It followed an announcement by Associate Agriculture Minister responsible for animal welfare, Andrew Hoggard, that he did not expect the legislation to progress this side of November’s general election.
“While discussions are ongoing, Cabinet has not agreed any final decisions,” he said.
Nearly three years ago, the Labour-led government banned the trade worth around $374 million in 2022, after a ship en route to China capsized in 2020, killing 41 crew members – including 2 New Zealanders – and nearly 6000 cattle.
But during the last election, there was a push for the practice to resume. It featured in coalition agreements between National and Act and National and New Zealand First.
Since then, the Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) had been working with industry to create so-called gold standards for live exports.
Industry group Livestock Export NZ’s executive director, Glen Neal said it spent years working closely with MPI on developing the new standards.
“The decision leaves us grasping for what the future of the sector really is,” he said.
“We couldn’t agree more with the SPCA and others that this is about animal welfare, which is why we work so closely with MPI on new standards; on standards that New Zealanders could justifiably be proud of, that lined up with our reputation as a proud trading nation in agricultural products.”
He said government went quiet on it last year.
“This decision announced from Minister Hoggard, unfortunately comes as no surprise. We haven’t heard much for the last nine months on this,” he said.
“We elected this government on the back of many promises, but one of them did include reinstating the trade, and so three years of missing $300 million in New Zealand’s rural economies, it does leave you scratching your head about why.
“Three-hundred million dollars, the minister mentioned last night, that per year. That’s what we’re leaving on the table in terms of trade with countries like Indonesia.”
Neal said New Zealand helped contribute to growing Indonesia’s domestic dairy herd, and China wanted this too.
He said these markets wanted dairy cattle from New Zealand, and may look to countries with lower welfare standards to plug the gap.
“Effectively, this decision just postpones the introduction of those good standards, postpones New Zealand’s re-entry into this market.”
Industry group Livestock Export New Zealand represented firms involved with the trade, like farmers, stock agents, shipping companies and veterinarians.
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Southern Medicinal has converted the old Mataura paper mill into a medicinal cannabis and hemp growing, testing and processing facility.Supplied / Southern Medicinal
Medicinal cannabis company Helius Therapeutics has been placed in voluntary administration, citing a tough commercial and regulatory environment.
The Auckland-based company was founded in 2018, and was one of the early players in the sector.
The voluntary administration does not impact the clinic business owned by Helius Group, and operating under Cannaplus.
Helius chief executive Vicky Taylor, who joined in late 2025, said the decision reflected challenges facing the sector.
“This is an incredibly difficult moment for our team and for the wider medical cannabis industry,” Taylor said.
“Unfortunately, the current commercial and regulatory environment has made it very challenging for manufacturers to operate sustainably at scale.”
Helius Therapeutics will close its East Tāmaki manufacturing facility.
Daniel Stoneman and Neale Jackson of Calibre Partners were appointed voluntary administrators.
Stoneman said they would continue to trade the business at reduced capacity over the next six weeks to sell the remaining stock on hand.
All manufacturing operations have ceased, and assets would be sold, he said.
“The company has been placed in voluntary administration following a sustained period of trading losses driven by high operating costs and a challenging regulatory environment,” Stoneman said.
Taylor said its priority was to support staff and ensure patients received care through its clinic network.
“Most importantly, I want to thank the great people who have worked at Helius Therapeutics,” she said.
“Their commitment to patients, innovation and quality has been remarkable, and I’m grateful for everything they have contributed.”
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By John Cook, Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne School of Psychological Sciences, The University of Melbourne
When English author J.R.R. Tolkien crafted his fantasy world Middle-earth, he argued storytellers are essentially “sub-creators” – they build fictional realms with internally consistent laws.
For a world to be truly immersive and believable, readers apply what is known as the “principle of minimal departure”. This assumes anything not explicitly magical, such as a planet’s weather or gravity, must adhere to the laws of the real world.
We used complex computer programs – the same ones used to forecast Earth’s future warming scenarios – to simulate the climates of famous fantasy settings such as Tolkien’s Middle-earth, the continents of Westeros in the Game of Thrones, and the far-future Earth in The Wheel of Time series. We also built a model for a fictional world developed by one of us.
It’s a seemingly whimsical exercise, but it serves serious purposes.
For starters, it provides new details on fictional worlds beyond what the author shared, “filling the gaps” with science.
More importantly, it offers a new way for us to communicate the fundamental physics of climate science to a broad, general audience. And exploring climate model behaviour under fantastical settings helps our understanding of model physics.
Why the Misty Mountains are so misty
Tolkien, the author of The Lord of the Rings, was known for his extraordinary attention to detail. He meticulously calculated distances, times, and even phenomena such as the direction of the wind at every step along the characters’ journey.
Working from Tolkien’s own detailed maps, we fed Middle-earth’s topography (land height) and bathymetry (ocean depth) into an advanced climate model.
Since Tolkien intended Middle-earth to be our own Earth at a distant point in the past, we assumed its physical parameters – such as the planetary radius, rotation rate, and distance from the Sun – were identical to ours. We then simulated the world’s climate.
The results were a remarkable confirmation of Tolkien’s intuitive worldbuilding.
The model predicted a climate similar to Western Europe and North Africa – unsurprising, given Tolkien’s geographical inspiration.
The highest precipitation fell on and to the west of the Misty Mountains, with a drier “rain-shadow” effect to the east. This effect is caused by prevailing westerly winds forcing moist air to rise and cool over the mountains, condensing water vapour into rain or snow before it reaches the eastern side.
The model’s prediction of extensive forest cover across much of Middle-earth was consistent with Elrond’s claim that in the past, squirrels could travel from the Shire to Dunland without touching the ground.
A simulation of precipitation in Middle-earth, with fictional references to author and journal publication included for fun.Dan Lunt
Climate scientist Dan Lunt first released this climate simulation in a fictional paper in 2013, and it became an unexpected success in the classroom. Educators used the exotic setting of Middle-earth to explain complex concepts underpinning weather and climate. They were able to relate this to the physical laws that govern why climate changes in the real world.
The unstable seasons of Westeros
One of the defining features of George R.R. Martin’s Game of Thrones is the unpredictable and prolonged seasons of Westeros. This unique climatic feature is not just backstory. It’s a crucial plot device, allowing the White Walkers to move southward across an ice-covered world.
Astrophysicists and climatologists have long nerded out over the possible cause. Theories have ranged from binary star systems to volcanic activity, but all have struggled to create a viable, habitable world.
We focused on the idea of a chaotically-varying axial tilt. On Earth, the stable tilt of our axis is what gives us regular seasons. We used a real-world climate model where the planet’s axis “tumbled” throughout the year, like a wobbly spinning top.
The result was striking: if the planet tumbled exactly once per orbit, one hemisphere would constantly face the sun in a fixed season, creating a permanent summer or winter.
How axial tilt affects a planet’s seasons. If the tilt stays the same, the northern hemisphere changes from summer to winter. If the axial tilt shifts, winter can stay throughout the year.Cook et al. 2026, CC BY-NC-ND
But what causes the season to suddenly flip from a long summer to a long winter? The tilt of our planet’s axis is stabilised by the gravitational influence of its moon.
Martin’s world has only one moon, but legend says it once had two, until the second moon “wandered too close to the sun and it cracked from the heat”. The loss of a second moon may have caused the planet’s axis to become unstable, providing a plausible, physics-based explanation for the world’s greatest mysteries.
Building new worlds with climate science
The benefits of climate modelling are not limited to just filling gaps in classic stories.
Our models can also inform the worldbuilding of new fantasy realms. The work now published in our new paper started when climate communicator John Cook was developing an allegorical, speculative story exploring the denialist response to environmental damage.
He worked with climate scientists to simulate the climate of his fantasy world, Terrios. The subsequent model output provided concrete details such as temperature, precipitation, and wind conditions at every step along the characters’ journey through a variety of biomes.
This ensured the world was internally consistent and richly detailed, enhancing verisimilitude and creating a more immersive experience for the reader.
How simulated biomes from a climate model inform the design of a map of a new fantasy world.Cook et al. 2026
Ultimately, applying physics to fictional lands provides an engaging way to connect general audiences with complex environmental science.
By using climate models, scientists honour Tolkien’s demand that even the most fantastical worlds must maintain a credible, finely-tuned balance between the familiar laws of realism and the fantastic.
The enduring legacy of these simulated worlds proves that when science and art collide, the resulting discoveries can be just as compelling as the stories themselves.
Police were called to a house on Newcastle St in Mahia at 11.30pm on February 28. (File photo)RNZ / Marika Khabazi
A man who was struck in the head and face with a golf club after entering a house in Hawke’s Bay and seriously assaulting a person is being sought by police.
Police were called to address on Newcastle St in Mahia, at 11.30 pm on February 28 after a man entered the property and seriously assaulted a person.
Another person in the house confronted the man – hitting him with a golf club – and injuring his head and face, police said.
The man then fled on a dark-coloured side-by-side quadbike.
Detective Sergeant Joshua Jones said police were looking for man in his 30s or 40s with short black hair and a receding hairline.
The man was nearly six foot three inches tall – of chubby build – and wearing a white singlet and jeans at the time of the assault.
“This is a very serious incident that has happened in a place where the victim should have been able to feel safe.
“The victim sustained serious injuries, and both occupants are understandably very shaken by the incident,” Jones said.
Police were asking anyone who may have seen a person matching the description – possibly with unexplained head injuries – or who spotted the quad bike in the Newcastle and Weld St areas, near the time of the assault, to get in touch.
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It did, however, highlight that officials were warned about the risks of giving two doses to teenagers – and said that was not passed on to ministers.
In a statement, NZ First said the latest report did not go far enough when looking into vaccine safety and risks.
It called for a select committee to hold its own inquiry to give anyone injured a voice and to hold decision-makers accountable.
“The Crown needs to know how widespread any effects of those known risks that were mandated on New Zealanders but specifically those young people.
“The downstream health effects could be disastrous with the report identifying myocarditis as a specific health consequence.”
Speaking at Parliament, NZ First leader Winston Peters told reporters he had serious concerns about vaccine safety.
“Hundreds of thousands of people have been affected here. They need to know the truth. They need to know why they were denied the truth.”
ACT’s David Seymour said he was open to the idea of a select committee inquiry.
“A lot of people felt they were ostracized from society and if this helps them feel seen and heard, then it might not be a bad thing.”
Even with the support of NZ First and ACT, a select committee inquiry would require the backing of the National Party.
National leader and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon dodged questions over whether he supported an inquiry, saying only that there were “very serious questions” for Labour to answer.
Labour leader Chris Hipkins said two high-level investigations had already been carried out – including one commissioned by the current coalition government.
He pointed out that Peters was once a staunch advocate for vaccines, even calling for them to be a requirement for welfare and parole.
“One of the wonders of being Winston Peters is you never have to be consistent in your position on anything.”
Hipkins said the government needed to “move on” and focus instead on the cost-of-living and the country’s future.
In its report, released on Tuesday, the Royal Commission of Inquiry said the process and consideration surrounding the approval of vaccines could not have been more thorough.
“We acknowledge that some people disagree with Medsafe’s decision that the benefits of [the Pfizer vaccine] Comirnaty outweighed its risks. They consider the risks of the vaccine then, and now, well outweigh any perceived benefit.
“We do not agree with that view.”
The report said the evidence did not support arguments that Covid-19 was not “a significant threat to public health”.
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There was champagne and smiles as Dan Turner sailed into Antigua, in the Caribbean Sea, this week.
After 16 months at sea and 28,000 nautical miles travelled, the South Australian accomplished what some can only dream of — sailing solo around the world.
Researchers at Melbourne start-up Cortical Labs have taught their “biological computer” made from living human brain cells to play Doom.
They say it brings biological computers a step closer to real-world uses, such as drug-testing or robotics applications.
Cortical Labs synthetic biological intelligence scientist Dr Alon Loeffler told Midday Report it was the “first code-deployable biological computer”.
“We like to call it neurocomputer, made out of about 200,000 to 800,000 cells that were taken from stem cells and turned into brain cells,” he said.
“Then we had an early access user, a customer of ours, in one-week programme the game Doom, or a free version of Doom, without the copyright restrictions, so that the cells can navigate this environment and try and beat the game.”
He said the cells were very similar to what would be in a real-life brain.
Loeffler said while they were human brain cells, they were not taken from people’s brains, but rather from blood donations.
“We take blood donations from willing volunteers and donors and then our amazing biology team does some biology magic, which is science, but I think of it as magic.
“They turn these blood cells into stem cells, similar to what in the past you’d have to take out of embryos, but now you can just get them from skin cells or blood cells.
“Then those are converted to brain cells or cortical cells, which are then placed on a Petri dish, and we can record the electrical activity from the cells because they communicate via electrical signals, similar to how they would in the brain.”
In that sense, they were alive, he said.
‘Learning to improve over time’
Loeffler said because the system didn’t have sensory inputs such as eyes or ears, the question was how they would encode the information.
A lot of research had gone into that, he said.
“We’re still in the very early stages of understanding that, but the idea is, for example, in the Doom game, if there’s an enemy or demon that appears on the left side, you can send in an electrical input on the left side of the chip, and if it’s on the right side, you could send in an electrical signal on the right side of the chip.
“This is obviously a much more condensed version and simplified version, but then the response of the culture would then kind of tell the game or tell the controller what to do, to move to the left or to move to the right, for example.”
