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		<title>Geoffrey Miller&#8217;s Analysis &#8211; New Zealand’s foreign policy resets on AUKUS, Gaza and Ukraine</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2023/12/04/geoffrey-millers-analysis-new-zealands-foreign-policy-resets-on-aukus-gaza-and-ukraine/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Geoffrey Miller]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Dec 2023 23:43:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Geoffrey Miller &#8211; Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) New Zealand’s international relations are under new management. And Winston Peters, the new foreign minister, is already setting a change agenda. As expected, this includes a more pro-US positioning when it comes to the Pacific – where Peters will be picking up where he left off. Peters sought ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Geoffrey Miller &#8211; <em><a href="https://democracyproject.nz" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Democracy Project</a> (https://democracyproject.nz)</em></p>
<p><strong>New Zealand’s international relations are under new management. And Winston Peters, the new foreign minister, is already setting a change agenda.</strong></p>
<figure id="attachment_1083433" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1083433" style="width: 300px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1.jpeg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1083433 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-300x300.jpeg" alt="" width="300" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-300x300.jpeg 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1024x1022.jpeg 1024w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-150x150.jpeg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-768x766.jpeg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1536x1532.jpeg 1536w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-696x694.jpeg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1068x1065.jpeg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-421x420.jpeg 421w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-65x65.jpeg 65w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1.jpeg 1707w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1083433" class="wp-caption-text">Geoffrey Miller.</figcaption></figure>
<p>As expected, this includes a more pro-US positioning when it comes to the Pacific – where Peters will be picking up where he left off. Peters sought to align New Zealand more closely with the United States under his <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/ef1930e5-72cd-49b9-8c10-f12e30250536?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">‘Pacific Reset’</a> policy that he launched while serving as foreign minister under Jacinda Ardern’s Labour-New Zealand First coalition government from 2017-2020.</p>
<p>Peters is wasting no time in getting back on the foreign affairs horse.</p>
<p>Just three days after being sworn in as a minster, he gave his first <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/732272c9-16b1-4960-9917-804d7fa08812?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">speech</a> on foreign policy at the US Business Summit in Auckland last week.</p>
<p>Peters was lavish in his praise for the US in his address, arguing that Washington had been ‘instrumental in the Pacific&#8217;s success’. But he noted that ‘there is more to do and not a moment to lose. We will not achieve our shared ambitions if we allow time to drift.’ Adding that ‘speed and intensity’ would be needed, Peters said ‘the good news is that New Zealand stands ready to play its part.’</p>
<p>The early timing of the speech itself is a sign that New Zealand’s new, yet very familiar foreign affairs minister is unlikely to wait around when it comes to taking major decisions.</p>
<p>It was an important, agenda-setting address.</p>
<p>There were strong hints that New Zealand’s new Government wants to move swiftly when it comes to Wellington’s potential <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/cf6f9eeb-896c-44ae-96ef-83fab531eca8?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">involvement</a> in in ‘Pillar II’ of the AUKUS defence pact that currently involves Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>
<p>Peters’ <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/5ba3d130-a7b1-4fb2-881d-b6f0d4268f18?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">disclosed</a> in the Q&amp;A to the speech that he had already talked to Judith Collins, the new defence minister, about New Zealand’s AUKUS stance.</p>
<p>The previous Labour government’s position was that AUKUS remained a <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/c40915bc-e70e-4669-8c0f-a103694f529b?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">hypothetical</a> question while no formal offer existed for New Zealand to join ‘Pillar II’ of the high-level defence pact that currently involves Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>
<p>But while playing for time in an election year, the then Prime Minister Chris Hipkins <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/2b2fc809-4fbd-4ffd-8741-0305a1150f16?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">signalled</a> in July that New Zealand was at least ‘open to conversations’ about joining the pact in some form. And Labour’s expedited release of three major defence strategy <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/d82038a7-076b-4afb-bf71-da9f557bfaaa?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">documents</a> in August, just prior to the election campaign, laid the groundwork for at least formal consideration of involvement in AUKUS.</p>
<p>The reports also paved the way for New Zealand to spend vastly more on its military and to take a more security-focused approach to the Pacific – recommendations that Peters will probably be keen to implement.</p>
<p>Wellington and Washington have been becoming closer since at least November 2010, when US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/3c1bef42-a1a3-4dc8-97f3-fa375f44555b?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">visited</a> New Zealand’s capital to sign the ‘Wellington Declaration’. The relatively short agreement served to clear the air after decades of chequered bilateral relations stemming from the Fourth Labour Government’s introduction of a nuclear-free policy in the 1980s.</p>
<p>Going nuclear-free (which prevented visits from US warships) saw New Zealand cast out as a US ally. Washington formally <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/fc438a10-9efd-4176-8e17-49f5daf6d770?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">suspended</a> its obligations to Wellington under the ANZUS defence treaty in 1986. But nearly 40 years on, US-NZ relations are rapidly deepening, a trend that has been accelerated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Western concerns over China’s rise in the Indo-Pacific.</p>
<p>Since February 2022, New Zealand has <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/8e8d22ca-f575-451f-ba20-a62dfba10721?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">imposed</a> sanctions on Russia, joined US-led groupings such as Partners in the Blue Pacific (PBP) and the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) and sent its Prime Ministers to successive NATO <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/e3c9131b-c9d8-40a4-9d9e-0f362ebed09d?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">summits</a>. And in May 2022, Jacinda Ardern visited Joe Biden at the White House, where a 3000-word <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/42567d08-d496-4a6d-a767-82998cdbae1e?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">joint statement</a> called for ‘new resolve and closer cooperation’.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, a <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/cf6f9eeb-896c-44ae-96ef-83fab531eca8?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">string</a> of senior US officials have visited New Zealand just this year, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Kritenbrink and the White House’s Indo-Pacific coordinator, Kurt Campbell (who Joe Biden recently <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/18da5111-a1de-4024-87bf-c265218ab6a0?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">nominated</a> to become his new Deputy Secretary of State).</p>
<p>If New Zealand does join AUKUS, it could spell the effective end of the country’s ‘independent foreign policy’. The ANZUS break-up of the late 1980s, the end of the Cold War and the acceleration of globalisation had allowed New Zealand to free itself from blocs. Wellington talked to anyone and everyone, building solid, trade-focused relations with China and others in the Global South – while not neglecting Western partners, including the United States.</p>
<p>Peters may think the current geopolitical environment justifies a new approach.</p>
<p>If he does, he should prepare for significant pushback. Helen Clark, who was Prime Minister during Winston Peters’ first term as foreign minister from 2005-8, <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/d505a5e5-2391-4776-a584-e9413d96db35?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">posted</a> on Friday that New Zealand was now ‘veering towards signing up’ to AUKUS despite bipartisan support over decades for the independent foreign policy stance.</p>
<p>This added to criticism from Clark earlier in the year, including in August, when she <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/6b1f0926-0d06-43c9-9a7d-3a8d20c2dca1?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">argued</a> the new defence blueprint showed New Zealand was ‘abandoning its capacity to think for itself &amp; instead is cutting &amp; pasting from 5 Eyes’ partners’.</p>
<p>It should also be remembered that Winston Peters, while undoubtedly powerful and highly experienced, is only one Government minister. The views of Judith Collins – the defence minister – remain unknown in any detail, while the foreign policy positions of Christopher Luxon seem more centrist than radical.</p>
<p>Moreover, with the US now firmly focused on the war between Hamas and Israel – and its own presidential election year fast approaching – it is far from guaranteed that the hypothetical AUKUS question will turn into a concrete one for New Zealand anytime soon.</p>
<p>Moreover, Peters’ initial ministerial comments on New Zealand’s own position towards the Middle East suggest there is plenty of room for nuance. Calling the death toll in Gaza ‘horrific’, Peters <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/16f769fb-b294-4d40-9a37-f09765e62c64?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">welcomed</a> a short-lived extension to the ceasefire on Friday, but called for all parties to ‘work urgently towards a long-term ceasefire’.</p>
<p>And in a radio interview earlier last week, Peters <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/28d8d615-8487-44e7-aec1-3c595f74d7e1?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">said</a> ‘the ceasefire is not good enough, we’re going to have find a way forward through this and a peaceful solution – that’s what New Zealand and the Western world has got to put its focus on’.  Peters added ‘internationally we need to be talking to people across the political divide who are making sense on this matter’.</p>
<p>Talking to all sides and playing a small role in facilitating a sustainable political solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would very much be in keeping with New Zealand’s independent foreign policy approach – and Winston Peters is already speaking out strongly about the war.</p>
<p>With Christopher Luxon passing up on the opportunity to attend COP28 in Dubai at the weekend, Winston Peters will have the chance to make the Government’s first ministerial trip to the Middle East to begin this dialogue. The Gulf states would be a natural starting point for these discussions.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, on Ukraine – the war that helped to speed up New Zealand’s alignment with the US in 2022 – Peters was open to the idea of New Zealand upgrading its military support to Ukraine by sending Kyiv light armoured vehicles (LAVs). While noting that the decision was not up to him alone, he <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/28d8d615-8487-44e7-aec1-3c595f74d7e1?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">added</a> ‘if we can help we should be doing the best we can’.</p>
<p>Labour had <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/dc778a35-0b61-4cd6-8bec-598cc5ef4f7f?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">denied</a> a request from Ukraine to provide the LAVs in 2022 and of late had preferred to make financial contributions to Kyiv’s war effort – the most recent being a $NZ4.7 million package <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/bdfc4b41-1707-4ccf-b142-52f60f24f1ab?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">announced</a> by Chris Hipkins in July at the NATO leaders’ summit in Lithuania.</p>
<p>It all adds up to a complex picture.</p>
<p>Winston Peters has no shortage of global issues to address.</p>
<p>And there could be some major changes ahead for New Zealand foreign policy.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>*******</em></p>
<p><em>Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s geopolitical analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues. He has lived in Germany and the Middle East and is a learner of Arabic and Russian. He is currently working on a PhD at the University of Otago on New Zealand’s relations with the Gulf states.</em></p>
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		<title>Geoffrey Miller Analysis &#8211; New Zealand’s strategy for COP28 in Dubai</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2023/11/24/geoffrey-miller-analysis-new-zealands-strategy-for-cop28-in-dubai/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Geoffrey Miller]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Nov 2023 23:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Geoffrey Miller &#8211; Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) &#160; The COP28 countdown is on. Over 100 world leaders are expected to attend this year’s UN Climate Change Conference in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which starts next Thursday. Among the VIPs confirmed for the Dubai summit are the UK’s Rishi Sunak and Brazil&#8217;s Lula da ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Geoffrey Miller &#8211; <em><a href="https://democracyproject.nz" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Democracy Project</a> (https://democracyproject.nz)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<figure id="attachment_1083433" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1083433" style="width: 300px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1.jpeg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1083433 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-300x300.jpeg" alt="" width="300" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-300x300.jpeg 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1024x1022.jpeg 1024w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-150x150.jpeg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-768x766.jpeg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1536x1532.jpeg 1536w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-696x694.jpeg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-1068x1065.jpeg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-421x420.jpeg 421w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1-65x65.jpeg 65w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-Geoffrey-Miller-scaled-1.jpeg 1707w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1083433" class="wp-caption-text">Geoffrey Miller.</figcaption></figure>
<p>The COP28 countdown is on.</p>
<p>Over 100 world leaders are expected to attend this year’s UN Climate Change Conference in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which starts next Thursday.</p>
<p>Among the VIPs confirmed for the Dubai summit are the UK’s Rishi Sunak and Brazil&#8217;s Lula da Silva – along with King Charles and Pope Francis.</p>
<p>On the other hand, Joe Biden and Xi Jinping are both <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/f6c31974-b1d3-403e-ba4e-03aa9bb1ba85?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">unlikely</a> to join in – and neither is Australia’s <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/e59e883d-0db3-47c8-9165-3b6797c0d219?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Anthony Albanese</a>.</p>
<p>It remains to be seen which camp New Zealand’s new Prime Minister will fall into. Christopher Luxon is only expected to be formally sworn in as PM on <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/fea91323-d056-4fac-a143-d4b866f508cf?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Monday</a>, following the conclusion of several weeks of coalition negotiations to form a new government.</p>
