CoveragePost
April 10, 2025
Essay by Keith Rankin. ‘Rational Expectations’ is a problematic theory in economics. Here I want to focus more away from economics; and more on the meanings of ‘rationality’ in decision-making, than on the problematic ambiguity of the word ‘expect’ (and its derivatives such as ‘expectations’). ‘Expectation’ here means what we believe ‘will’ happen, not ‘should’ ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – Rational Expectations, Intelligence, and War" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/04/10/keith-rankin-essay-rational-expectations-intelligence-and-war/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – Rational Expectations, Intelligence, and War">Read more</a>
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March 27, 2025
Analysis by Keith Rankin. While World War Two (WW2) always was a set of intersecting conflicts – with Japan fighting a war of imperialism in East Asia and the Western Pacific – the war in Europe has been cast as the ultimate battle of ‘Good’ versus ‘Evil’. Hence the narrative of the Good War. Further, ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Learning the correct lessons from World War Two in Europe" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/03/27/keith-rankin-analysis-learning-the-correct-lessons-from-world-war-two-in-europe/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Learning the correct lessons from World War Two in Europe">Read more</a>
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March 13, 2025
Opinion-Analysis – by Keith Rankin. Former ambassador Phil Goff is the latest (so far) and (probably) the least of many ‘statesmen’ who have invoked Munich and the ‘resolute’ Winston Churchill (a backbench MP in 1938) in the cause of good-war mongering. (Refer Winston Peters sacks Phil Goff as UK High Commissioner RNZ 6 March 2025, ... <a title="Opinion-Analysis by Keith Rankin – Invoking Munich, ‘Appeasement’, and the ‘Lessons of History’" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/03/13/opinion-analysis-by-keith-rankin-invoking-munich-appeasement-and-the-lessons-of-history/" aria-label="Read more about Opinion-Analysis by Keith Rankin – Invoking Munich, ‘Appeasement’, and the ‘Lessons of History’">Read more</a>
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March 12, 2025
Opinion Analysis by Keith Rankin. This story, Germany to ease government debt limits in major step aimed at boosting economy, defense spending,AP, 6 March 2015, reflects my comments in Germany’s Election 2025. (And note Reforming the debt brake: Now or never! Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, 28 Feb 2025. And Germany’s election victor must ditch its debt rules—immediately, ... <a title="Opinion Analysis by Keith Rankin – Dodgy Democracy, the Fiscal Double Standard, and the application of the Domino Theory to Ukraine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/03/12/opinion-analysis-by-keith-rankin-dodgy-democracy-the-fiscal-double-standard-and-the-application-of-the-domino-theory-to-ukraine/" aria-label="Read more about Opinion Analysis by Keith Rankin – Dodgy Democracy, the Fiscal Double Standard, and the application of the Domino Theory to Ukraine">Read more</a>
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March 6, 2025
Opinion/Analysis by Keith Rankin. Germany’s important election last week struggled to make the news cycle, even on Germany’s own Deutsche Welle(DW), Germany’s equivalent of Britain’s BBC. Especially (but not only) in the international media, most of the focus was on a single party (AFD, Alliance for Germany) that was never going to have the most ... <a title="OPINION: Keith Rankin – Germany’s Election 2025: Far Establishment-Right versus Far Non-Establishment-Right?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/03/06/opinion-keith-rankin-germanys-election-2025-far-establishment-right-versus-far-non-establishment-right/" aria-label="Read more about OPINION: Keith Rankin – Germany’s Election 2025: Far Establishment-Right versus Far Non-Establishment-Right?">Read more</a>
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February 27, 2025
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart traces the vote-share of Germany’s establishment political parties: the right-wing CDU/CSU and the now-centre-right SPD (essentially the Christian Democrats, just like National in New Zealand) and the Social Democrats (just like Labour). And it compares Germany with England to show a similar process there. An increasingly stale political centre ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Germany’s stale (and still pale) political mainstream" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/02/27/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-germanys-stale-and-still-pale-political-mainstream/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – Germany’s stale (and still pale) political mainstream">Read more</a>
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November 11, 2024
Dr Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning deep-dive into the United States November 5, 2024 Elections and consider the 'what, where, how and why' questions as they detail the rise and fall and rise of Donald John Trump and Trumpism.
CoveragePost
November 9, 2024
LIVE PODCAST: A View from Afar A Deep-Dive with Dr Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning. The LIVE Recording of this podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm November 11, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 7:45pm (USEST). Image courtesy of Nick Minto, Copyright 2024 Nick Minto; photographed November 6, 2024, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. In ... <a title="A View from Afar – US SPECIAL EPISODE: The Rise & Fall & Rise of Trumpism" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/11/09/scheduled-live-podcast-us-special-episode-the-rise-fall-rise-of-trumpism/" aria-label="Read more about A View from Afar – US SPECIAL EPISODE: The Rise & Fall & Rise of Trumpism">Read more</a>
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September 9, 2024
Building upon recent episodes of A View from Afar, Political Scientist Paul G Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning discuss The Politics of Desperation. This episode flows on from our discussions about long transitions and the moment of friction.
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August 6, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. This morning the biggest news story by far was the collapse of the government of Bangladesh, the world’s eighth-biggest country by population, and a source of labour and international students for New Zealand. Not that you would have known that this was such a big story if reliant on the New ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/06/keith-rankin-analysis-political-crisis-in-bangladesh-lessons-for-aotearoa-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Political Crisis in Bangladesh: Lessons for Aotearoa New Zealand">Read more</a>
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August 4, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. The above chart shows the votes for the principal ‘leftish’ political parties in England from 1992 to 2024. The important thing to note is that vote tallies should be rising over time in any country which has a rising population. England had had a rising population trend, yet the numbers of ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/08/04/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-the-political-left-in-england-an-analysis-of-election-vote-counts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – The Political Left in England; an Analysis of Election Vote Counts">Read more</a>
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July 17, 2024
Analysis by Keith Rankin. In November 1928, New Zealand had its own ‘Biden moment’ when the 72-year-old Sir Joseph Ward appeared to promise that, if his party won that year’s election, the New Zealand Government would borrow £70 million in 1 year, as a fiscal super-stimulus that would get New Zealand out of the economic ... <a title="Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/07/17/keith-rankin-essay-new-zealands-joe-biden-ward-moment/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Essay – New Zealand’s Joe (Biden/Ward) moment">Read more</a>
