when more serious gender discrimination is going on, and so she responded to Alison Mau’s column on “The curse of casual sexism” by saying: “What I do care about is the reality of the economic power of women, especially older women and minority women.  This matters more to me than the objectification of television presenters. Like most things in life, it all comes down to money” – see: Let’s turn focus to women’s pay.

It’s low pay that is probably the biggest problem for women at the bottom of the socio-economic heap. And this year has seen a renewed focus on issues of equal pay for such workers. Much of this attention on working womens’ pay is due to the landmark case of aged-care worker Kristine Bartlett, which was explained by employment lawyer Christie Hall at the start of the year in her opinion piece, Where next for equal pay. See also her eight-minute interview with Corin Dann on Q+A: Equal pay for all.

In October the Government responded to the court case by setting up a joint working group to help negotiate a settlement and a fix for women in low paid industries affected by unequal pay – see Kiri Gillespie’s Carers move closer to pay equity deal. See also, June Francis’ A Salute to Kristine Bartlett, and Bronwen Beechey’s Fight for Equal Pay continues.

In terms of the on-going gender pay gap, some interesting explanations are put forward by economist Geoff Simmons in his five-minute video trying to locate the causes – see: What is the cause of the gender pay gap? See also, Simon Collins’ Women’s pay drops further behind men’s. But it’s also worth considering David Farrar’s blog post, NZ has lowest gender wage gap in the OECD.

Finally, is the increase in gender politics a win for the political left? Leftwing activist Phillip Ferguson has some doubts about this, suggesting that feminism, along with other liberal-left ideologies, has merely served to bolster the status quo – see: Respect for diversity’: modern NZ capitalism’s necessary ideology

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for December 01 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 9 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Tuesday 1st December. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include the release of a Salvation Army report saying more New Zealanders risk facing homelessness in retirement unless the government takes urgent steps to deal with the problem and the Ministry for Primary Industries warning of a potential health risk from imported frozen berries, following four cases of Hepatitis A.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Clinician joins Southern Partnership Group; Medical students’ borrowing limits extended; New phase begins for residential red zones; Bennett says Hola! to Argentina; Construction starts on new Kawarau Falls Bridge near Queenstown;Police to trial family violence victim video statements; Speech – UN Climate Change Conference; PM announces $20m for research to help reduce emissions; New Zealand to ratify Doha Amendment to Kyoto Protocol; PM addresses Paris Climate Change Conference; PM calls for global action on fossil fuel subsidies; EQC Minister welcomes Auditor General’s report; Clinician joins Southern Partnership Group; Horticulture export act to be updated

ACT Party: Funding changes a big win for med students

Greens: Govt abandons older New Zealanders; Fossil of the Day award shows up National’s climate hypocrisy

Labour: Back-down has Joyce doctoring loan policy; Labour will back RMA changes at first reading; Police search of journalist’s apartment worrying; Brownlee barge can’t apply to Treasury report; Hep A berries must be recalled and products named; Seniors face housing hardship after Nats do nothing; EQC still failing years into rebuild; PM’s Paris posturing embarrassing Kiwis

Māori Party: Police admission of ‘unconscious bias’ against Maori welcomed

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

DELOITTE EXCELLENCE AWARDS: The Institute of Public Administration New Zealand (IPANZ) is calling on all public sector organisations, big and small, to put forward successful projects for consideration for the Deloitte IPANZ Public Sector Excellence Awards 2016. More information about the awards, including last year’s finalists and winners, can be found at: http://www.ipanz.org.nz/excellenceawards

EARTHQUAKE COMMISSION AUDIT: The Auditor-General has published a report Earthquake Commission: Managing the Canterbury Home Repair Programme – follow-up audit. The report is available at:http://www.oag.govt.nz/2015/eqc-follow-up?utm_source=subs&utm_medium=subs&utm_campaign=eqc-follow-up

ENVIRONMENT WEBSITE WINS: Environmental monitoring website Land, Air Water Aotearoa has scooped the top award at the annual Science Communicators Association of New Zealand (SCANZ) awards presented in Wellington on Monday evening. Click here for more: http://www.lawa.org.nz/

HOMELESS BABY BOOMERS: The latest report from The Salvation Army’s Social Policy and Parliamentary Unit, Homeless Baby Boomers, reveals only 62 per cent of Baby Boomers who retire at 65 after 2025 can expect to be home owners, compared with over 77 per cent of 65-year-olds who retired in 2011. Click here for the report:http://www.salvationarmy.org.nz/HomelessBabyBoomers

HOSPITAL CARDIAC ARREST: St John’s latest OHCA report reveals the emergency ambulance service has maintained a strong 15% survival rate for patients who are treated for cardiac arrest. The OHCA report is available on the St John website: http://www.stjohn.org.nz/Global/18_11_15_OHCA_Report_2015_HQ_released.pdf

KAWARAU FALLS BRIDGE: The first sod on construction of the new $22 million Kawarau Falls Bridge on State highway 6 at Frankton near Queenstown was turned today.For more information on the new Kawarau Falls Bridge:http://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/new-two-lane-kawarau-falls-bridge-project/

LAMP CROP DECREASE: Beef + Lamb New Zealand’s (B+LNZ) Lamb Crop 2015 report estimates 23.9 million lambs were tailed this spring – the smallest lamb crop since 1953. The report is available at:http://www.beeflambnz.com/Documents/Information/Lamb%20Crop%202015.pdf

PROPERTY VALUE RISES: The latest monthly QV House Price Index shows that nationwide residential property values for November have increased 15.0% over the past year which is the fastest rate since February 2006. Read more: https://www.qv.co.nz/resources/news/article?blogId=211

TERMS OF TRADE: The merchandise (goods) terms of trade fell 3.7 percent in the September 2015 quarter, due to import prices rising more than export prices, according to Statistics New Zealand. More details at:http://bit.ly/1Th2C6o

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Tuesday 1st December.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for November 30 Edition, 2015

Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Monday 30th November. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include the Labour Party unveiling a new Shadow Cabinet line-up, world leaders and tens of thousands of officials, delegates and observers gathering in Paris for the crucial United Nations climate talks and the Ministry for Primary Industries confirming it immediately commenced an investigation into the alleged mistreatment of bobby calves that was aired on television over the weekend.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: PM Welcomes Queen’s Commonwealth Canopy Initiative; NZ deeply disappointed by whaling decision;Greater transparency for Govt investment projects; Auckland building consents continue to surge; 10-year passports: Back by public demand; New Law Commission projects announced; Views sought on extra protections from sunbeds; Appointments to the Film and Literature Board of Review

Greens: Thousands of Kiwi climate marchers challenge Govt to show leadership; NZ should send navy to monitor Japan’s whale hunt; Green Party Congratulates Kirk Hope; Key needs to walk-the-talk when on the world stage; Key must apologise over Malaysian diplomat case; MPI failing our animals and damaging our reputation

Labour: Bias amongst police must be urgently addressed; Guilt doesn’t mean Govt off hook; Labour Line-Up To Take The 2017 Election

New Zealand First: Simple Teacher Planning Equation Stumps Ministers

United Future Party: Party Leader AGM speech: Bold, not bland

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

10-YEAR PASSPORTS: Passports Office will start issuing 10-year adult passports to applicants from today. More details at: http://www.passports.govt.nz/10-year-passports

ARTS COUNCIL REPORT: The Arts Council invested a record $43.6 million in the arts and arts organisations in 2014/15 with more organisations than ever receiving multi-year funding, according to the council’s Annual Report 2014/15. The report is on the Creative New Zealand website: http://www.creativenz.govt.nz/about-creative-new-zealand/corporate-reports/annual-report-2014-15

BUILDING CONSENTS: The number of new dwellings consented rose in Auckland, but decreased in Canterbury, in October 2015 compared with October 2014 according to Statistics New Zealand. More detailed information at:http://bit.ly/1TmdH6X

HOUR OF CODE: New Zealand students can take their first steps into the exciting world of computer coding next week with the annual ‘Hour of Code’ campaign returning as part of Computer Science Education Week, 7-13 December. For more information visit: http://code.org/learn

SUNBEDS PROTECTION: Public consultation on proposals for additional protection from the use of commercial sunbeds starts today. Further information including the consultation document and details on how you lodge a submission is available here: https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/reducing-harm-caused-commercial-sunbeds

TRANSPARENCY FOR GOVT INVESTMENTS: Two reports released today on Government’s investment practices and the performance of its major investment projects provide an overview to the public for the first time.The two reports can be viewed here: Managing Government Investment Projects 2014-15 www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/investmentmanagement/publications/ipannualreport/2014-15 and Major Projects Performance Report March-June: www.treasury.govt.nz/statesector/investmentmanagement/publications/majorprojects

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Monday 30th November.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Keith Rankin on Tribal Politics

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Feature by Keith Rankin. This article was also published on TheDailyBlog.co.nz.

[caption id="attachment_8333" align="alignleft" width="300"]The left/right divide. Image sourced from Liberation.typepad.com. The left/right divide. Image sourced from Liberation.typepad.com.[/caption]

Chris Trotter last week (Capitalism Kills: Why, for the Right, the Left is always wrong) both criticised and participated in tribal politics. I would substantially disagree with him, in part because there are lefts and rights, not simply Left and Right. But, inasmuch as there are rival Left and Right tribes, my view is that it is the Left tribe in New Zealand that sees the Right tribe as bad, whereas the Right tribe sees the Left tribe as mad. As such I think that the tribal Left can be somewhat more uncompromising, and less likely (than vice versa) to engage constructively with the Right.

Indeed in history we see that changes brought about by parties (small-p and large-P) of the radical left have generally been retained and embedded by subsequent governments of the right. (In the case of anti‑nuclear New Zealand, this was the policy of the radical left that was embraced by a then-regressive Labour Party because the anti-nuclear issue provided a distraction. And embraced by National because – like Mt Everest – it was there. Lunchtime is a long time in politics.)

For me, tribal politics is rather sad, because it focuses on the negatives, the problems rather than the solutions, the put-downs rather than the pull-ups. While I think that most people are motivated more by the issues and policies, and want all governments to do the correct things regardless of their colours, tribal politicos seem to only want their side to do their good things, and feel more at ease when the other side is doing the bad things (or the mad things) that bad guys (or mad guys) do.

I want the real issues to be discussed, and always around the context of solutions. If something really is insoluble, it probably isn’t a real issue. Indeed a problem that cannot be solved is not really a problem at all. (Death for example is probably not a problem; however premature, negligent and purposeful deaths certainly are problems. Indeed, a society without death feels like a dystopia; death must then be the reality that prevents such dystopia.) Tribal politics makes people more engaged with (and enraged with) what they are against than with what they are for. So tribalism itself becomes an essentially conservative force.

One of the most important pieces of legislation ever introduced in New Zealand was the 1982 Official Information Act. This could easily have been criticised as a Rob Muldoon vanity project. (Indeed, Muldoon later did name this legislation as his legacy accomplishment.) If Mr Muldoon had put it to the people as a referendum, both the Left tribe and the Right tribe were so trenchantly anti-Muldoon that the proposal could easily have been voted down.

In 2013, National Party people were probably more amused than annoyed when the “Marriage Equality” proposal was drawn as a Private Member’s Bill. Certainly the substance of the proposal could have been dealt with as an amendment to Labour’s Civil Union legislation. But it was the symbolism that mattered, and many people from the Right tribe engaged constructively and in good humour. Mad, possibly, they thought; so much political energy was being invested by the left in this proposal at a time that other issues were being neglected. But hardly bad.

It’s so different with the issue of the New Zealand flag. (I raised the flag question with PM Jack Marshall at a political meeting in 1972. The Seddon flag that perfectly represented us in 1900 is so ‘not us’ today; so not us in 1972, in the year that we abandoned God Save the Queen. The soldiers’ graves that I later visited at Cassino had ferns engraved, not Union Jacks. The many Canadian graves were also easily spotted. The silver fern is a symbol of Aotearoa that even the Labour Party embraces; see The Daily Blog, 10 November. There must be worse things in our future than having a flag with a fern.)

The Left tribe seems so uncompromisingly annoyed that the Right tribe has stolen one of its issues, that it is determined to support the Seddon flag of empire rather than have any other flag – including the lovely Red Peak – represent us. Any replacement flag stands to be seen as the Key flag, the flag of the other side. If we cannot be the progressive Republic, then we must be the Empire of the past. (In the past – especially in our past – the word ‘progress’ meant economic growth. In the 1890s – the conservationist MPs such as A.K. Newman, for whom growth was not everything – were conservatives.)

Political memories are short. How many of us realised until now that the Official Information Act was Muldoon’s legacy project? In 2050, how many of us will have even heard of John Key? Remember Jim? (He gave us MMP, his legacy. At the time Jim Bolger opposed MMP.) Remember George? (Winston Peters does; George was the last PM to have presided over NZ at a time when more MPs were from another party. Indeed, George Forbes’ United Party was, I understand, the third largest in the 1931-35 Parliament. Labour was the largest.) Remember Sid? He abolished the Legislative Council, New Zealand’s House of Lords. These are leaders whose good deeds we appreciate, even if we’ve forgotten who they are. We don’t appreciate their bad deeds, such as Holland’s enforcement in 1951 of the 1932 Public Safety Conversation Act. (George’s deeds were so few that we could count them on one finger.)

What will we say to our grandchildren in 2050 when they ask which flag we chose in 2015? And in 2016? Would we have to admit that we spoiled our ballot papers? Maybe the Right are right; maybe the Left is mad?

One of the really big political problems today is the lack of political engagement of young people. May I suggest that what so many of our young people see today are tribes who talk past each other; and oppose, because that’s what tribes do. A bit like Israelis versus Palestinians. Or Sunni versus Shia. (What’s the odds on those problem being solved within the next 2000 years?) Yet the disengagement over the flag issue is very similar. The Left tribe does not connect with the people promoting the change process, just as the young have difficulty connecting with mainstream politics. If only the young would vote for whom they dislike the least.

One final point that worries me. I’ve heard people from the left ‘Liberal’ tribe in the United States saying that they will be happy if Donald Trump becomes the Republican Presidential candidate. They should be careful what they wish for.

A Hillary Clinton presidency is not a foregone conclusion, just as the retention of our present flag is not foregone. If you are a New Zealander, vote ‘5’ for the flag you dislike the most (eg the black and blue fern that John Key says he will vote for). Then a ‘4’, then a ‘3’, then a ‘2’, and then a ‘1’. Engage now so that you don’t regret it later; so that, just in case we get a new flag, it’s a flag you helped to select. If you are an American, join the Republican Party. Vote in the primary election in your state. Vote for the candidate most likely to defeat Donald Trump or Ben Carson. Vote out the baddist and the maddist, at the first possible opportunity.

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Tony Alexander’s New Zealand Weekly Economic Overview November 26

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Economic Analysis by Tony Alexander.

