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New Zealand Economy

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates

July 22, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Interest Rates and Increasing Prices: The Facts The first chart above challenges the received view that inflation in New Zealand remains stubbornly high, and that it is therefore appropriate for the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate (OCR) to be held for at least a few more months at its damagingly high ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/22/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-truth-in-new-zealand-about-price-inflation-and-interest-rates/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Truth in New Zealand about Price Inflation and Interest Rates">Read more</a>

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Geffrey Miller Analysis – China’s message to New Zealand – don’t put it all at risk

June 14, 2024

  Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – This analysis was first published by Democracy Project. Don’t put it all at risk. That’s likely to be the take-home message for New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon in his meetings with Li Qiang, the Chinese Premier. Li’s visit to Wellington this week is the highest-ranking visit by a ... <a title="Geffrey Miller Analysis – China’s message to New Zealand – don’t put it all at risk" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/06/14/geffrey-miller-analysis-chinas-message-to-new-zealand-dont-put-it-all-at-risk/" aria-label="Read more about Geffrey Miller Analysis – China’s message to New Zealand – don’t put it all at risk">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards – FastTrackWatch: The Case for the Government’s Fast Track Bill

April 27, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards, Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Many criticisms are being made of the Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill, including by this writer. But as with everything in politics, every story has two sides, and both deserve attention. It’s important to understand what the Government is trying to achieve and its arguments for such a bold ... <a title="Bryce Edwards – FastTrackWatch: The Case for the Government’s Fast Track Bill" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/04/27/bryce-edwards-fasttrackwatch-the-case-for-the-governments-fast-track-bill/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards – FastTrackWatch: The Case for the Government’s Fast Track Bill">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?

March 25, 2024

Opinion by Keith Rankin. Do we need real income-tax cuts this year? Probably not. Do we need nominal income-tax cuts? Yes, we do. The government should go ahead with its proposed tax cuts, but only to low and middle income earners. The tax cuts should compensate for the inflationary component of the cost of living ... <a title="Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/25/keith-rankin-opinion-tax-cuts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan

March 21, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In this article, I will simply present the numbers for the key performance indicators (taken from tradingeconomics.com). And then I’ll give an update on GDP (gross domestic product) data, given today’s data release from Statistics New Zealand, and with the definition of ‘recession’ in mind. An important part of the context ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/21/keith-rankin-analysis-economic-performance-new-zealand-versus-japan/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession

March 20, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Recessions in the last Ten Years: New Zealand and Japan Tomorrow we will see the latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for New Zealand. It’s worth looking today, however, at what the situation is before that data release (with its revisions as well as new data). And in context by comparing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/20/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealand-in-recession/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession">Read more</a>

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China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand

March 18, 2024

Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Timing is everything. And from China’s perspective, this week’s visit by its foreign minister to New Zealand could be coming at just the right moment. The visit by Wang Yi to Wellington will be his first since 2017. Anniversaries are important to Beijing. It is more than ... <a title="China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/18/china-foreign-minister-wang-yis-perfectly-timed-aukus-themed-visit-to-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government

March 7, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In Question Time in Parliament, yesterday, Finance Minister Nicola Willis was asked a question about the extent of the cost of government debt-servicing. The answer, in short, was ‘a lot’; and she mentioned that the cost had been assessed on an interest-only basis. The ensuing round of supplementary questions never got ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/07/keith-rankin-analysis-interest-costs-the-cost-of-living-and-the-cost-of-government/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché

November 28, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The new government is making a weak start to its tenure. On Morning Report (RNZ, 28 Nov 2023, Prime Minister Luxon to lead first cabinet meeting), Mr Luxon repeated a comment such as he has made several times before: “The number one job is to rebuild the economy so we can ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/28/keith-rankin-analysis-government-by-cliche/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché">Read more</a>

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Simon Angelo Analysis – The Future of Money: Bitcoin, Banks, BRICS, and CBDCs

November 21, 2023

By Simon Angelo – www.WealthMorning.com Simon Angelo worked for the world’s first regulated Bitcoin fund in 2016. He currently works at a trading desk for Wholesale Investors. His work in offshore finance and global banking gives him some insights on the future of money. When Bitcoin was a special opportunity In October 2016, when I ... <a title="Simon Angelo Analysis – The Future of Money: Bitcoin, Banks, BRICS, and CBDCs" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/21/simon-angelo-analysis-the-future-of-money-bitcoin-banks-brics-and-cbdcs/" aria-label="Read more about Simon Angelo Analysis – The Future of Money: Bitcoin, Banks, BRICS, and CBDCs">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis

November 16, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The three components to the crisis are churn, aging, and the increasing predominance of births into disadvantaged households. Churn Yesterday the main release from Statistics New Zealand was Record net migration loss of New Zealand citizens. ” There was a record net migration loss of 44,700 New Zealand citizens in the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/16/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealands-coming-triple-demographic-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax

November 14, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Christopher Luxon and Nicola Willis have a bottom-line policy of delivering “tax relief” to New Zealand’s “squeezed middle”. Their modest policy is to increase the first three income tax thresholds by 11.5%, representing compensation for about two years of inflation-driven tax increases. (Labour’s policy, by contrast, was to take advantage of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/14/keith-rankin-analysis-christopher-luxon-is-tone-deaf-and-slightly-innumerate-on-tax/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax">Read more</a>