<p>But in theory, this would still leave plenty of time for Luxon to fly to the ‘World Climate Action Summit’ opening <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/48aea051-b370-4329-a01d-5d10332e2c5e?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">event</a> for world leaders, which is being held from December 1-2.</p>
<p>Luxon positioned his National Party firmly in the centre during the election campaign, <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/598e3705-8c7c-4aea-bb04-bb6b1bd13c32?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">committing</a> New Zealand to meeting its emissions reductions targets and telling sceptics ‘you can’t be a climate denier or a climate minimalist in 2023’.</p>
<p>Beyond the issue of climate change itself, COP28 would be a valuable initial networking and relationship-forming opportunity for New Zealand’s new Prime Minister. And to some extent, the Dubai gathering would be a make-up affair for Luxon, after he missed the APEC summit in San Francisco in mid-November due to the ongoing coalition negotiations.</p>
<p>It is safe to say that the ongoing war in Gaza between Israel and Hamas will be a major topic of sideline conversations at this year’s COP.</p>
<p>While Luxon missed the chance to meet Xi and Biden at APEC, COP28 would be a good chance for Luxon to hear the views of a range of other world leaders – particularly voices from across the Middle East.</p>
<p>Somewhat surprisingly, New Zealand’s former PM Jacinda Ardern never went to a COP summit during her six years in office. The last time a New Zealand PM was represented was in 2015, when John Key <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/03d93ee9-e50b-4ca9-91fd-c1f2751f1795?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">attended</a> COP21 in Paris.</p>
<p>Coincidentally, 2015 was also the year that Key <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/26e79be0-505d-43c7-83d9-11f62fe154bb?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">visited</a> the Gulf states on a three-country tour of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE that sought to jumpstart New Zealand’s bid to strike a free trade deal with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The bloc’s membership also includes Bahrain, Oman and Qatar.</p>
<p>In September, New Zealand’s then Labour government <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/b154c324-a144-486f-8522-233726418b82?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">began</a> talks with the UAE on a new bilateral Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement – or CEPA. The CEPA could be a stepping stone to finalising a wider free trade agreement with the GCC that has been in the works since 2006.</p>
<p>With trade opportunities in the Gulf beckoning and no end in sight to the war in Gaza, the Middle East is likely to be higher up the foreign affairs agenda for New Zealand than might have previously been thought.</p>
<p>On the climate front, COP28’s head appointed by host UAE, Dr Sultan al Jaber, has <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/cad69cb4-266e-4bda-9952-9d7c9cd6ec6a?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">emphasised</a> ‘inclusivity’ as a key plank of this year’s event. Bringing together a wide range of countries around the table, despite deepening geopolitical polarisation driven by the Gaza and Ukraine wars and tensions in the Indo-Pacific, may be the summit’s most impressive achievement.</p>
<p>Israel <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/decbb5f7-8a5b-4ad7-816e-4f960ea414d7?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">pledged</a> in July to send a 1000-strong delegation to Dubai, led by both its Prime Minister and President. The size will now be greatly <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/f2634dd9-4091-4fc7-b6e2-b12d9a40d18c?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">reduced</a> – but, remarkably, Israel is still coming and will still have a pavilion at COP28. While the war has strained relations between the UAE and Israel that were normalised under the Abraham Accords in 2020, diplomatic ties <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/de0ffcca-d5c3-4b77-b91b-b6986ec6700b?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">remain</a> in place.</p>
<p>Speaking shortly prior to the outbreak of the war that began on October 7, the UAE’s Ambassador to New Zealand, His Excellency Mr. Rashed Matar Alqemzi, told me in an interview that ‘we are bringing the world together’ and emphasised the welcome being extended by COP28 to women, religious organisations, youth and indigenous peoples.</p>
<p>In New Zealand’s case, this includes Māori, whose role at <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/71092540-53bb-46df-aad2-9cc8c9615689?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Expo 2020</a> in Dubai was ‘greatly valued’ according to Alqemzi. New Zealand’s Iwi Chairs Forum, a coalition of Māori tribal leaders, was given the <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/8fce6090-1f89-4f3f-9c14-8352d6825686?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">task</a> of leading a ‘Festival of Indigenous and Tribal Ideas’ during the Expo. Two years on, COP28 will be held on the same Expo 2020 site on Dubai’s southern fringe.</p>
<p>The aim for ‘full inclusivity’ is more controversial, however, when it refers to the involvement of oil companies and their executives at the summit – including Dr Sultan Al Jaber himself, who also heads the UAE’s state-owned oil company, ADNOC.</p>
<p>Since he was given the role in January, Al Jaber’s <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/8c01fc88-ba7f-447f-b15f-259a0e712827?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">appointment</a> has frequently been criticised by climate campaigners, with one <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/f5b464f6-856e-47f9-be3e-4d4113c1a9c1?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">likening</a> it to putting a tobacco company in charge of the World Health Organization.</p>
<p>The counter-argument – as put by Al Jaber himself in a <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/f5242c30-0732-4f86-909a-3704f4225390?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">speech</a> to oil company executives in October – is that fossil fuel producers are ‘central to the solution’ and need to stop ‘blocking progress’.</p>
<p>While these words are unlikely to convince campaigners who see greenwashing, there is some cause for optimism ahead of COP28.</p>
<p>A recent agenda for the summit <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/163aa173-7344-4f4a-8495-24c8a56a357b?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">released</a> by Al Jaber called for a ‘responsible phase-down of unabated fossil fuels’ – a reference to the burning of oil, gas and coal without the use of carbon capture technology.</p>
<p>The call to ‘phase-down’ the use of at least some fossil fuels altogether represents a small, yet significant shift from earlier this year, when Al Jaber was called out by former UN climate head Christiana Figueres for <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/99685313-4947-47e3-bd4c-b31ceceb00ca?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">speaking</a> merely of ‘phasing out fossil fuel emissions’.</p>
<p>On the other hand, ‘phase-down’ is weaker than the total ‘phase-out’ language used by a recent UN <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/6e093b70-b480-4052-892b-7b1b8d7741a5?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">report</a> and agreed upon by the EU as its negotiating <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/a9ce643f-54bd-4286-9bf6-984a15359f4d?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">position</a> for COP28.</p>
<p>The debate over phasing-down vs. phasing-out is unlikely to go away any time soon.</p>
<p>The need for speed has to be balanced with fairness – especially for the world’s poorest.</p>
<p>In his agenda, Al Jaber called for global emissions reductions of 22 gigatons – almost half the current level – by 2030, but also for a ‘just energy transition’ that ensures energy supplies remain affordable and reliable to all.</p>
<p>Threading this needle will not be easy.</p>
<p>Some parallels might be drawn with New Zealand’s own attempts to reduce agricultural emissions, which make up half of the country’s greenhouse gases – mainly due to the methane produced by livestock.</p>
<p>After originally pledging to bring farming into the country’s Emissions Trading Scheme, Jacinda Ardern’s Labour-led Government <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/535de2a7-6f51-40c7-9588-9da866d53e1e?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">agreed</a> in 2019 to work with industry groups on an alternative pricing model and technologies to reduce agricultural emissions.</p>
<p>A deal was announced at the end of 2022, but it <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/fcaea1fa-3834-4ef7-8b11-c4b830bb987a?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">collapsed</a> this year with key industry players and Christopher Luxon’s National Party withdrawing their support. Now in Government, National is <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/fbf449c7-e6d9-49c9-abed-ebc12061c903?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">delaying</a> the introduction of a pricing system until 2030 – well beyond Sultan Al Jaber’s deadline for action.</p>
<p>At the global level, agriculture is a small contributor when it comes to emissions.</p>
<p>By far the lion’s <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/e842119f-3dcf-4df5-a14a-371411780272?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">share</a> comes from the burning of fossil fuels – oil, gas and coal.</p>
<p>While the Gulf may be looking to a future beyond oil – and focusing on education, services and technology – the fact remains that there are plenty of players with a lot to lose and everything to gain from delaying the decarbonisation process.</p>
<p>New Zealand’s chequered experience with a joint government-industry effort to reduce agricultural emissions may offer a salutary lesson.</p>
<p>Keeping everyone at the table is harder than it looks.</p>
<p>Still, it is worth keeping the bigger picture in mind.</p>
<p>Al Jaber’s drive for inclusiveness is very much in keeping with the UAE’s current overall foreign policy <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/93d960fa-7ddb-48df-a4a0-268771adbcf5?j=eyJ1IjoiMmNldzByIn0.nmuCfCQYbKyBalSQrOG8SV_7eGphSJOvCShoYfwAR54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">stance</a>.</p>
<p>Despite pressure from Western capitals, Abu Dhabi has steadfastly maintained relations with Moscow since Russia invaded Ukraine – and the UAE has resisted the temptation to cut its newly forged diplomatic ties with Israel, despite overwhelming backing on the ‘Arab street’ for the Palestinian cause.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, with COP28 just around the corner, Ambassador Alqemzi says his message for the summit’s critics is ‘let’s see what the UAE will do – and then we can talk again’.</p>
<p>It is a pivotal time for the Middle East.</p>
<p>Christopher Luxon could learn a great deal in Dubai.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">*******</p>
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<p><em>Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s geopolitical analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues. He has lived in Germany and the Middle East and is a learner of Arabic and Russian. Disclosure: Geoffrey attended the recent Global Media Congress in the UAE as a guest of the organisers, the Emirates News Agency.</em></p>
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		<title>OP-ED: Can Asia and the Pacific get on track to net zero? &#8211; Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2022/11/30/op-ed-can-asia-and-the-pacific-get-on-track-to-net-zero-armida-salsiah-alisjahbana/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Evening Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Nov 2022 20:19:17 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[OP-ED by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations and Executive Secretary of ESCAP. The recent climate talks in Egypt have left us with a sobering reality: The window for maintaining global warming to 1.5 degrees is closing fast and what is on the table currently is insufficient to avert some of the worst ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p1"><i>OP-ED by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations and Executive Secretary of ESCAP.</i></p>
<figure id="attachment_497777" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-497777" style="width: 240px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-497777 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-240x300.jpg" alt="" width="240" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-240x300.jpg 240w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-768x960.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-1228x1536.jpg 1228w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-696x870.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-1068x1336.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-336x420.jpg 336w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ESCAP_Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana.jpg 1273w" sizes="(max-width: 240px) 100vw, 240px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-497777" class="wp-caption-text">Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana is the United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).</figcaption></figure>
<p class="p2"><strong>The recent climate talks in Egypt have left us with a sobering reality: The window for maintaining global warming to 1.5 degrees is closing fast and what is on the table currently is insufficient to avert some of the worst potential effects of climate change.</strong> The Nationally Determined Contribution targets of Asian and Pacific countries will result in a <a href="https://www.unescap.org/kp/2022/2022-review-climate-ambition-asia-and-pacific-raising-ndc-targets-enhanced-nature-based"><span class="s1">16</span></a><span class="s1"> per cent</span> <span class="s2"><i>increase</i></span> in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 from the 2010 levels.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2">The Sharm-el Sheikh Implementation Plan and the package of decisions taken at COP27 are a reaffirmation of actions that could deliver the net-zero resilient world our countries aspire to. <span class="s3">The historic decision to establish a Loss and Damage Fund is an important step towards climate justice and building trust among countries.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3">But they are not enough to help us arrive at a better future without, what the UN Secretary General calls, a &#8220;giant leap on climate ambition&#8221;</span><span class="s4">.</span> Carbon neutrality needs to at the heart of national development strategies and reflected in public and private investment decisions. And it needs to cascade down to the sustainable pathways in each sector of the economy.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2"><i>Accelerate energy transition</i></p>
<p class="p2">At the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), we are working with regional and national stakeholders on these transformational pathways. Moving away from the brown economy is imperative, not only because emissions are rising but also because dependence on fossil fuels has left economies struggling with price volatility and energy insecurity.</p>
<p class="p2">A clear road map is the needed springboard for an inclusive and just energy transition. We have been working with countries to develop scenarios for such a shift through National Roadmaps, demonstrating that a different energy future is possible and viable with the political will and sincere commitment to action of the public and private sectors.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2">The changeover to renewables also requires concurrent improvements in grid infrastructure, especially cross-border grids. The <a href="https://www.unescap.org/our-work/energy/energy-connectivity/roadmap"><span class="s1">Regional Road Map on Power System Connectivity</span></a> provides us the platform to work with member States toward an interconnected grid, including through the development of the necessary regulatory frameworks for to integrate power systems and mobilize investments in grid infrastructure. The future of energy security will be determined by the ability to develop green grids and trade renewable-generated electricity across our borders.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2"><i>Green the rides</i></p>
<p class="p2">The move to net-zero carbon will not be complete without greening the transport sector. In Asia and the Pacific transport is primarily powered by fossil fuels and as a result accounted for <a href="https://unescap.org/kp/2021/review-developments-transport-asia-and-pacific-2021"><span class="s1">24 per cent of total carbon emissions</span></a> by 2018.</p>
<p class="p2">Energy efficiency improvements and using more electric vehicles are the most effective measures to reduce carbon emissions by as much as <a href="https://unescap.org/kp/2021/review-developments-transport-asia-and-pacific-2021"><span class="s1">60 per cent</span></a> in 2050 compared to 2005 levels. The <a href="https://unescap.org/kp/2021/review-developments-transport-asia-and-pacific-2021"><span class="s1">Regional Action Programme for Sustainable Transport Development</span></a> allows us to work with countries to implement and cooperate on priorities for low-carbon transport, including electric mobility. Our work with the Framework Agreement on Facilitation of Cross-border Paperless Trade also is helping to make commerce more efficient and climate-smart, a critical element for the transition in the energy and transport sectors.</p>
<p class="p2"><i>Adapting to a riskier future</i></p>
<p class="p2">Even with mitigation measures in place, our economy and people will not be safe without a holistic risk management system. And it needs to be one that prevents communities from being blindsided by cascading climate disasters.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2">We are working with partners to deepen the understanding of such cascading risks and to help develop preparedness strategies for this new reality, such as the implementation of the ASEAN Regional Plan of Action for Adaptation to Drought.</p>
<p class="p2"><i>Make finance available where it matters the most</i></p>
<p class="p2">Finance and investment are uniquely placed to propel the transitions needed. The past five years have seen thematic bonds in our region grow tenfold. Private finance is slowly aligning with climate needs. <span class="s3">The new Loss and Damage Fund and its operation present new hopes for financing the most vulnerable</span><span class="s4">. </span>However, climate finance is not happening at the speed and scale needed. <span class="s3">It needs to be accessible to developing economies in times of need.</span></p>
<p class="p2">Innovative financing instruments need to be developed and scaled up, from debt-for-climate swaps to SDG bonds, some of which ESCAP is helping to develop in the <a href="https://unescap.org/kp/2022/mpfd-policy-brief-no-123-debt-climate-swaps-pacific-sids"><span class="s1">Pacific</span></a> and in <a href="https://unescap.org/kp/2022/advanced-draft-green-and-sustainable-financial-market-analysis-financing-cambodias-future"><span class="s1">Cambodia</span></a>. Growing momentum in the business sector will need to be sustained. The Asia-Pacific <a href="https://www.unescap.org/projects/gd"><span class="s1">Green Deal for Business</span></a> by the ESCAP Sustainable Business Network (ESBN) is important progress. We are also working with the High-level Climate Champions to bring climate-aligned investment opportunities closer to private financiers.</p>
<p class="p2"><i>Lock in higher ambition and accelerate implementation</i></p>
<p class="p2">Climate actions in Asia and the Pacific matter for global success and well-being. The past two years has been a grim reminder that conflicts in one continent create hunger in another, and that emissions somewhere push sea levels higher everywhere. Never has our prosperity been more dependent on collective actions and cooperation.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2">Our countries are taking note. Member States meeting at the seventh session of the Committee on Environment and Development, which opens today (29 November) are seeking consensus on the regional cooperation needed and priorities for climate action such as oceans, ecosystem and air pollution. We hope that the momentum begun at COP27 and the Committee will be continued at the seventy-ninth session of the Commission as it will hone in on the accelerators for climate action.</p>
<p class="p2">In this era of heightened risks and shared prosperity, only regional, multilateral solidarity and genuine ambition that match with the new climate reality unfolding around us &#8212; along with bold climate action &#8212; are the only way to secure a future where the countries of Asia and the Pacific can prosper.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p class="p2" style="text-align: center;">*******</p>
<p class="p2"><i>Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana is an Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations and Executive Secretary of the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP)</i></p>
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		<title>Australia’s ‘independent day’ looms as voters reel from a ‘gutful’ of politics</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2022/05/16/australias-independent-day-looms-as-voters-reel-from-a-gutful-of-politics/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 May 2022 08:18:01 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[SPECIAL REPORT: By Kalinga Seneviratne When Australians go to the polls on Saturday to elect a new government, the vast continent which was stolen from the indigenous people in 1788 and annexed to the British crown may have its “independent day” — not one that would declare itself a republic, but a day when independent ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>SPECIAL REPORT:</strong> <em>By Kalinga Seneviratne</em></p>
<p>When Australians go to the polls on Saturday to elect a new government, the vast continent which was stolen from the indigenous people in 1788 and annexed to the British crown may have its “independent day” — not one that would declare itself a republic, but a day when independent members of Parliament may hold the balance of power in the lower house in Canberra.</p>
<p>In February this year, the founder of Climate 200 Simon Holmes à Court — son of Australia’s first billionaire Robert Holmes à Court — in an address to the Canberra Press Club said that independents hold considerable sway in some seats, and they will provide a tough challenge to the two major parties in Australian politics — Labour (ALP) and Liberal-National (LNP) — in the forthcoming federal elections.</p>
<p>He added that they have gathered a $7 million (US$4.9 million) war chest to fix Australia’s “broken” political system.</p>
<p>“As we approach this upcoming election, the Australian political system is broken. That’s the problem. That’s why we are here today,” he told a packed press club in the national capital adding that Australians have had a “gutful” of politics.</p>
<p>“Engaged Australians are deeply frustrated that we are not making progress on the issues that matter … We are frustrated that so often our government is found to be either lying or incompetent, sometimes both,” he said.</p>
<p>“We have a government more interested in winning elections than improving our great nation. A government that seeks power, without purpose.</p>
<p>“We are frustrated about climate and action. We are frustrated about corruption in politics. We are frustrated about the treatment and safety of women.”</p>
<p><strong>Looking over their shoulders</strong><br />As the election campaign approaches its final stretch, politicians from both parties are looking over their shoulders at independent candidates who are challenging them in some crucial seats.</p>
<p>The Liberal Party of Prime Minister Scott Morrison is more worried than his opposition counterpart, the Australian Labor Party (ALP). Polling indicates that some blue-ribbon Liberal (governing LNP is a coalition of Liberal and National parties) seats could fall to popular local independent candidates and may result in a hung Parliament when the results of the elections are out by the early morning of May 22.</p>
<p>Liberals got a taste of things to come at a New South Wales (NSW) state byelection in February when voters in the heart of Sydney Northshore (which is a bastion of conservative politics) seat of Willoughby chose a replacement for the former Premier of the state, the hugely popular Gladys Berejiklian, who was forced to resign under corruption allegations.</p>
<p>She last won the seat with a hefty margin of 21 percent but there was a swing of 19 percent against the Liberal candidate who very narrowly won the seat via postal votes. The successful Independent candidate Larrisa Penn ran her campaign with very little funding.</p>
<p>Holmes à Court’s environmental organisation has been providing funds to a chain of candidates around the country, but he says that Climate 200 is not a political party and the candidates they give money to do not have a common political platform.</p>
<p>He also added that they give them money if they ask for it and give them advice on campaign tactics if they seek it. However, most independents are funded with donations from ordinary Australians who want to see systematic political change in Australia.</p>
<p>“These candidates don’t need to go into politics to be successful because they are already successful,” he told the press gallery.</p>
<p>“They are business owners, doctors, lawyers, journalists, and athletes. They are in it for the right reasons.”</p>
<p><strong>Community advocacy group</strong><br />In the Melbourne seat of Kooyong, held by Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg, local independent Professor Monique Ryan, the head of neurology at the Royal Children’s Hospital Melbourne, who was endorsed by the community advocacy group Voices of Kooyong to stand in the seat is being given a good chance of unseating the government heavyweight.</p>
<p>“A genuine contest between two smart people to represent a smart, engaged electorate should make for good politics. Instead, the Kooyong campaign has turned rancid, as Ryan and her principal backer, Simon Holmes à Court, can almost touch an unlikely prize and Frydenberg, a potential future prime minister, can see his political career fading to black” observed Melbourne <em>Age’s</em> chief political reporter Chip Le Grand.</p>
<p>Professor Ryan is one of 21 “Voices of” candidates to have announced their run for a lower house seat for the 2022 federal election, and political analysts believe that in at least 5 Liberal-held seats in Victoria and NSW they stand a good chance of toppling the sitting candidate.</p>
<p>“The grassroots campaigns have attracted tens of thousands of people across Australia, many of whom have never volunteered for a political cause before,” noted <em>Guardian Australia’s</em> Calla Wahlquist. “Government MPs are feeling the pressure.”</p>
<p>The Seven Network claimed last week that PM Morrison had become “hysterical” about the independent challenge. It pointed out that he had started to hammer out a key campaign theme in media interviews and speeches claiming that independents in Parliament would threaten Australia’s economic stability and national security.</p>
<p>“The allegation by the prime minister … that independent parliamentarians and candidates are a threat to Australia’s security is a shameful slur on decent people exercising their democratic right to stand for election,” Tasmanian independent MP Andrew Wilkie said in a statement broadcast on Seven Network.</p>
<p>“It’s also symptomatic of a government becoming increasingly hysterical at the realisation it’s out of step with a great many Australians.” Wilkie pointed out that some crossbenchers, such as himself, had served in the defence and intelligence services and it was “outrageous” for the prime minister to criticise them.</p>
<p><strong>Encouraged voting for independents</strong><br />Former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, who was toppled in a party-room coup by Morrison in 2018 is encouraging Australians to vote for independents whom he calls “small-l Liberals” that are trying to save the liberal values he once espoused.</p>
<p>He says the party is now being taken over by climatic change deniers supported by Rupert Murdoch’s media in Australia such as Sky News, which has given ample coverage to Morrison’s “independents being a national security threat’’ argument.</p>
<p>Well-known election analyst Malcolm Mackerras predicts that the May 21 elections would result in a hung Parliament with both ALP and LNP dependent on 6-8 independent MPs to form a government.</p>
<p>The preferential voting system in the lower house of the Australian Parliament has resulted in favouring a two-party system, but he believes it is due for reform and voters would deliver it. It is compulsory for Australians to vote in elections.</p>
<p>Independents supported by Climate 200 are called “teal candidates” because they use colour in their campaign material which is a merger between green and blue.</p>
<p>“The teal independents are speaking directly to moderate Liberal constituents who are frustrated with the (blue) Liberal Party’s positioning on social and environmental issues” argues Amy Nethery, senior lecturer in politics and policy studies at Deakin University.</p>
<p>“While these same voters may never vote Labour or Greens, many are alienated by Morrison and his government, particularly on climate change and women’s issues.”</p>
<p><strong>Many candidates are women</strong><br />She points out that it is significant that 19 of the 22 Climate 200 supported candidates are women.</p>
<p>“All of whom have had highly successful careers in their own right. High-profile candidates include Ryan (Kooyong), a professor and head of neurology at the Royal Children’s Hospital, Zoe Daniel (Goldstein) a former ABC foreign correspondent, and Allegra Spender (Wentworth) the chief executive of the Australian Business and Community Network,” noted Nethery writing in <em>The Conversation</em>.</p>
<p>“The teal independents are not political staffers taking the next step towards inevitable political careers. These are professional women making a radical sideways leap because, they say, this is what the times require. It’s a compelling story.”</p>
<p><em>Dr Kalinga Seneviratne</em> <em>is a Sydney-based IDP-InDepth News Southeast Asia director, the flagship agency of the nonprofit International Press Syndicate. He is currently in Suva. This article is republished with permission.</em></p>
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		<title>LIVE@Midday Thurs: Buchanan + Manning on COP26 plus New-Gen Attack Drones</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2021/11/03/livemidday-thurs-buchanan-manning-on-cop26-plus-new-gen-attack-drones/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Nov 2021 01:08:44 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[A View from Afar - In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will discuss two issues: the evolution of new generation attack drones; and the COP26 meeting in Glasgow this week. Specifically, Buchanan and Manning will unpack: Whether Geopolitics has railroaded a broad-based consensus of climate interventionism. Why Russia and China abandoned the Cop26 multilateral forum?]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="PODCAST: Buchanan + Manning on COP26 plus New-Gen Attack Drones" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/UI3YQo3bEt8?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p class="p3"><strong>A View from Afar</strong> &#8211; In this podcast, political scientist Paul Buchanan and Selwyn Manning will discuss two issues: the evolution of new generation attack drones; and the COP26 meeting in Glasgow this week. Specifically, Buchanan and Manning will unpack:</p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1">Whether Geopolitics has railroaded a broad-based consensus of climate interventionism</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1">Why Russia and China abandoned the Cop26 multilateral forum?</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1">How mostly developed nations state the take away agreements help address climate change, and how Greenpeace and many other environment groups say fundamental problems remain with how developed nations address the climate change challenge.</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"><strong>ALSO:</strong> We discuss the latest in the evolution of high-tech militarised attack drones. What can we now expect to see? And, how will countries defend themselves against AI driven attacks?</span></p>
<p><strong>Join Paul and Selwyn for this LIVE recording of this podcast while they consider these big issues, and remember any comments you make while live can be included in this programme.</strong></p>
<p>You can comment on this debate by clicking on one of these social media channels and interacting in the social media’s comment area. Here are the links:</p>
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<li><a href="https://www.facebook.com/selwyn.manning" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_Z9kwrTOD64QIkx32tY8yw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Youtube</a></li>
<li><a href="https://twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</a></li>
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<p>If you miss the LIVE Episode, you can see it as video-on-demand, and earlier episodes too, by checking out <a href="https://eveningreport.nz/">EveningReport.nz </a>or, subscribe to the <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Evening Report podcast here</a>.</p>
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		<title>‘Existential threat to our survival’ – see the 19 Australian ecosystems already collapsing</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2021/02/26/existential-threat-to-our-survival-see-the-19-australian-ecosystems-already-collapsing/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2021 01:17:59 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS: By Dana M Bergstrom, University of Wollongong; Euan Ritchie, Deakin University; Lesley Hughes, Macquarie University, and Michael Depledge, University of Exeter In 1992, 1700 scientists warned that human beings and the natural world were “on a collision course”. Seventeen years later, scientists described planetary boundaries within which humans and other life could have a ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/dana-m-bergstrom-1008495" rel="nofollow">Dana M Bergstrom</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-wollongong-711" rel="nofollow">University of Wollongong</a>; <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/euan-ritchie-735" rel="nofollow">Euan Ritchie</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/deakin-university-757" rel="nofollow">Deakin University</a>; <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/lesley-hughes-5823" rel="nofollow">Lesley Hughes</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/macquarie-university-1174" rel="nofollow">Macquarie University</a>, and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/michael-depledge-114659" rel="nofollow">Michael Depledge</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-exeter-1190" rel="nofollow">University of Exeter</a></em></p>
<p>In 1992, 1700 scientists <a href="https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/1992-world-scientists-warning-humanity" rel="nofollow">warned</a> that human beings and the natural world were “on a collision course”. Seventeen years later, scientists described <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/461472a" rel="nofollow">planetary boundaries</a> within which humans and other life could have a “safe space to operate”.</p>
<p>These are environmental thresholds, such as the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and changes in land use.</p>
<p>Crossing such boundaries was considered a risk that would cause environmental changes so profound, they genuinely posed an <a href="https://news.mongabay.com/2020/10/david-attenboroughs-witness-statement-for-the-planet-commentary/" rel="nofollow">existential threat to humanity</a>.</p>
<p>This grave reality is what our major research paper, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.15539" rel="nofollow">published today</a>, confronts.</p>
<p>In what may be the most comprehensive evaluation of the environmental state of play in Australia, we show major and iconic ecosystems are collapsing across the continent and into Antarctica. These systems sustain life, and evidence of their demise shows we are exceeding planetary boundaries.</p>
<p>We found 19 Australian ecosystems met our criteria to be classified as “collapsing”. This includes the arid interior, <a href="https://theconversation.com/ecocheck-australias-vast-majestic-northern-savannas-need-more-care-59897" rel="nofollow">savannas</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/extreme-weather-likely-behind-worst-recorded-mangrove-dieback-in-northern-australia-71880" rel="nofollow">mangroves</a> of northern Australia, the <a href="https://theconversation.com/we-just-spent-two-weeks-surveying-the-great-barrier-reef-what-we-saw-was-an-utter-tragedy-135197" rel="nofollow">Great Barrier Reef</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/shark-bay-a-world-heritage-site-at-catastrophic-risk-111194" rel="nofollow">Shark Bay</a>, southern Australia’s <a href="https://theconversation.com/australias-other-reef-is-worth-more-than-10-billion-a-year-but-have-you-heard-of-it-45600" rel="nofollow">kelp</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/yes-the-australian-bush-is-recovering-from-bushfires-but-it-may-never-be-the-same-131390" rel="nofollow">alpine ash</a> forests, tundra on Macquarie Island, and <a href="https://theconversation.com/antarcticas-moss-forests-are-drying-and-dying-103751" rel="nofollow">moss beds in Antarctica</a>.</p>
<p>We define collapse as the state where ecosystems have changed in a substantial, negative way from their original state – such as species or habitat loss, or reduced vegetation or coral cover – and are unlikely to recover.</p>
<p><strong>The good and bad news</strong><br />Ecosystems consist of living and non-living components, and their interactions. They work like a super-complex engine: when some components are removed or stop working, knock-on consequences can lead to system failure.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone c2"><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" sizes="auto, (min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=338&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=338&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=338&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=424&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=424&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386381/original/file-20210225-23-1ffydt.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=424&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w" alt="Bleached coral" width="600" height="338"/><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The Great Barrier Reef has suffered consecutive mass bleaching events, causing swathes of coral to die. Image: Shutterstock</figcaption></figure>
<p>Our study is based on measured data and observations, not modelling or predictions for the future. Encouragingly, not all ecosystems we examined have collapsed across their entire range. We still have, for instance, some intact reefs on the Great Barrier Reef, especially in deeper waters. And northern Australia has some of the most intact and least-modified stretches of savanna woodlands on Earth.<em><br /></em></p>
<p>Still, collapses are happening, including in regions critical for growing food. This includes the <a href="https://www.mdba.gov.au/importance-murray-darling-basin/where-basin" rel="nofollow">Murray-Darling Basin</a>, which covers around 14 percent of Australia’s landmass. Its rivers and other freshwater systems support more than <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/latestproducts/94F2007584736094CA2574A50014B1B6?opendocument" rel="nofollow">30 percent of Australia’s food</a> production.</p>
<p>The effects of floods, fires, heatwaves and storms do not stop at farm gates; they’re felt equally in agricultural areas and natural ecosystems. We shouldn’t forget how towns ran out of <a href="https://www.mdba.gov.au/issues-murray-darling-basin/drought#effects" rel="nofollow">drinking water</a> during the recent drought.</p>
<p>Drinking water is also at risk when ecosystems collapse in our water catchments. In Victoria, for example, the degradation of giant <a href="https://theconversation.com/logging-must-stop-in-melbournes-biggest-water-supply-catchment-106922" rel="nofollow">Mountain Ash forests</a> greatly reduces the amount of water flowing through the Thompson catchment, threatening nearly five million people’s drinking water in Melbourne.</p>
<p>This is a dire <em>wake-up</em> call — not just a <em>warning</em>. Put bluntly, current changes across the continent, and their potential outcomes, pose an existential threat to our survival, and other life we share environments with.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone c2"><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" rel="nofollow"><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" sizes="auto, (min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=444&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=444&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=444&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=558&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=558&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386367/original/file-20210225-21-17y3om6.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=558&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w" alt="A burnt pencil pine" width="600" height="444"/></a><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">A burnt pencil pine, one of the world’s oldest species. These ‘living fossils’ in Tasmania’s World Heritage Area are unlikely to recover after fire. Image: Aimee Bliss/The Conversation</figcaption></figure>
<p>In investigating patterns of collapse, we found most ecosystems experience multiple, concurrent pressures from both global climate change and regional human impacts (such as land clearing). Pressures are often <a href="https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1365-2664.13427" rel="nofollow">additive and extreme</a>.</p>
<p>Take the last 11 years in Western Australia as an example.</p>
<p>In the summer of 2010 and 2011, a <a href="https://theconversation.com/marine-heatwaves-are-getting-hotter-lasting-longer-and-doing-more-damage-95637" rel="nofollow">heatwave</a> spanning more than 300,000 sq km ravaged both marine and land ecosystems. The extreme heat devastated forests and woodlands, kelp forests, seagrass meadows and coral reefs. This catastrophe was followed by two cyclones.</p>
<p>A record-breaking, marine heatwave in late 2019 dealt a further blow. And another marine heatwave is predicted for <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/24/wa-coastline-facing-marine-heatwave-in-early-2021-csiro-predicts" rel="nofollow">this April</a>.</p>
<p><strong>These 19 ecosystems are collapsing: read about each</strong></p>
<p><strong>What to do about it?</strong><br />Our brains trust comprises 38 experts from 21 universities, CSIRO and the federal Department of Agriculture Water and Environment. Beyond quantifying and reporting more doom and gloom, we asked the question: what can be done?</p>
<p>We devised a simple but tractable scheme called the 3As:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Awareness</strong> of what is important</li>
<li><strong>Anticipation</strong> of what is coming down the line</li>
<li><strong>Action</strong> to stop the pressures or deal with impacts.</li>
</ul>
<p>In our paper, we identify positive actions to help protect or restore ecosystems. Many are already happening. In some cases, ecosystems might be better left to recover by themselves, such as coral after a cyclone.</p>
<p>In other cases, active human intervention will be required – for example, placing artificial nesting boxes for Carnaby’s black cockatoos in areas where old trees have been <a href="https://www.environment.gov.au/biodiversity/threatened/publications/factsheet-carnabys-black-cockatoo-calyptorhynchus-latirostris" rel="nofollow">removed.</a></p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone c2"><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" rel="nofollow"><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" sizes="auto, (min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/386374/original/file-20210225-23-1h5uxi.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w" alt="Two black cockatoos on a tree branch" width="600" height="400"/></a><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Artificial nesting boxes for birds such as the Carnaby’s black cockatoo are important interventions. Image: Shutterstock/The Conversation</figcaption></figure>
<p>“Future-ready” actions are also vital. This includes reinstating <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/gardening/factsheets/a-burning-question-fire/12395700" rel="nofollow">cultural burning practices</a>, which have <a href="https://theconversation.com/australia-you-have-unfinished-business-its-time-to-let-our-fire-people-care-for-this-land-135196" rel="nofollow">multiple values and benefits for Aboriginal communities</a> and can help minimise the risk and strength of bushfires.</p>
<p>It might also include replanting banks along the Murray River with species better suited to <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/gardening/factsheets/my-garden-path---matt-hansen/12322978" rel="nofollow">warmer conditions</a>.</p>
<p>Some actions may be small and localised, but have substantial positive benefits.</p>
<p>For example, billions of migrating Bogong moths, the main summer food for critically endangered mountain pygmy possums, have not arrived in their typical numbers in Australian alpine regions in recent years. This was further exacerbated by the <a href="https://theconversation.com/six-million-hectares-of-threatened-species-habitat-up-in-smoke-129438" rel="nofollow">2019-20</a> fires. Brilliantly, <a href="https://www.zoo.org.au/" rel="nofollow">Zoos Victoria</a> anticipated this pressure and developed supplementary food — <a href="https://theconversation.com/looks-like-an-anzac-biscuit-tastes-like-a-protein-bar-bogong-bikkies-help-mountain-pygmy-possums-after-fire-131045" rel="nofollow">Bogong bikkies</a>.<em><br /></em></p>
<p>Other more challenging, global or large-scale actions must address the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iICpI9H0GkU&amp;t=34s" rel="nofollow">root cause of environmental threats</a>, such as <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-018-0504-8" rel="nofollow">human population growth and per-capita consumption</a> of environmental resources.</p>
<p>We must rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions to net-zero, remove or suppress invasive species such as <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/mam.12080" rel="nofollow">feral cats</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-buffel-kerfuffle-how-one-species-quietly-destroys-native-wildlife-and-cultural-sites-in-arid-australia-149456" rel="nofollow">buffel grass</a>, and stop widespread <a href="https://theconversation.com/to-reduce-fire-risk-and-meet-climate-targets-over-300-scientists-call-for-stronger-land-clearing-laws-113172" rel="nofollow">land clearing</a> and other forms of habitat destruction.</p>
<p><strong>Our lives depend on it<br /></strong> The multiple ecosystem collapses we have documented in Australia are a harbinger for <a href="https://www.iucn.org/news/protected-areas/202102/natures-future-our-future-world-speaks" rel="nofollow">environments globally</a>.</p>
<p>The simplicity of the 3As is to show people <em>can</em> do something positive, either at the local level of a landcare group, or at the level of government departments and conservation agencies.</p>
<p>Our lives and those of our <a href="https://theconversation.com/children-are-our-future-and-the-planets-heres-how-you-can-teach-them-to-take-care-of-it-113759" rel="nofollow">children</a>, as well as our <a href="https://theconversation.com/taking-care-of-business-the-private-sector-is-waking-up-to-natures-value-153786" rel="nofollow">economies</a>, societies and <a href="https://theconversation.com/to-address-the-ecological-crisis-aboriginal-peoples-must-be-restored-as-custodians-of-country-108594" rel="nofollow">cultures</a>, depend on it.</p>
<p>We simply cannot afford any further delay.<br /><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" class="c4" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/154077/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1"/></p>
<p><em>Dr <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/dana-m-bergstrom-1008495" rel="nofollow">Dana M Bergstrom</a>, principal research scientist, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-wollongong-711" rel="nofollow">University of Wollongong</a>; Dr <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/euan-ritchie-735" rel="nofollow">Euan Ritchie</a>, professor in wildlife ecology and conservation, Centre for Integrative Ecology, School of Life &amp; Environmental Sciences, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/deakin-university-757" rel="nofollow">Deakin University</a>; Dr <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/lesley-hughes-5823" rel="nofollow">Lesley Hughes</a>, Professor, Department of Biological Sciences, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/macquarie-university-1174" rel="nofollow">Macquarie University</a>, and Dr <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/michael-depledge-114659" rel="nofollow">Michael Depledge</a>, professor and chair, Environment and Human Health, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-exeter-1190" rel="nofollow">University of Exeter.</a> This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com" rel="nofollow">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons licence. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/existential-threat-to-our-survival-see-the-19-australian-ecosystems-already-collapsing-154077" rel="nofollow">original article</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>NZ Greens accept Labour’s offer for ‘cooperation agreement’</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2020/11/01/nz-greens-accept-labours-offer-for-cooperation-agreement/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2020 11:17:56 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[By RNZ News Green Party delegates have voted to accept a deal with Labour which will give it two ministerial portfolios outside of cabinet in the New Zealand government. Consensus was blocked, so the party required 75 percent of delegates to get the deal across the line this evening. Labour offered the Green Party the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/" rel="nofollow">RNZ News</a></em></p>
<p>Green Party delegates have voted to accept a deal with Labour which will give it two ministerial portfolios outside of cabinet in the New Zealand government.</p>
<p>Consensus was blocked, so the party required 75 percent of delegates to get the deal across the line this evening.</p>
<p>Labour offered the Green Party the two portfolios as part of a cooperation agreement.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" readability="8.5057471264368">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">? BREAKING: We’re thinking ahead by acting now. Today we’re proud to launch our bold new vision for the future that resets and reimagines Aotearoa so all of us and our planet thrive. <a href="https://t.co/oOGjU5VnHO" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/oOGjU5VnHO</a></p>
<p>— Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) <a href="https://twitter.com/NZGreens/status/1286846699575472128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow">July 25, 2020</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Today’s vote to accept the deal came after several rounds of talks on potential areas of cooperation between the two parties concluded on Thursday.</p>
<p>About 150 Green Party delegates were presented the deal on a zoom call today, before voting on whether to accept it.</p>
<p>Green Party delegates were also told the two select committees Green MPs will chair or deputy chair will likely be Environment and Transport, RNZ understands.</p>
<p>As part of the proposed cooperation agreement, Labour will support the nomination of a Green MP to be the chair of a select committee, as well as a Green MP in the deputy chair role of an additional select committee.</p>
<p><strong>Green Party co-leaders</strong><br />The ministerial portfolios will be held by the Green Party’s co-leaders, Labour leader Jacinda Ardern revealed this afternoon.</p>
<p>James Shaw will continue as Climate Change Minister and be appointed Associate Minister for the Environment (Biodiversity), while Marama Davidson will be the Minister for the Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence and Associate Minister of Housing (Homelessness).</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" readability="9.4894366197183">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">Despite a landslide election victory for her Labour Party, New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said Saturday that the Green Party would be given two ministerial positions to help advance their “shared goals”<a href="https://t.co/cY7m3bVrX1" rel="nofollow">https://t.co/cY7m3bVrX1</a></p>
<p>— AFP news agency (@AFP) <a href="https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1322478423575535616?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow">October 31, 2020</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>In a statement, Davidson said the Green Party was “thrilled” to enter into this governing arrangement with Labour.</p>
<p>“We entered into this negotiation hoping to achieve the best outcomes for New Zealand and our planet. This was after a strong campaign where we committed to action on the climate crisis, the biodiversity crisis, and the poverty crisis.</p>
<p>“New Zealanders voted us in to be a productive partner to Labour to ensure we go further and faster on the issues that matter. We will make sure that happens this term.”</p>
<p>Shaw said the Greens had a larger caucus this term, who were ready to play a constructive role.</p>
<p>“In the areas of climate change, looking after our natural environment and addressing inequality, there’s no time to waste. Marama will do incredible work rapidly addressing the issues of homelessness and family violence,” he said.</p>
<p><strong>‘First in NZ political history’</strong><br />“We are proud to have achieved a first in New Zealand political history, where a major party with a clear majority under MMP has agreed to ministerial positions for another party, as well as big areas of cooperation.”</p>
<p>Areas of co-operation will be: “achieving the purpose and goals of the Zero Carbon Act” through decarbonising public transport and the public sector, increasing the uptake of zero-emission vehicles, introducing clean car standards, and supporting the use of renewable energy for industrial heat.</p>
<p>As well as protecting the environment and biodiversity, and improving child wellbeing and action on homelessness, warmer homes, and child and youth mental health.</p>
<p>In return the Greens will not oppose the government on confidence and supply for the full term of this Parliament, and support Labour on procedural motions in the House and at select committees</p>
<p>But the Greens will be free to take their own position on any issues not covered by the ministerial portfolios and areas of co-operation.</p>
<p>Ardern said in the interests of transparency, Labour was releasing the deal publicly in tandem with the Greens’ deliberations.</p>
<p>“On election night I said I wanted to govern for all New Zealanders and to reach as wide a consensus on key issues as possible. This agreement does that, while honouring the mandate provided to Labour to form a majority government in our own right.</p>
<p><strong>Balancing two key objectives</strong><br />“The cooperation agreement balances these two objectives, whilst not committing to a more formal coalition or confidence and supply arrangement.”</p>
<p>Ardern said strong, stable government was essential to New Zealand as it recovered from covid.</p>
<p>“Between this agreement and our existing parliamentary majority, we won’t be held back from getting on with the work needed to rebuild our economy and continuing to keep New Zealand safe from covid-19.</p>
<p>She said policy areas where Labour and the Greens could work together were places where the policy and experience of the Greens would provide a positive contribution to the Labour government, but without any requirement for either party to have to reach consensus.</p>
<p>“James knows climate change inside out, his expertise in this complex and detailed policy area is an important skill set to tap into, and he has a range of domestic and international stakeholder relationships that are important to maintain.</p>
<p>“Stability and predictability in climate change policy I see as key, and that has also been feedback that I’ve picked up from stakeholders ranging from environmental NGOs to the business community.”</p>
<p>On Davidson’s role, she said Green MP Jan Logie had led the work on family and sexual violence as an undersecretary, and it was at an “important phase of implementation”.</p>
<p><strong>Addressing a national shame</strong><br />“Again, continuity on addressing this area of national shame is at the front of my mind. It’s also my strong believe that this is an area which should be a ministerial portfolio in it’s own right, and so that’s what we’re doing.”</p>
<p>She said the agreement struck the right balance of the parties working on issues where there is agreement, “allowing space for disagreement and independence, delivering business continuity and predictability in key policy areas, especially climate policy, and guaranteeing that Labour’s majority is bolstered on key votes to ensure the ongoing stability of the majority government.</p>
<p>“Never before has one party won a majority under MMP, but that’s not to say that the principals of MMP should be ignored. Furthermore it is also simply not how I do politics.”</p>
<p>She said she would not have invested time and energy in this agreement unless she thought it was in the best interests of the government and also for New Zealand.</p>
<p>“My view is there are skills and talents that exist in other parties in Parliament, I want to make use of those from the Green Party, and work on policy areas in which there are skills and expertise as well, it makes sense for New Zealand to do that. At the same time though, I will use the mandate that we’ve been given.”</p>
<p><em>This article is republished by the Pacific Media Centre under a partnership agreement with RNZ.</em></p>
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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>UN Op-Ed &#8211; Healthy oceans: keeping Asia and the Pacific afloat</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2020/05/13/un-op-ed-healthy-oceans-keeping-asia-and-the-pacific-afloat/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Evening Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2020 22:34:35 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Op-Ed by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana &#8211; United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of ESCAP. Memories of idyllic beaches and sonorous waves may seem far away while we remain at home. Yet, we need not look far to appreciate the enduring history of the ocean in Asia and the Pacific. For generations, the region has thrived ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><i>Op-Ed by Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana &#8211; United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of ESCAP.</i></span></p>
<figure id="attachment_32730" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-32730" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignright"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-thumbnail wp-image-32730" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-150x150.png" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-150x150.png 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Armida-Salsiah-Alisjahbana-65x65.png 65w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-32730" class="wp-caption-text">Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana is the United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of ESCAP.</figcaption></figure>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><strong>Memories of idyllic beaches</strong> and sonorous waves may seem far away while we remain at home. Yet, we need not look far to appreciate the enduring history of the ocean in Asia and the Pacific. For generations, the region has thrived on our seas. Our namesake bears a nod to the Pacific Ocean, a body of water tethered to the well-being of billions in our region. The seas provide food, livelihoods and a sense of identity, especially for coastal communities in the Pacific island States.</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Sadly, escalating strains on the marine environment are threatening to drown progress and our way of life. In less than a century, climate change and unsustainable resource management have degraded ecosystems and diminished biodiversity. Levels of overfishing have exponentially increased, leaving fish stocks and food systems vulnerable. Marine plastic pollution coursing through the region’s rivers have contributed to most of the debris flooding the ocean. While the COVID-19 pandemic has temporarily reduced emissions and pollution on the ocean, this should not be moment of reprieve. Rather, recovery efforts have the potential to rebuild a new reality, embedded in sustainability and resilience. It is time to take transformative action for the ocean, together.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Despite a seascape celebrated in our collective imaginations, research shows that our picture of the ocean is remarkably shallow. Insights from <i>Changing Sails: Accelerating Regional Actions for Sustainable Oceans in Asia and the Pacific</i>, the theme study of this year’s Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, reveal that without data, we are swimming in the dark. Data are available for only two out of ten targets for Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 14: Life Below Water. Due to limitations in methodology and national statistical systems, information gaps have persisted at uneven levels across countries. Defeating COVID-19 has been a numbers game and we need similar commitment to data for the state of our shores.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">While there is much we cannot see, images of plastic pollution have become commonplace. Asia and the Pacific produces nearly half of global plastic by volume, of which it consumes 38 per cent. Plastics represent a double burden for the ocean: their production generates CO2 absorbed by the ocean, and as a final product enter the ocean as pollution. Beating this challenge will hinge upon effective national policies and re-thinking production cycles.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Environmental decline is also affecting dwindling fish stocks.<b> </b>Our region’s position as the world’s largest producer of fish has come at the cost of overexploitation. The percentage of stocks fished at unsustainable levels has increased threefold from 10 per cent 1974 to 33 per cent in 2015. Generating complete data on fish stocks, fighting illicit fishing activity and conserving marine areas must remain a priority.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Economic activity from shipping must also be sustainable. While the most connected shipping economies are in Asia, the small island developing States (SIDS) of the Pacific experience much lower levels of connectivity, leaving them relatively isolated from the global economy. Closing the maritime connectivity gap must be placed at the centre of regional transport cooperation efforts. We must also work with the shipping community to navigate toward green shipping. As an ocean-based industry, shipping directly affects the health of the marine ecosystem. Enforcing sustainable shipping policies is essential to mitigate maritime pollution.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">The magnitude of our ocean and its challenges represent how extensive and collaborative our solutions must be. Transboundary ocean management and linking ocean data call for close cooperation among countries in the region. Harnessing ocean statistics through strong national statistical systems will serve as a compass guiding countries to monitor trends, devise timely responses and clear blind spots impeding action. Through the Ocean Accounts Partnership, ESCAP is working with countries to harmonize ocean data and provide a space for regular dialogue. Translating international agreements and standards into national action is also key. We must fully equip countries and all ocean custodians to localize global agreements into tangible results. ESCAP is working with member states to implement International Maritime Organization (IMO) requirements on emissions reduction and environmental standards. </span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Keeping the ocean plastic-free will depend on policies that promote a circular economy approach. This strategy minimizes resource use and keeps them in use for as long as possible. This will require economic incentives and disincentives, coupled with fundamental lifestyle changes. Several countries in the region have introduced successful single use plastic bans. ESCAP’s Closing the Loop project is reducing the environmental impact of cities in ASEAN by addressing plastic waste pollution and leakages into the marine environment.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Our oceans keep our health, the economy and our lives above the waves. In the post-COVID-19 era, we must use the critical years ahead to steer our collective fleets toward sustainable oceans. With our shared resources and commitment, I am confident we can sail in the right direction.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><i>Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana is the United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of ESCAP</i></span></p>
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		<title>Op-Ed: Going full circle for growth and the planet &#8211; LI Yong and Hongjoo Hahm</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2018/10/04/op-ed-going-full-circle-for-growth-and-the-planet-li-yong-and-hongjoo-hahm/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Oct 2018 00:28:03 +0000</pubDate>
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<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><b>Going full circle for growth and the planet</b></span></p>




<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><i>LI Yong, UNIDO Director General and Mr. Hongjoo Hahm, Officer-in-Charge, ESCAP</i></span></p>




<p class="p2"><strong><span class="s1">The business case for making our economy more sustainable is clear. Globally, transitioning to a circular economy &#8211; where materials are reused, re-manufactured or recycled-could significantly reduce carbon emissions and deliver over US$1 trillion in material cost savings by 2025. The benefits for Asia and the Pacific would be huge. But to make this happen, the region needs to reconcile its need for economic growth with its ambition for sustainable business.</span></strong></p>


[caption id="attachment_17960" align="alignright" width="150"]<a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/LI-Yong-UNIDO-Director-General.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-thumbnail wp-image-17960" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/LI-Yong-UNIDO-Director-General-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/LI-Yong-UNIDO-Director-General-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/LI-Yong-UNIDO-Director-General-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a> LI Yong, UNIDO Director General.[/caption]
[caption id="attachment_17961" align="alignleft" width="150"]<a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hongjoo-Hahm-Officer-in-Charge-ESCAP.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-thumbnail wp-image-17961" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hongjoo-Hahm-Officer-in-Charge-ESCAP-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hongjoo-Hahm-Officer-in-Charge-ESCAP-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hongjoo-Hahm-Officer-in-Charge-ESCAP-65x65.jpg 65w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hongjoo-Hahm-Officer-in-Charge-ESCAP-240x240.jpg 240w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a> Hongjoo Hahm, Officer-in-Charge, ESCAP.[/caption]


<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><strong>Today,</strong> the way we consume is wasteful. We extract resources, use them to produce goods and services, often wastefully, and then sell them and discard them. However, resources can only stretch so far. By 2050, the global population will reach 10 billion. In the next decade, 2.5 billion new middle-class consumers will enter the fray. If we are to meet their demands and protect the planet, we must disconnect prosperity and well-being from inefficient resource use and extraction. And create a circular economy, making the shift to extending product lifetimes, reusing and recycling in order to turn waste into wealth.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">These imperatives underpin the 5th Green Industry Conference held in Bangkok this week, hosted by the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) in partnership with the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) and the Royal Thai government. High-level policymakers, captains of industry and scientists gathered to discuss solutions on how to engineer waste and pollution out of our economy, keep products and materials in use for longer and regenerate the natural system in which we live.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">The goal is to embed sustainability into industries which we depend on for our jobs, prosperity and well-being. Action in Asia and the Pacific could make a major difference. Sixty percent of the world&#8217;s fastmoving consumer goods are manufactured in the region. Five Asia-Pacific countries account for over half of the plastic in the world&#8217;s oceans. The region&#8217;s material footprint per unit of Gross Domestic Product is twice the world average and the amount of solid waste generated by Asian cities is expected to double by 2025.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">If companies could build circular supply chains to reduce material use and increase the rate of reuse, repair, remanufacture and recycling &#8211; powered by renewable energy &#8211; the value of materials could be maximized. This would cushion businesses, manufacturing industries in particular, from the volatility of commodity prices by decoupling production from finite supplies of primary resources. This is increasingly important as many elements vital for industrial production could become scarce in the coming decades.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">With these goals in mind, the United Nations is working with governments and businesses to support innovation and upgrade production technologies to use less materials, energy and water. UNIDO is engaged across industrial sectors, from food production to textiles, from automotive to construction. Over the past twenty-five years, its network of Resource Efficient and Cleaner Production Centres has helped thousands of businesses to &#8220;green&#8221; their processes and their products. The Global Cleantech initiative has supported entrepreneurs to produce greener building materials. Industrial renewable energy use is being accelerated by the Global Network of Sustainable Energy Centres. New business models such as chemical leasing help reduce chemical emissions. And the creation of eco-industrial parks has contributed to the sustainable development of our towns and cities.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">In Asia and the Pacific, the UN is intensifying its efforts to reducing and banning single use plastics. The Platform for Accelerating the Circular Economy is implementing programmes to reduce plastics consumption, marine litter and electronics waste, and encourage sustainable procurement practices. UNESCAP is identifying opportunities in Asian cities to return plastic resources into the production cycle by linking waste pickers in the informal economy with local authorities to recover plastic waste and reduce pollution.</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">The 5t h Green Industry Conference is an opportunity to give scale to these efforts. The gap between our ambition for sustainability and many business practices is significant. So it&#8217;s essential for best practice to be shared, common approaches coordinated, and success stories replicated. We need to learn from each other&#8217;s businesses to innovate, sharpen our rules and increase consumer awareness. Let&#8217;s step up our efforts to build a circular economy in Asia and the Pacific.</span></p>




