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December 20, 2021
While the Omicron strain of Covid19 was first sequenced in South Africa, it was found independently in the Netherlands in November. So, while Netherlands was one of the European countries which caught the latest sudden European wave (mainly featuring Delta), most likely the Omicron strain was already spreading there; indeed the main constraint on the growth of Omicron in Netherlands was probably Delta.
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December 17, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Sweden Re Covid19, Sweden remains the enigma country that almost nobody wants to talk about, because the Swedish scientists may have been correct all along (although the Swedish bureaucrats certainly had significant shortcomings in the early months of the pandemic). The first chart shows five waves of covid in Sweden. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Scandinavia, Poland and Australia" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-scandinavia-poland-and-australia/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Scandinavia, Poland and Australia">Read more</a>
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December 15, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. United States of America The first United States chart shows both recorded covid deaths and excess deaths. (For all countries more recent ‘recorded covid deaths’ data is available.) Generally we see a broad match between the two series in terms of timing, though for the first two United States covid waves ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States and South Korea as the pandemic approaches two years" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-united-states-and-south-korea-as-the-pandemic-approaches-two-years/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: United States and South Korea as the pandemic approaches two years">Read more</a>
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December 6, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Science, in the not-so-recent-past, has often had a bad press. It’s been personified, particularly by the political left, as Frankenstein, as agents of capitalism, classical liberalism, colonialism, sexism (yang over yin), eugenics, and god-like pretension. More recently though, in the zeitgeists of climate change awareness and covid, it’s had an unusually ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Science, Scientists, and Scientism" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/06/keith-rankin-analysis-science-scientists-and-scientism/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Science, Scientists, and Scientism">Read more</a>
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December 3, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The following charts break the pandemic (23 months total; 21 months of mortality outside of China) into three 7-month periods: early, middle (covers the northern winter), and recent (mainly delta). The countries included are those which report ‘total deaths’ on a weekly basis. Most of these have reported total deaths to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Phases of the Pandemic in Different Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/03/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-phases-of-the-pandemic-in-different-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Phases of the Pandemic in Different Countries">Read more</a>
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December 3, 2021
OP-ED by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations and Executive Secretary of ESCAP. As the world observes the International Day of Persons with Disabilities today, we honour the leadership of persons with disabilities and their tireless efforts to build a more inclusive, accessible and sustainable world. At the same time, we resolve to ... <a title="OP-ED: Partnering with persons with disabilities toward an inclusive, accessible and sustainable post-COVID-19 world" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/03/op-ed-partnering-with-persons-with-disabilities-toward-an-inclusive-accessible-and-sustainable-post-covid-19-world/" aria-label="Read more about OP-ED: Partnering with persons with disabilities toward an inclusive, accessible and sustainable post-COVID-19 world">Read more</a>
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November 26, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Spain copped Covid early; as early as Italy, presumably, like Italy, directly from Wuhan, China. While the main spread of Covid19 in Europe was via the Italian and Austrian alps, the early spread of covid to the United Kingdom may have been largely from Spain. The first chart shows that for ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-spain-as-a-country-of-interest/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest">Read more</a>
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November 24, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart starts with three small countries, two of which are affluent British territories. Other British territories also are on the chart: Channel Islands, Isle of Man, and the United Kingdom itself. And Ireland. The Cayman Islands, premier super yacht and tax haven, reminds us that Covid19 started in Europe ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/24/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-latest-cases-and-deaths-plus-slovenia-and-bulgaria/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria">Read more</a>
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November 19, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This pandemic keeps surprising many people. If scientists had spent more time studying coronaviruses circulating as common cold pathogens, they would not have been surprised that immunity is short-lived. SARS 2003 was a red flag that should have led to much more research on other (endemic) human coronaviruses. Western Europe is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-austria-and-the-pandemic-of-the-undervaccinated/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated">Read more</a>
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November 18, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Tuesday (16 Nov) I was concerned to hear this story on RNZ’s Checkpoint (National distances itself from ex-MP after video with discredited academic). My concern here is not particularly with the “discredited academic”, although no academic should suffer this kind of casual public slur. (Should we go further and call ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/18/keith-rankin-analysis-influenza-pandemics-in-new-zealands-past/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past">Read more</a>
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November 16, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart plots estimates of vaccine-induced immunity to Covid19, for five countries, including three in Europe currently in the news for their most recent wave of covid infections and deaths. Essentially, I give a score of 0.5 for each vaccine shot; and I assume that immunity wanes by 0.4% per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-peak-vaccination-immunity-and-the-latest-european-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave">Read more</a>
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November 15, 2021
OP-ED by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana and Gillian Triggs Most countries in the Asia-Pacific region are on track to reach universal birth registration by 2030: an incredible achievement and a significant milestone in realizing human rights and equality. However, as the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed, many weaknesses remain in official recording systems, creating gaps in knowledge ... <a title="OP-ED: Push for civil registration set to hit key milestone in Asian and Pacific countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/15/op-ed-push-for-civil-registration-set-to-hit-key-milestone-in-asian-and-pacific-countries/" aria-label="Read more about OP-ED: Push for civil registration set to hit key milestone in Asian and Pacific countries">Read more</a>
