Archive

Keith Rankin

Keith Rankin is an economics and statistics lecturer, recently retired from Unitec, Auckland, New Zealand.

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Keith Rankin Analysis – The Shipping News: Lyttelton versus Picton, and other stories

December 19, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Last week the new government effectively cancelled the plans of Kiwi Rail – in the form of ‘The Interislander’ – derailing its intended Picton rail and road expansion. The plans were judged to be too costly; in particular, the rate of cost escalation was deemed unacceptable. The bigger picture is the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Shipping News: Lyttelton versus Picton, and other stories" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/19/keith-rankin-analysis-the-shipping-news-lyttelton-versus-picton-and-other-stories/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Shipping News: Lyttelton versus Picton, and other stories">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade

December 15, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The chart above shows Aotearoa New Zealand’s exports and imports of coal. First, note that the emphasis is on timing, not absolute amounts; Imports have a different scale to Exports. Essentially, imports have been around 10% of exports. It’s also important to note that most Aotearoan coal is exported, while coal ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/15/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealands-coal-trade/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand’s Coal Trade">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Te Pūkenga, Universities, and Unitec

December 14, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Tertiary education is in crisis in Aotearoa New Zealand. Vocational education, the domain of the Polytechnic ‘Institutes of Technology’; and Science and Humanities’ education, the traditional domain of the Universities. 2023 was an election year, yet tertiary education did not feature in the election campaign, despite these manifest crises. The Labour ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Te Pūkenga, Universities, and Unitec" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/14/keith-rankin-analysis-te-pukenga-universities-and-unitec/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Te Pūkenga, Universities, and Unitec">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Essay: Supremacism, Israel and Neozionism

December 1, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Supremacism is a cultural belief that an in-group of humanity is inherently superior to other groups, and that those other groups have lesser human rights as a consequence of their presumed inferiority or corruption. The Jewish religion does have texts which can be understood as supremacist. That doesn’t make Judaism a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay: Supremacism, Israel and Neozionism" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/01/keith-rankin-essay-supremacism-israel-and-neozionism/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay: Supremacism, Israel and Neozionism">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché

November 28, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The new government is making a weak start to its tenure. On Morning Report (RNZ, 28 Nov 2023, Prime Minister Luxon to lead first cabinet meeting), Mr Luxon repeated a comment such as he has made several times before: “The number one job is to rebuild the economy so we can ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/28/keith-rankin-analysis-government-by-cliche/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Government by Cliché">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis

November 16, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The three components to the crisis are churn, aging, and the increasing predominance of births into disadvantaged households. Churn Yesterday the main release from Statistics New Zealand was Record net migration loss of New Zealand citizens. ” There was a record net migration loss of 44,700 New Zealand citizens in the ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/16/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealands-coming-triple-demographic-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand’s coming triple demographic crisis">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax

November 14, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Christopher Luxon and Nicola Willis have a bottom-line policy of delivering “tax relief” to New Zealand’s “squeezed middle”. Their modest policy is to increase the first three income tax thresholds by 11.5%, representing compensation for about two years of inflation-driven tax increases. (Labour’s policy, by contrast, was to take advantage of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/14/keith-rankin-analysis-christopher-luxon-is-tone-deaf-and-slightly-innumerate-on-tax/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Christopher Luxon is tone deaf and slightly innumerate on tax">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election

November 3, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. There may be some surprises when the final election count comes out today. One particular point to note refers back to the United States presidential election of 2020, when the late votes in most states – those votes not counted on election night – very heavily favoured Biden over Trump. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/03/keith-rankin-on-predicting-the-final-outcome-of-the-election/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on Predicting the Final Outcome of the Election">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States

November 1, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Last week (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy) I described New Zealand’s place and financial strategy within the world’s financial ecosystem; how New Zealand pursues a ponzi financial model, and how that model has played a role in offsetting the ‘mercantilist’ financial strategies of other countries (examples given ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/01/keith-rankin-analysis-the-ponzi-financial-model-japan-and-united-states/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The ponzi financial model: Japan and United States">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel

October 30, 2023

Analysis. by Keith Rankin. On 26 October I wrote about New Zealand’s exceptional financial model, showing it to take a similar (though non-fraudulent) form to a Ponzi Scheme (The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy). And I showed how this kind of financial behaviour by a nation-state could help to stabilise a world ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/30/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-interesting-financial-fingerprints-malaysia-switzerland-united-kingdom-israel/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Interesting Financial Fingerprints: Malaysia, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy

October 26, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Today I read this article (David Seymour calls for sweeping changes to make the Reserve Bank more accountable, NZ Herald, 26 October) showing David Seymore’s wish to double-down on New Zealand’s financial model. The Ponzi financial model operates much more broadly than the fraudulent Ponzi schemes associated the likes of players ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/26/keith-rankin-analysis-the-ponzi-financial-model-and-new-zealands-monetary-policy/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Ponzi financial model and New Zealand’s monetary policy">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so

October 17, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows that the world’s governments, taken collectively, run financial deficits every year. This is not a weakness of the global financial system; it’s a strength, perhaps the strength of the world system. Government deficits offset private sector financial choices. We note that when the world government deficit becomes ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/10/17/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-governments-run-financial-deficits-its-their-role-to-do-so/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Governments run financial deficits; it’s their role to do so">Read more</a>