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Conflict

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Selwyn Manning Analysis: Israel clearly saw an opportunity to strike Iran. Here’s the trip-wire…

June 13, 2025

Analysis and Notes by Selwyn Manning: Prep for Radio New Zealand – Israel Strikes Against Iran – June 13, 2025. Listen to the audio from 3:00 minutes in. Over the last 24 hours, the atomic control agency IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) formed a view at its UN Geneva meeting, that there was so-called evidence ... <a title="Selwyn Manning Analysis: Israel clearly saw an opportunity to strike Iran. Here’s the trip-wire…" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/06/13/selwyn-manning-analysis-israel-clearly-saw-an-opportunity-to-strike-iran-heres-the-trip-wire/" aria-label="Read more about Selwyn Manning Analysis: Israel clearly saw an opportunity to strike Iran. Here’s the trip-wire…">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Using Cuba 1962 to explain Trump’s brinkmanship

May 27, 2025

Analysis by Keith Rankin. People of a certain age will be aware that the 1962 Cuba Missile Crisis was, for the world as a whole, the most dangerous moment of the Cold War. The 1962 ‘Battle of Cuba’ was a ‘cold battle’ in the same sense that the Cold War was a ‘cold war’. (Only ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Using Cuba 1962 to explain Trump’s brinkmanship" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/05/27/keith-rankin-analysis-using-cuba-1962-to-explain-trumps-brinkmanship/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Using Cuba 1962 to explain Trump’s brinkmanship">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin on the War in Sudan

May 22, 2025

Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 11 April 2025, AP noted that the two-year-old Civil War in Sudan is regarded by the United Nations as “the world’s worst humanitarian crisis”, though it is grossly underreported (see Wake up: The Worst Humanitarian Crisis on Earth is in Sudan, by Shirley Martey Hargis and Mike Sexton, Third Way ... <a title="Keith Rankin on the War in Sudan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/05/22/keith-rankin-on-the-war-in-sudan/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin on the War in Sudan">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – The Great World War 1914-1945: Germany, Russia, Ukraine

May 2, 2025

Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Anzac Day we remembered World War One and World War Two, or at least the peripheral little bits of those imperial wars that New Zealand was involved in. There was and is little context given to how New Zealand got involved with such far-away wars which need never have become ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – The Great World War 1914-1945: Germany, Russia, Ukraine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/05/02/keith-rankin-analysis-the-great-world-war-1914-1945-germany-russia-ukraine/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – The Great World War 1914-1945: Germany, Russia, Ukraine">Read more</a>

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PODCAST: Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window

December 2, 2024

Regional Conflicts - Political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take as much territory, while a 'Lame-Duck Window' exists in the United States.

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LIVE@12:45pm – Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window

December 2, 2024

The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm December 2, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 6:45pm (USEST). In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning will analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take ... <a title="LIVE@12:45pm – Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/02/live1245pm-conflict-expansion-and-opportunism-within-a-lame-duck-window/" aria-label="Read more about LIVE@12:45pm – Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Ancient Ancestry, Israel and Palestine

September 25, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Esteemed Israeli intellectual Shlomo Sand published The Invention of the Jewish People in 2008 with a new edition in 2020. He sees the popular concept of peoples – popular in the late 19th century (when we were obsessed with ‘race’) and again in the last decade or so when we have ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Ancient Ancestry, Israel and Palestine" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/25/keith-rankin-analysis-ancient-ancestry-israel-and-palestine/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Ancient Ancestry, Israel and Palestine">Read more</a>

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Lynley Hood Opinion – Senator Fulbright must be spinning in his grave

April 26, 2024

Opinion by Lynley Hood. Forty years on from my 1985 Fulbright Grant, my disquiet over the war in Gaza evoked some troubling questions. The answer to my first question – What is the primary purpose of the Fulbright Programme? – was on the Fulbright NZ website. It says: The Fulbright programme was established in 1946 ... <a title="Lynley Hood Opinion – Senator Fulbright must be spinning in his grave" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/04/26/lynley-hood-opinion-senator-fulbright-must-be-spinning-in-his-grave/" aria-label="Read more about Lynley Hood Opinion – Senator Fulbright must be spinning in his grave">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – World War Two: Baddies and Goodies

March 29, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. My earlier article – Can ‘Good’ be the Greater Evil? – looked at the issue of how wars should end, and how Good versus Evil framing of international conflicts makes it difficult for participants – especially those who are convinced they are the Good in an epic battle against an Evil ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – World War Two: Baddies and Goodies" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/29/keith-rankin-analysis-world-war-two-baddies-and-goodies/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – World War Two: Baddies and Goodies">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Asabiyya

January 30, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Peter Turchin, author of End Times, has spent many years researching cliodynamics. His works in the 2000s include Secular Cycles (2009) and War and Peace and War (2007). A central concept in communicating his research is that of asabiyya, a word gifted to us from the renowned North African philosopher and ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Asabiyya" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/30/keith-rankin-analysis-asabiyya/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Asabiyya">Read more</a>

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Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East

January 25, 2024

Analysis by Geoffrey Miller. New Zealand is reshaping its foreign policy via the Middle East. A decision to provide intelligence support for future US and UK airstrikes on Yemen is highly symbolic. The Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, announced the deployment of the New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) troops to support the US-led military response to the attacks ... <a title="Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/01/25/geoffrey-miller-analysis-new-zealands-huge-shift-in-the-middle-east/" aria-label="Read more about Geoffrey Miller Analysis – New Zealand’s huge shift in the Middle East">Read more</a>