Loeffler admitted the computer was not very good at the game, but would outperform a model that shot randomly.
He said it was “learning to improve over time”.
Loeffler said there were several real-world applications it could be applied to, such as drug development and testing.
“You can test all sorts of different drugs on these cells, and they’ll perform much more similar to biological systems,” he said.
“They’re also much more similar to brains than animal models, so you can kind of remove the need for mice and chimpanzees and sheep in animal models. You could also potentially use them for robotics applications.
“It’s one thing that biological systems are really good at doing, which AI is terrible at doing, is navigating new and changing environments.”
He said if they could improve its ability to understand inputs, they would be able to navigate an environment in a more biological way.
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Researchers at Melbourne start-up Cortical Labs have taught their “biological computer” made from living human brain cells to play Doom.
They say it brings biological computers a step closer to real-world uses, such as drug-testing or robotics applications.
Cortical Labs synthetic biological intelligence scientist Dr Alon Loeffler told Midday Report it was the “first code-deployable biological computer”.
“We like to call it neurocomputer, made out of about 200,000 to 800,000 cells that were taken from stem cells and turned into brain cells,” he said.
“Then we had an early access user, a customer of ours, in one-week programme the game Doom, or a free version of Doom, without the copyright restrictions, so that the cells can navigate this environment and try and beat the game.”
He said the cells were very similar to what would be in a real-life brain.
Loeffler said while they were human brain cells, they were not taken from people’s brains, but rather from blood donations.
“We take blood donations from willing volunteers and donors and then our amazing biology team does some biology magic, which is science, but I think of it as magic.
“They turn these blood cells into stem cells, similar to what in the past you’d have to take out of embryos, but now you can just get them from skin cells or blood cells.
“Then those are converted to brain cells or cortical cells, which are then placed on a Petri dish, and we can record the electrical activity from the cells because they communicate via electrical signals, similar to how they would in the brain.”
In that sense, they were alive, he said.
‘Learning to improve over time’
Loeffler said because the system didn’t have sensory inputs such as eyes or ears, the question was how they would encode the information.
A lot of research had gone into that, he said.
“We’re still in the very early stages of understanding that, but the idea is, for example, in the Doom game, if there’s an enemy or demon that appears on the left side, you can send in an electrical input on the left side of the chip, and if it’s on the right side, you could send in an electrical signal on the right side of the chip.
“This is obviously a much more condensed version and simplified version, but then the response of the culture would then kind of tell the game or tell the controller what to do, to move to the left or to move to the right, for example.”
Loeffler admitted the computer was not very good at the game, but would outperform a model that shot randomly.
He said it was “learning to improve over time”.
Loeffler said there were several real-world applications it could be applied to, such as drug development and testing.
“You can test all sorts of different drugs on these cells, and they’ll perform much more similar to biological systems,” he said.
“They’re also much more similar to brains than animal models, so you can kind of remove the need for mice and chimpanzees and sheep in animal models. You could also potentially use them for robotics applications.
“It’s one thing that biological systems are really good at doing, which AI is terrible at doing, is navigating new and changing environments.”
He said if they could improve its ability to understand inputs, they would be able to navigate an environment in a more biological way.
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When the United States and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury against Iran nearly two weeks ago, the first confirmation didn’t come from governments. It came from commercial satellites.
Images from US companies Planet Labs and Vantor captured smoke billowing over central Tehran and ships burning at the coastal city of Konarak – evidence of strikes on naval bases, airfields and missile sites that global media confirmed within hours.
But space-based technology was not just observing the conflict, it was also a target. US officials said early strikes hit “Iran’s equivalent of Space Command”, undermining Tehran’s ability to coordinate via satellite.
Simultaneously, US Space Command and Cyber Command launched operations to jam, hack and disrupt Iranian software systems, known as “non-kinetic” attacks in the jargon of modern warfare.
Such operations are a kind of “silent sabotage”, disabling communications or corrupting GPS signals without blowing anything up with conventional “kinetic” attacks.
This combination of advanced battlefield tactics and the rapid commercialisation of space technology, as well as the erosion of the old rules-based order in general, means international law is now falling well behind.
Blurred lines of accountability
Non-kinetic tactics have quickly spilled into civilian life. In January, amid anti-government protests, and later during the first wave of strikes, Iran used GPS jamming and spoofing to disrupt Starlink terminals, which civilians and protesters depended on to stay online and share information during internet blackouts.
At the same time, commercial satellite imagery became part of the conflict itself. After Planet Lab’s images revealed Iranian retaliatory strikes on US and US-linked sites in the Persian Gulf, the company delayed releasing new imagery to avoid aiding real‑time damage assessment by Iranian forces.
On March 10, Planet Labs extended the delay time to two weeks for non-government users, but the US military still receives immediate access.
Modern warfare depends heavily on these kinds of commercial, dual-use space systems. The same satellites that time financial transactions, support hospitals and manage global logistics also guide military operations.
This blurs the traditional legal boundary between civilian and military objects and activities. The International Committee of the Red Cross has warned repeatedly that interference with satellites can harm civilians by disrupting power grids, navigation, emergency services and humanitarian operations.
Outer space is not a legal vacuum. The United Nations’ Outer Space Treaty, the UN Charter itself, and international humanitarian law all apply to warfare in orbit. But the Iran war shows how real‑world practice is advancing faster than these legal frameworks.
A proper treaty is unlikely
Dual-use satellites providing both civilian broadband and military communications also complicate decisions about what constitutes a lawful target.
Legal experts say satellites providing essential civilian services should be presumed to be non-military unless direct military use is demonstrated. But this precept is tested daily over Iran.
Another challenge is political neutrality. If a private company based in a neutral state provides data that can assist military operations elsewhere, the neutral state may face serious questions and diplomatic pressure from other governments about whether it should be held responsible.
The law has not caught up with these commercial realities. Planet Lab’s imagery delays show how companies are having to improvise policy themselves during armed conflict.
And because cyber-attacks can disable military systems without causing physical destruction, they can fall short of “armed attack” thresholds under international law. States can exploit this legal grey zone to gain strategic advantage.
New legal norms may eventually evolve out of the behaviour of governments and commercial operators rather than through formal agreements and treaties. Indeed, geopolitical tensions make a new treaty on military space operations highly unlikely.
This leaves companies, regulators and militaries to define the boundaries of acceptable conduct through their real‑time responses. The result is a battlefield where satellites shape strategy faster than lawmakers can respond.
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Sophie Andrews, Associate Professor and Lead, Healthy Brain Ageing Research Program, Thompson Institute, University of the Sunshine Coast
We’ve all been there. Whether it’s at a crucial moment of an exam, walking into a room for a specific purpose, or making an impromptu speech, your mind goes blank.
It can be frustrating, stressful or worrying.
But what’s really going on in your brain? And when should you go to your GP for a check-up?
What is mind blanking?
One of the earliest observations in psychology is that our thoughts usually produce a stream of consciousness, flowing almost constantly.
Often our attention and thoughts are focused. Other times, our mind wanders.
Mind blanking can happen when we intend to retrieve a memory, and find it gone. This could be completely forgetting the answers to questions in an exam, or forgetting why we walked into a room.
It can also happen when we are not aware of thinking at all. Someone might ask us a question, and we realise we had “zoned out”.
Sometimes this zoning out is due to our mind wandering, and we are aware of our thoughts. However, at other times, when we’re not sure where our mind went, this is mind blanking.
Some people are much more likely than others to say their mind goes blank. These include people with ADHD (attention deficit hyperactivity disorder) or anxiety.
These brain areas are connected to regions in the outer layer of the brain, the frontal and parietal cortex, which support our planning, decision-making and sensory integration.
This executive attention network is used both for passing information to our memory systems for storage, and then later retrieving those memories when we need them.
One of the key brain chemicals that supports this network is noradrenaline, also known as norepinephrine. This controls our alertness and readiness for action.
So what happens when our mind goes blank?
Disruption in any part of the executive attention network can impact the brain’s ability to pay attention and retrieve memories, leading to a blank mind.
When we’re sleep-deprived
Fatigue caused by sleep deprivation or sleep disorders can impact the alerting part of the network.
When we are very tired, we can experience “local sleep”. This is where the activity in parts of our brains is sleep-like even if we are awake. This can cause the attention system to temporarily shut off, which researchers think may lead to mind blanks.
Neuroimaging research shows parts of the executive attention network are “deactivated” during mind blanking.
This likely explains what causes the “zoning out” kind of mind blank.
When we’re stressed
High levels of stress or anxiety, such as what we might experience in an exam room, can result in high levels of noradrenaline. This puts the body in “fight or flight mode”.
This focuses our attention on immediate threats, reducing its ability to retrieve what it sees as non-essential memories, such as information you’ve been revising the day before.
When we’re multi-tasking
If the executive attention network doesn’t encode a memory efficiently in the first place – because for example, we were multi-tasking or distracted – then it might not be easily retrieved later on. This can also lead to a mind blank.
When is it time to see your GP?
While mind blanking is common and usually no cause for concern, frequent mind blanking can be a sign of a medical condition.
So, generally speaking, if you’ve noticed mind blanking becoming more common, if there has been a sudden onset of symptoms, or if your friends or family have raised concerns, see your GP for a check-up.
If you’ve noticed any changes to your ability to undertake your daily activities, or you find yourself confused or disorientated, you should also see your GP.
If you go to your GP for a check-up, they may take a medical history, and ask you some questions to assess your thinking and memory skills.
They may also refer you for neuropsychological or neurological assessment, or request a brain scan (like a CT or MRI scan) to check for any brain changes caused by stroke or dementia.
Police discovered a “chop shop” and recovered several stolen vehicles. (File photo)123RF
Two Mongrel Mob members have been arrested following raids targeting the gang in Christchurch and north Canterbury, police say.
Officers also seized cash, methamphetamine, guns and vehicles after searching properties linked to gang members over the past fortnight.
Detective Senior Sergeant Damon Wells said officers found several guns and ammunition.
“Police also discovered a ‘chop shop’ and have been able to recover several stolen vehicles,” Wells said.
“A further five vehicles were seized by the courts due to unpaid fines. As a result, two men, who are both patched Mongrel Mob members, were arrested. They are remanded in custody, due to reappear in the Christchurch District Court in the coming weeks.”
A 34-year-old and a 29-year-old were facing drug dealing and possession charges as well as charges relating to driving and unlawfully possessing ammunition.
“Police are not ruling out further charges,” Wells said.
Anyone with information or concerns about illegal activity should contact police via 111 or 105 or CrimeStoppers via 0800 555 111.
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Legal experts have said the attacks violated Article 2(4) of the UN Charter, which prohibits the use of force against states. The US and Israel have not produced any evidence that Iran posed an imminent threat to either of them. And neither has brought the matter to the UN Security Council. As such, this was a clear breach of international law.
But even though most scholars agree the strikes were unlawful, the public and political debate has shifted somewhere else entirely.
Instead of wrestling with the legal questions, many politicians, commentators, and everyday observers are counterbalancing the illegality with arguments about legitimacy.
Both Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump have cast the war as a “necessary” fight between good and evil. Netanyahu said:
I know the cost of war. But I know sometimes that war is necessary to protect us from the people who will destroy us. […] We have to understand that we’re fighting here the bad guys. We’re the good guys. These people massacred their own people.
Canada and Australia, two of the US’ closest allies, have both used strikingly similarlanguage in their statements about the war, saying they supported the US:
acting to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and to prevent its regime from further threatening international peace and security.
This idea of legitimacy – that is, what is “right”, “necessary”, or “just” – is now being thrown around in almost every conversation about the war.
Two arguments for a ‘just’ war
These arguments echo centuries‑old thinking about “just” wars.
Christian philosophers such as St Augustine (4th–5th century) and St Thomas Aquinas (13th century), for example, were early proponents of what is known as the “just war theory”. Basically, this means you may violate the moral rule against violence if the cause is “just”.
In modern debates, arguments about the legitimacy of wars tend to fall into two categories.
The first claims attacks like the ones launched by the US and Israel are morally just and therefore ought to be permitted, regardless of what international law says.
This line of reasoning goes something like this: “So what if the action breaches international law? We removed an evil dictator.” Or: “Do we really want Iran developing nuclear weapons or long-range missiles?”
The statements by Netanyahu and Trump frame the use of force as morally necessary, implying that if an action feels righteous, legality should not be a hindrance.
The second argument dismisses international law altogether as ineffective or irrelevant.
The strand of legitimacy reasoning is also becoming common. It’s reflected in statements like: “Where was international law when people were being killed on the streets in Iran?” or “How can international law matter if Iran is constantly threatening western states and funding a proxy war?”
The conclusion drawn here is simple: if the law fails to prevent harm, it must be irrelevant. And if international law is irrelevant, then the US-Israeli strikes on Iran are legitimate.
Both of these lines of reasoning carry their own risks, not least the danger of allowing subjective morality to replace objective legal constraints.
Can a morally just war be deemed illegal?
The first argument hinges on the notion that the US and Israel strikes on Iran are just, given the brutal, repressive nature of the Iranian regime and the fact it is pursuing nuclear weapons. And international law should allow just actions.
But who decides what is just?
For the US and some of its allies, this is a binary moral equation: Iran is bad, we are good.
But this argument can also be made from Iran’s perspective: Israel and the US are bad. Therefore, we need nuclear weapons to protect ourselves.
Once states are permitted to act on their own sense of morality and justice, the international system goes down an extremely dangerous road. Every state can consider itself the “good” actor in its own story. If we allow individual morality to override the law, moral chaos follows.
Historically, moral arguments about “civilisation”, “enlightenment”, or “improvement” were also used to justify colonisation and slavery.
This is still happening in different contexts today: one group assumes its moral compass is universal, superior and mandatory for all others. If the world returns to that mode of thinking, the strongest states will once again become the arbiters of what counts as “good”.
International law must therefore remain objective, free from claims of moral exceptionalism.
Does international law still have relevance?
The second argument is even stranger: where was international law when a state like Iran committed atrocities?
This requires a clearer understanding of the role of international law. If we disregard international law because someone violates it, it’s like rejecting the rule book while still using its language to call out a foul.
Without it, there would be no norms to appeal to, no expectation of protection, no shared belief that certain harms are prohibited.
This argument also doesn’t follow logic. Murders still happen in countries like Australia. Should we therefore abandon domestic laws that prevent them?
Of course, there are double standards in international law. Powerful states have greater impunity and weaker states face more scrutiny.
But double standards also exist in domestic legal systems – wealthier people generally receive better outcomes than those with less means.
The existence of inequality in international law, then, shows the need for reform, not the abandonment of the law altogether.
Why this matters
The Iran war reveals a dangerous shift in the way states justify their actions: a growing preference for moral storytelling over legal reasoning.
Once the narrative of a “just war” replaces the rule of law, there is little left to restrain the powerful states from dominating the weaker ones.
The purpose of international law is not to determine who is morally good; it is to maintain order in a world where every state believes it is waging the “good” fight.
Whether it’s enjoying a podcast, listening to music or chatting on the phone, many of us spend hours a day using our headphones. One 2017 study of 4185 Australians showed they used headphones on average 47–88 hours a month.
Health advice about headphones tends to focus on how loud sounds might affect our hearing. For example, to avoid hearing loss, the World Health Organization advises people to keep the volume at below 60 percent their device’s maximum and to use devices that monitor sound exposure and limit volume.
But apart from sound, what else is going in our ears? Using headphones – particularly in-ear versions such as earbuds – blocks the ear canal and puts the skin in contact with any dirt or bacteria they may be carrying.
We generally only notice earwax when there’s too much.
Alexander_P/Shutterstock
– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand
The government vowed to reinstate the trade with a new gold standard of animal welfare, but after making it into ACT and National’s coalition agreement – the plan seemed to get lost in the cogs of Parliament.
Speaking to Midday Report Minister of Agriculture Todd McClay said his party had withdrawn support for reinstating the trade.
“It was a policy that the National [Party] had before the last election, and I put it forward as our agricultural spokesperson then, now as agricultural minister. But I was also very clear that we had to have a gold standard, and for animals to leave New Zealand, it had to be the highest level of animal welfare and animal husbandry that New Zealanders would expect.
“We are not convinced that that is possible and so we’ve said that we won’t support that anymore.”
Labour banned live exports by sea three years ago due to animal welfare concerns.
Before the ban the trade which was worth about $300 million a year saw cattle shipped to China to help build the dairy herd there.
McClay said if a case could be made where animal welfare could be guaranteed National would relook at it.
“But I don’t think that is possible so we’re not supporting it. It’s not something I think we’ll see any time soon.”
Green Party spokesperson Steve AbelRNZ / Samuel Rillstone
Green Party spokesperson Steve Abel said National and ACT should never have committed to reinstating exports.
“Look, I think that neither National nor ACT did the background work on establishing if they were committed to the principle of upholding the highest animal welfare standards, which is what New Zealanders expect.
“Can they resume this fundamentally cruel trade? There is no veterinary expert who independently states that that was ever possible. That answer should have been able to be got before the last election.”
Abel said he was glad the truth has come to light.
“This gold standard idea is a public relations exercise that has no substance in fact and the minister, it sounds like, has rightly pulled the pin on the plans to resume live exports at sea.”
Abel said the live animal export industry wassn’t one National should be bending over backwards for.
“It’s a tiny cohort of particularly vested interests who want to reinstate this trade and the public don’t like it because New Zealanders do not want to see animals suffering.
“There should be no future for live exports in New Zealand and it’s a good thing if the National Party are committed to make sure it doesn’t come back.”
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A woman has died after a car mounted the curb and ploughed into a cafe in Auckland.
The crash, about 9am on Wednesday, closed William Souter Street in the North Shore suburb of Forrest Hill.
Three people were initially hurt – one critically, one with moderate injuries and one with minor injuries. Two were taken to hospital.
Police have confirmed one of those injured had since died.
RNZ / Marika Khabazi
“We just heard a massive crash sound,” Jess, who works in a neighbouring store, told RNZ.
“I was out back and I thought maybe some of our shelves had fallen down, so I rushed out to the front of the store, and lo and behold, there’s just a car on the sidewalk.”
Jess said she and her manager both rushed out and could see that the car had “obviously” crashed into the cafe.
“The first thing we saw was obviously the lady that was really injured, she was lying on the ground and there was, like, another girl, it looked like quite a young girl, whose face was bleeding as well so there were like two very noticeably injured,” she said.
“And the first thing was just to call 111, just because obviously we saw that the lady who was hit was in a not so good situation, she was in a lot of pain and she kind of looked super, super confused so we called emergency right off the bat.
RNZ / Marika Khabazi
“The car obviously has taken out the door area, the whole glass panel, it’s almost like a split glass panel and the one glass panel is literally floating in mid-air.”
Jess said they then tried to keep people away from the entrance so there were no further injuries.
She credited another nearby worker.
“The cat doctor next door to us, there is a cat nurse, she was brilliant in that situation, she ran right across from the cat doctor and she sat on the ground with the injured lady and she just sat with her and talked her through it. She was amazing,” Jess said.
RNZ / Marika Khabazi
A worker at the cafe that was hit by the car said a woman and her daughter were sitting at the time.
“Very sad news to see today. Thinking of all those involved,” North Shore MP Simon Watts said in a post on Facebook.
St John sent three ambulances and two rapid response units.
Police said only one vehicle was involved.
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Willow-Jean Prime has picked up the social development role.VNP / Phil Smith
Willow-Jean Prime has lost the education portfolio, but picked up social development, as Labour reshuffles its decks ahead of the election.
Ginny Andersen will take on the education role, making her the third Labour MP to take on the role in just over a year.
Peeni Henare‘s departure from Parliament, along with Adrian Rurawhe earlier this year, has given Labour leader Chris Hipkins an opportunity to change things up.
“These refreshed portfolios ensure our team will hit the ground running when we win the election in November,” Hipkins said.
Willie Jackson, who had taken on the social development role last year, will instead take on Māori Crown Relations.
Ginny Andersen will take on the education portfolio.RNZ / REECE BAKER
Speaking to the changes, Hipkins said Prime’s new social development role required “care, empathy, and a strong focus on improving outcomes for New Zealanders,” while Jackson would focus on running a “winning campaign” in the Māori seats.
Among the other changes are Damien O’Connor picking up Henare’s defence spokesperson role, Reuben Davidson taking over economic development, and Tangi Utikere becoming the spokesperson for state-owned enterprises.
Willie Jackson, who had taken on the social development role last year, will instead take on Māori Crown Relations.RNZ / Samuel Rillstone
Vanushi Walters moves considerably higher up Labour’s list, and takes over foreign affairs from Henare.
New list MP Georgie Dansey has been given the rainbow issues and regulation roles. Dan Rosewarne, who will re-enter Parliament following Henare’s retirement, has been given the rural communities and small business portfolios.
Duncan Webb, who has announced he will retire at the election, has lost all of his spokesperson roles.
Vanushi Walters takes over foreign affairs from Peeni Henare who is departing politics.VNP / Phil Smith
His justice portfolio has been given to Camilla Belich.
Hipkins said Webb would instead take on a “mentoring role to support our team.”
The Prime Minister is also expected to announce a ministerial reshuffle in the coming weeks, following the retirement of Judith Collins and Dr Shane Reti’s announcement he will step down at the election.
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In 1974, philosopher Thomas Nagel posed a deceptively simple question: “what is it like to be a bat?”. His point wasn’t really about bats. He was offering a provocative challenge about the limits of understanding another mind: no matter how much we try, we cannot access what it feels like to experience the world as another.
This might seem like an abstract philosophical puzzle. But it’s crucial when we consider the billions of animals in our care – whether in farms, laboratories, homes or zoos. We make daily decisions about their lives, from their environment, to separation from companions, to whether they are suffering. Still, we face Nagel’s problem. We cannot directly access their experience. We can only infer it.
For decades, animal welfare science has grappled with this challenge. But in a recent paper published in the journal Frontiers in Animal Science, we’ve developed a framework called the “teleonome” that provides a way forward – not by transcending the limits Nagel identified, but by understanding each species on its own evolutionary terms.
It’s hard to see the whole
Currently, when we assess animal welfare, we’re like mechanics checking individual car parts without understanding how the engine works.
Physiologists measure stress hormones. Behaviourists count how often animals move or vocalise. And veterinarians check for disease.
Each specialist produces valuable data. But what’s missing is a way to evaluate these data from the animals’ lived experience.
A horse might have normal cortisol concentrations, show no abnormal repetitive behaviour, and appear physically healthy. But it might still be chronically distressed by separation from its companions.
A chicken in a cage might produce eggs efficiently. But she might be suffering chronic frustration because she cannot scratch, bathe in dust, flap her wings, explore and nest – behaviours the cage makes impossible.
Enter the ‘teleonome’
The teleonome is an animal’s integrated system of perceptual, physiological, behavioural and emotional capabilities. It is shaped by evolution to enable adaptation, survival and reproduction.
Back to the bat. Its DNA doesn’t “contain” echolocation like a blueprint contains a house plan. What exists is an integrated auditory-brain-body-behaviour system that only emerges when genes encounter the right environmental conditions.
That’s the bat’s teleonome: not just the genetic potential, but the living, functioning survival system.
The teleonome operates through a continuous four-step process. It detects change, evaluates whether it’s a threat or opportunity, forecasts the best response and, finally, acts.
This isn’t conscious deliberation but an embodied system guiding physiology and behaviour across timescales from milliseconds to months.
Emotions are central to the teleonome. An animal’s feelings of fear, frustration, contentment, or curiosity are evolved mechanisms for prioritising what matters, guiding learning and coordinating adaptive responses. These emotions reflect welfare and also actively maintain it. Negative experiences stimulate animals to resolve problems; positive experiences prompt them to carry on their activities.
Of course, the behaviour of individual animals of the same species will vary. This can be explained by the “expressed teleonome”: genes provide biological potential, but lifetime experiences, current stress load, and environmental context shape expression.
The teleonome also recognises that animals need environments that offer what their bodies and brains evolved to anticipate, use and learn. A hen doesn’t just prefer to dust-bathe; she does so to keep her feathers and skin in good condition. Remove that opportunity and you disrupt the process, creating ongoing biological stress – even if the bird appears healthy.
Why this matters
The teleonome provides welfare science with a biological north star.
Instead of arguing whether enrichment is “necessary” or debating which behaviours matter most, we can ask: does this behaviour support the animal’s evolved way of functioning, and does the environment enable it?
This has immediate practical applications.
For separation anxiety in dogs, we can identify and even rank the events and contexts which, in combination, trigger distress. We can then design interventions that fully support, rather than override, evolved social systems.
For farm animals, it explains why productivity doesn’t equal welfare. Domestication creates animals that are highly productive, producing a lot of milk, eggs or meat, but that also suffer chronic stress because we’ve disrupted animal-environment relationships that evolved over millions of years.
Perhaps most importantly, the teleonome transforms the ethics debate.
Treating animals as “ends in themselves” isn’t just philosophy. Rather it means recognising what matters to them based on how they have evolved.
The teleonome provides the biological foundation for making welfare decisions grounded in the animal’s perspective, rather than human preferences or industry convenience.
We may never solve Nagel’s philosophical puzzle. But animals are not black boxes either. Understanding their teleonome gives us a practical guide for care: not just to keep them alive and productive, but to enable the lives their biology prepared them for.
Period pain, also known as dysmenorrhea, is a very common condition with around nine in ten young women aged 13 to 25 in Australia having regular period pain.
For many women, period pain can make exercise seem like an impossible task.
So should you avoid exercise if you have period pain? Or could exercising actually help?
What causes period pain?
There are two main types of period pain.
The most common is primary dysmenorrhea. This usually means painful cramps in the lower abdomen.
Research suggests this kind of period pain is caused by an increased number of prostaglandins. The body releases these hormone-like molecules when the lining of the uterus breaks down during the period. Prostaglandins can cause many different symptoms including period cramps, back or leg pain and loose bowels, also known as period poops.
The other type of period pain is secondary dysmenorrhea, which refers to pain caused by physical changes in the pelvis. One of the most common causes is endometriosis, a condition where tissue resembling uterine tissue grows in other parts of the body, leading to severe pain and fertility problems.
Unfortunately, period pain is often difficult to treat. Many women don’t respond well to standard period pain treatments. These include non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications such as ibuprofen or mefenamic acid, also known as Ponstan.
This has led researchers to examine exercise as a way to reduce period pain symptoms. And there is someevidence suggesting that regular physical activity can reduce how severe period pain is, and how long it lasts.
Imagine you have a period pain scale from zero to ten, where zero means no pain and ten indicates the worst pain. Research from 2019 suggests exercise can reduce the severity of period pain by an average of 2.5 points. This makes exercise more effective than other self-treatment methods, such as using a heat pack.
However, we have only one 2017 study which directly compares the effects of exercise and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications on period pain. This means it’s hard to make any clear recommendations. But this study suggests regular exercise is at least as helpful as taking mefenamic acid.
Exercise may also reduce how long period pain lasts. One study from 2025 found aerobic exercise, which aims to increase your breathing and heart rate, can shorten the duration of period pain by more than 12 hours.
Many women experience the worst pain in the first 48 hours of their period, so a potential 25% cut in the duration of period pain is significant.
There is some evidence to suggest strength training relieves period pain more than other kinds of exercise. However, researchers generally study a specific kind of strength training known as isometric exercises. These involve holding muscles in a static position, such as doing a plank.
Other studies show exercises such as progressive muscle relaxation, which involves tensing and then relaxing particular muscles, can also be very effective. A 2024 study found women who did relaxation-based exercises, combined with self-massage, experienced the greatest reduction in pain. And because they’re simple to do, participants were more likely to stick with relaxation-based exercises compared to other kinds of physical activity.
But most of this research focuses on primary dysmenorrhea. So for those whose period pain may be caused by an underlying condition, it may be best to start with gentler forms of exercise such as yoga. You can also speak to an exercise physiologist to get personalised advice. This is because we don’t fully understand if more intense exercise has the same effect on period pain caused by other conditions, such as endometriosis.
When and how often should I exercise?
There isn’t much research looking at the effects of exercising specifically during the period. But a 2025 review of existing studies suggests exercising two to three times a week can reduce period pain.
This review found participants who did strength training for at least 30 minutes at a time, over a minimum of eight weeks, experienced the greatest reduction in pain. However, existing research suggests you may start seeing some improvements in both pain intensity and duration in as few as four weeks.
The research is less clear when it comes to aerobic exercise. A 2025 review suggests shorter and less intense sessions of aerobic exercise may be most effective for managing period pain.
So doing at least 90 minutes of exercise a week, for at least eight weeks, may be the best exercise-based way to reduce period pain. This seems to be the case whether you exercise during your period or not. But if you experience any negative symptoms after exercising, such as pain below your belly button when you’re not menstruating, it’s best to speak to a doctor.
The bottom line
Overall, exercise is one way women can manage period pain. Current research suggests any kind of exercise, ranging from yoga to more intense aerobic workouts, can reduce the severity and duration of period pain. So everyone can benefit from exercise, regardless what time of the month it is.
Film critics – myself included – love to bemoan the death of high-quality cinema in the age of streaming, pointing to mediocre Best Picture Oscar nominees as evidence that the production of great (or even good) films is on the wane.
But perhaps things are changing. Are people sick of being inundated with short videos on TikTok and Youtube, and once again hankering for a cinematic experience? The quality of this year’s nominees suggests they are.
For the first time in a while, most of the nominated films are excellent – and nearly all of them are watchable.
Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value is my pick for the Best Picture Oscar. It’s the kind of meticulously crafted film in which the naturalism seems effortless.
The narrative follows acclaimed filmmaker Gustav Borg (Stellan Skarsgård), a quintessential Euro-auteur, who comes back into the lives of his estranged daughters Nora (Renate Reinsve) and Agnes (Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas) following their mother’s death.
Gustav is making a new film, and wants his daughter Nora – an acclaimed theatre actress who has her own demons to battle (stage fright among them) – to star in it.
Nora assumes it’s a cynical manoeuvre for funding on her father’s part and refuses. So Gustav casts American star Rachel Kemp (Elle Fanning) instead, who is immediately out of her depth.
The drama unfolds around the family home in Oslo, interweaving narratives of the home’s history across generations with the tensions plaguing its current inhabitants.
Sentimental Value has a strikingly lyrical quality. Some may say it’s overdone, but every element is so perfectly executed that it doesn’t come across as pretentious or laboured. It is, in many respects, thoroughly sentimental – yet never feels like it’s performing this as some kind of effect.
Despite its considerable formal and narrative complexity, it plays in a starkly simple fashion, thanks to the light touch of Trier, coupled with stunning cinematography by Kasper Tuxen Andersen.
The lead performances by Reinsve, Lilleaas and Skarsgård are extraordinarily convincing and, perhaps more surprisingly, Fanning is awesome as the uncomfortable American trying to please the European artiste.
Sentimental Value brilliantly weaves a sense of European social and cultural history with carefully observed character moments, becoming, by the end, a kind of treatise on the affirmative potential of art to transcend and transform interpersonal barriers.
Despite the difficulties of life, the detritus of broken promises and hearts, and the disappointments minor and not so minor, we can still come together – beautifully and wholeheartedly – through the practice of that abstract dream that is called art.
Other excellent contenders
There are a few other strong contenders – films which, any other year, would have stood out above the pack.
Bugonia
Yorgos Lanthimos is one of the most acclaimed filmmakers of the past decade, and yet his films have been hit and miss. After his last great film, the 2015 black comedy The Lobster, Bugonia marks a return to form.
The film follows bumbling paranoiac conspiracy nut Teddy (Jesse Plemons) as he and his half-witted cousin Don (Aidan Delbis) kidnap Michelle Fuller (Emma Stone), the CEO of pharmaceutical company Auxolith.
Fuller is the kind of ruthless business leader who appears on the cover of Forbes magazine with the caption “Breaking Barriers” and who spouts endless nonsense about diversity while her company wreaks havoc on the planet and the people around them.
According to Teddy, she is also an “Andromedon” alien sent to Earth to enslave and exploit the human population, bringing death to humans as it has been brought to the bees.
The brilliance of the film largely revolves around its manipulation of our identification with the two leads. At times Teddy seems like a lunatic serial killer, and Fuller a heroic victim. At times we empathise with Teddy, while Fuller looks like a manipulative, cold-hearted sociopath.
The whole thing builds up to an immensely satisfying resolution, suitably nihilistic and absurd in equal measure.
As is often the case with Lanthimos’ films, the figures are caricaturish, but the comedic timing – and the oscillation between humour and discomfort for the viewer – is spot on, so it works.
Sinners
Ryan Coogler’s Sinners is a great yarn: a well-executed rock ‘n’ roll fable slash vampire siege, full of electrifying music.
It’s 1932. Twin gangster brothers Smoke and Stack (a dual role played by Michael B. Jordan) return from working for Al Capone in Chicago to Clarksdale, Mississippi, to open up a juke joint.
Their cousin Sammie (Miles Caton), a cotton picker and bluesman – with Charley Patton’s guitar – steals the show at the hugely successful opening night, fulfilling the legend of a musician who can play so well the barriers between the living and the dead come down. Everything seems to be going well – until some redneck vampires decide to assail the venue.
The whole thing is rather gaudy and silly. But like its forebear From Dusk Till Dawn (1996) – it’s so energetically (and pleasurably) handled that it doesn’t matter.
Michael B. Jordan is brilliant in the two roles, and the end result is a muscular, satisfying film that feels like a good pulp novel or comic book – capped off with a Buddy Guy jam session in the final moments.
Sinners is a delicious dream. It’s unlikely to win Best Picture; there was a time, not so long ago, when this kind of genre film wouldn’t have made it into the mix. But it’s well worth its more than two-hour runtime.
Marty Supreme
It would be hard to think of a stupider premise for a movie. In the 1950s, fast-talking entrepreneurial New York hustler Marty Mauser (Timothée Chalamet) has to raise money so he can make it to Japan to beat world number one Koto Endo (Koto Kawaguchi) in the table tennis showdown of the century.
Yet, director/co-writer Josh Safdie treats the premise with enough seriousness that we end up with a high octane sports film to rival Rocky IV. This is helped by the stunning cinematography by Darius Khondji. Shot on 35mm film, the images have a rich colour and texture rarely matched in digital cinematography.
There’s also a dynamite score from Daniel Lopatin, and an anachronistic soundtrack featuring several stellar 1980s pop tunes from the likes of Public Image Limited, New Order and Tears for Fears, to name a few.
Despite Marty’s arrogance, sweet-talking, womanising, con-artistry and generally bad behaviour, Chalamet invests the character with enough pathos and humour that he comes across as a thoroughly loveable – or at least likeable – rogue.
He is a crackpot whose self-belief and willingness to do anything to achieve his dream tricks the viewer into becoming equally invested in his absurd quest as he (and the film) bounce around New York and the world like a bright ping pong ball.
Marty Supreme is an odd – and oddly arresting – film capturing something of the madness at the heart of the American dream. Mauser does whatever he can to make it to Japan. And after several escapades – and some downright brutal scenes featuring cult director Abel Ferrara as an ageing gangster – he does make it.
The rest
Unusually for the Oscars, the pack of 2026 nominees is rounded out by several other good films.
Although not as good as some of his other films, such as Neighbouring Sounds (2012) and Bacurau (2019), Brazilian director Kleber Mendonça Filho’s The Secret Agent is a rollicking political thriller. Set in the 1970s, it features a standout performance by Wagner Moura as a dissident academic evading persecution from a brutal dictatorship.
Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another is a wacky comedy occasionally masquerading as a serious political action thriller. It follows the burnt out leftist Pat Calhoun (Leonardo DiCaprio) as, with his daughter Willa (Chase Infiniti), he evades capture by police and a militia led by the moronic Steven J. Lockjaw (Sean Penn). The whole thing is pretty silly, but like its inspiration – Thomas Pynchon’s 1990 novel Vineland – it is fun nonetheless.
F1 is likewise good. This finely wrought racing flick follows all of the delightfully dumb cliches of the genre. Hard-boiled and burnt-out old timer Sonny Hayes (Brad Pitt) makes it to Formula One for the first time, and contends with a new era of racing epitomised by his nemesis, the brash young gun Joshua Pearce (Damson Idris).
It’s hard to imagine such a film being nominated for Best Picture in any other era; Tony Scott’s Days of Thunder (1990) is equally stupid, but better made, and has been universally lampooned by critics. But people seem to be craving (and appreciating) big screen popcorn films in an era where streaming and second-screen viewing has all but destroyed commercial narrative cinema.
Only three nominees stick out as dreary
Clint Bentley’s Train Dreams is an earnest but visually unappealing Netflix film, following a ho-hum period love story about class, racism and the American Dream. Joel Edgerton is solid as usual, and the film is watchable enough, but the whole thing seems rather tired. And the digital video look really doesn’t work with the kinds of exterior, panoramic images that dominate the film.
In Frankenstein, director Guillermo del Toro takes one of the duller, more proselytising novels in the Gothic canon and gives it a suitably ponderous treatment. Oscar Isaac hams it up in full actor mode as Dr Frankenstein. Jacob Elordi is ridiculous as the monster. And Christoph Waltz as Harlander delivers such humdingers as “Can you contain your fire, Prometheus, or are you going to burn your hands before delivering it?” (in case you didn’t know, the novel’s subtitle is The Modern Prometheus).
Made for Netflix, Frankenstein tries hard to look sumptuous with period décor, but it can’t mask the sterility of its digital images. While the novel, at least, has a simple elegance to it, del Toro’s version is meandering, gaudy and cheap-looking.
It is difficult to treat Hamnet – the unbearably pretentious latest film from director Chloe Zhao – seriously, because the filmmakers do it for you. Though there are some things to like – Paul Mescal, for instance, is nice to watch, the cast are generally proficient, and the score is fine – this self-satisfied nonsense plays more like an Instagram video performing its own seriousness than a genuinely engaging feature film.
7 hits out of 10
As usual, the best films of 2025 haven’t been nominated for Best Picture (where’s Sirât, Redux Redux, or Harvest?). Nonetheless, most of this year’s nominees are films that warrant watching more than once for a variety of reasons: pleasure, complexity, nuance.
Perhaps Hollywood is starting to make good films again after decades of superhero trash. Or, at least, the Academy has started to recognise them.
Images showing rot in beams and exposed wood and peeling paint on window frames.Branz/supplied
About 90 percent of homes in New Zealand are in need of immediate maintenance, with the total cost of the work thought to be $27 billion, research has found.
Centre for Research, Evaluation and Social Assessment (CRESA) – with Building Research Levy backing – is running a project aimed at helping owners keep their homes well cared for in an affordable way.
CRESA’s research director Kay Saville-Smith, told Nine to Noon, the 90 percent figure came from a variety of resources including the latest condition survey done by the centre along with other research it had done.
Saville-Smith said any home that did not operate well, for example, losing heat or getting too warm counted as being in need of maintenance.
The risks associated with an unmaintained home were that it could become damaged during any adverse weather events.
Older homes were likely to be in need of repairs, Saville-Smith said, particularly if the home had not been well maintained on a regular basis.
She said while new builds were less likely to need immediate maintenance, they were not always suitable for the conditions and environment of where they had been built.
Old weatherboard homes for example with wooden window frames, were pretty straightforward to maintain, Saville-Smith said, but for many houses things were not so simple.
“Homeowners, particularly as they age, get less and less willing and sometimes less capable of some of the work.”
Over the years, there had been many design periods which used lots of different sorts of cladding and roof tiles, she said, and every different type of cladding on a home moved in a different way.
Different cladding moves in different ways. (File photo)123RF
“The main thing consumers can do when choosing homes and designs is to understand and think about these things.
“You want a resilient home not one that just looks a bit flash.”
She said it was also important for homeowners to remember low maintenance did not mean no maintenance.
AUT Professor of Construction Management John Tookey, said a lot of general maintenance which needed to be done on homes was relatively small including clearing gutters, touching up paint, checking for gutter cracks and treating surfaces.
He said problems arose “when the outside gets inside.”
“If you don’t maintain, issues can become serious,” he said.
At this stage, Saville-Smith said she did not have data on how much people were paying to keep their homes maintained but they were working with housing providers to get a better idea of this.
She said CRESA wanted to work with designers and housing providers as well as the building industry on how to build better, more resilient homes.
Tookey said the biggest barrier for homeowners with maintaining their houses was finances. Everything from mowing grass to trimming trees came at a cost if someone was being hired to do it.
The next thing it came down to was skills and an ageing population, he said.
“We’ve become increasingly a victim of our sedentary lifestyle.”
His advice for homeowners who did not have access to a lot of funds was to “focus on the small stuff”.
That included using treatments on wood and touching up the house with paint.
He said by the time a problem was big enough to get someone in to fix it, it was going to be expensive.
“Deal with small problems before they become big problems and have a regular budget for maintenance.”
Tookey said it was good to try and set up one day each month where you can do maintenance around your home.
Coming into winter, Tookey said it was good to prepare your home by making sure there were curtains to keep in the heat, along with insulation under the floor and in the roof. He suggested purchasing a dehumidifier to take the moisture out of the air was also good.
Saville-Smith envisioned a checklist of home maintenance for a number of different styles of homes which could be given to homeowners.
She hoped the project would be able to get out the door within 18 months.
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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand
Crusaders halfback Noah Hotham in action against the Blues.Brett Phibbs
The Crusaders concede they have not been good enough but are confident they can turn around their disappointing start to the Super Rugby season.
The defending champions have won just one of their first four games with losses to the Highlanders, Brumbies and Blues.
Coach Rob Penney concedes they weren’t up to scratch, but said making wholesale selection changes was not the answer.
“Just a bit of a cohesion issue,” Penney said.
“We’ll fix that through consistent selections and working hard and we’re doing all that.”
Blues winger Caleb Clarke scores a try against the Crusaders.Brett Phibbs
That pressure is mounting on the Crusaders and that was evident in training on Tuesday with a couple of players involved in some “push and shove”.
“So there should be,” Penney said when asked if there was tension in the camp.
“It was a really lovely sight to see, actually. It is a reflection of how much it means. The boys aren’t happy with the performances and the outcomes.
“Very proud young men are going to come up against each other, and create a bit of sandpaper from time to time.”
Penney insists morale remains high among the squad and he’s confident they can get their season back on track, starting with a win over the Highlanders on Saturday night in Christchurch.
“No, it’s awesome. The group is really well connected, enjoy each other’s company and are desperate to do well. Yeah, there’s been some hiccups, but they’re not catastrophic and there’s a deep determination to turn this around.”
Last weekend’s 29-13 defeat at Eden Park was a hard watch for Crusaders fans with the visitors giving away multiple turnovers.
Penney concedes their preparation for the Blues game could have been better.
He said the coaches and senior players must help the less experienced members of the squad learn to perform consistently.
“Some of these young men are still finding a way to prepare for football at this level,” Penney said.
“It’s about trying to give those without the experience an opportunity to grow and develop and those with the experience the chance to help to teach them.”
George Bell scores for the Crusaders during the Crusaders v Brumbies Super Rugby match at the Apollo Projects Stadium.PhotoSport / John Davidson
The Crusaders defensive efforts also left a lot to be desired against the Blues and Penney said the players have taken ownership for some individual errors.
“Yeah, they were very courageous. In our review process, it’s not an environment where they’re intimidated to say they’ve made a mistake. It creates a learning opportunity and that’s the way we view it and they’ve been awesome on that front.”
The Crusaders host the Highlanders in Christchurch on Saturday night, their third New Zealand derby of the season.
“As a team, as a group, we’ve got some really good strategies around trying to nullify their strengths and expose our strengths as often as we can,” Penney said.
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Latest number show 50 hospitalisation and 19 deaths with the virus within the span of a week.
University of Otago professor of public health Michael Baker said earlier this week, New Zealand was experiencing its ninth wave of the virus.
The chairperson of General Practice New Zealand, Dr Bryan Betty, told Morning Report, vaccination rates were dropping, with the number of people getting a booster hovering at 56 percent.
As Winter came closer, Betty believed we would see the Covid booster being promoted alongside the annual flu vaccination.
“I think lining it up with it [the flu vaccine], does make sense.”
He said he would like to see people getting a Covid booster once a year, especially if they were aged over 65, or over 50 if of Māori descent.
Betty noted Covid-19 was not seasonal and affected people year round.
Covid-19 is not seasonal. (File photo)123rf.com
“Covid is always with us, it never goes away. When immunity drops we see a wave. Due to low immunisation rates that wave is occurring at the moment.”
Betty said 56 percent of the eligible population had the Covid-19 booster while 14 percent of non-Māori and 28 percent of Māori were not vaccinated at all.
“The booster vaccination is important to protect yourself against these very irregular waves of Covid that can occur,” Betty said.
Health NZ’s national director of public health service Dr Nick Chamberlain, said while Covid hospitalisations and cases had increased in recent weeks, levels remained below previous peaks.
“Since the arrival of Covid in our communities, we have been seeing both summer and winter Covid-19 increases, but from the available data, recent increases are currently not near the magnitude of 2022-2024 rates of Covid-19 illness.”
Chamberlain said since fewer people were testing and reporting results, most cases were identified in hospitals. He said there was no single dominant variant driving the increase.
Health NZ was monitoring Covid-19 trends through wastewater testing, hospital data, genomic sequencing and case reporting, he said.
“As we head into winter, we encourage people, particularly those at higher risk, to get your flu vaccination and stay up to date with their Covid‑19 boosters.”
Betty said lots of patients weren’t testing due to the fact tests were not subsidised by the government.
“Our advice is to stay home in those situations.”
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Some of literature’s biggest names – from Aotearoa and around the world – will hit the stage for this year’s Auckland Writers’ Festival in mid-May.
The festival’s 2026 programme features more than 220 artists participating in more than 170 ticketed and free events. Audiences will be among the first in New Zealand to hear former prime minister Jacinda Ardern she talks about her Ockham Awards nominated memoir, A Different Kind of Power.
Other notable names include Mick Herron of ‘Slow Horses’ fame, acclaimed Australian writer Helen Garner and Irish author Roddy Doyle, as well as English novelist Ian McEwen and Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales.
Local authors on the slate include 2026 Honoured Writer Bill Manhire, Witi Ihimaera, Catherine Chidgey, Tusiata Avia, Charlotte Grimshaw, and Elizabeth Knox.
Younger audiences are being offered ‘Pukapuka Adventures’ – a free programme of family activities – and ‘Plot Twist’, a new branch of the festival aimed at rangitahi that includes zine making, DJs and BookTok meetups. Dav Pilkey, creator of the best-selling Dog Man and Captain Underpants series, will also be attending.
The Auckland Writers’ Festival is one of the largest of its kind in the southern hemisphere, with 85,000 attendees in 2025 and 2024. Artistic director Lyndsey Fineran says she hopes the festival will entertain, enlighten and inform every type of reader.
“Nothing has thrilled me more than seeing attendances soar over the last two years and watching a broader range of readers (and the reading-curious…) fill our theatres.”
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Caitlin Clark for USA and Emma Rogers for the Tall Ferns will both made their senior team debuts at the Basketball World Cup qualifiers this week.Photosport
Three of the biggest stars of USA women’s basketball share something special with a trio of inexperienced New Zealanders.
Jade Kirisome and cousins Emma and Briarley Rogers will make their debut for the Tall Ferns in Puerto Rico this week as New Zealand attempts to qualify for this year’s Basketball World Cup.
On the opposite side of the court WNBA stars Caitlin Clark, Paige Bueckers and Angel Reese are also in line to make their senior national team debuts for USA at the six-team tournament.
While New Zealand’s newbies shone in the domestic competition Tauihi, which is broadcast internationally, Clark, Bueckers and Reese are a different level of recognisable for hoops fans around the world.
USA basketballer Paige Bueckers.ISHIKA SAMANT
Regardless of where they come from, the stadiums they normally play in, or the domestic accolades they already have, all players are bound to feel a few butterflies when they pull on their national team kit for the first time on the world stage.
Just getting the call from coach Nat Hurst that she had made the team was nervous moment for Emma Rogers who was named Tauihi Basketball Aotearoa’s Most Improved and Youth Player of the Year last year.
“Literally my hands were shaking, and my hands were sweating so much but was just really excited,” she said.
For Clark, who plays for the Indiana Fever, the opportunity to be back on court after an eight month injury lay-off added to her emotions.
“I don’t want to call it nerves but excitement to play,” Clark told American media this week.
“This is a really cool opportunity. If you don’t feel that way, then you probably don’t care enough.”
USA are the reigning world champions and have already booked their place at September’s global showpiece in Germany, so the qualification tournament is an opportunity to build connections between a group that does not play together often.
In stark contrast the Tall Ferns need to build on-court chemistry and win.
Tayla Dalton is the most experienced Tall Fern at this week’s World Cup qualification tournament.Supplied / BBNZ
With 18 games for the Tall Ferns captain Tayla Dalton is the most experienced player on the youthful roster that is missing players with American college commitments and injury.
Dalton has seen veteran players leave after the last Olympic cycle and is now helping to guide the new talent like Kirisome and Rogers.
“Everyone has their own journey to make it to this level and it doesn’t necessarily mean you have to go from high school to America for college and then here, or it doesn’t mean you have to play WNBL.
“You can play in Tauihi, you can play from high school. There’s so many different pathways.”
While some thought New Zealand had been dealt a bad hand by landing in the qualification group that included the world champs and world number six Spain alongside Senegal, Italy and hosts Puerto Rico, Dalton had a different view.
“When the pool first got announced I had so many people sending it to me going, ‘oh my goodness you guys got ripped off’ or ‘you’re in the hardest pool’.
“But I honestly was just so excited, it’s not every day you get to play USA, the last time the Tall Ferns played them was over 15 years ago.
“And Spain, these are some of the best players in the world and this is why you play, because you want to compete against the best.
“And then personally, quite selfishly, I was on the team that lost to Puerto Rico on the buzzer beater to get to the Paris Olympics, so to get to have them in our pool and play against them in their home country, I think it would be pretty cool to win that game back.”
The top three teams from the tournament will go to the World Cup, but with USA already locked in, the fourth of the six teams should also get their ticket punched.
With five games in seven days Dalton said they would need to be strategic in San Juan.
“That’s the thing with these FIBA tournaments, they’re pretty full on, pretty heavy load on the body and very quick turnaround.
“So that’s why we’re just making sure all 12 girls are ready to go, because at any moment, anyone’s number’s going to be called up.
“I think we’re very realistic, we’ve got three target games in particular.
“USA and Spain, if we’re being very honest, these are two of the best teams in the world and we’ll get out there and we’re not competing to come close, we’re competing to win against all five teams.
“But there might be a couple games where we really rotate everyone through.”
The Tall Ferns first game of the World Cup qualification is on Thursday at 7am (NZT).
The Tall Ferns squad
Tayla Dalton (Tauranga Whai), 18 games
Tegan Graham (Perth Lynx), 3 games
Pahlyss Hokianga (Tokomanawa Queens & University of Portland), 13 games
Jade Kirisome (Tauranga Whai), debutant
Rebecca Pizzey (Southern Hoiho), 5 games
Sharne Robati (Adelaide Lightning), 5 games
Briarley Rogers (Tokomanawa Queens), debutant
Emma Rogers (Mainland Pouākai & Fairfield University), debutant
Emme Shearer (Tauranga Whai & UC Capitals), 8 games
Ashlee Strawbridge (Adelaide Lightning), 11 games
Ella Tofaeono (Adelaide Lightning), 11 games
Charlotte Whittaker (Mainland Pouākai & Adelaide Lightning), 8 games
The games
March 12 v Spain, 7am
March 13 v Italy, 10am
March 15 v Senegal, 7am
March 16 v United States of America, 7am
March 18 v Puerto Rico, 1pm
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Skyline Track near Wānaka.Department of Conservation
A person has died on a popular hiking track near Wānaka.
Emergency services were called to the Skyline Track, which runs along the ridgeline between Roys Peak and the Cardrona Valley, just before 3pm on Tuesday.
The body was recovered by a helicopter.
Police will not say what caused the death, but it will be referred to the coroner.
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A fire ban has been declared for most of the Queenstown Lakes district.RNZ / Nate McKinnon
A fire ban has been declared for most of the Queenstown Lakes district amid warnings of recent near misses.
Firefighters and helicopters fought to control a vegetation fire near houses at Arthurs Point on Tuesday, while a burn-off escaped at Arrow Junction last Friday.
District Commander Craig Gold said both fires threatened structures and affected local trails.
“The vegetation across the Lakes Zone is primed and ready to burn,” he said.
“The risks and consequences of any fire in these conditions far outweigh any benefit in terms of land management or recreation.”
The prohibited fire season for Lakes Zone begins at 8am on Thursday.
Outdoor fires were also banned in the neighbouring zone covering the Central Otago District.
Gold urged people not to be fooled by the lower temperatures over the summer and occasional rainy day, saying the vegetation was very dry.
March was predicted to be drier than normal.
“Community safety is our primary concern and the best way we can keep the community safe in these conditions is to stop fires from starting,” Gold said.
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UAS footage of RNZN Divers surveying the area around HMNZS Manawanui on the Southern Coast of Upulo as part of Op Resolution.New Zealand Defence Force
Illegal diving and forced entry at the wreck of HMNZS Manawanui have prompted the Samoan government to increase surveillance of the navy vessel.
The Royal New Zealand Navy ship sank in October 2024 off the south coast of Upolu after hitting a reef, spilling hundreds of thousands of litres of diesel and oil into the ocean.
Three naval officers are now facing a court martial – a specialised military court that tries members of the Army, Navy and Air Force.
The charges include negligently causing a ship to be lost, which is punishable by up to two years in prison.
The Samoan government has ordered a 300-metre radius ban around the vessel, saying it poses significant risks to divers, fisherman and small craft.
Its Marine Pollution Advisory Committee (MPAC) said the vessel will be more closely monitored following reports of divers in the vicinity.
MPAC’s chair Fui Tupai Mau Simanu said the government had a statutory duty under the Shipping Act to prevent unsafe interaction with marine hazards.
He said divers risked getting tangled or trapped in ropes and cables and the wreck was unstable.
“It could suddenly shift due to currents and tides, and wreck material could threaten boats that may be operating nearby,” Simanu said.
He said there was a risk of pollutants being released, with lubricants still embedded in piping systems.
“When pipes corrode and break these chemicals will leak out into the ocean,” he said.
The committee has also imposed a ban on manned and unmanned aircraft flying below 500ft above sea level over the zone.
However, he said commercial air traffic at cruising altitude is not affected, as only low-level drone activity is regulated.
“It is Standard Practice in Maritime Emergency Zones. It aligns with International Maritime Organisation (IMO) and International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) guidelines for wreck sites and pollution response.”
“It is also stipulated in the United Nations Conventions on the Law of the Sea Article 60, where a Coastal State is allowed to establish a safety zone of up to 500 metres around a dangerous zone,” he said.
The New Zealand Defence Force’s Manawanui response lead Captain Rodger Ward told RNZ Pacific that signs of unauthorised activity were found during a recent survey of the ship.
“Unauthorised diving on HMNZS Manawanui is an unsafe practice and creates a risk of injury and to life,” Ward said.
“There is currently a 300 metre Prohibited Area around Manawanui providing a safety buffer zone, with all diving within that zone prohibited unless authorised by Samoa’s Ministry of Works, Transport and Infrastructure.”
He said a team of Royal New Zealand Navy diving personnel would travel to Samoa to conduct an extensive survey the wreck and carry out remediation work.
The ban will remain in force until the MPAC is satisfied the wreck is stable, all pollution risks have been mitigated and the area is safe for navigation and public activity.
The government said it plans to “secure” the wreckage by stabilising the wreck, containing pollutants and controlling access to the site.
It will also erect navigational warnings and continue constant monitoring.
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Aotearoa has more than 900,000 hectares of irrigated agricultural land, mostly in the South Island.Sally Round
Access to water, food production as a priority, and land use classifications are some of the issues primary sector groups are considering with the government’s proposed new resource management legislation.
Public hearings into the Planning Bill and Natural Environment Bill – which would replace the Resource Management Act – continued during the Environment Select Committee this week.
Primary sector groups generally supported the intent of resource management reform, but requested further changes to the drafts from the government.
The Environment Select Committee will consider all submissions before reporting back to Parliament by the end of June.
It said 2242 written submissions were publicly available, but the total number of submissions was confidential to the committee.
Wine
Water was a key issue for the country’s winemakers who warned that future access would likely become more difficult with climate change in a competitive market for users.
Wine vineyards covered around 44,000 hectares across Aotearoa, with the majority in Marlborough. The sector used water usually for irrigation, frost protection and then in winemaking.
New Zealand Winegrowers general manager for sustainability Dr Edwin Massey told the select committee on Monday, the RMA was no longer fit for purpose, as water became a more “scarce” resource.
“Certainly, water is absolutely critical for the success of our industry, largely along the east coast of both islands,” Massey said.
“And water is highly competitive.”
Wine vineyards cover around 44,000 hectares across Aotearoa, with the majority in Marlborough.RNZ/Sally Round
Massey said the sector prioritised efficient water use, and a market-based allocation, it opposed, could lock-up the resource.
“New Zealand is getting warmer and drier with less snow melt, and those east coast catchments are likely to, on long-term average, to have reduced access to clean, fresh water.
“So getting that allocation system right and basing that around incentivising sustainability, we feel is a great way to not only ensure export return, but also to protect the environment and its quality.”
Massey said wine companies metered their water use and reported back to the organisation to try to improve sustainability and efficiency of water use, under the Sustainable Winemaking scheme.
Group New Zealand Winegrowers represented 1400 commercial grape growers and wine companies.
Irrigators
Agricultural irrigators wanted the new resource management system to recognise the importance of food production and highlight their role as key infrastructure in its success.
Aotearoa has more than 900,000 hectares of irrigated agricultural land, mostly in Te Wai Pounamu/South Island.
These systems either stored rainfall when it was plentiful or extracted it from rivers and streams to feed crops during dry periods.
However, large-scale irrigation could impact river flows, degrade water quality from nutrient runoff, and cause soil issues.
Irrigation New Zealand represents around 5000 irrigators, irrigation schemes and farmers.
Chief executive Karen Williams told the Environment Select Committee on Monday, the proposed legislation replacing the RMA failed to highlight the role of natural resources in producing food.
“If irrigation and farming are framed primarily as environmental pressures, the system will regulate them mainly as activities to constrain,” she said.
“But when managed well, irrigated land strengthens food production, regional employment, and provides greater resilience to climate variability.”
Williams said water storage and distribution should be considered as long-life infrastructure in the legislation.
“So the decisions before this committee are very much about balance between protecting fresh water and enabling responsible use.”
Irrigation New Zealand represents around 5000 irrigators, irrigation schemes and farmers.RNZ / Nate McKinnon
But the Green Party’s agriculture spokesperson Steve Abel told the select committee, groundwater nitrate levels had significantly worsened since the advent of large-scale irrigation.
“Your industry is at the heart of some of our most chronic water contamination problems, particularly in Canterbury because big irrigation has driven dairy intensity,” he said.
“Isn’t your industry exactly the reason we need to constrain activities that could are going to chronically harm what is the collective commons, our freshwater?”
Williams said irrigation had enabled all sorts of agricultural land uses to evolve.
“Yes, it has enabled dairying, and the application of nutrients associated with any of those activities need to be carefully managed.”
The group said 90 percent of horticultural land was irrigated, 80 percent for arable, 40 percent sheep and beef, and 28 percent of dairy.
Livestock farming
Beef and Lamb New Zealand called for significant changes to the drafted legislation in its submission, arguing the wording in the legislation did not match the government’s own intent.
Chairperson Kate Acland said farmers could be worse off under the proposals, as setting and managing limits would likely see the need for more consents, not less.
“There are more onerous requirements on permitted activities,” she said.
“The lack of appropriate guard-rails on the exercise of ministerial and council powers in many areas and the lack of requirement to consider costs and benefits could result in significant economic impacts.”
Acland said freshwater health was incredibly important to farmers, rural communities and the country.
“We need to get the framework for managing this right. Changes to the legislation are necessary but I’m confident we can get to an enduring framework that’s practical and achievable.”
She said the drafted legislation lacked detail on how freshwater farm plans and other assurance programmes might fit into the consenting picture.
Federated Farmers too was concerned about compliance requirements and red tape for farmers.
Beef and Lamb New Zealand said farmers could be worse off under the proposals with the need for more consents.Beef and Lamb NZ
Spokesperson Mark Hooper said a major concern was that, as currently written, instead of a farm plan replacing the need for a resource consent, a farm may need both.
“We see a risk of farmers facing more red tape under the Natural Environment Act than they presently do under the RMA,” he said.
“There are too many ambiguous, principle-based clauses in the two bills, which is likely to see continued expensive, time-consuming and litigious decision making.”
It raised concerns that the same farming activity might fall between the two Acts leading to more complicated and costly compliance processes.
It did not support a market-based water allocation system nor a levy.
Pork industry group, NZPork said it urged the government to ensure permitted activity rules enabled farmers to operate without unnecessary red tape.
Horticulture
Horticulture New Zealand renewed its calls for commercial vegetable production to be enabled in the new legislation, rather than hindered as it argued some growers faced now.
Some growers in areas like Waikato and Horizons regions have struggled to get consents, due to local, regional rules.
Horticulture New Zealand renewed calls for commercial vegetable production to be enabled in the new legislation.RNZ / Eva Corlett
Chief executive Kate Scott told the Environment Select Committee last week, a clearer national direction for securing the supply of domestic production of fruit and vegetables was needed.
She said the government could create goals of either enabling the supply of fresh fruit and vegetables or making it an activity of national significance.
“The way these sections are drafted would mean that most horticultural activities would require a restricted discretionary or discretionary consent, even where growers are making environmental improvements,” she said.
“This is worse than the status quo, particularly for orchardists who do have a very minimal effect on freshwater quality.”
Scott said it was concerned permitted activities under the new system appeared to be more expensive for consent holders, than the status quo.
Horticulture New Zealand did not support the introduction of market-based water allocation, neither did New Zealand Winegrowers nor the Canterbury Regional Council.
It said the approach would allocate resources to the highest bidder or highest value user.
However, the Environmental Defence Society demanded changes to the drafts due to what it called significant weaknesses in the legislation.
It said regulatory relief risked undermining environmental protection, environmental limits lacked clarity, public participation would be stripped away and a narrow scope of planning.
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Latest number show 50 hospitalisation and 19 deaths with the virus within the span of a week.
University of Otago professor of public health Michael Baker said earlier this week, New Zealand was experiencing its ninth wave of the virus.
The chairperson of General Practice New Zealand, Dr Bryan Betty, told Morning Report, vaccination rates were dropping, with the number of people getting a booster hovering at 56 percent.
As Winter came closer, Betty believed we would see the Covid booster being promoted alongside the annual flu vaccination.
“I think lining it up with it [the flu vaccine], does make sense.”
He said he would like to see people getting a Covid booster once a year, especially if they were aged over 65, or over 50 if of Māori descent.
Betty noted Covid-19 was not seasonal and affected people year round.
Covid-19 is not seasonal. (File photo)123rf.com
“Covid is always with us, it never goes away. When immunity drops we see a wave. Due to low immunisation rates that wave is occurring at the moment.”
Betty said 56 percent of the eligible population had the Covid-19 booster while 14 percent of non-Māori and 28 percent of Māori were not vaccinated at all.
“The booster vaccination is important to protect yourself against these very irregular waves of Covid that can occur,” Betty said.
Health NZ’s national director of public health service Dr Nick Chamberlain, said while Covid hospitalisations and cases had increased in recent weeks, levels remained below previous peaks.
“Since the arrival of Covid in our communities, we have been seeing both summer and winter Covid-19 increases, but from the available data, recent increases are currently not near the magnitude of 2022-2024 rates of Covid-19 illness.”
Chamberlain said since fewer people were testing and reporting results, most cases were identified in hospitals. He said there was no single dominant variant driving the increase.
Health NZ was monitoring Covid-19 trends through wastewater testing, hospital data, genomic sequencing and case reporting, he said.
“As we head into winter, we encourage people, particularly those at higher risk, to get your flu vaccination and stay up to date with their Covid‑19 boosters.”
Betty said lots of patients weren’t testing due to the fact tests were not subsidised by the government.
“Our advice is to stay home in those situations.”
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Political donations made in an election year must be declared within 20 days if they are more than $20,000.RNZ
Technology entrepreneur Brian Cartmell appears to have donated at least half a million dollars to the coalition parties – and to the Opportunity party.
Cartmell moved to New Zealand in 2010 and gave up his US citizenship in 2015. His former professional background includes working for the Internet Entertainment Group, an online pornography company. It was a pioneer in live webcam shows and subscription services.
In a statement on his website, Cartmell said he had donated equally to the three coalition parties as well as to Opportunity. The ACT Party told RNZ it had received a total of $200,000 from Cartmell last year. The Electoral Commission said a $100,000 donation to Opportunity from Cartmell had been disclosed. Neither National nor NZ First would confirm donations from him.
But Cartmell himself said the current coalition parties represent “the best available chance of navigating” a period of significant economic, technological, and geopolitical change in a way that preserves New Zealand’s sovereignty, prosperity and independence.
He said he chose to donate equal amounts to National, Act and NZ First last year as none of the three represents his thinking, but he believed the three parties complemented each other. The donation to Opportunity was made because he feels healthy democracies need parties willing to put forward ideas major parties won’t.
“New ideas enter the political process from the edges, and parties like Opportunity play an important role in making sure that process doesn’t stagnate.”
Who is Brian Cartmell?
Cartmell lives in Queenstown with his partner. He says he has donated more than $1 million to a range of organisations including Starship Children’s Hospital, Cure Kids, Hato Hone St John and NZSAS Regiment Trust.
Cartmell also founded a domain registry firm in 1997 which managed domain names with the .cc extension, associated with the Cocos Islands territory, an island territory with a population of around 600 people. He told the United States Senate Commerce Committee 400,000 domain names were registered to the extension. The Australian Financial Review reported the islands received no benefits from domain name sales, although Cartmell did distribute technology and grants. Cartmell sold the company to Verisign in 2001 for an undisclosed sum.
Cartmell also funded an anti-spam service called SpamAlert. This company won a court case against the food company Hormel, maker of tinned Spam, over the use of the word spam. He was also an early adopter of cryptocurrency Bitcoin and participated in the first funding round of Coinbase.
The Companies Register shows he is a director of three New Zealand companies and a shareholder in an additional 12 companies. These include crowdsourcing platform PledgeMe, food and beverage companies Angel Food and Yeastie Boys. He has a small shareholding in Invisible Urban Charging, an electric car charging company co-founded by former National Party MP Jake Bezzant.
According to Cartmell’s website he is seeking investment opportunities and is looking for innovative start-ups in transformative technologies.
Parties respond
Opportunity party general manager Iain Lees-Galloway said the cash injection, which was declared as being received on 25 February was incredibly helpful for the small party, which is not in parliament.
“We don’t have parliamentary resources to run our campaigns that sitting MPs do. So a donation like this makes a huge difference to us to be able to get our message out.”
Donations would be spent on marketing as well as travel and events. The party has received one other big donation of $50,000 from Phillip Mills, taking its currently declared total for 2026 to $150,000.
Donations made in the 2025 calendar year will be published in early May. Donations made in an election year must be declared within 20 days if they are more than $20,000.
An ACT party spokesperson confirmed Cartmell had made donations in 2025 but had not made any donations this year.
“ACT New Zealand received a donation from Brian Cartmell of $100k in December last year. He donated a total of $200k to ACT in 2025.”
New Zealand First party secretary Holly Howard said donations would be disclosed as required by law.
“Out of respect for our donors’ privacy and due process, we will not provide commentary or confirmation on individual donations ahead of the statutory reporting requirements.”
The National Party said it wouldn’t comment on individual donations, except where required by law through donation disclosures.
Information released on the electoral commission website shows coalition parties have received $750,000 in donations of over $20,000 so far this year. National has received $250,000, ACT $350,000 and NZ First $150,000.
The Greens have received $43,000 and Labour $22,000.
Cartmell’s statement says he supports transparent political donations, but will be making no further statements on the matter.
“These donations were made with that broader objective in mind – with the understanding that it is voters, not donors, who decide the direction of New Zealand.”
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Crusaders’ forward Kershawl Sykes-Martin is one of the players reported to have been involved in the dust-up in training.Joe Allison
Clarification: An earlier version of this story reported punches were thrown. This was incorrect.
Days after a significant loss to the Blues, tensions rose at Crusaders training on Tuesday with reports of a heated scuffle.
Stuff is reporting prop Kershawl Sykes-Martin and lock Will Tucker were involved in the incident at Rugby Park in Christchurch during a contact session.
Captain David Havili was reportedly the man to break up the altercation.
After training, coach Rob Penney did his best to downplay the tension, telling reporters he was not fazed by the clash between his players and even welcomed it.
“So there should be,” Penney said when asked if there was tension in the camp after the 29-13 defeat to the Blues.
“It was a really lovely sight to see, actually. It is a reflection of how much it means. The boys aren’t happy with the performances and the outcomes.
“Very proud young men are going to come up against each other, and create a bit of sandpaper from time to time.
“But it’s not a thing that is going to affect negatively. We are all over it, the boys are fine.”
Penney expected there could be more scuffles at training in the future.
“It’s not the first time and it won’t be the last.”
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Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Dennis Altman, Vice Chancellor’s Fellow and Professorial Fellow, Institute for Human Security and Social Change, La Trobe University
It’s well known that Donald Trump consumes television broadcasts and often makes policy based more on Fox News punditry than advice from political or government advisors. So it’s unsurprising that one of his most influential advisers, Tucker Carlson, has never held a political or government appointment.
Of course, Carlson, an early sceptic about the Iraq War, last week called the attack on Iran “absolutely disgusting and evil”. Trump responded by saying “Tucker has lost his way” and “he’s not MAGA”.
While this may signal the end of his hold over Trump, they’ve weathered disagreements before – as when Carlson attacked last year’s strikes on Iran, as well as consistently pressing Trump over the Epstein files.
Review: Hated By All the Right People: Tucker Carlson and the unravelling of the conservative mind – Jason Zengerle (Scribe)
But if Carlson’s ruptures with Trump widen, some observers told the author of a new book, “he could then portray himself to a disillusioned MAGA base as the true leader of their movement – and run for president himself in 2028”.
The great mystery of Tucker Carlson is how a once-serious journalist, whose writing for the likes of New York magazine and Esquire was admired, wandered into the crazy world of the American far right and came to dominate it.
In his book, Hated By All the Right People, Jason Zengerle (a contributing writer for the New York Times magazine) traces Carlson’s evolution over past 30 years. It is, he writes, the story of what has happened to the United States in that period.
Origin stories
Carlson was born in 1969 to a prominent conservative father and a bohemian heiress mother: they divorced before his eighth birthday and Carlson’s father got sole custody. His mother lived mostly abroad. “I don’t know this person,” Carlson reported feeling as she was dying. She left him a dollar in her will.
He failed to graduate from college, where, Zengerle writes, he was an “abysmal student”, but charmed his way into a succession of small conservative media outlets, and a few national magazines. By the turn of the century, he discovered the lure of television and went through a series of attempts to break into mainstream broadcasting.
First CNN, where Jon Stewart essentially ended Carlson’s contract and his show by savaging it, at length, while appearing as a guest. Then PBS, and MSNBC – where Carlson picked liberal self-described “butch lesbian” talk radio host Rachel Maddow to be his sparring partner. (Maddow is now one of the most high-profile media defenders of progressive politics in the US.)
At his lowest point, he became a political analyst at the only cable-news network he’d yet to work at, Fox News – or, as he’d once described it, “a mean, sick group of people”.
At his lowest point, Carlson moved to Fox News – which he once described as ‘a mean, sick group of people’.Richard Drew/AAP
His rise (and increased air time) was tied to Donald Trump’s: he was the rare conservative or Fox News pundit who didn’t initially dismiss him. Fox gave him his own show days before Trump was elected in 2016.
For seven years, Carlson was a mainstay of Fox right-wing cheerleading, until he was unceremoniously dumped in 2023. Just why he was removed is not clear. Carlson came to believe it was part of Fox’s settlement in the Dominion lawsuit. Zengerle speculates Rupert Murdoch finally lost patience with Carlson (despite his closeness to Lachlan Murdoch), as he had on several occasions with Trump too.
Considered for Trump’s ‘veep’
Carlson bounced back, creating his own successful network, on which he hosted interviews with Andrew Tate, Nazi apologist historian Darryl Cooper and Trump himself (including an interview aired on X at the same time as Fox’s first presidential primary debate, in which Trump refused to participate).
In 2024, he campaigned vigorously for Trump’s second term. Trump even told reporters, Zengerle writes, that he “was entertaining the idea of tapping Carlson as his veep”.
Carlson had endeared himself further by presenting a three-part series, Patriot Purge, which presented the riots at the Capitol on January 6 2021 as “a false flag operation, instigated by undercover FBI operatives in the crowd, so that the Biden administration could then persecute Americans for the crime of being conservative”.
During the Biden years, a bizarre crowd of conspiracy seekers and racist right-wingers paid court to Trump. Carlson was among the most important: possibly even more than Elon Musk. As Zengerle writes, he was active behind the scenes in the vice-presidential selection of JD Vance, whom he had helped mentor into politics, and at least two cabinet members: Robert F. Kennedy Jr and Tulsi Gabbard.
Carlson was instrumental in the appointment of at least two Trump cabinet members: RFK Jr and Tulsi Gabbard.Erik S Lesser/AAP
Vance’s “remarkable dressing-down” of Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky was “a direct echo” of Carlson’s criticisms on his shows for the previous three years. Carlson’s criticisms of Zelensky drew on antisemitic tropes, calling him “ratlike” and “a persecutor of Christians”.
Zengerle credits Carlson with providing much of the mismatch of policies that have marked Trump’s second term (as well as the border wall with Mexico, which Carlson argued for as far back as 2005).
Trump has consistently expressed hostility to immigrants, with the notable exception of white South Africans – whose cause Carlson seems to have pioneered – and promoted Viktor Orban’s Hungarian authoritarian regime, which Carlson called a “lesson” for America after he visited to interview Orban, before anyone in the US had paid him much attention.
Unsurprisingly, Carlson has expressed sympathy for Vladimir Putin. He became the first American journalist to obtain a one-on-one interview with Putin after the invasion of Ukraine.
It was widely believed Putin played him, avoiding any difficult questions about respect for Ukrainian sovereignty: just as he had played Trump in his infamous meeting in Helsinki in 2018. Zengerle does not explore whether there is any connection between the two men’s remarkable sympathy for the Russian dictator.
Tucker Carlson interviewed Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin in Moscow: it was widely believed Putin played him.GAVRIIL GRIGOROV SPUTNIK KREMLIN POOL/AAP
Since Trump’s re-election, Carlson has become less sycophantic, particularly on Iran and the Epstein files. At one point, he claimed Epstein was working at the behest of Israel’s government: part of the increasingly antisemitic and anti-Israeli raves that characterise the contemporary Carlson.
Carlson and the Republican journey
Carlson, like Vance before he became vice president, has become a strident America Firster, opposed to involvement in foreign wars or desire for regime change.
Given the uncertain outcome of the current war on Iran, it is impossible to predict whether Carlson’s position as perhaps the most significant right-wing ideologue in the American media is doomed to burn out, or to become yet more influential.
Either way, Zengerle is right to point to Carlson’s career as a symbol of the way the Republican Party has been captured by a set of beliefs and principles previous Republican leaders would have denounced as racist and undemocratic. The two Republican candidates for president before Trump, John McCain and Mitt Romney, would no longer find a home in their party.
But of course, they both lost to Barack Obama. Trump’s 2016 victory caused a major reversal in American politics and many of the people who originally abhorred him are now part of his inner circle. Both Vance and secretary of state Marco Rubio had declared him totally unfit for office. Zengerle reminds us that while a senator, Rubio supported immigration reforms he has now disavowed in fealty to the president.
Carlson shared these doubts about Trump in 2016, though he was one of the first to recognise the strange charisma that would propel Trump to the top.
As the Republican Party has moved increasingly into territory that used to be regarded as frankly conspiratorial and crazed, so too has Carlson. But while Zengerle does an excellent job of charting this transformation, he does little to explain why it happened.
He writes well, as befits a veteran of the best US print media, but there is a surplus of information and a lack of real analysis. Take the example of Carlson’s increasingly virulent antisemitism. Early in his career, he worked with and for many prominent Jewish intellectuals, like neoconservative writers Bill Kristol and John Podhoretz. Zengerle demonstrates that Carlson is providing increasing time to extreme antisemites, but makes no real attempt to explain it.
Calculation or genuine belief?
But his drift towards the fringes of overt racism seem to date back to his founding of the briefly successful website The Daily Caller in 2010.
While it began with some claim to journalistic integrity, The Daily Caller soon found space for that particularly virulent antisemitism that ties together ancient tropes about Jews with fear and hatred of African Americans and Muslims. Carlson’s willingness to host antisemites on his program has meant his criticism of Israel’s behaviour in Gaza is too easily dismissed by the powerful Israeli lobby in the US.
Reading Carlson’s increasing attraction to fringe irrationality, I wondered how far this is political calculation and how far it represents genuinely held beliefs. Does Carlson ever wake in the night and ask himself if he bears any responsibility for Trump’s cruelty to alleged illegal aliens – or Republican attempts to disenfranchise electors?
Hated by all the Right People is a revealing title, akin to Hillary Clinton’s comment about the “basket of deplorables” who voted for Trump. But I would have liked to see Zengerle explore the reasons for Carlson’s appeal. As he concludes, Carlson now speaks to millions. Maybe he should have spoken to some of these millions, to better understand why they listen to him.
After the US and Israel began their military strikes on Iran on February 28, oil and gas markets were plunged into chaos and energy prices shot up. As of today, Brent Crude Oil prices are 20% higher than in late February. They went from around $70 a barrel in late February to quickly surpassing $100, before falling to around $90 on March 10. The main reason for the fall was Donald Trump’s market-calming announcement that the war will end “very soon”.
The fall in oil prices is reminiscent of events that followed the April 2025 “Liberation Day” tariffs. After the announcement, stock markets plummeted, but when Trump paused the tariffs just days later, the stock market responded by rising again – just as oil prices have fallen in response to his reassurances about the war ending.
If the war is indeed drawing to a close, markets may be right to start pushing prices down, but there is a caveat to this optimism. War is not tariffs – the US administration can impose and pause tariffs, but if Iran rejects potential terms for ending the conflict, it will continue.
Despite Trump’s announcement, it remains very unclear when the Middle East’s production – and the vital Strait of Hormuz shipping route, which 20% of the world’s oil passes through – will get back to business as usual. It’s therefore extremely difficult to predict when prices will go down to February-like levels. This is a major cause for concern in Europe, which depends heavily on imported energy sources.
How oil shocks hit Europe
An increase in oil prices is different from other economic shocks because it has a direct, immediate effect. For consumers, it means instantly higher petrol and energy prices. For producers, it means an immediate increase in the cost of manufacturing and delivering goods.
To understand potential damage to the EU economy, we can take a look at the bloc’s oil consumption and production patterns.