Thursday November 26th 2015

[caption id="attachment_3709" align="alignleft" width="300"]Tony Alexander, BNZ economist. Tony Alexander, BNZ economist.[/caption] A couple of very large numbers made their appearance this week. One came from the International Visitor Survey which showed a massive 38% rise in spending by visitors to New Zealand over the past year. The tourism sector is in very good health and this is one of the important offsets to weakness in the dairying sector which will keep overall economic growth up and discourage the Reserve Bank from contemplating rate cuts beyond probably one more 0.25% reduction. The other number was the net migration gain of 62,477 people this past year. For Auckland the net gain was near 38,000 for which 12,700 extra houses are needed. But in the past year only 8,700 or so building consents have been issued. The Auckland shortage is still getting worse and that is why this current lull in the market as buyers look for bargains elsewhere is only temporary. But because the urge struck me early this week I have decided to lead off the Overview with a few thoughts on driverless cars and what we can do in them.

You can Download the full analysis document here pdf 314kb, or continue reading below.

A Bath In My Driverless Carriage I was at a function recently where another speaker ventured the opinion that in 15 or so years time we would all be using driverless cars. The gut reaction of 99% of you to that comment will be the same as mine which was no chance at all. I love driving. But there will be many people quite happy to use driverless cars, and plenty of people we all know who should be forced to use them. So I took to thinking about this potential development in another way – the opening up of business opportunities and potential uses which could be quite wonderful. One’s driverless car would effectively be like a part of the public transport system, but you would have your own private pod in which you could do – well, anything. My thinking started by reflecting on the Simpsons episode where Homer discovers the power socket in his car and plugs in a massive range of appliances including a deep fryer, coffee maker, fax machine and so on. Sitting in our driverless cars we could do the same thing, adding nice coffee machines, gaming systems etc. But we would not need to position these things so that they could be reached from a current driver’s seat position because the non-driver could sit anywhere. In fact why sit. One could install an Air New Zealand-like flat bed system and sleep on the way to work, school and home again or watch a movie. One could even install a massive TV screen in place of the window screen as there would be no point looking ahead to see what was coming – the car would take care of all that. Drink driving would be a thing of the past. You could get driven to a bar, get pickled, then get driven home. You could arrange with friends to meet for a drink in your car where you could install your own bar. The car would pick up and drop off each invitee. Thus we would not all gravitate automatically to little pod cars but being Kiwis will probably want the SUV equivalent or people/drinking mate mover variety. Teenagers would no longer need to “park-up” on a date. Tint the windows and cruise. Partners could simply go on a date in their car, cruising through city streets, up hills for the view whilst sipping champagne and eating oysters and chocolate the whole time. Rather than some romantic vision of honeymooning in a private car on the Orient Express you could simply hire a driverless car in Europe programmed to follow a certain picturesque route for two weeks. It would be wonderful. No more foreigners driving on the wrong side of the road. In fact countries would simply ban non-residents from driving in anything other than a driverless car. The cars would probably be electric driven and they could automatically plug themselves into an outlet to charge up each night, or drive over ten kilometre stretches of road into which recharge cables have been laid. Coming home from school you could hire a tutor to travel with the kids to help them with their homework. You could turn the car into your office and hold meetings there. The possibilities are massive and scope for profitable exploitation is open to everyone. So if you are of entrepreneurial flare you may want to think about how you can make money from the changes in what we would do in our cars, changes in our social interactions, and eventual ending of our description of a vehicle as “our” car. We would lose personal attachment to our cars, and instead form attachments with the things we put in them. Then, like the French shifting apartment and taking their kitchen with them, we would change cars and relocate our appliances, furniture, spa bath and massage table to our new vehicle. Would driverless cars swerve to miss possums? Guess it comes down to who programmes them. “Its either you or the possum” the ad says. Best hope extreme animal lovers don’t set the parameters. Imagine the Pukeko invasion! http://www.dezeen.com/2015/11/20/volvo-concept-26-self-driving-autonomous-car-transport-design/ Housing This week, in the absence of any new data on changes in house prices, house sales and so on, it is hard to do anything other than focus on the net migration numbers which continue to go through the roof. Back in late-2012 when I warned that Auckland house prices would rise a lot more than the 40% they were up since 2009 because of net migration flows turning from negative to positive, I figured the annual gain might get to 30,000 or 35,000. It has now, in the year to October, hit an astounding 62,477 courtesy of 120,123 people shifting to NZ for more than a year in the past 12 months and just 57,646 leaving. This annual net inflow total represents a 1.4% boost to the population. That is a lot of extra people needing accommodation and if we use the NZ average of 2.7 people per dwelling that means a need for an extra 23,000 houses. In the year to September the total number of dwelling consents issued was 26,000 so allowing for at least 10% of these houses not in fact being built or replacing demolished houses, all the additions to our housing stock are going simply to handle migration-driven population growth. Auckland gained a net migration flow in the year of 38,000 people, a population boost of around 2.5%. That means the need for an extra 12,700 houses using Auckland’s three per house occupancy rate. Consents in the past year have totalled 8,700. Auckland’s housing shortage continues to get worse and worse and that is the key reason why during this pause in Auckland’s housing market as Chinese buyers struggle to get funds off their mainland and investors look for bargains elsewhere in NZ, Auckland buyers face a small window to pick and choose from stock on offer to a slightly better degree than a few months ago. Eventually however the economics 101 of the situation will shine through again in an environment of sustained low interest rates, and prices will rise. They are probably still rising, though simply at a slightly slower pace than before. And just in case you still hold the belief that Auckland house prices are about to fall, the city’s total population growth last year was about 3% meaning the need for an extra 15,000 houses in total. Real action for now however is in the regions excluding Christchurch with buyers literally snapping up anything they can find. They have a price range in their minds reflecting what they are used to in Auckland. Faced with much lower prices elsewhere, 50% lower in fact on average, their willingness to buy easily exceeds that of the locals who have stood idle these past few years not buying the lower priced stock on offer. Where does all this end? Well that is the key issue. There may not be an “end” as such as we have seen in the past, simply periods such as Auckland is going through now when some buyers back off for a tad. In the absence of any serious interest rates threat in the next few years the cycle is only likely to definitively head downward if we get a combination of booming supply (very unlikely in the short to medium term), imposition of much tougher finance access rules by the RBNZ (highly probable), and a reasonable-sized economic shock right after tighter rules have been introduced (unknowable). For the record, the migration flow with Australia has officially turned positive on an annual basis for the first time since 1991. For noting, Auckland Council are debating opening up many suburbs for higher density dwelling construction. Thus the less forward-looking people may start to understand why people have paid such high prices for many properties with land – land-banking for future subdivision and multiple unit development opportunities. Final decisions on the affected suburbs will occur next year. But current occupiers should expect changes as Auckland has no option other than to intensify given the lack of funds to allow development of an efficient transport system which will allow people to live a long way from their places of work. NZ Dollar A week ago the NZ dollar was buying 64.5 US cents and now it sits over one cent higher near 65.8 cents. This rise mainly reflects some weakness in the greenback over the past week as profits were taken following last week’s rise partly on the back of weakness in the Euro following the events in Paris. In other words, the NZ dollar is back where it was a fortnight ago against the US dollar – and also there or thereabouts against the British pound, Yen, and Euro. However we are at a two month low against the Australian dollar near 90.7 with the AUD boosted by a pullback in expectations of additional easing of monetary policy by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Going ahead we feel the NZD retains good support in a world where although the US economy is improving and interest rates may be raised soon, elsewhere tough economic conditions continue. Be on the lookout for any rebound in dairy prices which could easily see the NZ dollar stage decent rises against most other currencies. If I Were A Borrower What Would I Do? I would still opt for the two year fixed rate. Note how competition is however even stronger with new discounting of one year fixed rates and the medium term rates also coming down a tad further. For Noting One of our key themes has been that while the decline for now in dairying will sap growth in the economy, there are plenty of insulating factors. One we have emphasised is many non-dairy exporters doing well especially with new assistance from the extra weakness in the NZ dollar caused by the fall in dairy prices. And one of the non-dairy export sectors we have noted has been tourism. This week the International Visitor Survey figures for the year to September were released. They show visitor spending in New Zealand has soared by a massive 38% in the past year. Here are the growth rates by country. The tourism sector is still substantially smaller than dairy as an export earner and unlikely to surpass it once you strip export education from the tourism figures and ensure casein revenue is included in the dairy export total. But the sector has good upside potential and positive impacts spread all over the country.

Spending rise in the past year

Australia 22.7%

China 78.1

UK 43.4

USA 54.9

Germany 34.7

Japan 5.2

Korea, Republic of 8.5

Canada 45.5

All 37.6

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High Court says it can’t make Groser provide TPPA information faster ‘for now’ – Kelsey

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Source: Professor Jane Kelsey.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Tim Groser is currently taking part, in his capacity as Climate Change Minister, at the COP21 climate change conference being hosted in Paris.

[caption id="attachment_7208" align="alignleft" width="150"]Trade Minister Tim Groser. Trade Minister Tim Groser.[/caption]

Professor Jane Kelsey has accused the New Zealand Government of ‘stalling tactics’ after Trade Minister Tim Groser took a month to respond to a High Court order that he reconsider his withholding of TPPA information via the Official Information Act.

‘This week we went back to court to challenge Trade Minister Groser’s stalling tactics over the release of information on the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement negotiations, following a High Court order that he reconsider the Official Information Act request I made last January’, said University of Auckland law professor Jane Kelsey, first applicant in the case.

The Minister took a month to respond to the court’s decision, despite the urgency of the request and the imminence of the signing of the TPPA. He then set out a process for reviewing the request, rather than an actual response. The ministry had so far located just one category of information: New Zealand’s negotiating mandates dating back to the start of the negotiations. However, the officials were too busy and the Minister was overseas, so no response could be provided until 5 February 2016, conveniently the day after the expected signing of the agreement.

[caption id="attachment_8298" align="alignright" width="300"]In a decision released yesterday, Justice Collins acknowledged the return to court reflected ‘intense frustration’ at the ongoing delays. In a decision released yesterday, Justice Collins acknowledged the return to court reflected ‘intense frustration’ at the ongoing delays.[/caption]

The applicants asked the court to order the Minister to provide the information by mid-December.

In a decision released yesterday, Justice Collins acknowledged the return to court reflected ‘intense frustration’ at the ongoing delays. However, said he was unable ‘at this juncture’ to make orders that could realistically speed up the process for release of the negotiating mandate documents.

The Minister was expected to respond within the next week to an interim refinement of the other categories of information requested. Justice Collins said it would not be appropriate to make any order until that was done. 

The judge cautioned the Minister and his advisers that ‘there should be no further delays in responding fully and properly to Professor Kelsey’s request’.

[caption id="attachment_1844" align="alignright" width="150"]Professor Jane Kelsey said: "Given the Minister’s behaviour to date, however, I fully expect further stonewalling." Professor Jane Kelsey said: “Given the Minister’s behaviour to date, however, I fully expect further stonewalling.”[/caption]

‘Given the Minister’s behaviour to date, however, I fully expect further stonewalling to avoid the release of any substantive information before the Agreement is signed or while it is before the Parliament’, Professor Kelsey said.

The court also noted that the Chief Ombudsman has still not concluded her review of two remaining aspects of the Minister’s refusal to release the information in February that was referred to her as ‘urgent’ in March.

The applicants retain the right to return to court again to seek further orders and directions in relation to the November judgement.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for November 26 Edition, 2015

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Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 8 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Thursday 26th November.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include the introduction of a bill to Parliament overhauling the Resource Management Act and a report released by the State Services Commissioner showing an increase of women in senior leadership roles in the State sector.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Turakina Māori Girls’ College to close; Education Legislation Bill 2015 introduced; Resource legislation introduced to Parliament; Ministers welcome 5000th Christchurch repair; Southland to get new Trades Academy; Start of aeromagnetic survey programme; Greymouth joins ranks of fully-fibred towns; West Coast joins Regional Growth Programme; Inquiry highlights lessons from Penrose outage

Greens: Strengthen public education, don’t undermine it

Labour: Redcliffs School closure flies in the face of sense and the community; Fewer frontline staff in education despite spin; RMA changes must protect the environment; Fewer frontline staff in education despite spin; Vital that Government takes languages seriously; Reforms fall far short of a housing crisis fix

Māori Party: Māori Party Support RMA To Select Committee

New Zealand First: Abuse Of Restaurant Workers Tip Of Iceberg; Redcliffs School Closing Ignores Wishes Of Community; Minister Turns The Lights Out On Turakina; Auckland Paying For Feeble Skills Training Approach

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

EXPORTS & IMPORTS FALL: The trade deficit widened to $963 million in October 2015, compared with a deficit of $892 million for the same period last year, according to Statistics New Zealand. Read more: http://bit.ly/1PZSShr

GIRLS COLLEGE TO CLOSE: Turakina Māori Girls’ College will close on 27 January 2016.The decision follows a second round of consultation about the state-integrated Presbyterian Māori girls’ boarding school during which two submissions were received. The Ministry’s advice on the decision can be found here:http://www.education.govt.nz/ministry-of-education/information-releases/turakina-report/

GLOBAL PRODUCTIVITY SLOW: Global productivity growth continues to slow, rising at a meager 0.3% pace this year. This persistent sharp deceleration reinforces concerns that global potential growth rates are slid, according to JP Morgan. Click here for more:https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/u4nq9jok/TaZmedhn1RHDb_iecvleSQ/GPS-1881731-0

GRADUATE EMPLOYABILITY RANKING: QS Quacquarelli Symonds are set to release the pilot edition of their new Graduate Employability Rankings. Designed to provide new insight into how universities are preparing their students for employment, they show Stanford University leading the way.The pilot edition will be available from:http://www.iu.qs.com

HOUSEHOLD INCOME: The Household Economic Survey (HES) measures annual income and housing expenses from a sample of New Zealand households. The survey was released today by Statistics New Zealand and is available at: http://bit.ly/1MSqOZ5

MINERAL RESOURCES SURVEY: Aeromagnetic surveys will begin soon in Nelson and Marlborough with the aim to build up comprehensive data on our minerals resources. More information on the surveys (including regular updates about key dates and locations) is available at: http://www.nzpam.govt.nz/cms/about-nzpam/news/current-news/aeromagnetic-surveys-in-nelson-and-marlborough

WOMEN IN SENIOR ROLES: The number of women in senior leadership roles in the State sector has grown from 16% to 44.2% since 2008, and 38% of current or acting Chief Executives in the Public Service are women according to reports released by the State Services Commissioner. The 2014/15 Report on Remuneration of Public Service and State sector Chief Executives is available on the SSC website https://www.ssc.govt.nz/rem-senior-state-sector-staff-to-30june15 and the 2015 HRC report is available on the SSC website http://www.ssc.govt.nz/human-resource-capability-new-zealand-state-services-2015

WEST COAST ECONOMIC STUDY: Opportunities for more investment, more jobs and better incomes for the West Coast will be the focus of a comprehensive economic study . An expression of interest to carry out the West Coast Regional Growth Study can be viewed here: https://www.gets.govt.nz/ExternalIndex.htm

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Thursday 26th November.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Police vs democracy

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Political Roundup by Dr Bryce Edwards.

[caption id="attachment_4808" align="alignleft" width="150"]Dr Bryce Edwards. Dr Bryce Edwards.[/caption]

Accusations that the New Zealand Police are censoring and suppressing critical enquiry is troubling for democracy and freedom. 

When some parts of the establishment can’t cope with criticism, they hit back and find ways to protect themselves from public scrutiny. That’s the logical conclusion following revelations from sociologist Jarrod Gilbert about Police attempts to prevent him from accessing information. Gilbert tells his story in yesterday’s Herald column, The police have deemed me unfit to undertake crime research because I know criminals

In this must-read column, Gilbert details how he has “been banned from accessing basic and uncontroversial police data”. When he sought some sort of explanation via a request for the Police’s file on him, in reply he “got pages of black ink. Everything has been redacted: censored.” The column also reveals details of “the lengths police are going to to control research”, including a threat by the Police to “blacklist” researchers who do not comply.  

There’s since been a flurry of news media reports on the issue, starting with David Fisher’s Academics in battle with police. This reports other criticisms of the Police contracts for researchers, which are said to amount to “an attack on academic freedom and an affront to the Education Act’s legal obligation on academic institutions to be a ‘critic and conscience of society’.”

See also David Fisher’s important follow up reports: Revealed: The police contracts ‘shutting down debate’ and Police withholding information to avoid embarrassing govt, says O’Connor

The response has been strong, especially in political circles. On Twitter, Government Minister Peter Dunne (‏@PeterDunneMP) has sided with Gilbert, tweeting sarcastically to him, “I assume Police will now stop providing information to Courts, Judges, Prisons probation officers etc on same basis?”. Labour’s Chris Hipkins (‏@chrishipkins) has declared: “Govt agencies have no right to question how official information will be used by requesters. It’s undemocratic”, which gained a response from Trevor Mallard (‏@TrevorMallard) that it was “about time the State Services Commissioner pretended he had a backbone”. 

Various academics have tweeted in solidarity. The University of Auckland’s Luke Goode (‏@LukeGoode) stated: “This is appalling censorship, bullying & abuse of power. Universities should jointly and vigorously oppose this.” And media figures have also sounded alarmed. Former editor-in-chief of the Herald, Tim Murphy ‏(@tmurphyNZ) tweeted to Gilbert: “Disgraceful censorship and control freakery…….good to go public”. For more examples, see my blog post, Top tweets about NZ Police suppression of academic research

But not everyone has sided with Gilbert. On Facebook, former politician and columnist Michael Laws declared: “Let’s be clear here: Jarrod Gilbert is a gang associate, a gang apologist & a gang enabler. He always has been, and he uses the cloak of academia to mask his true sensibilities. Good on the Police, I say.”

Critiques of the Police not appreciated

It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that Gilbert has been banned due to his critical approach to both the Police and the establishment in general. Gilbert said something similar on RNZ yesterday: “what concerns police is sometimes I’m critical of them, and they may not like the research that I engage in” – see RNZ’s: Police block gang expert’s data access. You can also listen to his six-minute interview with Guyon Espiner on Morning Report: Academic questions police restrictions on data. He argues that the Police clampdown has “got very chilling implications for free speech.”

This is elaborated upon by blogger No Right Turn: “The real problem is that the Police don’t like what Jarrod Gilbert has been saying about them or crime policy – so they’re trying to destroy his career as revenge.  So far, so normal: our police are chronic abusers of power and obsessed with maintaining their own public image. They’ve shown a willingness to manipulate and fabricate evidence in criminal cases (and continue to endorse those who do so); of course they’ll do so to protect themselves from critics” – see: Police, censorship, and policy

Gilbert is the author of the landmark Auckland University Press book, Patched: The History of Gangs in New Zealand. He’s also active as a columnist and blogger, winning the 2015 Canon Media Award for best blogger. And at times he has criticised the National Government on law and order issues – see his June column, Collins’ defence of police offending indefensible and his September column, Govt stats on gangs ‘wildly inaccurate’

Of course he’s not the only academic to receive an interesting Police response to his research activity. Earlier this year, the Herald on Sunday published a feature article I wrote, which was critical of the Police and questioned the health of the organisation – see: NZ police are failing the public.

Police Commissioner Mike Bush responded with: In defence of New Zealand’s defenders. Interestingly, Jarrod Gilbert blogged in response to the exchange, with both bouquets and brickbats for the Police (as well as some of both for myself) – see: The pen is mightier than the baton. In this post Gilbert also outlines his own orientation towards the police. 

See also, three other columns I have written this year about the police: Can we trust the police?The politics of justice and Libertarians against dirty politics

Political response

Much condemnation has come from media and political circles. Media specialist Russell Brown has been forthright in rallying a response to the situation: “This is scary and unacceptable and must be resisted as forcefully as possible. I might be wrong, but I don’t anticipate Jarrod’s employers at the University of Canterbury will die in a ditch over this. So it therefore falls to the rest of us to declare that what the police are doing to Jarrod and the control they seek to impose on others like him is incompatible with democracy.  I invite my fellow journalists, academics and other members of the public to join me in saying so in the discussion for this blog post. This cannot stand” – see: The Police Ten 7 State

And it’s not just the left expressing alarm at Gilbert’s revelations – David Farrar has labeled the Police processes “outrageous” and “ludicrous” – see: Police censorship. See also Eric Crampton’s Police muzzles?

In Parliament, the opposition parties have spoken out strongly, especially the Greens’ David Clendon – see Newswire’s Opposition ‘furious’ over police research contracts

This article reports that “Police Minister Michael Woodhouse isn’t commenting, saying it’s an operational matter.” Others argue, however, that the issue is one of policy. For example, former police investigator Tim McKinnel ‏(@timmckinnel) has tweeted in response: “Has @WoodhouseMP ever said anything substantive about NZ Police #everythingisoperational”. And Graeme Edgeler (‏@GraemeEdgeler) has suggested: “The next time a minister declines to answer a question in the House because it’s an operational matter, the questioner should put a motion on the order paper requiring the Chief Executive (or Police Commissioner etc.) to attend the House to answer questions.”

Reforming Police processes

Labour and the Greens are calling for the Government to scrap the Police contracts forced onto researchers – see Katie Kenny’s Call for police to scrap ‘censoring’ contracts after researcher Dr Jarrod Gilbert banned

Police Minister Michael Woodhouse might have no choice, as it appears the Police are breaking the law with the way they are handling information requests. According to law professor Andrew Geddis, based on the information at hand, Police behaviour “is inconsistent with the Police’s legal obligations under the Official Information Act, and thus unlawful” – see: My 2 cents on the Jarrod Gilbert affair…. Geddis says that Police “seem to be treating that information as ‘theirs’ to do with as they want and only sharing it on their terms. Which is not what the law says!”

Today’s Herald editorial makes a similar point, saying the Police shouldn’t be discriminating over who receives its information: “The police have no right to make that judgment. They are a public body obliged to be open to scrutiny” – see: Data attitude casts bad light on Govt policy

David Farrar agrees with calls to change the way Police deal with information requests: “I would go further. I think all government data, by default, should be publicly available in machine readable format. Obviously personal details should not be included, but I’d love to see the criminal sector databases on convictions, sentencing, rehabilitation etc publicly available so NGOs, researchers and even companies can analyse the data and look for trends, correlations, possible causative factors etc” – see: Police censorship

Government PR versus democracy

But is the problem bigger than just the Police? That’s the argument made by Danyl Mclauchlan: “It’s all very sinister on its own but it’s related to a deeper problem in the public service that got bad under Clark and is now so much worse under Key, and that is the transformation of the public service into a giant public relations machine for the government of the day. All sectors of the public service now have large communications departments and their primary role is to ‘manage risk’ for the Minister, Director/CEO and the rest of the organisation, in that order” – see: Research as propaganda

This argument is backed up today, curiously, by Police Association president Greg O’Connor, who says that officers and bosses are acting like other public servants in government departments who are attempting to avoid embarrassing the government – see David Fisher’s Police withholding information to avoid embarrassing govt, says O’Connor. O’Connor says: “Commissioners are answerable to ministers as any other CEO in the public sector. The stuff that is going to embarrass government is going to be hidden in official documents or statistics.”  

Similarly, Tertiary Education Union president Sandra Grey has said “the withholding of information by government departments was widespread and created a climate of silence” – see Laura Bootham’s Academic freedom under threat – TEU. Grey also says “It is getting really concerning that we’re seeing a closing down of really legitimate public debate.”

Grey is also reported as believing that “the conditions, which were attached to academics accessing publicly-owned data, were being created because of the potential for political discomfort” – see David Fisher’s Revealed: The police contracts ‘shutting down debate’

Today’s Herald editorial, Data attitude casts bad light on Govt policy, also warns about this trend: “These disturbing contracts seem symptomatic of an unfortunate attitude that has permeated the public service under this Government. Its ‘no surprises’ principle seeks to control the release of any information which might be awkward to explain.” The Herald complains that the Official Information Act “has seemingly become subservient to a culture of information control, or ‘spin’ in the vernacular. When the culture has permeated even the police, it is time to take stock.”

For other news on problems with the Official Information Act, see Vernon Small’s Public watchdogs need to bare their teeth over misuse of OIA, taxpayer events, and my recent column, New Zealand’s closed government

Stories about the Police

The Police are currently trying to improve their PR by restructuring their public affairs and communications divisions – see Anna Leask’s Overhaul of police PR and communications divisions

But they are facing a difficult task in light of some searching investigative reporting by Heather du Plessis-Allan on TV3 Story. The latest embarrassing item is last night’s six-minute story, Are police doing enough to return your stolen gear?

But it’s du Plessis-Allan’s ongoing investigation into gun purchasing laws that could be more damaging. See her original five-minute story from last month, Loophole in gun laws needs to close, followed up with the two-minute story, Police move to shut down flaw in gun-buying system, and then four-minute story, Police warned about gun risk but did nothing. du Plessis-Allan has also written about this issue in her column, In the gun with mum after rifle stunt

Policing the police

How well is the Independent Police Conduct Authority doing in its watchdog role? Its annual report has recently been released – which you can download here

According to Henry Cooke’s news report, the authority has been struggling to complete its investigations on time, largely due to a 15 per cent increase in the complaints and referrals it has received – see: IPCA falls far short of its goal. And RNZ reports that budgetary constraints are causing some to question whether human rights are being hampered as a result – see: Police conduct authority funding tight

Finally, what are the hard questions being asked about the issue by satirists? Dr Frank Shizenhausen asks: “Why wasn’t Dr Gilbert simply arrested in the middle of the night and dragged to a secret detention centre? I’m sure that with the right amount of handling he would have confessed to any number of crimes. Like the Crewe murders, for example” – see Scott Yorke’s Right Thinking: Unacceptable police behaviour.

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Across The Ditch: How Has GST Delivered For NZ + 3rd Cricket Test in Adelaide

Selwyn Manning joins Australian radio FiveAA’s Peter Godfrey to deliver their Across the Ditch bulletin. This week: How Has GST Delivered For NZ + 3rd Cricket Test in Adelaide – Recorded on 26/11/15

With Australia debating the pros and cons of increasing GST, what is the experience of New Zealand which increased its GST to 15% on October 1 2010.

Points to ponder, in NZ: * Labour brought in GST at 10% during the Lange Labour Govt in 1986s. It replaced sales taxes that varied according to what was being sold or serviced. * Labour increased it to 12.5% in mid 1989 when the economy was in decline and unemployment was rising fast. * National increased it to 15% on October 1, 2010 (despite promising not to increase taxes) * National needed to increase GST in an effort to balance the Govt books due to reductions in income tax and business and corporate tax rates as promised by National. * It should be seen as a shift from income-related taxation to consumer-based taxation. * GST works (from a fiscal prudent POV) while domestic consumption (or private spending) is high or progressing, but when people ease back in their spending due to increased costs of living, mortgage rate increases, cuts to working hours or entitlements, then the GST take falls dramatically. * In NZ GST is applied to all goods and services including food and essential goods and services – no exceptions. This means low and middle income earners have to pay more tax as a proportion of their household incomes as compared to high income earners. And for people laid off or ill or retired it has interrupted their ability to regain self-sufficiency.

Is NZ in better shape because of, or in spite of, 15% GST? Well, the first thing to remember is NZ’s economy is vulnerable. It has a current account deficit that is problematic, it has ballooned government debt since GST was increased to 15%, its manufacturing sector is struggling, its reliance on milk powder exports (the so called white gold) has left the economy exposed – which with the downturn in milk commodity prices has driven thousands of farmers to the wall and caused the rural sector into a regional recession. 15% GST has provided the Government with more revenue to help it recoup tax revenue lost due to a reduction in income and business tax. But it has impacted heavily on low and middle income earning New Zealanders who shoulder the bulk of the tax liability burden, as a proportion of their disposable income. As an export-led economy, New Zealanders have learned the hard lesson that the domestic economy progresses only when New Zealand’s export commodities (agriculture, forestry, horticulture, viticulture, ICT products and services etc) are booming. Like Australia, when commodity exports are regressive, or under pressure, our domestic economies suffer – and remember GST is a domestic consumption tax, and as such it is a means of getting more money into a government’s coffers rather than be an economic saviour. It also enables businesses to escape direct revenue-based taxation liability (especially when business tax rates are reduced) and places the burden of lost tax revenue on people (income earners). Some would say, it gives businesses a revenue stimulus. New Zealand governments argue that it is too complex to take GST off food. Australia has shown it is possible and sustainable to exclude food. If your country is mindful of maintaining that exclusion then it would maintain its ethic of ensuring low and middle income Australians are not disadvantaged by GST. ALSO DISCUSSED! How is the Adelaide Oval pitch shaping up for the third Cricket test between Australia and New Zealand’s Black Caps?

Across The Ditch broadcasts live on Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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NewsRoom Digest: Top NZ News Items for November 25 Edition, 2015

Newsroom Digest

This edition of NewsRoom_Digest features 14 resourceful links of the day and the politics pulse from Wednesday 25th November. It is best viewed on a desktop screen.

NEWSROOM_MONITOR

Noteworthy stories in the current news cycle include controversy over difficulties Dr Jarrod Gilbert, a sociologist specialising in research on criminals at the University of Canterbury, has had obtaining official information from police, new research from Motu into shifts in the ways that New Zealanders are mitigating greenhouse-gas emissions and the Southern District Health Board missing out on full accreditation to train doctors after the Medical Council found as many as 19 deficiencies in its processes.

