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December 6, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Science, in the not-so-recent-past, has often had a bad press. It’s been personified, particularly by the political left, as Frankenstein, as agents of capitalism, classical liberalism, colonialism, sexism (yang over yin), eugenics, and god-like pretension. More recently though, in the zeitgeists of climate change awareness and covid, it’s had an unusually ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Science, Scientists, and Scientism" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/06/keith-rankin-analysis-science-scientists-and-scientism/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Science, Scientists, and Scientism">Read more</a>
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December 3, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The following charts break the pandemic (23 months total; 21 months of mortality outside of China) into three 7-month periods: early, middle (covers the northern winter), and recent (mainly delta). The countries included are those which report ‘total deaths’ on a weekly basis. Most of these have reported total deaths to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Phases of the Pandemic in Different Countries" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/12/03/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-phases-of-the-pandemic-in-different-countries/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Phases of the Pandemic in Different Countries">Read more</a>
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November 30, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. “Broad growth is only going to come when you put money in the hands of people, and that’s why we talk about a Universal Basic Income”. [Ritu Dewan, Indian Society of Labour Economics]. (From How long before India’s economy recovers, ‘Context India’, Al Jazeera, 31 Oct 2021.) India may be to ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Basic Universal Income and Economic Rights" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/30/keith-rankin-analysis-basic-universal-income-and-economic-rights/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Basic Universal Income and Economic Rights">Read more</a>
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November 26, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Spain copped Covid early; as early as Italy, presumably, like Italy, directly from Wuhan, China. While the main spread of Covid19 in Europe was via the Italian and Austrian alps, the early spread of covid to the United Kingdom may have been largely from Spain. The first chart shows that for ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/26/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-spain-as-a-country-of-interest/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Spain as a country of interest">Read more</a>
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November 25, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Yesterday morning I awoke to this story about a bus crash in Bulgaria: Dozens killed in Bulgaria bus fire, including children. I thought immediately about how unusual it is in New Zealand to hear a story about Bulgaria. In the context that Bulgaria is the country in the world worst hit ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/25/keith-rankin-analysis-bulgaria-the-balkans-and-distrust/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Bulgaria, the Balkans, and distrust">Read more</a>
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November 24, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The first chart starts with three small countries, two of which are affluent British territories. Other British territories also are on the chart: Channel Islands, Isle of Man, and the United Kingdom itself. And Ireland. The Cayman Islands, premier super yacht and tax haven, reminds us that Covid19 started in Europe ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/24/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-latest-cases-and-deaths-plus-slovenia-and-bulgaria/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19 Latest Cases and Deaths, plus Slovenia and Bulgaria">Read more</a>
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November 23, 2021
Keith Rankin - What is required is democratic capitalism, with due respect for democratic and capitalist property rights. Translated into the 'real world', all adults – ie minors excluded – hold, as a matter of legal principle, a democratic franchise.
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November 19, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This pandemic keeps surprising many people. If scientists had spent more time studying coronaviruses circulating as common cold pathogens, they would not have been surprised that immunity is short-lived. SARS 2003 was a red flag that should have led to much more research on other (endemic) human coronaviruses. Western Europe is ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/19/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-austria-and-the-pandemic-of-the-undervaccinated/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Austria and the Pandemic of the Undervaccinated">Read more</a>
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November 18, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Tuesday (16 Nov) I was concerned to hear this story on RNZ’s Checkpoint (National distances itself from ex-MP after video with discredited academic). My concern here is not particularly with the “discredited academic”, although no academic should suffer this kind of casual public slur. (Should we go further and call ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/18/keith-rankin-analysis-influenza-pandemics-in-new-zealands-past/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – ‘Influenza’ Pandemics in New Zealand’s Past">Read more</a>
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November 16, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart plots estimates of vaccine-induced immunity to Covid19, for five countries, including three in Europe currently in the news for their most recent wave of covid infections and deaths. Essentially, I give a score of 0.5 for each vaccine shot; and I assume that immunity wanes by 0.4% per ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/16/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-peak-vaccination-immunity-and-the-latest-european-wave/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: Peak Vaccination Immunity and the latest European Wave">Read more</a>
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November 12, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While governments are now mandating many people to take Covid19 vaccines, government hesitancy towards vaccines and vaccination – much of it seemingly due to overprioritisation of perceived ‘cost’ issues – remains a problem of significant consequence. The most obvious ongoing problem relates to revaccination – regular boosters – for which governments ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/12/keith-rankin-analysis-covid19-vaccine-hesitancy-and-distrust-by-governments/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Covid19: Vaccine Hesitancy and Distrust, by Governments">Read more</a>
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November 11, 2021
Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today’s five charts are all set to the same scale, allowing for total weekly deaths being four times (300%) above normal. South Africa and Chile are both countries with substantial connections to New Zealand. Most of New Zealand’s pioneering immigrants sailed to New Zealand via Cape Town. And the relationship has ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/11/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-covid19-2015-2021-deaths-in-south-africa-and-south-america/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Covid19: 2015-2021 Deaths in South Africa and South America">Read more</a>