CoveragePost
February 26, 2024
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards: Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) The Labour Party’s fortunes go from bad to worse. Ever since the party was turfed out of power in October, incurring its biggest-ever loss, the party has shown no real sign of learning any lessons from its defeat, nor does it show any capacity to revive ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/26/bryce-edwards-analysis-forwarded-this-email-subscribe-here-for-more-labours-worst-week-highlights-its-existential-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
February 13, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin Generally, more people die in winter. Not surprising, though some years have significantly more deaths than others, and the timing of ‘peak death’ each year varies between the wintery months. These charts show the deaths, determined from weekly data, of people named Smith, New Zealand’s most common surname last century. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealand-post-war-mortality-seasonal-patterns/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
February 1, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Collectiveness at it most potent has been called asabiyya by macrohistorian and cliodynamicist Peter Turchin. At its least potent, collectiveness is a recipe for social division, top-heaviness, escalating inequality, and societal breakdown. The present ‘debates’ in Aotearoa New Zealand – ostensibly about Te Tiriti, the Treaty of Waitangi – represent a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/01/keith-rankin-analysis-collective-versus-individual-maori-versus-maoris/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 31, 2024
Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. New Zealand has fallen slightly in the latest Corruption Perception Index – which measures the least corrupt countries in the world. New Zealand has gone from number two in the world, to number three. The annual index is produced each year by the global anti-corruption NGO, Transparency International. The country’s ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Luxon needs to raise standards in the Beehive" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/31/bryce-edwards-analysis-luxon-needs-to-raise-standards-in-the-beehive/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Luxon needs to raise standards in the Beehive">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 30, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Peter Turchin, author of End Times, has spent many years researching cliodynamics. His works in the 2000s include Secular Cycles (2009) and War and Peace and War (2007). A central concept in communicating his research is that of asabiyya, a word gifted to us from the renowned North African philosopher and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Asabiyya" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/30/keith-rankin-analysis-asabiyya/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Asabiyya">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 25, 2024
Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. New Zealand is reshaping its foreign policy via the Middle East. A decision to provide intelligence support for future US and UK airstrikes on Yemen is highly symbolic. The Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, announced the deployment of the New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) troops to support the US-led military response to the attacks ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/25/geoffrey-miller-analysis-new-zealands-huge-shift-in-the-middle-east/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 19, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the European Union at least, mortality data is now available until close to the end of 2023. In northern Europe, mortality has been markedly higher than it should have been in the ‘Fall’ – autumn – of 2023. The main exception is Poland. Respiratory illness is most likely the culprit. ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-excess-mortality-to-fall-2023-mainly-northeast-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Excess Mortality to Fall 2023: mainly Northeast Europe">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 18, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I enjoy Bryce Edwards’ Political Roundup as a succinct and pertinent summary of current New Zealand politics. But, in The Liberal v Conservative anguish over the direction of NZ politics (NZ Herald, 3 January 2024) Edwards corrupts the word ‘liberal’ too much. The word ‘liberal’ has a definite, important, and nuanced ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – To be (a) liberal" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/18/keith-rankin-analysis-to-be-a-liberal/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – To be (a) liberal">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 15, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The International Court of Justice (ICJ) – based in The Hague, in The Netherlands – is being asked by South Africa if the 100-day (so far) slaughter by the Government of Israel in Gaza constitutes a ‘genocide’. Thus ‘genocide’ is presented as a binary concept, in a context where there is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Genocide as a Concept: Binary or Analogue?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/15/keith-rankin-analysis-genocide-as-a-concept-binary-or-analogue/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Genocide as a Concept: Binary or Analogue?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 10, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the absence of more detailed recent data on deaths in New Zealand, the Smithometer acts as a good proxy for older New Zealanders’ mortality. The Smithometer includes all New Zealand deaths where the persons’ surnames are Smith, including women with birth surnames of Smith. So, the Smithometer most reflects the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/10/keith-rankin-analysis-mortality-of-older-new-zealanders-the-latest-smithometer/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 22, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. When countries’ national elections are closely fought, it means that the median voters critically determine the parliamentary or congressional outcome. But, though depending to a considerable extent on the prevailing political culture, the centre-of-gravity of the resulting government may be far from that median usually ‘centrist’ position of the voters. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/22/keith-rankin-analysis-political-culture-and-close-elections/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 21, 2023
Dr Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning note and discuss some of the big world events that have occurred and are occurring in 2023.
And in particular, they discuss the rise of the Global South; evaluate the the wars that continue to rage in Ukraine and Gaza; and tensions in the South China Sea.
Plus Paul and Selwyn note, with particular reference, the trends that will become prominent in 2024, including the decline of Western democracies and a rightward turn in many places (including in Argentina and New Zealand in their respective 2023 elections).
