COMMENTARY: By Prince Taofeek Ajibade
US President Donald Trump probably thinks he can starve a country that feeds itself.
Washington is selling the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a chokehold. However, it is worth asking whether the hand actually reaches the throat.
Iran shares land borders with seven countries — Türkiye, Iraq, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Nearly 5900 kilometres of border, criss-crossed by road and rail.
No naval force on earth blockades a land route.
Petrochemicals, minerals, manufactured goods are moved overland. Machinery, spare parts, consumer goods, all come back the same way. The Strait of Hormuz does not sit across any of that.
Then there is the food issue, which is where blockades historically do their cruellest work.
It will not work here. Iran is approximately 96 percent self-sufficient in essential foodstuffs.
Iran doesn’t depend on imported food
Fertile western plains, mountain valleys, Caspian lowlands, including wheat, rice, fruit, livestock. The Gulf states that cheered this blockade loudest — the UAE and Qatar — depend almost entirely on food imports. Iran doesn’t.
You cannot starve a country that feeds itself.
What about the blockade?
Yes, that will hurt. Hard currency earnings from oil tanker traffic will fall. That is real and Washington knows it.
But “hurt” and “collapse” are different destinations, and the distance between them is precisely what the architects of this policy appear not to have calculated.
Central Asia and the Caucasus remain open. Regional markets will absorb what the sea lanes cannot carry.
The economic pressure is genuine. The total isolation that the blockade promises is not.
Iran has survived four decades of sanctions, assassinations, and sabotage. It did not survive them by accident. It survived them because its geography is not a weakness waiting to be exploited.
It is the strategy.
Prince Taofeek Ajibade is an educator and digital creator from Ibadan, Nigeria.
Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz
