Source: Radio New Zealand
123RF
MetService is warning you may need to keep your raincoats handy as the warm weather the North Island is experiencing may take a turn this weekend.
A low-pressure system is lining up a soggy weekend, bringing warm, humid air and the risk of heavy rain, especially for parts of the North Island still recovering after January’s floods.
MetService meteorologist, Mmathapelo Makgabutlane told Morning Report the next few days will be warm and humid for the North Island.
Muggy overnight temperatures on the way for the second half of the week as a warm-moist airmass pushes over us
Parts of the upper North Island will have overnight low temperatures around 20°C.
Meanwhile, Southland could have maximum temperatures in the high 20s on Thursday. pic.twitter.com/GexGcCsgyY
— MetService NZ (@MetService) February 10, 2026
Makgabutlane said there are a couple of weather systems on the way this weekend.
On Friday, a front is expected to move across the South Island, bringing a period of heavy rain and strong winds.
However, it’s the weather system moving onto the North Island on Saturday that Makgabutlane said was the one of interest.
A trough over the northern Tasman Sea is likely to move onto the North Island, bringing very humid conditions with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms on Saturday through to Monday.
“The two main things to look out for with the system is that intensification. How deep that low-pressure system is will be one thing that tells us how strong or how much rain we will see,” Makgabutlane said.
“The other thing is the location of that weather system. So, if it forms a couple of hundred kilometres to to the east of us, [it’s] probably going to be a lovely weekend for most of us, but even if it forms just a little bit closer to us, then we could be in for quite a wet weekend.”
As things stand, it does look like it will be a wet couple of days ahead, she said.
At this point, the areas that look the most likely to bear the brunt of the weather are most of the North Island on Saturday, and the lower and eastern parts of the North Island on Sunday and into Monday.
“Over the next coming days, I would say certainly keep an eye out for those [weather] watches because they do look likely,” Makgabutlane said.
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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand
