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Political Transition

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Time for “Fast-Track Watch”

April 22, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards, Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Calling all journalists, academics, planners, lawyers, political activists, environmentalists, and other members of the public who believe that the relationships between vested interests and politicians need to be scrutinised. We need to work together to make sure that the new Fast-Track Approvals Bill – currently being pushed ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Time for “Fast-Track Watch”" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/04/22/bryce-edwards-analysis-time-for-fast-track-watch/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Time for “Fast-Track Watch”">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?

March 25, 2024

Opinion by Keith Rankin. Do we need real income-tax cuts this year? Probably not. Do we need nominal income-tax cuts? Yes, we do. The government should go ahead with its proposed tax cuts, but only to low and middle income earners. The tax cuts should compensate for the inflationary component of the cost of living ... <a title="Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/25/keith-rankin-opinion-tax-cuts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan

March 21, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In this article, I will simply present the numbers for the key performance indicators (taken from tradingeconomics.com). And then I’ll give an update on GDP (gross domestic product) data, given today’s data release from Statistics New Zealand, and with the definition of ‘recession’ in mind. An important part of the context ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/21/keith-rankin-analysis-economic-performance-new-zealand-versus-japan/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession

March 20, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Recessions in the last Ten Years: New Zealand and Japan Tomorrow we will see the latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for New Zealand. It’s worth looking today, however, at what the situation is before that data release (with its revisions as well as new data). And in context by comparing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/20/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealand-in-recession/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls

March 19, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) It’s been a tumultuous time in politics in recent months, as the new National-led Government has driven through its “First 100 Day programme”. During this period there’s been a handful of opinion polls, which overall just show a minimal amount of flux in public support for ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/19/bryce-edwards-analysis-scoring-4-6-out-of-10-the-new-government-is-struggling-in-the-polls/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes

March 12, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Monday morning on RNZ’s Morning Report, Revenue Minister Simon Watts admitted that it was a legitimate option for ‘landlords’ to leave their houses empty. (Refer Revenue Minister on mortgage tax deductions for landlords, RNZ 11 March 2024.) The official narrative of the elite political class is that when tenancies on ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/12/keith-rankin-analysis-empty-rentals-and-investor-friendly-taxes/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government

March 7, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In Question Time in Parliament, yesterday, Finance Minister Nicola Willis was asked a question about the extent of the cost of government debt-servicing. The answer, in short, was ‘a lot’; and she mentioned that the cost had been assessed on an interest-only basis. The ensuing round of supplementary questions never got ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/07/keith-rankin-analysis-interest-costs-the-cost-of-living-and-the-cost-of-government/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis

February 26, 2024

  Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards: Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) The Labour Party’s fortunes go from bad to worse. Ever since the party was turfed out of power in October, incurring its biggest-ever loss, the party has shown no real sign of learning any lessons from its defeat, nor does it show any capacity to revive ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/26/bryce-edwards-analysis-forwarded-this-email-subscribe-here-for-more-labours-worst-week-highlights-its-existential-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’

February 1, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Collectiveness at it most potent has been called asabiyya by macrohistorian and cliodynamicist Peter Turchin. At its least potent, collectiveness is a recipe for social division, top-heaviness, escalating inequality, and societal breakdown. The present ‘debates’ in Aotearoa New Zealand – ostensibly about Te Tiriti, the Treaty of Waitangi – represent a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/01/keith-rankin-analysis-collective-versus-individual-maori-versus-maoris/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Luxon needs to raise standards in the Beehive

January 31, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards. New Zealand has fallen slightly in the latest Corruption Perception Index – which measures the least corrupt countries in the world. New Zealand has gone from number two in the world, to number three. The annual index is produced each year by the global anti-corruption NGO, Transparency International. The country’s ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Luxon needs to raise standards in the Beehive" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/31/bryce-edwards-analysis-luxon-needs-to-raise-standards-in-the-beehive/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Luxon needs to raise standards in the Beehive">Read more</a>

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Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East

January 25, 2024

Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. New Zealand is reshaping its foreign policy via the Middle East. A decision to provide intelligence support for future US and UK airstrikes on Yemen is highly symbolic. The Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, announced the deployment of the New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) troops to support the US-led military response to the attacks ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/25/geoffrey-miller-analysis-new-zealands-huge-shift-in-the-middle-east/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections

December 22, 2023

Analysis by Keith Rankin. When countries’ national elections are closely fought, it means that the median voters critically determine the parliamentary or congressional outcome. But, though depending to a considerable extent on the prevailing political culture, the centre-of-gravity of the resulting government may be far from that median usually ‘centrist’ position of the voters. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/22/keith-rankin-analysis-political-culture-and-close-elections/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Culture and Close Elections">Read more</a>