Independent Analysis and Reportage
Podcast: In this episode of A View from Afar political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning will discuss: The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies.
Podcast: A View from Afar with Paul G Buchanan and Selwyn Manning. Building upon recent episodes of A View from Afar, Political Scientist Paul G Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning will discuss The Politics of Desperation. This episode flows on from our discussions about long transitions and the moment of friction. As the old status ... <a title="LIVE@12:45pm – The Politics of Desperation – Trump, Netanyahu, Maduro, Ortega" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/09/live1245pm-the-politics-of-desperation-trump-netanyahu-maduro-ortega/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE@12:45pm – The Politics of Desperation – Trump, Netanyahu, Maduro, Ortega">Read more</a>
Essay by Keith Rankin. The occupation of the ‘Holy Lands’ by the Zionist state of Israel has an important precursor; Outremer. In particular the 1099 to 1187 version of the western outer kingdom, otherwise known as the Kingdom of Jerusalem. In the millennium year 1000 CE, the territory of Palestine was the home for various ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Outremer in Palestine: Lessons from the Twelfth Century" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/22/keith-rankin-essay-outremer-in-palestine-lessons-from-the-twelfth-century/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Outremer in Palestine: Lessons from the Twelfth Century">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin Wednesday I wrote Department of Mum and Dad (Scoop 14 Aug 2024, or here on Evening Report). I finished by saying that, today, “I will propose a simple affordable solution which better fits centre-right than centre-left philosophies”. Here goes. My proposal is to pay a personal tax credit of $150 per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – A Personal Tax Credit (PTC) of $150 for New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/16/keith-rankin-analysis-a-personal-tax-credit-ptc-of-150-for-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – A Personal Tax Credit (PTC) of $150 for New Zealand">Read more</a>
Department of Mum and Dad Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 12 August, the national-led government announced a new policy program to impose more sanctions on New Zealand’s beneficiaries, meaning people of working age (18-64) whose primary income is a government benefit. (Refer RNZ Government further increases sanctions for beneficiaries, 12 August 2024.) This policy direction ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/14/keith-rankin-analysis-department-of-mum-and-dad-in-the-context-of-a-more-restrictive-welfare-state/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Department of Mum and Dad, in the context of a more restrictive welfare state">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This morning the biggest news story by far was the collapse of the government of Bangladesh, the world’s eighth-biggest country by population, and a source of labour and international students for New Zealand. Not that you would have known that this was such a big story if reliant on the New ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/06/keith-rankin-analysis-political-crisis-in-bangladesh-lessons-for-aotearoa-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand">Read more</a>
The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today at 12:45pm August 5, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 8:45pm (USEDT). In this episode of A View from Afar political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning will discuss, debate, and assess whether deterrence is still a ... <a title="POSTPONED UNTIL NEXT WEEK: Deterrence and De-Escalation Are They Still Valid Concepts In International Relations?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/05/live-recording-deterrence-and-de-escalation-are-they-still-valid-concepts-in-international-relations/" aria-label="Read more about POSTPONED UNTIL NEXT WEEK: Deterrence and De-Escalation Are They Still Valid Concepts In International Relations?">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the votes for the principal ‘leftish’ political parties in England from 1992 to 2024. The important thing to note is that vote tallies should be rising over time in any country which has a rising population. England had had a rising population trend, yet the numbers of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-political-left-in-england-an-analysis-of-election-vote-counts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today is ‘tax cut day’. The present round of income tax cuts has been controversial, despite the fact that they are not ‘real’ tax cuts, only bracket adjustments which partially compensate for CPI inflation this decade. (Here is an interview today with University of Auckland economist Susan St John, which suggests ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-analysis-tax-cuts-1982-and-2024/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Tax Cuts: 1982 and 2024">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows CPI inflation in New Zealand in historical context. The chart shows (in orange) the present policy target band of one to three percent annual inflation. And it shows the ‘home-ownership’ component of the CPI. The chart looks different to most charts of CPI inflation, because it uses ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/31/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-consumers-price-index-cpi-inflation-past-and-present/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Consumers Price Index: CPI Inflation past and present">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. An important (and widely commented on) book published last year is End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, by Perer Turchin. Before reading this book I read his 2007 book War and Peace and War (see my 30 Jan 2024 article Asabiyya), Ages of Discord (2016, an application ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/25/keith-rankin-essay-peter-turchins-end-times-some-comments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Peter Turchin’s “End Times”; Some Comments">Read more</a>
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In November 1928, New Zealand had its own ‘Biden moment’ when the 72-year-old Sir Joseph Ward appeared to promise that, if his party won that year’s election, the New Zealand Government would borrow £70 million in 1 year, as a fiscal super-stimulus that would get New Zealand out of the economic ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/17/keith-rankin-essay-new-zealands-joe-biden-ward-moment/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment">Read more</a>