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Christopher Luxon announces election date for 7 November

Source: Radio New Zealand

The Prime Minister has announced this year’s election will be held on 7 November.

Christopher Luxon made the announcement from National’s caucus retreat in Christchurch.

The date had been widely tipped beforehand, and Luxon said he chose it as it was a “logical time,” with eight of New Zealand’s last 12 elections also held in October or November.

“When you look at the international events beforehand, when you look at the national events, sporting events, that was sort of the logical time,” he said.

The announcement began with a lengthy preamble of what National had done so far in government, including its tax cuts, education and law and order policies, and its reforms to the Resource Management Act.

Luxon said in the lead up to November, New Zealanders would have to weigh up who was best placed to provide “strong and stable” government in a “very volatile and uncertain world,” pitching that National would provide a strong economy, safer streets, a world-leading education, and more affordable housing.

Luxon said the economic recovery was now “up and running,” and a November election would mean National could “demonstrate more of that” throughout the year.

“We’ve been doing a big turnaround, we’ve been fixing a lot of the basics. We now have an opportunity, as this recovery comes through, not just to watch it come through but to actually shape the future of this country and to put in place the long-term reforms that actually will help the country realise its potential and to lift all of our collective living standards.”

Asked whether he had given any thought to going early, to prevent ACT and New Zealand First from absorbing more of the limelight, Luxon repeated that when he had looked at the calendar and sporting events that he had got to late October and early November.

As Prime Minister, the date was Luxon’s decision. But he confirmed he had informed David Seymour and Winston Peters of the date on Tuesday.

Luxon said he was “open” to working with his current coalition partners again, but he would be making the case that the “strongest and most stablest” form of government would be a strong party vote for National.

“They do not care” – Labour ready for election

Labour MPs were holding their own caucus retreat in West Auckland as news of the election date came through.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins said the contest could not come soon enough.

“New Zealanders face a very clear choice at this year’s election between a government that’s offering more cuts, more division and more negativity, or a change of government to a government with a positive vision for New Zealand’s future.”

Labour held their caucus retreat in West Auckland. RNZ / Lillian Hanly

Hipkins said Luxon had failed to deliver on his promises, adding the number of people that left the country last year was an indictment on his government.

“We need to do better as a country. All National’s offering is more of the same, more excuses, more backtracking, more going backwards. They do not feel the pain that New Zealand families are feeling right now and they do not care.

“We deserve a government that is going to put working Kiwis first. That’s going to make sure that New Zealanders who go out every day, slog their guts out and work hard, actually have the opportunity to get ahead. National cannot offer that future, Labour will.”

“We’re proud of our record” – ACT

The ACT Party said it would be giving the public a clear choice at the election: “To avoid the reds and greens, without settling for beige.”

ACT leader David Seymour said the party was “proud of our record,” and had proven it could cut red tape, shrink government waste, and provide better value for the taxpayer dollar.

“We’ve also proven we can work collegially and effectively with our partners in coalition. In everything from youth justice to medicines, we have delivered. ACT provides the full package for voters who rightly fear the Labour-Green-Māori menace, but also want faster action on waste, red tape, and pride in our country,” he said.

“Retirement date” for Luxon – Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori said in announcing the election date, Luxon had also announced his retirement date.

“The pain this government has inflicted on our communities and our taiao will be felt for generations,” said co-leader Debbie Ngarewa-Packer.

“Aotearoa cannot afford another term of this government. If we do not change the government, poverty and the environmental desecration will be entrenched as a normal part of life in Aotearoa.”

The party encouraged its supporters to enrol early, following changes the government made to scrap same-day enrolment.

“Game on” for National MPs

Ahead of the announcement National MPs, gathered for their first caucus meeting of the year.

On their way in, senior ministers would not give anything away about the date, but said they were ready.

Finance minister Nicola Willis. RNZ / Nathan McKinnon

Finance minister Nicola Willis was optimistic that economic fortunes would improve before the election.

“There’s always more to do, and we have ahead of us several months before an election, and our government will be working hard every week to make more progress, to make more changes, to make a difference to New Zealanders’ everyday lives,” she said.

“I’m always conscious that yes, the GDP data has improved. Yes, the Official Cash Rate is down. Yes, the business confidence index is up. But families need to feel that at home.”

National’s campaign chair Chris Bishop said it was “game on” and it would be a big year.

“It’ll be a really clear contrast at the election, and I’m really confident people will make the right decision, but there’s a long way to run between now and the end of the year.”

National’s campaign chair Chris Bishop. RNZ / Nathan McKinnon

Bishop said he expected his workload would loosen closer to the start of the campaign.

“I don’t sleep a lot as it is. So it’s all good,” he said.

“I like being busy, and I like the portfolios that I’ve got the privilege of being in charge of, but ultimately that’s over to the Prime Minister. We will probably be having a chat about potentially freeing me up to focus on the campaign, because that is a really key responsibility. But that’s all down the line, and I’m really relaxed about it.”

While a ministerial reshuffle was not announced at the retreat, Luxon has previously said that retirements may necessitate one.

No MPs have announced their retirement at the retreat, and none would give much away of their intentions on their way into the caucus meeting.

Bishop said any retirement announcements were for the individuals to make, and he would not divulge chats he had had with his colleagues.

National party president Sylvia Wood said National went into the end of last year “really, really well” and the party was feeling good.

“We’ve got a great ground game. We’ve got a great set of members. So it’s going to be good,” she said.

Ahead of the 2023 election, the party gave its membership a goal of hitting 45 percent of the party vote, which it did not meet, landing on 38 percent.

Wood would not say whether there would be a target again this time, only saying she wanted a “really, really good” party vote.

Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa protested outside the event at the Commodore Hotel.

The Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa protested outside the National caucus retreat. RNZ / Nathan McKinnon

Organiser John Minto criticised the government for not sanctioning Israel and not recognising Palestinian statehood.

He said pro-Palestine groups would continue to protest other National Party events “again and again” throughout the election year.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Wellington Hospital Emergency Department went into code red nearly twice a day in 2025

Source: Radio New Zealand

More than 3200 patients left the emergency department without being treated. RNZ / REECE BAKER

Wellington Hospital’s emergency department went into its most critical code red status nearly twice a day last year.

An Official Information Act response released to the Labour Party reveals the department recorded 575 code reds between January and October, when demand outstripped available staff and beds.

The data also shows only about half of patients were treated and moved on within six hours, below the government’s target.

More than 3200 patients left the emergency department without being treated – around 10 people a day.

In a statement, Health New Zealand group director operations Capital Coast & Hutt Valley, Jamie Duncan said emergency department escalation and scoring systems helped to identify periods of pressure and guide consistent responses.

“They reflect a highly dynamic environment that can change throughout the day as patient volumes, staffing and bed availability fluctuates,” he said.

“While we acknowledge there is still work to do, Wellington Hospital’s ‘Shorter Stays in ED’ performance is improving, with 2025 year-to-date results around five percentage points higher than 2024, with a clear upward trend since July 2025, increasing from 48.4 percent in July to 61.0 percent in December 2025.”

Wellington Hospital emergency nurse Ryan O’Donnell said staffing shortages at the hospital meant patients were receiving sub-optimal care.

“We are trying to run between patients left, right and centre and we are trying to look after more patients then we can at that given moment and that’s when sub-optimal care happens, that’s when mistakes can happen,” he said.

O’Donnell added that patients were being left in emergency department corridors.

Labour’s Health spokesperson Dr Ayesha Verrall said the code red figures represented a 135 percent overload.

“Code reds mean staff cannot cope with demand, meaning patients aren’t able to get the care they need when they need it. Patients who don’t stick around are likely to get worse and need more urgent care in the future,” she said.

Health Minister Simeon Brown said Wellington Hospital’s emergency department had unacceptable wait times and was among the lowest-performing in the country.

“Our ED doctors, nurses, and other healthcare workers work incredibly hard and are focused on delivering the best possible care for patients, but they need infrastructure that supports them to reduce wait times and improve patient flow,” he said.

The Minister said the Wellington ED redevelopment had been prioritised and fully funded through Budget 2025, with work already underway across the hospital campus.

He said the government had also directed Health New Zealand to progress extended hours for urgent and after-hours care in central Wellington, to reduce pressure on the emergency department.

“In the meantime, I have been very clear with Health New Zealand that the current situation at Wellington Hospital’s Emergency Department is not good enough for patients or staff, and I expect to see improvements.”

The Minister pointed to a $20 million funding boost announced in September last year to increase frontline emergency department staffing nationwide over nine months, including additional support for Wellington Hospital.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

ER Report: A Roundup of Significant Articles on EveningReport.nz for January 21, 2026

ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on January 21, 2026.

Jeremy Rose: Mexico – the revolution isn’t being televised
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s support for resettling Palestinian children orphaned by Israel’s genocide in Gaza barely rates a mention, reports Towards Democracy. COMMENTARY: By Jeremy Rose At the beginning of last month, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stood in front of an estimated 600,000 supporters in Zócalo Square and reflected on the achievements of her first

Period pain and heavy bleeding cost the Australian economy billions every year in lost productivity: study
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle O’Shea, Senior Lecturer, School of Business, Western Sydney University Photo by Karola G/Pexels While period pain and heavy menstrual bleeding are common, they’re often dealt with privately. Yet they take a profound toll on a person’s health – and finances. Now, our new study has calculated

We interviewed Australian women who sexually abused children. This is what we learnt
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Bricklyn Priebe, Associate Lecturer in Criminology and Justice, School of Law and Society, University of the Sunshine Coast Hoi An and Da Nang Photographer/Unsplash Child sexual abuse cases involving female perpetrators are confronting and distressing. When these cases make the news, they often provoke shock and outrage.

Rob Hirst was not the figurehead of Midnight Oil – but he was its backbone
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Nichols, Professor of Urban Planning, The University of Melbourne The death of Rob Hirst from pancreatic cancer at the age of 70 is the close of a long and, in many ways, surprising career. Hirst was the drummer and songwriter who, though far from the figurehead

Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne One Nation continues to surge after the Bondi terror attack, as a Morgan poll has them gaining six points at the Coalition’s expense. A national Australian Morgan

New study sheds light on the threat of ‘marine darkwaves’ to ocean life
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By François Thoral, Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Marine Ecology, University of Waikato Surfers caught in a marine darkwave. Jean Thoral, CC BY-NC-SA Life in the ocean runs on light. It fuels photosynthesis, shapes food webs and determines where many marine species can live. Gradually, that light is fading.

4.87 tonnes of cocaine seized in French Polynesian waters – bound for Australia
RNZ Pacific France’s High Commission in French Polynesia has reported the seizure of 4.87 tonnes of cocaine in its maritime zone. The armed forces in French Polynesia (FAPF), the national gendarmerie and the local branch of the anti-narcotics office (OFAST) were involved in the intercept. A statement from the Australian Federal Police (AFP) have congratulated

A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in health care and social spending
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Angela Jackson, Social Policy Commissioner, Productivity Commission, and Adjunct Associate Professor, University of Tasmania Deb Cohn-Orbach/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images At the start of the new year, many of us will commit to joining a gym, eating healthier or cutting back on drinking and smoking. We

How to cut down on trans fats if cooking from scratch isn’t an option
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Emma Beckett, Senior Lecturer, Nutrition and Food Science, Australian Catholic University RDNE Stock project/Pexels Work is finished, and you’re tired and hungry. Maybe you’re rushing home or to daycare pickup. You know you should be cooking dinner from scratch for the healthiest choice but that isn’t going

A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in healthcare and social spending
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Angela Jackson, Social Policy Commissioner, Productivity Commission, and Adjunct Associate Professor, University of Tasmania Deb Cohn-Orbach/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images At the start of the new year, many of us will commit to joining a gym, eating healthier or cutting back on drinking and smoking. We

What Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story tells us about Mormonism
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brenton Griffin, Academic Status in the College of Humanities, Arts, and Social Sciences, Flinders University Netflix The new Netflix documentary Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story, directed by Skye Borgman, seeks to understand the shocking crimes of both Hildebrandt and business partner Ruby Franke. In 2023, Hildebrandt

How NZ can survive – and even thrive – in Trump’s new world of great-power rivalry
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nicholas Ross Smith, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury Sean Gallup/Getty Images In the wake of the US military intervention in Venezuela and Donald Trump’s repeated threats towards Greenland, a wave of pessimism has swept the western world. For countries wedded

How NZ can survive – and even thrive – in Trump’s new world of great-power rivalry
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nicholas Ross Smith, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury Sean Gallup/Getty Images In the wake of the US military intervention in Venezuela and Donald Trump’s repeated threats towards Greenland, a wave of pessimism has swept the western world. For countries wedded

How NZ can survive – and even thrive – in Trump’s new world of great-power rivalry
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nicholas Ross Smith, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury Sean Gallup/Getty Images In the wake of the US military intervention in Venezuela and Donald Trump’s repeated threats towards Greenland, a wave of pessimism has swept the western world. For countries wedded

How NZ can survive – and even thrive – in Trump’s new world of great-power rivalry
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nicholas Ross Smith, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury Sean Gallup/Getty Images In the wake of the US military intervention in Venezuela and Donald Trump’s repeated threats towards Greenland, a wave of pessimism has swept the western world. For countries wedded

The world is in water bankruptcy, UN scientists report – here’s what that means
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kaveh Madani, Director of the Institute for Water, Environment and Health, United Nations University The world is now using so much fresh water amid the consequences of climate change that it has entered an era of water bankruptcy, with many regions no longer able to bounce back

The world is in water bankruptcy, UN scientists report – here’s what that means
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kaveh Madani, Director of the Institute for Water, Environment and Health, United Nations University The world is now using so much fresh water amid the consequences of climate change that it has entered an era of water bankruptcy, with many regions no longer able to bounce back

The world is in water bankruptcy, UN scientists report – here’s what that means
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kaveh Madani, Director of the Institute for Water, Environment and Health, United Nations University The world is now using so much fresh water amid the consequences of climate change that it has entered an era of water bankruptcy, with many regions no longer able to bounce back

The world is in water bankruptcy, UN scientists report – here’s what that means
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kaveh Madani, Director of the Institute for Water, Environment and Health, United Nations University The world is now using so much fresh water amid the consequences of climate change that it has entered an era of water bankruptcy, with many regions no longer able to bounce back

View from The Hill: defiant Nationals break with Liberals over hate bill, putting strain on Coalition
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra The Nationals have defied shadow cabinet solidarity, voting in the Senate against the government’s hate crime legislation, which passed late Tuesday night with the support of the Liberals. The Nationals’ action puts new strain on Coalition relations, and is destabilising

Coromandel highway blocked after truck crash

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / Marika Khabazi

State Highway 25A In Coromandel is blocked just south of Thames following a truck crash – which has seriously injured the driver involved.

Emergency services were called to the scene at 2:15pm.

The crash happened at the State Highway 26 intersection and the route is expected to be blocked for several hours.

Motorists are asked to avoid the area.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Crash blocks busy Christchurch intersection

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / REECE BAKER

A crash near a busy Christchurch intersection is causing delays.

Emergency services were called to the crash near the intersection of State Highway 73 – Yaldhurst Road and State Highway 1 – Masham Road in Russley about 1.30pm.

St John says one person has been transported to Christchurch Hospital in a serious condition while another person with minor injuries declined treatment.

Waka Kotahi says the vehicles involved in the crash are blocking the road and people should avoid the area if they can.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Jeremy Rose: Mexico – the revolution isn’t being televised

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s support for resettling Palestinian children orphaned by Israel’s genocide in Gaza barely rates a mention, reports Towards Democracy.

COMMENTARY: By Jeremy Rose

At the beginning of last month, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stood in front of an estimated 600,000 supporters in Zócalo Square and reflected on the achievements of her first year in office and the seven years since the Morena Party, which she heads, came to power.

It was quite a list: 13 million people lifted out of poverty; the minimum wage increased by 125 percent; Indigenous and Afro-Mexican communities allocated budgets to run their own affairs; a locally produced people’s electric car about to roll off production lines; a new fast rail system crossing the country; a national park spanning 5.7 million hectares across Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala; a 37 percent drop in homicides — and on it went.

Sheinbaum is Mexico’s first woman president, its first Jewish president, and a climate scientist who was part of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize–winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change team.

In short, she has a story to tell, but it’s not one our media pays enough attention to.

That speech — where she declared the end of neoliberalism in Mexico — barely rated a mention in the world’s English-language press.

The grope that trumped the anti-Trump
In fact, Sheinbaum’s extraordinarily popular first year in office — El País reports she has an approval rating of over 70% — has been largely ignored by the English-language media, with three notable exceptions: when she was groped by a man on the streets of Mexico City last November, it made front-page news around the globe; a much-hyped series of “Gen Z” protests; and her dignified, and at times witty, responses to bellicose threats to Mexico’s sovereignty from the US president — which have seen her labelled the anti-Trump.

So why the lack of interest? Some possibilities, none of them edifying, spring to mind: if it doesn’t involve violence, Latin America rarely rates a mention in the media; Sheinbaum is a woman; and she’s leftwing.

But for each of those, there’s at least one counter-example that suggests this isn’t always the case.

Argentina’s right-wing libertarian president, Javier Milei, is widely reported on despite coming from a country with little over a third of Mexico’s population and GDP. Milei is a poster boy for right-leaning pundits from Auckland to London.

Former New Zealand prime minister Jacinda Ardern — leader of a country of just five million people compared to Mexico’s 130 million — was widely reported on while in office, and with the recent publication of her memoir has been the subject of more feature articles in recent months than Sheinbaum has generated in a year in office.

And finally, and perhaps most interestingly, there was the saturation coverage of Zoran Mamdani’s run and eventual victory in the New York mayoral election.

Sheinbaum’s successful campaign to become the equivalent of mayor of Mexico City — with a population significantly larger than New York’s — in 2018 was barely reported, despite running on a similarly leftwing, if notably more ambitious, platform.

Mamdani’s campaign and victory were newsworthy but, on any metric, less significant than Sheinbaum’s time in office.

World’s most popular leader
She is arguably the world’s most popular leader, delivering on promises more far-reaching and consequential than anything on offer in the Big Apple.

A promise by Mamdani to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should he visit New York — something he almost certainly cannot deliver on — was widely reported, while Sheinbaum’s support for resettling Palestinian children orphaned by Israel’s genocide in Gaza barely rated a mention. (Mexico has also joined South Africa’s International Court of Justice genocide case against Israel.)

The contrast between the saturation coverage of Mamdani and the paucity of coverage of Sheinbaum holds true for both conservative and liberal media.

The Wall Street Journal ran 50-plus editorials and op-eds criticising Mamdani in the run-up to his election but just three or four on Sheinbaum in her first year in office, all focusing on her alleged failure to tackle violence and the cartels. (In fact, homicides are down, though still extremely high.)

Even Jacobin magazine, one of the few US outlets to provide in-depth coverage of Mexico’s so-called “Fourth Transformation,” has given far more coverage to Mamdani, with a recent podcast declaring New York the epicentre of global socialism.

Whatever the explanation for the scant coverage of Sheinbaum, the achievements and popularity of the Morena movement are worth talking about.

The Donroe Doctrine’s threat to Mexico
There’s little doubt we’ll be hearing more about Mexico over the coming months, but the focus will almost certainly be on the threat from the north, not the achievements and promise of the Fourth Transformation.

After the illegal abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, President Trump turned his sights on Mexico, declaring Sheinbaum to be a “tremendous woman, she’s a very brave woman, but Mexico is run by the cartels”.

Having designated the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation cartels as terrorist organisations at the beginning of his second term in office, Trump had already signalled the possibility of military intervention in Mexico.

Sheinbaum’s response to both the Venezuelan intervention and the implied threat to Mexican sovereignty was resolute and principled:

“We categorically reject intervention in the internal affairs of other countries. The history of Latin America is clear and compelling: intervention has never brought democracy, never generated well-being, nor lasting stability.

“Only the people can build their own future, decide their path, exercise sovereignty over their natural resources, and freely define their form of government.”

Trump has other ideas, recently declaring that the US military could attack the cartels without congressional approval.

“I don’t think we’re necessarily going to ask for a declaration of war,” he said. “I think we’re just gonna kill people that are bringing drugs into our country. We’re going to kill them. They’re going to be, like, dead.”

Trump has dubbed the new era the Donroe Doctrine — a reference to his regime’s embrace of the Monroe Doctrine, named for President James Monroe, who declared the Western Hemisphere an area of US influence in the 1820s.

200 years of brutal interventions
It was the beginning of more than 200 years of brutal interventions by the US state, including a war on Mexico that resulted in the US taking over approximately 1.36 million sq km of Mexican territory — about 55 percent of the country.

Last year Trump hung a portrait of the country’s 11th president James Polk in the White House. Polk was responsible for the Mexican-American war of 1846-1848 which ended with the ceding of California, Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah, and parts of Colorado and Wyoming to the USA, in exchange for $15 million.

Trump has pointed to the portrait and told visitors: “He got a lot of land.”

His play on words with the Donroe Doctrine is characteristically narcissistic but also painfully accurate. It is the geopolitics of a gangster state.

In a world reeling from the criminal actions of that gangster state — from its continued bankrolling of genocide, to the extrajudicial killing of alleged drug smugglers, to SS-like round-ups of “foreigners” on its city streets, to threats to take over the sovereign territory of an ally — Mexico and its president, Claudia Sheinbaum, are a beacon of hope.

There is plenty I haven’t even touched on:

  • The election of an Indigenous lawyer, Hugo Aguilar Ortiz, as head of the Supreme Court;
  • The construction of 1.1 million affordable homes over the next six years, generating hundreds of thousands of jobs;
  • The launch of SaberesMX, a free national online platform designed to democratise access to knowledge and provide lifelong learning opportunities across Mexico; and
  • Sheinbaum’s daily morning press conferences, where she speaks directly to the nation.

If past experience is anything to go by, the mainstream media’s ignoring of Morena’s successes is unlikely to end any time soon.

The good news is that there are alternatives. Mexico Solidarity Media is a great source of original articles, translations from local media, and podcasts, and Substack writer and former Boston Globe and LA Times journalist Alisa Valdes-Rodriguez regularly writes about Mexico from a progressive perspective.

Jeremy Rose is a Wellington-based journalist and broadcaster and his Towards Democracy blog is at Substack. This article was first published at Towards Democracy and is republished with permission.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Latest MetService weather warnings and watches

Source: Radio New Zealand

The latest weather warning and watches map from MetService for Wednesday. MetService

This is the latest weather advice from MetService.

A strong and extremely humid northeasterly flow precedes a tropical low that is forecast to approach New Zealand from the north today. Heavy rain, downpours and easterly gales are expected to affect many areas. The rain and wind should ease Thursday after the low crosses the country. Red and Orange Warnings are in force for many areas.

Please stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

Heavy Rain Warning – Red

Area: Northland

Period: 14hrs from 9am – 11pm Wed, 21 Jan

Forecast: Expect another 90 to 120 mm of rain on top of what has already accumulated, or possibly more in some localised areas, especially in the north and east. Peak rates 25 to 40 mm/h in localised downpours from this afternoon.

Impact: Threat to life from dangerous river conditions, significant flooding and slips. Conditions will disrupt travel, make some roads impassable, and isolate communities.

Action: Do not enter floodwaters and avoid travel. Act quickly to self-evacuate if you see rising water. Be ready for power and communications outages. Preparedness advice.

Area: Coromandel Peninsula

Period: 18hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 3am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect a further 200 to 250 mm of rain on top of what has already accumulated, especially about the higher ground. Peak rates of 25 to 40 mm/h in downpours from this afternoon.

Impact: Threat to life from dangerous river conditions, significant flooding and slips. Conditions will disrupt travel, make some roads impassable, and isolate communities.

Action: Do not enter floodwaters and avoid travel. Act quickly to self-evacuate if you see rising water. Be ready for power and communications outages. Preparedness advice.

Area: Bay of Plenty including Rotorua

Period: 24hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 9am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect a further 180 to 240 mm of rain on top of what has already accumulated. Peak rates of 25 to 40 mm/h in downpours from Wednesday evening. Note that downpours may affect any part of the area.

Impact: Threat to life from dangerous river conditions, significant flooding and slips. Conditions will disrupt travel, make some roads impassable, and isolate communities.

Action: Do not enter floodwaters and avoid travel. Act quickly to self-evacuate if you see rising water. Be ready for power and communications outages. Preparedness advice.

Area: Gisborne from Tolaga bay northwards

Period: 26hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 11am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect a further 250 to 350 mm of rain on top of what has already accumulated. Peak rates of 25 to 40 mm/h in downpours from late this evening.

Impact: Threat to life from dangerous river conditions, significant flooding and slips. Conditions will disrupt travel, make some roads impassable, and isolate communities.

Action: Do not enter floodwaters and avoid travel. Act quickly to self-evacuate if you see rising water. Be ready for power and communications outages. Preparedness advice.

Heavy Rain Warning – Orange

Area: Tasman west of Mapua

Period: 18hrs from 4pm Wed, 21 Jan – 10am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect 80 to 120 mm of rain. Peak rates of 10 to 20 mm/h expected. Low chance of upgrading to a Red Warning.

Impact: Streams and rivers may rise rapidly. Surface flooding, slips, and difficult driving conditions possible.

Action: Clear your drains and gutters to prepare for heavy rain. Avoid low-lying areas and drive cautiously. Preparedness advice.

Area: Auckland and Great Barrier Island

Period: 17hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 2am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect 80 to 120 mm of rain with the largest accumulations in the east and about Great Barrier Island. Peak rates of 25 to 40 mm/h in downpours in the east and about great Barrier Island expected from about noon today. Low chance of upgrading to a Red Warning.

Impact: Streams and rivers may rise rapidly. Surface flooding, slips, and difficult driving conditions possible.

Action: Clear your drains and gutters to prepare for heavy rain. Avoid low-lying areas and drive cautiously. Preparedness advice.

Area: Gisborne south of Tolaga Bay and Hawke’s Bay

Period: 24hrs from 10am Wed, 21 Jan – 10am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Expect 100 to 150 mm of rain. Peak rates of 10 to 20 mm/h expected. Low chance of upgrading to a Red Warning.

Impact: Streams and rivers may rise rapidly. Surface flooding, slips, and difficult driving conditions possible.

Action: Clear your drains and gutters to prepare for heavy rain. Avoid low-lying areas and drive cautiously. Preparedness advice.

Heavy Rain Watch

Area: Waikato, Waitomo and Taupo

Period: 18hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 3am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Area: Tasman and Nelson Districts east of about Mapua

Period: 18hrs from 4pm Wed, 21 Jan – 10am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Area: Buller and Grey Districts

Period: 18hrs from 3pm Wed, 21 Jan – 9am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Area: Canterbury

Period: 19hrs from 6pm Wed, 21 Jan – 1pm Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Area: Westland District

Period: 18hrs from 3pm Wed, 21 Jan – 9am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Low chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Strong Wind Watch

Area: Auckland and Great Barrier Island

Period: 14hrs from 9am – 11pm Wed, 21 Jan

Forecast: Easterly winds may approach severe gale in exposed places. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Area: Waikato, Coromandel Peninsula, Waitomo and Taupo

Period: 18hrs from 9am Wed, 21 Jan – 3am Thu, 22 Jan

Forecast: Easterly winds may approach severe gale in exposed places. Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

– All information from MetService

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Period pain and heavy bleeding cost the Australian economy billions every year in lost productivity: study

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle O’Shea, Senior Lecturer, School of Business, Western Sydney University

Photo by Karola G/Pexels

While period pain and heavy menstrual bleeding are common, they’re often dealt with privately. Yet they take a profound toll on a person’s health – and finances.

Now, our new study has calculated how much these menstrual symptoms cost the broader Australian economy.

Our study was based on a survey of 1,796 Australian working women and is published today in The Australian Journal of Social Issues. We found period pain and heavy bleeding costs the Australian economy about A$14 billion every year in lost productivity.

Women aged 35–44 reported significantly higher lost productivity than their younger counterparts.

Our findings highlight the substantial economic rationale for government and workplace policies to help people manage menstrual symptoms.

Periods can be debilitating

In Australia, girls experience their first period (menarche) around 12 years of age.

Periods (menstruation) typically happen every 21–34 days. Most women (and those who menstruate) have regular periods until around 45–55 years of age. Then, menstrual cycles become less regular before stopping altogether at menopause.

Most women will experience around 400–600 periods over their lifetime, unless their menstrual cycles are suppressed by hormonal contraception.

For the majority of women, periods often have significant negative impacts on overall wellbeing.

Two common causes of problematic periods are dysmenorrhea (period pain) and heavy menstrual bleeding.

The most common type of period pain (primary dysmenorrhea) affects around 90% of young women under 25 in Australia.

This type of period pain is often worst during the first two days of bleeding. It is primarily caused by high levels of prostaglandin hormones, which are responsible for cramps. Many women also feel fatigue, dizziness, back pain and headaches.

Heavy menstrual bleeding is when the period is so heavy that excessive blood loss affects health and quality of life. This affects 20–25% of women of reproductive age in Australia.

People with heavy menstrual bleeding often also experience moderate to severe period pain.

Excessive iron loss due to heavy bleeding also contributes to fatigue.

The stigma and taboo associated with menstruation means many women feel they must work very hard to conceal period problems at work. This labour is usually invisible and exhausting. Some women quit work altogether.

Pain inquiry finds gender bias.

What we did and what we found

Our research aimed to investigate:

  • how common period pain and other menstrual symptoms are for Australian women in paid employment over 18 years and
  • the impact of menstruation on work productivity (via presenteeism and absenteeism).

Presenteeism accounts for productivity losses at work while an employee is present but not working at full capacity. It’s like going to work with a migraine: you might be physically present but you aren’t doing your best work.

Absenteeism is being away from work on paid or unpaid sick leave.

We collected data via an online survey of 1,796 Australian working women.

Survey participants were over 18, currently living in Australia and had had at least one period in the last three months. They were in paid employment (including self-employment) and/or volunteering for at least three months.

Our study found that 97% of women who responded had period pain in the last three months, and 75% said they always have period pain when menstruating. Previous research in Australia has found that over 90% of young women report period pain and around 71% worldwide.

Because of this we used more conservative estimates of 90% of women experiencing period pain (high) and 70% experiencing period pain (low) to calculate our range of economic figures for the population.

We estimated lost productivity in Australia associated with menstrual symptoms at A$7,176 per person annually, with an estimated total annual economic burden of $14.005 billion.

Together, presenteeism and absenteeism accounted for 46% of total productivity loss.

And remember, our study only looked at paid employment among full‑time and part‑time workers. The implications for unpaid labour, particularly women’s unpaid care work and its profound economic and social importance, demands further study (which we are progressing).

We also note that the impact of menstruation on the Australian economy is more complex than is established through our current data set, which doesn’t account for things such as the economy-wide costs of medical care and treatment.

In other words, our estimate is conservative.

Why does this matter?

Given the substantive economic impacts demonstrated through our study, menstrual symptom management in the workplace is not a private concern to be managed by individual workers.

Menstrual symptoms affect the broader economy and society. Workplace policies and guidelines are needed to support employees experiencing period pain, fatigue and associated symptoms.

At the workplace level, employers have an opportunity to start a dialogue with staff about changes to workplace conditions that could enhance employee productivity, health and wellbeing.

This could, for instance, include things such as reproductive leave (on top of the usual sick leave provisions), remote and hybrid work arrangements and flexible time management policies (including rest periods).

Our study findings also highlight the significant economic rationale for government to address this workplace issue with laws and policies.

Enshrining minimum standards for workplaces to support employees impacted by menstrual symptoms reduces the burden on individual workplaces to formulate policies and eliminates reliance on senior management’s interest.

If governments and employers want to increase productivity, our research shows the answer could be hiding in plain sight.

The Conversation

Mike Armour receives funding from the MRFF for projects related to menstrual health literacy outside this work.

Michelle O’Shea does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Period pain and heavy bleeding cost the Australian economy billions every year in lost productivity: study – https://theconversation.com/period-pain-and-heavy-bleeding-cost-the-australian-economy-billions-every-year-in-lost-productivity-study-272351

We interviewed Australian women who sexually abused children. This is what we learnt

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Bricklyn Priebe, Associate Lecturer in Criminology and Justice, School of Law and Society, University of the Sunshine Coast

Hoi An and Da Nang Photographer/Unsplash

Child sexual abuse cases involving female perpetrators are confronting and distressing. When these cases make the news, they often provoke shock and outrage.

The involvement of women and girls in child sexual abuse cases has historically been underestimated and under-recognised.

Yet, in the United States, approximately 7.6% of confirmed cases are perpetrated by women or girls, though some US states report it to be as high as 36%.

In Australia, recorded sexual assault offences involving women and girls have increased from 222 offenders in 2008–09 to 678 in 2023–24: a 205% rise.

Public attention has long focused on male perpetrators and on what happens after abuse is uncovered (including prosecution and punishment or cases not proceeding to court).

Prevention, however, requires us to act earlier and to ask a different question: what might have prevented these women from sexually abusing a child in the first place?

Our recent Australian research may have uncovered some answers.

What women who have abused told us

We spoke directly with 18 women convicted of child sexual abuse offences in three states/territories in Australia.

These conversations were not about minimising or excuse-making, but about uncovering missed opportunities for support and intervention throughout their lives that they believe may have prevented them from sexual offending.

Many of these women described needing help long before they abused a child. Many had grown up experiencing their own abuse or neglect.

They talked about wanting counselling, mental health support, guidance around relationships and practical help with parenting.

For some, these unresolved needs and vulnerabilities were closely tied to their experiences in intimate relationships.

One participant who co-offended with her male partner reflected on how early support might have changed her situation:

It would have been good just to have the opportunity to get out of the relationship earlier […] so having resources or counselling or anything really. It got to a point where it was just too late. I was stuck.

Others spoke about repeated attempts to get help from support services, only to encounter barriers that left them feeling dismissed, unsupported and their concerns minimised. As one participant explained:

I really was trying to engage and get help […] they just turned [me] away, it’s like they didn’t want to help me.

Some women did not know what services existed to help them at different times in their lives. Others faced long waitlists and cost barriers.

Several women also described how shame and fear fuelled their silence, including fear of judgement or legal consequences. One woman said:

I should have opened up […] but I didn’t know how to. It’s not that I needed more people to talk to, it’s that I needed to know how to talk to them.

Together, these accounts highlight a key limitation in current prevention and early intervention efforts.

Availability of services alone is not enough; accessibility matters. If people cannot find, afford or safely connect to support then prevention efforts will likely fail.

It’s not just prevention that’s needed

We also acknowledge that while accessibility matters, not everyone will seek support.

In fact, a minority of women in our study admitted nothing would have prevented their offending.

Some felt they weren’t aware they needed help until it was too late, or they would not have accepted it at the time anyway.

This reinforces the necessity for both effective prevention and response.

The women’s accounts in our study reinforce growing calls for gender-responsive strategies.

While risk factors such as trauma, isolation and substance use are not exclusive to girls and women, they often intersect differently with gendered social roles and expectations compared with men.

For example, parenting stress, relationship toxicity and financial insecurity disproportionately affect women and can compound vulnerability.

By no means do these factors minimise or excuse offending, nor do they fully explain it.

Rather, it is about recognising that prevention and early intervention efforts need to address these gendered risks in order to better protect children from harm.

Importantly, these findings support much of the broader prevention work already underway in Australia, such as:

These are all designed to intervene earlier, reduce isolation and support people as ways to prevent harm and safeguard children.

Our findings align with a growing body of evidence suggesting prevention works best when it is practical and embedded from childhood through adulthood.

The challenge that remains is ensuring services are not only available but visible, accessible, nonjudgmental and clearly inclusive of girls and women.


The National Sexual Assault, Family and Domestic Violence Counselling Line – 1800 RESPECT (1800 737 732) – is available 24 hours a day, seven days a week for any Australian who has experienced, or is at risk of, family and domestic violence and/or sexual assault.

If this article has raised issues for you, or if you’re concerned about someone you know, call Lifeline on 13 11 14.

Larissa Christensen is affiliated with the Daniel Morcombe Foundation.

Bricklyn Priebe, Nadine McKillop, and Susan Rayment-McHugh do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. We interviewed Australian women who sexually abused children. This is what we learnt – https://theconversation.com/we-interviewed-australian-women-who-sexually-abused-children-this-is-what-we-learnt-273359

Rob Hirst was not the figurehead of Midnight Oil – but he was its backbone

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Nichols, Professor of Urban Planning, The University of Melbourne

The death of Rob Hirst from pancreatic cancer at the age of 70 is the close of a long and, in many ways, surprising career.

Hirst was the drummer and songwriter who, though far from the figurehead of Midnight Oil, was nonetheless an integral part – perhaps the backbone – of one of the most consistently adventurous and principled groups of the last half-century.

For most, Midnight Oil means Peter Garrett. But it was Garrett who answered an ad to join Farm, Hirst’s band with Jim Moginie and Andrew James, in 1972. Were it not for his arrival, the group might not have gone far beyond the northern beaches of Sydney: Garrett was striking as a performer and his singing was distinctive (though, like Jimmy Barnes, he did not sing all the great songs his band was famous for).

While Midnight Oil’s members recognised a common purpose and achieved an extraordinary amount on a range of fronts, Hirst’s memoir of their early 21st century United States tour shows there was always some measure of tension between them.

In 1980, Hirst told Toby Creswell of Rolling Stone he didn’t like Garrett’s taste, “and he doesn’t like mine […] You’re really putting together people who don’t get on socially or musically.”

Not there to compromise

Midnight Oil’s records were exceptionally high quality from the outset.

Their self-titled first album was what you’d expect from a group which took pleasure in Australian surfing “head” music bands like Tully and Kahvas Jute.

Their second, Head Injuries, was brash and stark: they had emerged, for better or worse, at the time of punk/new wave but fitted as uneasily with X or The Saints as with blunter, more traditional rock groups like AC/DC.

Their 12″ EP Bird Noises was as fine a summation of their approach as could be imagined. The Hirst/Garrett cowrite No Time for Games has a social message, a distinctive vocal from Garrett and of course, extraordinary drums, restrained when they had to be but ever servicing the song’s dynamics.

From the very beginning, they made it clear that they were not available to undertake the usual compromises the record industry expected for career furtherance.

Famously, they refused to play Countdown. In hindsight, they would have been severely out of place there.

Nevertheless, they gave the major groups of the 70s their due; Hirst praised Skyhooks’ Greg Macainsh, for instance, for his use of Australian places and scenes, making it “possible for you to write about, in his case, Carlton and Balwyn […] [now] we’ve got this whole palette of Australian places we can use without a cringe factor.”

On their own terms

Sales and impact of subsequent Midnight Oil albums trace the rise of a group attaining international prominence on its own terms through hard work and consistent attention to detail.

The commercial peak came with the 1987 single Beds are Burning (a cowrite between Garrett, Hirst and Moginie): top ten in France, the US, the Netherlands, Australia and Belgium – and number one in Canada, New Zealand and South Africa.

That it was a song on the world stage highlighting Australian Aboriginal dispossession was perhaps an even greater achievement.

Hirst’s memoir Willie’s Bar and Grill gives a good sense of a group finding the very common way down from the top: the trajectory of the one-hit wonder, in this case experienced while touring post-9/11 US.

They disbanded soon afterwards, not for this reason but because Garrett had been picked by Mark Latham to stand as Labor candidate for Kingsford-Smith in the 2004 federal election. They reunited 13 years later.

A varied career

Hirst had other irons in the fire as early as 1991 when he formed Ghostwriters with Rick Grossman. Perhaps the band’s name signalled a frisson of bitterness about the concentration of attention Garrett garnered in Midnight Oil, but paradoxically its first album was essentially an anonymous release.

Two others followed, and Hirst was also involved in the Backsliders and the Angry Tradesmen.

In 2020 he recorded an album with his daughter, Jay O’Shea, who he had put up for adoption in 1974. In 2025 he released the second of two albums recorded with noted songwriter Sean Sennett.

A 50-year career is almost impossible to sum up briefly, but one song speaks volumes about Hirst. Power and the Passion, the 1983 Midnight Oil hit, features a simple (if infectious) drum machine and what might almost pass for a rap from Garrett, listing a host of demons besetting the citizen at the end of the 20th century, not least from Americanisation and corporatisation.

Hirst plays along with the beat then engages it in an epic battle, executing a remarkable solo which enhances the song while making a statement about working with and against the pernicious machine.

In a career of great work, it’s one highlight that speaks louder than words.

David Nichols does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Rob Hirst was not the figurehead of Midnight Oil – but he was its backbone – https://theconversation.com/rob-hirst-was-not-the-figurehead-of-midnight-oil-but-he-was-its-backbone-273913

Labour leader takes aim at government in first speech of election year

Source: Radio New Zealand

Labour leader Chris Hipkins prepares to address his party’s caucus retreat in West Auckland, RNZ / Lillian Hanly

Labour leader Chris Hipkins has come out swinging at the government in his first speech of election year, saying its responsible for the situation New Zealand is in.

Hipkins said New Zealanders were looking for a “sense of hope” this year as he addressed his party at its caucus retreat in West Auckland, saying people weren’t getting that sense of hope from this government.

“They’re seeing more cuts, more negativity, real doom and gloom from the current government, and what they want is a sense of hope that better is possible and that a better future for New Zealand is possible.”

Hipkins took aim at the Prime Minister’s State of the Nation speech, saying New Zealanders got “another litany of blame and excuses” from Christopher Luxon on Monday when what they wanted was a “plan for the future.”

“Stringing together a bunch of management buzz words is not a plan, and it’s certainly not a vision,” said Hipkins.

There was no leadership from this government, he said, and referenced the comments Luxon had made in the past about New Zealanders.

“We have a prime minister who thinks that low-income New Zealanders are bottom feeders, who think that fundamentally, New Zealand is a wet, whiny, miserable country,” said Hipkins.

He joked that it was “little bit wet today” acknowledging the wind and rain outside the venue.

