CoveragePost
January 15, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The International Court of Justice (ICJ) – based in The Hague, in The Netherlands – is being asked by South Africa if the 100-day (so far) slaughter by the Government of Israel in Gaza constitutes a ‘genocide’. Thus ‘genocide’ is presented as a binary concept, in a context where there is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Genocide as a Concept: Binary or Analogue?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/15/keith-rankin-analysis-genocide-as-a-concept-binary-or-analogue/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Genocide as a Concept: Binary or Analogue?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
January 10, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the absence of more detailed recent data on deaths in New Zealand, the Smithometer acts as a good proxy for older New Zealanders’ mortality. The Smithometer includes all New Zealand deaths where the persons’ surnames are Smith, including women with birth surnames of Smith. So, the Smithometer most reflects the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/10/keith-rankin-analysis-mortality-of-older-new-zealanders-the-latest-smithometer/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Mortality of Older New Zealanders, the Latest Smithometer">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 22, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. When countries’ national elections are closely fought, it means that the median voters critically determine the parliamentary or congressional outcome. But, though depending to a considerable extent on the prevailing political culture, the centre-of-gravity of the resulting government may be far from that median usually ‘centrist’ position of the voters. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/22/keith-rankin-analysis-political-culture-and-close-elections/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 19, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Last week the new government effectively cancelled the plans of Kiwi Rail – in the form of ‘The Interislander’ – derailing its intended Picton rail and road expansion. The plans were judged to be too costly; in particular, the rate of cost escalation was deemed unacceptable. The bigger picture is the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Shipping News: Lyttelton versus Picton, and other stories" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/19/keith-rankin-analysis-the-shipping-news-lyttelton-versus-picton-and-other-stories/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Shipping News: Lyttelton versus Picton, and other stories">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 15, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above shows Aotearoa New Zealand’s exports and imports of coal. First, note that the emphasis is on timing, not absolute amounts; Imports have a different scale to Exports. Essentially, imports have been around 10% of exports. It’s also important to note that most Aotearoan coal is exported, while coal ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-coal-trade/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 14, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Tertiary education is in crisis in Aotearoa New Zealand. Vocational education, the domain of the Polytechnic ‘Institutes of Technology’; and Science and Humanities’ education, the traditional domain of the Universities. 2023 was an election year, yet tertiary education did not feature in the election campaign, despite these manifest crises. The Labour ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Te Pūkenga, Universities, and Unitec" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/14/keith-rankin-analysis-te-pukenga-universities-and-unitec/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Te Pūkenga, Universities, and Unitec">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
December 1, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Supremacism is a cultural belief that an in-group of humanity is inherently superior to other groups, and that those other groups have lesser human rights as a consequence of their presumed inferiority or corruption. The Jewish religion does have texts which can be understood as supremacist. That doesn’t make Judaism a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay: Supremacism, Israel and Neozionism" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/01/keith-rankin-essay-supremacism-israel-and-neozionism/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay: Supremacism, Israel and Neozionism">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 28, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The new government is making a weak start to its tenure. On Morning Report (RNZ, 28 Nov 2023, Prime Minister Luxon to lead first cabinet meeting), Mr Luxon repeated a comment such as he has made several times before: “The number one job is to rebuild the economy so we can ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/28/keith-rankin-analysis-government-by-cliche/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 16, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The three components to the crisis are churn, aging, and the increasing predominance of births into disadvantaged households. Churn Yesterday the main release from Statistics New Zealand was Record net migration loss of New Zealand citizens. ” There was a record net migration loss of 44,700 New Zealand citizens in the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/16/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealands-coming-triple-demographic-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 14, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Christopher Luxon and Nicola Willis have a bottom-line policy of delivering “tax relief” to New Zealand’s “squeezed middle”. Their modest policy is to increase the first three income tax thresholds by 11.5%, representing compensation for about two years of inflation-driven tax increases. (Labour’s policy, by contrast, was to take advantage of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/14/keith-rankin-analysis-christopher-luxon-is-tone-deaf-and-slightly-innumerate-on-tax/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 3, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. There may be some surprises when the final election count comes out today. One particular point to note refers back to the United States presidential election of 2020, when the late votes in most states – those votes not counted on election night – very heavily favoured Biden over Trump. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/03/keith-rankin-on-predicting-the-final-outcome-of-the-election/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 1, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Last week (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy) I described New Zealand’s place and financial strategy within the world’s financial ecosystem; how New Zealand pursues a ponzi financial model, and how that model has played a role in offsetting the ‘mercantilist’ financial strategies of other countries (examples given ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/01/keith-rankin-analysis-the-ponzi-financial-model-japan-and-united-states/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States">Read more</a>
