From MIL OSI

Why strengthening ties with the Global South was a top priority for Putin’s recent diplomacy blitz

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ)

Iranian Presidency/Handout/Photo by Press Information Bureau (PIB)/Anadolu via Getty Images

Over the past two weeks, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin staged a major diplomatic blitz. Across three events in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, Vladivostok in Russia’s Far East and New Delhi, India, as well as a state visit by Vietnam’s leader, he met with some 18 heads of state.

Among them were the leaders of heavyweights of the Global South such as China, India, Indonesia, Iran, Malaysia and Turkey, just to name a few.

The Ukraine war certainly featured in these conversations. Russia has recently ramped up its attacks on Ukraine, further fuelling some fears in the West that Ukraine could end up losing the war.

Tellingly, however, the main thrust of discussions led by the Russian president had a different focus: fuel, trade and transit.

Here’s why Russia is deepening ties with many partners in the Global South – and what these meetings tell us about the impacts of Western efforts to isolate Putin.

Shoring up fuel and energy

Fuel and energy security is becoming a mutual concern for both Moscow and its partners in the Global South. Ukraine’s deliberate offensive campaign targeting Russia’s oil refining capacity has resulted in noticeable fuel shortages in the country.

It has forced the Russian government to import refined fuel from countries it has traditionally exported to, such as Belarus, Turkey and India.

At the same time, the Kremlin continues to push for the expansion of its energy exports. This includes finalising the contract to build the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, which intends to deliver 50 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually from Russia to China via Mongolia.

Last week, Russia also signed a deal to establish a new strategic oil reserves hub in Vietnam.

Russia is also expanding cooperation on nuclear power, which was part of the discussion agenda with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Vietnam’s President To Lam (during his state visit to Russia), and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

Drivers queue at a Rosneft petrol station to refuel their cars in Moscow, Russia.
Ukrainian attacks on Russia’s oil refineries have put pressure on the country’s fuel supply.
Igor Ivanko / AFP via Getty Images

Deeper ties with the Global South

The ongoing sanctions war between Russia and the West has made its economic and trade relations with the Global South pivotal for the country’s survival and future development.

Two friendly interstate bodies, in which Russia plays core roles, are becoming especially important. The first is BRICS, a group of 11 economies including Brazil, China, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Iran, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa and the United Arab Emirates.

The BRICS economies now account for about 40% of global GDP. Last year, mutual trade turnover between BRICS member states exceeded US$1 trillion for the first time.

The second is the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). This is a political and security bloc spanning countries in Europe, Asia and the Indo-Pacific. According to Putin, Russia’s trade turnover with the SCO exceeded US$400 billion in 2025.

Overall, Asia accounted for 73.4% of Russia’s trade turnover last year. It’s no surprise that Moscow’s trade links with Asia featured in almost every conversation in Bishkek, Vladivostok and New Delhi.

Bypassing disruption in the Middle East

Despite its friendly ties with Iran, Russia and its clients aren’t immune from the ongoing disruption to transport and trade routes through the Middle East. To mitigate these risks, Russia is actively lobbying two relatively new transcontinental transit networks.

The first is the 7,200-kilometre combined rail-road-maritime International North-South Transport Corridor. This route connects Russia’s Baltic Sea ports with Mumbai in India, via the Caspian Sea and Iran.

Russia reportedly discussed this route with the Indian and Iranian delegations he met with this month.

The second is the 5,600-kilometre maritime Northern Sea Route, which connects Asia’s ice-free ports with Russia’s Arctic ports as part of the Northeast maritime passage across the Arctic Ocean.

In August, Beijing launched commercial operations along this route for the first time.

From business as usual to political signalling

Russia walked away from this month’s diplomatic blitz with some clear wins. In addition to securing US$7.7 billion worth of investments in Vladivostok, along with some lucrative deals with Vietnam, Putin could also claim some political success.

First, although challenging at times, Putin’s interactions with his counterparts showcased how Moscow’s relationship with major non-Western international players remains a geopolitical constant, even in the fifth year of the Ukraine war.

For leaders of emerging centres of global influence, whether India’s Modi, Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto or Vietnam’s Lam, interacting with Russia forms part of their countries’ foreign policy approach based on the notion of “strategic autonomy”.

This sends a powerful signal to the United States and its allies, amid the latest round of high-level consultations involving the CIA and US Treasury chiefs and their Russian counterparts.

Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump sent his own personal envoys to Moscow and made a follow-up phone call to Putin.

Second, Russia and its core partners in Asia jointly signalled they will continue to maintain strategic partnership links. This includes the question of importing Russia’s fossil fuels, nuclear power and other goods and exporting processed fuel back to Russia.

Fuel security is particularly relevant to the Russian authorities’ attempts to stabilise the domestic situation. The Kremlin is under pressure to mitigate the aftershock of the escalating war with Ukraine amid upcoming parliamentary elections on September 18-20.

Why the Global South still has concerns

Still, many in the Global South remain concerned about the growing impact of what seems to be becoming a forever war in and over Ukraine.

The latest round of tit-for-tat attacks against merchant shipping in the Black Sea triggered fears of grain and wheat shortages.

In mid-November, China will host the 2026 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit. This is tipped to be a possible venue for the first trilateral meeting between Putin, Xi and Trump.

Here, Moscow might feel increasing pressure to settle the war by political means from its partners. These countries don’t want to feel the effects of the sanctions war between the West and Russia, let alone be dragged into it.

The Conversation

Alexey D Muraviev does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Original source: https://analysis1.mil-osi.com/2026/09/14/why-strengthening-ties-with-the-global-south-was-a-top-priority-for-putins-recent-diplomacy-blitz/