Diversity of energy sources and more efficient technology all mean that we are better protected than we were during, for example, the oil crisis of the 1970s. Nevertheless, some countries and industries will be more affected than others.
The EU’s main energy consumers are its biggest economies: Germany, France, Italy and Spain. These countries will be the most interested in controlling the increase in retail oil prices. Road transportation makes up the lion’s share of oil consumption (around half), while the continent’s other high energy consumption industries include chemical, paper and steel.
What can Europe do?
In February 2022, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted the continent’s gas supplies, subsequently pushing up electricity prices. To understand what’s on the table today, it’s worth looking at what the European Central Bank (ECB) and European Commission did to help EU citizens during the continent’s last energy crisis.
After an oil shock, both inflation and unemployment tend to rise, and this presents any Central Bank with a conundrum. It can reduce inflation by increasing interest rates, but this also creates more unemployment – higher borrowing costs slow growth and business activity, resulting in layoffs.
The Central Bank therefore needs to choose which objective is more important: its primary goal of keeping inflation in check (around 2% in Europe), or protecting jobs.
In July 2022, the ECB opted to raise interest rates (which were then at -0.5%) and kept raising them until they reached 4% in September 2023. But the situation then was very different, as the economy was still recovering from the large spike in inflation (9% in June 2022) caused by the Covid pandemic.
Today, interest rates stand at 2%, and the ECB will need to decide which risk is bigger: an increase in inflation (which was 1,9% in February, below the ECB’s target of 2%) or an increase in unemployment.
Beyond monetary policy
The European Commission and national governments have more direct and effective ways of dealing with the oil shock. During the 2022-2023 energy crisis, the Commission rolled out several initiatives to stabilise energy prices, including recommendations to minimise consumer energy use.
Perhaps most importantly, there were also price caps, and measures that allowed national governments to directly help their citizens, such as continent-wide joint gas purchases.
On the national level, governments have the option of borrowing to fund subsidies, as many did in 2022. However, this is a less viable option than it was in 2022, as global interest rates are now higher. Investors will be wary that many EU countries – including France, Italy and Spain – have government debt that is above 100% of their GDP. These governments were some of the most active during the last energy crisis, and also those most exposed to the oil shock today.
The EU now faces a real risk of recession. If there’s any silver lining, it may give the continent a much-needed push towards renewable energy development, but even this will depend on how national governments tackle the crisis over the coming months.
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For all the parallels to history, though, Trump’s Iran war is historically unique in one critically important way: In its early stages, the war is not popular with the American public.
A recent CNN poll found that 59% of Americans oppose the war – a trend found in poll after poll since the war began.
As an expert on U.S. foreign policy and regime change wars, my research shows that what’s likely generating public opposition to the Iran war today is the absence of a big story with a grand purpose that has bolstered public support for just about every major U.S.-promoted regime change war since 1900. These broad, purpose-filled narratives generate public buy-in to support the costs of war, which are often high in terms of money spent and lives lost when regime change is at stake.
Likewise, in the 2000s a dominant narrative about preventing a repeat of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks and stopping terrorism brought strong initial public support for the war in Afghanistan, with 88% support in 2001, and the war in Iraq, with 70% support in 2003.
With no comparable narrative around Iran today, Trump and Republicans could face big problems, especially as costs continue to rise.
No anti-Iran narrative
Iran has been a thorn in the side of many American presidents for a long time. So, what’s missing? Why no grand-purpose narrative at the start of this war?
A U.S. Army carry team in Dover, Del., moves a coffin on March 7, 2026, containing the remains of a U.S. soldier killed in the retaliatory Iranian strike on Kuwait’s Port of Shuaiba.Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images
Gains like these by rivals prove traumatic to the nation. They also dislodge the status quo and provide the opportunity for new grand-purpose narratives with new policy directions to emerge.
Today, most Americans see no existential danger around Iran. A Marist poll from March 3, 2026, found that 55% of Americans view Iran as a minor threat or no threat at all. And the number who see Iran as a major threat, 44%, is down from 48% in July 2025.
By contrast, 64% of Americans saw Iraq as a “considerable threat” prior to the 2003 U.S. war in Iraq.
In the summer of 2025, Iran’s nuclear nuclear enrichment facilities were significantly damaged – “completely and totally obliterated,” according to Trump, though there is no confirmation of that claim – during the 12-Day war between Iran and Israel.
As the polls show, none of that has sparked a grand-purpose narrative.
Missing a good story
The second missing factor for narrative formation today is any strong messaging from the White House.
In the months prior to World War II, Roosevelt used his position of authority as president to give speech after speech, setting the context of the traumatic events of the 1930s, explaining the dangers at hand and outlining a course going forward. Though less truthful in its content, Bush did the same for nearly two years before the Iraq War.
Trump did almost none of this storytelling leading up to the Iran war. Five days before the war started, the president devoted three minutes to Iran in a nearly two-hour State of the Union Address.
Prior to that, he made a comment here and there to the press about Iran, but no storytelling preparing the nation for war. Likewise, since the war began, the administration’s stated reasons for military action keep shifting.
By comparison, Americans approved of Bush’s handling of foreign policy by 63% in early 2003.
Absent a cohesive, unifying story, it’s also no surprise there is lots of political fracturing today.
Partisan divides run deep – Democrats and independent voters strongly oppose the war. But Trump’s MAGA coalition is cracking too, with people like Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene sharply criticizing the war.
The way out
If he opts for it, there is an off-ramp for Trump from the Iran war. It’s one he knows well.
When U.S. leaders get caught up in costly regime change wars that outrun national support, they tend to back down, often with far fewer political costs than if they’d continued their unpopular war.
When the disaster referred to as Black Hawk Down hit in Somalia in 1993, killing 18 U.S. Marines, President Bill Clinton opted to end the mission to topple the warlords that ruled the country. Troops came home six months later.
Likewise, after the Benghazi attack killed four Americans in Libya in 2012, Obama pulled out all U.S. personnel working in Libya on nation-building operations.
And just last year, when Trump realized that U.S. ground troops would be necessary to topple the Houthi militant group in Yemen, he negotiated a ceasefire and ended his air war in that country with no significant political fallout.
When US and Israeli forces launched airstrikes on Iran, the shock waves were felt far beyond the region. As the conflict escalates, understanding who benefits from this crisis might be as important as counting its costs.
The timing could hardly be worse for the UK economy. Official forecasts for GDP growth in 2026 had already been downgraded to 1.1% before a single missile was fired. Predictions that inflation might dip now look optimistic; and expectations of an interest rate cut on March 19 have fallen sharply.
The energy shock is immediate. Tanker traffic in the strait of Hormuz has fallen by around 90%. Qatar, the world’s second largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, halted production indefinitely. Although the UK sources little gas directly from the Gulf, energy markets are global so UK households could see more than £500 added to their annual bills.
For defence stocks, however, the picture is different. London-based BAE Systems surged around 6% on the first day of the conflict. And the American defence industry seems determined to quadruple production of some weapons.
Peace benefits ordinary citizens, small businesses, global supply chains and the planet’s climate trajectory. The beneficiaries of war are more concentrated.
One of the most uncomfortable truths about this conflict is that while it inflicts pain on some, it creates windfalls for others. In my co-authored research, we call this the “paradox of incentives”. Determining who benefits is essential to understanding why wars persist long after it may seem rational to stop.
Defence contractors and the arms economy
On Wall Street, defence firms including Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and RTX rose between 4% and 6% on the first day of the strikes. The three firms’ combined shareholder gain on that one day was US$25–30 billion (£18.7-£22.5 billion).
In Israel, Elbit Systems briefly became the country’s most valuable listed company, with its shares up 45% since January. In Europe and the UK, defence stocks surged against a falling FTSE 100.
The rally ‘round the flag effect
Wars may also be good for incumbent politicians in the short term. Before the strikes began, the fallout from the release of the Epstein files was reverberating globally, and piling scrutiny on to many with connections to the White House. Within hours of the first strikes, web searches for the Epstein files collapsed.
But perhaps the most counterintuitive application of the paradox concerns Iran itself. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) controls up to half of Iran’s oil exports. Its engineering arm, Khatam al-Anbiya, has become one of the largest contractors in the country, controlling construction, telecoms, agriculture and energy.
Economic sanctions designed to weaken Tehran have actually entrenched the power structures they were meant to erode. As foreign firms exited and domestic companies struggled, IRGC-linked entities used access to informal trade routes, currency controls and security networks to expand their dominance.
At the same time, according to the World Bank, close to 10 million ordinary Iranians fell into poverty between 2011 and 2020 as the sanctions tightened.
The energy windfall
The oil and gas price shock is already providing a windfall in unexpected places. The US could benefit as Europe’s reliance on American energy exports, accelerated by the Ukraine war, grows even more.
For the Gulf petrostates, the picture is nuanced. Saudi Arabia and the UAE together hold a huge share of the world’s spare production capacity. They face real costs from the conflict, but their exposure to the Hormuz closure is lower than neighbours Kuwait, Qatar and Iraq. Both countries built bypass pipelines specifically to export oil without transitting the Strait.
And for Russia, the war diverts price-sensitive buyers such as India and China away from competing suppliers in the Gulf.
The green transition
Higher oil and gas prices make new fossil fuel extraction more commercially attractive. The same crisis that bolsters the case for renewables also makes fossil fuels more profitable. This could slow the transition by redirecting attention back towards oil and gas.
In our research, we argue that breaking the paradox of incentives is possible. But it would require the financial interests of powerful actors like those mentioned above to become aligned with solutions. In the context of this conflict, that principle points towards four routes.
The first would be a windfall tax on companies benefiting exceptionally from wars. The UK already has a precedent: its energy profits levy hits oil and gas profits above a set threshold until 2030. Although this levy has come under fire recently, there is a strong case for extending its principles to defence contractors whose share prices and profits surge during conflicts.
For oil-producing nations, a release of emergency stocks coordinated by the International Energy Agency (IEA) could cap price spikes. This happened in 2022 when IEA member countries released 60 million barrels from strategic reserves. The G7 nations have now said they “stand ready” to do this.
On the political side, democratic accountability, independent economic institutions and a free press all narrow the window within which leaders can exploit wartime popularity. These things can’t always be changed from the outside however, and underline the need for robust domestic institutions.
The green transition paradox is perhaps the hardest to address in the short term, but it is also where the fix is clearest. It has been argued that the more dependent economies become on the profits of war through arms exports, fossil fuel revenues or defence procurement, the harder it becomes to divert funding and attention to climate issues.
The solution is not to stop countries defending themselves – but to ensure that the transition to a green and secure energy system proceeds, precisely because of crises like this one.
The costs of this war are already being counted in energy markets. Before long, they will show up in national and household budgets. What makes this crisis particularly hard to resolve is the paradox at its heart: the actors best placed to end it are among those with the most to gain from its continuation.
Chinese culture and New Zealand culture are like “two mutual friends who have heard of each other but never met”, says Auckland art historian Yang Fan.
“We’ll send them a letter on the 17th of March,” Wayne Brown said.
“We’ll just be handing them ‘this is the process we’re going to go through’ and if you don’t like it we’ll stick with 2 million,” he told Morning Report.
He was asked what would happen if the government did not like the plan from councillors.
“They’re just the government, and they live in Wellington, and they should just spend their time wandering around the coast picking up the lavatory paper that they put into the harbour,” he said.
“And we’ll carry on running a big city.”
Brown said with 180,000 votes, he represented Aucklanders more than Parliamentarians did.
But he said he was “not really grumpy with the government”.
The back-and-forth on future development in the city has been a divisive debate.
Housing Minister Chris Bishop has previously said he was frustrated by resistance from some for the government’s push for greater intensification.
After pressure from people worried about heritage homes and infrastructure, he announced last month Cabinet had agreed to lower the 2m number.
“We decided on some policies about how we would go about reducing the number from 2 million to 1.6, but we didn’t do anything about implementing it,” Brown said of Tuesday’s meeting.
“We’re not going to actually do any work about that until the government passes the legislation, so we’ve decided some sensible rules.”
Brown said there would be no intensification in suburbs “that haven’t got everything needed” and that are more than 10-kilometres from the central city.
But he said there would be in places with good public transport and infrastructure.
“It’s just sensible, it will end up with a city which looks like a city, not the world’s largest suburb,” the mayor told Morning Report.
Brown said “vocal constituents” had no more influence than local councillors did.
“Parnell has a railway station, bus service, and is on the upgraded sewage area so it will certainly be involved in intensification,” he said.
“Just like Mount Eden, Epsom, Ponsonby, and all the other areas that are close into the city that actually have a lot of it already.
“If you have a look, if you visit Parnell, there’s a multi-storey apartments everywhere, same with Ponsonby where I live, I’m in a multi-storey apartment as we speak so they’re just sensible things make it into a nice city.”
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The electric guitar Kurt Cobain played in Nirvana’s ‘Smells Like Teen Spirit’ video is expected to sell for more than US$7 million at auction in New York later this month.
The left-handed 1969 Fender Competition Mustang, which Cobain bought just before the release of the genre-defining album Nevermind, is among hundreds of items to be auctioned by Christie’s from the collection of late American billionaire Jim Irsay.
The guitar previously sold at auction in 2022 for $6.7 million ($US4.7 million), making it the most expensive electric guitar ever sold.
Kurt Cobain’s left-handed Fender Mustang is the most expensive lot listed for sale.
Christie’s
– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand