CoveragePost
November 14, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Christopher Luxon and Nicola Willis have a bottom-line policy of delivering “tax relief” to New Zealand’s “squeezed middle”. Their modest policy is to increase the first three income tax thresholds by 11.5%, representing compensation for about two years of inflation-driven tax increases. (Labour’s policy, by contrast, was to take advantage of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/14/keith-rankin-analysis-christopher-luxon-is-tone-deaf-and-slightly-innumerate-on-tax/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 3, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. There may be some surprises when the final election count comes out today. One particular point to note refers back to the United States presidential election of 2020, when the late votes in most states – those votes not counted on election night – very heavily favoured Biden over Trump. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/03/keith-rankin-on-predicting-the-final-outcome-of-the-election/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
November 1, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Last week (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy) I described New Zealand’s place and financial strategy within the world’s financial ecosystem; how New Zealand pursues a ponzi financial model, and how that model has played a role in offsetting the ‘mercantilist’ financial strategies of other countries (examples given ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/01/keith-rankin-analysis-the-ponzi-financial-model-japan-and-united-states/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 30, 2023
Analysis. by Keith Rankin. On 26 October I wrote about New Zealand’s exceptional financial model, showing it to take a similar (though non-fraudulent) form to a Ponzi Scheme (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy). And I showed how this kind of financial behaviour by a nation-state could help to stabilise a world ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-interesting-financial-fingerprints-malaysia-switzerland-united-kingdom-israel/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 26, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today I read this article (David Seymour calls for sweeping changes to make the Reserve Bank more accountable, NZ Herald, 26 October) showing David Seymore’s wish to double-down on New Zealand’s financial model. The Ponzi financial model operates much more broadly than the fraudulent Ponzi schemes associated the likes of players ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/26/keith-rankin-analysis-the-ponzi-financial-model-and-new-zealands-monetary-policy/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 17, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows that the world’s governments, taken collectively, run financial deficits every year. This is not a weakness of the global financial system; it’s a strength, perhaps the strength of the world system. Government deficits offset private sector financial choices. We note that when the world government deficit becomes ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-governments-run-financial-deficits-its-their-role-to-do-so/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 12, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows the anomalous economy which is Ireland. In tradingeconomics.com, Ireland and New Zealand are shown as having exactly the same population (5.15m). Yet Ireland has a GDP of $US529 billion, whereas New Zealand has a GDP of $US247 billion, less than half. (Even Sweden, with double Ireland’s population, has ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth: Ireland compared to Australasia" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/12/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-economic-growth-ireland-compared-to-australasia/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth: Ireland compared to Australasia">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 9, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. I read this article quoting Christopher Luxon as follows: “We’ve been to many places where marginal seats are and we’re getting good movement.” (Luxon talks to media amid election result limbo fears, NZ Herald, 7 Oct 2023). He has this misplaced narrative around marginal seats. I have also heard talk in ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/09/keith-rankin-analysis-does-christopher-luxon-understand-mmp/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Does Christopher Luxon Understand MMP?">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
October 5, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart looks rather noisy, and so it should. Life and death are messy, and subject to random variations. But this chart, for females, and those that follow, are important charts. It’s worth looking through the ‘random noise’. These charts suggest that the cliché ‘we are all living longer’ is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Mortality Increases in New Zealand, by Generation and Sex" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/05/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-mortality-increases-in-new-zealand-by-generation-and-sex/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Mortality Increases in New Zealand, by Generation and Sex">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 26, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The principal measure of economic success in the mainstream narrative is economic growth. The pointy heads associated with that narrative will correctly point out that its economic growth per capita that matters, and which serves as a crude proxy for ‘living standards’. This conventional wisdom says that annual economic growth of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth per Capita: New Zealand in Context" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-economic-growth-per-capita-new-zealand-in-context/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Economic Growth per Capita: New Zealand in Context">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 15, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above looks at the changing numbers of deaths for New Zealand’s seven adult generations. The numbers are ‘triennial’ – three-year percentage increases. For example, in 2020, twenty percent (20%) more Generation-Y people died than three years earlier; with ‘three years earlier defined as the average for years 2015 to 2019, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Triennial increases in Deaths in New Zealand by Generation" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-triennial-increases-in-deaths-in-new-zealand-by-generation/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Triennial increases in Deaths in New Zealand by Generation">Read more</a>
CoveragePost
September 7, 2023
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This chart shows total deaths in a number of comparable countries with high or highish life expectancies. The countries with most deaths have older populations. New Zealand should perhaps be compared most with Ireland, Scotland, Denmark and Finland; all countries with just over five million people. And with Australia. Australian ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/09/07/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-deaths-as-an-indicator-of-population-age-structure-and-the-increasing-demand-for-health-care/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Deaths as an Indicator of Population Age Structure and the increasing Demand for Health Care">Read more</a>
