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Labor and Albanese take a hit in post-Bondi Resolve poll

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Despite fallout from the expenses scandal and Bondi, Labor still holds a 54–46 lead in Resolve, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have slumped. Newspoll analysis has One Nation’s surge concentrated with voters of lower educational attainment.

A special national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted after the Bondi attacks on December 17–20 from a sample of 1,010 (well below the normal Resolve sample size of 1,800), gave Labor a 54–46 lead by respondent preferences, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the regular early December Resolve poll.

Primary votes were 32% Labor (down three), 28% Coalition (up two), 16% One Nation (up two), 12% Greens (up one), 8% independents (steady) and 4% others (down two). By 2025 election preference flows, Labor would have led by under 54–46, about a 2.5-point gain for the Coalition.

Albanese’s net approval slumped 15 points to -9, the lowest it has been in this poll since the May election, with 49% giving him a poor rating and 40% a good rating. Sussan Ley’s net approval also fell seven points to -4. Albanese led Ley as preferred PM by 38–30 (41–26 in early December).

There had been stories about the expenses scandal in the week before the Bondi attacks, and the Morgan poll below had Labor dropping on the expenses scandal. It’s not clear whether Albanese and Labor were damaged by the expenses, Bondi or both.

By 46–29, respondents in Resolve thought the federal government’s response to Bondi was weak rather than strong. By 37–30, they thought social cohesion was good rather than poor.

By 72–9, respondents thought there had been a rise in racism in Australia as a result of the Israel-Gaza conflict (69–12 when this question was last asked in January 2025). By 55–13, they thought there had been more antisemitism than Islamophobia in recent months (54–9 last January).

On gun laws, 76% wanted them to be toughened, 10% kept as they are and just 6% thought they should be relaxed. Four of five proposals for toughening gun laws had over 80% support, with “restrict gun licences to Australian citizens” the exception at 72% support.

Asked to pick two priorities for the government, 49% selected preventing terrorism, 45% tackling crime generally, 35% restricting access to guns, 33% preventing extremism, 29% tackling antisemitism and 26% tackling hate speech.

By 66–9, respondents thought Australia needs stronger laws to ban hate speech on the basis of religion and faith. The most popular proposal for tackling antisemitism was tougher immigration screening to identify antisemitic views (76–7 support). Holding a Royal Commission was at 48–17 support.

In the small New South Wales subsample of around 300 voters, Labor Premier Chris Minns’ net likeability jumped eight points since November to +22.

In a post-Bondi YouGov national poll that was conducted December 15–22 from a sample of 1,509, 44% wanted personal guns like those used in the attacks made illegal, 48% wanted tighter gun laws and just 8% wanted no change to gun laws. By 81–19, respondents thought Ahmed al Ahmed, who disarmed one of the Bondi gunmen, deserved to be made Australian of the Year.

Labor slides in Morgan poll after expenses scandal

Morgan released its November 17 to December 14 national poll broken into two periods. For the first three weeks, November 17 to December 7, Labor had a 56–44 lead, similar to the 56.5–43.5 Labor lead in October to November.

For the last week, December 8–14 with a one-week sample of 1,574, Labor’s lead dropped to 54.5–45.5 by respondent preferences, a 1.5-point gain for the Coalition from weeks 1–3.

Primary votes were 30.5% Labor (down 2.5), 27.5% Coalition (up 1.5), 17% One Nation (up two), 13% Greens (down 0.5) and 12% for all Others (down 0.5). By 2025 election preference flows, Labor would have led by about 53–47, the lowest Labor lead by this measure of any poll since the last election.

The Redbridge poll suggested Labor had not been damaged by the expenses claims, but this poll contradicts that. All interviews were conducted before the Bondi attacks.




Read more:
Labor maintains dominant lead in Redbridge poll despite expenses claims


The full four-week poll had a sample of 4,862. In state and demographic breakdowns, the Coalition regained the lead in Queensland by 50.5–49.5, but Labor led in the other five states. Labor led by 58.5–41.5 with women and 52.5–47.5 with men.

Labor led by 69.5–30.5 with those aged 18–34 and by 58.5–41.5 with those aged 35–49. The Coalition made its biggest gains with those aged 50–64 to lead by 50.5–49.5, a 4.5-point swing to the Coalition. The Coalition led with those aged 65 and over by 54.5–45.5. One Nation’s highest support was with those aged 50–64 (20.5%) and they had 22% in Queensland.

Newspoll aggregate data for September to November

The Australian released aggregate data for the three national Newspolls conducted between September 29 and November 20 on December 26. The total sample size was 3,774, with Labor holding an overall 57–43 lead. These polls were taken before the expenses scandal and Bondi.

Labor led by 58–42 in NSW, (a two-point gain for the Coalition since the September quarter Newspoll aggregate according to The Poll Bludger), 60–40 in Victoria (a two-point gain for Labor), 52–48 in Queensland (a one-point gain for Labor), 56–44 in Western Australia (a two-point gain for Labor) and 58–42 in South Australia (a three-point gain for Labor).

Among those without a tertiary education, primary votes were 30% Labor (down two), 26% Coalition (down six), 20% One Nation (up nine) and 14% Greens (up one), for an unchanged 53–47 Labor lead. With TAFE educated, primary votes were 35% Labor (down two), 24% Coalition (down one), 19% One Nation (up seven) and 9% Greens (steady) for a 54–46 Labor lead (a three-point gain for the Coalition).

However, with the university educated, primary votes were 41% Labor (up three), 26% Coalition (down three), 13% Greens (down two) and 6% One Nation (up one), for a 62–38 Labor lead (a two-point gain for Labor).

Resolve likeabilty poll

Resolve’s poll of net likeability of federal politicians was taken in early December, before Bondi and the expenses scandal. Only two politicians had negative net likeability: Lidia Thorpe (-12) and Barnaby Joyce (-4).

Net likeability of prominent Labor politicians were Chris Bowen (net zero), Murray Watt (+4), Jim Chalmers (+5), Richard Marles (+6), Tony Burke (+7), Tanya Plibersek (+9) and Penny Wong (+11). David Pocock and Jacqui Lambie were on top with both at +15. Greens leader Larissa Waters was at +5.

One Nation leader Pauline Hanson’s net likeability increased 16 points since December 2024 to +3, but was down five points since November. Joyce’s net likeability was up 18 since December 2024 and up four since November. Thorpe’s net likeability surged 29 points since December 2024.

Only one politician suffered a fall in net likeability since December 2024: Liberal Jacinta Price was down five points to +3.

Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Labor and Albanese take a hit in post-Bondi Resolve poll – https://theconversation.com/labor-and-albanese-take-a-hit-in-post-bondi-resolve-poll-272266

Meet the Puzzleman of New Zealand

Source: Radio New Zealand

A quirky shop run by Northland’s Puzzleman is itself something of a puzzle.

How does a small business, selling a niche product in an out-of-the-way town of a few hundred souls, survive for half a century – especially in these tough economic times?

Louis “Puzzleman” Toorenburg has a simple answer.

Toorenburg with the Nintendo Challenge Dice, the puzzle that sparked his obsession.

RNZ / Peter de Graaf

Government orders review into ManageMyHealth data breach

Source: Radio New Zealand

Health Minister Simeon Brown. RNZ / Mark Papalii

Health Minister Simeon Brown has commissioned a review by the Ministry of Health into the response to the cyber security breach involving patient information on ManageMyHealth.

In a statement, Brown said patient data is incredibly personal and whether it is held by a public agency or a private company, it must be protected to the highest of standards.

“I have decided to commission the Ministry of Health to lead a review of the ManageMyHealth and Health New Zealand’s response.”

The minister has written to the Director-General of Health asking that the review will commence by the end of the month.

ManageMyHealth had identified all the patients who have had their health records stolen – but cannot yet say when they will all be told.

The group, calling themselves “Kazu”, have threatened to release more than 400,000 unless a ransom is paid.

A spokesperson for ManageMyHealth said it had identified all those affected, and hoped to have an update later in the week once all the communications with GPs and affected patients had been coordinated with the Ministry of Health, Health NZ, Privacy Commissioner and GPNZ.

“We are not waiting to determine who is affected – we know.”

The company was working to provide “a timeframe for communications” by Tuesday.

Because the health documents originated from multiple sources, there were many different agencies with obligations under the Privacy Act and the Health Information Privacy Code to notify affected individuals.

“This requires coordination to ensure we meet our legal obligations and do not create confusion for patients by having different organisations contact them separately about the same incident.”

Meanwhile, an independent forensic investigation was currently underway, and it would “not be appropriate to comment” on specific technical matters while that was ongoing.

“What we can confirm is that we became aware of this incident on 30 December when we were notified by a partner, and we notified the relevant authorities that same day. The specific vulnerability that allowed unauthorised access has been identified, patched, and independently verified by external cybersecurity specialists.”

‘Big wakeup call’

Brown earlier said the cyber breach of the country’s largest patient information portal was a “big wakeup call”, telling Morning Report he was incredibly concerned.

“It’s a deeply serious situation,” he said.

“I’ve been briefed a number of times by health officials who are working very closely with ManageMyHealth in regard to the notification process.”

He said ManageMyHealth was also working with the Privacy Commissioner and the National Cyber Security Centre, who were providing them with advice around the notification process.

Brown said his expectation was that they do it as quickly as possible, but they also had to do it accurately as well, and in compliance with the Privacy Act.

“There’s a number of processes they have to go through. My expectation is that they do that as quickly as possible so that patients who have had data breached are aware of that and of what data has been breached,” he said.

Brown said the advice he’s received was that the cyber hackers had only released a very small portion of data as part of their attempt in order to receive a ransom payment.

There was a forensic process underway at the moment to go through and identify who’s been impacted and then the process of notification, which is what Manage My Health was doing, he said.

Brown said the group were using hacked information in order to receive a financial reward, but they did not know where they were operating from.

“The reality is that here is a big wakeup call in terms of the protection of private health data and their need for that to be held in the most secure form possible so that patients can have confidence in how it is being used,” he said.

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Person dies after single-vehicle crash closes road in Rolleston

Source: Radio New Zealand

A person has died after a crash in Rolleston on Monday.

Emergency services were called to the single-vehicle crash on Jones Road shortly after 7.45am.

The driver died at the scene.

Jones Road remained closed.

Motorists were advised to avoid the area and expect delays.

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Summer returns: Temperatures could reach 30s this week

Source: Radio New Zealand

Warmer, more settled weather should give rain-soaked parts of the country a chance to dry out following a weekend of heavy rainfalls and flooding in northern regions, MetService says.

At the weekend, a low pressure system brought heavy rain and thunderstorms to northern parts of the country causing surface flooding and powercuts in some areas.

Meteorologist Mmathapelo Makgabutlane said temperatures across the country would return to “more summer like” levels this week.

“A nice summery and warm week ahead. Temperatures in the low to mid 20s for most of the country – even the high 20s and possibly in the 30s – by the end of the week and that’s particularly for eastern parts of the country,” Makgabutlane said

Makgabutlane said a ridge of high pressure would keep conditions stable – with partly cloudy skies – for much of the week although a front could bring some rain to the lower South Island as the week progressed.

“Midweek we do have a front that passes the lower part of the South Island, so some rain expected down there, and then later on this week we could see a picking up in the winds as well,” Makgabutlane said.

She said the low pressure system responsible for much of the rain over the weekend was moving away to the northeast of the country and the summery conditions should give some of the worst affected parts of the country time to dry out.

“This week in the eastern North Island – especially Hawke’s Bay and Tai Rāwhiti /Gisborne – the first part of the week we will see much drier conditions. We will still have the odd shower moving through but hopefully nothing as heavy as what we saw over the weekend,” Makgabutlane said.

She said the end of the week would see a new weather system bringing an increase in wind and rain to the South Island.

“At this point it does like there could be a bit of rain on the way especially for the South Island and then eventually reaching the North Island early next week.

“So – for this week – we enjoy the warm and summery temperatures,” Makgabutlane said.

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US attack on Venezuela ‘clearly illegal’ under UN charter, says former NZ prime minister Helen Clark

RNZ News

There is no doubt that Donald Trump’s attack on Venezuela was illegal, former prime minister and UN leader Helen Clark says.

Over the weekend, the US attacked the Venezuelan capital Caracas and captured the South American nation’s president and his wife, citing alleged drug offences.

Nicolás Maduro is now being held in a federal jail in New York City, and is expected to appear in court this week.

This image was posted on US President Donald Trump’s Truth Social account on 3 January 2026, showing Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro onboard the USS Iwo Jima after the US military kidnapped him. Image: X@TruthTrumpPost

Speaking to RNZ’s Morning Report, Clark said there was no argument for the steps the US had taken.

“Article 24 of the UN Charter says states must refrain from using military force against each other and respect their sovereignty.

“There is a case for Maduro appearing before a court — that should be the International Criminal Court — on charges for crimes against humanity and there’s quite a long list of those that have been documented by various UN bodies over the years but this operation by the US . . .  is illegal.”

There was not an argument to be made that removing Maduro was in the security interests on the US, she said.

‘Not self-defence’
“There’s no evidence that the US was able to act in self-defence because it was not about to be attacked by Venezuela. So the self-defence argument does not apply at all.”

While some people in Venezuela were celebrating Maduro’s capture in the hopes it would create more stability, Clark said this might not be the case.

“The worry with the president of other such interventions, when you take out a leader of an apparatus and then if you try to dismantle that apparatus by external forces, as was the case with Iraq — and I suppose, to some extent, with Libya — is that you create more instability and chaos,” Clark said.

“We don’t really know at this point what the US’s even short-term, let alone medium-term plans are. There’s been, effectively a warning by President Trump this morning that if the acting president, Ms Rodriguez, doesn’t play ball, she will ‘pay a price even bigger than Maduro’.

“What does this mean? Will she be literally, physically taken out? Killed? So this is a very unstable, unpredictable, uncertain situation at the moment.”

On Sunday, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters made the first public statement from New Zealand on the situation.

“New Zealand is concerned by and actively monitoring developments in Venezuela and expects all parties to act in accordance with international law,” Peters said in a post on X (formerly Twitter), using the official Minister of Foreign Affairs account.

NZ ‘stands with Venezuelan people’
“New Zealand stands with the Venezuelan people in their pursuit of a fair, democratic and prosperous future.

Clark said the statement was a “good start”.

New Zealand was known for following and upholding international law and Peters’ statement was consistent with the country’s long-held position, she said.

On Sunday, international relations Professor Robert Patman of the University of Otago described the US’ military actions against Venezuela as an “audacious move”.

“It’s a direct challenge for countries like New Zealand, which support the view that international relations should be based on rules, procedures and laws,” he told RNZ’s Worldwatch.

Patman said while many would be pleased to see Maduro gone, that did not mean they would be happy the US “violated Venezuela’s sovereignty”.

He believed New Zealand’s response to the US action in Venezuela should be firm and robust.

This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Road closed after serious crash on State Highway 24 in Waikato

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / REECE BAKER

Emergency Services are reporting serious injuries after a two-vehicle crash on State Highway 24 in Waikato, south of Matamata.

Police were called to the scene on Tauranga Road about 9.45am.

The road was closed near Old Te Aroha Road and motorists were advised to avoid the area or expect delays.

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Ground search for missing tramper near Lake Ōhau continues

Source: Radio New Zealand

20-year-old Connor Purvis. Supplied / NZ Police

A search for a tramper who has been missing for almost a week near Lake Ōhau in the Mackenzie Basin is continuing.

There has been no sign of 20-year-old Connor Purvis since he went to climb Mt Huxley on Tuesday last week.

Police said the Search and Rescue and Alpine Cliff Rescue teams were continuing the search on the ground on Monday.

Purvis has red hair and a handlebar moustache and police are urging anyone with information to get in contact.

On Sunday, Otago coastal search and rescue co-ordinator Sergeant Matt Sheat said helicopters were scouring the area.

Connor Purvis has red hair and a handlebar moustache. Supplied / NZ Police

They have been looking through huts and camp sites but have found no sign of Purvis.

“We ask anyone who has climbed Mt Huxley or has been tramping or hunting in the Huxley River South Branch between 28 December and 2 January to make contact with Police if they haven’t already,” Sheat said.

“We also want to hear from anyone who may have seen or spoken to Connor in the South Temple, Ahuriri or Huxley valleys in that same timeframe.

“It’s a large-scale search over a large area, and the smallest piece of information could make all the difference.”

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Get your finances sorted in 2026: Set a budget

Source: Radio New Zealand

If you’re setting financial goals for the new year, just make sure they are realistic and doable. 123RF

If 2026 is the year you get your money life sorted, you may be wondering where to begin. In this five-part series, money correspondent Susan Edmunds guides you through the basics. First up: Setting a budget and putting goals in place.

Is getting your finances in order top of your New Year’s resolutions?

It’s been a tough few years for lots of households, with cost of living pressures piling on and employment uncertainty.

If you’re aiming to get on track again this year, setting a budget and goals is a great place to start. They can work together to get you where you want to be.

Here are some things to ponder.

What are your goals?

It is often helpful to start thinking about what you want to achieve and breaking your goals down to things that can be done in the short term, and those that might take a bit longer.

Short-term goals might be things like a holiday in a couple of months, while longer-term might be saving a house deposit or for your retirement.

Make sure your goals are clear and achievable, that you can tick off progress towards.

They need to be measurable so you know when you’ve achieved them or are closer to them. Save $50 a week, for example, rather than “save more”. Celebrate your wins along the way to keep you motivated.

It helps to know why you’ve chosen the goals, too.

Doing something just because you think you should is a lot less motivating than doing it because it’s going to improve your life or make you happier.

Liz Koh, financial coach at Enrich Retirement, says setting goals first and then thinking about making them happen is a useful “top down” approach that is more likely to result in behavioural change.

That’s important because, for lots of us, it’s the behavioural change that needs to happen to help us stick to a budget.

Koh recommends focusing on goals that are small steps.

“One of the biggest mistakes people make is trying to get ahead too quickly. Money is an important part of life that serves a multitude of purposes. It is not something you can do without.

“For the same reason that you can’t reach your goal weight on an overnight diet or suddenly become as fit as an Olympic athlete, you can’t go from being broke to being seriously wealthy in a short space of time.

“The first lesson in changing your relationship with money is to set attainable goals that reflect the reality of your current financial situation. It is better to take small steps and be successful than to set unrealistic goals and fail. Achieving small steps may give you the confidence to gradually take bigger steps. If you have never been able to save, trying saving just a small amount each week and increase the amount over time.”

Budget

Your budget can be a tool to help you get to the goals, because it’ll give you a clear picture of what’s going on.

This is where you will be able to work out whether you can free up money to put towards your goals.

Tom Hartmann, personal finance spokesperson at Sorted, says people either do a budget to make what they are already doing work, or to try to do something different.

Either way, it often helps to draw up a budget showing your current situation: How much is coming in, what’s going on, what you’re spending money on. Then you can see what can be adjusted.

You can usually get a good idea of what’s been happening by looking at previous bank statements. Some banks have apps that track your spending to do this for you.

“We’re creatures of routine, we keep going back to the same places, spending the same amounts, especially over a given year,” Hartmann said.

“If you download your statements over a year, where you’re spending money is the usual suspects.”

If you want to save money, or find a surplus to start investing, you should be able to use your budget to identify areas that can be trimmed. You could also look at how your budget would work with different levels of KiwiSaver contribution.

Sorted has a budget planner that might help, and there are also apps that can guide you.

“If you find you’re spending less than you earn, which is a really good thing, you can use that budget to work out how much you can save each time you’re paid and flow it to what you want, that idea of paying yourself first.,” Hartmann said.

“If it’s the opposite and you’re spending more than you earn, living on debt or credit cards, you can use the budget to see where any extra money you might have is going and find a way to spend less or earn more.”

If your budget shows money is really tight and there is no surplus to speak of, you might be able to use it to identify the pressure points and areas where change could be most effective.

Don’t rewrite your budget to be overly harsh, though. If you restrict yourself too much, it can be hard to stick to.

Koh recommends people keep aside some funds for the important things – even if that’s only what’s most important to you.

“You will have a much more enjoyable life if your money is spent on things that really matter to you. Look at what you can cut back on without depriving yourself. Redirect spending from trivial or unimportant items to a savings account for spending on the stuff that matters. Only you can decide what is important about money to you. There is no right and wrong when it comes to choosing what you spend money on so long as you understand the consequences of your choices,” Koh said.

Hartmann says a budget is a valuable tool but only part of the planning picture. “What are you going to use the tool to do? Your budget is a spending plan.”

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Man charged after hit and run in Hamilton

Source: Radio New Zealand

Hamilton District Court. RNZ / Cole Eastham-Farrelly

A person has been charged over a hit and run in Hamilton which left one person seriously injured.

A 34-year-old man is due to appear in Hamilton District Court on Monday, charged with wounding with intent to cause grievous bodily harm.

Police said they were alerted after a person was hit by a vehicle on Raymond Street shortly after 3pm on Sunday.

Officers tracked a car heading towards Tauranga using traffic cameras – and it was stopped in Tauriko, police said.

Two people from the vehicle were arrested.

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US attack on Venezuela clearly illegal under UN charter – Helen Clark

Source: Radio New Zealand

Former NZ Prime Minister Helen Clark. AFP / Kena Betancur

There is no doubt that Donald Trump’s attack on Venezuela was illegal, former prime minister and UN leader Helen Clark says.

Over the weekend, the US attacked the Venezuelan capital Caracas and captured the South American nation’s president and his wife, citing alleged drug offences.

Nicolás Maduro is now being held in a federal jail in New York City, and is expected to appear in court this week.

This image posted on US President Donald Trump’s Truth Social account on January 3, 2026, shows what President Trump says is Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro onboard the USS Iwo Jima after the US military captured him on January 3, 2026. AFP/SUPPLIED

Speaking to Morning Report, Clark said there was no argument for the steps the US had taken.

“Article 24 of the UN charter says states must refrain from using military force against each other an respect their sovereignty.

“There is a case for Maduro appearing before a court – that should be the International Criminal Court – on charges for crimes against humanity and there’s quite a long list of those that have been documented by various UN bodies over the years but this operation by the US … is illegal.”

There was not an argument to be made that removing Maduro was in the security interests on the US, she said.

“There’s no evidence that the US was able to act in self-defence because it was not about to be attacked by Venezuela. So the self defence argument does not apply at all.”

While some people in Venezuela were celebrating Maduro’s capture in the hopes it would create more stability, Clark said this might not be the case.

“The worry with the president of other such interventions, when you take out a leader of an apparatus and then if you try to dismantle that apparatus by external forces, as was the case with Iraq – and I suppose, to some extent, with Libya – is that you create more instability and chaos,” Clark said.

“We don’t really know at this point what the US’s even short-term, let alone medium-term plans are. There’s been, effectively a warning by President Trump this morning that if the acting president, Ms Rodriguez, doesn’t play ball, she will ‘pay a price even bigger than Maduro’.

“What does this mean? Will she be literally, physically taken out? Killed? So this is a very unstable, unpredictable, uncertain situation at the moment.”

On Sunday, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters made the first public statement from New Zealand on the situation.

“New Zealand is concerned by and actively monitoring developments in Venezuela and expects all parties to act in accordance with international law,” Peters said in a post on X (formerly Twitter), using the official Minister of Foreign Affairs account.

“New Zealand stands with the Venezuelan people in their pursuit of a fair, democratic and prosperous future.

Clark said the statement was a “good start”.

New Zealand was known for following and upholding international law and Peters’ statement was consistent with the country’s long-held position, she said.

On Sunday, International relations Professor Robert Patman of the University of Otago described the US’ military actions against Venezuela as an audacious move.

“It’s a direct challenge for countries like New Zealand, which support the view that international relations should be based on rules, procedures and laws,” he told RNZ’s Worldwatch.

Patman said while many would be pleased to see Maduro gone, that did not mean they would be happy the US “[violated] Venezuela’s sovereignty”.

He believed New Zealand’s response to the US action in Venezuela should be firm and robust.

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Trump attacked Venezuela and arrested its president. Is that legal?

Source: Radio New Zealand

By Aaron Blake, CNN

Fire at Fuerte Tiuna, Venezuela’s largest military complex, is seen from a distance after a series of explosions in Caracas on January 3, 2026. The United States military was behind a series of strikes against the Venezuelan capital Caracas on Saturday. CNN/SUPPLIED

Analysis – On 2 November, White House chief of staff Susie Wiles told Vanity Fair that land strikes in Venezuela would require the approval of Congress. She said that if Trump “were to authorise some activity on land, then it’s war, then [we’d need] Congress”.

Days later, Trump administration officials privately told members of Congress much the same thing – that they lacked the legal justification to support attacks against any land targets in Venezuela.

Just two months later, though, the Trump administration has done what it previously indicated it couldn’t.

It launched what Trump called a “large scale strike against Venezuela” and captured its president, Nicolás Maduro, to face charges. And it launched this regime change effort without the approval of Congress.

(Trump in November claimed he didn’t need congressional authorisation for land action, but it clearly wasn’t the consensus view in the administration.)

US President Donald Trump and US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth look on as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine (out of frame) speaks to the press following US military actions in Venezuela. CNN/SUPPLIED

It appears the mission is, for now, limited to removing Maduro. But as Trump noted, it did involve striking inside the country – the same circumstance some in the administration previously indicated required authorization that it didn’t have. CNN reported back in early November that the administration was seeking a new legal opinion from the Justice Department for such strikes.

And Trump in a news conference Saturday spoke repeatedly about not just arresting Maduro, but also running Venezuela and taking over its oil – comments that could certainly be understood to suggest this was about more than arresting Maduro.

Legally dubious strikes inside another country – even ones narrowly tailored at removing a foreign leaders – are hardly unheard of in recent American history. But even in that context, this one is remarkable.

Shifting justifications

That’s because the Trump administration has taken remarkably little care to offer a consistent set of justifications or a legal framework for the attack. And it doesn’t even appear to have notified Congress ahead of time, which is generally the bare minimum in such circumstances.

A full explanation of the claimed justification has yet to be issued, but the early signs are characteristically confusing.

Republican Sen Mike Lee of Utah said shortly after the strikes that Secretary of State Marco Rubio told him the attack was needed to, in Lee’s words, “protect and defend those executing the arrest warrant” against Maduro.

“This action likely falls within the president’s inherent authority under Article II of the Constitution to protect US personnel from an actual or imminent attack,” said Lee, a frequent critic of unauthorized foreign military action.

Hours later, Vice President JD Vance echoed that line.

“And PSA for everyone saying this was ‘illegal’: Maduro has multiple indictments in the United States for narcoterrorism,” Vance said on X. “You don’t get to avoid justice for drug trafficking in the United States because you live in a palace in Caracas.”

At a later news conference, Rubio echoed the line that the military had been supporting “a law enforcement function”.

But there are many people living in other countries that are under indictment in the United States; it is not the US government’s usual course to launch strikes on foreign countries to bring them to justice.

President of Venezuela Nicolás Maduro participates in a civic-military rally in Caracas, Venezuela, on November 25, 2025. CNN/SUPPLIED

The administration also hadn’t previously indicated that military force could be legally used for this reason.

Initially, Trump threatened land strikes inside Venezuela to target drug traffickers – this despite Venezuela being an apparently somewhat small player in the drug-trafficking game.

Later, the administration suggested strikes might be needed because Venezuela sent bad people into the United States.

And then, after initially downplaying the role of oil in the US pressure campaign against Venezuela and Maduro, Trump said he aimed to reclaim “the oil, land, and other assets that they previously stole from us”.

The signals were confusing enough that even the hawkish Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina in mid-December indicated the administration lacked “clarity” in its messaging.

“I want clarity right here,” Graham said. “President Trump is saying his days are numbered. That seems to me that he’s gotta go. If it’s the goal of taking him out because he’s a threat to our country, then say it. And what happens next? Don’t you think most people want to know that?”

Leading countries by crude oil reserves, 2023 (billions of barrels). Note: Data excludes oil sands, which are mainly exploited by Canada. OPEC/CNN

Despite the focus on the law enforcement operation on Saturday, Trump at the news conference said the United States would now participate in running Venezuela, at least temporarily. And he repeatedly spoke about its oil.

“We’re going to rebuild the oil infrastructure,” Trump said, adding at another point: “We’re going to run the country right.”

And even if the administration had offered a more consistent justification, that doesn’t mean it would be an appropriate one.

A controversial 1989 memo

The most recent major example of using the US military for regime change is, of course, the war in Iraq. That war was authorized by Congress in 2002. The broader war on terror was authorized by Congress in 2001, after the 9/11 attacks.

Since then, administrations have sought to justify several military actions in the Middle East using those authorisations – sometimes dubiously. But Venezuela is in an entirely different theater.

While many have compared the effort in Venezuela to Iraq, the better comparison – and one the administration apparently intends to make – is Panama in 1989.

Like in Venezuela, Panama’s leader at the time, Manuel Noriega, was under US indictment, including for drug-trafficking. And like in Venezuela, the operation was less a large-scale war than a narrowly tailored effort to remove the leader from power.

The Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel in 1980 had concluded that the FBI didn’t have the authority to apprehend and abduct a foreign national to face justice. But George HW Bush administration’s OLC quietly reversed that in the summer of 1989.

A memo written by William P. Barr, who would later become attorney general in that Bush administration and Trump’s first administration, said a president had “inherent constitutional authority” to order the FBI to take people into custody in foreign countries, even if it violated international law to do so.

That memo was soon used to justify the operation to remove Noriega. (As it happens, Noriega was captured the same day Maduro was: January 3,1990.)

But that memo remains controversial to this day. It’s also an extraordinarily broad grant of authority, potentially allowing US military force anywhere.

Pedestrians walk past destroyed containers lay at La Guaira port after explosions were heard in Venezuela, Saturday, 3 January 2026. CNN/SUPPLIED

And the situation in Venezuela could differ in that it’s a larger country that could prove tougher to control with its leader in foreign custody. It also has significant oil wealth, meaning other countries could take an interest in what happens there next. (China has called the attack a “blatant use of force against a sovereign state.”)

In both the news conference and an interview with Fox News on Saturday morning, Trump invoked the possibility of further military option, reinforcing that this could be about more than just arresting Maduro.

That also means the questions about Trump’s legal authorities could again be tested – just as he’s already tested them with his legally dubious strikes on alleged drug boats and other actions in the region.

What’s clear is that Trump is seeking to yet again test the limits of his authority as president – and Americans’ tolerance for it. But this time he’s doing it on one of the biggest stages yet. And the story of his stretching of the law certainly isn’t over.

– CNN

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Busy intersection on Auckland’s North Shore reopens after incident

Source: Radio New Zealand

File photo. RNZ / Tim Brown

A busy intersection on Auckland’s North Shore has reopened on Monday morning.

Emergency services were responding to an earlier incident on Wairau Road.

The intersection of Wairau Road and Forrest Hill Road was closed as a result.

Police thanked motorists for their understanding while the situation was resolved.

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Road closed in Rolleston following serious crash

Source: Radio New Zealand

There are serious injuries following a crash in Rolleston.

In a statement, police said Jones Road was closed following the single-vehicle crash, reported at 7.45am on Monday morning.

“Initial indications are that there are serious injuries,” the statement said.

“Motorists are advised to avoid the area and expect delays.”

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Breakers lose at home as finals hopes take a hit

Source: Radio New Zealand

Breakers coach Petteri Koponen in the huddle. www.photosport.nz

The New Zealand Breakers finals hopes were dealt a blow as they fell to a 99-91 loss to the Perth Wildcats in Auckland.

The Breakers are now in eighth place in the NBL standings with eight wins and 14 defeats. The Breakers are three wins behind the Tasmania JackJumpers, who sit in the sixth and last playoff spot with 11 games remaining.

The Breakers were back home at Spark Arena for the first time 6 December and playing their first game since beating the Tasmania JackJumpers on Boxing Day, but they were playing catch up the whole way.

While the Wildcats could never quite shake off the Breakers, they did have the answers any time the home team challenged including putting up 32 points in the third quarter on the way to the eventual eight-point win.

Kristian Doolittle finished with 21 points, three rebounds and three assists for Perth with Jo Lual-Acuil Jr adding 20 points, six boards and three assists, and Dylan Windler 17 points and 10 rebounds.

Sam Mennenga of the Breakers © Photosport Ltd 2025 www.photosport.nz

After leading by double digits in the third quarter, the Wildcats were briefly overtaken in the fourth before going back in front following a period of defensive pressure in which the Breakers missing 10 straight shots at one point.

Breakers coach Petteri Koponen said their defence let them down.

“It was crazy to have a chance tonight,” Koponen said.

“How we were not able to play defence and how they shot the ball. Perth played with their efficiency, how they shot the ball and found all their guys. They were on tonight and you have to give credit to them. They played really good game.”

The Wildcats hit 10/21 from three-point range on the way to shooting 56 percent from the field overall while winning the rebound battle 40-29 to move to 13-10 (4-6 at home, 9-4 away).

Doolittle was also switched onto Breakers superstar guard Parker Jackson-Cartwright in the second half and was instrumental in his tough outing finishing with 10 points on 5/14 shooting with five turnovers despite seven rebounds, six assists and three steals.

Sam Mennenga top-scored for the Breakers with 19 points and three rebounds with Carlin Davison scoring 14 points and two steals and Tai Webster, in his first game against his former team, finishing with with eight points, three rebounds, three steals and two assists.

The Breakers remain at home to host the Sydney Kings on Friday night while the Wildcats take on the South East Melbourne Phoenix in Melbourne on Saturday night.

“Sydney is going to give us great challenge with how they play defence, with their physicality,” Koponen said.

“They got one of the best defences in the league. Last time we met them, we were able to take the win and that’s when Parker won the game for us in the last quarter.

“It’s going to be challenge, but we keep working our things and improve from there.”

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Wairau Road and Forrest Hill Road intersection closed on Auckland’s North Shore

Source: Radio New Zealand

File photo. RNZ / Tim Brown

A busy intersection on Auckland’s North Shore has been closed on Monday morning.

Emergency services were responding to an incident on Wairau Road.

The intersection of Wairau Road and Forrest Hill Road was closed.

Motorists were asked to take alternative routes until further notice.

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Untold: The rich aunt, Wimbledon and the inventor husband

Source: Radio New Zealand

Marjorie Bain was the first NZ woman to compete at Wimbledon in 1922. Supplied

In 1922 Marjorie Bain set sail on the trip of a life-time to the motherland, became the first woman to represent New Zealand at Wimbledon, and spent a magical winter on continental Europe.

But when her year’s leave was up she wasn’t ready to return to New Zealand, and eloped with an Australian she met on the grass courts.

She was the envy of her friends, but little did they know the hardships she would come to face before she was rescued from poverty, and returned to New Zealand 13 years later.

Unfortunately Tennis NZ archives are sporadic at best and Marjorie’s Wimbledon appearance is not widely known but it’s what happened to her after the prestigious tournament that really shaped her.

Marjorie’s granddaughter Penny O’Connell said details had been pieced together over the years.

Marjorie Helen Bain was born in 1897 and grew up in Christchurch, where her family were of modest means but in the background was a wealthy widowed aunt, who lived in Queensland.

Marjorie flourished at tennis, playing for Christchurch Girls’ High, Canterbury University, and at the national lawn championships.

In her twilight years, Marjorie wrote a book for her family, full of her memories, and recounted going to Auckland to see US Davis Cup players compete against New Zealand “and our own Anthony Wilding who was so soon to be killed in France.”

Anthony Wilding (middle) in 1914; one of NZs greatest sportsmen. He was a world No.1 player and considered the world’s first tennis superstar.

Marjorie wrote about the black influenza that swept through New Zealand after the first World War ended.

The rich aunt

In 1922 the rich aunt offered to take Marjorie on the trip of a lifetime to England and continental Europe. She was in her mid 20s and her two sisters were married, so Marjorie was the obvious choice.

The aunt’s husband had found a nugget on the goldfields but died young while electioneering to be the Premier of Queensland, leaving her rich.

Her aunt travelled on cargo ships, which only took 12 passengers, and she ruled at elite roost at the captain’s table.

Some passengers called her the W.O.D. short for “wicked old devil” but Marjorie also saw her as a “veritable fairy Godmother”.

Marjorie was granted a year’s leave from her teaching job and the New Zealand Lawn Tennis Association nominated her for Wimbledon.

In reference to her actual results at the tournament Marjorie later wrote – “I shan’t tell you want happened to me at Wimbledon.”

It wasn’t until 1951 that Evelyn Webster became the second New Zealand woman to compete at Wimbledon.

Marjorie Bain sent a postcard home from the 1922 Wimbledon Championships. Supplied

The 1922 Wimbledon Championships marked the tournament’s move to its current premises on Church Road, amid forecasts at the time that the place would become a white elephant.

The family still has Marjorie’s competitor card and postcards. In one of them Marjorie described the now iconic centre court grand-stand as a “huge circular concrete affair” and wrote “give me New Zealand climate every time”.

The 1922 Wimbledon Championships are widely considered the most disrupted tournament in its history with rain interruptions every day.

Marjorie fell in love with England and took in theatre productions and concerts in London’s West End, then travelled to the Continent with her aunt, where they visited France, Italy, Switzerland, and Paris.

The inventor husband

At the Wimbledon centre court her fierce aunt, who acted as a chaperone, warned her niece not to get mixed up with the Australian representative Herbert Tasman Ethelbert Davies, an official at the tournament.

Herbert was a metallurgist from Melbourne University, charming and clever. But the aunt warned that he was an inventor and called him a ‘rolling stone’. In today’s words, aunty believed that Herbert was a flake.

But Marjorie ignored the cautions and the pair eloped to Paris to get married in a registry office, thereby antagonizing the aunt who sailed back to Brisbane.

The couple returned to London and then in Marjorie’s own words “followed years of anxiety, mixed with a brave attempt at happiness …an erratic husband and a more than erratic livelihood don’t spell real happiness.”

Marjorie Bain and her 1922 Wimbledon competitors card. Supplied

Herbert, who floated companies for developments and patents, had no money sense whatsoever.

Sometimes there would be lots of money, then nothing. Unpaid bills, and frequent moving around England became the norm as the family tried to dodge the debt collectors.

In 1923 Marjorie’s first child John was born and in 1928 Barbara (Biddy) was born.

Decades later Marjorie’s daughter Biddy [Barbara] wrote down some early memories of those times.

At one of their brief addresses in England, Biddy described an old railway carriage at the bottom of the garden – “where occasional explosions occurred as my father continued his experiments.”

Marjorie sent this postcard of the new Wimbledon venue to her family in Christchurch. Supplied

Years later Marjorie reflected “I decided that my mission in life was to reform him. Alas, my dear, never flatter yourself you can reform anyone.”

For nine years Marjorie struggled on, forgiving Herbert and starting again. She pawned her last scraps of jewellery and earned what little she could.

Wrote Biddy – “At times we were rich, with a nanny and maids all in uniform, other times when the bubble burst there was no money at all. Then another woman entered the scene, and my mother grabbed her two children and left.”

That’s when the hardship really kicked-in.

Penniless

Perhaps pride prevented Marjorie from telling her family back in Christchurch that she had left Herbert because in true post-Victorian fashion it was a disgrace to have lost your man.

Marjorie, her two children, and their beloved dog travelled by train wherever she could find jobs, not easy in the depths of the Great Depression.

Biddy, who passed away in 2022, wrote that they moved frequently because her mother thought Herbert might try to retrieve his son if he found them.

Marjorie did all kinds of jobs – she was a cook, a housekeeper in a boarding house, made and sold bread, and read to the blind.

“Many years later my brother told me that during this period he used to worry that if she died nobody would know who we were and we’d be put in an orphanage,” wrote Biddy.

When Marjorie’s brother was on his O.E. he decided to find her and reported back to the family that they were living in appalling circumstances.

The aunt was consulted and was still smarting from her niece’s elopement, but reluctantly agreed to pick Marjorie and her two children up the next time round.

Marjorie’s children John and Biddy and their beloved dog. Supplied

One day they found two bailiffs waiting in the hall so they moved next door where Marjorie cared for an old man and the kids went to huge grey slummy London schools.

In 1935 the aunt rescued them. She didn’t like children, particularly girls and Biddy recalled that she didn’t talk to her for six weeks at sea.

The weary family disembarked at Cashel Street, Christchurch.

Peace and security at last

The aunt had offered the family a house near Brisbane, but while they were waiting to travel to Queensland, Labour won the 1935 election and for the first time five year-olds were to be admitted into school.

Old teacher friends begged Marjorie to stay to help alleviate the teacher shortage, so she offended the aunt again by staying there.

The family boarded for two years before Marjorie managed to procure a mortgage for her own home, describing it as “peace and security at last”.

Marjorie never mentioned Herbert but she kept her married name and was Mrs Davies to the hundreds of primary school students she taught in Christchurch.

John and Biddy were brought up to believe that their father had died, though much later the siblings found that neither believed it.

After Marjorie’s death in 1966 at the age of 69 her close friend told Biddy “…We were all green with envy when we heard that this lively attractive girl, popular with the boys, and a tennis star, had married. A few years later she arrived back home with two children; not a man in sight and never a word of explanation!”

When it came to the welfare of her pupils Marjorie used the direct approach, such as tackling the Education Board over the lack of fire exits at her school.

Marjorie represented Canterbury at the national lawn championships. Supplied

Penny recounts – “Mum used to tell me about how she marched into a Board meeting with an axe over her shoulder as a demonstration because she was so furious.”

Years prior, when her two young children went to a school in London, one was so stuffy that Marjorie threatened to throw a brick through a window if they didn’t open them.

In 1946 her son John was awarded the very first Ernest Rutherford scholarship, and eventually became a Professor and head of the Department of Chemical Engineering at Birmingham University.

During one of Marjorie’s return visits to Britain in the 1950s she taught under-privileged children in London schools.

Penny remembers several visits from Granny Marjorie – a “fun, kind, colourful” matriarch.

“She was a very strong character, headstrong in the face of tough times. It was hard being a woman on her own back then. My mother [Biddy] said those early years made them resilient and very loyal to each other,” Penny said.

For the record, Marjorie and her French doubles partner had a walkover in the first round of Wimbledon and then gave their opponents the next round (a walkover) so no tennis was played. In the singles, Marjorie lost her first round match 6-0 6-0.

The shortest women’s final ever recorded at Wimbledon happened in the same year when the legendary Suzanne Lenglen of France defeated American player Molla Bjurstedt Mallory 6-2, 6-0. The 23 minute record still stands today.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

‘Be very, very suspicious’: Neighbourly breach makes users vulnerable – expert

Source: Radio New Zealand

The website was initially shut down on New Year’s Day after the breach was uncovered but is now back online again. Screenshot

People who have had their personal information stolen from the Stuff-owned Neighbourly platform could be vulnerable to online threats, a cyber security expert says.

Neighbourly has lost names, email address, private messages, posts and GPS locations which have been put up for sale on the dark web.

The website was initially shut down on New Year’s Day after the breach was uncovered but is now back online again.

Neighbourly has told members it will look to get a court injunction, but it is satisfied the breach was quickly contained.

It surfaced around the same time of another major breach with privately-owned Manage My Health, which more than 120,000 patient files compromised.

“The most concerning thing about the Neighbourly one is that there is GPS information in there, which I assume is people’s homes,” Patrick Sharp, general manager at Aura Information Security told RNZ.

“So that, correlated with other information that’s out on the internet might provide some kind of attack opportunity for an attacker.”

Sharp said the taking of the information was “absolutely” a concern.

“After the Medibank breach in Australia in 2022 there were tens, or maybe hundreds of thousands of actual financial crimes that resulted from the information stolen in that breach… so this is probably the beginning,” he said.

“Bear in mind as well that the people who are impacted by the ManageMyHealth breach and the Neighbourly breach are potentially people who are quite vulnerable and don’t understand how to protect themselves.

“So if a member of your family, an elderly person in your family, or anything like that tells you that they’re affected then you should probably help them try to understand or vet any kinds of unsolicited contact they get from anyone as well,” Sharp said.

“I think more than anything they need to be suspicious, and if someone calls you out of the blue or you get an email which you’re not expecting, you should just be very, very suspicious about it.”

Sharp said cyber attacks rise toward the end of the year, and websites or platforms growing in size an expose vulnerabilities.

“The reality is that websites are very complex systems and they go through a lot of change as they update new features and so on, and so when they do that, the possibilities of introducing new vulnerabilities into those websites is very, very possible,” Sharp said.

“And so unless they maintain a high degree of security during the development process and the update process, those vulnerabilities can be quite impactful,” he said.

“In practice one it’s out there, it’s out there,” Sharp said.

Neighbourly earlier said it took its data privacy responsibilities seriously and had contacted members directly.

On its website, it promotes itself with the tag line “your personal information is safe”.

Lives could be put at risk

Gorilla Technology chief executive Paul Spain said the Neighbourly data breach was “really significant”.

“There’s a large amount of data involved and it impacts somewhere between 800,000 and one million people potentially,” he said.

“The size of the breach suggests that it is certainly a possibility for a large percentage of those people who have their data taken.”

Spain also said the taking of GPS co-ordinates was a concern and would be concerning for some people.

“I guess the reality is when there’s this many people impacted then probably most folks won’t directly be impacted, but you just don’t know whether you’re going to get targeted with some sort of a scam where they know some personal information and they are able to take advantage of you,” he said.

“And if that ends up leaking out on the dark web and becomes available to anybody that could actually put, in some cases, put people’s lives at risk.”

He said a court injunction would be to stop people who are New Zealand-based from referencing the information.

“Because once it’s available out there, of course, anybody can get it and so you could just do a court injunction that says ‘hey, this is private information and shouldn’t be published through through legitimate platforms’,” he said.

“But it’s still available unfortunately to anyone that chooses to pay for it or retrieve the portions of it that might be leaked for free.”

Spain described the Neighbourly breach as a wake-up call.

“And unfortunately we seem to have, I think, a kind of ‘she’ll be right, mate’ attitude to cyber security in New Zealand for a lot of organisations, and it’s surprising, you know, how many organisations don’t get regular cyber security audits carried out or have a good level of clarity around where their risks are and what they can do to reduce those risks.

“You know, an organisation of the scale of stuff.co.nz who own Neighbourly, they should be at the scale to make sure that they’re keeping on top of these things.”

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Person dies after single-vehicle crash in Auckland’s Papatoetoe

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / REECE BAKER

A person has died after a crash in Auckland’s Papatoetoe on Sunday night.

Emergency services responded to a single-vehicle crash on Puhinui Road about 10.15pm.

The sole occupant of the vehicle was transported to hospital with critical injuries, but died a short time later.

The Serious Crash Unit conducted a scene examination and enquiries into the circumstances of the crash were ongoing.

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Living with the invisible disability, aphaisa

Source: Radio New Zealand

Many people have never come across the term aphasia – and if they have their most likely point of reference is actor Bruce Willis, who was diagnosed with the speech disorder in 2022.

But in New Zealand alone it affects around 30,000 people – more than the number of people who have Parkinson’s and muscular dystrophy combined.

Aphasia, which literally means ‘absence of speech’, is the loss of the ability to speak or understand spoken or written language, due to disease or injury to the language area of the brain.

Holiday road tolls ends with seven deaths

Source: Radio New Zealand

Director of road policing Steve Greally said it is still seven deaths too many (file image). RNZ / Nate McKinnon

The holiday road toll stands provisionally at seven deaths, police say, well down on the 15 deaths last year and 22 deaths in 2024.

But director of road policing Steve Greally said it is still seven deaths too many.

“Seven families have lost loved ones, for no good reason, and instead of being able to celebrate during this holiday season, their lives have been changed forever.”

The last recorded so far was in a crash in Papatoetoe about 10pm on Sunday.

Police said there had been more enforcement over the last three years under Operation Open Roads.

Greally said December’s toll was 17 road deaths.

“That’s the lowest it’s been for that month in the last 45 years.”

The 10-year average for December road fatalities is 35.

“We’re not going to celebrate until we have zero deaths on our roads, but this is trending in the right direction.

“We want everyone to keep in mind that one death is one too many.”

Greally said police will continue road policing operations and patrols, especially in higher risk crash areas.

“We’re all responsible for road safety, and while our officers are doing all that they can on the roads to reduce the number of serious crashes, we need drivers to do their part.

“Make sure you are always driving free from alcohol, drugs, and fatigue.”

The Christmas holiday period starts at 4pm Christmas Eve (Wednesday 24 December) and runs until 6am today (Monday 5 January 2026).

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Drownings are surging in Australia. AI can help

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle O’Shea, Senior Lecturer, School of Business, Western Sydney University

Eduardo Filgueiras/Unsplash

This year, Australian drowning deaths reached their worst level in three decades. Tragically, 357 drownings were reported between July 1 2024 and June 30 2025, with many more non-fatal incidents.

Australian drowning fatalities have surged because of “crisis-level” declines in swimming skills, especially among regional, remote and migrant communities.

Swimming at unpatrolled beaches and inland waterways that typically don’t have lifesaving services has also contributed to these deadly trends. So too has rock fishing.

With people now off work and enjoying the summer holidays, drowning risk is even higher than normal.

Education and awareness remain tried and tested ways to reduce drowning fatalities.

For example, this summer, Surf Life Saving Australia’s virtual “Beach Passport Campaign” is enabling the public to easily locate patrolled beaches. But water safety experts are also partnering with computer scientists to harness the power of algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) to help save lives.

High-tech watchtowers

Surveillance AI for lifesaving is one key advancement.

Cameras at coastal hazard sites (selected based on historical incident data) capture continuous video feeds. These are then analysed by AI to identify emergency events.

The advantage of Al drowning detection is in reducing emergency response times in dynamic environments.

For example, if a rock fisher was washed off the rocks and into the water, AI identifies the event and alerts emergency services (within seconds) so they can validate the emergency and deploy rescue resources.

AI and incident detection.

Smartphones and citizen scientists

Rip currents are strong, narrow, fast-flowing currents of water that occur on many beaches and are difficult for swimmers to identify.

Thousands of images containing rip currents are needed to train an AI-based model.

Australian researchers are leading this endeavour with a huge repository of images collected through CoastSnap – a community-driven initiative where beach goers can take an image of the beach with their smartphones.

In partnership with Surf Life Saving Australia, RipEye is helping train lifeguards in rip detection and lifeguards are helping train AI.

A smartphone app available to the general public is also being developed for the future. At a beach location users can capture real time wave movements and currents with the app signalling if swimming conditions are safe.

AI aiding pool safety

Public swimming pools are important community assets providing health, social and economic benefits.

With 421 million visits annually, and councils increasing access through campaigns such as $2 entry, lifeguards are on high alert.

To aid pool safety, local councils are investing in cameras, sensors and AI algorithms to monitor pools, identifying potential drowning incidents and alerting lifeguards in real time.

Using overhead cameras to continuously monitor swimmer activity, AI algorithms are trained through machine learning to detect signs of swimmer distress. These can include prolonged submersion or erratic movements.

Lifeguards scan wide, complex scenes while managing glare, noise, heat, rain, crowds and fatigue. Smartwatch alerts fed by AI can significantly enhance detection.

Like other operators in fields such as emergency services, defence and aviation, lifeguards already receive training in scanning techniques, hazard recognition and decision-making under pressure.

But even highly trained operators are subject to the fundamental cognitive and perceptual limits of the human brain.




Read more:
Why should my child take swimming lessons? And what do they need to know?


Designing information for the human brain

To work effectively, an AI-powered alert system must consider several basic human-centred questions.

For example, what information should be shown? Too much detail overwhelms; too little is ignored.

How should the information be presented? Visual cues (such as text, shapes, colours, icons, motion, flicker) or audio tones, or subtle vibrations each have advantages and drawbacks.

Where should alerts appear? On a smartwatch, a wall display, augmented-reality glasses? Poor placement can block vision or pull attention away from other incidents.

When should alerts appear? Too early and people may attend to other things; too late and the chance to intervene is lost.

These design decisions matter because drowning detection is a vigilance task – a type of attention known to decline rapidly under fatigue or stress.

Not a perfect solution

The advantage of AI drowning detection is in reducing response times in dynamic pool and beach environments.

However, this requires nearby and available rescue resources.

Many of the technologies involve camera-based image analysis, which can also introduce privacy concerns.

Another issue is that AI drowning detection is imperfect. It sometimes produces false alarms and fails to detect people in distress.

To overcome this, it’s important that people are not just properly trained in how to use AI to detect drownings, but also that an AI system clearly explains how an assessment was made, and adapts when errors occur so that lifesavers work with the system as partners and not simply as responders.

The benefit of AI alerts depends on human operators’ ability to interpret, trust and act. So the question isn’t just whether AI can detect danger – it’s whether the information it delivers is cognitively digestible when lifesavers need it.

But AI-powered lifesaving methods are no substitute for swimming skills. So if you do cool off with a swim this summer, always remember: never swim alone, swim between the flags, listen to lifesavers and be vigilant around the water.

The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Drownings are surging in Australia. AI can help – https://theconversation.com/drownings-are-surging-in-australia-ai-can-help-269716

ManageMyHealth breach: Patients at risk of identity theft, extortion – experts

Source: Radio New Zealand

This ransom post screenshot is from a popular hacking forum. Supplied

  • Hackers say ManageMyHealth ransomware attack about ‘business’
  • Company has until Tuesday morning to pay up or 400,000 patient documents released
  • Cyber security experts fear some patients at risk of blackmail or identity theft
  • Patient health portal criticised for sluggish response

Thousands of patients caught up in the ManageMyHealth ransomware attack could be at risk of identity theft or extortion, cyber security experts are warning.

The hackers, calling themselves “Kazu”, posted on Sunday morning that unless the company paid a ransom within 48 hours, they would leak more than 400,000 files in their possession.

In a post on Telegram, the group purporting to be behind the breach said it had brought forward the deadline from 15 January in part because ManageMyHealth had responded faster than expected, but mainly to “put pressure on the company”.

“Their ignorance of our emails and messages, along with their failure to acknowledge users or explain exactly what happened, is the main issue. Many MMH users have been asking the company for an explanation, but they’ve either ignored them or responded with vague statements.”

This deadline escalation statement was shared in a Telegram channel run by Kazu. Supplied

Kazu said it had opted for a low-ball ransom demand of $60,000 “to protect the data and quickly close the deal”.

“But it seems the company doesn’t care about their users’ data.”

The hackers indicated they were prepared to leak the “valuable” data just to make a point.

“We know exactly how valuable health data is and how sensitive it can be.

“Even if the company doesn’t pay the ransom, we can still find buyers for this data.

“To prove our claims and increase the chances of successful deals in the future, we decided to leak the data for free if they don’t pay the ransom.”

Kazu said they were “not a hacktivist group with political motives”.

“We’re doing this as a business. Our main goal is money and building a good reputation in the community.”

The hackers claimed to have successfully extracted ransom money from many healthcare companies in Asia and Africa over the last two months.

“Once the company pays, we send them a copy of the data, delete it from our servers and never post anything related to the company again.”

Patients at risk

Samples for potential “buyers” included clinical notes, lab results, vaccination records, medical photographs and personal identification details, including names, birth dates, addresses, emails and phone numbers.

IT consultant and Christchurch City councillor Cody Cooper was signed up to ManageMyHealth through his GP.

“My clinic has got 20,000 patients so there’s a real push for online. It’s seen as convenient, but patients don’t have a lot of choice.”

He went online to verify the veracity of the claims and was horrified by what he found.

“There’s people’s passports, there’s people’s ADHD documents from a psychiatrist, there’s pictures of people unclothed. It’s very personal data. And my concern as a patient would be, will someone blackmail people? Or try to extort them personally as well, if they don’t pay up?”

He also questioned why ManageMyHealth took so long to respond.

“The hack was published around 10pm on 29 December, the MMH website notice appeared on the afternoon of 31 December, but the site wasn’t taken offline until that evening.”

Furthermore, the company was taking too long to inform affected clinics and patients, he said.

“It should have been able to determine the extent of the breach relatively quickly. The fact that, days later there is no clear confirmation about what was accessed or copied is worrying.”

However, there was no guarantee that giving in to the hackers’ demands would solve the problem for MMH, he said.

“They may still release the data anyway, they may still contact people, we have no way of knowing if they will honour it.

“Furthermore, if that person is from a country with sanctions, there are laws and treaties that forbid that payment from being made legally as well.”

Patients were just collateral damage, he said.

“I will personally probably look to close my account. I can’t really have confidence in the system after this. Hopefully my clinic will find a solution that’s better.”

Hackers building their ‘brand’

Data journalist Keith Ng said the hackers appeared to be using ManageMyHealth to leverage a bigger payout from one of their other targets: Saudi Icon Ransom.

“They’re implying they’ve got their hands full and don’t want to be distracted by small fry here, that’s their explanation for wanting this over quickly – and if they don’t get their ransom they will release data for free.”

For Kazu, it was an exercise in brand management.

“They want to establish themselves as a ‘trustworthy’ ransomware group. By that they mean ‘If you pay us, we’ll delete the data and you’ll never hear from us again. If you don’t pay us, bad things will happen to you’.

“So they want to build up their business and use the New Zealand dataset to make an example out of, so people will take them more seriously in the future.”

Unfortunately, the ManageMyHealth breach was unlikely to be the result of a sophisticated hacking operation, Ng said.

“This is probably a couple of days work for a couple of people. It’s not like an elite hacking crew, it’s about volume and they want to make sure they’ve got targets on the hook all the time.

“They poke around and try to find common vulnerabilities, flaws, they’re really looking for low hanging fruit – and if they don’t find it, they move on quickly to the next target.”

Over and above the technical question of which part of ManageMyHealth’s system was not secure, the more important question was what processes it had in place, whether it was having regular independent security audits and taking action to fix the problems identified, he said.

“A business that sets itself up as a health information management system has a lot of incentive to do things right because when they fail, really catastrophic things like this happen, and it is an existential risk for them.

“So we should expect better from these businesses and the fact they let this one slip past them, they should be held accountable.”

In its public statements, ManageMyHealth appeared to be trying to minimise the scale of the problem, Ng said.

“They’re saying only 7 percent of users were affected, but 7 percent of 1.8 million is quite a big number. The other thing they’ve said is ‘only one component’ of the site is affected, not the core database. But it’s the kind of things in there – medical photos, test results – which make it so sensitive and damaging for people who are affected.

“It’s probably the worst data breach that I recall seeing in New Zealand so far.”

Aura Information Security’s Patrick Sharp said medical records were hugely valuable to criminals.

The Medibank ransomware attack in Australia in 2022 resulted in many thousands – “maybe even hundreds of thousands” of real financial crimes, he said.

“It’s quite likely that the 126,000 or so people affected – depending on the kind of information involved – may suffer at the hands of criminal gangs, lots of scams, blackmail, those kind of things.”

ManageMyHealth has been approached for comment.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Autocrats have long lists of political enemies. This is how Donald Trump has tried to silence his

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Justin Bergman, International Affairs Editor, The Conversation

The list of people Donald Trump has punished or threatened to punish since returning to office is long. It includes the likes of James Comey, Letitia James, John Bolton, as well as members of the opposition, such as Adam Schiff, Mark Kelly and Kamala Harris.

In fact, he has gone so far as to call Democrats “the enemy from within”, saying they are more dangerous than US adversaries like Russia and China.

According to Lucan Way, a professor of democracy at the University of Toronto, when a leader attacks the opposition like this, it’s a clear sign a country is slipping into authoritarianism.

As Way says in episode 5 of The Making of an Autocrat:

 In other kind of countries with weaker justice systems, you can literally jail members of opposition or bankrupt them. In a country like the United States, where the rule of law is quite robust, this is not possible, you can’t just jail rivals at will.

But Trump has other ways of making the cost of opposing him too high for his critics to bear. This includes investigations, lawsuits, audits, personal attacks – anything to distract and silence them.

The effect is his opponents become much more reluctant to engage in behaviour they know that Trump won’t like, Way says.

So it really has this kind of broader silencing effect that I think is quite pernicious.

Listen to the interview with Lucan Way at The Making of an Autocrat podcast.

This episode was written by Justin Bergman and produced and edited by Isabella Podwinski and Ashlynne McGhee. Sound design by Michelle Macklem.

Newsclips in this episode WCNC, MS NOW, WHAS11, and Radio Free Europe.

Listen to The Conversation Weekly via any of the apps listed above, download it directly via our RSS feed or find out how else to listen here. A transcript of this episode is available via the Apple Podcasts or Spotify apps.

Lucan Way has received funding from the Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada.

ref. Autocrats have long lists of political enemies. This is how Donald Trump has tried to silence his – https://theconversation.com/autocrats-have-long-lists-of-political-enemies-this-is-how-donald-trump-has-tried-to-silence-his-272252

What is ‘oatzempic’? Does it actually work for weight loss?

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Lauren Ball, Professor of Community Health and Wellbeing, The University of Queensland

Łukasz Rawa/Unsplash

If you’ve spent any time on TikTok or Instagram lately, you may have seen people blending oats with water or juice and calling it “oatzempic.”

The name is a nod to Ozempic, a prescription medication used primarily for type 2 diabetes that also suppresses appetite. Videos of the oatzempic drink usually promise easy weight loss, effortless fullness and a “natural alternative” to medication.

But is oatzempic supported by science? The short answer is no. Let’s unpack why.

What exactly is oatzempic?

There is no standard recipe for oatzempic, but most videos show people blending one to two tablespoons of rolled oats with a glass of water. Others add lemon or lime juice, cinnamon or soak the oats first.

The suggested benefit is that drinking the mixture will create a sense of fullness and reduce appetite.

Some TikTok videos recommend to have oatzempic instead of breakfast. Others say to drink it as a mid-afternoon snack to prevent overeating later in the day.

What happens when you eat oatzempic?

Many users on social media report feeling fuller after drinking oatzempic which is not surprising.

Oats are rich in beta-glucan, a type of soluble fibre that forms a gel-like substance when mixed with water. This slows down digestion which helps you to feel full.
There is good evidence that diets rich in viscous soluble fibre (like that from oats) modestly improve appetite control, reduce post-meal blood glucose (blood sugar) spikes and help regulate cholesterol.

Oats aren’t the only source of viscous soluble fibre though. Foods such as apples, citrus fruits, flaxseeds, barley, psyllium husk and legumes (beans, lentils) also provide soluble fibres that form gels in the gut and have similar effects of making us feel full, as well as improving overall health.

So, the claim that oats can help people feel full is well-founded. But feeling full is not the same as achieving meaningful or sustainable weight loss.

Long-term weight management requires balanced nutrition and physical activity – rather than relying solely on feeling full.

Has oatzempic been tested for weight loss?

No. There are no scientific studies that look at the “oatzempic drink” for weight loss, appetite control or other health outcomes. There is no official recipe, no recommended amount, and no long-term research.

So, if someone loses weight while drinking it, it’s hard to know if that’s because of the oatzempic drink, eating fewer calories overall, or other changes in their lifestyle.

What we do know is that oats and other high-fibre foods (for example, brown rice, nuts and seeds, berries, broccoli and Brussel sprouts) have been studied for decades. Research shows they can help you feel a little fuller, improve your blood glucose control and support heart health. For example:

  • a randomised crossover trial showed adding oat fibre (beta-glucan) to a meal made people feel fuller and less hungry compared to a similar meal without it

  • a review of multiple studies (meta-analyses) reported that oat beta-glucan can modestly reduce LDL-cholesterol (the bad type) and help control blood glucose levels, both important for heart and metabolic health.

But, these benefits occur when oats are part of a healthy, balanced diet, not when consumed as a standalone “magic drink”.

From a scientific standpoint, oatzempic is a fibre-rich drink. It does not work like Ozempic, the prescription medication. Ozempic affects hormones that control appetite and blood glucose levels in a much more powerful way.




Read more:
The rise of Ozempic: how surprise discoveries and lizard venom led to a new class of weight-loss drugs


Could oatzempic still be helpful for some people?

Yes. A drink that helps you feel fuller could slow down eating and better support portion control.

For those who often skip breakfast or grab food on the run, an oats-based drink may be a more nutritious option than not eating at all. But these benefits come from fibre and hydration.

You’d get a greater nutritional benefit by making a simple smoothie with oats, a banana or berries, a spoonful of nut or seed butter and a splash of milk or yoghurt. This combination adds protein, potassium, healthy fats and a range of vitamins and minerals, offering a more balanced and nourishing option for your health.

Are there any risks?

For most people, drinking oatzempic in small amounts is safe. But there are some important considerations:

  • it’s not a complete meal. Oatzempic is low in protein, healthy fats and several essential micronutrients. If it regularly replaces meals, it could lead to nutrient gaps or even under-eating

  • sudden fibre increases can cause discomfort. For those not used to high-fibre diets, a rapid increase can trigger bloating or gastrointestinal symptoms – especially if fluid intake is inadequate

  • the name can be misleading. “Oatzempic” invites comparison with a prescription medication, which may give the impression that the drink has drug-like effects

  • it could delay evidence-based care. Relying on a fad drink instead of seeking professional dietary or medical advice may prevent people from accessing the support they truly need.

What actually works for sustainable weight management?

Research supports a combination of strategies for long-term, sustainable weight management:

  • cooking healthy meals at home that focus on adequate protein, healthy fats, unprocessed carbohydrates and fibre

  • reducing intake of added sugar and processed foods and drinks

  • drinking enough water

  • consistent physical activity

  • good sleep and stress management.

If you need advice about improving your diet, talk to your GP or visit an accredited practising dietitian.

Lauren Ball receives funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council, Health and Wellbeing Queensland, Heart Foundation, Gallipoli Medical Research and Mater Health, Springfield City Group. She is a Director of Dietitians Australia, a Director of the Darling Downs and West Moreton Primary Health Network and an Associate Member of the Australian Academy of Health and Medical Sciences.

Emily Burch does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. What is ‘oatzempic’? Does it actually work for weight loss? – https://theconversation.com/what-is-oatzempic-does-it-actually-work-for-weight-loss-269603

With thousands of feral horses gone, Kosciuszko’s fragile ecosystems are slowly recovering

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David M Watson, Professor in Ecology, Charles Sturt University

Author supplied , CC BY-ND

In Kosciuszko National Park in Australia’s alpine region, the landscape is slowly changing. Patches of native vegetation cropped bald by horses are regrowing. Some long-eroded creek banks look less compacted along the edges. Visitors come across fewer horses standing on the roads, a real traffic hazard.

In 2023, New South Wales authorised the aerial shooting of feral horses in Kosciuszko National Park. And in late November, the government passed a bill to repeal the law that recognised feral horses as having “heritage status” in the park.

This change removed the legal protections on horses in Kosciuszko that had set them apart from other introduced species such as deer, pigs, foxes and rabbits. Now horses will be treated the same way as other invasive species across Australia, restoring consistency to managing their impact on the landscape.

The latest survey estimates around 3,000 horses remain in Kosciuszko National Park, down from roughly 17,000 a year ago. More than 9,000 horses have been culled since 2021.

The current management plan is designed to retain 3,000 horses – a compromise between ecological protection and perceived heritage values. It will remain in place until mid-2027.

So what are the environmental effects of having fewer horses in Kosciuszko? And what could the park look like in the future?

Stallion standing in an alpine sphagnum bog.
Author supplied, CC BY-ND

The damage

For decades, feral horses have been a major source of ecological damage in Kosciuszko’s alpine landscapes. Their impacts have been especially pronounced in the past decade, as horse numbers within the fragile high country grew largely unchecked.

Empirical studies and analyses of satellite imagery show horses reduce vegetation cover, break down soil structure, and damage streambanks, peat beds and alpine bogs – carbon-rich soils built over tens of thousands of years.

Some of this damage results from their feeding on slow-growing alpine grasses and herbs. Horses typically eat 2% of their body mass daily, which equates to about 8 kilograms each day. Compare this to the largest native herbivore in the high country, the Eastern Grey Kangaroo, which eats roughly 600 grams per day, a 13-fold difference.

But the real damage is done by their feet. Feral horses walk up to 50 kilometres a day, and their hard hooves collapse the sphagnum moss layers and compact the deep peat soils. This plants and soils normally act like slow-release water sponges, storing snowmelt and feeding streams throughout summer. And unlike wombats, kangaroos and other native wildlife, feral horses follow each other in single file, making deep walking paths that crisscross alpine meadows, draining them dry.




Read more:
Feral horses in Australia’s high country are damaging peatlands, decreasing carbon stores


Those changes affect the whole ecosystem. Alpine skinks, broad-toothed rats, corroboree frogs, mountain pygmy possums, and native fish all depend on dense vegetation, intact moss beds or sediment-free streams — the very features horses degrade.

A mob of feral horses crossing a river in Kosciuszko National Park.
Author supplied, CC BY-ND

Waterways have been hit especially hard. The Australian Alps supply nearly a third of the surface water that enters the Murray–Darling Basin, yet horse trampling around waterways muddies clear streams and destabilises the slow, steady inflows on which these catchments rely.

These impacts aren’t confined to the park. In recent years, large numbers of horses have moved into adjoining areas, including state forests, where their disturbance compounds the effects of commercial logging and endangers visitors and overnight campers.

Although most attention about horse impacts have focused on Kosciuszko and alpine ecosystems more generally, almost half a million feral horses affect landscapes Australia-wide, with tropical woodlands and semi-arid rangelands hardest hit.

An alpine creek bank, its peaty soil eroded from horse tracks.
Author supplied, CC BY-ND

What we’ve seen so far

We have spent a lot of time working in the park over the past year. And we’ve begun to notice small shifts in the high country that align with what we’d expect from feral animal control.

We’ve spotted fewer horses during our days in the field. In areas that were repeatedly trampled, tiny pockets of vegetation are creeping into bare patches. Even some long-eroded banks look softer at the edges.

These impressions are strictly anecdotal, not formal evidence. But they hint at a landscape starting to breathe again as the pressure eases.

And there’s a safety element too. Anyone who drives the alpine roads knows the shock of rounding a bend among the snowgums to find a horse, or an entire mob, standing on the bitumen. Fewer horses mean fewer of those dangerous encounters for researchers, National Parks staff, and visitors alike.

The slow return

With far fewer horses in the high country, these pressures are beginning to ease.

As trampling declines, bogs and fens are expected to start recovering and hold water for longer. Moss beds will start to regrow and other peat-forming plants will be able to regain a foothold in soils that aren’t constantly compacted and overgrazed.

Less grazing means alpine herbs, sedges and snow-grass have room to return. Bare ground stabilises. Stream edges settle. Creeklines begin to clear.

A rocky alpine stream beneath the main range in Kosciusko National Park.
Author supplied, CC BY-ND

Those improvements flow upwards: more stable soils and denser vegetation creates better habitat for the frogs, skinks, small mammals and invertebrates that rely on cool, wet, structured alpine environments.

Recovery will take time – decades, not months. Long-term empirical studies will be essential to show what is changing and identify parts of the park where targeted restoration efforts will be needed to hasten recovery.

Finally, a real chance

None of this will happen quickly.

Alpine ecosystems heal slowly, and decades of damage can’t be undone overnight. Short growing seasons mean plants return gradually, not in sudden flushes. Many slopes and creeklines still show the scars of cattle grazing more than 60 years after livestock were removed. Disturbance lingers here for generations.

Lower horse numbers are only a beginning, but they’re the essential first step. And now — with fewer horses on the ground and the legal barriers removed — Kosciuszko finally has a realistic path to recovery. The coming decade will determine how much of its fragile alpine heritage can be restored.

The delicate alpine ecosystem of Kosciuszko National Park.
Author Supplied, CC BY-ND

David M Watson receives research funding from the Federal Government (through ARC, DAFF, DCCEEW), and is on the board of the Holbrook Landcare Network and the Great Eastern Ranges. He served two terms on the NSW Threatened Species Scientific Committee, prior to resigning when the Wild Horse Heritage Act became law in June 2018.

Patrick Finnerty is the current director for early career ecology at the Ecological Society of Australia, the Early Career Coordinator at the Australasian Wildlife Management Society, and a council member for the Royal Zoological Society of NSW. He receives funding from the Australian Research Council.

ref. With thousands of feral horses gone, Kosciuszko’s fragile ecosystems are slowly recovering – https://theconversation.com/with-thousands-of-feral-horses-gone-kosciuszkos-fragile-ecosystems-are-slowly-recovering-270658

Can office culture survive the work-from-home revolution? Yes, but you can’t force the fun

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Barbara Plester, Senior Lecturer, Management and International Business, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

Getty Images

Groaning your way back into the new work year? It’s an occupational hazard after the holiday break, of course, but these days there is the consolation (for some) of hybrid working.

For jobs that allow it, hybrid work is the new normal, allowing employees to work both remotely, usually from home, and in the office.

But hybrid work is also creating cultural shifts, and workers and managers must navigate ways to keep people connected, social and happy in the blended workplace.

How to do that? Video calls can’t replicate real-world interactions, and the kinds of activities companies organise to build culture and morale can fall flat in a virtual format.

This is particularly relevant to me because my research interests cover the social aspects of work life, with a specific focus on workplace fun, humour and happiness.

So, to explore how we’re all adapting, I immersed myself in two local companies to experience how they maintained a fun culture when some workers were online and others worked in the office.

This allowed me to observe behaviour, talk to workers, interview people from all levels of the business and interact with people online. I also interviewed others from a variety of different workplaces. The research grew into my recently released book Hybrid Happiness: Fun and Freedom in Flexible Work.

What I found were fun, lively, vibrant cultures that the companies were proud of and keen to maintain and develop. But fun is subjective, too, and forcing it in a hybrid setting has its own pitfalls.

Hybrid happiness

Workers were unanimous in wanting to retain hybrid work. They claimed it made them happier due to the freedom, flexibility and autonomy it allowed – and, most importantly, the feeling they were trusted by their company.

They listed the now familiar benefits of hybrid working: saving time and money by not having to commute every day, being able to manage family and pet care needs, going for a walk in nature during the workday, or working online from a cafe.

At the same time, workers agreed that fun and sociability have changed. There is significantly less table tennis, and Friday drinks are not as well attended as they used to be.

Some teams had opted for Thursday “cheese and chat” sessions as more people are likely to be in the office in the three middle weekdays. Laughing around the water cooler has been partly replaced by online chat streams with emojis, messaging and memes.

Quizzes and online games are increasingly popular and can pepper the workday to offer relief from overload and stress.

“Anchor days” are important, too, when everyone is in the office in person, boosting social connection and collegiality (especially when the company provides bagels and coffee).

Getting the mix right

However, hybrid work is not all lightness and laughter. There are still frustrations and failures. Sometimes fun activities go wrong or fail to engage certain people, such as the self-described introverts.

One young worker described an in-person fashion catwalk event he felt forced to join, even though he was highly uncomfortable. An online “fun” quiz starting at the end of the day can feel like another task to endure before knocking off.

Emojis in online messages can be misinterpreted or annoying, especially when colleagues use too many. Overdoing fun activities can feel contrived and distract people from their deadlines.

In short, fun cannot be forced. A simple opt-out clause can be useful to avoid people having to play when they feel uncomfortable or are just not in the mood.

This is where hybrid work can actually be a game-changer for some people. It feels simpler not to click the link when you’re too busy or the activity does not appeal.

When you’re online it’s also easier to evade colleagues encouraging and pushing you into an activity, whereas this can be harder to avoid in the office and face to face.

Happiness works

Why does this matter? Because workers want choice and flexibility – the freedom to work at home but also the connection and stimulation of office time to connect in person and maintain relationships.

Some people work better when physically among their colleagues. Others are more effective away from the hubbub but still connected through technology. Hybrid work offers all of these benefits.

When people are working in a personally optimal way, they are more likely to be happy. Individual happiness transfers to and feeds workplace culture, creating a sparky, motivated group that interacts in multiple ways.

A thriving workplace culture is a collective ideal founded on worker buy-in and commitment. So, while there can be challenges making it work, overall it seems workplace culture may even improve in the new office environment.

Happy hybrid new year!

Barbara Plester does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Can office culture survive the work-from-home revolution? Yes, but you can’t force the fun – https://theconversation.com/can-office-culture-survive-the-work-from-home-revolution-yes-but-you-cant-force-the-fun-269702

Why can’t we admit to not enjoying a bad holiday?

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Samuel Cornell, PhD Candidate in Public Health & Community Medicine, School of Population Health, UNSW Sydney

Jan Kohl/Unsplash

Everyone always loves a holiday – at least, that’s how we portray them. Holidays present a chance to unwind, relax and decompress from life’s day-to-day struggles. But they don’t always go to plan, and they’re not always as amazing, relaxing or enriching as we like to think.

Yet admitting you didn’t enjoy your holiday remains surprisingly taboo.

The holiday performance

For most of human history, ordinary people didn’t take holidays at all. Holidays were once the preserve of the extremely wealthy, like those aristocrats who embarked on a Grand Tour of Europe in the 1800s.

Echoes of that aristocratic impulse still pervade the way we talk about holidays to this day. On social media travel has become a form of very visible cultural capital – a way of overtly signalling not just where you’ve been, but your tastes, knowledge and refinement. The trip itself isn’t important. What is important is what the destination – and the way it’s shared – says about you.

A group of tourists visiting The Erechtheion on the north side of the Acropolis, around the year 1900.
Rijksmuseum

A holiday is the perfect stage to perform status, by jetting off to the right (most popular) destinations or by photographing iconic landmarks.

In the social media age, we can expect to be bombarded with photos, reels and videos of holiday content every summer – sun-drenched beaches, sunset cocktails, mountain vistas and smiling families who appear to have achieved the perfect blend of leisure, self-care and cultural sophistication.

In this, the modern holiday has become less about encountering a place and more about signalling that you know where to go, how to look, and how to curate the experience for an audience. We follow a certain holiday script. This is known as the tourist gaze.

The American economist and sociologist Thorstein Veblen described this over a century ago: the affluent signal status through what he called “conspicuous consumption”.

And this performance pressure helps explain a peculiar taboo: we rarely admit to having a bad holiday.

Why we can’t admit to a bad holiday

To say a holiday was stressful, disappointing or simply ordinary disrupts the moral script of travel as inherently enriching and restorative. It challenges the idea that holidays are not just leisure but proof of a life well lived.

Taking a holiday – and all the myriad choices that come into play in the decision – has a lot to do with signalling taste, class and status.

The choice of holiday destination, restaurant, even the “aesthetic” of the trip all function as cultural capital. And the idea that all of this can sum up to a bad experience can be seen as “failure” or to have morally erred.

What does where you go say about who you are?
Carmen Laezza/Unsplash

As in any performance, there’s little room for error, lest there be great disappointment. And the stakes now are higher than ever.

A bad holiday can feel like a step backwards in a person’s identity building – in this case, the identity of cultural sophistication and being “well traveled”.

Therefore, the bad holiday must be carefully curated online, so as not to reveal its true nature. This is what is called “impression management” – the way we consciously shape how others see us by controlling what we show and what we hide.

We curate our “front stage” selves for an audience, concealing the mundane or messy behind the scenes. Social media turns holidays into content and travellers into performers. The trip must not only be enjoyed. It must be seen to be enjoyed.

And when everyone is having the best holiday ever (online) that pressure compounds. To return from Bali or Paris having had an awful time is practically heretical. A character flaw. A personal failure at least.

In an era where image is everything, and people prioritise experiences over and above material possessions, holidays are some of our most visible and expensive acts.

They function as a form of prestige signalling; enabling us to demonstrate our social position, resources and means to others. Travelling to the “right” places and curating aesthetically pleasing images is a subtle way of communicating: I have the means, knowledge and cultural competency to do this properly.

What does it mean to go to Bali – and to come away disapointed?
Life with the Singh Sisters/Unsplash

Prestige signalling also helps explain why certain destinations become cultural gold. A trip to Sicily, Iceland or Kyoto carries different symbolic weight from a budget hotel in Surfers Paradise – not because one is necessarily more enjoyable or even better, but because one signals a higher level of social capital and prestige.

It’s not surprising then, that admitting to not enjoying a holiday carries an element of reputational risk.

It’s unrealistic to think that all travel will always be glorious, leisurely, enriching and rewarding. At some point and time, we’ll all find ourselves having a bad experience.

Perhaps it’s time we were honest about it, to ourselves and others.

Samuel Cornell receives funding from an Australian Government Research Training Program Scholarship.

ref. Why can’t we admit to not enjoying a bad holiday? – https://theconversation.com/why-cant-we-admit-to-not-enjoying-a-bad-holiday-267978

Just joined a dating app? Here’s how to look after yourself and handle rejection

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Megan Willis, Associate Professor, School of Behavioural and Health Sciences, Australian Catholic University

Designecologist/ Pexels

As the New Year rolls around, dating apps often see a surge in new sign-ups. Some are dipping their toes in for the first time, while others are rejoining with renewed hope of finding love after a break.

The right swipe has undoubtedly led to many success stories – long-term relationships, marriages and babies.

But it has also produced countless tales of the darker side of dating apps. Highlights from my own dating app adventures include the reverse image search that revealed my match’s photos belonged to a Canadian actor, a “single” man who forgot to mention his wife, and the unsolicited dick pics, which I respond to by politely advising that I’m not that kind of doctor.

If you’ll be looking for love online in the new year, it helps to know what may lie ahead.

Prepare for rejection

Rejection is common on dating apps. A 2025 experimental study that simulated dating app swiping found on average, participants rejected about 80% of profiles. Real-world data tell a similar story.

One study using dummy profiles on Tinder found men received as little as 0.6% of matches for every right swipe, compared to 10.5% for women. The same study found even when a match occurs, conversation is far from guaranteed – 21% of women sent a message to a new match, compared to just 7% of men.

A 2019 analysis of Hinge data indicated out of all potential matches (all profiles the algorithm showed users, based on their profiles and preferences), only 1 in 200 led to an actual conversation, and just one 1 in 800 resulted in an exchange of contact information.

Taken together, this suggests the likelihood of a single swipe progressing to a connection beyond the app is extremely low.

While dating apps open up the possibility of meeting people you might otherwise never encounter, the sheer volume of users can make people feel overwhelmed by choice. Research shows exposure to large numbers of potential partners makes people more selective and gives them a “rejection mind-set”.

Unsurprisingly, repeated rejection is not fun. And can lead to lower mood and diminished self-esteem.

Ghosting

On dating apps, rejection often takes the form of ghosting – when someone cuts off all communication without explanation. Some users see ghosting as a normal part of dating, particularly in short-term relationships.

Yet research shows being ghosted can trigger anger, anxiety and distress for those on the receiving end, with the ambiguity of the rejection often leading to self-blame and rumination (getting stuck in repetitive, negative thoughts about what happened).

Sexual Violence

Dating apps also expose users to sexual violence at disturbingly high rates.

Research from the Australian Institute of Criminology found almost three in four dating app users have experienced some form of online sexual violence.

This is most commonly sexual harassment, abusive or threatening language, and unsolicited sexual images. A further one in three users also reported experiencing in-person sexual violence from someone they met through a dating app.

Dishonesty

It is also common for people to misrepresent themselves on dating apps. This can range from embellishing one’s height, weight or age to more extreme forms, such as catfishing, where people use a false or stolen identity to deceive others. A 2018 study indicated around 20% of Tinder users were married or in a long-term relationship.

Discovering this kind of deception can trigger anger, embarrassment, self-blame, and an erosion of trust that can make future interactions feel unsafe or daunting.

4 tips to look after yourself

Given these risks, it’s important to navigate dating apps in a way that protects your safety and wellbeing. Here are some tips to do just that.

1. Manage your expectations

Rejection and ghosting are common on dating apps, and it’s important not to personalise these experiences.

Expecting these things may occur can reduce the emotional shock when they do. If and when they do, seek support from trusted friends and allow yourself to feel disappointed without ruminating. Try reframing these experiences as a product of dating app design rather than a reflection of your worth. One way to put this into practice is to say to yourself

I feel really disappointed this match didn’t work out, but it doesn’t mean there’s anything wrong with me. Dating apps are impersonal, and rejection is common.

2. Take it slow

Given misrepresentation is widespread on dating apps, it’s wise not to emotionally invest too quickly.

Always meet for the first time in a public place, share your location with a friend, and avoid putting too much hope into a match until you’ve met in person a few times and confirmed their story checks out.

3. Take a break if it’s getting you down

Repeated cycles of rejection, superficial interactions and harmful experiences can lead to what researchers call “mobile dating fatigue”. This is marked by emotional exhaustion, cynicism and a decline in self-worth. Taking a break can be an important act of self-care that can allow an emotional reset.

4. Maintain a full life outside of the apps

Dating apps can become harmful when they begin to negatively impact your mental health and psychological wellbeing.

Strong friendships, hobbies and a sense of purpose outside of dating apps can buffer against distress. They can also help ensure your sense of self isn’t being defined by dating app experiences but by parts of your life you can control.

Megan Willis does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Just joined a dating app? Here’s how to look after yourself and handle rejection – https://theconversation.com/just-joined-a-dating-app-heres-how-to-look-after-yourself-and-handle-rejection-271312

Woman waited 11 hours at Wellington Hospital’s emergency department, was not seen by doctor

Source: Radio New Zealand

Woman spent 11 and a half hours at Wellington Hospital’s emergency department, but was never seen by a doctor. 123RF

Health New Zealand has apologised to a woman who spent 11 and a half hours at Wellington Hospital’s emergency department, but was never seen by a doctor.

The agency said that on the day she visited in early December, the emergency department reached 256 percent occupancy at some points, making it one of the ED’s busiest days in recent years.

The woman, who RNZ has agreed not to name, said she had been experiencing severe abdominal pain and fevers for about 24 hours, she rang Kenepuru Hospital who advised her it was best to go to Wellington Hospital.

She arrived at the emergency department about 12.30 pm on 1 December, talked to reception and saw a triage nurse, she said.

“Throughout the waiting time, I was experiencing severe spikes of pain, so I’d go back to the triage to get pain medication, and they would get signatures to give me pain medication, and I would go back to the triage person to follow up around time.”

Her blood tests were taken after several hours, she said, but the pain wasn’t subsiding and she wanted to see a doctor to understand what was going on.

She became “visibly upset” and “frustrated” after 10 hours waiting, she said, at which point staff asked if anyone had talked ot her about her blood test results.

She described the experience waiting in pain as “scary”.

“I was in pain and I was feeling nauseous, and at that point afraid if I didn’t get seen, or if I went home wasn’t sure what was going to happen…I wouldn’t have come in the afternoon around 12 pm, if I didn’t think it was important to be there.”

After about 11 hours, she said she asked to talk to the charge nurse about the delay in seeing a doctor.

“The charge nurse spoke to me, and said that they were struggling to see everyone in a reasonable timeframe because of staff constraints, and that even if they could see me, there wasn’t a place to put me, there was no space.”

She said she left with her husband shortly after 2am the following morning, after being told it wasn’t clear when she could be fully admitted into the hospital.

The woman said she tried to “push through the pain”, and on a work trip to Christchurch the next day, started to throw up and went to a 24 hour surgery.

She said she was soon after transferred via ambulance to Christchurch Hospital where she said she had a range of tests, including CT Scans, further blood and urine tests.

She said while she understood some of the pressures Wellington Hospital was under, she felt the communication at Christchurch Hospital was clearer, more understanding and more efficient.

“I think the system is overwhelmed in Wellington at the moment.”

(h) Hospital’s occupancy reached 256 per cent ‘at some points’

The woman submitted a formal complaint to the hospital, and in its response to her, which RNZ has seen, the ED’s operations manager, Julia Mitchell, apologised for the long wait to see a doctor, saying it was not “reflective of the standard of care we strive to provide”.

“We completely understand and share your concerns about the long wait times, and we sincerely apologise for the distress this may have caused you,” Mitchell said.

December 1 was one of the hospital’s “busiest days in recent years”, she said, and when the woman arrived at ED just after 12.30 pm, occupancy was at 145 per cent.

“…this only got worse through the day, up to 256 per cent at some points”.

“When the hospital inpatient service is also over capacity this impacts on our ability to move those who require it, into inpatient wards. Both situations affect our ability in ED to see patients in a timely manner,” Mitchell said.

Health NZ’s target is for 95 per cent of patients to be admitted, discharged or transferred from an emergency department within 6 hours by 2030.

Capital and Coast has the second worst performing ED in the country for this target, achieving the 6-hour target only 50 per cent of the time, according to Health NZ’s latest July to September 2025 results. https://info.health.nz/about-us/what-we-do/planning-and-performance/health-targets#the-5-health-targets-16962

A Cabinet Paper released last year seeking budget approval for a refurbishment of the site, said Wellington ED’s services couldn’t meet demand, and had a constraining layout meaning one in ten patients didn’t wait to see a clinician, and one-third of patients were being treated in corridors, rather than cubicles.

The government announced last June Wellington Hospital would receive a major upgrade, with a new emergency department and 126 additional beds and treatment spaces.

(h) ‘Very sorry’ – Health NZ

Health NZ did not respond to RNZ’s questions about what Wellington ED’s current average wait-time is, or how many times the ED has reached over 100 per cent occupancy in November or December.

Capital Coast & Hutt Valley’s group director of operations, Jamie Duncan, said the hospital had not reached the same levels of occupancy as it had on December 1 by mid-December.

“We are very sorry for the upset and distress this patient experienced during her visit to Wellington Hospital’s Emergency Department on 1 December,” Duncan said.

The patient was triaged on arrival and given a code of 3 due to pain – her vital signs were normal, she was given pain relief, had blood tests taken, which were reviewed by a senior medical officer and found to be “normal”, he said.

“Unfortunately, the day she attended was an extremely busy day for the department.”

He said when patients are triaged they are prioritised according to clinical need, rather than the order they present.

“All decisions are made on a case by case basis by experienced clinical teams, with patient safety always the foremost consideration

“While we aim to treat and discharge patients as efficiently as possible, we recognise how frustrating it can be to wait, and we genuinely empathise with anyone who experiences this.”

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

How to ditch all the bad stuff that happened last year and start afresh

Source: Radio New Zealand

New year, fresh start, as the saying goes.

Your chance to shut (or slam) the door on 2025 and fling open a new one to a bright and shiny 12 months ahead.

If only it was that easy, right? It’s hard to bundle up the pain of a difficult year, take it to the tip and push it into the void.

Karen Nimmo.

Supplied

‘It can’t be worse, right?’: What’s ahead for the economy in 2026

Source: Radio New Zealand

123rf

The past year was a tough grind for many households and businesses but forecasters say there is economic improvement on the horizon.

Kelly Eckhold, chief economist at Westpac, said he was expecting the economy to be much stronger in 2026, with growth in GDP of about 3 percent over the year compared to a flat 2025.

“That’s supported by lower interest rates in the coming year. Whereas in 2025 we saw relatively strong performance by the primary sector and tourism to some extent but not so much the services sector and the bits of the economy that really drive the major urban areas, we think we probably have much more balanced growth in 2026.”

Households might not see much wage growth initially, he said, because that was one of the last things to move, but inflation should be weaker. “The cost of living crisis should ease off a bit.”

Gareth Kiernan, chief forecaster at Infometrics, agreed things should improve.

“It can’t be worse, right? You’ve had good export prices, you’ve got interest rates which are headed lower than we had been thinking… there’s a bit of caution coming on some of those exports… but I think between the effects of the strong prices over the last 18 months and the low interest rates and the government doing more in the infrastructure space – if not anywhere else, you put all those together and there are enough signs that growth should be better.”

He said the international environment would be something to keep an eye on. “Trump and the tariffs had derailed things somewhat through the early part of this year and that sort of has hung over the economy for the rest of 2025. But who really knows in that space, I guess.”

He said there were some small signs that the labour market was already improving and that should continue to build. “There does seem to be a bit more of an air of optimism and maybe a bit more genuine growth starting to come through as opposed to the high business confidence we had a year ago which didn’t really translate into anything much this year.”

Economists from BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, said they expected 2 percent growth in 2026.

“The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s rate cuts will continue to ease monetary policy conditions – even if most of the easing cycle is likely behind us – supporting household spending and business investment. We anticipate a 25 basis points cut to 2 percent by the end of 2026. Government infrastructure projects – including Auckland’s City Rail Link, major highway upgrades such as the Waikato Expressway, and water resilience programmes – will add momentum. Externally, strong demand for dairy and meat, alongside a tourism rebound, should underpin growth.

“However, downside risks persist. An escalation in global trade tensions or new tariffs could weaken export performance, while a slower-than-expected recovery in Mainland China – New Zealand’s largest trading partner – would dampen agricultural demand.

“Domestically, persistent labor shortages and wage pressures could restrain productivity, and delays to infrastructure projects would reduce fiscal support. Additionally, if inflation proves sticky, the Reserve Bank may pause or reverse rate cuts, curbing the anticipated lift to consumption and investment.”

Simplicity chief economist Shamubeel Eaqub said he was much more optimistic about 2026. “Mainly because we’re starting to see a bottom in a lot of things a the moment. Some of the distress is fading.”

But he said the recovery would not be felt evenly.

“I think there has been a real expansion of poverty in New Zealand, there’s a chunk of New Zealanders that are continuing to do it really tough.

“They’re stuck in that position where they work in industries that are not going to recover strongly. They work in industries that have relative low-wage, they work and live in places where the cost of living has gone up a lot with rents… so these things are not going to turn around quickly.

“A rising economy Is not enough to lift them up.. But for the median and for the people in the top end I think things will look a lot better.”

Sources of growth will change, he said, as some of the momentum shifted out of the primary sector.

“But by the second half of the year, all the weight of the rate cuts, the cumulative benefits of all the rate cuts would have come through. And we should start to see banks lending again because, you know, they’re fair weather friends.

“And then once they start lending money, that’s when you really juice up the cycle because it’s really about investments.

“When people start to make investments and businesses make investments, that’s really when the economy recovers. Also, I’m getting more optimistic on the government’s capex plans.

“For the last couple of years, they’ve been reducing spending, reducing spending, reducing spending. That’s really the only place austerity has worked so far in not investing in infrastructure. But if you look at all the announcements that have taken place in the second half of this year, it’s all about central government and local government doing more next year. And so all the pipeline stuff, it looks like we are going to see quite a lot of activity starting in the beginning of next year. So with the government coming back and hopefully the private sector coming back through the middle of next year, you’ve kind of got more of a platform for growth.”

[ https://rnz.us6.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&id=b4c9a30ed6 Sign up for Money with Susan Edmunds], a weekly newsletter covering all the things that affect how we make, spend and invest money

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Trump’s gift-wrapped Maduro package has done the world a favour – revealing what a lie US foreign policy really is

Kidnap, murder, torture, brutality, subversion, treachery, and barbarism, writes Adrian Blackburn reflecting on US President Donald Trump’s New Year present to the world.

COMMENTARY: By Adrian Blackburn

Blatantly, boastfully, bullyingly, shamelessly, Trump overnight threw open to the world’s eyes the cruel reality of US foreign policy. He has brought out from the shadows the ugly reality of what for generations previous administrations have found politic to keep covert.

That foreign policy has been shown most especially arrogant in regard to its neighbours anywhere in the Americas.

It has been based on a lie, a lie to its own people first but no less potently to the nations, including New Zealand, which have subscribed to that fiction of a United States democracy representing all the best human qualities.

The nicely gift-wrapped package includes belief in equality, fairness, justice, the sanctity of human life, acceptance of difference, mutual respect, kindness and love: The American way, the ultimate Christian morality in practice.

Trump has done all of us who have bought that lie a favour. What he is saying out loud with the attack on Venezuela and the kidnapping of President Nicolas Maduro is the age-old message of a rogue state — might is right, all power comes from the barrel of a gun, bow down to us.

Any self-reflection by Trump, unlikely, would reveal to him the deeper historical truth that empires which once seemed invulnerable resort to such desperate measures as his Venezuelan adventure in an attempt to deny, to delay, to divert from the fact they are in their death throes. Decline and fall.

It will get worse for the United States, as a state. The lie will become increasingly acknowledged internationally as trust is shown to be a one-way street. The allied fiction of US Treasury bills as a long-term safe repository for the world’s savings may be undermined even faster.

Run on the US bank
Trust gone, it’s the work of moments for an international run on the bank of the US to begin. Even if its already hard-working monetary printing presses go into overtime, an economy and society propped up on trillions upon trillions of dollars of debt can quickly become bankrupt

Immediately, though, what can the international community do in protest? I believe there’s a special obligation on the “Western” nations to assuage a little of their guilt as willing US accomplices over many years, accomplices ready to abandon true independence and a fair bit of morality to self-interest, cowardice.

Just a gesture in protest, but a powerful one, would be to immediately and in unison demand the temporary closure of US embassies and the withdrawal of their staff as persona non grata.

Unrealistic? Of course. Real-politik will rule, OK!

Turning blind eyes to Venezuela
But we should all beware of turning blind eyes to Venezuela. Who next, after Maduro, incurs the Don’s displeasure? If Zelensky stubbornly won’t surrender to Don and Vlad’s territorial demands, will he be safe on his next State visit to the US from arbitrary arrest and incarceration as an alleged war criminal?

Does our own Christopher Luxon need to brush up his flattery skills even further? Losing every hole of a golf match with Trump would help.

Trump, though, has already lost, whether in his hyperbolically hypocritical state he knows it or not. But he has done the world a useful service in revealing how an empire on the way out is likely to act.

Big oil will be triumphal about a grab for Venezuela’s oil riches in the hypocritical guise of protecting the US from illicit drug imports.

Chinese President Xi Jinping, meanwhile, is quietly gloating.

Adrian Blackburn is lifelong journalist and writer. Staff writer on many publications, including The NZ Herald, Sydney Morning Herald, BBC World Service, Beaverbrook Newspapers, NZ Listener and NZ Woman’s Weekly. Author of The Shoestring Pirates (Hodder and Stoughton, 1974) a history of pirate Radio Hauraki, and Gift: A Troubling Message from the Afterlife (2024). This commentary was originally a Facebook posting under the title “Trump grabs Venezuela by the pussy” and is republished here with permission.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Major search launched for missing tramper near Lake Ōhau

Source: Radio New Zealand

Connor Purvis. Supplied / NZ Police

Police have launched a major search for a missing tramper near Lake Ōhau.

Connor Purvis, 20, set off to climb Mt Huxley on or around 30 December, descending through the Huxley River South Branch.

But he has not returned from his tramp, which police say is sparking concern.

Police Search and Rescue teams, Land Search and Rescue teams, and a Department of Conservation alpine rescue team are all trying to find him.

Connor Purvis. Supplied / NZ Police

Otago Coastal Search and Rescue Coordinator Sergeant Matt Sheat said helicopters were also scouring the area.

They have been looking through huts and camp sites but have found no sign of Purvis.

“We ask anyone who has climbed Mt Huxley or has been tramping or hunting in the Huxley River South Branch between 28 December and 2 January to make contact with Police if they haven’t already,” said Sheat.

“We also want to hear from anyone who may have seen or spoken to Connor in the South Temple, Ahuriri or Huxley valleys in that same timeframe.

“It’s a large-scale search over a large area, and the smallest piece of information could make all the difference.”

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Welcome to the unfun retreat where less is more

Source: Radio New Zealand

​Luxury, indulgence, immediately satisfying every need and want – these are all must-haves when it comes to a holiday. Or so you might think.​

However, in an era of self-improvement surrounded by a world of excess, deprivation might be what you need. It can seem somewhat ironic – paying money to have or do less, but taking out noise, food, or comfort might leave room for something better (that’s the idea anyway).

While science can’t vouch for all the claimed benefits, there is some evidence that a moment of discomfort can result in, well, results, whether that be more confidence, detoxification or meaningful relaxation.

Āio Wīra Retreat Centre in Auckland.

supplied

State Highway 8 closed after four-vehicle crash

Source: Radio New Zealand

File photo. RNZ / Simon Rogers

Three rescue helicopters have rushed to a four-vehicle crash that has closed State Highway 8 near Tekapo.

Three people have serious injuries.

Police say the crash happened about 7pm, between Tekapo Powerhouse Road and Braemar Road.

Another person has moderate injuries.

The road is expected to be closed for some time.

Police are urging drivers to delay travel between Tekapo and Twizel, or face delays.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

The US has invaded countries and deposed leaders before. Its military action against Venezuela feels different

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Juan Zahir Naranjo Cáceres, PhD Candidate, Political Science, International Relations and Constitutional Law, University of the Sunshine Coast

In the early hours of Saturday morning, US special forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro from his home in Caracas and flew him out of the country. US President Donald Trump announced that Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, would face federal narco-terrorism charges in New York.

For anyone familiar with the history of US interventions in Latin America and the Caribbean, the basic pattern is grimly familiar: a small state in Washington’s “backyard”, a leader deemed unacceptable, military force applied with overwhelming effect, and a government removed overnight.

Yet what makes Venezuela’s case different – and profoundly alarming – is the brazen nature of the months-long US military operations against the country based on shifting and shaky justifications, with little evidence.

This moment is also significant, with many scholars already warning that international law is in deep crisis.

A long tradition of removing ‘unacceptable’ leaders

Venezuela is not the first country in the region to see its leader overthrown or seized with direct US involvement or acquiescence.

In 1953, the British government suspended the constitution of its colony British Guiana (now Guyana) and removed the democratically elected government of Cheddi Jagan after just 133 days. The British believed Jagan’s social and economic reforms would threaten its business interests.

A decade later, the CIA conducted a sustained covert operation to destabilise Jagan’s later administration, culminating in rigged 1964 elections that ensured his rival, Forbes Burnham, would win.

In 1965, US President Lyndon Johnson sent more than 22,000 US troops to the Dominican Republic to prevent the return of former President Juan Bosch, overthrown in a 1963 coup, and another communist regime forming in the region.

Following the violent overthrow and execution of Prime Minister Maurice Bishop of Grenada in 1983, President Ronald Reagan ordered an invasion. His administration justified the action by citing the need to protect US medical students and prevent the island from becoming a “Soviet-Cuban colony”.

In December 1989, President George H.W. Bush launched a full-scale invasion of Panama involving about 24,000 US troops to remove General Manuel Noriega, who had been indicted on drug-trafficking charges (like Maduro). He was subsequently flown to the United States, tried and imprisoned.

And in 2004, Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide was removed from power and flown to Africa in what he described as a US-orchestrated coup and “kidnapping”. In 2022, French and Haitian officials told The New York Times that France and the US had collaborated to remove him.

Why Maduro’s case is different

In all of these cases, Washington asserted control over what it has long considered its sphere of influence, intervening when governments threatened its interests through ideology, alliances or defiance.

But Venezuela in 2026 is not Grenada in 1983 or Panama in 1989. It is a much larger country with some 30 million people and significant armed forces, which has spent years preparing for a possible US invasion. More importantly, the operation unfolded in an entirely different global context.

During the Cold War, US interventions were often condemned but rarely threatened the legitimacy of the international order itself.

Today, by contrast, the Maduro operation has been met with swift and sharp condemnation from across the political spectrum.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro called the strikes an “assault on the sovereignty” of Latin America, while Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said the attack “crossed an unacceptable line” and set an “extremely dangerous precedent”. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said the strikes were in “clear violation” of the UN Charter.

Even traditional US allies expressed discomfort. France’s foreign minister said the operation contravened the “principle of non-use of force that underpins international law” and that lasting political solutions cannot be “imposed by the outside”.

And a statement from UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said he was “deeply alarmed” about the “dangerous precedent” the United States was setting and the rules of international law not being respected.

The UN Charter prohibits the use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state under Article 2(4).

For years, scholars have warned that repeated violations of the UN Charter by the United States were steadily eroding the basic rules governing the use of force.

Venezuela may represent the moment that erosion becomes collapse. When a permanent Security Council member not only bombs another state but abducts its head of state, the precedent is indeed profound.




Read more:
A predawn op in Latin America? The US has been here before, but the seizure of Venezuela’s Maduro is still unprecedented


Regional consequences

The immediate consequences for Latin America are already being felt. Colombia has moved troops to its border with Venezuela, while neighbouring Guyana has activated its own security plans.

It’s unclear at this point if further US military operations are planned. Trump has said the US will “run” Venezuela until a “safe transition” is complete, but analysts question whether Washington has the appetite for such an open-ended commitment. Venezuela’s defence minister has also pledged to continue to fight against what he called “criminal aggression”.

The operation has also deepened divisions that already existed in Latin America over Venezuela. After Maduro’s 2024 election, the results were immediately contested: Maduro’s government claimed victory, while the opposition said it won based on voting tallies it published online.

Regional governments split over which narrative to accept, with some recognising Maduro’s government and others backing the opposition. These fault lines have made a coordinated regional response to the Trump administration’s actions impossible.

The broader risk is that Venezuela becomes a precedent not only for great powers, but for regional actors. If Washington can seize a head of state without legal sanction, what stops others from doing the same?

A dangerous new normal

Maduro’s removal may or may not bring the political change Trump desires. But the manner of his removal – brazen, unilateral, defended in the language of US exceptionalism – has already done serious damage to the fragile architecture of international law.

If sovereignty can be set aside when inconvenient, heads of state can be abducted without UN approval, and the most powerful decide which governments may exist, then we have returned to a world governed by force – not the law. And in that world, no state can consider itself truly secure.

The Conversation

Juan Zahir Naranjo Cáceres does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The US has invaded countries and deposed leaders before. Its military action against Venezuela feels different – https://theconversation.com/the-us-has-invaded-countries-and-deposed-leaders-before-its-military-action-against-venezuela-feels-different-272682

RNZ’s best podcasts to listen (or relisten) to over summer

Source: Radio New Zealand

A Māori and a migrant explore the heart, history and future of Māori wardens – Aotearoa‘s hi viz kaitiaki of aroha, manaaki, and mana motuhake.

Find out how one becomes a Māori warden, what they do and what the future holds for the uniquely Kiwi institution.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

The US has invaded countries and deposed leaders before. This time feels different

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Juan Zahir Naranjo Cáceres, PhD Candidate, Political Science, International Relations and Constitutional Law, University of the Sunshine Coast

In the early hours of Saturday morning, US special forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro from his home in Caracas and flew him out of the country. US President Donald Trump announced that Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, would face federal narco-terrorism charges in New York.

For anyone familiar with the history of US interventions in Latin America and the Caribbean, the basic pattern is grimly familiar: a small state in Washington’s “backyard”, a leader deemed unacceptable, military force applied with overwhelming effect, and a government removed overnight.

Yet what makes Venezuela’s case different – and profoundly alarming – is the brazen nature of the months-long US military operations against the country based on shifting and shaky justifications, with little evidence.

This moment is also significant, with many scholars already warning that international law is in deep crisis.

A long tradition of removing ‘unacceptable’ leaders

Venezuela is not the first country in the region to see its leader overthrown or seized with direct US involvement or acquiescence.

In 1953, the British government suspended the constitution of its colony British Guiana (now Guyana) and removed the democratically elected government of Cheddi Jagan after just 133 days. The British believed Jagan’s social and economic reforms would threaten its business interests.

A decade later, the CIA conducted a sustained covert operation to destabilise Jagan’s later administration, culminating in rigged 1964 elections that ensured his rival, Forbes Burnham, would win.

In 1965, US President Lyndon Johnson sent more than 22,000 US troops to the Dominican Republic to prevent the return of former President Juan Bosch, overthrown in a 1963 coup, and another communist regime forming in the region.

Following the violent overthrow and execution of Prime Minister Maurice Bishop of Grenada in 1983, President Ronald Reagan ordered an invasion. His administration justified the action by citing the need to protect US medical students and prevent the island from becoming a “Soviet-Cuban colony”.

In December 1989, President George H.W. Bush launched a full-scale invasion of Panama involving about 24,000 US troops to remove General Manuel Noriega, who had been indicted on drug-trafficking charges (like Maduro). He was subsequently flown to the United States, tried and imprisoned.

And in 2004, Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide was removed from power and flown to Africa in what he described as a US-orchestrated coup and “kidnapping”. In 2022, French and Haitian officials told The New York Times that France and the US had collaborated to remove him.

Why Maduro’s case is different

In all of these cases, Washington asserted control over what it has long considered its sphere of influence, intervening when governments threatened its interests through ideology, alliances or defiance.

But Venezuela in 2026 is not Grenada in 1983 or Panama in 1989. It is a much larger country with some 30 million people and significant armed forces, which has spent years preparing for a possible US invasion. More importantly, the operation unfolded in an entirely different global context.

During the Cold War, US interventions were often condemned but rarely threatened the legitimacy of the international order itself.

Today, by contrast, the Maduro operation has been met with swift and sharp condemnation from across the political spectrum.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro called the strikes an “assault on the sovereignty” of Latin America, while Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said the attack “crossed an unacceptable line” and set an “extremely dangerous precedent”. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said the strikes were in “clear violation” of the UN Charter.

Even traditional US allies expressed discomfort. France’s foreign minister said the operation contravened the “principle of non-use of force that underpins international law” and that lasting political solutions cannot be “imposed by the outside”.

And a statement from UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said he was “deeply alarmed” about the “dangerous precedent” the United States was setting and the rules of international law not being respected.

The UN Charter prohibits the use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state under Article 2(4).

For years, scholars have warned that repeated violations of the UN Charter by the United States were steadily eroding the basic rules governing the use of force.

Venezuela may represent the moment that erosion becomes collapse. When a permanent Security Council member not only bombs another state but abducts its head of state, the precedent is indeed profound.




Read more:
A predawn op in Latin America? The US has been here before, but the seizure of Venezuela’s Maduro is still unprecedented


Regional consequences

The immediate consequences for Latin America are already being felt. Colombia has moved troops to its border with Venezuela, while neighbouring Guyana has activated its own security plans.

It’s unclear at this point if further US military operations are planned. Trump has said the US will “run” Venezuela until a “safe transition” is complete, but analysts question whether Washington has the appetite for such an open-ended commitment. Venezuela’s defence minister has also pledged to continue to fight against what he called “criminal aggression”.

The operation has also deepened divisions that already existed in Latin America over Venezuela. After Maduro’s 2024 election, the results were immediately contested: Maduro’s government claimed victory, while the opposition said it won based on voting tallies it published online.

Regional governments split over which narrative to accept, with some recognising Maduro’s government and others backing the opposition. These fault lines have made a coordinated regional response to the Trump administration’s actions impossible.

The broader risk is that Venezuela becomes a precedent not only for great powers, but for regional actors. If Washington can seize a head of state without legal sanction, what stops others from doing the same?

A dangerous new normal

Maduro’s removal may or may not bring the political change Trump desires. But the manner of his removal – brazen, unilateral, defended in the language of US exceptionalism – has already done serious damage to the fragile architecture of international law.

If sovereignty can be set aside when inconvenient, heads of state can be abducted without UN approval, and the most powerful decide which governments may exist, then we have returned to a world governed by force – not the law. And in that world, no state can consider itself truly secure.

The Conversation

Juan Zahir Naranjo Cáceres does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The US has invaded countries and deposed leaders before. This time feels different – https://theconversation.com/the-us-has-invaded-countries-and-deposed-leaders-before-this-time-feels-different-272682

Freeski halfpipe: Finley Melville Ives scores another World Cup podium place

Source: Radio New Zealand

‘Pretty hyped to tick that one off’ – Melville Ives’ back on podium after landing trick for first time

Finley Melville Ives in action at the FIS World Cup halfpipe event in Calgary, 4 January, 2026. FIS Park and Pipe

Wānaka teenager Finley Melville Ives’ impressive form has continued in the latest FIS World Cup event with a second in the halfpipe in Calgary.

The 19-year-old reigning world champion won the China leg last month, and has followed up with runner-up in Calgary after being outpointed by American Nick Goepper.

His consistency is a good sign with the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics in northern Olympics just over a month away.

Conditions were testing in Calgary with temperatures of about -10deg Celsius affecting speed in the pipe, while flat light reduced visibility.

But that didn’t deter Melville Ives from successfully performing a trick for the first time in competition, nailing a switch left double corked 1440 safety grab on the second hit of his second finals run.

“The conditions were pretty tricky today, but managed to put my run down and land a trick I’d never done before in competition, so I am pretty hyped to tick that one off,” Melville Ives said.

New Zealand free skier Finley Melville Ives, left, on the podium after finishing second to American Nick Goepper, centre, and Birk Irving, who was third in the FIS World Cup halfpipe event in Calgary, 4 January, 2026. Snow Sport NZ

After topping qualification from his heat, he took the early lead with his first run, but Goepper took the lead on the second run.

Melville Ives struck back with his trick switch 1440, but a couple of bobbles on two of his runs saw him fall short of Goepper, whose American team-mate Birk Irving finishing third.

“I’m so stoked, I can’t believe it. It’s been an incredible start to the World Cup season,” Melville Ives said.

“To be up there on the podium with Nick, I am so grateful.”

Fellow Wānaka athlete Ben Harrington had his best result of the season, finishing eighth.

The halfpipe tour heads to Aspen for next weekend, with New Zealand’s slopestyle athletes returning to competition.

Tough day for Robinson

It wasn’t such a good day for Queenstown alpine skier Alice Robinson, who crashed out of a second successive World Cup event, failing to finish the first run in the giant slalom in Slovenia.

The two dips have dropped Robinson to third in the overall World Cup standings, behind American Mikaela Shriffin and Switzerland’s Camille Rast, who won a World Cup giant slalom for the first time in Slovenia.

Robinson had led the standings after winning two giant slaloms in November and December, followed by the first Super G win by a New Zealander in St Moritz.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand