Independent Analysis and Reportage
A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning unpack why the west has been losing a strategic deterrence advantage against Russian Federation president Vladimir Putin, but equally how this may be about to change.
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In the present conflict that has huge potential to escalate into a global catastrophe, it is appropriate to impose the highest level of opprobrium on Russia’s present military agenda, and on Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin. However, that does not excuse us from the need to critique problematic behaviour by other ‘actors’, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Territorial Asymmetry in International Politics" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/03/14/keith-rankin-essay-territorial-asymmetry-in-international-politics/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Territorial Asymmetry in International Politics">Read more</a>
A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will discuss the ongoing Russian attacks against Ukraine, including: Whether the Russian Federation’s president Vladimir Putin has lost the support of significant leaders of allied nations, and if so what does this mean for Russia as a global power? We ... <a title="LIVE Thurs@Midday: Buchanan + Manning on why Putin has exhausted the support of his natural allies" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/03/02/live-thursmidday-buchanan-manning-on-why-putin-has-exhausted-the-support-of-his-natural-allies/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE Thurs@Midday: Buchanan + Manning on why Putin has exhausted the support of his natural allies">Read more</a>
Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning discuss whether sanctions will be effective in deterring Russian president Vladimir Putin from a full invasion of Ukraine and indeed cause Russian military to return to the Russian side of the Ukraine border.
A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will discuss whether sanctions will be effective in deterring Russian president Vladimir Putin from a full invasion of Ukraine and indeed cause Russian military to return to the Russian side of the Ukraine border.
Political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning deep-dive into the latest events emerging from the Russia/Ukraine crisis, and they consider: What does Russia’s Vladimir Putin want from NATO and the US in a negotiated diplomatic solution to the Ukraine issue? And what, from Ukraine’s perspective, is the most favourable outcome from the threat of the Russian military build-up on its border.
A View from Afar – In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will deep-dive into the latest events emerging from the Russia/Ukraine crisis, and they will consider: What does Russia’s Vladimir Putin want from NATO and the US in a negotiated diplomatic solution to the Ukraine issue?
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Why is Russia encircling Ukraine with what looks very much like an invasion force? The first principle in answering such a question is that one should never take the simple media-reported statements of any of the major protagonists at face value. Yesterday I argued that an important part of the context ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Geopolitics, Russia and Ukraine: Living with Ambiguity" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/02/16/keith-rankin-analysis-geopolitics-russia-and-ukraine-living-with-ambiguity/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Geopolitics, Russia and Ukraine: Living with Ambiguity">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. At the heart of the present geopolitical conflict centred on Ukraine is a divergent set of views as to what constitutes a ‘nation’. Rival Views of Nationality Firstly, ‘nation-states’ as we know them today arguably date to the 1645 Peace (or Treaties) of Westphalia, which negotiated the end of the bloody ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Nations, Territories, and Conflict" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2022/02/14/keith-rankin-analysis-nations-territories-and-conflict/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Nations, Territories, and Conflict">Read more</a>
A View from Afar: In this the first episode for 2022 Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning discuss What we all should expect to unfold in 2022 - especially with regard to foreign affairs and global security.
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Yesterday morning I awoke to this story about a bus crash in Bulgaria: Dozens killed in Bulgaria bus fire, including children. I thought immediately about how unusual it is in New Zealand to hear a story about Bulgaria. In the context that Bulgaria is the country in the world worst hit ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/25/keith-rankin-analysis-bulgaria-the-balkans-and-distrust/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart plots estimates of vaccine-induced immunity to Covid19, for five countries, including three in Europe currently in the news for their most recent wave of covid infections and deaths. Essentially, I give a score of 0.5 for each vaccine shot; and I assume that immunity wanes by 0.4% per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-peak-vaccination-immunity-and-the-latest-european-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave">Read more</a>