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Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?

March 25, 2024

Opinion by Keith Rankin. Do we need real income-tax cuts this year? Probably not. Do we need nominal income-tax cuts? Yes, we do. The government should go ahead with its proposed tax cuts, but only to low and middle income earners. The tax cuts should compensate for the inflationary component of the cost of living ... <a title="Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/25/keith-rankin-opinion-tax-cuts/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Opinion – Tax Cuts?">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan

March 21, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In this article, I will simply present the numbers for the key performance indicators (taken from tradingeconomics.com). And then I’ll give an update on GDP (gross domestic product) data, given today’s data release from Statistics New Zealand, and with the definition of ‘recession’ in mind. An important part of the context ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/21/keith-rankin-analysis-economic-performance-new-zealand-versus-japan/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Economic Performance: New Zealand versus Japan">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession

March 20, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Recessions in the last Ten Years: New Zealand and Japan Tomorrow we will see the latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for New Zealand. It’s worth looking today, however, at what the situation is before that data release (with its revisions as well as new data). And in context by comparing ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/20/keith-rankin-analysis-new-zealand-in-recession/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – New Zealand in Recession">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls

March 19, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) It’s been a tumultuous time in politics in recent months, as the new National-led Government has driven through its “First 100 Day programme”. During this period there’s been a handful of opinion polls, which overall just show a minimal amount of flux in public support for ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/19/bryce-edwards-analysis-scoring-4-6-out-of-10-the-new-government-is-struggling-in-the-polls/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Scoring 4.6 out of 10, the new Government is struggling in the polls">Read more</a>

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China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand

March 18, 2024

Analysis by Geoffrey Miller – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Timing is everything. And from China’s perspective, this week’s visit by its foreign minister to New Zealand could be coming at just the right moment. The visit by Wang Yi to Wellington will be his first since 2017. Anniversaries are important to Beijing. It is more than ... <a title="China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/18/china-foreign-minister-wang-yis-perfectly-timed-aukus-themed-visit-to-new-zealand/" aria-label="Read more about China Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s perfectly-timed, Aukus-themed visit to New Zealand">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes

March 12, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. On Monday morning on RNZ’s Morning Report, Revenue Minister Simon Watts admitted that it was a legitimate option for ‘landlords’ to leave their houses empty. (Refer Revenue Minister on mortgage tax deductions for landlords, RNZ 11 March 2024.) The official narrative of the elite political class is that when tenancies on ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/12/keith-rankin-analysis-empty-rentals-and-investor-friendly-taxes/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Empty Rentals and ‘Investor’-friendly Taxes">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government

March 7, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. In Question Time in Parliament, yesterday, Finance Minister Nicola Willis was asked a question about the extent of the cost of government debt-servicing. The answer, in short, was ‘a lot’; and she mentioned that the cost had been assessed on an interest-only basis. The ensuing round of supplementary questions never got ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/07/keith-rankin-analysis-interest-costs-the-cost-of-living-and-the-cost-of-government/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Interest Costs, the Cost-of-Living, and the Cost-of-Government">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards’ Analysis – Anger at excessive politician pay and entitlements

March 4, 2024

Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz). When the First Labour Government came into office in 1935, the new Prime Minister Michael Joseph Savage was determined not to live a bourgeois, extravagant lifestyle. Being a representative of workers meant to him that he shouldn’t just take on the material comforts of the ruling ... <a title="Bryce Edwards’ Analysis – Anger at excessive politician pay and entitlements" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/03/04/bryce-edwards-analysis-anger-at-excessive-politician-pay-and-entitlements/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards’ Analysis – Anger at excessive politician pay and entitlements">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – NZ elections are being Americanised with “dark money” flowing into campaign groups

February 27, 2024

  Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards – Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) Elections in the United States are dominated by big money. But what isn’t commonly understood is that most of it is raised and spent, not by the political parties and candidates for office, but by special interest groups who run their own election campaigns to ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – NZ elections are being Americanised with “dark money” flowing into campaign groups" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/27/bryce-edwards-analysis-nz-elections-are-being-americanised-with-dark-money-flowing-into-campaign-groups/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – NZ elections are being Americanised with “dark money” flowing into campaign groups">Read more</a>

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Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis

February 26, 2024

  Analysis by Dr Bryce Edwards: Democracy Project (https://democracyproject.nz) The Labour Party’s fortunes go from bad to worse. Ever since the party was turfed out of power in October, incurring its biggest-ever loss, the party has shown no real sign of learning any lessons from its defeat, nor does it show any capacity to revive ... <a title="Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/26/bryce-edwards-analysis-forwarded-this-email-subscribe-here-for-more-labours-worst-week-highlights-its-existential-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Bryce Edwards Analysis – Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Labour’s worst week highlights its existential crisis">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns

February 13, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin Generally, more people die in winter. Not surprising, though some years have significantly more deaths than others, and the timing of ‘peak death’ each year varies between the wintery months. These charts show the deaths, determined from weekly data, of people named Smith, New Zealand’s most common surname last century. The ... <a title="Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/13/keith-rankin-chart-analysis-new-zealand-post-war-mortality-seasonal-patterns/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Chart Analysis – New Zealand Post-War Mortality: Seasonal Patterns">Read more</a>

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Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’

February 1, 2024

Analysis by Keith Rankin. Collectiveness at it most potent has been called asabiyya by macrohistorian and cliodynamicist Peter Turchin. At its least potent, collectiveness is a recipe for social division, top-heaviness, escalating inequality, and societal breakdown. The present ‘debates’ in Aotearoa New Zealand – ostensibly about Te Tiriti, the Treaty of Waitangi – represent a ... <a title="Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/02/01/keith-rankin-analysis-collective-versus-individual-maori-versus-maoris/" aria-label="Read more about Keith Rankin Analysis – Collective versus Individual: Māori versus ‘Maoris’">Read more</a>