CoveragePost
May 21, 2020
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. If tonight’s 1News-Colmar Brunton poll result is anywhere near the 31% recorded in Monday’s Newshub-Reid Research poll, Simon Bridges will surely be dog tucker when his caucus colleagues meet tomorrow to vote on the National Party leadership. The momentum is with newcomer Todd Muller, who seems likely to be installed ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Todd Muller has the momentum to become National’s leader" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/05/21/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-todd-muller-has-the-momentum-to-become-nationals-leader/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Todd Muller has the momentum to become National’s leader">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
February 17, 2020
NZ First is facing the boot at this year’s election, especially as it’s now embroiled in an unfolding donations scandal, which comes on top of low poll ratings. But what effect will the scandal have on NZ First’s government coalition colleagues? And is Labour and the Greens’ hands-off stance appropriate, or are they ethically compromised? ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Are Labour and the Greens behaving unethically over the donations scandal?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2020/02/17/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-are-labour-and-the-greens-behaving-unethically-over-the-donations-scandal/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Are Labour and the Greens behaving unethically over the donations scandal?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 15, 2019
Commentators across the political spectrum seem to agree – the Labour-led Government’s popularity is being damaged by its failure to deliver in Jacinda Ardern’s self-proclaimed “Year of Delivery”. Instead, the delivery of bad news to Labour and the Government has come in two opinion polls out this week. Last night’s 1News-Colmar Brunton poll gave Labour ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour’s “Year of non-Delivery” bites" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/10/15/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-labours-year-of-non-delivery-bites/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Labour’s “Year of non-Delivery” bites">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 9, 2019
When New Zealand First holds its annual party conference next week, the issue underpinning all the discussion and debate will be its survival. It’s a perennial problem, but one that is now particularly pronounced. With polling putting the party below the crucial five per cent MMP threshold for most of their time as part of ... <a title="Political Roundup: The pressure of survival shows for NZ First" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/10/09/political-roundup-the-pressure-of-survival-shows-for-nz-first/" aria-label="Read more about Political Roundup: The pressure of survival shows for NZ First">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
August 1, 2019
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Will New Zealand have its first Māori prime minister next year? That’s what Simon Bridges is suggesting, and despite scepticism from critics and commentators, there’s good reason to take him seriously. The National Party annual conference in the weekend went well for the party, and there are other signs ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What are the chances of “Prime Minister Simon Bridges” in 2020?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/08/01/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-what-are-the-chances-of-prime-minister-simon-bridges-in-2020/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What are the chances of “Prime Minister Simon Bridges” in 2020?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 25, 2019
The National Party heads into its annual conference in Christchurch this weekend amidst continued speculation about its leadership, whether the party can win in 2020, and questions about the ideological direction of the party. This week’s leaked opinion polling results won’t help the mood, and it won’t help Bridges’ hold on the leadership. Last month ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What’s going on inside the National Party?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/07/25/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-whats-going-on-inside-the-national-party/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What’s going on inside the National Party?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
July 23, 2019
The Greens may have achieved their sought-after mainstream credibility, and scored some wins in government, but commentators warn this will not necessarily result in more votes. On the contrary – it might even result in a loss of enthusiasm from their own side. This can be seen in the fact that much of the praise ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Are the Greens in danger of being rejected as too moderate?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/07/23/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-are-the-greens-in-danger-of-being-rejected-as-too-moderate/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Are the Greens in danger of being rejected as too moderate?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 13, 2019
How much trust do you have in politics and public institutions? It’s one of the most important political questions of our time. All over the world there has been a decline in trust, which is leading to a sea change in our politics – from Trump and Brexit through to the emergence of radical progressive ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Who does the public trust in 2019?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/06/13/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-who-does-the-public-trust-in-2019/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Who does the public trust in 2019?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 11, 2019
Political commentators are divided over whether the Government’s terrible handling of the so-called “Budget hack” is a “cockup” or a “conspiracy”. It’s still not clear which, and nor is it clear who is responsible. But there is growing agreement that the Government’s handling of the issue was in error, as it was a bizarre mistake ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Budget hack “cockup or conspiracy” debate continues" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/06/11/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-the-budget-hack-cockup-or-conspiracy-debate-continues/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: The Budget hack “cockup or conspiracy” debate continues">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
June 10, 2019
Two opinion polls have come out at once saying dramatically different things about the current fortunes of New Zealand’s political parties. One poll, promoted by Newshub as “epic”, puts Labour 13-points ahead of National. The other poll from 1News showed a shock reversal of party fortunes, with Labour now 2-points behind. And once you add ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Epic New Zealand political opinion poll mystery" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/06/10/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-epic-new-zealand-political-opinion-poll-mystery/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Epic New Zealand political opinion poll mystery">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
May 20, 2019
The stars seem to be aligning in favour of the establishment of a socially conservative Christian-based political party, making it more than just a vague possibility. However, some big hurdles remain in place before the National Party can be hopeful that it has a new coalition-friendly party to help it into office at the next ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Stars aligning for a Christian Party" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/05/20/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-stars-aligning-for-a-christian-party/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: Stars aligning for a Christian Party">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
April 30, 2019
The Greens were going to be the principled core of the Labour-led Government, but instead are regarded by many as having been largely ineffective and submissive in power. This is leading supporters and others on the political left to ask some difficult questions about the direction the Greens are going in, and whether they will ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What happened to the Greens’ dream?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2019/04/30/bryce-edwards-political-roundup-what-happened-to-the-greens-dream/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup: What happened to the Greens’ dream?">Read more</a>