POLITICS PULSE

Media releases issued from Parliament by political parties today included:

Government: Minister to travel to Paris for key climate meeting; New tourism and hospitality college for Northland; Government Begins Review Of ETS; ETS review an opportunity for forestry; NZ food and beverage sector adding value to volume; Study confirms NZ’s commitment to education; Soft Plastics Recycling Programme launched; Government Suggests Options To Improve Financial Advice Laws; Record low number of backroom bureaucrats; Additional funding to engage young Wellingtonians with science and tech; Good progress in two years of Housing Accord; More opportunities for Māori and Pasifika Trades Training; Minister launches Healthy Families Rotorua; Caversham Valley improvements deliver safer journeys for Otago; Government Suggests Options To Improve Financial Advice Laws; White Ribbon Day puts spotlight on family violence

Greens: No John Key, science alone won’t save us, action will; Agriculture must be part of Emissions Trading Scheme review; Police censorship of crime research “an outrage”

Labour: Petition over Key’s comments on sexual violence returns to Parliament; Data withheld to stymie research; Last chance for Govt to listen on ECan

Māori Party: Te Ururoa Flavell joins 250 km run to raise awareness about domestic and sexual abuse; Call to bring back Maori soldiers buried in Malaysia; Labour & NZF Maori MPs Should Do Homework Before Mudslinging

New Zealand First: Silver Fern Farms ‘Heist’ Needs Regulators’ Scrutiny

NZ National Party: Hutt Valley primary school to engage kids in science and tech

LINKS OF THE DAY

Links of the day have been a feature of NewsRoom_Digest since we first started production in August 2014.

BACKROOM BUREAUCRATS DROP: The June 2015 update of the Core Government Administration shows 35,632 Full Time Equivalent (FTE) staff, a reduction of 474 from December 2014.The latest capping update is available here:http://www.ssc.govt.nz/capping-june15

CONSTRUCTION SURVEY: The Aecom Sentiments Survey for the 2nd half of 2015 highlights a substantial softening in the infrastructure sector with only 29 percent of respondents expecting to see an increase in workload. The survey is available at: http://www.aecom.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Sentiment-NZ-2H-2015_final_Embargoed-until-25-November-2015.pdf

EMPLOYMENT FIGURES: The number of Pacific people employed increased by 9.6 per cent in the year to September 2015, according to the latest Labour Market Factsheets for Māori and Pacific peoples released by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment today.For more information on MBIE’s labour market analysis, and to view the factsheets visit our website:http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/employment-skills/labour-market-reports.

FAMILY SUPPORT: A research released by Statistics New Zealand, shows that 61 percent of New Zealand adults who experienced a major life change in the last 12 months turned to family for support. Read more:http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/people_and_communities/Well-being/social-connectedness/social-networks/deal-with-change.aspx

FINANCIAL ADVICE LAWS: An options paper has been released in a move to improve financial advice legislation. More details at: www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/business/business-law/financial-advisers/review-of-financial-advisers-act-2008

FOOD & BEVERAGE SECTOR: A new report on New Zealand’s food and beverage export sector shows that the sector is successfully achieving growth by investing in added value products and moving up the value chain. The Investor’s Guide to the New Zealand Food and Beverage Industry is part of the Food and Beverage Information Project and is available here: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/sectors-industries/food-beverage/information-project

GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS: New research by Motu Economic and Public Policy Research has identified where households can make a real difference to their greenhouse gas emissions – and cutting down on red meat and purchasing an electric vehicle are top of the list. Click here for more: http://www.motu.org.nz/assets/Documents/our-work/environment-and-resources/emission-mitigation/shaping-new-zealands-low-emissions-future/Are-we-turning-a-brighter-shade-of-green-execsummary.pdf

INTERNATIONAL VISITOR ARRIVALS: The latest edition of International Visitor Arrivals to New Zealand (IVA) is now available on the Statistics New Zealand website. Read more: http://bit.ly/1Md0Lke

INTERNATIONAL VISITOR SPENDING: International visitor spend grew 38 per cent to $9.4 billion in the September 2015 year, according to the latest International Visitor Survey released today by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE). Summary statistics are available in the IVS key data table:http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/sectors-industries/tourism/tourism-research-data/ivs/ivs-commentary

NZ EDUCATION: Education At a Glance 2015, which was released overnight, shows that New Zealand ranks in the top two OECD countries for expenditure on both school and tertiary education as a percentage of total public expenditure. The report is available at: htttp://www.oecd.org/edu/eag.htm

SELF-ESTEEM STUDY: Thousands of Kiwi parents have seen a positive increase in their child’s self-esteem after they take part in a triathlon event, according to a new survey by Sanitarium Health Food Company. Click here for more:http://try.weetbix.co.nz/parents/benefits-for-your-child 

SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS AWARDS: The The NZI Sustainable Business Network Awards, which have been running for 13 years was held last night.Read more: http://sustainable.org.nz/awards/

UNLOCKING CURIOUS MINDS: Nearly $1 million of additional funding has been awarded to 25 new projects across New Zealand to engage more young Kiwis with science and technology under the Unlocking Curious Minds contestable fund pilot. For more information visit: http://www.curiousminds.nz/ucm

WORLD BANK’S CLIMATE PLAN: The World Bank Group today unveiled a new plan that calls for $16 billion in funding to help African people and countries adapt to climate change and build up the continent’s resilience to climate shocks.Go here for more: http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2015/11/24/world-bank-group-unveils-16-billion-africa-climate-business-plan-to-tackle-urgent-climate-challenges

And that’s our sampling of “news you can use” for Wednesday 25th November.

Brought to EveningReport by Newsroom Digest.

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Carolyn Skelton on NZ’s Web Series coming of age: Web Fest 2015

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Feature analysis by Carolyn Skelton. A couple of weeks ago, I went to the first NZ Web Fest 2015. It had a diverse and engaging programmeThe rise in popularity of online videos  follows the increasing use of youtube, and a related decline in viewing of broadcast TV especially among young people. [See Andrew Laxon on NZ Herald 21 Nov 2015] NZ Web series, shows and documentaries – The range of productions and people covered in the Fest included the YouTube international celebrity Jamie Curry of Jamie’s World; https://youtu.be/IYzxhj93ngA web series featured on the NZ Web Series Channel  ;   fictional web series such as High Road, https://youtu.be/PFONfCsSZn8 AFKFlat 3End of Term and more; 3 minute documentaries as enabled by Loading Docs; web shows supported by TV channels such as Maori TV and TV3; and satirical shows like White Man Behind a Desk. Some, like Jamie Curry, started making no-cost YouTube videos with the encouragement of friends, talking about her life, friends and family, and picked up a massive international niche audience. Jamie now has a published book, a manager, and has recently been getting some help with organising ideas from Jaquie Brown. Others, like Chaz Harris, creator of End of Term, had previous experience in TV, film and web series in the UK and NZ.  We were given a preview of selected episodes of End of Term.  It’s now showing on the NZ Web Series Channel and on YouTube.  It is rendered mysterious and intriguing because each episode represents “found footage” of a home-made video recording, and reveals a small amount of information shown out of chronological order.  It’s a mosaic, a puzzle, with clues as to the order in the online camera graphic. https://youtu.be/rz3QZlCCCWc [Chaz Harris talks on RNZ with examples of web series] However, while Harris had initially wanted to make a TV or film production, Roseanne Liang, creator of Flat 3 said her team saw themselves, their approach and their content as non-mainstream.  She described them as Kiwi Asians with an inclusive feminist and intersectionist philosophy.  They have gone for brand partnerships for funding. Laing referred to the defining characteristic of web productions in the US as being where “authenticity is king”, in contrast to TV where “the story is king”. Laing is indicative of the strong participation by women as producers and directors of web series and web shows. https://youtu.be/OgeLHoL6Fxo The Aroha Project also has an alternative focus. It is “part of a multifaceted initiative responding to bullying, alienation and suicide risk amongst young Māori and Pacific LGBT youth.” https://youtu.be/TJ5U-UJsFsk Characteristics and funding models Much of the Web Fest focus was on youth culture, YouTube, and mobile technologies.  However, the popular, very Kiwi and Westie accented High Road has a protagonist who is a scruffy aging rocker.  The series begins with him running a local radio station at the Piha Camp site. The strongest themes throughout the Web Fest were those of creativity, innovation and entertainment. Multi-platform productions and possibilities for audience interactivity are also highly recommended.  Short videos and humour considered to be highly desirable, though not always necessary.  It was pointed out that there is an audience for longer documentaries online as seen at Vice Media. Three funding models were presented through these presentations, apart from the no-cost first YouTube videos of the likes of original productions of Jamie’s World: NZ On Air funding; brand partnerships (usually through product placement); Crowdfunding. They all have their pros and cons, but behind each are a specific ethos. Brenda Leeuwenberg from NZ On Air explained the process of applying for NZ On Airt funding for web series. The numbers of applications for this doubled to 109 in the last year. Anna Lawrence and Brent Kennedy on branding and monetising online content. NZ On Air funding aims to give a leg up to new crews and talents (especially among young wannabe filmmakers).  They want to encourage productions that will be free at point of viewing. Loading Docs, supported by NZ On Air Digital Fund and the NZ Film Commission, is taking submissions proposals for 3 minute documentaries for funding. I have some misgivings about product placement in that it is likely to influence onscreen meanings to some extent.   Proponents of this approach say that they choose partners that support their work. Furthermore, they say that partnerships have a flexibility not usually seen with TV and film commercial sponsorship and product placement: one episode of a web series may feature a Coca Cola product, the next a Pepsi one, or something entirely different. Crowdfunding promises more independence for video-makers by encouraging participation and support from their potential audience – in itself crowdfunding can be a good promotional exercise. 2015 Web Awards The day ended with the announcement of the very worthy winners of the 2015 NZ Web awards. [nominees here] The choices must have been hard for the judges.  In keeping with the youth and female focus of online video production, Jamie’s World won the Best YouTube Video Channel. The winner of the Best Web Series (fiction) was High Road and the winner of the Best YouTube One To Watch award went to Ollie Langdon.  The Best Web Show (non-fiction) was White Man Behind a Desk. https://youtu.be/E1RL1Y4FFKw I particularly enjoy WMBAD as it provides some much needed home grown political satire.  It does not seem to use brand partnerships. –]]>

Keith Rankin’s Chart for this Week: Decadal Inflation in New Zealand 1925-2015

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Analysis by Keith Rankin.

[caption id="attachment_8277" align="aligncenter" width="978"]Inflation in Context. Inflation in Context.[/caption]

This week’s chart looks at decadal rather than annual inflation. With Statistics New Zealand last year celebrating the centenary of the Consumers Price Index (CPI), a more broad-brush and historical approach to the inflation-spectre that still drives much of our macroeconomic policy is timely.

The light-red plot shows – for each quarter – average prices in the previous four quarters (1 year) compared to average prices in twelve-quarters (3 years) ten years earlier. The reason for comparing a 1-year average with a three year average is that it assures us that turning points in the plot reflect the most recent period, and not any blips that were happening ten years earlier.

The dark-green plot shows 40-quarter averages (10 years) compared to the previous 40-quarters. It shows the decadal pattern unblemished by short term blips in the data. It is centred, meaning that the most recent (2010) plot represents average prices from Dec-2005 to Sep-2015 compared to average prices from Dec-1995 to Sep 2005.

In the big picture we can easily see what is appropriately called the Great Inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. It is important to emphasise that – like the Great Depression of the 1930s – this was a global economic event that affected New Zealand. It was not a New Zealand specific event. This contrasts with the German hyperinflation of 1923, and the Zimbabwe hyperinflation in the early years of this century, which were country-specific events. Indeed in New Zealand we see that prices were lower in 1930 than in 1920, quite unlike the German experience.

In New Zealand we worried about inflation in the 1910s, in World War 2 (1940s), and in the 1950s. But decadal inflation of about 50 percent in these times was clearly dwarfed by decadal inflation that peaked in New Zealand in 1982, at 270 percent. This means that, in New Zealand (similar to most western countries), New Zealand prices were 3.7 times higher in 1982 than in 1972.

(A 100% inflation rate means prices have become two-times what they were previously; a doubling. A 200% inflation means a trebling of prices. A 900% increase represents a ten-fold increase of prices.)

The decline in inflation rates (disinflation) in New Zealand clearly began with the 1982 price and wage freeze. Inflation was briefly reignited in 1985 following the 1984 devaluation and the big public sector pay hikes. An apparent surge in inflation in 1987 was in fact due to the introduction of GST; not to underlying inflation. The Reserve Bank Act of 1989 – ostensibly the creation of a monetary-policy mandate and arsenal to fight inflation – was introduced well after the inflation problem had abated. The high GST-boosted inflation rate almost certainly served as part of the pretext for the Reserve Bank Act, an act that essentially interpreted the already-waning inflation as a national rather than as a global phenomenon.

We see that from the 1990s, inflation has been close to its twentieth-century norms. The Great Inflation was clearly an exceptional period of global macroeconomic history. Policymaking centred on the inflation issue has become an anachronism. While the battle is the world’s central banks is now to fight deflation, they really have no more clue about how to do this than they did in the 1930s. (Switzerland currently has interest rates of -0.75% and annual inflation at -1.4%. Japan has both interest rates and annual inflation at 0.00%!)

Negative decadal inflation peaked in New Zealand in the year 1932, at -20 percent for the ten years commencing 1922. We are in for more of this deflation – again a global phenomenon – unless, that is, World War 3 breaks out.

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NZ Report: Govt Intends To Toughen Up On Encrypted Communications + The Elusive Taylor Swift

New Zealand Report: Selwyn Manning joins Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au breakfast team to deliver New Zealand Report: This week – The New Zealand Government intends to toughen up on encrypted communications + The Elusive Taylor Swift – Recorded Live on 25/11/15.

New Zealand’s National-led Government looks set to further tighten the country’s security intelligence laws in the aftermath of the November 13 terror attacks in Paris. Yesterday (Tuesday) the Prime Minister John Key said there were 40 New Zealanders currently on a special anti-terrorism target list and at least two individuals are currently under 24 hour surveillance by the Security Intelligence Service (SIS) and Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB). Key said all 40 individuals on the watch-list are on the “periphery of Islamic State”. He told Radio New Zealand: “One or two of them are quite threatening individuals but I hasten to say people should take some confidence from the fact that they’re under 24-hour surveillance so their capacity to do a lot is limited.” Immediately after the Paris terror attacks John Key and the SIS and GCSB Minister, Chris Finlayson both indicated a concern that new encryption communications software made it possible for terrorists and criminals to communicate and plan strikes within the dark web. Finlayson hinted that the Government is looking to make it unlawful for people in New Zealand to use encryption without ensuring the Government’s spooks have a means of deciphering the communications. Currently, all ISPs in New Zealand must provide the Government’s spooks with de-encryption keys to any private or protected communication platforms. But there is no law preventing individuals from using high-encryption software like Tor and Tails. QUIRKY NEWS: On a lighter note, the biggest mystery in New Zealand this week is: Taylor Swift, where the bloody hell are ya? Media and fans have been out trying to hunt down the American superstar after rumours began circulating that she was spotted at an Auckland west coast ocean beach, and also that she is here filming a new music video. The news of the century was confirmed by a local soap opera actor who bumped into Swift when exiting the toilet on a flight from LA to Auckland. Ido Dent told Television New Zealand: “Yeah, had a good chat to her on the plane outside the lavatory. She’s definitely here.”

New Zealand Report broadcasts live on Australia’s radio FiveAA.com.au and webcasts on EveningReport.nz LiveNews.co.nz and ForeignAffairs.co.nz.

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