“But actually, what I heard from Kiwis over the summer break was not whiny and miserable, it was desperate for something to get excited about, for some sense of hope, some sense that the government has an idea about how to make the country better.”

He greeted his MPs at their first gathering following the summer break saying “welcome to election year.”

Hipkins said the party had done the “hard work” over the last couple of years, listening, taking stock, refreshing and renewing themselves after its defeat in 2023.

“Now we are into election year – that means we get to talk about what we want to do, how we will do things differently, but also remind New Zealanders of the absolute mess this government has created.

“Because while they will try and find everybody else to blame for the mess they’ve created, make no bones about it, this government are responsible for the situation that New Zealand is in at the moment.”

Speaking off the cuff to a conference room at the Quality Inn Lincoln Green in West Auckland filled with Labour MPs and staff, who nodded throughout the speech commenting “that’s right” in agreement.

Hipkins spoke of the “record number of Kiwis” who left the country last year looking for “opportunity elsewhere” they couldn’t find in New Zealand.

“That is an absolute indictment on Christopher Luxon and his government.

“New Zealanders now are looking to us to provide that alternative.”

Hipkins said the party had listened, taken stock and renewed itself after its defeat in 2023. RNZ / Lillian Hanly

He spoke of the “structural deficit” Nicola Willis had “created”, pointing to the pre-election fiscal update in 2023, “New Zealand was on a pathway to recovery.”

“We were heading back into surplus.

“The economy was going to start growing again, and the first thing that this government did was a slash and burn exercise that ended all of that.”

Hipkins said Labour wouldn’t be “shy” in reminding New Zealanders the situation they found themselves in now was because of the “bad choices of this government.”

“Tax cuts for landlords and tobacco companies, whilst hard working, New Zealanders find it harder to buy their first home or go and see the doctor.”

He pointed to Labour policies such as the New Zealand Future Fund and three free doctor visits, paid for by a capital gains tax, saying it had been “well received” by people.

“New Zealanders want it. They have made that very clear. They want to see investment moved out of the speculative housing market and into providing opportunities for New Zealanders.”

He blamed the current government for increased unemployment in New Zealand, and more people on job seeker benefits.

“Despite all of their tough talk about sanctions, they’re actually making it harder for New Zealanders to get a job, and we will hold them accountable for that.”

But he said Labour would do more than that by offering a “real and compelling alternative”, because “better is possible.”

He said Willis, Luxon, David Seymour and Winston Peters “all want to tell you that this is as good as it gets” and if they stand back that “somehow things will fix themselves.”

“They won’t.

“It requires some leadership from government, and there’s been no leadership from this government at all.”

Hipkins closed his opening remarks by saying the party was “fired up and excited for election year” and welcoming incoming Labour MP Georgie Dansey, as former Speaker Adrian Rurawhe announces his retirement from politics.

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Watch: Election to be held on 7 November, Christopher Luxon announces

Source: Radio New Zealand

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced that this year’s election will be held on 7 November.

National MPs are gathering for their first caucus meeting of the year in Christchurch, while Labour MPs will also hold theirs in Auckland.

Saturday, 7 November had already been the most mentioned frequently as a likely date.

Several pundits are picking the election to be called for after the American mid-terms set for 3 November, which will be a key indicator for how US President Donald Trump’s remaining two years in office will fare.

You can follow the livestream and our live updates at the top of this page.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announces the general election will be held on 7 November as National’s caucus meets to start the 2026 political year. RNZ / Nathan Mckinnon

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Weather: Gisborne region prepares for incoming deluge

Source: Radio New Zealand

Slash at Tolaga Bay following Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023. RNZ / Alexa Cook

The mayor of Gisborne says the district’s Civil Defence and emergency services are ready to go ahead of heavy rains forecast for the next 24 hours.

Up to 350mm of rain is expected to fall north of Tolaga Bay overnight.

While nearly 150mm of rain is expected over Gisborne – south of Tolaga Bay – and Hawke’s Bay ahead of 10am Thursday.

Rehette Stoltz said people should avoid any unnecessary travel and be ready for power cuts in the area.

“With the land already so saturated we might see landslips and roads being blocked by trees so please drive the conditions. Also make sure your devices are charged, make sure you’ve got some basics at home if you need to look after yourself or whanau for a day or two,” Stoltz said.

Stoltz said people who were feeling unsafe in their current location should self evacuate if necessary. She said the council was working closely with the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), police, ambulance and New Zealand Transport Agency, should the situation escalate.

She urged people to get in touch with Civil Defence or the council if they needed assistance.

Gisborne Mayor Rehette Stoltz. RNZ / Angus Dreaver

Group controller for Tai Rāwhiti Civil Defence, Ben Green, said extra police and Fire and Emergency (FENZ) staff had been brought into the area.

“Across police additional staff [are] coming in, equipment and capability [have been] deployed supplementing particularly rural areas. FENZ have specialist teams bought in – they’re looking to embed some of those in the coastal areas and that allows us the ability to have a bit of back up if we do start losing access on [State Highway] 35.

“St John – in terms of additional medical support – they’re deploying and putting assets up into the northern area of the [East] Cape there.

“That is very much the main effort and focus for today, and that’s certainly been underway from yesterday as well.”

He said Civil Defence was checking in with campgrounds, particularly in coastal areas, where people from out of town might still be holidaying.

Area manager for Tolaga Bay Civil Defence, Greg Shelton, said if people felt unsafe – particularly those in exposed areas or near the Hikuwai River – they should leave their location ahead of nightfall.

Damage caused by Tologa Bay by Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023. Supplied / Bridget Parker

Shelton said the high amount of rainfall forecast could see the Hikuwai River reaching levels of up to 12m or more.

“All those people now that are exposed or living along the Hikuwai River – even if they have lifted their houses – we encourage them to leave as well because – if the river does reach 12 [metres] plus, we really don’t want to be out there trying to rescue or find people at night-time.”

Shelton said Mangatuna – which lay along SH35 – was of particular risk, but the whole area should prepare for flooding, fallen trees and possible power cuts.

He said preparations had begun shortly after the incoming weather system was identified over a week ago.

He said overnight teams would be put in place and he was confident that the communities in the area – well versed in dealing with adverse weather – had the current situation under control.

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Watch live: Election to be held on 7 November, Christopher Luxon announces

Source: Radio New Zealand

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced that this year’s election will be held on 7 November.

National MPs are gathering for their first caucus meeting of the year in Christchurch, while Labour MPs will also hold theirs in Auckland.

Saturday, 7 November had already been the most mentioned frequently as a likely date.

Several pundits are picking the election to be called for after the American mid-terms set for 3 November, which will be a key indicator for how US President Donald Trump’s remaining two years in office will fare.

You can follow the livestream and our live updates at the top of this page.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announces the general election will be held on 7 November as National’s caucus meets to start the 2026 political year. RNZ / Nathan Mckinnon

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Women saved from ‘eye-level water’ in dramatic kayak rescue

Source: Radio New Zealand

John Welch paddles Jazmyn Welch’s partner Holly to safety after their Kūaotunu home was surround by neck-deep, fast-moving floodwaters. Peter de Graaf / RNZ

A woman rescued by kayak from the deck of her Coromandel home on Wednesday morning says she has never seen flooding like it – not even during Cyclone Gabrielle.

Jazmyn Welch said when help arrived, her home at Kūaotunu, north of Whitianga, was surrounded by neck-deep, fast-flowing water – and it was still rising.

The first she knew was when her partner, Holly, got up for work about 5.30am.

“She came into the room, burst open the door, and said, ‘You’ve got to get up now, because the whole entire outside of the house is water, like eye-level water.’ It was so high, and it was getting higher and higher.”

Welch called her father’s partner, a volunteer firefighter, who swung into action straight away.

“They organised a kayak, and my dad came and rescued us from the balcony. The water was getting higher as we were on the phone to dad’s girlfriend. Our house is on stilts and at that point I’d say the water was probably up to my neck.”

“The current next to us was rushing so fast, our barbecue was gone, the gas bottle was floating on the water.”

Her father, John Welch, took the women to safety one at a time, paddling through trees to the nearest dry land about 100 metres away.

“We have a massive backyard and it was completely underwater. Luckily we moved our cars to higher ground the night before.”

Welch and her partner took only their car keys, passports, phones and a change of clothes in dry bags.

They stacked the rest of their belongings on high shelves and on top of the beds, and blocked any gaps under the doors as best they could.

All they could take was their phones, car keys, passports and a change of clothes each, in dry bags provided by the fire brigade.

John Welch paddled through fast-flowing floodwaters to rescue his daughter and her partner from their deck of their Coromandel home. Peter de Graaf / RNZ

With a lot more rain expected overnight, she feared the house would go underwater.

She and Holly were now staying at her father’s home, but Civil Defence had opened up Kūatonu Hall for other residents, her neighbours included, who needed to evacuate.

“I’ve never experienced anything like that before. We moved here three days before Cyclone Gabrielle, so we’ve seen major flooding and major road damage before, but not that bad.

“This house is a little cabin on stilts, and it was 360 [degrees] surrounded by water. It was like we were sitting in the river. It was the craziest thing I’ve ever seen, especially at 5.30 in the morning. It was pitch black and there was just water rushing all around us.

“It was pretty, pretty scary, and now we’re sitting safe and dry at dad’s house and praying that water doesn’t go inside the house on Wednesday night. But I’m unsure.”

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Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

One Nation continues to surge after the Bondi terror attack, as a Morgan poll has them gaining six points at the Coalition’s expense.

A national Australian Morgan poll, conducted January 12–18 from a sample of 1,630, gave Labor a 53.5–46.5 lead by respondent preferences, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the January 5–11 Morgan poll.

Primary votes were 28.5% Labor (down 1.5), 24% Coalition (down 6.5), 21% One Nation (up six), 13.5% Greens (steady) and 13% for all Others (up two). By 2025 election preference flows, Labor led by 53–47, a one-point gain for Labor.

It’s very unlikely One Nation actually surged six points in one week, and much more likely the previous poll was a pro-Coalition outlier. Resolve is now the only poll that gives the Coalition a clear lead over One Nation (ten points), with all other recent polls now between a one-point lead for One Nation (Newspoll) and four-point Coalition lead (Fox & Hedgehog).

Morgan also had a special SMS poll on Australia Day that was conducted January 14–16 from a sample of 1,311. By 72–28, respondents thought January 26 should be known as “Australia Day”, not “Invasion Day” (68.5–31.5 two years ago). By 60.5–39.5, they thought Australia Day should not be moved from January 26 (58.5–41.5 previously).

Further results from Resolve poll

I covered the Australian national Newspoll and Resolve poll on Monday. In further questions from the Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, supported a royal commission following Bondi by 61-10 (change from 48–17 in late December). By 37–35, respondents thought social cohesion was good rather than poor (37–30 in late December).

On gun laws, 66% wanted them toughened (down ten since late December), 21% kept as they are (up 11) and 7% wanted gun laws relaxed (up one). A big majority still wants tougher gun laws, but right-wing voters are now more opposed than in late December. The Coalition’s opposition to Labor’s gun control laws has probably contributed to increased public opposition.

NSW Resolve poll has strong support for post-Bondi measures

The New South Wales Resolve poll would normally have combined results from the early December and January federal Resolve polls. But the early December poll was pre-Bondi, and it appears The Sydney Morning Herald wants to wait for a complete post-Bondi poll before giving voting intentions.

What we have are questions from the January NSW sample of 550. By 49–19, respondents thought Labor Premier Chris Minns and the state government had had a strong rather than weak response to Bondi. By 67–16, they supported the state government’s gun reforms.

Trump’s ratings in negative double digits after one year

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s US net approval has been in negative double digits since late October. Trump became United States president for a second time on January 20, 2025. A year into his second four-year term, Trump’s net approval in Nate Silver’s aggregate of US national polls is -13.0, with 55.0% disapproving and 42.0% approving.

Trump recorded a positive net approval in Silver’s aggregate at the start of his term, but his net approval went negative last March. Since late October, Trump’s net approval has been in negative double digits, with a low of -15.0 in November.

Silver has ratings for past presidents since Harry Truman. At this point in their presidencies, Trump’s net approval is ahead of only his own first term, with Joe Biden the next worst at -12.0 net approval.

On four issues tracked by Silver, Trump’s net approval is -9.5 on immigration, -15.6 on trade, -15.9 on the economy and -25.2 on inflation. Recently, Trump’s net approval on immigration has dropped while his net approval on the other three issues has risen.

Trump’s ratings on immigration may have fallen because of the fatal shooting of Renee Good by an Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent on January 7. On other issues, Trump’s ratings may have risen due to the continued strong stock market.

The benchmark S&P 500 stock market index has risen 7.8% in the last six months, hitting a new peak on January 12, although it slumped 2.1% in last night’s session owing to Trump’s threats of tariffs over Greenland. Trump’s ratings are unlikely to become very poor unless either the stock market or the broader US economy deteriorates markedly.

In a recent Ipsos poll for Reuters, by 47–17 Americans disapproved of US efforts to acquire Greenland, and by 71–4 they thought it was not a good idea to take Greenland using military force.

At midterm elections this November, all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 senators will be up for election. In Fiftyplusone’s aggregate of the national generic ballot, Democrats lead Republicans by 43.6–39.8.

I wrote on January 7 that if Democrats win the national popular vote by the 3.8 points they lead by in current polls, they would be very likely to gain control of the House, but not the Senate. The two senators per state rule skews Senate elections towards low-population, rural states.

Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits – https://theconversation.com/morgan-poll-has-one-nation-surging-at-coalitions-expense-trumps-net-approval-in-negative-double-digits-273804

New study sheds light on the threat of ‘marine darkwaves’ to ocean life

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By François Thoral, Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Marine Ecology, University of Waikato

Surfers caught in a marine darkwave. Jean Thoral, CC BY-NC-SA

Life in the ocean runs on light. It fuels photosynthesis, shapes food webs and determines where many marine species can live.

Gradually, that light is fading. Since the early 2000s, more than one-fifth of the global ocean has darkened as sediment, nutrients and organic matter increasingly cloud coastal waters – raising concern about the future of reefs, kelp forests and seagrass meadows.

Alarming as this picture is, focusing only on gradual darkening may miss the most ecologically damaging part of the story.

Our newly published study introduces the phenomenon of “marine darkwaves”: sudden, intense episodes of underwater darkness that can last from days to months and push marine ecosystems into acute stress.

Darkness events are often triggered by storms, floods, sediment plumes or algal blooms. As with marine heatwaves, these short, intense episodes can be just as ecologically disruptive as slow, long-term trends.

Unusual underwater darkness is harmful for a range of marine ecosystems, yet the phenomenon did not have a name and definition until the marine darkwave framework was developed. Artwork of a darkened algal forest by Cassandre Villautreix, underwater picture by Leigh Tait.

Why light matters underwater

When light within the ocean drops suddenly, even for a few days, marine ecosystems can suffer. Prolonged darkness can slow growth, reduce energy reserves and in severe cases lead to dieback or mortality.

Fish, sharks and marine mammals can also change their behaviour when visibility drops, altering feeding and movement patterns.

Until now, scientists have examined ways to track long-term coastal darkening but have lacked a consistent way to identify, measure and compare extreme short-term light-loss events across regions and depths.

In other words, we have known this phenomenon exists – but we haven’t had a shared language to define and describe it. With marine darkwaves, we now have an event-based framework for extreme underwater darkness.


Thoral et al. (2026), CC BY-NC-SA

Darkwaves occur when underwater light falls below a depth-specific threshold for a minimum duration, relative to what is normally expected at that location. This allows scientists to identify when conditions shift from merely dim to unusually dark.

Importantly, this framework works across different depths, where light conditions naturally vary; across local to regional scales, from coastal reefs to entire coastlines; and across multiple data sources, including light sensors and satellite observations.

Its consistency enables meaningful comparison of events that were previously difficult to place into broader contexts.

What our research revealed

Our study used long-term datasets from both hemispheres in markedly different coastal regions.

In California, 16 years of underwater light measurements revealed repeated darkwave events, some lasting several weeks. In Aotearoa New Zealand, ten years of monitoring data from Auckland’s Hauraki Gulf showed rapid drops in underwater light during storms, at depths of seven and 20 metres.

Satellite data extending back 21 years revealed a broader pattern. Along New Zealand’s East Cape coast, up to 80 marine darkwaves have occurred since 2002, most linked to storms and river-driven sediment plumes.

Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023 provided a stark example. The storm delivered vast amounts of sediment to coastal waters, smothering many reefs and creating prolonged underwater darkness over large areas.

In some places, the seabed received almost no light for several weeks.

Heavy sediment runoff around Waihau Bay, in New Zealand’s Eastern Bay of Plenty. This was observed following Cyclone Gabrielle on February 14, 2023 – an event that created marine darkwaves for several weeks, with continuing ecological impacts.
Copernicus Sentinel data (2023), CC BY-NC-SA

Long-term averages are important, but they can smooth over the very events that cause the greatest ecological damage.

Just as a single marine heatwave can devastate kelp forests and coral reefs, a single marine darkwave can sharply reduce photosynthesis and disrupt ecosystems already stressed by warming, acidification and nutrient pollution.

Climate change is likely to increase the frequency and intensity of these events. Heavier rainfall, stronger storms and intensified land use all increase sediment and organic matter flowing into coastal waters, reducing water clarity and light availability.

Our framework allows identification of discrete periods when light thresholds critical for ecosystem function are crossed.

A new tool – and cause for hope

The marine darkwave framework complements existing tools used to track marine heatwaves, deoxygenation and ocean acidification.

By focusing on extremes, it provides clearer insights into acute stress on coastal ecosystems. In New Zealand particularly, this information is increasingly important for iwi (tribes) and hapū (sub-tribes), coastal communities, conservation groups and environmental managers making decisions about land use, restoration and marine protection.

Related monitoring work is already underway in parts of New Zealand, where expanded sensor networks aid in linking land-based processes to changes in underwater light, and linking these to ecological changes on coastal reefs.

Ultimately, marine darkwaves remind us that the ocean doesn’t always change slowly. Sometimes, it changes abruptly and quietly if we don’t pay attention.

There is also reason for cautious optimism. Many marine darkwaves are driven by land–sea connections, so their frequency and intensity are not inevitable.

Reducing sediment runoff through nature-based solutions, such as restoring wetlands, stabilising riverbanks, improving harvest techniques of exotic forests, and replanting native forests in vulnerable catchments can directly increase water clarity and underwater light.

Understanding marine darkwaves is not only about detecting change, but also about identifying practical pathways to protect coastal ecosystems before further darkness descends.


The authors acknowledge the contribution of Rahera Ohia, Ngāti Pūkenga, Jean Thoral, Leigh Tait and Cassandre Villautreix.


François Thoral receives funding from the NZ Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment MBIE (Endeavour Fund Tau Ki Ākau UOWX2206). He is affiliated with the University of Waikato, University of Canterbury and Earth Sciences New Zealand.

Christopher Battershill receives funding from the NZ Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment MBIE (Endeavour Fund Tau Ki Ākau UOWX2206 is relevant to this project). He is employed with the University of Waikato and also receives contestable grant funding from other agencies (eg Regional Councils and Department of Conservation).

David R Schiel receives funding from the New Zealand government public good research fund (via the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment; Endeavour Fund Tau Ki Ākau UOWX2206).

Shinae Montie receives funding from The Australian Research Council and the Winifred Violet Scott Charitable Trust. She is associated with the University of Western Australia.

ref. New study sheds light on the threat of ‘marine darkwaves’ to ocean life – https://theconversation.com/new-study-sheds-light-on-the-threat-of-marine-darkwaves-to-ocean-life-273225

4.87 tonnes of cocaine seized in French Polynesian waters – bound for Australia

RNZ Pacific

France’s High Commission in French Polynesia has reported the seizure of 4.87 tonnes of cocaine in its maritime zone.

The armed forces in French Polynesia (FAPF), the national gendarmerie and the local branch of the anti-narcotics office (OFAST) were involved in the intercept.

A statement from the Australian Federal Police (AFP) have congratulated authorities in French Polynesia over the reported seizure, with the drugs reportedly bound for Australia.

Gulf News reported the cocaine was being transported on a ship sailing under Togo’s flag, according to a source close to the investigation.

AFP commander Stephen Jay said police staff posted in the Pacific, and members of Taskforce Thunder, would seek to work with French Polynesia authorities to identify people linked to the seizure.

Taskforce Thunder, launched in October, targets illicit commodities and the forced movement of people through the Pacific.

Jay said the AFP was committed to working closely with its law enforcement partners to deliver maximum impact against transnational criminal syndicates targeting Australia, the Pacific and throughout Europe.

‘Exceptional work’
“I would like to thank the exceptional work of our partners in French Polynesia, who have prevented a significant amount of illicit drugs from reaching Australia,” Jay said.

“The harm caused by organised crime syndicates attempting to import illicit drugs into Australia is significant, and extends beyond individual users to a myriad of violent and exploitative crimes.”

Australian Border Force acting commander Linda Cappello said Australia’s strongest defence against transnational organised crime was the depth of its relationships across the Pacific and beyond.

“For those seeking to exploit maritime and supply chains to move illicit drugs the message is clear: coordinated vigilance across the region significantly increases the risk of detection and disruption.”

This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Mercury Energy powers up new geothermal generator

Source: Radio New Zealand

At full capacity the Ngā Tamariki power station was expectec to generate enough electricity to supply about 158,000 average homes. Supplied / Mercury Energy

Mercury Energy has powered up its new geothermal generator near Taupō, which is now delivering electricity generation to the national grid.

Built at a cost of $220 million, the new unit is expected to be fully operational by March.

Mercury said the unit will add a further 46 megawatts of renewable energy – enough to power about 55,000 homes – ahead of winter, lifting the station’s installed capacity from 86 MW to 132 MW.

At full capacity, Mercury said the Ngā Tamariki power station would generate around 1120 gigawatt hours of electricity a year, enough to supply about 158,000 average homes – more than all residential homes in Christchurch.

The station is powered by nine geothermal wells drilled more than 3000 metres below the surface, where temperatures reach up to 290 degrees Celsius.

Mercury chief executive Stew Hamilton said the expansion is part of a $1 billion investment in three renewable generation developments planned by the company.

“These include the Ngā Tamariki expansion, stage two of the Kaiwera Downs wind farm in Southland, and the Kaiwaikawe wind farm in Northland.”

The Ngā Tamariki geothermal station is owned by Mercury. However, the resource has been developed in partnership with Tauhara North 2 Trust and with mana whenua Ngāti Tahu Ngāti Whaoa.

The trust jointly owns the resource consents, receives a revenue stream from the station, and holds options to take an equity stake.

Investigations into geothermal development at Ngā Tamariki date back to 1986, with the power station first commissioned in 2013.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Watch live: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announces Election Day 2026 date

Source: Radio New Zealand

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon is set to announce the date of this year’s general election.

National MPs are gathering for their first caucus meeting of the year in Christchurch, while Labour MPs will also hold theirs in Auckland.

Saturday, 7 November has been mentioned most frequently as a likely date.

Several pundits are picking the election to be called for after the American mid-terms set for 3 November, which will be a key indicator for how US President Donald Trump’s remaining two years in office will fare.

Luxon will speak to reporters shortly.

You can follow the livestream and our live updates at the top of this page.

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A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in health care and social spending

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Angela Jackson, Social Policy Commissioner, Productivity Commission, and Adjunct Associate Professor, University of Tasmania

Deb Cohn-Orbach/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

At the start of the new year, many of us will commit to joining a gym, eating healthier or cutting back on drinking and smoking. We do this knowing that investing in our health today will pay off into to the future – that prevention is better (and cheaper) than the cure.

It’s advice the Productivity Commission thinks federal and state governments should also follow to improve Australia’s finances and productivity.

Late last year, my co-authors and I gave the federal government the final report of our inquiry on delivering quality care more efficiently.

We found preventative investments could save taxpayers billions of dollars in health and social care costs. But to achieve these gains, the way we think about investing in prevention needs to change.

Investing in early intervention

Australia’s spending on health and social care is growing as a share of the economy and now makes up five of the top seven fiscal pressures
facing the federal budget. The care sector is also absorbing more of our workforce – close to one-third of new jobs since the pandemic have been in the care sector.

In many respects this reflects changing preferences. As the nation has become wealthier, we care more about our health and wellbeing. But making the most of this spending is one of Australia’s key productivity challenges.

That means investing early to save costs later. Take for example the SunSmart skin cancer awareness campaign, which is estimated to have prevented more than 43,000 skin cancers from 1988 to 2010.

Investments like this save lives and money. We estimate that an investment of A$1.5 billion across all prevention programs over five years could be expected to save governments $2.7 billion over ten years. Factoring in the broader health, social and economic benefits, the total benefits would be about $5.4 billion.

Other countries are ahead of the game: Canada, the UK and Finland spend over twice as much of their health budgets on prevention as Australia.

Australia’s own health prevention strategy recommends that we increase spending on prevention from 2% to 5% of the health budget.

The big picture

Prevention goes beyond just health care. Investments in youth justice, out of home care and homelessness improve outcomes in a range of other areas, improving Australians’ quality of life and governments’ bottom lines.

For example, when people experiencing homelessness get stable housing, they tend to end up in hospital less often, make fewer trips to the emergency department, and in some cases, even avoid incarceration. It’s also easier to look for and hold down a job when you have a stable place to call home.

Such investments can also address systemic inequities in both access and quality of care.

One early childhood education program in outer Melbourne led to improved IQ and language development among socially disadvantaged Australian children, with participants reaching the same level of development as their peers within three years.

Evaluations of similar initiatives in the United States suggest that benefits can persist well into adulthood and even intergenerationally, through improved lifetime education attainment, employment and health, and reduced criminal behaviour.

A whole of government approach

Unfortunately, the way our government is structured can work against these investments. While it’s often one agency or level of government that needs to put up the money for these investments, they only enjoy part of the benefit.

The way governments think about and invest in prevention and early intervention needs to change. The Productivity Commission’s proposed solution is for a National Prevention and Early Intervention Framework to support strategic investments in programs that improve outcomes and reduce demand for future services.

The framework’s consistent approach to assessing interventions would bring all levels of government to the table, so that worthwhile investments no longer fall between the cracks.

It offers a practical way to put into operation the government’s Measuring What Matters framework. By directing funding towards outcomes and tracking progress against them, it would give federal and state governments confidence that they are investing in effective programs.

Like a person struggling with a new year’s resolution, policymakers often find it hard to delay gratification.

But given health and social care spending is only set to grow further, we need to start thinking long term to ensure we can afford to give future generations the standard of care we enjoy today. With a greater focus on prevention and early intervention, we can better care for future generations and put our care sector on a more sustainable path.

Angela Jackson is the Social Policy Commissioner at the Productivity Commission, as well as the chair of the Women in Economics Network. She has previously served on the board of Melbourne Health, which operates Royal Melbourne Hospital.

ref. A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in health care and social spending – https://theconversation.com/a-stronger-focus-on-prevention-could-help-governments-rein-in-health-care-and-social-spending-273801

40,000 plates, 28,000 meatballs: Ikea breaks records

Source: Radio New Zealand

People queue to enter IKEA on its opening day in Auckland. Marika Khabazi / RNZ

More than half a million people visited Auckland’s Ikea in its first month of business.

Ikea said the Sylvia Park shop was the top-performing in the Ingka Group anywhere in the world for food sales.

The busiest day was Sunday, 7 December, when almost 30,000 people visited.

There were also 1.9 million website users in the first month.

Ikea sold almost 50,000 of its Frakta blue bag, 40,000 white Oftast plates and 29,480 white Oftast bowls.

New Zealand shoppers also bought more than 54,000 hot dogs and more than 21,000 cinnamon buns as well as 28,000 servings of meatballs and mashed potatoes.

University of Auckland marketing expert Shahper Richter said some of the activity was due to the novelty of a new shopping option.

People queue to enter IKEA on its opening day in Auckland. Marika Khabazi / RNZ

“Ikea isn’t a normal retailer, it’s destination shopping. The showroom acts like a decision-aid, the food makes it feel like a cheap outing, and Smaaland [a supervised play area] is a quiet superpower.

“Free childcare reduces the friction for families, which drives longer stays and repeat visits. Crowds will settle from opening-month levels, but I’d expect it to remain a major drawcard because it creates habits, not just hype.”

Retail consultant Chris Wilkinson, from First Retail Group, said it had been the country’s most anticipated retail opening.

“They hit the market at a key time for spending, pre-Christmas, and it benefited from owning every media channel for weeks leading up to and following the opening.

“Now the store has got through the fascination and novelty factor, we’re likely to see the serious shoppers venture in – those who will be looking for inspiration and want the space to enjoy the experience of those curated room spaces and unique products, that the initial frenzy would not have enabled.

“These are the people who tend to spend more, so I would anticipate this will propel the second wave of concentrated activity. This should carry on this year as locals and visitors make a visit part of their leisure itinerary. I say that because a visit there is a purposeful move – it’s not a place you simply pop into – due to its scale, and the intentional need for shoppers to navigate the large store and room settings and likely distractions of the food offer.

“So, I think that the novelty will be sustained for quite some time as they strategically launch new products and consumer chatter through socials continue to keep the brand top of mind.”

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Emerging Māori artist TAWHAKI hopes music can help rangatahi choose a different path

Source: Radio New Zealand

Fast-rising artist Ngatainui Ratu, known by his stage name Tawhaki, says his music draws on kōrero passed down by his whānau, exploring themes of identity, pride, and impacts of colonisation. Supplied

Fast-rising Māori roots reggae artist Ngatainui Ratu, known by his stage name TAWHAKI, says his music is about turning inherited trauma into something positive – and encourages rangatahi Māori to believe in a future they may not yet be able to see.

Named Emerging Artist under 25 (Te Tohu Kaipūoro Rangatahi Hou) at the 2025 Māori Music Awards, the 20-year-old is quickly becoming one of the standout voices of new generation of musicians in Aotearoa.

His tracks ‘The Valleys’ and ‘Roaming’ have gone viral across social media, placing him among a growing wave of rangatahi gaining momentum alongside artists such as Te Wehi and Hori Shaw.

While his songs have found a wide audience online, TAWHAKI said their success was never something he anticipated.

“I didn’t expect it to blow up as much as it did,” he told RNZ. “It’s just cool to see our people re-indigenise to who they are in their own way.”

‘The Valleys’, one of his most well-known tracks, began as a song shared quietly with whānau.

“I first sang ‘The Valleys’ at my uncle’s birthday… It was something personal I kept to myself.

“My uncle encouraged me to put it online, and suddenly I was out of my comfort zone, just a boy from the middle of nowhere.”

Much of his songwriting centres on identity, pride, and the ongoing impacts of colonisation. He said those themes were drawn directly from the kōrero passed down through his whānau.

“My nannies and my koros, all they’ve spoken about is how they’ve suffered trauma over the years and over the lifetime they’ve lived,” he said.

“All I’m saying is, how do we turn this trauma into something positive? A positive mindset so we can all work together as one.”

Tawhaki said his early upbringing in kōhanga reo and kura kaupapa Māori has shaped the way he writes and tells stories through his music Supplied

One of the key messages woven throughout his lyrics is the idea of belief, such as believing in outcomes that may feel out of reach.

In ‘The Valleys’, the lyrics “Koi te mata pūnenga, maiangi te mata pūihoiho” reflect the idea of believing in the unbelievable. he said.

“We need to believe the unbelievable, asking how we reconnect and live alongside the people who colonised our lands.”

TAWHAKI said music was a tool for holding space for stories that were often left unspoken.

“That’s what music’s about at the end of the day – it’s speaking the untold stories that our people have told, but they’re just scared to tell the story.

“And it’s kids like us that have grown up in the society where people torment you and dishonour you… The question is how [do] we flip that story and make it a positive?”

TAWHAKI grew up immersed in te ao Māori and music.

“Tipu ake ahau ki te pā o Waiwhetū, ki Te Whanganui-a-Tara. I reira au i ako ai i ngā wheako o te ao waiata.”

He spent his early years in kōhanga reo and kura kaupapa Māori, and credited his talents to the likes of his whānau. His māmā and his grandparents were also musicians.

“Singing’s just been a part of my life since the day I came out of my mum’s womb.”

TAWHAKI was also raised within kapa haka, which he said helped shape both his voice and worldview.

“Tipu ake ahau ki roto ki ngā mahi kapa haka. Koira tōku ao, ko te ao ō te waiata.”

Growing up Māori-medium education, TAWHAKI said using te reo Māori in his music came with a sense of responsibility to future generations.

“I hope people take something from my music and write it into their own scriptures. It’s up to us to create pathways for the next generation so they don’t have to live the way we live today.”

In the current political climate, TAWHAKI believed it was important for Māori storytelling to be future-focused.

“It’s up to us to become the ancestors of tomorrow. I don’t care about narratives. I care about the future.”

Tawhaki says his mother and grandparents are the foundation of his whare. Supplied

Winning Te Tohu Kaipūoro Rangatahi Hou, TAWHAKI said, was a collective achievement.

“It’s beyond words, but it’s not just my achievement,” he said. “It’s not a one man’s band. It takes a whole village and a whole pā to raise a child.”

His strongest support system remained close to home.

“My mum and my grandparents, they’re the foundation of my whare,” he said.

“Ko rātou tōku poukaiawha, tōku pou tuarongo, tōku pou matua o tōku whare. They’ve enabled me to build my whare by myself, with their support.”

As his audience continued to grow, TAWHAKI said he had become increasingly aware of the responsibility that came with visibility.

“I come from a family where all I see is red, just like some people see blue,” he said.

“It’s cool to interact with people around the world that see many colours, and we’re all the same at the end of the day.”

He said seeing people from all walks of life come together through waiata was his “drive to keep going”.

“Not just for my family, but for families who suffer like mine did.”

Tawhaki said his aspiration is to be a positive role model for others, particularly for his tamariki. Supplied

At just 20 years old, he was also a father to two young daughters.

“I’ve got two beautiful kids, and this is for them,” he said. “I want to show that stepping away from that life is actually cool.

“Turn left down a pathway you don’t know, one day it will give you more than the life you were shown.”

With tour dates planned across the country and growing interest in his music, TAWHAKI said he was content to let the future unfold.

“I just jumped on the waka,” he said. “Whatever the future has for me, it has for me.”

For rangatahi Māori hoping to follow a similar path, his advice was to “just be yourself”.

“Koira te uho o tō ake manawa.” [Being yourself], that is your core. There’s nothing better than being yourself. Being yourself is the pinnacle of your world.”

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Watch: Trump calls Renee Good’s death a ‘tragedy’

Source: Radio New Zealand

US president Donald Trump says he felt “horribly” about the shooting of mother of three Renee Good and hopes her father still supports him.

Good, a 37-year-old US citizen, was killed when an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent shot into her vehicle Minneapolis in early January.

She was was hit at point blank range as she apparently tried to drive away from agents who were crowding around her car, which they said was blocking their way.

The Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE, surged law enforcement up to about 2000 officers in the area by January, during an immigration crackdown it named ‘Operation Metro Surge’.

“And you know they’re going to make mistakes sometimes, Trump said.

“ICE is going to be too rough with somebody or you know – they’re dealing with rough people. They’re going to make a mistake sometimes, it can happen.

“I felt horribly when I was told that the young woman who was – had the tragedy, it’s a tragedy, it’s a horrible thing.

“Everybody would say ..ICE would say the same thing.

“But when I learned her her parents – an her father in particular is like, I hope he still is, but I don’t know – was a tremendous Trump fan.

“He was all for Trump, loved Trump. And uh … it’s terrible. I was told that by a lot of people, they said, oh he loves you … I hope he still feels that way, I don’t know – it’s a hard, hard situation.”

The fatal shooting sparked protest rallies across the United States.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

What to do during a flood

Source: Radio New Zealand

Official safety information from the National Emergency Management Agency for flooding urges people to put safety first, don’t take any chances and act quickly if they see rising water.

Floods and flash floods can happen quickly. If you see rising water do not wait for official warnings. Head for higher ground and stay away from floodwater.

Stay out of flood water

Never try to walk, swim or drive through flood water. Many flood fatalities are caused by people attempting to drive through water.

Always assume that flood water is contaminated with farm run-off, chemicals and sewage. Contaminated flood water can make you sick. Make sure you wash your hands, clothes and property after contact with flood waters.

If flooding is possible

Stay informed in an emergency. Listen to the radio or follow your Civil Defence Emergency Management Group online.

Be prepared to evacuate and keep your grab bag near. Listen to emergency services and local Civil Defence authorities. Follow any instructions about evacuation of your area. Self-evacuate if you feel unsafe.

Move pets to a safe place and move stock to higher ground. If you have to leave, take your pets with you. If it’s not safe for you, it’s not safe for them.

Turn off water, electricity and gas if advised to.

Flooding began on 18 January, 2026, in Northland, including in Ōakura, after the first band of intense rain. Screengrab from video – supplied

Move valuable and dangerous items as high above the floor as possible. This includes electrical equipment and chemicals. Use watertight containers to store important items.

Lift curtains, rugs and bedding off the floor.

Check on your neighbours and anyone who may need your help.

What to do after a flood

Only return home after Civil Defence and emergency services have told you it is safe to do so. It may not be safe to return home even when the floodwaters have receded.

Stay away from damaged areas. You might hamper rescue and other emergency operations and be at further risk from the residual effects of floods.

Look before you step. After a flood, the ground and floors may be slippery or covered with debris, including broken bottles and nails.

Help others if you can, especially people who may need extra help.

If your property is damaged

  • Do not do anything that puts your safety at risk or causes more damage to your property
  • Contact your insurance company as soon as possible
  • If you rent your property, contact your landlord and your contents insurance company
  • Take photos of any damage. It will help speed up assessments of your claims

Food safety after a flood

Throw away food and drinking water that has come into contact with floodwater, including canned goods.

Avoid drinking or preparing food with tap water until you are certain it is not contaminated. Follow any boil water notice instructions from your local authorities.

For more information on food safety during and after an emergency visit the Ministry for Primary Industries website.

Cleaning up after a flood

Clean and dry your house and everything in it. Floodwater can make the air in your home unhealthy. When things get wet for more than two days they usually get mouldy. There may also be germs and bugs in your home after a flood.

Mould may make some people with asthma, allergies or other breathing problems sick.

Talk to your doctor or another medical professional if you have questions about cleaning or working in a home that has been flooded. If there is a large amount of mould, you may want to hire professional help to clean up the mould.

Protect yourself by wearing:

  • a certified respirator
  • goggles
  • gloves
  • protective clothing that covers your arms and legs, and sturdy footwear

Throw away anything that was wet with flood water and can’t be cleaned.

Throw away any wooden spoons, plastic utensils, and baby bottle teats and dummies if they have been covered by floodwater. There is no way to safely clean them.

Disinfect metal pans and utensils by boiling them in clean water.

Information from NEMA’s Get Ready website – [ https://getready.govt.nz/ getready.govt.nz ]

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What are interest rates likely to do this year, and should you fix?

Source: Radio New Zealand

Reserve Bank data shows the average two-year special rate has dropped from about 7 percent at the peak to just over 4.5 percent at the end of last year. RNZ

The big interest rate question this year will likely be when interest rates start to rise materially again – but borrowers might want to fix their home loans soon, forecasters warn.

Rates have generally been falling since 2024. Reserve Bank data shows the average two-year special rate has dropped from about 7 percent at the peak to just over 4.5 percent at the end of last year.

The main banks are now advertising two-year specials of 4.69 percent or 4.75 percent.

When the Reserve Bank indicated in its latest official cash rate update that it did not necessarily expect to cut rates further, it prompted wholesale markets to lift and some fixed rates to shift higher.

Reserve Bank governor Anna Breman indicated that the market may have moved too far.

BNZ chief economist Mike Jones said interest rates would likely be on hold for now.

“There seems to be a growing risk that interest-rate hikes, although they are a way off, might come a little bit earlier than our expectations,” he said.

“Formally, that’s still the first lift in the OCR coming in February of 2027, but from what we’ve seen from the data recently, there’s a risk it could be late 2026. That’s something the markets are now already pricing.”

He said wholesale markets had now priced in a full 25-basis-point hike by the end of the year, so retail rates may not move a lot, even if that proved true.

“I think we’re in a position we can probably draw a line under the downtrend in mortgage rates, but we can’t see mortgage rates jumping a whole lot any time soon either.

“It does seem to us like we’re in for a period of consolidation, I think, in mortgage rates… but it’s also watching and waiting nervously for what we see offshore in particular, because it is quite a heightened environment for geopolitical risk and risks generally.”

ASB economists said the OCR and mortgage rates were now lower than they had expected in forecasts made early last year. They expected short-term rates to stay at their current levels this year, before rising as the economy improved.

Longer-term fixed rates of more than two years could increase more over 2026.

“Major global central banks have also been cutting policy rates over 2025, at different paces,” they said. “That has impacted global interest rate markets, including markets where New Zealand banks compete for funding.

“Longer-term NZ mortgage rates eased over 2024 to reflect the combination of the global and local outlook. Our view now is that longer-term rates are under upward pressure, reflecting longer-term inflation expectations and global central bank actions.

“In addition, it is very significant that wholesale interest rates rose in immediate response to the RBNZ’s November OCR cut, after the RBNZ in effect downplayed the prospects of any further OCR cuts.

“In early 2026, the wholesale interest rates that influence term mortgage rates for one-year terms and onwards are past their lows for the easing cycle, and that’s put upward pressure on both longer-term mortgage rates and term deposit rates.”

Infometrics chief forecaster Gareth Kiernan said he expected the OCR to stay at 2.25 percent until November, but inflation was still likely to come in higher than the bank anticipated this week.

“There are questions about how quickly that headline inflation rate might moderate and, if that’s the case, well, maybe the Reserve Bank does need to raise a little bit sooner rather than later, but at this stage, we’re still sticking to the end of the year.”

He said it would make sense for most people to think about fixing their home loan rates for longer.

“There doesn’t seem to be a lot of evidence that those retail rates will be coming down any further now. Previously, I think I talked about you’ve probably got until the middle of this year before you start to see upward pressure, but obviously, the market has turned a little bit quicker.