<hr />




<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> World Economic Forum, Towards the Circula r Economy. Available from http:// www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ENV_TowardsCircularEconomy_Report _2014 . pdf</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Mr. LI Yong is Director General of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)</span></p>




<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Mr. Hongjoo Hahm is Officer-in-Charge of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) </span></p>

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		<title>Joanne Wallis: Australia needs to sing from same song sheet as Pacific</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2018/09/07/joanne-wallis-australia-needs-to-sing-from-same-song-sheet-as-pacific/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Pacific Media Centre]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Sep 2018 00:01:25 +0000</pubDate>
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<div readability="33"><a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Marise-Payne-PI-Forum-ForumSec-680wide.jpg" data-caption="Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne ... hamstrung at the PIF summit in Nauru this week by Australia’s hypocritical policies. Image: Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat" rel="nofollow"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="680" height="503" itemprop="image" class="entry-thumb td-modal-image" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Marise-Payne-PI-Forum-ForumSec-680wide.jpg" alt="" title="Marise Payne PI Forum ForumSec 680wide"/></a>Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne &#8230; hamstrung at the PIF summit in Nauru this week by Australia’s hypocritical policies. Image: Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat</div>



<div readability="149.67657256067">


<p><em>By Joanne Wallis in Nauru</em></p>




<p>Australia’s new Minister for Foreign Affairs Marise Payne probably envied New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s welcome at this week’s Pacific Islands Forum leaders’ meeting in Nauru this week.</p>




<p>During the leaders’ retreat lunch break on Wednesday, Nauru President Baron Waqa joined a group of local elders to <a href="https://www.facebook.com/Pacific.Islands.Forum.Secretariat/videos/2211240742456909/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">serenade Ardern</a> with a song titled “Aotearoa our friend, Jacinda new star in the sky’”.</p>




<p>Payne was never going to be described in such warm terms. After just over a week in the job, she had to convince Pacific leaders that Australia remained committed to being the region’s “<a href="http://www.defence.gov.au/WhitePaper/Docs/2016-Defence-White-Paper.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">principal security partner”</a> when the new prime minister, Scott Morrison, had chosen not to attend.</p>




<p><a href="https://www.radionz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/365853/australia-to-improve-pacific-access-to-security-information" rel="nofollow"><strong>READ MORE:</strong> Australia to improve Pacific access to security information</a></p>


<a href="https://foreignminister.gov.au/releases/Pages/2018/mp_mr_180906a.aspx?w=E6pq%2FUhzOs%2BE7V9FFYi1xQ%3D%3D" rel="nofollow"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-31573 size-full" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Forum-logo-300wide.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="169"/></a><a href="https://foreignminister.gov.au/releases/Pages/2018/mp_mr_180906a.aspx?w=E6pq%2FUhzOs%2BE7V9FFYi1xQ%3D%3D" rel="nofollow"><strong>49th PACIFIC ISLANDS FORUM COMMUNIQUE</strong></a>


<p>Morrison’s absence, and his non-appearance at the April 2018 Forum Economic Ministers’ meeting, suggest that Australia’s continued claims about prioritising the region might be more hyperbole than fact.</p>




<p>The PM’s failure to attend this week’s gathering also undermines Australia’s claimed recognition of the importance of building people-to-people links.</p>




<div class="td-a-rec td-a-rec-id-content_inlineleft td-rec-hide-on-m td-rec-hide-on-tl td-rec-hide-on-tp td-rec-hide-on-p">


<div class="c3">


<p class="c2"><small>-Partners-</small></p>


</div>


</div>




<p>Although Payne is the person in Cabinet most likely to continue Julie Bishop’s positive approach to the region as foreign minister, she was hamstrung at the meeting by Australia’s hypocritical policies.</p>




<p>The centrepiece of Wednesday’s leaders’ meeting was the signing of the <a href="https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2018/09/05/1FINAL_49PIFLM_Communique_for_unofficial_release_rev.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">Boe Declaration</a>, designed to update the 2000 Biketawa Declaration on regional security.</p>




<p>The Boe Declaration articulates an “expanded concept of security inclusive of human security, humanitarian assistance, prioritising environmental security, and regional cooperation in building resilience to disasters and climate change”. It’s a sad irony that this commitment to “human security” was signed only kilometres from Australia’s offshore processing centre where the <a href="https://www.humanrights.gov.au/sites/default/files/document/publication/forgotten_children_2014.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">human rights of refugees</a> are regularly violated.</p>




<p>This expanded concept of security also highlights the different priorities of Australia and its Pacific Island neighbours. Australia is focused on strategic concerns, particularly the increasingly <a href="https://www.aspi.org.au/report/crowded-and-complex-changing-geopolitics-south-pacific" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">crowded and complex geopolitics</a> of the region, which has negative effects in the Pacific islands.</p>




<p>Samoan Prime Minister Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi warned in <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/speech-hon-prime-minister-tuilaepa-sailele-malielegaoi-pacific-perspectives-new" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">a speech in Sydney</a> last week that the region is “seeing invasion and interest in the form of strategic manipulation”.</p>




<p>“The big powers,” he declared, “are doggedly pursuing strategies to widen and extend their reach and inculcating a far-reaching sense of insecurity.”</p>




<p>The biggest challenge facing Payne was the reality of Australia’s climate change policies. The Boe Declaration identifies climate change as “the single greatest threat to the livelihoods, security and wellbeing of the peoples of the Pacific” and reaffirms forum members’ “commitment to progress the implementation of the Paris Agreement”.</p>




<p>Payne faced a tough job convincing Pacific leaders that Australia is genuinely committed to meaningful action on climate change when her prime minister is a known advocate for coal-fired power and the government refuses to adopt an explicit strategy to meet its Paris Agreement targets.</p>




<p>There is scope for Australia to improve its relationships in the region. For example, the Boe Declaration reaffirms forum members’ commitment to the idea of the “Blue Pacific”, which is intended to highlight the “<a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/programs/the-world/2018-08-31/samoan-pm-hits-out-at-climate-change-sceptics/10185198" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">collective potential of our shared stewardship of the Pacific Ocean”.</a></p>




<p>Australia already does valuable and valued work to help Pacific island states protect their ocean territories through its Pacific Maritime Security Programme, under which it provides patrol boats and personnel to regional states. It’s now looking to bolster that with expanded aerial surveillance, with a particular focus on fisheries and, increasingly, undersea natural resource management.</p>


<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-31938 size-full" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Jacinda-Ardern-Nauru-680wide.png" alt="" width="680" height="503" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Jacinda-Ardern-Nauru-680wide.png 680w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Jacinda-Ardern-Nauru-680wide-300x222.png 300w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Jacinda-Ardern-Nauru-680wide-80x60.png 80w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Jacinda-Ardern-Nauru-680wide-568x420.png 568w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"/>Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern … serenaded at the Pacific Islands Forum in Nauru. Image: RNZ/New Zealand Herald/Pool


<p>The wider understanding of security outlined in the declaration also specifies “humanitarian assistance” as a priority. Australia is already the primary provider of humanitarian and disaster relief (alongside New Zealand), which it can continue and expand.</p>




<p>The declaration identifies “transnational crime” as another priority, an area in which Australia provides significant support and which is likely to be enhanced when the proposed Australia Pacific Security College is established to train security and law enforcement officials.</p>




<p>The declaration specifically mentions the need to “improve coordination among existing security mechanisms”, which is likely to be assisted by Australia’s <a href="https://dfat.gov.au/geo/pacific/engagement/Pages/stepping-up-australias-pacific-engagement.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">proposed Pacific Fusion Centre</a> to connect regional security agencies.</p>




<p>And the declaration highlights the need to promote the “prosperity of Pacific people”, to which Payne’s <a href="https://foreignminister.gov.au/releases/Pages/2018/mp_mr_180904a.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">signing this week in Nauru</a> of agreements with Samoa, Solomon Islands and Vanuatu to join the Pacific Labour Scheme (Kiribati, Nauru and Tuvalu are already members) will hopefully make a contribution.</p>




<p>However, this week’s forum leaders’ meeting again highlighted the counterproductive nature of Australia’s approach to the Pacific islands.</p>




<p>Bishop worked hard to build bridges with the region when she was foreign minister, and was instrumental in formulating Australia’s policy of “stepping up” its engagement with the Pacific islands, but those positive developments are undermined by Australia’s declared policy positions.</p>




<p>While it’s unlikely that Payne (or any Australian leader) will be serenaded by Pacific leaders soon, Australia at least needs to be singing from the same song sheet as the region, particularly when it comes to climate change.</p>




<p><em><strong>Joanne Wallis</strong> is a senior lecturer at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University and the author of <a href="https://www.mup.com.au/books/9780522872248" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">Pacific power? Australia’s strategy in the Pacific Islands</a>.<br /></em></p>




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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>

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