“It’s just a question now, for me, whether, if you’re going to go at three or four or five years, whether you’ve maybe missed the boat a little bit on some of those.”

Reserve Bank data shows three-year special rates hit a trough of about 4.8 percent in November, before increasing. The main banks are all now advertising rates more than 5 percent.

At Squirrel, David Cunningham expected little movement. He said banks were competing hard with things like cash back, rather than trying to tempt borrowers with new lower rates.

Jones said BNZ had also reduced its expectations for house-price rises this year.

“They were already pretty modest at 4 percent for the calendar year, but we’ve tapered them back a little to 2 percent. From what we’re seeing, particularly on the supply side, we think some of those risks we’ve been talking about for a while, about kind of sideways for longer, seem to be crystalising.

“It’s a market that looks pretty well balanced at the moment. It has been for most of the last 12 months, where you’ve got a bit of extra demand, you’ve got a faster pace of sales, but that’s been matched off pretty well by the supply side and new listings.

“We basically just think that market – all that sort of balanced type of conditions – will remain in play for longer.”

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Man arrested after ramming stolen car into police vehicle in Auckland

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / REECE BAKER

A man has been arrested after a stolen vehicle was rammed into a police unit on Tuesday.

Officers were called to reports of a stolen Totoya Vitz travelling along Great North Road in Auckland just before 8.30pm.

Inspector Grae Anderson said the hatchback was tracked to Grey Lynn, where police attempted to stop it.

He said the police patrol vehicle was allegedly rammed but not seriously damaged, and the Toyota fled the scene.

Police pursued and stopped vehicle at the intersection of Karangahape Road and Pitt street, arresting both occupants.

A 36-year-old man has been charged with unlawfully taking a motor vehicle, failing to stop, reckless driving, and assault with a weapon.

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Car and driver missing in Warkworth after trying to cross river amid heavy rain

Source: Radio New Zealand

Mahurangi River flooding in 2023 (file photo). Getty Images / Fiona Goodall

A person and their vehicle are missing after being washed out into a river north of Auckland, while trying to cross a ford on the Mahurangi River.

Warkworth chief fire officer Nick McLean said they were called to the rescue about 7.51am on Wednesday.

He said rain had been heavy and persistent in the area on Wednesday morning, and it was believed the person and their car were swept away by the rivers’ strength and high waters.

McLean said about five whitewater rafts had been searching the section of the river from the ford at Mansel Drive to the area around the Mahurangi Hope Church.

Drones had also been deployed.

McLean said about 20 people were involved in the search, including firefighters, police officers and whitewater rafters.

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Weather live: Person swept away in river, floods close highways, red rain warnings

Source: Radio New Zealand

Follow the RNZ liveblog above for the latest updates.

A heavy rain warning for Northland and Coromandel Peninsula has now been upgraded to red, with hundreds of millimetres of rain forecast to fall on top of what has already accumulated.

It comes after days of downpours flooded areas of the north, washing out roads and cutting power.

People in Auckland and Waikato are also warned to expect strong gales through the day, as well as potential heavy rain across the region and in large parts of the South Island.

Follow the RNZ liveblog at the top of the page for the latest updates.

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Southland dry spell sparks water level monitoring

Source: Radio New Zealand

Currently the worst affected rivers were the Ōtapiri Stream and Makarewa River around the Hokonui Hills. 123RF

Southland’s regional council is ramping up monitoring of water levels as the region dries out and river levels lower.

Environment Southland is shifting to a [www.es.govt.nz/low-water-levels water shortage watch], which means staff are doing more assessments of water levels, soil moisture and groundwater, and analysing weather forecasts after a spate of warm, dry weather.

Science general manager Karen Wilson said they were monitoring the situation closely.

“We are slowly getting drier and current monitored levels of some rivers are starting to get low. Earth Sciences New Zealand is predicting a drier phase with less rainfall in late January and early February.”

That would likely mean rivers would continue to drop over the next month.

Currently the worst affected rivers were the Ōtapiri Stream and Makarewa River around the Hokonui Hills, she said.

“There is no immediate concern for our main water supplies or rivers predicted in the next couple of weeks.”

But she said the council would keep the public informed as well as working with key groups to work out how to best conserve water.

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Gore industrial hub gets government loan

Source: Radio New Zealand

Associate Minister for Regional Development Mark Patterson. RNZ/Calvin Samuel

The government is loaning $3.1 million to help build an industrial hub near Gore.

The money, from the Regional Infrastructure Fund, was announced on Wednesday by Associate Minister for Regional Development Mark Patterson.

He said the 43-hectare development would ease a critical shortage of large industrial sites in the Gore District.

“It is expected to create up to 50 jobs during construction and attract industries such as fertiliser distribution, farm equipment services, warehousing, and retail.”

Ngāi Tahu iwi authority Hokonui Rūnanga and Robertson Transport Limited were leading the $13.6m project.

“Importantly, this development will provide Hokonui Rūnanga with a sustainable income stream through long-term leases, enabling it to fund vital health and social services for the community,” Patterson said.

Construction was due to start midway through this year.

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Newmarket shopkeeper stabbed in attempted Pokémon card theft

Source: Radio New Zealand

Three teenagers who allegedly stole items from a Hobby Lords store in Newmarket, as caught on CCTV. Hobby Lords / supplied

Three teenage boys have been arrested after the stabbing of a shopkeeper in Auckland’s Newmarket.

Senior Sergeant Matt Bunce said the three went boys into Hobby Lords on Broadway at about 5.40pm on Tuesday, and allegedly stole things before running.

He said the shopkeeper chased after them and managed to catch one of the boys on nearby Nuffield St, but was stabbed.

He was taken to Auckland City Hospital where his condition was reported as moderate.

Security guards arrived and managed to hold the 16-year-old while police caught up to the two other boys – both aged 13 – at the Newmarket train station.

The 16-year-old has been charged with aggravated wounding and the others referred to Youth Aid officers.

“Grabbing Gunpla and running out the door whilst laughing is not very cool,” the store said on its Facebook page, before being made aware one of its staff members had allegedly been stabbed.

“Any additional information will be greatly appreciated,” it added.

Photos appeared to show the alleged offenders carrying Pokémon and Gundam merch.

Senior Sergeant Bunce said he was appalled at the level of violence.

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Weather live: Red warning as storm bringing gales, heavy rain to Northland, Coromandel

Source: Radio New Zealand

Follow the RNZ liveblog above for the latest updates.

A heavy rain warning for Northland and Coromandel Peninsula has now been upgraded to red, with hundreds of millimetres of rain forecast to fall on top of what has already accumulated.

It comes after days of downpours flooded areas of the north, washing out roads and cutting power.

People in Auckland and Waikato are also warned to expect strong gales through the day, as well as potential heavy rain across the region and in large parts of the South Island.

Follow the RNZ liveblog at the top of the page for the latest updates.

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Christopher Luxon throwing Chris Bishop under the bus on housing, says Chris Hipkins

Source: Radio New Zealand

Chris Hipkins (Labour) and Chris Bishop (National). RNZ / Marika Khabazi / Reece Baker

Chris Hipkins has accused the prime minister of starting this election year by “panicking” and throwing one of his senior ministers “under the bus”.

The Labour leader made the comments to Morning Report on Wednesday, ahead of the party’s post-break gathering in “wet and windy West Auckland”.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon last week confirmed the coalition was considering weakening housing intensification laws in Auckland. The subject did not come up during his ‘State of the Nation’ speech on Monday.

Housing and RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop last year directed Auckland Council to allow for greater housing and development intensification, particularly around rail stations, as the city prepared to open the long-awaited City Rail Link.

Auckland Council in September responded by approving plans that would allow up to 2 million homes in the city.

But Luxon’s apparent backtrack showed he was “running scared” and “willing to throw Chris Bishop under the bus”, Hipkins said.

“Chris Bishop has spent two years working on this plan, and he’s absolutely determined that it’s the right plan, and Christopher Luxon seems to be more interested in panicking rather than actually showing some loyalty to one of his most senior ministers.”

Luxon on Monday dismissed any talk of a clash with Bishop, saying they were in regular discussion.

“I don’t think there’s a problem when you actually say, ‘I’ve listened to feedback and I’m going to do something different about it on the basis of that.’”

David Seymour, deputy prime minister and leader of coalition partner ACT, expressed concern on Tuesday intensification would upset people in his electorate of Epsom, the country’s wealthiest, because high-rise buildings might end up “looking into everyone’s backyards and their swing sets and their pools”.

Hipkins said if Luxon and Bishop have changed the plan, they should “get on and tell New Zealanders what it is that they’ve been cooking up behind the scenes”.

“Because up until now, Chris Bishop is the person who’s been speaking for the government on the matter, and it seems that he’s now been sidelined.”

House prices have fallen since their peak in 2022, and rents have stabilised – and in some places, fallen – after years of almost unbroken above-inflation rises.

Asked if he would like house prices to fall, Hipkins said he wanted a “stabilisation in house prices… giving New Zealanders a chance for their incomes to catch up”.

“The current government aren’t focused on growing people’s incomes at all. They’re only focused on increasing the wealth of those at the top rather than the people who are working hard every day and aspiring to owning their own home.”

Asked if Bishop was “playing on your home ground” by overseeing improving housing affordability, Hipkins talked up his party’s capital gains and Future Fund policies to “ensure that people are investing in productive businesses rather than simply buying up all the available houses and forcing first-time buyers out of the market”.

Luxon said Bishop would “come forward with his views and explain that shortly”.

Paying for pay equity

One way the previous Labour-led government tried to boost incomes – particularly for historically underpaid sectors – was through 2020’s Equal Pay Amendment Act, which was gutted under urgency in early 2025, Luxon saying the changes would save the government “billions” of dollars.

Christopher Luxon and Finance Minister Nicola Willis. RNZ / Calvin Samuel

Labour has promised to restore pay equity, but still would not say how it would be paid for – Treasury’s estimate was that it would cost close to $13 billion over four years.

“We’ll set out before the election a balanced fiscal plan that will show how we will get New Zealand’s books balanced, something [Finance Minister] Nicola Willis has spent two-and-a-half years failing to do and there is no balance in sight. She still hasn’t figured out how to balance the books after her unaffordable tax cuts.

“We’ve been working our way through the costs of all of the commitments that we are making. I am determined that we will make a sensible, responsible set of commitments to the electorate this year that will be different to the current government.

“It will show that our priority of working New Zealanders and making sure that they get their fair share of the economic pie and that the economic recovery that Christopher Luxon keeps touting actually does arrive and it benefits everybody, not just those at the top.”

A portfolio reshuffle was looming, Hipkins said, particularly with the departures of Duncan Webb and Adrian Rurawhe.

“We very much are in this to win it. We think that the election is up for grabs, and we’re quite determined to offer New Zealanders a really compelling alternative.”

National is meeting in Christchurch, where Luxon is to announce this year’s election date.

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How to cut down on trans fats if cooking from scratch isn’t an option

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Emma Beckett, Senior Lecturer, Nutrition and Food Science, Australian Catholic University

RDNE Stock project/Pexels

Work is finished, and you’re tired and hungry. Maybe you’re rushing home or to daycare pickup.

You know you should be cooking dinner from scratch for the healthiest choice but that isn’t going to happen for a variety of reasons. You just need something quick and easy.

Then, you remember those headlines about trans fats in some packaged convenience foods and you start to worry.

If this feels familiar, here’s what you need to know.

What exactly are trans fats?

Typically, we talk about two major groups of dietary fats – unsaturated and saturated.

Unsaturated fats are liquid at room temperature. Saturated fats are solid at room temperature. It’s the saturated fats that are associated with health concerns as they can raise LDL (aka “bad”) cholesterol and increase inflammation.

Trans fats are technically unsaturated fats. But a slight difference in their molecular arrangement means they act more like saturated fats – in foods and the body.

Which foods have trans fats?

Small amounts of trans fats occur naturally in some animal foods, such as red meat and dairy. They can also be created when oils are heated to very high temperatures, such as with commercial deep-frying.

But most trans fats in our diets are “industrial” trans fats. These are made when unsaturated fats are deliberately turned into trans fats by a process called hydrogenation. This makes them act more like saturated fats – improving shelf life, taste and texture.

Industrial trans fats can be ingredients in pre-packaged foods such as shelf-stable cakes, pastries, fried savoury snacks and some frozen foods.

Why should we be cutting down on trans fats?

Initially, industrial trans fats were regarded as an innovation as they allowed manufacturers to replace expensive, unhealthy saturated fats.

But we now know trans fats don’t just act like saturated fats in foods. They also act like saturated fats in the body, raising LDL cholesterol and causing inflammation. This ultimately increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases (such as heart attacks and strokes) even if you don’t eat much of them.

The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends we keep trans fats to less than 1% of our total energy intake (which is about 2.2 grams per day if you are eating a standard 8,000 kilojoule diet). That means eating less than about four 300g serves of frozen lasagne a day.

The use of trans fats in Australia has declined in recent decades and the average consumption of trans fats is below the WHO-recommended levels. But an estimated 10% or so of Australians are eating more than the WHO recommends.

Some countries have introduced regulations to limit the levels of trans fats allowed in foods. The WHO recommends foods contain no more than 2g of trans fats per 100g of total fats. This hasn’t happened in Australia despite some calls for it.

Because “industrial” trans fats are typically found in prepackaged discretionary foods (such as shelf-stable pastries, cakes and biscuits) and convenience foods (such as frozen meals), it’s tempting to revert to the simplified “just eat fresh whole foods and cook from scratch” style of recommendation.

But cooking from scratch may not be realistic

However, for many people, cooking every meal from scratch isn’t practical, affordable or enjoyable. But there are practical and meaningful ways to eat less trans fats even when eating convenience and discretionary foods, without changing your whole lifestyle or becoming a chef.

When shopping for snacks, frozen or other pre-packaged convenience products, check the labels for trans fats. But this can be a bit tricky as they’re not always mentioned, or may be called something else.

In Australia, it’s not mandatory to include trans fats on food labels, unless a manufacturer makes nutrition or health claim about fats or cholesterol. If this is the case, trans fat needs to be listed on the nutrition information panel.

The rest of the time, the trans fat content does not have to be listed, but manufacturers might declare it voluntarily.

You can also look for “hydrogenated” or “partially hydrogenated” in the ingredients list.

However, manufacturers only have to declare hydrogenation if a specific vegetable oil is listed. If the ingredient is generic “vegetable oil”, the manufacturer doesn’t have to specify whether that oil has been hydrogenated.

So, for certainty, look for products that specifically list the unsaturated fats they use as ingredients (for instance, canola oil, sunflower oil or olive oil), as these would have to include the extra detail.

Don’t stress about cooking with oils at home, as they don’t get hot enough to produce a meaningful amount of trans fats. Most margarines and shortenings in Australia have now been reformulated to have little to no trans fats.

If you are ordering takeaways or fast foods, deep frying at high temperatures can lead to a modest increase in trans fats. Choosing outlets that use liquid vegetable oils reduces this risk. Most fast-food chains in Australia use high-oleic canola oils or blends that don’t contain trans fats.

We don’t need to turn into chefs overnight

At the end of the day, trans fats are not necessary, nor are they health-promoting.

But we don’t need to overhaul our lives, cook every meal from scratch or track every gram of fat we eat.

With a little bit of label-reading, a few simple swaps, and a general pattern of choosing foods made with plant-based oils instead of solid fats can give you the confidence you are minimising your exposure to trans fats.

Emma Beckett has in past years received funding for research or payment for consulting from Mars Foods, Nutrition Research Australia, FOODiQ Global, NHMRC, ARC, AMP Foundation, Kelloggs, Hort Innovation, and the a2 milk company. She is the author of ‘You Are More Than What You Eat’. She is a member of committees/working groups related to nutrition and food, including with the Australian Academy of Science and the National Health and Medical Research Council. She is a Registered Nutritionist, and a member of the Nutrition Society of Australia and the Australian Institute of Food Science and Technology.

ref. How to cut down on trans fats if cooking from scratch isn’t an option – https://theconversation.com/how-to-cut-down-on-trans-fats-if-cooking-from-scratch-isnt-an-option-269806

A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in healthcare and social spending

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Angela Jackson, Social Policy Commissioner, Productivity Commission, and Adjunct Associate Professor, University of Tasmania

Deb Cohn-Orbach/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

At the start of the new year, many of us will commit to joining a gym, eating healthier or cutting back on drinking and smoking. We do this knowing that investing in our health today will pay off into to the future – that prevention is better (and cheaper) than the cure.

It’s advice the Productivity Commission thinks federal and state governments should also follow to improve Australia’s finances and productivity.

Late last year, my co-authors and I gave the federal government the final report of our inquiry on delivering quality care more efficiently.

We found preventative investments could save taxpayers billions of dollars in health and social care costs. But to achieve these gains, the way we think about investing in prevention needs to change.

Investing in early intervention

Australia’s spending on health and social care is growing as a share of the economy and now makes up five of the top seven fiscal pressures
facing the federal budget. The care sector is also absorbing more of our workforce – close to one-third of new jobs since the pandemic have been in the care sector.

In many respects this reflects changing preferences. As the nation has become wealthier, we care more about our health and wellbeing. But making the most of this spending is one of Australia’s key productivity challenges.

That means investing early to save costs later. Take for example the SunSmart skin cancer awareness campaign, which is estimated to have prevented more than 43,000 skin cancers from 1988 to 2010.

Investments like this save lives and money. We estimate that an investment of A$1.5 billion across all prevention programs over five years could be expected to save governments $2.7 billion over ten years. Factoring in the broader health, social and economic benefits, the total benefits would be about $5.4 billion.

Other countries are ahead of the game: Canada, the UK and Finland spend over twice as much of their health budgets on prevention as Australia.

Australia’s own health prevention strategy recommends that we increase spending on prevention from 2% to 5% of the health budget.

The big picture

Prevention goes beyond just health care. Investments in youth justice, out of home care and homelessness improve outcomes in a range of other areas, improving Australians’ quality of life and governments’ bottom lines.

For example, when people experiencing homelessness get stable housing, they tend to end up in hospital less often, make fewer trips to the emergency department, and in some cases, even avoid incarceration. It’s also easier to look for and hold down a job when you have a stable place to call home.

Such investments can also address systemic inequities in both access and quality of care.

One early childhood education program in outer Melbourne led to improved IQ and language development among socially disadvantaged Australian children, with participants reaching the same level of development as their peers within three years.

Evaluations of similar initiatives in the United States suggest that benefits can persist well into adulthood and even intergenerationally, through improved lifetime education attainment, employment and health, and reduced criminal behaviour.

A whole of government approach

Unfortunately, the way our government is structured can work against these investments. While it’s often one agency or level of government that needs to put up the money for these investments, they only enjoy part of the benefit.

The way governments think about and invest in prevention and early intervention needs to change. The Productivity Commission’s proposed solution is for a National Prevention and Early Intervention Framework to support strategic investments in programs that improve outcomes and reduce demand for future services.

The framework’s consistent approach to assessing interventions would bring all levels of government to the table, so that worthwhile investments no longer fall between the cracks.

It offers a practical way to put into operation the government’s Measuring What Matters framework. By directing funding towards outcomes and tracking progress against them, it would give federal and state governments confidence that they are investing in effective programs.

Like a person struggling with a new year’s resolution, policymakers often find it hard to delay gratification.

But given health and social care spending is only set to grow further, we need to start thinking long term to ensure we can afford to give future generations the standard of care we enjoy today. With a greater focus on prevention and early intervention, we can better care for future generations and put our care sector on a more sustainable path.

Angela Jackson is the Social Policy Commissioner at the Productivity Commission, as well as the chair of the Women in Economics Network. She has previously served on the board of Melbourne Health, which operates Royal Melbourne Hospital.

ref. A stronger focus on prevention could help governments rein in healthcare and social spending – https://theconversation.com/a-stronger-focus-on-prevention-could-help-governments-rein-in-healthcare-and-social-spending-273801

What Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story tells us about Mormonism

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brenton Griffin, Academic Status in the College of Humanities, Arts, and Social Sciences, Flinders University

Netflix

The new Netflix documentary Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story, directed by Skye Borgman, seeks to understand the shocking crimes of both Hildebrandt and business partner Ruby Franke.

In 2023, Hildebrandt and Franke became internationally known when they were arrested and plead guilty for aggravated child abuse. They were accused of the forceful restraint, torture and malnourishment of two of Franke’s children, aged 12 and 9 at the time.

Hildebrandt and Franke collaborated on various Mormon-focused self-improvement businesses, including the podcast Moms of Truth and workshop ConneXions.

The abuse became known when Franke’s son escaped Hildebrandt’s home in south-west Utah and sought assistance from neighbours. However, as the documentary makes clear, signs of abuse are evident in earlier 8 Passengers videos. For example, the oldest Franke son, 15 at the time, was forced to sleep on a bean bag for seven months as a form of discipline.

The documentary, including those who are interviewed, articulate that these crimes are Mormon-centric. This is a story of religious fanaticism.

The positioning of Mormonism within this documentary is essential to the documentary’s framing. Those who are the strongest to condemn Hildebrandt in the film – including therapists, police and legal professionals, as well as victims of Hildebrandt – are adamant to profess their more mainstream “Mormonness” in comparison to Hildenbrandt and Franke’s extremism.

What Evil Influencer does well

The Franke–Hildebrandt case captured international attention for several reasons explored during the documentary.

First, the abuse happened at the hands of Franke, the children’s mother, and Hildebrandt, a trusted businesswoman in the Mormon mental health community.

Before founding her business ConneXions, Hildebrandt was a licensed therapist, though her license had been put on probation for violating patient confidentiality.

Ruby Franke, with her husband Kevin, was an immensely popular family vlogger. Their 8 Passengers YouTube channel had millions of subscribers and over a billion views.

Second, the documentary explores the ever-present pressure on families, in particular mothers, within Mormon culture. Mothers are responsible for teaching children correct gospel principles, which ensures their salvation.

Mormon doctrine emphasises the role of both parents. But this responsibility usually rests on the mothers, who are encouraged to not work.

This pressure to perform a certain way under the constraints of a high-control, patriarchal religion is similarly expressed by the participants of The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives.

Third, the documentary places Hildebrandt’s actions in the context of Mormon sexual purity culture. The film claims she was part of an “approved” list of therapists Church leaders would contact when members of their congregation struggled with “sexual deviancy”.

Hilderbrandt’s aggressive tactics towards clients are discussed in detail by former victims. These included the removal of parents from children and separations.

Hildebrandt’s actions towards victims is spliced with footage of Church leaders denouncing pornography as of the devil, more addictive than cocaine, and as able to corrupt souls to lose their salvation.

Hildebrandt’s “life-coaching” was the reason Ruby Franke and her children were living with Hildebrandt. According to the documentary, Kevin had been instructed by Jodi to not be in contact with his family for over a year.

What Evil Influencer misses

As with other documentaries that have examined Mormon women who have abused their children – including another documentary on Ruby Franke, and one on Lori Vallow, who in 2019 murdered her children in rural Idaho – the filmmaker’s grounding in Mormon cosmology could be improved.

Crucial to both the Franke and Vallow cases is the belief demons can possess individuals, including children. This is a part of the foundational Mormon narrative, the “First Vision”, in which a 14-year-old Joseph Smith was “seized upon by some power which entirely overcame” him. In his words, Smith is only saved by the literal appearance of God and Jesus Christ.

In Mormon cosmology, children are free from sin until the age of eight, after which they are baptised. Ecclesiastical leaders interview children about their faith and understanding of gospel principles, and whether they are willing to uphold baptismal and confirmation “covenants”.

When the documentary quotes from Franke’s diary, in which she refers to her son “or rather his demon”, this is likely not metaphorical. Similarly, Hildebrandt states to police the boy should not be allowed near other children.

In Mormon thought, the closer to God a person becomes – as Hildebrandt claimed to be due to her visions – the harder Satan will attempt to destroy a person through temptation and/or possession, as in the case of Joseph Smith.

Towards the end of the documentary, Hildebrandt, through recorded prison phone calls, quotes scripture, claiming Jesus Christ had warned his followers they would be persecuted and imprisoned. Hilderbrandt sees her imprisonment as a mirror of the Church’s founder, who was repeatedly arrested.

Smith similarly saw mirrors of his treatment in that of Jesus Christ’s experience. This idea of religious persecution sits at the heart of Hildebrandt’s denial.

Evil Influencer does very well to ground Hildebrandt and Franke’s crimes in Mormon culture, especially in regards to sexuality, motherhood and family. However, more cosmological context, especially surrounding the way in which Mormonism views demonic possession, is just as crucial for understanding these crimes.

Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story is on Netflix now.

Brenton Griffin was raised as a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, but is no longer a practising member of the church. His research is focused on the religion’s place in Australian and New Zealand popular culture, politics, and society from the 19th century to present.

ref. What Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story tells us about Mormonism – https://theconversation.com/what-evil-influencer-the-jodi-hildebrandt-story-tells-us-about-mormonism-272810

David Beckham breaks silence after son Brooklyn cuts ties

Source: Radio New Zealand

The spat burst out into the open after Brooklyn Beckham, 26, accused his parents of being “controlling” and placing “countless lies” in the media to preserve the facade of a perfect family

Speaking to CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Sir David said he had tried to educate his children about the online world.

“Children are allowed to make mistakes, that’s how they learn. So that’s what I try to teach my kids,” he said. “But you know, you have to sometimes let them make those mistakes as well.”

Sir David made the comments during a general discussion about the risks of social media, having earlier avoided journalists’ questions about the saga.

Reports of tension between Brooklyn and his parents started soon after he wedded actor Nicola Peltz, the daughter of US billionaire Nelson Peltz, in 2022.

Brooklyn said for years he had made “every effort” to keep the matter private, but he now had no choice but to “tell the truth about only some of the lies that have been published”.

He said his parents had been “trying endlessly to ruin my relationship since before my wedding” and had pressurised him to sign away the rights to his name, a step he had refused.

In one of the most damaging accusations, he said his mother, former Spice Girl and fashion designer Victoria, had hijacked his first dance with his wife at his wedding.

“She danced very inappropriately on me in front of everyone,” he said, in a post on Instagram.

“I’ve never felt more uncomfortable or humiliated in my entire life,” he added.

Brooklyn’s post tossed a grenade into “Brand Beckham”, the multi-million-pound family business that traces its origin back to his soccer star father making his debut for Manchester United at the age of 17 in 1992.

Sir David cemented his position in the British establishment last year when he was awarded a knighthood at the age of 50 for his contribution to sport and charitable causes.

He won six league titles, two FA Cups and the Champions League with the club, before playing for Real Madrid, LA Galaxy, AC Milan and Paris Saint-Germain. He also captained England, winning 115 caps.

His 1999 marriage to Victoria Adams, ‘Posh Spice’ in the Spice Girls, united football with pop music to create ‘Posh and Becks’, a celebrity couple rivalled only by Britain’s royals in tabloid appeal.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Labour MP Adrian Rurawhe to retire from politics

Source: Radio New Zealand

Adrian Rurawhe RNZ / Angus Dreaver

Labour MP Adrian Rurawhe has announced he will retire from politics next month.

The former Speaker has been in parliament for more than a decade, starting in 2014 as the MP for Te Tai Hauāuru before being ousted by Te Pāti Māori MP Debbie Ngarewa Packer in 2023.

He was Speaker of the House of Representatives from August 2022 to December 2023.

He says he spent the summer thinking about whānau and church, and retiring now will allow him to be more involved.

“I want to express my gratitude to the people of Te Tai Hauāuru, the Labour movement, and the countless individuals and communities I have served over the past twelve years,” said Rurawhe.

“I also want to acknowledge my whānau for their continued support. I would never have become an MP without them, and I will be forever grateful.”

Labour leader Chris Hipkins said Rurawhe was respected across the House in his role as Speaker, he was a valued member of the Labour team, and a passionate advocate for Maori.

“I’d like to acknowledge Adrian for the significant contribution he has made to our team and to New Zealand.

“We will miss him and wish him all the very best as he moves away from the political arena.”

His last day will be Waitangi Day and he will be replaced by Georgie Dansey.

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand